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hello everyone and welcome to this very
special edition of through conversations
podcast I am joined for a third time and
they said show by Professor Noam Chomsky
he does not need any introduction and
he's uh previous guest in this show so
our listeners are very excited about
this conversation and so am I so
Professor thank you again for joining me
very pleased to be with you I'm very
excited and very grateful with you
because this conversation comes at a
time where there's a lot of moving Parts
in our society and your voice has always
been one that can steer us into a more
thoughtful conversation and more engaged
discussion into how to improve our
society
our listeners were very interested in
hearing your thoughts on the upcoming
2024 election presidential election
Professor Chomsky which may be may be
one of the most favorable moments in our
history not for our country but perhaps
through the entire globe what are your
thoughts in the upcoming presidential
election and what do you think are the
key issues that will shape this election
there are two key issues that shape
everything
including the election
one is
are we going to destroy organized human
life on Earth
there are two ways in which we are now
racing to do that
one is the increasing threat of nuclear
war both in Europe and in Asia the
second is by heating the globe to the
point where much of it will be unlivable
we just heard a couple of weeks ago from
the ipcc
the international scientific monitors uh
their most dire report
cutting few Corners about where we now
stand
overwhelming scientific consensus
if anything's solid that is they say we
have to radically cut the use of fossil
fuels beginning now
aiming for
termination a couple of decades from now
if not we pass
irreversible tipping points where
there'll be a steady decline to
centrally destruction of organized human
life on Earth
the other possibility is we do it
quickly with a nuclear war
well going back to the 2024 election
uh as in every other major decision in
our lives
these are the top issues of concern
there are other issues will American
democracy survive in any form
rather serious question
it's not a joke other democracies are in
deep trouble read the newspaper this
morning
in India the head of the opposition
party Raul Gandhi was just tossed into
jail
part of
prime minister modi's effort to
dismantle India's democracy and
installer racist Hindu ethnocracy in its
place
it's one case uh talk about others the
United States is
finally the most important because of
its extraordinary power and influences
in the world so that's at stake
and we can continue there are lots of
other things
so I think we could have said for each
of the recent elections that it's the
most important yet that was correct you
know we also drew the next one
hmm
yeah it's really interesting and you
touch on many crucial points that I want
to get into our conversation today and
in terms of
electing someone there's a lot of
names that are coming around more in the
in the angle of the Republican party
which are Nikki Haley Vivek reps one
wani and Donald Trump and some that are
potentially running which are the santis
and Mike Pompeo and
also in terms of the democratic party it
seems that there's speculation that
Biden may not run
or perhaps he's not leaning towards
running or maybe he will run but these
are all of the questions that I have for
you what are your thoughts in the
Republican candidates are is there
anyone that really would you would be
interested in in having as a next
president
and also what are your thoughts in a
potential re-election of President Joe
Biden
the Republic the Republican organization
is not a political party in the
traditional sense it that it is
been turning into something quite
different for several decades in fact
I agree with the
comments of
the political analysts of the American
Enterprise Institute
Thomas Mann Norman Ornstein
that the Republicans have become what
they call a radical Insurgency that has
abandoned the
procedures of normal parliamentary
politics
if you rank it internet look at
International rankings it's
attitudes and commitments it ranks
alongside the far-right parties in
Europe with
neo-fascist Origins the party is now
pretty the popular base of the party is
pretty much in the pocket of Donald
Trump
uh you look at polls
overwhelmingly popular
that's the end result of a
long period
can trace it back to Richard Nixon in
which the party recognized
back in at that time it was an authentic
political party
the Republicans and the Democrats
whatever he thought about them they
pretty pretty much overlapped in uh
modes of procedure and attitudes and so
on
the Republicans were the the more
pro-business of the two business parties
in the United States
the United States is basically a
one-party State the business party has
two factions called Democrats and
Republicans
the Republicans were more the more
dedicated pro-business party
Richard Nixon
intelligence strategist understood that
the Republicans cannot win elections on
their actual programs the programs of
strong support for the business world
for the ownership class for investors
from Banks and so on can't get votes
that way
so he recognized that what the
Republicans ought to do is to shift
attention away from their social
economic policies to something else
