Khushiii Project - Payal (Autosaved) 3
Khushiii Project - Payal (Autosaved) 3
BY
MISS. KHUSHI AJAYKUMAR SINGH
In partial fulfillment of
B.Sc. COMPUTER SCIENCE
DEGREE OF UNIVERSITY OF MUMBAI,
MAY - 2024
Date:______________
Place: ______________
I have taken efforts in this project. However, it would not have been possible
without the kind support and help of many individuals. I would like to extend
my sincere thanks to all of them.
I would like to express my gratitude towards all the respected teachers & Head
of the Department Mr. Vinod Rajput sir of computer science department and
principal Dr. Avinash Patil sir and vice principal Ms. Esmita Gupta ma’am of
B. K. Birla college of science, commerce and arts (autonomous) for their kind
cooperation and encouragement which help me in completion of this project
DECLARATION
The project is done in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of
BACHELOR OF SCIENCE (COMPUTER SCIENCE) to be submitted as a final
semester project as part of our curriculum.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Abstract
1.Introduction
1.1 System Overview
1.1.1 Background
1.1.2 System Description
1.2 System Objective
1.3 Purpose
1.4 Scope
1.5 Advantages
1.6 Achievement
2.Feasibility study
2.1 Technical feasibility
2.2 Operational feasibility
2.3 Economical feasibility
2.4 Legal and Ethical Considerations
3. Survey of Technologies
3.1 Technology used
3.2 Summary of used Technology
4.Requirement Specification
4.1 Problem Definition
4.2 Problem Specification
4.3 Planning and Scheduling
4.4 Hardware and Software Requirements
5.System Design
5.1 Basic Modules
5.2 GUI Design
6. Coding
7. Implementation and Results
8. Future Work
9. Summary
10. Reference
ABSTRACT
Conclusion:
The LSTM-based prediction system delivers accurate forecasts of future
stock prices. By harnessing historical data and advanced machine
learning techniques, it empowers investors with actionable insights.
Further research could refine the model for even greater accuracy,
benefiting decision-makers in navigating the stock market landscape.
Executive summary
In the contemporary financial landscape, stock market prediction has
emerged as a critical challenge due to the complex and dynamic nature of
financial markets. With the surge in algorithmic trading and the vast amount
of data generated by financial markets, traditional statistical methods are
being augmented by machine learning techniques to predict stock market
movements. The application of algorithms such as neural networks, support
vector machines, and deep learning has revolutionized the field, enabling
the analysis of large datasets to uncover patterns that can forecast future
stock prices.
In the realm of stock market prediction, data science and machine learning
play pivotal roles. The proposed study focuses on demonstrating how a
dataset of historical stock prices can be modeled using machine learning
techniques. The Stock Market Prediction Problem involves modeling past
stock transactions, particularly those that have led to significant market
movements, to predict the future direction of stock prices.
The rise in algorithmic trading has made accurate stock market prediction
more crucial than ever. The goal is to achieve the highest possible accuracy
in predicting market trends to maximize investment returns and minimize
risks. The effectiveness of a prediction model is measured by its accuracy,
recall, precision, and F1 score. Studies have shown that deep learning
models, particularly those using LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks,
can achieve high levels of accuracy.
For investment firms and individual traders, the ability to predict stock
market trends is invaluable. By leveraging machine learning and data
science, firms can analyze vast datasets and incorporate real-time data to
make informed trading decisions. The graphical representation of data
visualization plays a significant role in interpreting the results and refining
the prediction models.
Introduction
In recent years, the stock market landscape has been transformed by the
digital revolution. The advent of online trading platforms and the
democratization of financial information have increased market
participation and data availability. However, this has also led to greater
market complexity and volatility, making the task of prediction more
challenging than ever.
The use of machine learning in stock market prediction is not without its
challenges. Financial markets are influenced by a myriad of factors,
including economic indicators, company news, geopolitical events, and
trader sentiment. The data is often noisy, non-stationary, and may contain
biases. Moreover, the market is efficient to some degree, meaning that it
quickly incorporates new information into stock prices, leaving limited
opportunities for prediction.
The system will leverage historical stock price data, along with other
relevant financial indicators, to train the machine learning model. By
analyzing past trends and patterns, the model will attempt to predict
future stock prices, taking into account the non-linear and time-
dependent nature of the market.
C. Scope and Limitations
The scope of this project encompasses the design, development, and
evaluation of machine learning models for stock market prediction. The
research will focus on the application of deep learning techniques, particularly
LSTM networks, due to their proven effectiveness in handling sequential data
and capturing temporal dependencies.
The project will involve collecting and preprocessing historical stock price data
from various sources, including financial databases and APIs. The dataset will
include not only price information but also trading volume, market sentiment,
and economic indicators. Feature selection and engineering will be critical
components of the data preparation process, as they can significantly impact
the model’s performance.
Exploratory data analysis will be conducted to gain insights into the dataset’s
characteristics, including trend analysis, volatility assessment, and correlation
studies. Data visualization will play a key role in this phase, helping to identify
patterns and anomalies within the data.
The project will utilize Python’s machine learning libraries, such as TensorFlow
and Keras, to build and evaluate the predictive models. Performance metrics
such as mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and R-squared
will be used to assess the models’ accuracy and predictive power.
One of the primary limitations of this project is the reliance on historical data,
which may not always be indicative of future market behavior, especially in the
face of unforeseen events or market shocks. Additionally, the project is
constrained by the availability of high-quality, granular data and the
computational resources required to train complex deep learning models. The
project’s timeframe may also limit the extent of model tuning and evaluation.
