Water Resources and Planing Management
Water Resources and Planing Management
1. Introduction
Course Objectives:
Course Goal:
This lecture note describes the general process of and somehow detailed
methodologies employed in planning projects involving water resources.
A project consists of constructed facilities and other measures that control,
utilize, or limit the use of water. Planning activities include the identification,
formulation and analysis of projects. Planning activities are also included in
subsequent phases of project implementation, including design, construction
and operation. Engineers, but not all other professionals in the water resources
field, distinguish between planning and design, applying the latter term to the
preparation of detailed engineering studies, drawings, and specifications for
structures, equipment and other components of a project. Water resources
planning methods are based on scientific, legal, ethical, critical concepts. It has
been only about 50 years that modern water resources planning has evolved
over, even though water resources projects have been constructed for
1
thousands of years. Until recently, a water resource planning was carried out
almost entirely by engineers. Economists and natural resources planners have
been represented extensively in the literature for many years.
Water resources are developed or managed for the following purposes and
functions:
Irrigation
Domestic (household), municipal (public), thermal-power plant cooling,
industrial and etc. Water supply
Hydroelectric power generation
Flood control and damage preservation
Low flow augmentation (increment), Water quality management,
including waste water treatment and disposal
Navigation
Recreation
Commercial fishing and aquatic farming
Drainage, sedimentation control, land stabilization, erosion control and
other measures for management of watersheds
Other multipurpose uses
2
Ecological systems
Water, land, and air quality
Whereas the term purpose, objective and goal have similar meanings in
ordinary usage, they are different in water resources planning. Traditionally a
purpose has referred to a category of water needs and problems (e.g., municipal
and industrial water supply, flood control), while objective/goal implies a
broader value. Some water resource planners believe it is useful to consider a
goal as a general societal aim such as the ―improvement of the quality of life‖
and to express an objective in more specific (monetary or other) terms such as
3
―maximization of net benefit.‖ Policies are related to the goals and objectives
and to the various constraints which restrict development and management
within specific bounds.
The following phases are usually involved in the planning and Management of a
major water resources project.
4
Recommendations including priorities and schedules for
implementation
Decisions
Implementation-organizations for action, if required
Operation and management
The modern water resources planning organization should carry out its work
with the participation of those who would be affected by the organization‘s
projects (beneficially or adversely), all government agencies having jurisdiction,
public interest groups, and other interested organizations and individuals. Such
participation should be both formal (e.g., hearings, interagency committees,
license and permit applications), and informal (e.g., brochures, response to
inquiries). Information from these entities and their reactions to proposals will
often sharpen the goals and objectives assist in identifying and analyzing
problems and solutions, provide guidance in the formulation and analysis of
alternatives, and indicate the acceptability and preference of possible
recommendations.
In proceeding from the initial to the final phase of the planning and
development process, the work in one phase can suggest changes in one or
more of the other phases. This effect can be referred to as feedback, and the
linkages may be in both forward and backward directions. Even when the water
resource system is implemented, it should be updated from time to time during
the operation and management phase.
The methods of water resources planning range from fairly simple techniques
employing substantial professional judgment to sophisticated mathematical
optimization approaches. The selection of methods for a planning effort depends
on the type of project; the formal requirement of the planning organization; the
available personnel, money, and equipment for investigations; and the
capabilities and preferences of the planning staff.
5
1.4 Tasks for WRD Project
An outline of tasks for planning an urban flood control project will provide a
perspective of the complexity of a typical water resources project and an
indication of the different professional specialists evolved. Some of the activities
in the following list overlap (e.g environmental studies will begin before the
structures are finally selected).
Management coordination
Analysis of basic data-maps, aerial photos, stream flow, etc.
Determination of needs for flood control
-delineation of area affected by flood
-determination of flood plain characteristics
-forecast of future activities in affected area
-estimates of existing and future flood damages
Consideration of alternative ways of meeting needs
-upstream reservoir
-local protective works for urban area
-nonstructural measures
Studies for reservoir
-selection of site selection of capacity
-selection of type of dam and spillway
-layout of structures
-analysis of foundations of structures
-development of construction plan
-cost estimates of structures
-layout and cost estimates of access roads, bridges, communication
facilities, construction camps, etc
-identification and estimation of requirements for lands, relocations,
easements, etc
-consideration of reservoir for multi purpose use with pertinent analyses
of layouts, capacities, costs, etc
Studies for local protective works-levees, walls, river shaping and paving,
interior pumping stations
6
Studies of nonstructural measures-land use controls, flood warning
systems, flood proofing, etc.
Formulation of optimal combination of structural and nonstructural
components for flood control project
Economic analyses
Financial analyses
Assessment of environmental impacts-ecological, archeological,
historical, geological, air and water quality, land sedimentation and
erosion, etc.
Sociological impact assessment
Public information and participation programs
Report preparation
The planning activities shown by the list above constitutes the work needed to
prepare a feasibility report. The level of engineering detail for such a report is
higher than for a preliminary report, but lower than for the design of a project.
The list of tasks for the above example of flood control project shows that at
least the following skills would have to be represented:
7
If the project has multi-purpose development opportunities, additional
specialists may be needed to study them, Irrigation planning, for example,
would involve soil and crop agronomists and other farm specialists, agricultural
economists, and irrigation engineers. If sophisticated systems analyses are
employed, computer specialists may be needed.
On a global basis, at any given moment, the distribution of water over the earth
is shown by the percentages in Figure 1.1. The percentage of ground water and
surface water do not indicate their overall availabilities. Much of the ground
water is located far from points of need, or at depths and in aquifer materials
that make retrieval impossible or uneconomic. Much surface water is flowing
water that replenishes the volume of a stream typically on the average of 30
times per year.
Although there is enough water worldwide for everyone, its distribution is quite
variable. Population intensities and water availabilities are not often
compatible. People live in water-deficient areas because of attractive climate or
cultural reasons, or because relocation is impractical due to political, societal,
or economical constraints. Areas that are deficient in precipitation for
agriculture have often excellent soils and are thus good candidates for
irrigation. Some of the best economic developments lie in the flood plains of
8
streams, but they must be protected to survive and grow. The water resource
planner is thus challenged to overcome the problems of too little or too much
water, to develop the best logistics and facilities to meet water needs, and to
take advantage of other opportunities for development, preservation, and
enhancement.
Table 1.1 shows estimates for the average annual water balances of the world. A
major uncertainty in such estimates comes from the difficulty of estimating
precipitation on and evaporation from the ocean due to lack of observed data.
Also as discussed by Biswas (1979), such a global picture does not give a
correct impression of the tremendous variability of water with regard to both
space and time.
In the case of rural urban water supply, the WHO (1976) carried out a survey
on the extent of water supply and sewerage at the end of 1975, to which 67
developing countries responded. In urban communities, some 130 million
people (25%) had no access to potable water by house connections or
standpipes. In rural areas, almost 1000 million people (80%) did not have
9
reasonable access to safe water. Considering both rural and urban populations
together, only 35% (638 000 000) were adequately served. These are averages.
There are several countries where 91 to 100 % of the urban population was
served while in other countries less than 5% of the rural population was served.
Biswas (1979) found large variations and enormous insufficiencies of water for
other major sectoral uses: agriculture, industry, and hydroelectric. Biswas also
identified a number of places where there have been severe social and
environmental impacts of water development, where conflicts have occurred
between federal and local jurisdictions, and between neighboring states, and
where problems have involved international waters. He concluded that the
problem of water availability in the future is basically that of rational
management.