what are now called cultural issues
with Nixon it was what was called the
southern strategy
let's draw Southern Democrats to the
Republican Party by barely concealed
racism by the mid-1970s
Republican strategists
record pulls over particular
recognize that if the Republicans
pretended I stress pretend
to be opposed to abortion
they could pull in the
huge Evangelical book then being
politicized for the first time and the
northern Catholic vote so they all
switched on a dime uh George H.W bush
Reagan had been strongly
what's now called pro-choice
suddenly became what's an uncle for life
almost instantly other leaders too so
that became a plank of the Republican
Party
later on
love of guns later on something else
anything to keep people's attention away
from the socioeconomic policies
which are very harmful for their own
constituency
so you have to shift it with Newt
Gingrich when he took over the house
this became
almost an open War we said we have to
declare a war on the Democrats uh and
since then it's been
steady decline in this direction
became Donald Trump who's in
a very good showman was able to mobilize
these ideas that these Tendencies very
successfully
so you look at his legislative program
one achievement
a major tax cut for the rich and the
corporate sector
stabbing everyone else in the back but
you don't talk about that what you talk
about is the great replacement
Democrats being sadistic pedophiles or
anything else just it's kind of don't
look behind the curtain you know it's uh
and that's been
you can understand the success there has
been a period of 45 years of
what amounts to Savage class war
against the general population it's
bipartisan led by Republicans started
Ronald Reagan followed by Bill Clinton
Obama and it's it's called neoliberalism
but which has a technical definition
then definition of neoliberalism you
look it up in the dictionary and says
something about free markets free
enterprise that's not what it is uh the
uh it's basically class one
so yes there is deregulation
that is free of Enterprise but there's a
footnote
deregulation leads to financial crashes
very quickly in fact started right away
in the Reagan Administration
Continental no my bill and
homing savings and home prices
the business World understands that the
way it works is get deregulation we move
towards monopolization quite naturally
we make risky Investments make a ton of
money we're not all crashes
the state comes in and the friendly
taxpayer business and we're seeing it
right now unfortunately but it happens
over and over so it's a market
bailout economy for the very rich and
many other things
the cooperate and So Reagan and also
Thatcher is
associated in this uh their first Acts
were to attack labor movement and
undermine it severely that made good
sense the labor movement is the main way
in which people can defend themselves in
a vicious class of War so you have to
eliminate the defenses they used illegal
means but it didn't matter this opened
the door to the corporate sector to move
in with massive efforts at strike
working undermining labor laws and much
of it illegal but when you control the
criminal state it doesn't matter if what
you're doing should lead and many other
things like this go through the details
like for example real wages
for male workers are basically in 1979
productivity is increased goes to very
few hands we even have measures of it
the Rand Corporation super respectable
did a study of what they call politely
the transfer of wealth
from the working class and the middle
class lower 90 percent of the population
transfer wealth from them to the top one
percent
their estimate over the 40 Years of
class war they don't call it that is
about 50 trillion dollars that's quite
impressive class reward to steal 50
trillion dollars from the working class
in the middle class and in order to get
away with it you have to shift attention
away from the policies and go to
cultural issues well one of the effects
of the class war has been to shatter the
social order
people live with precarious existence is
very little wealth if you're an
Afro-American versus no wealth uh
precarious jobs and maybe it'll be
called tomorrow maybe he won't
associations dissolved the people are
alone atomized angry
properly angry resentful rightly
resentful distrust institutions greatly
institutions don't work for them very
fertile to Reign for demagogues you get
it accomplished megalomaniac narcissist
like Donald Trump who's a good German uh
he can mobilize people on this basis and
from their point of view it's
understandable the Republican
organization now relies pretty heavily
on a rural vote
take a walk through rural town
see what it looks like
where's the industry
is gone Clinton
developed insisted on
global
trade policies which were designed to
harm the American working class and to
benefit Rich entrepreneurs and investors
called NAFTA World Trade Organization
it's not free markets highly
protectionist it's one reason why drugs
are out of sight in the United States
because of the highly protectionist
elements of the
um investor rights agreement called free
trade agreements or in our propaganda
system
so the industry's gone uh stores are
shuttered homes are shuttered young
people are leaving there's nothing there
desperation in fact there's even an
increase in mortality on the white
working class increase in mortality
