PDF 144908 70480
PDF 144908 70480
sociological
review
ISSN 1231 – 1413
DOI:10.26412/psr216.01
GRZEGORZ W. KOLODKO
Kozminski University
Abstract: Modern economic thought does not provide a satisfactory explanation of current socio-economic reality,
nor does it propose effective methods for solving the world’s mounting problems, especially at the macroeconomic
and macrosocial level. The “beyond-GDP” reality requires a “beyond-GDP” economic theory on which to base
a development strategy which is triply balanced—economically, socially, and ecologically. The new goal of
economic activity cannot be a simple maximization of profit and a quantitative increase in production. The
interests of private capital should be subordinated to long-term public interests through a re-institutionalization
of the market economy. The enormous changes occurring in technology, the economy, society, culture, and the
natural environment force us to abandon orthodox economics and look for innovative economic views. One such
approach would be a new pragmatism—an eclectic, interdisciplinary theory focused on a future-oriented socio-
economic policy.
Keywords: world economy, society, descriptive economics, normative economics, research method, new pragma-
tism
Introduction
same time (Cooper 2014). Indeed, economics is currently in a quite difficult situation, due,
on the one hand, to the essence of its subject matter, that is, the condition of the modern
economy and its cultural, political, and technological environment, and, on the other hand,
due to the functions which an advanced and enriched knowledge about economic activity
is supposed to perform. From both of these perspectives, the present period is special, as it
raises new questions to which new answers have to be sought. This is a fascinating challenge
that traditional schools of economic thought cannot successfully tackle. A different reality
requires a different approach.
With the constant movement of people and the goods and services they produce and
provide, economic thought wanders as well—with the accompanying questions and
answers. For some time now—counting in decades and generations rather than in years and
political electoral cycles—we have been living in a world with a new quality, which from
a broad economic perspective can be described as a “beyond-GDP” reality. This implies the
need to develop a beyond-GDP economic theory that will serve as the base for a beyond-
GDP economic policy and a beyond-GDP development strategy addressing the current
and future problems. The beyond-GDP reality means that many economic phenomena and
processes, in the broad sense, occur beyond the fields of activity observed and explained
by traditional economic thought, which has focused on studying the conditions and
mechanisms of growth identified, in simple terms, on the microscale with the maximization
of return on invested capital, and on the macroscale with the maximization of national
income, most often understood as gross domestic product (GDP).
The economics of today describes and interprets a considerably different economy and
society than Adam Smith wrote about in An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the
Wealth of Nations in 1776. He could describe the sphere of production as viewed through
the prism of a pin factory and barter relations based on contracts between a baker and
a shoemaker. Now such a description must be made, inter alia, by analyzing global financial
flows and distribution relations in the online sector. Of course, bakers and shoemakers are
still needed, although the uncritical apologists of hi-tech feel that this is no longer the case:
a smartphone, Spotify, and Uber will do the job; it’s enough just to click. The GDP per
capita in England in Smith’s day (Smith did not know this category; his was a before-
GDP economy) was about 15 times lower than it is today, while the population of the
economically loosely connected world—producing, on average per capita as much as the
English—was about 10 times less numerous than it is now. Thus, the whole world produced
some 150 times less than it does presently. Forty years after Smith, when the economy had
gained momentum as a result of the Industrial Revolution—which, in time, would come to
be called “the first”—and humankind had already exceeded its first billion of population,
David Ricardo studied international trade relations and developed the theory of comparative
costs by analyzing the exchange of English cloth for Portuguese wine.
Today’s economy is also very different from the one described and interpreted by
Karl Marx in Capital a century and a half ago. Over time more sophisticated ways of
ECONOMICS OF NEW PRAGMATISM IN CONTEMPORARY SOCIETY 433
getting rich at the expense of others have emerged than those of the primitive and brutal
nineteenth century exploitation of the working class by the bourgeoisie. Our economy
is also different from the one intellectually embraced three generations later by John
Maynard Keynes, who explained the demand-side mechanisms for controlling the economy
on a macroeconomic scale. The breakthrough he made in economic thought was no
longer sufficient half a century later as a result of the intensification of the modern
phase of globalization, that is, the liberalization and integration of national economies
and capital, goods, and labor markets—which had previously functioned to some extent
in isolation—into one interconnected global market. The previous misconception in that
the sum of microeconomic rationalities (if any) does not add up to the macroeconomic
rationality, which Keynesian interventionism tried to correct, was exacerbated by the
second-generation misconception where the sum of macroeconomic rationalities (if any)
in no way makes up the global rationality.
The memorable contributions to the science of economics by Smith, Ricardo, Marx,
and Keynes, as well as many other important scholars, cannot be overstated. However,
there is no doubt that if they were faced with the reality given to us, they would formulate
other, sometimes completely different questions and come to different conclusions than
they did in their times. This is indirectly demonstrated by the later achievements of such
economic theorists as Friedrich Hayek, Gunnar Myrdal, Simon Kuznets, Milton Friedman,
John Kenneth Galbraith, Paul Samuelson, Gerard Debreu, Douglass North, Janos Kornai,
and Joseph Stiglitz, and in Poland, Oskar Lange and Michał Kalecki.