10
Chapter Two
2. Utilization of Water Resources
2.1 Water resources for Consumptive and non-consumptive uses
11
Possibly, it is erroneous to define certain water uses as ―consumptive‖
and others as ―non-consumptive.‖ All uses are partially consumptive and
partially non-consumptive. The following examples are illustrative.
b. Consider a farmer in the Lower Abay River Basin who withdraws 700,000
lit/day for irrigation from an Aquifer. He applies the water to his crop and
140,000 lit/day is not used by the crop production (evaporation, transpiration
and other biological functions of plant growth) but soaks into the ground. Over
several days, maybe weeks, the water travels downward into the Aquifer that
lies 1 meter below the surface. In this case, the farmer‘s use of the water is 80
% consumptive (560,000 lit/day) and 20 % non-consumptive.
Withdrawal and use of water can result in the water being consumed in the
process (like being absorbed into the body by a human, animal or plant). When
water use is consumptive, the water is not returned to the water source and is
no longer available for use by anyone downstream.
12
On the other hand, when water use is non-consumptive, water is returned to
the water source and is available for use by other water users downstream. The
water user may be another person, an industry or business, a fish or another
part of the natural environment. Consider the following simple scenarios. A
Water User can be a municipality, an industry, a farmer or a part of the natural
environment like wetland re-nourishment or providing fish habitat. Consider
these admittedly simplistic examples.
a. If Water User #1 makes non-consumptive use of the water and returns all the
water he has withdrawn, User #2 has used of all the water withdrawn by User
#1. If User #2 again makes non-consumptive use, User #3 downstream can
again make use of all the water. An infinite number of such non-consumptive
users can make use of the water.
13
By-pass reach defined. A water use may be consumptive to a specific reach of a
stream when water is diverted, used, and returned to the same source at a
point downstream not in close proximity to the point of diversion. The stream
reaches between the point of withdrawal and point of discharge is the by-pass
reach.
These facilities normally require water to fill or charge the system once a year.
The water used to fill or hydraulically charge such a system is consumptive and
does cause a diminishment of the source. Water use to fill these facilities will be
allowed, subject to in stream flows and existing rights, when water is available.
14
same quantity and quality (excluding temperature change) at a point in close
proximity to the withdrawal wells. An example of this use is a heat pump.
b. The consumptive use of water means the water is lost to the system. Users
downstream either have to rely on other sources of water (like tributaries
downstream) to make up the shortage or use less water. It is the removal of
water from the system that may cause harm to the downstream water users.
15
Water resources development projects are usually classified based on the
service they provide as: Single-purpose and multi-purpose
A single-purpose approach serves only one basic purpose therefore this type
of water development and management do not reflect the realities of poor
people‘s water use. People use domestic water supplies for activities such as
irrigating backyard gardens, providing for livestock, fishing, processing crops
and running small-scale enterprises. In areas without adequate domestic water
supply, they use irrigation water to meet household needs, such as drinking
and bathing, as well as to support a range of income generating activities in
addition to crop production.
16
Goal 5: to ensure environmental sustainability.
When communities design their own water systems, they invariably plan for
multiple uses. And, when single use, public supply schemes are provided, they
are almost always used for multiple purposes. However, because these uses are
unplanned and only rarely acknowledged, they often lead to health risks for
water users, water shortages at the tail ends of supply systems, damage to
infrastructure, and conflicts between users.
Countries taking a strategic look at extending and improving water services for
poor rural and semi-urban communities, should capitalize on the opportunity
to reduce poverty, increase gender equity, and improve health by taking a
multiple-purpose approach. South Africa, for example, has acknowledged the
importance of multiple-use water services to lifting people out of poverty in its
2003 Water Services Strategic Framework. It pledges that: ―Water and
sanitation programmes will be designed to support sustainable livelihoods and
local economic development. The provision of water supply and sanitation
services has significant potential to alleviate poverty through the creation of
jobs, use of local resources, improvement of nutrition and health, development
of skills, and provision of a long-term livelihood for many households.‖
17
What is a multi-purpose approach?
In essence, a multi-purpose approach serves two or more purpose and involves
(1) Assessing the range of water needs in collaboration with end users,
(2) Examining the water sources available from rainwater to wastewater to
piped systems,
(3) Matching water supplies to needs based on the quantity, quality and
reliability required for various purposes.
Three crucial aspects of a multiple-use approach that are neglected in
traditional approaches to water supply are: participation of local
communities, identification of all water needs, and consideration of the
different water sources available. While this may require more time and effort
than rolling out a blanket program, the end result is more economically
efficient, social equitable and environmentally sustainable.
18
Use of other water sources can be maximized by
• Working with the private sector to promote the use of affordable
pumps and drip irrigation kits (also applies to domestic systems)
• Promoting community/rooftop rainwater harvesting
• Enlarging ponds and wells
• Developing gravity-flow systems to pipe in stream-water
• Promoting credit and access to other inputs to enable people to
make use of productive water supplies (applies to all)
19
government-funded household-level water-harvesting ponds in Ethiopia’s
Tigray region alone.
Improving health
Making more water available for cooking, bathing, sanitation and drinking
reduces the incidence of water-borne diseases and lessen child mortality. While
this can also be said of single-use, domestic water supply schemes, multiple
use approaches have the added value of also providing water for more food and
more income, which improves nutrition and allows people to take extra
preventive health measures and pay for health services.
A multiple use approach also addresses the health risks involved in unplanned
and unacknowledged uses of irrigation water and allows people greater benefits
from this source of water in areas that are as yet un-served by domestic
schemes.
While the quality of drinking water is an important health issue, research
shows that simply having water available in sufficient quantities for drinking
and hygiene is equally important. In fact, providing better access to larger
quantities of water through multiple-use approaches may improve health more
effectively than costly and often ineffective measures to ensure that high quality
water supply. This is especially true if there is a combined approach with the
use of household treatment technologies and hygiene education.
Improving gender equity
Improved water availability also promotes gender equity, as poor women are
primarily responsible for fetching water; women in Africa alone spend
around 40 billion hours per year on this activity. A study in Gujarat (India)
revealed that rural women put the time saved by improved water supply into
other productive activities. In this way, each woman could earn between US$16
and US$115 per year. Multiple-use approaches to water supply are deliberately
gender-sensitive, taking into account women‘s water needs for cooking, food
processing, cleaning, and other domestic tasks; which are often otherwise
considered secondary to the need for drinking water.
In addition, for women who are landless or who cannot go far from their houses
for cultural or security reasons, multiple-use facilities near to dwellings can
20
provide valuable income-earning and food-security opportunities. A variety of
options, besides piped domestic water, can be used. Examples include rooftop
water-harvesting structures, new or enlarged family wells, and household run-
off storage tanks, which allow wastewater from washing and bathing, for
example, to be used productively.
If the requirements of water for different uses are compatible with one another,
effective use of the water will be made. If we take irrigation, navigation, and
water supply all impose water demands. Therefore, a project combining these
functions must provide a clear and separate allocation of storage space to each
of these potential functional uses.
21
Hydropower development is not a consumptive use of water. Any water
released for the other purposes may be used for power. At a base load plant,
the water requirement may be revised for other purposes requiring uniform
flow. At a peaking plant, a regulating pond can be provided to smooth out the
fluctuation of power releases. However, it is usually necessary to allocate a
certain amount of storage for power use, since the seasonal variation in power
demand may not coincide with the demand for other uses.
Flood mitigation, with its requirement for empty storage space, is the least
compatible of all uses. Permanent flood storage is usually allocated at the top
of the normal pool or above the spillway crest. In evaluating the benefits of
storage for flood mitigation, only that storage in excess of the natural channel
storage in the reach occupied by a reservoir should be considered.
The storage for flood mitigation or control can be obtained by: Permanent
allocation or Seasonal allocation.