In conclusion, the development of a machine learning-based stock market
prediction system is a complex endeavor with significant potential benefits for
investors. While there are inherent challenges and limitations, the application
of advanced machine learning techniques holds promise for more accurate and
timely predictions, ultimately contributing to more strategic investment
decisions.
D. Overview of Methodology
The aim of this research is to develop and evaluate machine learning models
for predicting stock market trends. The methodology encompasses several
stages, including data collection, pre-processing, exploratory data analysis,
model development, and evaluation.
1. Data Collection
The first step involves gathering historical stock market data, which includes
stock prices, trading volumes, and other financial indicators. This data is
typically sourced from financial markets databases and APIs that provide high-
frequency trading data. The dataset may also include derived features such as
moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and others that are commonly
used in technical analysis.
2. Data Pre-processing
Pre-processing the data to prepare it for analysis is the second stage of the
methodology. This includes handling missing values, normalizing or scaling the
features, and creating additional features that may help improve the model's
predictive power. For time-series data like stock prices, it is also crucial to
ensure that the data is stationary, meaning its statistical properties do not
change over time.
4. Model Development
The fourth step of the methodology involves developing machine learning
models for stock market prediction. Given the sequential nature of stock data,
time-series models such as ARIMA, LSTM networks, and other recurrent neural
network (RNN) architectures are often employed. These models are capable of
capturing temporal dependencies and non-linear relationships in the data. The
models will be developed using machine learning libraries such as TensorFlow
or PyTorch, and they will undergo rigorous validation using techniques like
time-series cross-validation.
5. Model Evaluation
The final step is to evaluate the performance of the machine learning models.
This is typically done using a separate test dataset that the model has not seen
during training. Performance metrics such as mean absolute error (MAE), mean
squared error (MSE), and the coefficient of determination (R-squared) are used
to assess the accuracy of the predictions. The models' ability to generalize and
perform well on unseen data is crucial for their practical application in stock
market prediction.
6. Backtesting
An additional step often included in stock market prediction methodologies is
backtesting, where the model's predictions are tested against historical data to
simulate trading performance. This helps to estimate the potential returns and
risks associated with the model's trading strategy.
7.Deployment
Once a model has been validated and backtested, it can be deployed in a real-
world environment. This involves integrating the model with live market data
feeds and potentially automating trading decisions based on the model's
predictions.
Literature Review
With the advent of machine learning, a new paradigm has emerged in the field
of stock market prediction. Machine learning algorithms have the ability to
process vast amounts of data and identify complex patterns that may not be
apparent to human analysts. This has led to the development of predictive
models that can analyze historical data and make informed predictions about
future market behavior.
Market Efficiency: The Efficient Market Hypothesis suggests that stock prices
reflect all available information, making it difficult to achieve consistent returns
above the average market performance.
Feature Selection: Identifying the most predictive features from a vast dataset
is a non-trivial task that requires careful consideration.
- Model Overfitting: There is a risk of developing models that perform well on
historical data but fail to generalize to unseen data.
D. Future Directions
The literature suggests several areas for future research in stock market
prediction using machine learning:
Hybrid Models: Combining different types of machine learning models to
improve prediction accuracy.
Sentiment Analysis: Incorporating news articles and social media data to gauge
market sentiment.
The field of stock market prediction has seen significant advancements with
the integration of machine learning techniques. These methods have been
employed to tackle the complex task of forecasting market trends and
movements. Here’s an overview of some existing machine learning techniques
used for stock market prediction:
1. Anomaly Detection
Anomaly detection in stock market prediction involves identifying unusual
patterns that do not conform to expected behavior. These anomalies could
indicate critical incidents, such as drastic price changes or market crashes.
Machine learning models used for anomaly detection are trained to recognize
the ‘normal’ patterns in stock market data and thus can flag deviations that
may suggest important market events. Techniques like clustering, neural
networks, and statistical models are commonly used for this purpose.
2. Decision Trees
Decision trees are a type of supervised learning algorithm that is used for
classification and regression tasks. In the context of stock market prediction,
decision trees make decisions based on the value of certain input features
related to market conditions. They are particularly useful for capturing non-
linear relationships between features and can be easily visualized and
interpreted. However, they are prone to overfitting, which can be mitigated by
using ensemble methods like Random Forests or Gradient Boosting.
3. Neural Networks
Neural networks, and especially deep learning models, have become
increasingly popular in stock market prediction. They are capable of modeling
complex and high-dimensional data, making them suitable for capturing the
intricate patterns and relationships within financial markets. Convolutional
Neural Networks (CNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), including
Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, are among the most commonly
used neural network architectures in this domain.
4. Logistic Regression
Logistic regression is a statistical model that, in the context of the stock
market, is typically used for binary classification tasks—such as predicting
whether the stock price will go up or down. It is a relatively simple and
interpretable model that works well when the relationship between the feature
variables and the target variable is approximately linear.
Each of these techniques has its strengths and weaknesses, and often, a
combination of methods is used to improve prediction accuracy. For instance,
anomaly detection can be used to preprocess the data and remove outliers,
which can then be fed into decision trees or neural networks for prediction.
Logistic regression, while less complex, can serve as a baseline for performance
comparison.
While machine learning provides powerful tools for stock market prediction,
it’s important to note that the stock market is influenced by a multitude of
factors, many of which are unpredictable. Therefore, even the most
sophisticated models cannot guarantee absolute accuracy in their predictions.
C. Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Techniques
In the realm of stock market prediction, various machine learning techniques
have been employed to forecast market trends and movements. This study
compares the effectiveness of different machine learning models in predicting
stock prices, focusing on their ability to capture the complex patterns of the
market while minimizing prediction errors.
1. Linear Regression
Linear regression is a statistical method used for predictive analysis. It
assumes a linear relationship between input variables (features) and the target
variable (stock price). In our project, we utilized linear regression to establish a
baseline for stock market prediction. While it provides a straightforward model,
its accuracy is limited due to the non-linear nature of stock prices, resulting in
lower performance compared to more complex models.
2. Random Forest
Random Forest is an ensemble learning method that operates by constructing
multiple decision trees during training and outputting the average prediction of
the individual trees. It is known for its high accuracy and ability to run
efficiently on large datasets. In our analysis, the Random Forest model
demonstrated robust performance with a significant improvement over linear
regression, capturing more complex patterns in the data.
3. Support Vector Machine (SVM)
SVM is a powerful classification and regression technique that finds the
optimal hyperplane which maximizes the margin between different classes. For
stock market prediction, SVM can be used for both regression (SVR) and
classification tasks. Our study found that SVM, particularly with non-linear
kernels, performed well in capturing the intricate structures of the market data,
offering predictions with high confidence margins.
4. Neural Networks
Neural networks, especially deep learning models, have shown great promise
in stock market prediction. They are capable of modeling complex non-linear
relationships and interactions between features. In this project, we constructed
a neural network with multiple hidden layers using the TensorFlow and Keras
frameworks. The model outperformed traditional machine learning methods,
adapting to the volatile nature of the stock market with high accuracy.
6. Comparative Analysis
The comparative analysis revealed that while traditional machine learning
models like linear regression provide a good starting point, they are
outperformed by more advanced techniques that can handle the complexity of
the stock market. Ensemble methods like Random Forest and advanced
algorithms like SVM and neural networks offer more accurate predictions.
Among these, LSTM networks stand out due to their ability to process time-
series data effectively.
3. Financial Statements:
Financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash
flow statements, provide insights into a company's financial health, profitability,
and operational performance.
These statements are typically published by publicly traded companies on a
quarterly and annual basis as part of their regulatory reporting requirements.
Financial data providers aggregate and distribute these statements, making
them accessible to investors, analysts, and researchers for analysis and
prediction modeling.
Incorporating financial statement data into predictive models allows for
fundamental analysis, which considers factors such as earnings growth, debt
levels, and profitability ratios when forecasting stock prices.
4. Alternative Data:
In addition to traditional financial data, alternative data sources such as news
articles, social media sentiment, and economic indicators are increasingly being
used in stock market prediction models.
News sentiment analysis tools scrape news articles from various sources and
analyze their sentiment (positive, negative, neutral) to gauge market sentiment
and investor sentiment towards specific stocks or sectors.
Social media platforms like Twitter, Reddit, and StockTwits provide a wealth
of user-generated content that can be analyzed for sentiment, discussions, and
trends related to stocks and markets.
Economic indicators such as GDP growth rates, unemployment rates, and
consumer confidence indices can provide macroeconomic context and impact
stock market trends.
2. Scaling Features:
Feature scaling ensures that all input features contribute equally to the
model's predictions, preventing features with larger magnitudes from
dominating the learning process.
Common scaling techniques include Min-Max Scaling, which scales features
to a specified range (e.g., [0, 1]), and Z-Score Standardization, which scales
features to have a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.
Scaling features is particularly important in stock market prediction, where
input variables like stock prices and trading volumes may have different scales
and units.
4. Feature Engineering:
Feature engineering involves creating new features that capture relevant
information from raw data, potentially enhancing the predictive power of
machine learning models.
In stock market prediction, feature engineering techniques may include the
creation of technical indicators such as moving averages, Relative Strength
Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), or derived
features like historical volatility.
These features aim to capture patterns and trends in the data that may not
be evident from the raw input variables alone, providing additional insights for
modeling.
5. Data Transformation:
Data transformation involves converting raw data into a format suitable for
analysis and modeling, particularly in the case of time-series prediction tasks.
Techniques like creating lag features, where past values of a variable are
included as features, can be useful for capturing temporal dependencies in the
data.
Restructuring the dataset for Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) or other
sequence models involves organizing the data into sequences or time windows,
allowing the model to learn patterns over time.
6. Data Cleaning:
Data cleaning involves removing outliers or correcting errors in the dataset to
improve its quality and reliability.
Outliers in financial data may result from data entry errors, extreme market
events, or anomalies in the underlying data generating process.
Detecting and handling outliers appropriately is crucial to prevent them from
skewing analysis and modeling results.
7. Temporal Alignment:
Temporal alignment ensures that all data points are aligned in time, which is
essential for time-series analysis and modeling.
In stock market prediction, aligning data points across different time series
(e.g., stock prices, trading volumes) ensures that corresponding observations
are synchronized and consistent.
Temporal alignment may involve aligning data to a common time index,
handling irregularly sampled data, or synchronizing data from different sources.
Software Requirements
Hardware Requirements
1. Computational Resources
CPU: Multi-core processors for running data preprocessing tasks, model
training, and inference.
GPU (Graphics Processing Unit): Optional but beneficial for accelerating deep
learning model training, especially for large-scale neural networks.
Memory (RAM): Sufficient memory capacity to handle large datasets and
model training operations efficiently.
Storage: Adequate storage space for storing raw data, preprocessed datasets,
and model checkpoints.