The evolution, over the past half century, of the research field of economics toward
a post-industrial economy has also quickly proven insufficient, as is shown by the fact
that economics is not able to answer numerous and salient questions. It disregards such
categories as expectations, irrationality, the value of leisure time, the price of fresh
air, social cohesion, complexity, and geopolitics. However, investigating the conflicts of
economic interests and suggesting ways to resolve them still remains the backbone of
economics. There is no economics without conflicts of interests. We also constantly have
to deal with the differences between our ideas (Brunnermeier, James and Landau 2016).
It is sometimes the case that even where there are obvious contradictions, economists, by
moving on the solid grounds of reality rather than strolling around in Wonderland, can
prove the validity of opposing views. It is a bit like in an old joke where a young man asks
a wise old man: “How much is two times two?” and receives the answer “Well, it depends
if you’re selling or buying…”
In the beyond-GDP reality, the core of the conflict of economic interests and ideas is
different than it used to be, as a natural consequence of the advance of productive forces and
the evolution of production relations. Such trends as institutional, behavioral, experimental
economics or neuro-economics have contributed a great deal to the study of the changes
that are taking place, but it is necessary to go further, deeper, and broader, and above all,
to make economic thinking more prospective. If economics is unable to stay ahead of the
processes occurring, it should at least keep up with them. If modern economics cannot be
the economics of tomorrow, let it at least not be the economics of yesterday.
Contemporary economics must go beyond the area of the market, even in its broadest
sense. Sometimes it should delve into the nooks and crannies of human thought processes
434 GRZEGORZ W. KOLODKO
and sometimes into the interactions taking place in the triad of the economy, society, and
the state. Actually, the slogan “It’s the economy, stupid”—this very popular phrase that was
coined by chance during Bill Clinton’s presidential campaign of 1992—is a sort of neo-
Marxist claim that the social being determines the consciousness of human beings, and that
the material base governs the physical and cultural condition of a society. Now we know that
it is sometimes also consciousness that determines social being and certainly has a huge
impact on it. Additionally, there is the state, which participates in shaping these relations,
and in the era of globalization international and global regulations take part as well.
The condition of the economy is so complex that economic thought—theorizing about
the economy’s purpose, content, and method—needs to be pushed in new directions.
Economic thinking should certainly leave the current mainstream of thought for good
because the models produced have moved too far from the realities of economic life.
American academic jargon speaks of two schools of economics: the one pertaining to the
leading universities of the east and west coasts (Columbia, Harvard, MIT, Princeton, Yale,
Berkeley, Stanford, and UCLA) and the other to the universities of the Great Lakes Region
(Carnegie Mellon, Chicago, Michigan, Urbana-Champaign, Minnesota, and Rochester). In
referring to these universities’ dominance in economic theories, James Kenneth Galbraith
wrote, with some proper intellectual skepticism, of another option in the form of “backwater
economics” (Galbraith 2018), because indeed, many precious thoughts have been born in
other parts of the country and outside the US as well (Csaba 2009; Lin 2012 and 2013;
Nuti 2018; Piatkowski 2018; Tirole 2017). What textbooks contain does not cover what is
actually happening in reality, and science cannot ignore and over-simplify it.
The world, which is inhabited by nearly eight billion people producing a gross product
of more than USD 130 trillion (calculated according to purchasing power parity, PPPs) and
creating plenty of economic and social problems, is structurally unbalanced and therefore
generating conflicts, which are reaching a breaking point. While there are authors who
argue that the situation is not at all bad (Milanovic 2019; Ridley 2010; Rosling and
Ronnlund 2018), others claim that the world and civilization are facing a meltdown. While
some outline almost catastrophic visions and certainly do not see any sensible future for
capitalism (Harvey 2015), others are convinced that it can be rectified by fundamental
changes (Acemoglu and Robinson 2012; King 2013; Kolodko 2014a; Phelps 2013; Stiglitz
2019a). If a rising tide cannot lift all boats, including small ones, then at least let it not be
the case that many of them sink and only the yachts are lifted, mostly the luxurious ones.
Over the next few years, we will hear more often—as we are already hearing—about
the end of the world as we know it, about the collapse of the market economy, about
post-capitalism, and again about a third way and socialism. New terms appear, such as
the digital economy, the sharing economy (Sundararajan 2017), the gig economy based
on digital platforms (Kessler 2018), and Chinism (Kolodko 2018). The old will return
with determiners such as “new” or “neo” added, as in “new nationalism” (Economist
2016) or “new authoritarianism” (Wiatr 2019), or with the adjective “true,” as in “true
progressivism.” 1 Concepts known from the past, such as ordoliberalism and the social
1 Shortly after the outbreak of the financial crisis of 2008, opportunities were being sought to save
the then unstable neoliberal capitalism from its evolution toward “True Progressivism” (Economist 2012).