22
Data for demographic studies
Demography is the science of population. It refers to the number of persons and
their arrangement in space; structure (e.g., sex and age groups); the growth or
decline of population (total or one of its units); components of change in terms
of births, deaths, and migrations; and economic characteristics such as
economic activity, employment status, occupation, industry, and income.
There are large variations of population density throughout the world. The
following factors affect population distribution.
Climate (temperature, precipitation)
Landforms (topography, including altitude and slope, swamps, marshes,
and deserts)
Soils
Energy sources and mineral raw materials
Space relationships (accessibility as affected by distance from seacoast,
natural harbors, navigable rivers and fall lines, the heads of river
navigation)
Cultural factors
Historical (late discovery of settlement)
Political (boundaries, including buffer zones and controls and
migration and trade; government policies)
Types of economic activities
Technology (state of the arts; type of farming; highway, rail, water,
and air transportation facilities)
Social organization
Demographic factors (variation in natural increase; variations in net
migration)
Economic characteristics (employed and unemployed economically active
population; homemakers, students, income recipients, and other none-
economically active population; income)
Shryock et al. 1976
United Nations, 1973
23
Water Resource Needs
Categories of water demand include public water uses (domestic, commercial,
industrial and public), rural (domestic, livestock), irrigation and self-supplied
industrial (cooling and processing, thermo-electric and hydroelectric power).
Water demands vary continuously and are expressed for annual, monthly,
daily, hourly, or other time periods.
Withdrawal uses are from diversion of water from ground water or surface
water sources. Non-withdrawal uses are on-site uses such as navigation,
water-based recreation, and waste water disposal by dilution. Water is also
needed for natural vegetation and wildlife.
24
may be run continuously to prevent freezing of pipes extremely cold weather. Of
various climatic influences, precipitation appears to have the greatest effect on
per capita residential demand primarily since it affects the lawn watering
required. The living standards of the population also affect the demand, which
is greater for high income residential districts.
25
approach. The following are various methods that can be used for different
types of water resource purposes:
Municipal and industrial water supply-reduce the level and/or alter the pattern
of demand by metering, leak detection, and changes in repair rate structures,
regulations on use such as plumbing codes, education programs, and drought
contingency planning. Modify the management of existing water development
and supply by recycling, reuse, and pressure reduction. Increase upstream
watershed management and the conjunctive use of ground ad surface waters.
Irrigation water supply – Reduce the level and/or alter the time pattern of use
through irrigation scheduling, modified water rate structures, leak detection
and repair, recycling, and reuse. Modify the management of existing water
development and supplies by tailway recovery and phreatophyte controls.
Recreation and Fish and Wildlife – Enhance the management of existing sites
and manage capacity by distributing the users of the existing sites.
Hydroelectric Power - Reduce the level and/or time pattern of demand by time
of day pricing, utility loans for insulation, appliance efficiency standards,
educational programs, interregional power transfers, and increased
transmission efficiency.
A deep-rooted plant that obtains water from a permanent ground supply or from the water table
A class of desert plant with very long tap roots which develop to reach the phreatic zone.
26
relief programs. Protect natural storage areas such as wetlands for site
detention of flood water and use human-made areas such as building roofs and
parking lots.
27
Chapter Three
3. Planning Water Resource Projects
Water resources comprise all forms of water including Blue water, water in the
rivers, lakes, seas and shallow aquifers, which has received an attention from
water resources planners. These water resources need planning prior to
development:
It includes all the work associated with design of the project except its details.
There is no substitute for experience and good engineering judgment in the
selection of the method of approach to project planning. Project planning also
requires evaluation of alternatives.
This section assumes that the general location and purpose of the prospective
project have already been determined by an earlier screening process or Other
Means of designation. The following describes a typical five-stage sequence of
reports, documents, and actions for the project, including the preliminary (or
reconnaissance) report, the feasibility report, the contract documents, and
activities during construction and operation.
This consists of office studies, field studies, and the preparation of a report. The
report prepared as a result of these studies should answer the following
questions:
28
newspapers, libraries, and other source should also be contacted. Basic
materials, include maps and photographs (topographic maps, land surveys,
county and city tax maps, transportation maps, aerial photographs),
geologic and soil surveys data, climate data, stream flow and ground
water records, quality and sediment measurements, information on
ecological and environmental condition, and data and forecasts pertinent to
the specific purpose of the project (e.g., projection of water supply
requirements, or electric power demands, characteristics of existing water
supply, or electric generation and transmission systems etc.).
If the project sponsor determines that additional studies are necessary based on
the preliminary report and other consideration, a feasibility report will be
prepared. The report should contain enough information to permit a decision on
whether or not to implement the project. This implies technical studies more
detailed than those required for the preliminary report, financial and
economic analyses, and a plan for project implementation. The feasibility
report should include the following:
Descriptions and analyses of the data
29
Confirmation of construction feasibility based on additional field and
laboratory investigations, studies of project arrangement and individual
project features, and analysis of construction methods (sources of
construction materials, access to the project site, diversion of water
during construction, etc)
Final recommendation for arrangement of project works, preliminary
plants and other analyses to determine the principal quantities of
construction, a reliable cost estimate, and discussions of the design
criteria
Construction schedule showing the timing and costs of project features
Economic analyses of the project
Financial analyses projecting the year-by-year costs, revenues, and
subsidies for the project
Plants for financing construction ,and for managing the construction and
operation of the project
Institutional and legal requirements
Assessments of the environmental and social impacts of construction
and operation ,and other impact studies if required
30
the contractor‘s legal status and financial capabilities, set forth the quantities
and prices for construction and for equipment, and elaborate on the
construction methods proposed by the contractor.
The sponsor and engineers review the tenders made by contractors. A major
factor is the prices offered by a contractor. But other factors considered may
include the reputation and previous experience of the contractor, the specific
working methods proposed to carry out the construction or manufacture of
equipment and in the case of the latter, and the operating efficiency of the
equipment to be provided.
Contractors‘ tenders are usually ranked after weighting the factors, in order to
determine which tenders are in the sponsor‘s best interest, and awards are
made accordingly.
The sponsor may employ outside engineers and other consultants to assist in
operation for a limited period, train operators, prepare manuals for operation
and maintenance, and monitor the performance of the various features
31
(structural, hydrologic, hydraulic, etc.). Studies of operating rules may continue
as experience develops.
Actual formulation of the project is commenced after the basic data have been
collected and the projections have been made. The project formulation requires
a lot of imagination and skill and can be done only by an experienced planner.
A list of various alternatives is made and all these alternatives are properly
evaluated. The process of project formulation is as follows.
32
1. Problem Identification and statement of the problem: This includes the
determination of need for the project on the context of use/ control of water,
market, demand for the product and political incentive. The planner must have
a clear statement of the problem about the project, before he starts the
planning. The objectives of a project depend upon the availability of funds.
3. Projection for planning: The water resources projects are not planned for
present needs only, but they are also planned to cater the future needs.
Hence projections of future needs compatible to the population growth should
be made. However, unrealistic water use for future needs may lead over design
and excessive investments.
33
Possible sites for surface water storage and underground water storage
may be limited
There may be legal constraints which may reserve certain areas or
prohibit certain constraints
34
costs can be accurately estimated. The methods used for estimating both cost
and benefits should be consistent so that the resulting costs and the benefits
for the various alternatives are truly comparable.
For selecting the most efficient unit, the first step is to find out whether the
individual units are physically and economically independent or not then
environmental impact evaluation follows.
Evaluation of a single purpose unit: For independent, single purpose unit, the
evaluation is relatively easy. The unit is evaluated in terms of benefit-cost ratio
as well as rate of returns. The economic analysis is done to determine the
maximum benefit cost-ratio or to determine the maximum net benefits. The rate
35
of investment is determined from excessive of benefits over costs that will
accrue over the period of project.