4. Network Infrastructure
Stable internet connection: Essential for accessing online data sources, APIs,
and cloud-based computing resources.
Local area network (LAN) or wide area network (WAN): Networking
infrastructure for interconnecting computing devices and facilitating data
exchange within an organization or across different locations.
Proposed System:
Data Collection:
The first step in building a stock market prediction system is to collect historical
stock price data from reliable sources. This data typically includes information
such as opening and closing prices, trading volumes, and other relevant
indicators for individual stocks or market indices. Common sources for stock
market data include financial data providers, stock exchanges, and publicly
available datasets.
For this project, we will leverage data from Yahoo Finance, a popular platform
that offers comprehensive datasets covering a wide range of financial
instruments. The dataset will consist of historical stock prices for a selected
company, such as Google, spanning multiple years to capture various market
conditions and trends.
Data Preprocessing:
Once the data is collected, the next step is to preprocess it to prepare it for
model training. This involves several steps, including handling missing values,
removing duplicates, scaling the data, and addressing imbalanced data. In the
case of stock market data, it is common to encounter imbalanced datasets,
where the proportion of positive (e.g., price increase) to negative (e.g., price
decrease) instances is skewed.
Data Analysis:
Once the data is preprocessed, exploratory data analysis (EDA) is conducted to
gain insights into the dataset and understand the relationships between
different variables. Visualization techniques such as line plots, scatter plots, and
histograms are used to visualize the distribution of data, identify patterns, and
detect outliers.
During the data analysis phase, we aim to identify key features and trends in
the dataset that may be predictive of future stock price movements. This
analysis guides the selection of appropriate machine learning algorithms and
model architectures for training the prediction system.
Model Development:
The core of the stock market prediction system lies in the development of
machine learning models that can effectively learn from historical data and
make accurate forecasts. Various machine learning algorithms can be explored
for this task, including linear regression, decision trees, random forests,
support vector machines (SVM), and neural networks.
In this project, we will focus on using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural
networks, a type of recurrent neural network (RNN) known for their ability to
capture temporal dependencies in sequential data. LSTM networks are well-
suited for time series forecasting tasks, making them suitable for predicting
stock price movements.
The LSTM model architecture will be designed with multiple layers of LSTM
cells, along with dropout regularization to prevent overfitting. The model will
be trained using historical stock price data, with the objective of learning
patterns and relationships in the data to make accurate predictions.
Model Evaluation:
After training the LSTM model, it is essential to evaluate its performance using
appropriate metrics and techniques. Common evaluation metrics for regression
tasks like stock market prediction include mean squared error (MSE), root
mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and coefficient of
determination (R^2).
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the methodology outlined above provides a systematic approach
to developing a stock market prediction system using machine learning
techniques. By following these steps, we can leverage historical stock price data
to train an LSTM neural network model that accurately forecasts future price
movements. Through rigorous evaluation and monitoring, the prediction
system can provide valuable insights for investors and traders, helping them
make informed decisions in financial markets.
P
roposed System Work Flow in Real World Application
Data Collection
Step 1: Collect historical stock price data from reliable sources such as Yahoo
Finance or APIs provided by financial data providers.
Step 2: Obtain additional data sources such as financial statements, news
articles, or social media sentiment to augment the analysis.
Step 3: Combine and preprocess the collected data to create a comprehensive
dataset for analysis.
Data Preprocessing
Step 1: Handle missing values by imputation or deletion techniques to ensure
data completeness.
Step 2: Scale numerical features to a uniform range using techniques like Min-
Max scaling or Z-score normalization.
Step 3: Perform feature engineering to create new features or transform
existing ones, such as calculating moving averages, technical indicators, or
sentiment scores.
Step 4: Split the dataset into training and testing sets to evaluate model
performance.
Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)
Step 1: Conduct exploratory data analysis to understand the distribution and
relationships between variables in the dataset.
Step 2: Visualize key features and trends using plots such as line charts,
histograms, and scatter plots.
Step 3: Identify correlations and patterns in the data that may be useful for
prediction.
Model Development
Step 1: Choose appropriate machine learning algorithms based on the problem
context and dataset characteristics.
Step 2: Develop and train predictive models using techniques like linear
regression, decision trees, random forests, or deep learning models like LSTM.
Step 3: Fine-tune model hyperparameters using techniques like grid search or
randomized search to optimize performance.
Step 4: Evaluate model performance on the testing dataset using metrics such
as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score.
Model Deployment
Step 1: Deploy the trained model into a production environment using
deployment platforms like Flask, Django, or cloud services like AWS, Azure, or
Google Cloud Platform.
Step 2: Integrate the model into existing applications or trading platforms to
provide real-time predictions to users.
Step 3: Implement monitoring and logging mechanisms to track model
performance and detect drifts or anomalies in predictions.
This workflow outlines the systematic process of developing and deploying a
stock market prediction system using machine learning techniques. By
following these steps, organizations can leverage data-driven insights to make
informed investment decisions and optimize their trading strategies.
Pandas (pandas):
Pandas is a powerful library for data manipulation and analysis, built on top of
NumPy.
It offers data structures like DataFrame and Series, which are highly efficient
for handling structured data.
In finance, pandas is extensively used for tasks such as loading and processing
financial datasets, analyzing time series data (e.g., stock prices), and conducting
quantitative analysis.
Matplotlib (matplotlib.pyplot):
Matplotlib is a comprehensive library for creating static, interactive, and
animated visualizations in Python.
