Financing Demand Demirguc Kunt and Maksimovic
Financing Demand Demirguc Kunt and Maksimovic
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JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS VOL. 41, NO. 2, JUNE 2006
COPYRIGHT 2006, SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION,UNIVERSITYOF WASHINGTON, SEATTLE,WA 98195
Abstract
Extant research posits that information asymmetry and agency issues affect the
theoretical
cost of external financing and hence impact the ability of firms to finance their growth
opportunities. In contrast, the literature on disclosure policy posits that expanded and
credible disclosure lowers the cost of external financing and improves a firm's ability to
pursue potentially profitable projects. An empirical implication is that disclosure can help
firms grow by relaxing external financing constraints, thereby allowing capital to flow to
positive net present value projects. This paper empirically evaluates this prediction using
firm-level data over an 11-year period. As anticipated by theory, we find a positive relation
between firm disclosure policy and the externally financed growth rate, after controlling
for other influences.
I. Introduction
asymmetry and agency costs in influencing firm growth through their impact on
the efficiency of firms' investments (Stein (2003)). In particular, these distortions
serve to constrain firms' access to lower cost external financing and hence limit a
firm's ability to pursue potentially profitable projects (Demirguc-Kunt and Mak
simovic (1998)). However, a related literature suggests that disclosure policy is a
a firm can lower its cost of external
curative mechanism through which financing
and improve its ability to fund growth opportunities (Verrecchia (2001), Bush
man and Smith (2001), and Stein (2003)). An implication of this line of inquiry
is that it anticipates a association between a firm's disclosure policy and
positive
its realized growth rate. This paper empirically evaluates this prediction.
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358 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
(AIMR reports).4 The benefit of using the scores assigned by the analysts is that
a measure
they provide ready off-the-shelf that has been widely used in prior
research as a measure of corporate disclosure Further
comprehensive practices.
more, prior studies (e.g., Yu (2005)) find thisdisclosure metric tobe well behaved
in that it is statistically significant in the predicted direction with the dependent
variable of interest. However, we recognize that a firm's disclosure is not
policy
1
Jensen and Meckling (1976) describe another agency problem whereby managers acting in the
interest of equity holders may extract value from debt holders by investing in riskier projects after
debt is in place. This "asset substitution" problem will serve to further increase the cost of external
financing.
2See Verrecchia (2001) for a review of the theoretical literature on voluntary disclosure.
3Prior empirical studies largely examine the relation between firm disclosure policy and cost of
external capital (Botosan (1997), Sengupta (1998), and Leuz and Verrecchia (2000)). In contrast, this
paper focuses on how disclosure policy contributes to firm growth.
4Empirical research using this database documents considerable variation in the level of disclosure
across firms (Lang and Lundholm (1993)). Lundholm and Meyers (2002) cite several studies that
use these disclosure rankings as a measure of a firm's disclosure
policy. For example, Lang and
Lundholm (1996) provide evidence that firms with higher disclosure rankings have less dispersion
among individual analyst forecasts, implying thatmore disclosures reduce information asymmetry.
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 359
of each individual firm, while at the same time controlling for factors that may
affect the demand for external we calculate for each sample
capital. Specifically,
firm the rate atwhich itcan grow, using i) only its internalfunds or ii) its internal
funds and short-term We then compute the extent to which a firm's
borrowing.
actual rate exceeds each of these two estimated rates and use a simulta
growth
neous to explicitly model excess rates and disclosure as
equation system growth
determined variables. As an additional test,
endogenously dependent sensitivity
we measure disclosures to the measurement of firm growth to avoid the con
prior
cern of simultaneity bias thatmay arise iffirmswith higher externally financed
disclose more.
growth
a sample of 1,436 observations over an 11-year from
Using firm-year period
1984 to 1994, we find that analyst rankings of overall firm disclosure are posi
tively associated with firm growth supported through external financing. These
results after controlling for several firm characteristics linked to external
prevail
needs. In addition, the results are robust to alternative model speci
financing
fications. Overall, we find that disclosure facilitates firm growth. Our finding
is consistent with the notion that disclosure affects firm growth by improving a
firm's access to lower cost externalfinancing.