If number of purposes is more than two, a large number of net surfaces would
be required, because a number of combinations of the various purposes will
have to be considered. However even in that case, generally two major purposes
will govern and the optimum combination can be found by keeping the other
purposes at a constant level. Each combination of two primary purposes should
be evaluated to determine the optimum benefit
The financial analysis to compare project alternatives may be performed in
several ways as follows.
1. Determination of net benefits, which is equal to the economic benefits minus
economic costs.
2. Determination of benefit cost ratio
3. Determination of rate of return on investment which is equal to (annual
benefits-annual costs) /(investment cost)
4.Determination of the internal rate of return ,which is the rate of discount
applied to annual costs and benefits so that the present worth of all costs equal
the present worth of all benefits.
Out of these benefit cost ratio is the most common indicator adopted in
economic analysis
The financial analysis can be graphically presented in the form of three
alternative curves
36
should be judged for its undesirable impacts and ecological balance. It should
be judged for its undesirable impacts on the stream and the adjacent areas.
Out of these selected alternatives the project which has minimum detrimental
effects on environment should be performed for consideration.
Some of the common environmental effects are as follows.
1. Because of accumulation of sediments in the reservoir the water
released from the reservoir is relatively silt free. It causes the degradation
of the channel down stream of the reservoir.
2. There is loss of some valuable geological, historical, archaeological or
scenic sites due to submergence caused by a reservoir.
3. There is usually damage to the fish and wild life.
4. There may be changes in ecology of an area due to extinction of some
species of flora and fauna.
5. There is damage to vegetation on the river bank due to changes of flow
patterns.
6. Due to construction of large dams, there is usually change in natural
landscape of the region.
7. There may be change in the water quality as a result of drainage from
irrigation project.
8. There are number of rehabilitation problems for the people affected by
the submerged areas.
37
constructed of concrete for a flood recurrence interval of 50 years. Change in the
material or the recurrence interval may be considered.
38
5. A prior decisions: A prior decisions should be avoided in water resources
development projects. A prior decisions regarding certain features of a project are
sometimes made before conducting an economic analysis and are not checked
subsequently whether they would be economically viable or not.
7. Not considering true prices: The sale price of water is generally subsidized and
fixed low. It therefore does not reflect the actual value of water. While calculating the
benefits from a water resources development projects the true sale price of water
should not be used in the economic analysis.
8. Incorrect use of next best alternatives: Sometimes the cost of the next best
alternative is taken as a measure of estimating benefits and for justification of a
project. By unrealistic selection of the next best alternatives project, the benefits can
be made to look quite large. For example, for developing a municipal water supply
project for a town near sea, the cost of desalted sea water is taken for the
comparison. It is not a realistic comparison because the consumers would not be
willing to pay the high cost of desalted water even if this was the only alternative.
The realistic alternative project which would be acceptable as a basis for estimating
benefits is the one which would have been constructed by tapping other water
resources if the project under study was dropped.
39
40
Chapter 4
41
complex system comprising several subsystems, each corresponding to a
tributary.
42
6. Lumped Parameter and Distributed Parameter Systems
A lumped parameter is one whose variation in space is either nonexistent or
ignored (e.g. average rainfall over a watershed). A parameter is said to be a
distributed one if its variation in one or more spatial dimensions is taken into
account. The parameters of the system, the input or the output may be lumped.
A lumped parameter system is governed by ordinary differential equations
(with time as an independent variable), whereas a distributed parameter system
is governed by partial differential equations (with spatial coordinates as
independent variables). For example, a homogeneous isotropic aquifer is
analyzed as a lumped parameter system. Instead, if the spatial variation of the
transmissivity in modelling a water table aquifer is to be taken into account, the
aquifer has to be modelled as a distributed parameter system.
8. Stable Systems
A stable system is one in which the output is bounded if the input is bounded.
Virtually all systems in hydrology and water resources are stable systems.
43
transformation. This requires conceptualization of the system and its
configuration to be able to construct a mathematical model of it in which the
input-output relationships are established through operating the system in a
defined fashion. The specification of the system operation is what we refer to as
the operating policy.
Example Problems
Prediction: In surface water hydrology, the problem is to predict the storm
runoff (output), knowing the rainfall excess (input) and the unit hydrograph
44
(system). In ground water hydrology, the problem to determine the response
(output) of a given aquifer (system), for given rainfall and irrigation application
(input). In a reservoir (system) the problem is to determine irrigation allocations
(output) for given inflow and storage (input), based on known or given operating
policy.
Synthesis: The problem of synthesis is even more complex than the inverse
problem mentioned earlier. Here no record of input and output are available. An
example is the derivation of Snyder‘s synthetic unit hydrograph using
watershed characteristics to convert known values of rainfall excess to runoff.
45
decision variables, for optimizing the objective function. The principal
optimization techniques are:
1. Linear Programming
The objective function and the constraints are all linear. It is probably the
single-most applied optimization technique all over the world. In integer
programming, which is a variant of linear programming, the decision variables
take on integer values. In mixed integer programming, only some of the
variables are integers.
2. Nonlinear Programming
The objective function and/or (any of) the constraints involve nonlinear terms.
General solution procedures do not exist. Special purpose solutions, such as
quadratic programming, are available for limited applications. However, linear
programming may still be used in some engineering applications, if a nonlinear
function can be either transformed to a linear function, or approximated by
piece-wise linear segments.
3. Dynamic Programming
Offers a solution procedure for linear or nonlinear problems, in which
multistage decision-making is involved. The choice of technique for a given
problem depends on the configuration of the system being analyzed, the nature
of the objective function and the constraints, the availability and reliability of
data, and the depth of detail needed in the investigation. Linear programming
(LP) and dynamic programming (DP) are the most common mathematical
programming models used in water resources systems analysis. Simulation, by
itself, or in combination with LP, DP, or both LP and DP is used to analyze
complex water resources systems.
46
meeting known water demands, such that the reservoir capacity is minimum,
or we may be interested in locating wells in a region such that the aquifer draw-
down is minimum for a given pumping pattern. Most engineering decision
making problems may be posed as optimization problems. In general, an
optimization problem consists of:
(a) An objective function, which is a mathematical function of decision
variables, that needs to be optimized, and
(b) A set of constraints that represents some physical (or other) conditions to
be met.
The decision variables are the variables for which decisions are required such
that the objective function is optimized subject to the constraints. In the first
example mentioned, the reservoir capacity is one of the decision variables and
the reservoir mass balance defines one set of constraints. In the second
example, the locations in terms of coordinates of the wells are the decision
variables, and again, the mass balance forms a set of constraints.
A general optimization problem may be expressed mathematically as
Maximize f(X)
Subjected to
gj(X)≤O , j=l,2....m
Where, X is a vector of decision variables, X = [x1, x2 ... xn.]
In this general problem there are n decision variables (viz. x1, x2, x3…xj,) and
m constraints. The complexity of the problem varies depending on the nature of
the function f(X), the constraint functions gj(X) and the number of variables and
constraints.
47
systems. In some situations, optimization models cannot be even applied due
to computational limitations. In many situations, however, decision-makers
would be interested in examining a number of scenarios rather than just
looking at one single solution that is optimal. Typical examples where
simulation is used in water resources include:
(a) Analysis of river basin development alternatives,
(b) Multi-reservoir operation problems,
(c) Generating trade-offs of water allocations among various uses such as
hydropower, irrigation, industrial and municipal use, etc., and
(d) Conjunctive use of surface and ground water resources,
It may be noted that by repeatedly simulating the system with various sets of
inputs it is possible to obtain near-optimal solutions.
Local Maximum:
The function f(x) is said to have a local maximum at x1 and x4, where it has a
value higher than that at any other value of x in the neighborhood of x1 and x4.