The pyplot module provides a MATLAB-like interface for creating plots and
visualizations, making it easy to generate a wide range of plots, including line
plots, scatter plots, histograms, and more.
Matplotlib's flexibility and customization options make it a popular choice for
generating publication-quality plots in financial research and analysis.
yfinance (yfinance):
yfinance is a Python package that simplifies the process of downloading
historical market data from Yahoo Finance.
yfinance allows users to retrieve data for individual stocks, indices, currencies,
cryptocurrencies, and other financial instruments.
In financial research and analysis, access to high-quality, reliable historical data
is essential for backtesting trading strategies, conducting quantitative analysis,
and building predictive models.
The code snippet you’ve provided is a series of commands in Python using the
matplotlib library to create a line chart.
Here’s a step-by-step explanation:
Here, another line is plotted on the same figure. This time, it’s plotting the
Close column from a DataFrame named data. The 'g' specifies that this line will
be green. The Close column typically represents the closing prices of a stock on
the stock market for each day.
Finally, this command displays the figure with all its plotted data. It will open a
window with the chart, allowing you to visually inspect the two overlaid line
plots.
This code is creating a line chart with two different sets of data: the 100-day
moving average in red and the daily closing prices in green. This type of
visualization is commonly used in stock market analysis to compare the actual
stock prices against a smoothed representation to identify trends or patterns.
The red line (moving average) helps to see the underlying trend beyond the
daily price volatility represented by the green line (closing prices).
This line of code is used to calculate the 200-day moving average of the closing
prices from a financial dataset. Let’s break down what each part of this line
does:
data: This is assumed to be a pandas DataFrame that contains financial data,
such as stock prices.
data.Close: This accesses the Close column of the data DataFrame. The Close
column typically contains the closing prices of a stock for each trading day.
.rolling(200): The rolling function is a pandas method that provides rolling
window calculations. The argument 200 indicates that we are using a rolling
window of 200 periods (in this case, likely 200 trading days).
.mean(): This calculates the mean (average) of the values within the rolling
window. When applied after the rolling function, it computes the moving
average over the specified window size.
So, ma_200_days will be a new Series (a one-dimensional array in pandas) that
contains the 200-day moving average of the stock’s closing prices. The moving
average is a widely used indicator in financial analysis and trading because it
helps smooth out price data over a specified period and can highlight longer-
term trends in price movements. It’s particularly useful for identifying support
and resistance levels and for generating buy or sell signals when the price
crosses the moving average.
This command sets up a new figure for plotting with a specified size. The figsize
parameter defines the width and height of the figure in inches. Here, the figure
will be 8 inches wide and 6 inches tall.
This command plots the data contained in the ma_100_days variable on the
figure. The 'r' specifies that the line color will be red. ma_100_days is expected
to be a series or array-like object representing the 100-day moving average of
the stock’s closing prices.
This line adds another plot to the figure, this time for the ma_200_days variable,
which should contain the 200-day moving average of the closing prices. The 'b'
indicates that this line will be blue.
Here, the Close column from the data DataFrame is plotted on the figure, with
the line color set to green. This represents the actual closing prices of the stock.
Finally, this command displays the figure with all the plotted lines. It will render
the chart in a window, allowing you to visually inspect the moving averages in
comparison to the actual closing prices.
In summary, the code is creating a visual comparison of two different moving
averages against the actual closing prices of a stock. The 100-day moving
average is shown in red, the 200-day moving average in blue, and the actual
closing prices in green. This type of chart is commonly used in financial
analysis to assess trends and potential points of support or resistance in stock
price movements.
This line removes any rows in the data DataFrame that contain NaN (Not a
Number) values, which are typically placeholders for missing data. The
inplace=True parameter means that the operation is performed in place, and the
original DataFrame is modified instead of creating a new one.
Here, a new DataFrame data_train is created, which contains the first 80% of
the Close column from the data DataFrame. This is achieved by slicing the
Close column from the start up to the index at 80% of the length of data. This
subset will be used to train the machine learning model.
Similarly, this line creates another DataFrame data_test, which contains the
remaining 20% of the Close column. This subset starts from the 80% mark of
the data length up to the end and will be used to test the model’s performance.
Finally, this command returns the number of rows in the data_train DataFrame,
which represents the size of the training set.
This line retrieves the number of rows in the data_test DataFrame. The .shape
attribute of a DataFrame returns a tuple representing the dimensionality of the
DataFrame, where .shape[0] gives you the number of rows. This is useful to
understand the size of your testing dataset.
This line imports the MinMaxScaler class from the preprocessing module of the
sklearn (scikit-learn) library. MinMaxScaler is a tool that scales each feature to
a given range, often between zero and one.
Here, an instance of MinMaxScaler is created and assigned to the variable
scaler. The feature_range=(0,1) parameter specifies that the features will be
scaled to a range between 0 and 1. This is a common practice as many machine
learning algorithms perform better when the input numerical variables are
scaled to a standard range.
This line applies the MinMaxScaler to the data_train DataFrame. The fit
transform method first fits the scaler to the data, which involves calculating the
minimum and maximum values of the data. It then transforms the data by
scaling it to the specified range (0 to 1 in this case). The result is a new array
data_train_scale that contains the scaled values.
The line `x, y = np.array(x), np.array(y)` is converting the lists `x` and `y` into
NumPy arrays.
Here's a detailed explanation:
`np.array(x)`: This function call takes the list `x`, which contains sequences of
data points, and converts it into a NumPy array. NumPy arrays are a core part of
the NumPy library and are designed to handle large multi-dimensional arrays
and matrices. They provide a range of mathematical functions that can be
performed on these arrays efficiently.