ECONOMICS OF NEW PRAGMATISM IN CONTEMPORARY SOCIETY 435
market economy, will revive. The new-old categories will be preventively criticized, as was
the case with collective capitalism, which is accused of being deprived of two attributes of
a healthy economy: responsibility for deciding what people need and dynamism (Economist
2019a), or with the welfare state, which is claimed to entail excessive fiscalism and an
excessive—from the viewpoint of efficiency—redistribution of income.
As a result, the first thing that will prevail—as it is already—is conceptual noise and
definitional clutter. Yet, in time, some sort of compact concept of a new socio-economic
system, or rather new systems, may emerge, because with all the consequences for the
economic sciences, there will be no more uniformity, just as, in practice, there has never
been in the past, except in some theoretical models simplifying reality.
Hence, we are now living in an era when a new reality is being formed, a new system that
is different from the previous ones, which has to be intellectually embraced, understood,
and explained. Ways to influence its evolution need to be proposed to allow for the co-
formation of its desired shape. It is clear that there will be constant axiological disputes—
they are already ongoing—concerning its shape and that its appearance will be a function of
resolving the conflicts of ideas and interests that are piling up. Humanity is not doomed to
some predetermined future; there is no determinism. This future can and must be shaped.
Given that the answer to the question of how to do this needs to be constantly sought,
economics has a good future ahead of it.
Terminological rigor is very important in scientific debate, as many disputes arise be-
cause those presenting their arguments do not mean the same thing. How to resolve the
dispute over whether there is “state capitalism” (Roland 2019), or corrupt “crony capital-
ism” (Minxin 2016) in China or, as the Chinese leaders prefer, “socialism with Chinese
characteristics,” if, when sticking to the definitions proposed by the authors, in one and the
same reality, each of these systems is present there? Is democracy in Poland still liberal
or no longer liberal (because in Hungary it is already illiberal) (Csaba 2019)? Does the
market economy in Turkey and Russia operate in the political environment of a democratic
or autocratic system? While some authors use different terms to describe the same reality,
others refer to different realities using the same term. It can happen, therefore, that after
a thorough explanation of the terms used the dispute or source of a political conflict may
disappear. For this reason especially, a continuous substantive dialogue is needed.
So, what kind of economics are we talking about? What is it supposed to analyze and
interpret? Should it propose to change itself, and, if so, how can it change for the better?
It is astonishing that even though the economic knowledge accumulated over the centuries
should seemingly provide easy and consensual answers to these questions, economics is
often helpless when faced with the accumulating challenges. This happens for at least two
reasons. First, due to the enormous qualitative diversity of the realities studied, economics
is becoming a more and more contextual science, while universal laws apply to a lesser
degree. Second, economic thought often fails to keep pace with the rapidly changing reality.
This notion has by no means disappeared. Interestingly, it appeared along with two other terms in the
name of an academic conference—“Progressivism, Socialism, Nationalism”—organized in September 2019
at Columbia University in New York by the Centre on Capitalism and Society, headed by the Nobel Prize
winner Edmund Phelps (vide https://capitalism.columbia.edu/17th-annual-conference-progressivism-socialism-
nationalism; access 29/12/2020).
436 GRZEGORZ W. KOLODKO
A Marxist would say that observations, analyses, and generalizations are not keeping pace
with evolving production relations, which are being overwhelmingly influenced by the
quickly changing nature of production forces. An institutionalist would conclude that the
rules of the market game remain in discord with the fast changes taking place in technology
and the organization of production and exchange.
Humanity is facing epochal challenges. Meeting them forces lifestyle changes, with which
the operation of a changed economy must be correlated. In turn, all this determines the
need to redefine the objective of economic activity. These epochal challenges stem from
seven overlapping mega-trends which are significant for contemporary times:
1. demographic changes, especially the aging of the population and huge variations in
fertility rates,
2. environmental changes, especially the depletion of non-renewable resources and global
warming,
3. the scientific and technological revolution, especially the digitization of the economy
and culture, as well as automation,
4. non-inclusive globalization, especially increasing areas of exclusion and inequality,
5. the general crisis of neoliberal capitalism, especially the structural economic imbal-
ance,
6. the crisis of liberal democracy, especially the accompanying polarization of societies,
the rise of populism and new authoritarianism, and the Second Cold War, especially
the escalation of US-China tensions.
Thus capitalism does not get along with itself. Even such an excellent supporter as the
leading British-American weekly The Economist had to notice that “in the West, capitalism
is not working as well as it should be” (Economist 2019a). It is not working because it
cannot, as it is experiencing a structural crisis (Bremmer 2010; Galbraith 2014; Stiglitz
2019b). The lack of fair competition, bad regulation, the corruption of politicians and
bureaucracy, the self-interest of business and financial elites, greed and avarice (to such
an extent that the best business schools have taught that it is good), fraud by manufacturers,
distributors, and service providers, starting with the banking sector, through the automotive
sector, and ending with the pharmaceutical sector (Akerlof and Shiller 2015), the driving
up of consumerism for capitalist profits, corrupt media manipulating public opinion, and
the cynicism of the political elites—all this had to reap a bitter harvest.