The function is a local maximum at x1, if
f(x1 - Δx1) < f(x1) > f(x1 + Δx1)
48
Local Minimum
The function f(x) is said to have a local minimum at x2 and x5, where it has a
value lower than that at any other value of x in the neighborhood of x2 and x5.
The function is a local minimum at x2, if
f(x2 - Δx2) > f(x2) <f(x2 + Δx2)
Saddle Point
The function has a saddle point at x, where the value of the function is lower on
one side of x3 and higher on the other, compared to the value at x3. The slope
of the function at x3 is zero.
f(x3 - Δx3) <fx3 <f(x3 + Δx3); slope of f(x) at x = x3 is zero.
Global Maximum
The function f(x) is a global maximum at x4 in the range a <x < b, where the
value of the function is higher than that at any other value of x in the defined
range.
Global Minimum
The function f(x) is a global is minimum at x2 in the range a <x < b, where the
value of the function is lower than that at any other value of x in the defined
range.
Convexity
A function is said to be strictly convex, if a straight line connecting any two
points on the function lies completely above the function. Consider the
function f(x) in Fig. 4.2.
49
f(x) is said to be convex if the line AB is completely above the function (curve
AB). Note that the value of x for any point n between A and B can be expressed
as ax1 + (1 - a) x2, for some value of a, such that 0 ≤ a≤1. Therefore,
1. If the inequality sign < is replaced by ≤ sign, then f(x) is said to be convex,
but not strictly convex.
2. If the inequality sign < is replaced by = sign, f(x) is a straight line and
satisfies the condition for convexity mentioned in 1 above. Therefore, a straight
line is a convex function.
Concavity
A function is said to be strictly concave if a straight line connecting any two
points on the function lies completely below the function. Consider the
function(x), in Fig. 4.3.
A function f(x) is strictly concave, if the line AB connecting any two points A and
B on the function is completely below the function. (Curve AB).
50
f[ax1 + (1 - a)x2] > af(x1) + (1 - a)f(x,)
1. If the inequality > is replaced by ≥, then f(x) is said to be concave, but not
strictly concave.
2. If the inequality > is replaced by = sign, then f(x) is a straight line still
satisfying the condition for concavity. Therefore a straight line is a concave
function.
3. If a function is strictly concave, its slope decreases continuously, or d 2f
/d2x<0. For a concave function, however d2f /d2x<0.
It may be noted that a straight line is both convex and concave, and is
neither strictly convex nor strictly concave.
A local minimum of a convex function is also its global minimum.
A local maximum of a concave function is also its global maximum.
The sum of (strictly) convex functions is (strictly) convex.
The sum of (strictly) concave functions is (strictly) concave.
If f(x) is a convex function, —f(x) is a concave function.
If f(x) is a concave function, —f(x) is a convex function.
In general, if f(x) is a convex function, and a is a constant, af(x) is convex, if a> 0
and af(x) is concave if a<0
51
2. If d2f/dx2<0 for all x, f(x) is concave and the stationary point is a global
maximum.
3. If d2f/dx2=0, we should investigate further.
In case of 3, find the first nonzero higher order derivative. Let this be the
derivative of nth order.
Thus, at the stationary point, x =xo
dnf/dxn<,=,>0
|λI – H [f(X)]| = 0
52
Where: I is an identity matrix, and λ is the vector of Eigen values. The
function f(X) is said to be positive definite if all its Eigen values are positive, i.e.
all the values of λ should be positive. Similarly, the function f(X) is said to be
negative definite if all its Eigen values are negative, i.e. all the values of λ should
be negative.
1. If all Eigen values are positive at X0, X0 is a local minimum. If all Eigen
values are positive for all possible values of X, then X0 is a global minimum.
2. If all Eigen values are negative at X0, X0 is a local maximum. If all Eigen
values are negative for all possible values of X, then X0 is a global maximum.
3. If some Eigen values are positive and some negative or some are zero, then
X0 is neither a local minimum nor a local maximum.
53
Example 4.1: Examine the following functions for convexity, concavity and
then determine their values at the extreme points.
1. f(X)= x12+x22-4x1-2x2+5
Solution:
First determine the Hessian Matrix.
df/dx1= 2x1 - 4 =0→x1=2
df/dx2 = 2x2 - 2 =0→x2=1
Check f(x) 2, 1= 22+12-8-2+5=0
d2f/dx12 = 2, d2f/dx1dx2= 0 , d2f/dx2dx1= 0, d2f/dx22= 2
Therefore, H f(x) =
Example 4.2: Examine the following functions for convexity, concavity and
then determine their values at the extreme points.
54
Solution:
Example 4.3: Examine the following functions for convexity, concavity and
then determine their values at the extreme points.
55
That is, if both x1 and x2 are positive, then both Eigen values are positive, and
f(X) is convex; or if both x1 and x2 are negative, then both Eigen values are
negative, and f(X) is concave.
Stationary points:
Therefore,
(i) f(X) has a local minimum at (x1, x2) = (1, 2), equal to1 3+ 23-3 (1) - 12(2) + 20
=
2. f min(x) = 2 at X (1, 2).
(ii) f(X) has a local maximum at (x1, x2) = (-1, -2) equal to (-l)3 + (-2)3-3 (-1)
-12 (-2) + 20 = 38. fmax(X) = 38 at X = (-1, -2). At the points (1, -2) and (-1, 2),
the function is neither convex nor concave. They are saddle points.
Constrained Optimization
We shall discuss in this section the conditions under which a function of
multiple variables will have a local maximum or a local minimum, and those
under which its local optimum also happens to be its global optimum. Let us
first consider a function with equality constraints.
56
optimization problem (through the introduction of an additional variable, the
Lagrangean multiplier).
The (n + m) simultaneous equations are solved to get a solution, (X0, λ0). Let
the second partial derivatives be denoted by
57
and independent of X, then X0 is the global maximum. If all the roots are
positive and independent of X, then X0 is the global minimum.
Example 4.4:
Or 2μ +4 = 0 giving μ = -2.
As the only root is negative, the stationary point x= (2, 2) is a local
maximum of f(X) and fmax(X) = -8.
58
The solution is found by the Lagrangean multiplier method, as indicated,
treating s as an additional variable in each inequality constraint.
When the Larangean of f(X) is formed with either type of constraint, equating
the partial derivative with respect to (w.r.t.) s gives,
λ.s = 0, meaning either λ = 0 or s = 0.
Kuhn-Tucker Conditions
The conditions mentioned above lead to the statement of Kuhn-Tucker
conditions. These conditions are necessary for a function f(X) to be a local
maximum or a local minimum. The conditions for a maximization problem are
given below.
Maximize f(X)
Subject to gj(X) ≤ 0, j= 1...m.
The conditions are as follows:
In addition if f(X) is concave, and the constraints form a convex set, these
conditions are sufficient for a global maximum.
General Problem
The necessary and sufficient conditions for optimization of a function of
multiple variables subject to a set of constraints are discussed below.
A general problem may be one of maximization or minimization with equality
constraints, and inequality constraints of both >= and <= type.
Consider the problem
59
Introduce variables s into the inequality constraints to make them equality
constraints or equations. Let S denote the vector with elements sj.
The Lagrangean is
Note: For a maximum or a minimum, the feasible space or the solution space
should be a convex region. A constraint set g,(X) <= 0 defines a convex region, if
gi(X) is a convex function for all i. Similarly, a region defined by a constraint set
gi(X) >= 0 is a convex region, if gi(X) is a concave function for all i.
60
It is practically better to stick to one set of criteria, i.e. either for maximization
or minimization. We shall follow the criteria for maximization in the following
examples while testing the sufficiency criterion. For this purpose, we shall
convert the given problem to the following form:
Maximize f(X)
Subjected to gi(X) ≤ 0
We shall reiterate here that a linear function is both convex and concave.