`np.array(y)`: Similarly, this function call converts the list `y` into a NumPy
array. The list `y` contains the target values that correspond to each sequence in
`x`.
After this conversion, both `x` and `y` are in the form of NumPy arrays, which
is the preferred format for machine learning algorithms. This is because NumPy
arrays support vectorized operations, which are more efficient than operations
on list data structures, especially when it comes to mathematical computations.
The model.fit() function is used to train the neural network you’ve constructed.
Here’s what each parameter in the function call is doing:
x: This is the input data you’re using to train the model. It’s a NumPy array of
sequences that the model will learn from.
y: This is the target data that corresponds to your input data x. The model will
try to predict this data.
epochs = 50: This parameter specifies the number of times the learning
algorithm will work through the entire training dataset. One epoch means that
each sample in the training dataset has had an opportunity to update the model’s
weights. Setting it to 50 means the learning process will repeat 50 times, which
can help the model to better learn from the data.
batch_size = 32: This defines the number of samples that will be propagated
through the network before the model’s internal parameters are updated. It’s a
compromise between updating the model’s weights after every sample (which is
computationally expensive and can lead to noisy gradients) and updating the
weights after running through all samples (which can be slow and can get stuck
in local minima).
verbose = 1: This controls the verbosity of the training process. A value of 1
means that you will see progress bars and a few other details (like loss and
accuracy for each epoch) in the output during training, which can help you
understand how the training process is going.
By calling model.fit(), you are starting the training process of the model with
the given parameters. The model will use the Adam optimizer and mean squared
error loss function, as specified earlier in model.compile(), to update its weights
and biases in an attempt to minimize the loss on the training data.
The line scale = 1/scaler.scale_ is likely part of a Python code that involves data
preprocessing, specifically feature scaling. Here’s what it does:
scaler: This is an object that has likely been previously created using a scaling
class from a machine learning library like scikit-learn. The scaler is used to
normalize or standardize data.
scale_: This is an attribute of the scaler object. In scikit-learn, scale_ is typically
an array that contains the scale for each feature in the dataset. The scale is
calculated as the range (max - min) or the standard deviation, depending on the
type of scaler used (e.g., MinMaxScaler, StandardScaler).
1/scaler.scale_: This operation is taking the reciprocal of each element in the
scale_ array. If scale_ represents the standard deviation of each feature, taking
the reciprocal would give you the value to multiply a standardized feature by to
get back to the original scale.
scale: This new variable is being assigned the reciprocal of the scale_ values. It
could be used to reverse the scaling operation and return the scaled data back to
its original units.
The line y_predict = y_predict*scale is a piece of Python code that is likely used
to rescale predicted values (y_predict) back to their original scale after a
machine learning model has made predictions on standardized or normalized
data. Here’s what it does:
y_predict: This variable holds the predicted values that were output by a
machine learning model. These predictions are typically on the same scale as
the data that was used to train the model.
scale: This variable is the scale factor that was calculated earlier (as the
reciprocal of the scaler’s scale_ attribute). It represents the values needed to
multiply the standardized features by to get back to the original scale of the
data.
y_predict*scale: This operation multiplies each predicted value by the
corresponding scale factor. If the predictions were made on data that was
standardized (for example, having a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1),
this operation would transform the predictions back to the original scale of the
data before standardization.
y_predict =: The result of the multiplication is then reassigned to y_predict,
effectively updating the variable to hold the rescaled predictions.
y: This variable contains the original target values or labels that were likely
scaled down during the preprocessing step before training a machine learning
model. Scaling is done to normalize the data within a certain range or standard
deviation for better performance of the model.
scale: This is the scale factor that you’ve calculated earlier, which is used to
bring the scaled data back to its original scale. It’s typically the reciprocal of the
values used by the scaler when the data was originally transformed.
y*scale: This operation multiplies each element in the array y by the
corresponding element in the array scale. If y is a 1D array and scale is a single
value, then each element in y is multiplied by this value. If scale is also a 1D
array, then the multiplication is performed element-wise, which means the first
element of y is multiplied by the first element of scale, the second element of y
by the second element of scale, and so on.
y =: The result of the multiplication is then reassigned to the variable y,
updating it with the rescaled values.
This step is crucial when you want to interpret or evaluate the model’s
performance in the same units as the original data. For instance, if you were
predicting temperatures that were originally in Celsius, but scaled between 0
and 1 for model training, you would need to rescale the predictions back to
Celsius to make sense of them.
The code is creating a graph that compares predicted prices to original prices
over time. Here’s a detailed explanation of each part of the code and what it
accomplishes:
plt.figure(figsize=(10,8)): This command initializes a new figure for plotting
with a width of 10 inches and a height of 8 inches. The figsize parameter
defines the size of the figure in inches, which can be useful for ensuring that the
plot is large enough to be clearly visible and not cramped.
plt.plot(y_predict, 'r', label = 'Predicted Price'): This command plots the
y_predict data on the figure. The 'r' argument specifies that the line color should
be red. The label argument assigns a name to the line, which will be used in the
legend. In this case, it’s labeling the line as “Predicted Price.”
plt.plot(y, 'g', label = 'Original Price'): Similarly, this command plots the y data
on the same figure. The 'g' argument sets the line color to green, and the label
names this line “Original Price.”
plt.xlabel('Time') and plt.ylabel('Price'): These commands label the x-axis as
“Time” and the y-axis as “Price.” Labeling axes is an important part of making
a graph understandable, as it tells the viewer what each axis represents.
plt.legend(): This command adds a legend to the figure, which helps
differentiate between the two plotted lines. The legend uses the labels provided
in the plt.plot() commands.
plt.show(): Finally, this command displays the figure. Until this command is
called, the figure is not actually shown to the user; it’s simply constructed in the
background.