Unless it changes its essence, that is, its system of values and fundamental principles,
capitalism, which has been contaminated by market fundamentalism, may not survive
the current historical turn. This is as interesting as it is difficult and dangerous, because
quantities of questions immediately emerge. What’s next? In return for what? If indeed
there is post-capitalism, then of what sort? What are the desired changes if all that remains
is to escape forward? Because there is not much to go back to. Old technologies cannot
be used to raise a new building on a new planet. Moreover, the Earth of the twenty-first
century is an utterly different planet from that of previous centuries.
ECONOMICS OF NEW PRAGMATISM IN CONTEMPORARY SOCIETY 437
While analyzing the various economic systems and considering their efficiency, we
are led to the conclusion that they are not equivalent in an axiological sense. Moreover,
even within the same economic system, there are better and worse economies. A good
economy is capable of a long-term and harmonious development that maintains the proper
relationship between the present and the future. What people need is not an economy in
general but a good economy. Economic activity cannot be isolated from the values that it is
supposed to serve. On the path of history, the notions of good and bad in the economy, and—
because it is not the same—a good and bad economy, have changed profoundly (Sedlacek
2011). Today, we are closer not only to categories such as profitability and justice, but also
to social cohesion and solidarity, generational responsibility, and environmental awareness.
A good economy must be efficient and competitive, but these are only means and
should not be confused with the objective of meeting needs. A good economy calls for
a good policy, which involves giving people not what they want but what they need.
This is the imperative of the economy of moderation. It is not about usurpers forcing
on others the consumption patterns and lifestyles they have invented but about affecting
these patterns and lifestyles in a public, democratic discourse. Such discourse must be
responsible and based on scientific findings that say what is objectively healthy and
beneficial individually and socially. Thus, real politics is not only supposed to capture
social preferences accurately but also to stimulate them sensibly. Proper socialization
and education—as well as the social impact on desirable consumption patterns from the
viewpoint of sustainable development and improved welfare—must therefore consist in
shaping consumption preferences in such a way that people want what serves them well
as often as possible. The vast amount of knowledge provided by behavioral economics
(Kahneman 2011; Thaler 2016; Thaler and Sunstein 2009) facilitates work in this field.
Unfortunately, this knowledge is effectively used for the opposing purpose (Kuenzler 2017).
What is missing is sufficient political determination to go in the right direction (Kolodko
2014b; Krugman 2020).
In recent decades, much damage has been done to economic thought by neoliberal
economics, which makes a few illusory assumptions. The first of these is that the
market operates under conditions of full competition. In actuality, there is some extent of
competition but never perfect competition because markets are largely oligopolistic: from
large retail chains and airlines through banks and insurance agencies to pharmaceutical
companies and social media. Indeed, the pressure for deregulation from neoliberal circles
consists in demanding—and often obtaining—the legislation they want, not so much to
deepen the competitive environment but rather to make it easier for them to maximize their
own benefits from profit-seeking. More than once, deregulation has come down to making
it easier to cut out relatively weaker competitors which are inconvenient for the stronger
companies. In many cases, such legislative is fostered by a hypocritical policy that preaches
one thing and does another. This must be changed, and the way to change it is to introduce
regulations on behalf of a social market economy and to take into account the interests of
medium-sized and small enterprises and their stakeholders.
The rationality of economic entities, both businesses and households, is also insuffi-
cient. A rational entity acts for its own benefit, given sufficient information. Assuming for
a moment that people think and know what is good for them in their various economic
438 GRZEGORZ W. KOLODKO
roles—and if they do not know, then they know where and from whom they can find out
(Sloman and Fernbach)—information is decisive. There is often an asymmetry here—an
imbalance in favor of the generally better-informed producers and merchants. The position
of buyers and consumers in the wide sense is weaker. It is deliberately further aggravated
by the forces manipulating buyers and misinforming them through marketing and adver-
tising so that while buyers think they are acting for their own benefit, they are actually
providing income and generating profits for someone else. In comparison to a hypothetical
optimization of behavior if they were provided with full and balanced information, they
harm themselves.
The commanding forces of the power, capital, and information triad (or, in other words,
politics, money, and the media) often have the effect of making people irrational in the
market. The civil state has the power to counteract these forces through market regulation.
Even if the market were fully competitive, it could never eliminate this syndrome by itself.
Here, educational and institutional intervention by the state is needed. This is the state’s
responsibility. Freedom is indeed about the ability to make choices, but genuine freedom
only exists if the voters—here buyers and consumers—are fairly informed about what they
are buying and consuming.