Example 4.5:
61
(i) Assuming λ2=O, sl =O; x1=8/5, x2=6/5 and λ1= 4/5>0, s22=3/5>0
Here the conditions for a maximum are satisfied. No violations.
(ii) Assume λ1 = 0 and λ2 = 0.
Then the simultaneous equations give
x1= x2 = 2; s12= -2 (not possible)
s22 = -l (not possible).
This is not a solution to the problem.
Similarly,
(iii) Assume. λ1 = 0 and s2 = 0.
The equations to be solved are:
62
Note: In a clear case like this, when f(X) is strictly convex or -f(X) is strictly
concave and the solution set is convex (i.e. the constraint set is a convex region
being bounded by linear functions), there is a unique solution.
That is, only a particular combination of λ and s yields the optimum solution.
Thus, in a given trial in a problem such as Example 4.5, with two constraints:
If λ1 and λ 2 are assumed to be zero, then s12 and s22 should both be positive,
If λ1 and s2 are assumed to be zero, then λ 2 and s12 should both be positive,
If λ2 and s1 are assumed to be zero, then λ1 and s22 should both be positive,
If s1 and s2 are assumed to be zero, then λ1 and λ 2 should both be positive.
The first trial, which satisfies these conditions, will be the optimal solution to
the problem, and the computations can stop there.
(Here)
63
4.3.2 Linear programming
Liner programming may be classified as the most popular optimization
technique used ever in water resources systems planning. Its popularity is
partly because of the readily available software packages for problem solution,
apart from its ability to screen large-scale water resources systems in
identifying potential smaller systems for detailed modelling and analysis.
Systems analysts find this tool extremely useful as a screening model for very
large systems, and as a planning model to determine the design and operating
parameters for a detailed operational study of a given system.
A. Graphical Method:
Linear programming (LP) is a scheme of solving an optimization problem in
which both the objective function and the constraints are linear functions of
decision variables. There are several ways of expressing a linear programming
formulation, which lend themselves to solutions, with appropriate modifications
to the original problem.
We shall illustrate here maximization problem in LP in its classical form first,
and discuss variations later in the section.
64
Each of the constraints can be converted to an equation by adding a slack
variable to the left hand side. The coefficient of this slack variable in the
objective function will be zero.
Where the variables xn+1, xn+2, ...,xn+m are called slack variables. The
objective function is written including the slack variables with
coefficients cn+1, cn+2 …cn+m=0
65
method on this starting solution for better values of the objective
function till optimality is reached.
Example 4.6
Two crops are grown on a land of 200 ha. The cost of raising crop 1 is 3
unit/ha, while for crop 2 it is 1 unit/ha. The benefit from crop 1 is 5 unit/ha
and from crop 2, it is 2 unit/ha. A total of 300 units of money is available for
raising both crops. What should be the cropping plan (how much area for crop
1 and how much for crop 2) in order to maximize the total net benefits?
Solution:
The net benefit of raising crop 1 = 5 - 3 = 2 unit/ha
The net benefit of raising crop 2 = 2 - 1 = 1 unit/ha
Let x1 be the area of crop 1 in hectares and x2 be that of crop 2, and z, the‘ total
net benefit.
Then the net benefit of raising both crops is 2x 1 + x2. However, there are two
constraints. One limits the total cost of raising the two crops to 300, and the
other limits the total area of the two crops to 200 ha. These two are the
resource constraints. Thus the complete formulation of the problem is:
Equation (2.1) is the objective function and Eqs (2.2) are the constraints. The
non-negative constraints for x1 and x2 indicate that neither x1 nor x2 can
physically be negative (area cannot be negative).
66
First, the feasibility region for the constraint set should be mapped. To do this,
plot the lines 3x1 + x2 =300 and x1 + x2 = 200, along with x1= 0 and x2 = 0 as
in Fig. 2.4. The region bounded by the non-negativity constraints is the first
quadrant in which x1≥0 and x2 ≥0. The region bounded by the constraint 3x1 +
2x2 ≤300 is the region OCD (it is easily seen that since the origin x1 = 0, x2 = 0
satisfies this constraint, the region to the left of the line CD in which the origin
lies is the feasible region for this constraint). Similarly, the region OAB is the
feasible region for the constraint X1 + X2 ≤ 200.
67
68
B. Simplex Method
69
Terminology:
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
Chapter 5
WATER LAWS
5.1 Water sharing rights
In areas where water is inadequate to meet the needs of the users, water is
considered as an essential commodity. So as a system of laws has been
developed to specify the rights of the owners of the land to avoid conflicts.
Water laws focus on the economic aspects of water management. The two major
laws are:
1. Riparian rights:
Basic concepts and clauses;
a. The owner of the land adjacent to a river (riparian land) is entitled to receive
the full natural flow of the river without changing its quality and quantity.
b. The riparian owner is protected against the diversion of water from the
upstream side of his or her property.
c. No upstream owner may lessen or increase the natural flow of a river to
create disadvantage to the downstream owner.
2. Appropriate rights:
Basic concepts and clauses;
a. The right of the earliest appropriator is superior to any other claim.
b. Appropriation is possible if the water is available in excess of the earliest
claims.
c. The claimants of the earliest priority are entitled to their full share and the
owners of latter priority may not have the share.
d. An appropriator may store water in reservoir for using during the period of
shortage; but the amount of shortage should be limited by the terms of shortage
appropriation.
e. Waste water discharge, discharge from flood mitigation and hydroelectric
storage reservoirs should be properly appropriated.
Water neither knows nor respects compartmentalized political boundaries;
81
IRBM IN THE BLUE NILE RIVER BASIN
• Unchanged Status quo:
The 1959 Agreement defined a status quo set in absolute quantities (66%
to Egypt, 22% to Sudan, 12% to evaporation and seepage).
• Mutually exclusive Doctrines:
―Acquired/Historical rights‖ or ―Appropriate rights‘‘ vs ―Riparian Rights;‖
Egypt has mostly stressed the triple doctrines of primary need, prior use,
and acquired rights;
The riparian doctrine: ―the owner of land bordering a water body acquires
certain rights to use the water.‖
82
• Lack of confidence between upstream & downstream countries:
Historical legacy (war, rebellious activities, Cold war issues), hence failed
to reconcile their narrow national sentiment and broader regional
cooperation;
• Lack of Basin-wide legal and institutional framework for utilizing
and managing the river:
to date, no comprehensive agreement except pro- Cairo colonial
and post-colonial agreements;
This has sustained fear and suspicion of one another and the
intention to maximize one's own benefit.
Water has the potential to act as irritant or unifying factor for the co-
basin states;
Basin Master Plan: Generally master plan includes facilities that are
required to be built as described below.
Access
Provide public access and facilities for water-oriented recreation and
recognize the need for maintenance of river training works.
• Conservation
Support efforts and programs designed to conserve water, land, and soil
resources and riverine and estuarine systems.
83
• Education
Promote human, environmental, and economic well-being through
education and information programs that foster an understanding of the
complex water-related issues throughout the river basins and bay.
• Flood Protection
Support efforts to reduce damages caused by flooding.
• New Reservoirs
Identifying new reservoirs in the Master Plan that may be implemented
as needed for water supplies, Hydropower, Irrigation etc...
• Reuse
Highly treated wastewater should be reused for beneficial purposes.
• Water Quality
Continue to maintain and improve the water quality of the River.