unheard of in societies outside of war
and pestilence What's Happening Here
economists call it deaths of despair
well you grab onto something
maybe it'll be the church maybe it'll be
the great replacement the Democrats are
bringing in immigrants to undermine the
white race
almost half of Republicans believe that
the Democratic party is run by sadistic
pedophiles who are trying to groom
children one after another crazy belief
and you can understand it when your life
is being taken away you grab onto
something
well it used to be things like say in
the 1930s when I was growing up
you grabbed onto the labor unions which
were then growing developing my own
family first generation working class
things were pretty harsh much worse than
today objectively but it was a hopeful
period I remembered very well
we're going to get together we're going
to get out of this together we'll work
together there was a moderately
sympathetic sympathetic Administration
and labor unions were not just wages
they were cultural institutions
classes adult education meetings
discussions concerts
even a week in the park in the Pocono
Mountains for my uh Catskill Mountains
for mine ants who were unemployed
seamsters it was a whole way of life
gone Reagan was a vicious brutal killer
and racist understood or at least as
advisors understood we ought to wipe
this out and that and it's been the same
pretty soon Clinton joined in in his own
way
well that's where we are now we have an
election coming up with one party
which is
for quite rational reasons dedicated to
undermining his democracy they can't
survive in a democratic system you can't
have a party who's Soul commitment in
policy is to enrich the very rich in the
corporate sector and stab everyone else
in the back can't run on those programs
so let's undermine democracy let's bring
up issues like Democratic
pedophiles and the great replacement
whatever crazy idea comes along next but
just turn people's attention to that
and again given the collapse the attack
on the social order this is not too hard
to do that's one party the other party
is split
the Democratic party which still
functions as a political party is pretty
much split between uh Clinton nine party
management
which is part of the general assault
with a slightly softer touch
and the sort of Sanders movement which
has a strong popular base not much of a
representation in Congress
and they are in the American system
doctrinal system they're called radical
in fact by International standards
they're mildly Centrist
in fact one of the editors of the London
Financial Times the major Business
Journal by no means the radical Journal
one of them equipped half jokingly only
half jokingly that of Bernie Sanders was
in Germany he could be running for the
Conservative Christian Democrat Party
if you look at it it's not false take a
look at his programs
Universal Health Care
free higher education
child care
have that everywhere
they have it in Germany Mexico
France to take up Brazil and look around
the world
so these are mildly Social Democratic
policies in the United States considered
very radical uh the United States has a
very class conscious business class this
goes way back that's why we have a very
violent labor history
extremely violent surprise conservative
Europeans but and now
even simple things like
maternal care care for a woman after
childbirth
the only country that doesn't have it is
the United States and a couple of
Pacific Islands a here is considered a
very radical idea
um right now in France people are out in
the streets
demonstrating that macron's version of
neoliberalism
raising pension age now here nobody
understands that of course everybody
wants to work like a maniac until the
last minute well friends still people
want to have decent lives you raise the
pension age who are you attacking
working people
not affluent professionals not people
like me not people who work in offices
we live longer
you're a construction worker police
officer
you're not going to live very alone it's
a hard life raise the pension age
you have less
of a retirement to enjoy yourself or do
whatever you want so in France that's
fighting issues
here it's almost even unimaginable
raise the pension aged 64. what's that
about
I'm in Europeans Americans work about a
month or six weeks longer than Europeans
because of the Savage character of the
uh sort of the Conservative Business run
system
it's not in the dreams you go back to
the 1930s my childhood the United States
led the way in social democracy
Europe was descending into fascism
the New Deal was offering hope for
social democracy it's later picked up in
Europe
so it's not
it's not a law of Nature and these are
basically questions of the character of
class war
that the essence of it you're not
allowed to talk about that in the United
States there's no such thing as class no
such thing just everybody's middle class
whatever that's supposed to mean well
it's not the case now there are people
who give orders or people of followers
that's class uh if and you look at the
way this is developed over the years yes
you know there's been
constant class war takes different forms
last 40 years it's been pretty Savage
not just in the United States
various forms elsewhere in France you
see the forms right like during that
cross period in office this prime
minister you look at the record