An immense effort must be made to create a proper institutional set-up for the market in
order to bring the realities of the modern market economy as close as possible to the ideal
of full competition, with sufficient information provided to the entities pursuing economic
activity. Without progress in this field, consumer sovereignty will also be illusory. Its
condition sine qua non is to be aware of the options and the associated marginal utility.
The directions of the necessary structural reforms in these areas require a fundamental
systemic and political strengthening of the public authorities supervising fair competition
and protecting consumer interests. It is right that actions are being taken to this end both in
the United States and in the European Union, although it is less proper that their authorities
seem more willing to impose penalties, sometimes worth billions of euros, on competitive
companies on the other side of the ocean.
There is no global economy without national economies; there are no national
economies without a microeconomic sphere. There is no macroeconomics without microe-
conomics. What, then, are the microeconomic foundations for innovative economics that
would meet the upcoming challenges? It is clear that the economy must continue to rely
on the dominance of private companies—except that their functioning and expansion must
be regulated by the state in the general interest. The aim of an entrepreneur remains to
maximize the rate of return on the capital employed, which the state is supposed to en-
courage with a proper institutional set-up. At the same time, the state is supposed to make
it more difficult for an entrepreneur to drive up its own profits through rent-seeking—the
exploitation of stakeholders and the passing on to them of some of the costs incurred, as
well as the capturing of income earned by someone else in the various phases and channels
of distribution. The state should, with proper market regulation and concern for the circu-
lation of information and the fight against disinformation, encourage entrepreneurship and
investment but still influence economic activity in a way that is consistent with the macroe-
conomic objective of improving the welfare of society. The institutional and politico-eco-
nomic alignment of the interests of shareholders and stakeholders should consistently be
ECONOMICS OF NEW PRAGMATISM IN CONTEMPORARY SOCIETY 439
pursued. Good practices in this respect are brought about by ordoliberalism and the social
market economy.
Today, an important new element of economic activity is that sometimes access to
reliable information is more meaningful to the formation and allocation of capital than
is ownership. This issue has both a technical and a moral dimension, and thus it is even
more necessary to strive for reliability in economic activity and high ethical standards in
business and economic policy. For the economy to be good, it must be fair—which once
again raises the issues of healthy market competition and good state regulation.
It is not possible to eliminate the aforementioned misconceptions, but they can be
mitigated as much on the micro-macro level (enterprises and the national economy) as
on the macro-mega level (national economies, the global economy). Again, without the
state in the first case and its transnational agreements between governments, and their
proper actions, in the second case, little can be achieved here. Not only does the market
itself fail to solve these problems, but it also intensifies them. However, to move things
forward, one must not be fooled by the glittering but merely verbal readiness of the private
sector to be almost charitable. This is not its purpose. Milton Friedman (1970) was right
when he said that corporate social responsibility was about maximizing shareholder value.
However, Joseph Stiglitz (2019c) is also right when he says that corporations have a social
responsibility to pay taxes. In a fair, well-regulated economy, one does not exclude the
other.
Having been frightened by the wave of populism, the chaotic reactions of some
politicians, and various anti-establishment sentiments, capitalists have been declaring their
willingness to look after the interests of other people, not just their own. We should not
be easily deceived, because such declarations are nothing more than tactics arising from
the capitalists’ fears of losing their own powerful position. When, at America’s Business
Roundtable in August 2019, more than 180 top managers of large companies stated that
their main objective was not the maximization of shareholder value but the satisfaction of all
stakeholders, this was just an attempt to pull the wool over people’s eyes. It was intended to
counteract the political determination to change regulations to take more account of social
objectives. When a big business—especially one that has neither clean hands nor a clear
conscience—heard announcements of the planned systemic changes and revaluations of
economic policies by the Democratic contenders for the US presidency, Bernie Sanders
and Elizabeth Warren 2 (Economist 2019c), and Jeremy Corbyn, the left-wing leader of
British Labour—it was willing to declare almost a transition to quasi-socialist positions
(Economist 2019b). For a while, and on paper. Unless…
Unless, indeed, there is another great change coming under the influence of the
combination of the growing grassroots pressure of significant parts of society which are
dissatisfied with the state of affairs and the belief of certain enlightened political leaders
that the system can and should be better than before. History knows of such cases. Under
growing pressure from the increasingly organized labor movement and the specter of
2 Elizabeth Warren accurately diagnoses the fundamental vices of American capitalism (Warren 2018). She
is right to say that the system is corrupt and fails ordinary people. Joseph Stiglitz goes even further in his harsh
assessments and shows how deeply corrupt the system is, tolerating exploitation and fraud, and how flawed its
policies are (Stiglitz 2019a).
440 GRZEGORZ W. KOLODKO
communism that circulated in Europe, 3 the capitalism of the late nineteenth century became
less nasty than it had been at its beginning, although it was still necessary to fight for
a ban on child labor or for an eight-hour working day. Later, in the 1960s, President
Lyndon B. Johnson’s Great Society program (Zelizer 2015) made a considerable push
for capitalism to find new and better tracks. The impulse came from a combination of
mass protests against the flagrant injustice of huge areas of social exclusion, poverty,
and racial discrimination on the one hand, and on the other, the pressure resulting from
perception of positive examples of a socialist economy characterized by full employment,
free health care, universal education, state promotion of culture, and safety on the streets.