Water can serve as both source of conflict and cooperation among the
riparian countries;
84
The world‘s fresh water resources are under increasing pressure due
to:
Growth in population;
Increased economic activity ;
Improved standards of living
Overuse of this resources
Limited nature of the fresh water resources etc…
85
The Principles of the UN Convention (1997):
Cooperation among riparian states (Article 8); and
Protection and preservation of international rivers and associated
ecosystems (Articles 5, 8, 20, and 21).
Conclusions
A holistic, systemic approach, relying on integrated river basin
management must replace the fragmentation in managing water;
Water resources integration can be considered under the natural
and human system integration based on the existing principles.
86
WATER RESOURCES UTILIZATION IN ETHIOPIA
____________________________________________________________________
NEGARIT GAZETA
OF THE TRANSITIONAL GOVERNMENT OF ETHIOPIA
___________________________________________________________________________
1. Short Title
This proclamation may be cited as the "Water Resources Utilization
proclamation No. 92/1994."
2. Definitions
In this proclamation, unless the context requires otherwise:
87
5. "Fishery resources development" means development activities
relating to fishery resources and other faunas;
a) Irrigated agriculture;
b) Commercial animal raring;
c) Commercial fishery resources development;
d) Industry and aero-industry;
e) Mining;
f) Municipal and urban water supply;
g) Hydro-electric power generation;
h) Recreation and tourism;
i) Water transport;
j) Any use requiring construction of water works.
88
a) Name and address of the applicant;
b) The intended use of the water resources;
c) Location of the water resources and the intended place of
use;
d) The intended method and manner of use of the water
resources;
e) The volume of water required monthly and annually;
f) Where appropriate, investment certificate and other
information required by the Appropriate Authority.
5. Issuance of Permit
1. The Appropriate Authority shall issue the requested permit within
60 days, where it is satisfied that the intended use of the water:
89
4. Where an application or renewal of permit is rejected, the
Appropriate Authority shall notify, in writing, the permit holder in
the manner prescribed under Article 5(c) of this proclamation.
90
6. Transfer of the permit to another person without the permission of
the Appropriate Authority;
91
3. Take necessary measures so that the issuance of water use permit
to investors does not adversely affect the interest of peasants in any
manner whatsoever;
12. Servitude
1. A permit holder may, with the approval of the Appropriate Authority,
construct water works on land under the possession of another
person for the purpose of abstracting the required water from its
source;
3. The provision of sub-Article (1) of this Article shall not apply to land
under peasant holding unless the peasants themselves have given
their consent and provided that the construction of the water work
does not in any way entail eviction of the peasants.
92
2. The Appropriate Authority shall consult with the concerned
Central Government organs before issuing water use permits
relating to trans-boundary Rivers.
18. Penalty
Any person violating the provisions of this proclamation shall be
punishable in accordance with the penal Code.
93
No Law, regulations, directives or practices which are inconsistent with the
provisions of this proclamation shall have force or effect with rspect to
matters provided for in this Proclamation.
MELES ZENAWI
PRESIDENT OF THE TRANSITIONAL
GOVERNMENT OF ETHIOPIA
Definition:
5.3.1 Introduction:
94
5.3.2 Main Features:
95
impacts, impact mitigation and management options,
level of significance and concerns.
Review of EIS - EIS is open for public comment for a
sufficient period of time.
Decision-making - public comments considered and a
decision made whether to accept the proposal as is,
modify the proposal or reject the proposal outright.
Monitoring and review - develop an implementation
plan; begin monitoring and review of the project.
EIA has suffered much criticism over the years including criticism about:
poor public consultation practices; poorly written reports; costly,
inefficient and time consuming practices; limited scope; information
understated or omitted from reports; EIA treated as a separate process
and not integrated into the project cycle; lack of monitoring and review of
terms set out in reports; and inconsistent application. The result is a
lack of confidence in the EIA process by both decision makers and the
general public.
96
for the project. These suggestions were included in the EIA and
stimulated public debate. The EIA generated several reports: an
environmental report, a regional plan directive, a local plan and
an environmental approval. The environmental report included
mapping; registration; analyses; forecasts; and assessments of
noise, air quality, soil and groundwater, wastewater, surface
water, waste, resources, architecture, landscape, flora, fauna and
socio-economic impacts of the proposal. The regional plan
directive established general guidelines for the use of land around
the airport. The local plan defined provisions for the use of the
area, size and location of buildings, traffic, un-built areas, etc. The
environmental approval set terms and conditions and defined
preventive requirements.
97
government organizations; environment consultants; and decision
makers.
Scale of Operation
98
Chapter 6
WATER RESOURCE BASINS OF ETHIOPIA
6.1 Introduction
The country is located between 3o and 15o North latitudes and 30o
and 48o East longitudes. It has a total area of 1.13 million square
kilometer.
Due to its great geographical diversity, the country comprises hot and
cold places as well as the Great Rift Valley that separate the western
and northern high lands from southeastern and eastern highlands.
99
Ethiopia, with its different geological formations and climatic
conditions, is endowed with considerable water resources and wetland
ecosystems, including twelve river basins, about 14 major lakes, and
some man made reservoirs. About 123 billion cubic meters of
water runs off annually from the above sources. Most of them are
trans-boundary Rivers. The country is also known for its groundwater
resource, but the potential has not been assessed in detail. The
preliminary estimated amount of yearly groundwater recharge of the
country is about 28,000 Mm3. Recent studies indicated that the
potential is much greater than this amount. Most of the developed
groundwater resources are mainly used for domestic and industrial
water supply. So far, only 20.4% of the Ethiopian landmass has been
mapped at 1:250,000, 36.8% at one million scale and the whole country
at two million scale (Ethiopian Geological Survey).
Almost all of the River Basins radiate from the central ridges that
separate the Rift Valley from the highlands of Ethiopia to all
directions out of the country. Basins drained by rivers originating from
the mountains west of the Rift Valley flow West into Sudan, and those
originating from the Eastern highland flow east into the Republic of
Somalia. Rivers draining the Rift Valley Basins System originates from
the adjoining highlands and flow North and South of the uplift in the
Center of the Ethiopian Rift Valley North of Lake Ziway. That is why this
country is called ―the water tower of east Africa.”
There is very big variation in the size of the Basins that is mainly the
function of the geological formation. The Wabishebelle River Basin is
the largest basin in Ethiopian with an area of 202, 220 km2 followed by
the Abbay River Basin covering an area of 199812 km2. The smallest
100
basin is the Aysha Basin with an area of 2223 km2 followed by the
Mereb that has an area with in Ethiopia of 5900 km2.
2 Abbay R West, 7 o 45 ' N-12 o 45 ' N; 34 199912 West ( Nile ) Mediterranean Sea
Southwest HL o 05 ' E-39 o 05 ' E
3 Genale Dawa R Bale Highland 3 0 30'N-7 0 20'N 37 0 172259 East Indian Ocean
05'E-43 0 20'E
5 Tekeze R North Wollo 11 0 40'N-15 0 12'N 36 0 82350 West ( Nile ) Mediterranean Sea
Highland 30'E-39 0 50'E
10 Rift Valley L Arsi and 4 0 20'N-8 0 30'N 36 0 52000 South Chew Bahir
Lakes Central HL 30'E-39 0 30'E
101
impenetrable making accessibility as well as other development efforts a
complex endeavor.
Except the Ogaden and Aysha Basins which are totally located in the
lowlands, the other basins of Ethiopia exhibit a large altitudinal gradient
the highest being in the Denakil Basin.