Overall, our results add to the growing literature on corporate finance and
Recent research the role of institutional factors such as a
growth. emphasizes
environment on investment and For exam
country's legal efficiency growth.6
ple, Levine and Zervos (1998), Rajan and Zingales (1998), and Demirguc-Kunt
and Maksimovic (1998) explore the relation between financial development of
countries, industries, and firms, their on the cost of
respectively, through impact
external financing. However, Stein (2003) notes that investmentdistortions aris
and agency conflicts can impact even in
ing from information asymmetry growth
settings where a country's institutions such as the legal, auditing, and contracting
environment are "highly evolved." In the spirit of this observation and in contrast
to recent studies, this paper focuses on firms in the U.S. where, despite highly
5An alternative
approach is to focus on corporate investment demand along the lines of Fazzari,
Hubbard, and Petersen (1988) and compare the empirical sensitivity of investment to cash flow across
a group of firms sorted according to a proxy for disclosure. Given that extant research (e.g., Almeida
and Campello (2002), Alti (2003), Cleary (1999), Erickson and Whited (2000), Kaplan and Zingales
(1997), and Poterba (1988)) has questioned themeaning of the cash flow sensitivities of investment
on theoretical and empirical grounds, we sidestep these issues by focusing on the impact of disclosure
on firm growth obtained through external financing. As we indicate later, the approach we use in
our study estimates the excess growth made possible by external financing for each firm by directly
identifying firms that cannot internally fund their investment.
6La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny (2000a) also point to the role of the legal en
vironment as an institutional governance mechanism in limiting wealth expropriation by inside man
agers and owners at the expense of minority shareholders.
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360 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
financing. For example, Myers (1977) posits thatmanagers may forgo positive
NPV projects in thepresence of risky debt. Given thispotential conflict, creditors
may price this risk, resulting in a higher cost of borrowing.
Extant theory also posits that an expanded disclosure policy serves to im
asymmetry and agency conflicts. Verrecchia (1983) points to the role of disclo
sure in adverse selection costs associated with information
limiting asymmetry.
More recent research by Bushman and Smith (2003) highlights how disclosure
can affect the investments, and value-added of firms both low
productivity, by
ering the cost of external financing and
by reducing agency costs. Under this
framework, disclosure not only reduces adverse selection, but also plays a gov
ernance role in improving investors' to monitor firm performance and to
ability
better evaluate managerial performance. The overall is that managers
implication
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 361
7Lang and Lundholm (2000) report a dramatic increase in disclosure activity around seasoned
equity offerings for a sample of 41 firms. However, firms that substantially increase their disclosure
activity in the six months before the offering experience price increases prior to the offering relative to
the control firms, but suffer negative returns relative to the control firms subsequent to the announce
ment, suggesting that the increased disclosure activity for some firmsmay have been hype that enables
them to attain a lower cost of equity capital.
8Consistent with the existence of an optimal level of disclosure, prior empirical studies show
that the level of voluntary disclosure is associated with the costs and benefits of disclosure. For
example, Lang and Lundholm (1993) find that the level of disclosure is positively related to the level
of information asymmetry. Similarly, Bamber and Cheon (1998) find that disclosure levels decline
with proprietary and litigation costs.
9The empirical implication is that the effect of disclosure on externally financed growth may be
related to the type of external financing. In Section IV.D, we conduct additional analysis to test this
implication.
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362 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
HI. A firm's externally financed growth rate is positively associated with the level
of disclosure, ceteris paribus.
proves firms' access to lower cost external financing. It is plausible that firms that
are growing and performing well may also be more forthcoming in their disclo
sures to firms that are doing poorly. To the extent that these cause and
compared
effect relations are feasible, disclosure and externally financed growth variables
are to be determined. To account for the simultaneity, we estimate
likely jointly
the relation between disclosure and externally financed growth (EFG) using the
following simultaneous equation system,10
where DISCL is a measure of a firm's overall level of disclosure; LMVE is the log
ofmarket value of equity (a proxy for size); CORR is thehistorical correlation be
tween annual returns and earnings computed over the preceding 10 years (a proxy
for information asymmetry); ROA is return on assets (a proxy of performance);
STD is standard deviation of annual market-adjusted stock returns over the pre
ceding five years (a proxy for performance variability); EFG is a measure to cap
turegrowthmade possible by external financing; DIV/TA is total dividends/total
assets; NI/NS is earnings after interest and taxes/net sales; NS/TA is net sales/total
assets; LOG_TA is the natural log of total assets; Q is Tobin's Q; and FIN/TA is
equity and debt issuances/total assets.
All variables (except EFG) inmodels (1) and (2) are averaged over the same
time span over which EFG is computed. Model (1) specifies disclosure policy as a
function of firm growth, lagged values of the disclosure score, and four other vari
ables that prior research indicates are related to disclosure. Larger firms tend to
disclose more because of greater demand for information; hence, the coefficient
10We also perform two specification checks for alternative control variables in the disclosure re
gression. First, we include a dummy variable equal to one forwhether a firm issued equity or debt in
the current year, and zero otherwise. Second, we exclude performance variability from our regression
model. The results are not sensitive to any of these variations.
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 363
bility to legal action (Lang and Lundholm (1993)). Hence, the coefficient on the
variable STD is expected to be positive.