The progressive changes that were then introduced in the United States, and which were
followed in some other countries as well, became permanent over time.
Will it be the same this time too? There are enough protests going on against the
unacceptable state of affairs, but the Occupy Wall Street and Occupy London movements,
which were widely reported on a few years ago, seem already to have been forgotten.
Are there enough enlightened leaders seeking genuine changes pro publico bono? Do
they have anything to reach out for? Are there political ideas and programs that are
sufficiently attractive and also, most importantly, pragmatic? Are there new economic
theories on which practical programs can be based? Will it be possible to force them
through, breaking the conservatism and resistance of special interest groups? Do we have
satisfactory knowledge of good practices, which in this time of globalization can overlap
with the science of management? This is a crucial time, and we must be very careful not
to be deceived by the hypocrisy of some elements of the business and political elites, nor
to stray into the wilderness of populism. If all this can be done, capitalism will survive,
although perhaps over time it will be of such a new quality that a new term will have to be
invented for it. After all, we are definitely not at the end of history. Nevertheless, we have
to be very careful because even though no one can step in the same river twice it is possible
to step twice in the same swamp.
To achieve the redefined objective of economic activity, the path of triple-balanced
development—economically, socially, and environmentally—should be followed. There
are feedback loops between these spheres. Now, none of these dimensions can be
maintained in the long run without the other two. Even if a classic dynamic economic
balance—between production and sales, income and expenditure, savings and investments,
imports and exports—can be achieved, it is no longer sufficient. What is needed is a social
balance expressed by a high degree of social cohesion, satisfactory outlays on social capital,
and a firm limit on income inequality. This limit must be impassable in both directions,
both upwards and downwards, that is, income inequality should be at a level that favors the
formation of capital, on the one hand, and that is not contested as being unfair, on the other.
An ecological balance is needed that enables people to live their everyday life with clean
water and green grass, and that does not deplete natural resources in the long term and does
not deprive future generations of access to them. The balance between today and tomorrow
is even more difficult to achieve than that between the two sides of traditional balances.
3 “A spectre is haunting Europe—the spectre of communism,” wrote Marx and Engels in the “Manifesto of
the Communist Party,” which was first published in 1848.
ECONOMICS OF NEW PRAGMATISM IN CONTEMPORARY SOCIETY 441
all with reference to economic policy measures and development strategies that promote
a comprehensive balance.
These indices show how much the narrative is changing, and they show even more
how much economic policy would change if it were subordinated to more accurately
formulated objectives. While in the ranking by income (GDP per capita according to PPP)
the USA is fifth in the OECD (after Luxembourg, Ireland, Norway, and Switzerland), in BLI
comparisons, it falls to tenth position. 6 According to the first criterion, Poland is ranked
31st in this group (between Portugal and Hungary) and 27th according to the second metrics
(between Slovakia and Lithuania). 7 In terms of HDI, which is equally affected by the size
of GDP per capita, the state of society’s education and health (one third by each), and IHDI,
which is further adjusted for inequalities, the specific charm of countries in comparison to
their traditional appearance is also sometimes different. While the United States is ranked
fifth in terms of the simple metrics of income per capita, and Poland 31st, using the HDI
rating as a criterion for assessment, they are ranked 15th and 32nd, and according to the
IHDI—28th and 27th, respectively. 8
A fascination with economics derives from the fact that economics is intellectually
enriching, because it requires having constant resource to other social sciences—to
philosophy and anthropology, sociology and psychology, law and political science, history
and geography. A good economist must not only be able to count—because this is still
a science that studies efficient economic activity and an economist has to be able to compare
effects with expenditures—but also to feel. Economics lost something in moving too far
from philosophy, in getting drawn far too much into mathematics, with many economists
focusing more on how to count than on what to count and why. Hence, in its essence,
economics should be treated as one of the humanities, although it is most often placed
outside of it, typically among the social sciences. However, it cannot abandon mathematics
and have its head in the clouds of philosophical abstraction. It is a great art to reconcile
these two very different domains—the hard one and the soft one. It is the art of combining
various points which at first sight might seem to be chaotically scattered in time and space.
There is a method to this chaos.
However, what economics needs more of is definitely not chaos but order and discipline
of thought. Here, classical logic is helpful. From a methodological point of view, deduction
is as useful as inductive reasoning. Logical induction, that is, the formulation of theoretical
generalizations based on the observation of phenomena and processes, and accumulated
experience, is particularly recommended. The problem is that unlike in other branches of
science, such as physics and chemistry, the chance for economists to conduct experiments,
especially on a macro- and mega-scale, is very limited, if not impossible. History provides
us with experience, not laboratories.
