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EDA Quiz 2 Answer Key

The document contains a quiz with multiple choice and problem solving questions about probability concepts. It includes questions about conditional probability, binomial probability distributions, independent and mutually exclusive events, and calculating probabilities of outcomes from sample spaces and experiments.

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86 views4 pages

EDA Quiz 2 Answer Key

The document contains a quiz with multiple choice and problem solving questions about probability concepts. It includes questions about conditional probability, binomial probability distributions, independent and mutually exclusive events, and calculating probabilities of outcomes from sample spaces and experiments.

Uploaded by

norikives
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Quiz 2 Engineering Data Analysis (EDA 223) Date: ___________________

Name: ____Answer Key___________________ Class No.: _______________ Section: _____________


Part I: Multiple Choice: Encircle the corresponding letter of the correct answer from the options provided.. (2 points
each)
1. The probability that even A occurs given that Event B has already occurred.
a. Independent Events b. Mutually Exclusive Events c. Conditional Probability d. Cumulative Probability
2. It is the ratio of the number of times a certain outcome will occur to the number of trials.
a. Probability b. Binomial Probability Distribution c. Relative Frequency d. Cumulative Probability
3. The ratio of the number of favourable outcomes to number of all possible outcomes.
a. Probability b. Binomial Probability Distribution c. Relative Frequency d. Cumulative Probability
4. If the probability of occurrence of an event A is not affected by the occurrence of another event B, then A and B are
said to be _____.
a. Independent Events b. Mutually Inclusive Events c. Conditional Probability d. Cumulative Probability
5. It is used in statistics that summarizes the likelihood that a value will take one of two independent values under a
given set of parameters or assumptions.
a. Probability b. Binomial Probability Distribution c. Relative Frequency d. Cumulative Probability
6. Refers to the probability that a certain event occurs less than or equal to a certain number of times.
a. Probability b. Binomial Probability Distribution c. Relative Frequency d. Cumulative Probability
7. A controlled study whose outcome is uncertain but not entirely unknown.
a. Trials b. Outcomes c. Experiments d. Events
8. It is a recorded result of an experiment.
a. Trials b. Outcomes c. Experiments d. Events
9. It refers to the basic unit of possible occurrences. a. Trials b. Outcomes c. Sample Spaces d. Event
10. It is some combination of possible outcomes in one experiment trial. a. Trials b. Outcomes c. Sample Spaces d. Event
Part III: Problem Solving: Encircle your answer and write your solution on your extra papers. Complete solutions are
necessary. (3 points each)
1. A family has 2 children. Given that one of the children is a boy, what is the probability that the other child is also a
boy?
A. 1/3 B. 2/3 C. ½ D. ___________
2. Suppose a box has 3 red marbles and 2 black ones. We select 2 marbles. What is the probability that second marble is
red given that the first one is red?
A. 1/3 B. 2/3 C. ½ D. ___________
3. A pair of dice is tossed. What is the probability that the sum is seven?
A. 15/36 B. 1/4 C.1/6 D. ________________
4. If contestant A,B,C, and D only are in beauty contest. What is the probability of A or D wins? If probability of A= ½, B=
1/3 and D is 3 times the probability of C.
A. 1/8 B. 5/8 C.1/24 D. ______________
5. What is the probability of getting a sequence of 1,2, 3, 4, 5, and 6, if you roll a single die 6 times?
A. 1/24400 B. 1/36690 C. 1/46656 D. ______________

Problem Solving: Show your Complete Solution (5pts each)

1. There are 20 defective items per 1000 of a product. What is the probability that there is 1 defective in a batch of 100?
2. A box contains 5 red, 7 white and 10 blue balls. If three balls are drawn in succession without replacement, find the
probability that the balls drawn are in the order blue, white, red.
3. Find the probability of drawing a heart or a face card from a single draw from an ordinary deck of card
4. A winner is to be selected through a raffle draw from a box that contains counting numbers from 1 to 20. What is the
probability the winning number is a multiple of 2 or 3
5. A card box contains 5 green cards and 4 yellow cards. If three items are picked at random, assuming that you return the
card after picking each time, what is the probability that at least 1 of them is a yellow card?