The resulting plot provides a visual comparison between the predicted prices
and the original prices over time. This can be particularly useful for quickly
assessing the accuracy of a predictive model. By plotting both sets of data on
the same graph, one can easily see where the predictions align with the actual
values and where they diverge.
The use of different colors (red for predictions and green for actual values)
allows for quick distinction between the two data sets. The inclusion of a legend
further aids in interpretation, ensuring that anyone viewing the graph can
understand what each line represents.
This kind of visualization is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it can reveal
trends, patterns, and outliers that might not be immediately apparent from the
raw data alone. It’s also a common method for presenting the results of data
analysis to others, as a well-constructed graph can convey complex information
in a form that’s easy to understand at a glance.
Project
Initiation
Requirement
Analysis
System Design
Development
Phase
Error Handling
Security and
Privacy
Measures
User
Acceptance
Testing
Deployment
Maintainence
4.4 Hardware and software specifications
Hardware details
Processor: 2.5 gigahertz (GHz) frequency or above
RAM: Minimum 1 GB or above
Hard Disk: Minimum of 250 GB of HDD
Internet connection
Software details
Operating system: Windows 8 or above
Programming language: Python 3.7.4 or above
Code editor: Visual studio code
Pycharm
Microsoft Windows Operating System
Chapter 5- System Design
Speech_Recognition:
Library for performing speech recognition, with support for several engines
and APIs, online and offline. It can be installed by using the following
command
pip install SpeechRecognition
Requests:
The requests module allows you to send HTTP requests using Python. The
HTTP request returns a Response Object with all the response data
(content, encoding, status, etc.) It can be installed by executing the
following command:
pip install requests
BeautifulSoup:
Beautiful Soup is a Python library for pulling data out of HTML and XML
files. It works with your favourite parser to provide idiomatic ways of
navigating, searching, and modifying the parse tree. It commonly saves
programmers hours or days of work. The latest Version of BeautifulSoup is
v4. It is installed by using the following command:
from bs4 import BeautifulSoup
Datetime:
Python Datetime module supplies classes to work with date and time.
These classes provide a number of functions to deal with dates, times, and
time intervals. It can be installed by using the following command:
pip install datetime
Random:
Python Random module is an in-built module of Python that is used to
generate random numbers in Python. These are pseudo-random numbers
means they are not truly random. This module can be used to perform
random actions such as generating random numbers, printing random a
value for a list or string, etc.
Webbrowser:
In Python, webbrowser module is a convenient web browser controller. It
provides a high-level interface that allows displaying Web-based documents
to users. webbrowser can also be used as a CLI tool. It can be installed by
using the following command:
pip install browser
Tkinter:
Tkinter is a Python library that can be used to construct basic graphical user
interface (GUI) applications. In Python, it is the most widely used module
for GUI applications. It can be installed by using the following command:
pip install tkinter
PIL:
Python Imaging Library is a free and open-source additional library for the
Python programming language that adds support for opening,
manipulating, and saving many different image file formats. It is available
for Windows, Mac OS X and Linux. It can be installed by using the following
command:
pip install pillow
Time:
The time module in Python provides functions for handling time-related
tasks. The time-related tasks includes reading the current time, formatting
time, sleeping for a specified number of seconds and so on.
Pygame:
pygame is a Python wrapper for the SDL library, which stands for Simple
DirectMedia Layer. SDL provides cross-platform access to your system's
underlying multimedia hardware components, such as sound, video,
mouse, keyboard, and joystick. pygame started life as a replacement for the
stalled PySDL project. It can be installed using the following ommand:
pip install pygame
Mixer:
The mixer module has a limited number of channels for playback of sounds.
Usually programs tell pygame to start playing audio and it selects an
available channel automatically. The default is 8 simultaneous channels, but
complex programs can get more precise control over the number of
channels and their use.
Pywhatkit:
It is a Python library with various helpful features. It's easy-to-use and does
not require you to do any additional setup. Currently, it is one of the most
popular library for WhatsApp and YouTube automation. New updates are
released frequently with new features and bug fixes. It can be installedby
using the following command:
pip install pywhatkit
Wikipedia:
Wikipedia is a Python library that makes it easy to access and parse data
from Wikipedia. Search Wikipedia, get article summaries, get data like links
and images from a page, and more. It can be installed by using the
following command:
pip install Wikipedia
6.1 Jarvis.py
import pyttsx3
import speech_recognition
import requests
from bs4 import BeautifulSoup
import datetime
import random
import webbrowser
for i in range(3):
a = input("Enter Password to open Jarvis :- ")
pw_file = open("password.txt","r")
pw = pw_file.read()
pw_file.close()
if (a==pw):
print("WELCOME MAM! PLEASE SPEAK [WAKE UP] TO LOAD ME UP")
break
elif (i==2 and a!=pw):
exit()
elif (a!=pw):
print("Try Again")
from INTRO import play_gif
play_gif
engine = pyttsx3.init("sapi5")
voices = engine.getProperty("voices")
engine.setProperty("voice",voices[0].id)
engine.setProperty("rate",170)
def speak(audio):
engine.say(audio)
engine.runAndWait()
def takeCommand():
r = speech_recognition.Recognizer()
with speech_recognition.Microphone() as source:
print("Listening...")