Deduction, which is a type of reasoning aimed at reaching a conclusion based on a set
of premises, offers plenty of opportunities but also poses great risks. Economists almost
constantly make assumptions (“let us suppose that…”). The problem is that often the
assumptions made are too abstract, detached from reality, illusory, questionable, biased,
or simply wrong.
A very dangerous logical fallacy that occurs very often in social science thought and, in
particular, in economics, is the post hoc ergo propter hoc one (“after this, therefore because
of this”). President Trump attributes the economic growth in the US between 2016 and 2019
to the decisions behind what others have called “Trumponomics,” although that growth
happened largely due to other factors, especially the positive inertia of the previous period,
bottom-up technological progress, the good external situation, and favorable energy prices.
In Europe, for example, post hoc ergo propter hoc thinking is evident when opponents
of introducing the euro in countries such as Poland or Sweden, the Czech Republic, or
Hungary, use the false argument that it increases inflation. The fact is that Lithuania and
Slovakia did experience a slight acceleration in the rate of price increases after joining the
eurozone, but not for this reason. The inflation was due to the simultaneous operation of
cost-push inflation mechanisms, mainly driven by rising labor costs and energy prices.
The largest logical fallacy of the post hoc ergo propter hoc type is the thesis spread
by neoliberal thought that the accumulation of income and wealth inequalities is caused
by objective factors, namely, out-of-control globalization and the nature of technological
progress. This is not true. Globalization itself contributes to a greater increase in income
than would occur in the absence of it. Rising inequalities are not a by-product of
444 GRZEGORZ W. KOLODKO
globalization and technological progress but are the result of non-inclusive institutions
and bad government policies consciously pursued in a flawed socio-economic and political
system (Atkinson 2018; Milanovic 2016; Klein and Pettis 2020). The enrichment of a few
at the expense of the many—and this is what neoliberalism is all about 9—requires specific
policies and a deregulation of the economy that involves weakening the supervisory role of
the state (Harvey 2005; Kolodko 2011). This is accompanied by certain changes in the fiscal
system—in taxation, public transfers, and expenditures—which result in the wealthiest
section of society capturing the lion’s share of national income growth (Milanovic 2011;
Saez and Zucman 2019; Tanzi 2018). Of course, when the national income falls, the burden
of the recession is pushed onto the poorer sections of the population. It should also be noted
that it is not the wave of great technological progress that has contributed to unacceptable
inequalities. Where such inequalities are really caused by this factor—mainly as a result
of the above-average growth rate in the incomes of high-tech professionals, inventors,
managers, and skilled workers—they are socially tolerable. It was not without reason that
Wall Street was occupied, and not Silicon Valley.
A good economist should reach for comparative studies. Whoever makes more
comparisons, knows more. Comparison is a necessary but complicated method because the
question arises in regard to what should be compared. The answer is always linked to the
purpose of the research. It is easier to compare what is happening in our own vicinity, with
what is happening somewhere else; for example, the competitiveness of the economies of
Thailand and Malaysia, or the standard of living in Finland and Romania, or the impact
of the interest rate on inflation in Egypt and Turkey. It is also not difficult to consider
the current state of affairs against the background of the past; of course, as long as the
hypocrisy of historical policy does not interfere, as happens in countries from Poland and
Russia to Australia and Japan. By contrast, it is more problematic to compare the facts
with what could have happened in the event of other options if the analysis is retrospective
(counterfactual history, or “what if?”), and the hardest thing to do is to compare what will
happen as a result of suggested or taken actions with what could have happened in the future
if some other option had been chosen. This last field of economic comparative studies is
fundamental for rational behavior.
An economist needs to know how to compare. Comparisons should produce more
comprehensive ideas and provoke additional questions, which first complicate the matter
being studied but lead later to a better explanation of it. When different points are compared,
even those that are distant in time and space, new dilemmas emerge and additional doubts
appear, which inspire reflection. A study should not stop at the surface of the phenomena
but should look further, reach deeper, sense more. The results of some comparisons may
be surprising or even shocking and may lead us to subsequent ones that bring us closer to
drawing the right conclusions and formulating correct theoretical concepts. For example,
if life-satisfaction comparisons suggest that Poland ranks between Trinidad and Tobago
9 Some authors, while agreeing with the observation that a few have become rich at the expense of many, claim
that this is not so much the essence of neoliberalism as its effect. Or maybe even a side-effect; it was meant well,
but things just happened. Well, no. This was the intention; this is how it was supposed to be; this is how it turned
out.
ECONOMICS OF NEW PRAGMATISM IN CONTEMPORARY SOCIETY 445
and Colombia in 43rd place, and Singapore in 31st place, between Italy and Brazil, 10 this
cannot go unchallenged, especially for someone who knows all these countries from first-
hand experience. This makes us take a closer look at the assumptions in the construction
of the rankings, to think about the selection of observation fields, and critically verify the
methods of estimating the values of parameters and their weighting. If, as a result of such
a thought process, these results are merely rejected, without anything better being suggested
in exchange, then it has still been a creative process, because more questions have been
revealed and, perhaps, more answers.