the rich have become richer the workers
have become
stagnated or become poor that's a mild
form of the class War called
neoliberalism and if I wanted indeed the
worst victims those have suffered worse
or the global selves they were subjected
to IMF structural adjustment programs
which had devastating effects in Latin
America
Africa elsewhere and the weaker are the
ones who suffer most naturally Professor
thank you for for that answer and
there's a lot there that
we can unpack and you mentioned right
now you mentioned Latin America and my
next question was regarding what we're
seeing with a fentanyl crisis and with
what we're seeing in Mexico with the
cartels and there's been a lot of
concern with how to solve this Challenge
and I kept asking myself what would
Professor Chomsky say how can we really
tackle this Challenge and if there has
to be a solution which one should it be
should it be a military Intervention
which I'm sure you you wouldn't you
wouldn't agree on
led by the U.S or would it justify the
killing of Americans would justify us
coming and helping the Mexican military
cope with the cartels or how do you
think we can solve the rising violence
that's happening south of our border
well let me give
an unserious answer and a serious answer
there's a saying in Mexico which I'm
sure you're familiar with that Mexico is
too far from God and too close to the
United States
okay since it's too close to the United
States adopt the U.S way of dealing with
these things
so in the United States there is a major
issue
the fossil fuel companies and the banks
are destroying the possibilities for
life on Earth so how do we deal with it
we try to bribe them to be nicer people
you look at the
recent so-called inflation act basically
a climate Act what it basically does is
say please fossil fuel companies be
nicer we'll pay you to be nicer we'll
give you incentives to be nicer uh we'll
offer you more fossil fuel fields to
exploit we'll give you subsidies all
right so how should Mexico deal with the
cartels bribe them say here we'll pay
you off if you stop killing people
if you listen to the United States
it's too close to the United States why
not try that
of course that's ludicrous is it more
ludicrous than what we're doing here
no now let's talk to a serious answer
what's the source of the drug problem
it's in the United States
where do the guns come from for the
Mexican cartels
from where I'm sitting right now in
Arizona
but I don't know which end of a gun to
hold but I could go into a gun store buy
a rifle and hand it over to the local
cartel representative now you can take
it to Mexico and start murdering people
problem is primarily in the United
States
that's where the drug problem is that's
where the majority of the guns are
coming from
so the problem has to be answered here
it's the criminalization of
drugs and the harsh drug policies
no this history to this
in fact it goes back to Richard Nixon
except that in his case
the Republican party still hadn't moved
off to Total savagery
so
Nixon did impose kind of drug laws but
they had a
rational
humane
element to them one part of the drug
laws was prevention and treatment
that's gone
there are studies again around
Corporation others have done studies on
what ways work for cutting down drugs
well
they studied just in terms of cost
effectiveness
the least cost the most effect
turns out the most effective by far is
prevention and treatment
worse than that is criminalization
put them in jail worse than that is
border controls
the worst of all is
chemical warfare what we call fumigation
so destroy the crops in Colombia
including drugs but all other crops as
well so you create insurgencies and
terrorism and so on that's the worst of
all that's the ranking now take a look
at the funding it's the opposite
most funding goes to the worst least
funding in fact practically none goes to
the best
well it's another form of class war in
fact the drug war has been an effective
way of
removing what are some of them is called
the dangerous classes
in fact if you look back over the
history of drugs it's the way it's
always been take prohibition
you know back in the I mean you know the
women's Temperance league and so on but
what was the powerful force behind to
get rid of the dangerous people
the guy the immigrants who hang around
in bars like those people
if you were a rich Banker living in
Westchester County you could get any
kind of wine or liquor you wanted
if you were a poor immigrant and or in
New York you get arrested and thrown
into jail
well what happened when prohibition
ended the
Arianne Slinger the head of the Federal
Bureau of Alcohol had nothing to do
so they launched a huge propaganda
campaign
trying to show that marijuana was a
killer you know Senate hearings with
lured presentations
so-called doctors coming in talking
about the Hideous things that would
happen to you if you smoked a joint and
so on just happened that marijuana was
being used by the dangerous classes
Harlem blacks
Working Class People so let's go after
marijuana let's make that the enemy then
it's one after another but
I think Nixon was probably the last
president to have had a any
semi-reasonable element in this drug
program so you want to solve the Mexican
cartel problem
overcome the drug crisis in the United
States which is where it's coming to uh
and stop the crazed gun culture