1 Wabishebelle Mt Bale 4000 Galama & Ahmar 4000 Somali Border 200
3 Genale Dawa Mt. Bale 4300 Mt. Batu 4307 Somali Border 180
102
Table 6.3: Major river basins, catchments areas and annual discharges
No. Basins Catchments area Annual Discharge
The most populous basin in Ethiopia is the Abbay Basin. The Abbay
Basin is the most important Basin in Ethiopia by most criteria as it
contributes about 45% of the countries surface water resources, 25
% of the population, 20 % of the landmass, 40 % of the nations
agricultural product and most of the hydropower and irrigation
potential of the country. Population density is highest in Rift Valley
Lakes Basin indicating the immense pressure on the resource base. The
basin with the lowest population size and density is the Aysha Dry Basin
(ADB) mainly due to its remoteness, inaccessibility, harsh environmental
condition, low resource potential and shortage of socio-economic
infrastructures and services. Despite the huge productive force in the
basins (Age group 15-64), the high rate of illiteracy could be an obstacle
to their development.
103
the basins; Ogaden, Aysha and Mereb fall with in one Regional State,
Somali and Tigray respectively and the Gambella Regional State falls
within one basin i.e the Baro-Akobo River Basin. The discrepancy
between the basin boundary which is considered as an appropriate unit
for planning and management of water resources and the
administrative boundary, within which most decisions of development
are made, will be one of the challenges forthcoming with the progress of
basin based water resources management approach under
implementation.
104
6.3 BASINS POTENTIAL FOR FUTURE WATER RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
105
The detail objectives of the water resources management policy
are:
106
The stages of project planning in water resource development are critical for systematically addressing the demands and potential impacts of a project. They provide a structured approach that includes identification, formulation, evaluation, and implementation of projects . The process typically begins with a preliminary or reconnaissance survey to establish the feasibility, capacity estimates, potential costs, and necessary studies . This is followed by a feasibility study that offers a detailed evaluation, including technical, economic, and environmental analyses, to inform decision-making on whether the project should proceed . Subsequently, alternatives are formulated and assessed for their impacts across various dimensions, including economic, environmental, and social factors . Public participation is a crucial element throughout the planning process, helping to refine objectives, generate alternatives, and assess community acceptance . As the project progresses, stages like design, construction, and operation are implemented while continuing to evaluate the necessity for adjustments based on new information and stakeholder input . This comprehensive planning approach ensures that water resource projects are sustainable, cost-effective, and beneficial to society while minimizing negative impacts .
Participation from various stakeholders in water resources planning improves the process by promoting diverse perspectives and expertise, leading to more comprehensive and effective project designs. Diverse input from stakeholders like governments, engineers, economists, community representatives, and environmental groups helps identify issues and needs accurately and develops balanced solutions that address economic, environmental, and social considerations . Involving stakeholders enhances cooperation and minimization of conflicts, as it allows for integrated approaches and sharing of responsibilities which are crucial in managing complex water systems . Furthermore, it facilitates the adoption of multiple-purpose water use strategies, acknowledging a variety of user needs and improving project sustainability and acceptance . Stakeholder collaboration also encourages the development of adaptable management plans that can better address future challenges and changes .
Optimization techniques in water resource project planning offer several advantages. They enable efficient allocation and use of resources by determining optimal solutions for complex problems involving competing water needs and limited availability. These techniques facilitate better decision-making by evaluating multiple alternatives to achieve maximum net benefits, considering economic, environmental, and social factors . Additionally, they support sustainable development by accommodating future demands and mitigating resource conflicts, thus promoting equitable and efficient management of water resources . By integrating both structural and non-structural solutions, optimization ensures comprehensive planning that enhances regional cooperation and minimizes environmental impacts, leading to improved quality of life ."}
Updating water resource systems after implementation is crucial to address changing needs due to factors such as population growth, economic activity, and environmental pressures . It also helps optimize regional benefits, mitigate water-related disasters, and enhance water productivity in agriculture . Methods employed include using a multiple-use approach to accommodate various needs, facilitating community involvement in design to ensure adaptability, promoting reuse of water through recycling and household treatment technologies, and improving access through infrastructure like rainwater harvesting and irrigation systems . This ongoing adaptation improves system sustainability by engaging users directly in maintenance, leading to heightened willingness to invest in and support these systems ."}
Flood hazard reduction strategies include implementing land use regulations, development and relocation policies, disaster preparedness plans, flood-proofing constructions, early warning systems, acquisition and easement of flood plains, and encouraging flood insurance programs. Also, natural storage areas like wetlands can be preserved for floodwater detention, complemented by human-made measures like utilizing building roofs and parking lots for additional capacity .
Critical factors in selecting methods for water resources planning include technical effectiveness, economic feasibility, environmental impact, social acceptability, and legal compliance. Methods must address multi-purpose water uses such as irrigation, domestic supply, and hydroelectric power to accommodate diverse needs . Integrated approaches are preferable, utilizing both structural and nonstructural measures to optimize benefits, minimize adverse impacts, and ensure sustainability . The involvement of local communities and alignment with regional and national policies are also important, along with considering international water rights and treaties for transboundary resources . Additionally, principles such as ecological sustainability, equitable access, and capacity for crisis management play a role in method selection for comprehensive water resources management ."}
The primary purposes for developing and managing water resources include irrigation, domestic and municipal water supply, industrial use, hydroelectric power generation, flood control, and water quality management, including wastewater treatment . Additionally, water resources management aims to augment low flow, support navigation, recreation, commercial fishing, and aquatic farming, as well as provide drainage and sedimentation control for watershed management . The overarching goals also encompass regional economic development, improving health and safety, and facilitating equitable income distribution . Integrated River Basin Management (IRBM) promotes the coordinated development and management of water, land, and related resources, emphasizing cooperative management to optimize benefits, reduce tensions, and maintain shared ecosystems . Multilateral frameworks such as the Indus Waters Treaty and the Mekong River Commission also highlight the importance of international cooperation in sustainable water resource development and ecological preservation .
Environmental policies influence the economic evaluation of water resources projects by requiring comprehensive assessment of potential environmental impacts, which can affect project costs and benefits. Policies advocating for the preservation and enhancement of natural and land resources, ecological systems, and water quality are considered in economic evaluations to balance environmental sustainability with financial viability . Projects must assess environmental impacts such as submergence loss of geological or scenic sites, impacts on wildlife, and changes in water quality or ecology, which could increase costs or change project scope . Furthermore, policies ensuring sustainable and equitable water resources management demand the incorporation of future needs and potential constraints into economic evaluations, affecting the determination of benefits and costs, as well as the selection of alternatives .
The concepts of convexity and concavity are crucial in the optimization of water resource projects because they help in determining the nature of the objective function and constraints involved in planning and management. Convex functions represent a situation where the sets of feasible solutions form a convex set, which means local solutions are also global solutions, thus simplifying the optimization process . In contrast, concave functions can indicate diminishing returns or limitations in resource usage, highlighting potential inefficiencies or constraints. Understanding these properties allows planners to identify optimal allocation and utilization strategies, balance competing demands, and ensure sustainability . Moreover, these concepts are instrumental in integrated river basin management, where they assist in simulating various scenarios to optimize the use of shared resources efficiently and equitably among different sectors and regions . Therefore, mastering these mathematical characteristics enables more effective decision-making in complex water resource systems ."}
The Hessian matrix is crucial in determining the nature of extrema for a function of multiple variables in water resource projects because it provides information about the curvature of the function. It is composed of the second partial derivatives of the function, and its analysis helps in identifying whether a critical point is a local minimum, local maximum, or a saddle point. If the Hessian is positive definite at a critical point, the function is locally convex, indicating a local minimum. If it is negative definite, the function is locally concave, suggesting a local maximum. A Hessian that is indefinite indicates a saddle point, which is neither a maximum nor a minimum . Understanding these extrema is essential in optimizing water resource management and planning, as it aids in determining the most efficient allocation of resources . In scenarios where optimization is complex due to nonlinearities or multiple variables, the Hessian matrix provides insights that can inform the decision-making process by identifying optimal or suboptimal solutions .