In regard to the research methods of economics, it should also not be a matter of
indifference that economics has grown out of general social interests typical of moral
philosophy. This is how Adam Smith created the field in publishing The Theory of Moral
Sentiments in 1759. Even earlier, analogies were sought between economic reality and
the functioning of living organisms. In the economies that economists examine, as in the
human body, examined by doctors, there are sometimes hopeless cases where nothing can
be done. Prevention is thus all the more important in medicine, and in economics, too, it is
of paramount importance to recognize in advance that a problem is growing and to prevent
it from escalating. A human being passes away, but society and humankind persist. The
diseases that affect them persist as well. That is why practical economics is so necessary.
What is needed is pragmatism. A new pragmatism.
New pragmatism is an outline of a theoretical concept within the postulative trend of
economic science based on the desire for a good economy corresponding to the conditions
of contemporaneity. 11 It is an original, heterodox profile of an economic theory created as
an answer to the challenges of civilization and the transformations of economic systems.
A key element of the necessary economic paradigm shift is to move away from the diktat
of profit maximization and quantitative production growth as the objective of economic
activity and to redefine it, taking into account the imperative of subordinating short-term
private capital interests to long-term public interests. An important principle governing
the economy of the future should be moderation, that is, the conscious adjustment of the
size of human, material, and financial flows and resources to the requirement of long-term
harmony.
Under new pragmatism, economics is treated as a science which is:
1. Heterodox—thought is free from dogma and the compulsion to fit within the framework
of orthodox economic doctrines;
2. Descriptive—analysis and description of the state of affairs constitutes a foundation for
diagnosis and a starting point for further considerations;
3. Explanatory—interpretation of the observed phenomena and processes makes it easier
to understand why they manifest themselves and occur as they do and not otherwise;
with proposals for economic practice, both at the company and household level, as well as
at the level of the state and of the national economy. In this context, it is also worth repeating
the statement of an eminent British economist, Joan Robinson, that an economist’s answer
is a question to a politician.
James Kenneth Galbraith (2019a) sees new pragmatism in the continuation of the
economic thought of his eminent father, John Kenneth Galbraith (1958). He gave a lecture
with the title “Old and New Pragmatism: Challenges and Opportunities for Economics”
(Galbraith 2019b), and in an interview with the Polish daily Rzeczpospolita, said that “I was
talking about pragmatism in economics. This is the approach that my father, John Kenneth
Galbraith, promoted, and which is continued by Prof. Grzegorz Kolodko. Contemporary
economics is a much ideologized, abstract field of science, full of theoretical concepts,
which are difficult to relate to reality not only for a layman. Nothing like perfect competition
or overall balance really exists. I believe that an economist should be useful above all”
(Galbraith 2019c).
New pragmatism is useful and helpful, because it is an economic idea that responds
to the challenges of the present, and does not run away from them. It is useful because
it is heterodox in nature and is not stuck in the straitjacket of the remnants of orthodox
economics, which are breaking away from life. Finally, it is helpful because, based
on comprehensive and comparative research, it proposes inclusive institutions and state
regulations concerning the private sector in such a way that economic activity best serves
the individual and collective needs of the population.
Conclusions
Despite the coincidence of many megatrends that influence the way economic activity
is conducted, in the foreseeable future it will not change so much that we can speak of
a completely different reality than before. The surrounding realities will be the result of
a dialectic of continuity and change, and although the scale of technological, cultural,
demographic, social, and political changes is indeed enormous—taking into account the
aftermath of the covid-19 pandemic as well—there will be continuity. In no way does this
mean that the previous economic thought can and should dominate. Economics needs to
be significantly rebuilt. It must be more innovative and future-oriented, rather than being
orthodox and generalizing conclusions from observations of the past. Thus, economics
faces a number of challenges brought about by the social relations it analyses and describes,
in particular the need to redefine the objective of economic activity.
A breakthrough similar to that of the Keynesian revolution that followed the crisis
of 1929–1933 is not to be expected. What can be expected are gradual changes in the
methods of research and an expansion of the economic sciences toward interdisciplinary
approaches. There will be no single dominant economic trend, but various schools of
thought will exist side by side. Economics will become more eclectic and contextual,
using comparative studies as one of its main research tools more than before. Several
new currents of economic thought have already emerged in this context, including new
pragmatism, which emphasizes the imperative of moderation in economic activity and
448 GRZEGORZ W. KOLODKO
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Biographical Note: Grzegorz W. Kolodko (Ph.D.),intellectual and politician, a key architect of Polish reforms.
Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, 1994–97 and 2002–03. Member of the European Academy of
Arts, Sciences and Humanities. Founder and Director of Transformation, Integration and Globalization Economic
Research, TIGER (www.tiger.edu.pl) at Kozminski University. Author of research papers and numerous books
published in 28 languages. The world’s most quoted Polish economist. Marathon runner and globetrotter who’s
explored 170 countries.