I mean there's hundreds of millions of
millions of guns in the United States
southlandish
uh the
far-right Supreme Court has turned the
Second Amendment into holy writ you know
you ask people what's in the
Constitution
first thing they'll say is the Second
Amendment
in the modern form the form that was
created by
Justice Antonin Scalia in 2008
before that the Second Amendment meant
what it said
in order to have a well-regulated
militia you know don't restrict arms now
it's changed
Clarence Thomas's View
Thomas's picture of the United States is
a hateful murderous Society his view is
look you can't walk in the streets
without having an Armory you need it
because this is such a horrible society
that was the latest decision on the New
York law to try to restrict guns on the
street no everybody has to have lots of
guns uh six-year-old kid has to walk
down the street with a
an assault rifle because who knows
what'll happen next well when you create
that kind of culture oh you're going to
be overflowing with guns schools are
going to become the most most dangerous
places in the country and it'll flow
into Mexico where the drug cartels are
delighted to have a cheap source of guns
the actual figures we don't really know
but most studies show that at least the
majority of the guns in Mexico
come from the United States Mexico
itself has pretty tight gun laws you
can't just walk into a store and buy a
gun
as you can where I live in Arizona
but with the United States right next
door
not much in the way of Border controls
to the South you can uh import guns you
can export drugs and then well we know
the answer
but it's here in the United States
Mexico itself can't do very much
wow thank you professor and
it seems that
it's an interesting take that we have to
tackle it from our end of the equation
rather than trying to solve it for
Mexico and moving on last year we also
had a conversation which was in-depth
regarding the Ukraine Russia crisis
we've been seeing the conflict escalate
and escalate and escalate and continue
to escalate up until today and we've
seen also President Biden going to
Ukraine uh in the past month to meet
with president zelensky and with ongoing
threats of escalation nuclear escalation
with the treaty being removed the
nuclear tree being removed so our
listeners wanted me to ask you on your
updates your current update perspective
on the conflict and where do you think
it's going from this point on
um side comment before I get into it how
many
presidents or high officials visited
Baghdad when the United States was
demolishing
zero in fact the peace activists in Iraq
were ordered to leave because life was
so impossible under the U.S attack
does that tell you something
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it does something you're not allowed to
talk about
it's called what aboutism
okay it's a way of deflecting attention
from what is highly important and
recognized throughout certainly
throughout the global South but even in
Europe
the hypocrisy is just
Beyond shocking and it's having an
effect
well what's happening in Ukraine
uh
the wars and escalating the Ukraine is
suffering bitterly
huge number of casualties the Ukrainian
Army has been
apparently virtually destroyed no
young recruits I'm not very well trained
and huge casualties on the Russian side
civilian casualties we don't know the
details the United Nations estimates
7 000 which is surely a serious
underestimate maybe twice three times
that many
pretty serious I mean it's not a wreck
it's not the American kind of War but
it's bad enough
then it can increase uh now it's tanks
beginning to be jet planes of the
American Military has the actually
Washington posted an article a couple
weeks ago pointing out that the U.S
American forces basically are directing
the
fire of the advanced weapons by Mars and
others that are being used
the world most of the world sees this as
a proxy war
between Russia and
the United States fought over Ukrainian
bodies
and it's being become harder and harder
to avoid that conclusion if the work
continues to escalate Ukraine will be
some of the economies very severely
harmed I mean not like Iraq or Libya or
targets of American attack but bad
enough seriousness it's going to get
worse
pretty soon increase the tax jet plans
and so on
Russia will probably retaliate by a
harsher attack against Western Ukraine
against supply lines
run to conflicts with NATO
at that point you're moving up the
escalation ladder to terminal War
Putin has made statements
inflammatory statements about
nuclear weapons in reserve
suspended participation in the new
starts reading all of this is very
dangerous uh
I should say it's equally dangerous the
way it's escalating in China we don't
talk about it much but should
but all of this is quite serious U.S
policy in Ukraine remains stable
the war must continue in order to
severely weaken Russia
that's policy
written in the united Britain which is a
virtual satellite in the United States
now Britain and the United States
actually intervened directly list March
and April to
urge Ukraine not to move towards
negotiations in
negotiations were going on with Russia
under Turkish auspices
they broke down we don't know exactly
why but
Britain and the US were very clear that
we're not ready for negotiation to them
still not the official stand remains
fight the war to severely weaken Russia