Problem solving: Show your complete Solution (15 points each)


1. The probability of a professional resigning after receiving their 13 th month pay is 0.35. In a sample of 7 companies,
previous data shows that at most, six employees resign after receiving their pay. Assuming the same number is still
occurring, simulate the number of professionals who might resign using the random string of numbers 234 – 191 –
078 – 853 – 995 – 156 – 569, for each company (labeled Company A – G), respectively.

2. During bad economic times, industrial workers are dismissed and are often replaced by machines. The history of 100
workers whose loss of employment is attributable to technological advances is reviewed. For each of these individuals, it
is determined if he or she was given an alternative job within the same company, found a job with another company in
the same field, found a job in a new field, or has been unemployed for 1 year. In addition, the union status of each worker
is recorded. The following table summarizes the results.
(a) If the selected worker found a job with a new company in the same field, what is the probability that
the worker is a union member?
(b) If the worker is a union member, what is the probability that the worker has been unemployed
for a year?
(c) If a worker is a nonunion member, what is the probability that the worker has been employed in a
new field?
Part 1 PROBLEM SOLVING
1. PO= {BB,GB,BG,GG} Part 3 PROBLEM SOLVING
P(B) = ¾
P(B∩B)= ¼ 1.
P(B/B)= (1/4)/(3/4) Assigned
X P(X=x) P(X≤x)
P(B/B)= 1/3 Values
0 0.075 0.075 0-74
2. 3 red marbles and 2 black ones 1 0.244 0.319 75-318
P(R)= 3/5 2 0.328 0.647 319-646
P(R∩R)=(nCr red * nCr black)/nCr total possible 3 0.236 0.883 647-882
combination 4 0.095 0.978 883-977
P(R∩R)= (3C2*2c0)/ (5C2)= 3/10 5 0.020 0.998 978-997
P(R/R)=(3/10)/(3/5) 6 0.002 1 998-999
P(R/R) = ½

3. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Company A B C D E F G
1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1 =36 possible ways No. of employee 234 191 078 853 995 156 569

P(sum of 7)= 6/36= 1/6 No. of probable


4. A= ½, B= 1/3 and D is 3 times the probability of C resigned
Let x = probability of C
1= ½ + 1/3+ x+3x
employee after 1 1 1 3 5 1 2
receiving 13th
4x= 1/6 month pay
X=1/24= P(C)
3x= 3(1/24)= 1/8= P(D)
P(AuD)= ½+1/8= 5/8 2.
Union Non Total
5. P (sequence of 1-6 )= 1/66= 1/46656 (U) Union(NU)
Same Comp.
Part 2 of Problem Solving 40 15 55
(S)
1. P=20/1000= 1/50 New
Q= 1-(1/50)= 49/50 13 10 23
Comp.(N)
n= 100 r= 1 New Field
P(1 deffective)= nCr PrxQn-r 4 11 15
(F)
P( 1 deff)= 100C1 (1/50)1 x (49/50)99 Unemployed
P(1 deff)= 0.2707 2 5 7
(UN)
Total 59 41 100
2. P(e)= (10/22)x(7/21)x(5/20)
P(e)= 5/132 = 0.03788= 3.788% A. P(N∩U)= 13/100
P(N)= 23/100
3. P(H)= 13/52 P(U/N)= (13/100)/(23/100)
P(F)= 12/52 P(U/N)=13/23=0.5652=56.52%
P(H∩F)= 3/52
P(HuF)= (13/52)+(12/52)-(3/52) B. P(UN∩U)= 2/100
P(HuF)=11/26 = 0.4231=42.31% P(U)= 59/100
P(UN/U)= (2/100)/(59/100)
4. Multiple of 2={2,4,6,8,10,12,14,16,18,20} P(UN/U)=2/59=0.0033898=3.3898%
|Multiple of 2|= 10
Multiple of 3={3,6,9,12,15,18} C. P(F∩NU)= 11/100
|Multiple of 3|= 6 P(NU)= 41/100
2∩3= {6,12,18} P(F/NU)= (11/100)/(41/100)
|2∩3|=3 P(F/NU)=11/41=0.2683=26.83%
P(2u3)= (10/20)+(6/20)-(3/20)
P(2u3)= 13/20 = 0.65= 65%

5 5 5
5. P(all green)= x 𝑥
9 9 9
P(all green)=125/729
P(atleast one yellow)= 1-(125/729)
P(atleast one yellow)= 604/729=0.8285=82.85%

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