r.pause_threshold = 1
r.energy_threshold = 300
audio = r.listen(source,0,4)
try:
print("Understanding...")
query = r.recognize_google(audio,language='en-in')
print(f"You Said: {query}\n")
except Exception as e:
print("Say that again")
return "None"
return query
if __name__ == "__main__":
while True:
query = takeCommand().lower()
if "wake up" in query:
from GreetME import greetMe
greetMe()
while True:
query = takeCommand().lower()
if "go to sleep" in query:
speak("Ok mam, You can call me anytime")
break
6.2 game.py
import pyttsx3
import speech_recognition as sr
import random
engine = pyttsx3.init('sapi5')
voices = engine.getProperty('voices')
engine.setProperty('voice', voices[0].id)
engine.setProperty("rate", 170)
def speak(audio):
engine.say(audio)
engine.runAndWait()
def takeCommand():
r = sr.Recognizer()
with sr.Microphone() as source:
print("Listening.....")
r.pause_threshold = 1
r.energy_threshold = 300
audio = r.listen(source,0,4)
try:
print("Recognizing..")
query = r.recognize_google(audio , language= 'en-in')
print(f"You Said : {query}\n")
except Exception as e:
print("Say that again")
return "None"
return query
def game_play():
speak("Lets Play ROCK PAPER SCISSORS !!")
print("LETS PLAYYYYYYYYYYYYYY")
i=0
Me_score = 0
Com_score = 0
while(i<10):
choose = ("rock","paper","scissors")
com_choose = random.choice(choose)
query = takeCommand().lower()
if (query == "rock"):
if (com_choose == "rock"):
speak("ROCK")
print(f"Score:- ME :- {Me_score} : COM :- {Com_score}")
elif (com_choose == "paper"):
speak("paper")
Com_score += 1
print(f"Score:- ME :- {Me_score} : COM :- {Com_score}")
else:
speak("Scissors")
Me_score += 1
print(f"Score:- ME :- {Me_score} : COM :- {Com_score}")
engine = pyttsx3.init("sapi5")
voices = engine.getProperty("voices")
engine.setProperty("voice",voices[0].id)
engine.setProperty("rate",170)
def speak(audio):
engine.say(audio)
engine.runAndWait()
def greetMe():
hour = int(datetime.datetime.now().hour)
if hour>=0 and hour<=12:
speak("Good Morning, mam")
elif hour >12 and hour<=18:
speak("Good Afternoon, mam")
else:
speak("Good Evening, mam")
engine = pyttsx3.init("sapi5")
voices = engine.getProperty("voices")
engine.setProperty("voice",voices[0].id)
engine.setProperty("rate",170)
def speak(audio):
engine.say(audio)
engine.runAndWait()
def greetMe():
hour = int(datetime.datetime.now().hour)
if hour>=0 and hour<=12:
speak("Good Morning, mam")
elif hour >12 and hour<=18:
speak("Good Afternoon, mam")
else:
speak("Good Evening, mam")
root = Tk()
root.geometry("1000x500")
def play_gif():
root.lift()
root.attributes("-topmost",True)
global img
img = Image.open("ironsnap2.gif")
lbl = Label(root)
lbl.place(x = 0, y = 0)
i=0
mixer.music.load("music.mp3.mp3")
mixer.music.play()
play_gif()
root.mainloop()
6.5 SearchNow.py
import speech_recognition
import pyttsx3
import pywhatkit
import wikipedia
import webbrowser
def takeCommand():
r = speech_recognition.Recognizer()
with speech_recognition.Microphone() as source:
print("Listening...")
r.pause_threshold = 1
r.energy_threshold = 300
audio = r.listen(source,0,4)
try:
print("Understanding...")
query = r.recognize_google(audio,language='en-in')
print(f"You Said: {query}\n")
except Exception as e:
print("Say that again")
return "None"
return query
query = takeCommand().lower()
engine = pyttsx3.init("sapi5")
voices = engine.getProperty("voices")
engine.setProperty("voice",voices[0].id)
engine.setProperty("rate",170)
def speak(audio):
engine.say(audio)
engine.runAndWait()
def searchGoogle(query):
if "google" in query:
import wikipedia as googleScrap
query = query.replace("jarvis","")
query = query.replace("google search","")
query = query.replace("google","")
speak("This is what I have found on google")
try:
pywhatkit.search(query)
result = googleScrap.summary(query,1)
speak(result)
except:
speak("No speakable output available")
def searchYoutube(query):
if "youtube" in query:
speak("This is what I found for your search!")
query = query.replace("jarvis","")
query = query.replace("youtube search","")
query = query.replace("youtube","")
web = "https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=" + query
webbrowser.open(web)
pywhatkit.playonyt(query)
speak("Done, mam")
def searchWikipedia(query):
if "wikipedia" in query:
speak("Searching from wikipedia...")
query = query.replace("jarvis","")
query = query.replace("search wikipedia","")
query = query.replace("wikipedia","")
results = wikipedia.summary(query,sentences = 2)
speak("According to wikipedia...")
print(results)
speak(results)
Results:
Implementing password secure:
Waking up :
GUI used :
Opening Google:
Opening Youtube:
Playing a song:
Youtube-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=rgGDTO8g2Pg&list=WL&index=97
website-
https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/waterfall-model/
https://www.digitalocean.com/community/tutorials/python-
modules