if you think about it just from a
practical point of view it's kind of
sadistic but people are in fact talking
about it to bargain for the United
States
that a small fraction of the huge
military budget the United States is
severely degrading the military forces
of its main military enemy that's being
openly discussed now in the United
States and Britain pointing this out
it's pretty obvious
whether that's a factor or not you can
debate but it's certainly a fact uh the
United States in fact you look around
the almost the entire world of suffering
from this Ukraine most but
Africa Asia and
curtailment of food and fertilizer
shipments having a big effect Europe is
declining
even moving towards the
industrialization
because of its the breaking of its
natural
trade commercial relations with Russia
the whole german-based very successful
European industrial system was based on
interactions with the East and Russia
doesn't have much of an economy it's
about the size of Mexico but it's very
rich in resources minerals oil all
Essentials for West European industry
it's collapsing
all over the world decline one exception
the US is doing brilliantly it's
degrading the forces of its enemy at
very low cost fossil fuel companies are
just euphoric with the huge profits that
come
Germany's importing
the quad national grass from the United
States and far higher costs and it could
get cheaply from Russia and arms
manufacturers they're doing great
food monopolies there's foods that
Global Food system is half a dozen
companies raising prices uh profits
going through this roof it's uh
you know it's very successful in many
ways
no how long will Europe agree to accept
this
um I don't know we do know what's
happening in the global Zone
the they're just refusing to participate
became very dramatic in the
International Conference in Munich a
couple weeks ago was an International
Conference a strategic conference the
United States Vice President Harris was
there other Representatives desperately
trying to get the countries of the South
to join the United States in the world
one after another said mothers your
world we don't pay any attention to your
hypocritical proclamations we know
exactly what they mean we've suffered
from your uh from your savagery for
centuries stop lecturing to us uh just
laugh at him
we're not going to take part in this
we're going to make our own regulation
on our commercial and other religion
arrangements with Russia and
particularly with China you don't like
it too bad but even you as a long time
U.S allies like Colombia simply flatly
refused uh Brazil no that's not our
woman I don't know what Mexico said but
probably something similar uh Asia India
Indonesia I'm sorry we continue in our
own way the United States is quite
isolated
the Anglers the English-speaking
countries and for the time being
Continental Europe
centrally isolated probably in 90 of the
countries in the world don't even
observe the sanctions uh meanwhile China
is moving ahead with its loan
development investment projects also
moving ahead diplomatically it just
threw a major wrench in long-term U.S
policy in the Middle East
by arranging the Saudi Iranian
negotiations it's a very severe blow to
the United States
control of the Middle East has been a
crime crime concern of U.S foreign
policy it's not the southern real
government
now China comes in the United States was
working very hard to put together a
an alliance of the most reactionary
states in the region
in a conflict with Iran it's called the
Abraham Accords the United States we're
supposed to applaud it was wonderful
it's actually a reactionary Alliance
subordinated to the United States aimed
at Iran
China
just dismantled it took the main element
Saudi Arabia
was not technically a member of the
Accords but basically part of it now
that means the main source of oil
pulled it into the Chinese system that
had already happened with the internet
at Arab Emirates the other major State
uh China's
has two major development programs for
Eurasia there's What's called the new
Silk Road which goes through the
Eurasian countries and the but there's
also a maritime silk route runs along
the South through these Seas one of the
hubs is the United Arab Emirates
the main along with Saudi Arabia the
main USA in the region The Hub of the
maritime Silk Road of China
these things are all taking place
the U.S can't stop them with guns
that's the U.S comparative advantage
military force
but it doesn't stop these things
they continue
and the world is
moving towards
complicated
reconstruction uh Ukraine war has
as part of it
the Korean War has driven I mean apart
from the criminality of the aggression
major crime it's also criminally stupid
from Putin's point of view
he gave the United States its fondest
wish Europe on a silver platter instead
of an accommodation between Russia
Germany
to the benefit of both
could drive Europe into the hands of
Washington and Russia moves to the east
we don't have the details of the latest
meeting of China and Russia a couple of
days ago but what's leaking out
indicates probably that the part of it
is economic policies developing Chinese
development of industrial projects in
eastern Siberia
and access to the rich mineral resources
of Eastern Siberia that's very likely as
Russia's most of the East
Europe sits in the pocket of the United
States and declines
um well uh India Indonesia South Africa
Brazil they're just going in their own
Direction maybe in their own
Arrangements that seem
that seems the way the world is moving
and the US has one
overwhelmingly powerful weapon violence
but it doesn't work very well in this
situation
in fact the U.S moving to China
the U.S which of course controls NATO
has now expanded NATO to the
indo-pacific region there is very
significant the last NATO Summit meeting
declared that the Pacific Ocean and the
Indian Ocean are part of the North
Atlantic
now
indo-pacific organization Europe is
drawn into the conflict of the U.S is
escalating with China
it's both military and
the commercial and the Biden
administrations quite openly openly no
secret declared a economic war or
against China trying to prevent China's
Economic Development by withholding from
them advanced technology and trying to
force Europe Netherlands particularly
like South Korea and Japan to break off
their relations with China and which is
their main market for advanced
technology
will they accept this
don't actually know it's very I'm going
to take Netherlands
as the main
industry in the world for crucial parts
of the development of semiconductors
are they going to agree to lose their
Major Market because the U.S told them
to
maybe if so they go into decline
if not
the world changes
I think all of these things are
right on the border and
the
one top US general and forgotten his
name just a couple of weeks ago
predicted that there would be a U.S
China war within two years
there can't be a U.S China award
both countries get destroyed there's no
such thing
but the people generals Congress talk
about it as if it's possibility
uh
it's very casual to talk about nuclear
Wars utterly shocking
you can read today in the New York Times
and
a long interview with Dan Ellsberg who's
no suffering terminal cancer but trying
still trying to alert the world to the
incredible
unbelievable stupidity of even thinking
about nuclear wounds totally impossible
but it's being abandoned about as if
it's some kind of possibility and
Putin's throwing his own
oil on the fire and but
that's what we're hurtling towards
including environmental catastrophe it's
a very the most dangerous fear in human
history
well yeah it's a very like you say it's
very
concerning that we are just casually
talking about a nuclear war and casually
talking about
the world transitioning from a unipolar
order to a multipolar order and like you
say my next question was going to be
your thoughts on the China Russian
development diplomatic developments
which you answered very thoroughly and I
appreciate that and it's it's impressive
like you say that we're moving on to a
world where nuclear war is being
discussed just casually like even among
friends
which is a strange time to live in and a
concerning one indeed Professor moving
on to an article you wrote on artificial
intelligence you wrote it last the last
couple of weeks
and
it got me thinking on your thoughts on
of course you you write them thoroughly
in that article but in the future and
which is moving very rapidly for many of
us including my generation who has to
transition and adapt to a world where AI
can come to get all of our jobs so what
are your thoughts for our listeners who
haven't read your article on chat GPT on
Artificial Intelligence on its dangers
in terms of not only
taking jobs but also building a more
dangerous world for all of us and its
potential threats
well we should first
recognize that
a huge amount of discussion about Chad
Pat and other devices is a totally
groundless
these have nothing to do they tell us
these systems are designed in such a way
that in principle
they can tell us nothing about language
about learning about intelligence about
thought
nothing they do some very sophistic
there's a lot of sophisticated
programming but basically what it comes
down to is
sophisticated high-tech plagiarism
that's uh in a certain way I mean you
have a computer when you're typing a
letter you get hints about what the next
word will be in autofilm well this is
glorified autofilm it's ways of making
up
good guess about what your next word
ought to be in a sequence of words if
you do this with an astronomical
database extraordinary database
supercomputers and a couple of billion
parameters string it together you get
something that looks pretty much like a
normal language use
the program is quite sophisticated so
you know you don't choose the most
probable next word because if you did
that it would look kind of bland and not
very interesting
so you pick a lower probability word so
it's a little bit surprising that makes
it gives the false impression that
something's happening but and there
there's as far I mean conceivably
somebody will come up with a
constructive purpose so far there's none
but it's very dangerous in many ways not
so much taking jobs and maybe in the
long term but I don't think that's a
major thing it's dangerous in other ways
for one thing people take it seriously
there are cases people think they're
talking they ask it's like asking
questions of
these devices that the
what do they call them Alexa Alexa you
ask Alexa
should I you know should I leave my wife
or something Alexis is something or
other well that's Alexa you don't pay
that much attention if it's a chat but
you do pay attention and there are
already documented cases of people
getting deluded into believing these
things are real
um Thomas Friedman had an article in the
New York Times about it in which he
wasn't criticizing it he was accepting
it he was saying oh my God it's
Promethean the greatest Advance ever uh
well people fall forward cause them a
lot of problems
um the uh it's a terrific technique of
defamation and disinformation and that's
already being used
especially when you combine it with the
artificial image creation which is not
very hard
you get things you can put somebody's
name under it definitely fantastic
defamation massive ways of the
disinformation
as soon as it gets with Bots and
organized societies behind it it'll be a
flood all of this can be extremely
dangerous uh
no scientific interest no intellectual
interest but it does have
could have major effects it's
conceivable that it might replace some
work like maybe routine coding or
something like that but
it's it's a very threatening dangerous
development
Professor yeah it's a it's a counter
idea counter argument to all of the hype
that we're seeing in terms of charge GPT
and artificial intelligence it's also a
stumbling thought that without checks
and balances these Technologies can pose
threads that we can't even imagine
with hiding this information and the
effects of fake images constructed in
many more many more dangers and it's
important to have these conversations to
have them in mind
I'm beginning to be aware of of the time
Professor I know we have to wrap up soon
so my last question goes back to
your re when you were remembering the
1930s and how you said uh
the times there were in your childhood
where of optimism and how to how to
build the future that we can all strive
towards and it seems that in today's
conversations in today's political
climates and in today's society
the conversations are how can we become
more device
divide divided and how can we really not
be optimistic into the future be more of
a having more of a dystopian Vision so
Professor my last question for you is
how do you think we can reconcile our
differences in the American society in
this bipartisan environment that we are
on and how can we get back to that
Optimist perspective optimistic Vision
vision of the future
I think we know exactly how to do it
you go back to the Obama Obama years not
very far
the message was
hope and change
we can do it
brought it in a lot of people
a lot of the working class that's now
voting for Trump was voting for Obama
took the word seriously
the words seriously the actions didn't
coincide with the words
the actions were betray people
film this is just rhetoric you voted for
me and I'll go home I'll continue
working for the rich and Powerful well
what's the answer
take it seriously and do it can be done
I mean
a lot of things can be done let's take
the financial crisis 2008 let's be
concrete
one of the things that happened was that
the government virtually nationalized
the Auto industry which was collapsing
the government took it over
what did they do
build up
the owners
put them back in their positions maybe
new faces but the same class and set
them to redoing what they had been doing
producing more automobiles more SUVs
there was an alternative
handed over to the workforce
handed over to the communities
let it be run by the people and workers
in Detroit not rich Bankers in New York
have them produce things that the
country needs like mass transportation
not more SUVs
there was a possibility
wasn't thought about because we were not
organized active militant enough to make
that an issue
okay let's do it let's make it an issue
let's say yes these things are possible
that's one example there's a thousand
more examples
another example is
take over the fossil fuel Industries in
fact you can even buy them at market
prices the government could wouldn't be
more than the bailouts for the financial
industry turn them to sustainable energy
can be done to the workforce isn't even
been interested in West Virginia coal
State United mind workers has accepted a
transition program my friend and
colleague Robert Pollan in his group
very group have been working on this in
the ground Working Class People who said
okay we can imagine moving to it
transition program away from coal
towards capping the minds developing
sustainable energy better jobs better
communities better life the cold Baron
representative Joe manchin you just want
to hear about it of course the cold
fossil fuel Industries don't want to
hear about it but these things are on
the verge of possibility
and there's many more like them you can
think case after case well those the
Pope the reason to be optimistic is
there are these opportunities
can it be achieved
who knows
can't tell until you try
it's like negotiations in Ukraine you
don't try nothing will happen
you do trade maybe it'll fail maybe
it'll succeed same with everything else
Professor thank you thank you for that
answer and for these enlightening
conversation I'm sure our listeners will
find it very insightful as the previous
ones
and I'm looking forward to having this
conversation more in the future and
getting to get your insights into our
world ourselves and how to become more
optimistic and also active in building
our society to the better so Professor
again thank you so much for joining me
very glad to be with you
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