Model (2) uses a firm's externally financed growth rate as a dependent vari
able and regresses it on a set of firm characteristics related to both external fi
nancing needs and our test variable proxying for firm-level disclosure. Because
HI predicts a positive relation between disclosure and externally financed growth,
thevariable DISCL is expected tohave a positive sign inour regressionmodel (2).
An advantage of the two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimation is that it yields
consistent parameter estimates because the fitted values of DISCL all ex
using
ogenous variables in equations ( 1) and (2) are uncorrelated with the error term in
model (2).
Demirguc-Kunt andMaksimovic (1998), (2002) point out thatat present we
do not have an explicit theoretical model that links firm characteristics to exter
nally financed growth. In the absence of such a model, the variables in model
(2) attempt to control for factors that can influence externally financed growth,
our variable, in two ways. First, we control for factors that capture
dependent
the availability of internal and external funds. The more the internal funds, the
lower the demand for external sources of funds. Second, we control for factors
that reflect the level of growth opportunities.
In regressionmodel (2), thevariables DIV/TA, Z\NS/NA, Z\NI/NS, LOG_TA,
and FIN/TA control for the extent of availability of internal/externalfunds,while
the variable, Tobin's Q controls for growth opportunities. Firms that pay more
dividends (as a proportion of total assets) (DIV/TA) are viewed to have excess
cash relative to their investment needs (Demirguc-Kunt and Maksimovic (1998)).
In our context, the implication is that externally financed growth is likely to be
smaller for firms with values of DIV/TA; hence, the coefficient on the vari
higher
able DIV/TA is expected to be negative.
Following research, we also control for changes in firm performance,
prior
u
namely, changes in profitmargin and asset turnover. Fairfield and Yohn (2001)
note that "profit margin measures firms' to control the costs incurred to
ability
generate revenues" 372). As such, an increase in profit margin is expected
(p.
to contribute to the available level of internal funds and hence the level of inter
1
^airfield and Yohn (2001) hypothesize that the specific mix of asset turnover and profitmargin
is not useful in predicting future profitability because the levels of these ratios are in part the product
of a firm's operating strategy. Consistent with their hypothesis, they find that it is the change in asset
turnover and change in profit margins (and not the level of asset turnover and profitmargin) that is
useful in forecasting changes in return on assets one year ahead.
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364 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
ability to generate revenues from its assets. To the extent that a change in as
set turnover influences a firm's to generate sales from its assets in place,
ability
a change in asset turnover should contribute to realized total growth as well as
equity plus assets minus the book value of equity deflated by total assets. The
greater the value of Tobin's Q, the greater the externally financed growth. Hence,
the expected sign for the variable Tobin's Q is positive.
12It should also be noted that firms' internal cash flows and investment opportunities are endoge
nously determined. For example, a firm's internal cash flow depends on the profitability generated
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 365
financing must take into account both of these factors. Following Demirguc-Kunt
andMaksimovic (1998), (2002), we estimate a firm's externally financed growth
using its "percentage of sales" approach to financial Three are
planning. points
worth noting about this approach. First, the ratio of assets used in production
to sales is assumed to be constant. The here is that the total investment
upshot
required will be positively related to a firm's growth in sales. Second, the firm's
= *
(3)EFN, [g, A,]-[(1+g,) *(?,*/>,)],
= * -
(4) IG, (ROA, bt)/(l ROA, * &,),
where ROA, is the ratio of earnings after interest and taxes to assets.13 As Demir
guc-Kunt and Maksimovic (1998) point out, IG, is convex and increasing in the
firm's return on assets. This implies that greater profitability from assets in place
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366 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
This implies that the payout ratio is zero. Given thatexternal financing is limited
such that the short-term debt to asset ratio is constant and that the dividend payout
ratio is zero, the implied growth rate of thefirm is expressed in equation (5) as
= -
(5) SFG, ROLTQ/0 ROLTQ),
where ROLTQ is the ratio of earnings after interest and taxes to long-term
capital.14
Following Demirguc-Kunt and Maksimovic (1998), for each firm we calcu
late the difference between its realized sales growth rate in the year of the disclo
sure measurement andits predicted financed rate, and denote it
internally growth
as EXCESS_IG. for each firm we calculate the difference between its
Similarly,
realized sales growth rate and its predicted short-term financed rate, and
growth
denote itas EXCESS_SFG.
Following Demirguc-Kunt and Maksimovic (1998), we also compute two
metrics analogous to the two continuous metrics, EXCESS _IG and EXCESS _SFG,
to reduce the effect of outliers. for each firm we calculate the pro
Specifically,
portion of years in which its realized sales growth rate in three consecutive years
exceeds itspredicted internally financedgrowth rate, and denote itas PROP _IG.15
Similarly, for each firmwe calculate the proportion of years inwhich its realized
sales growth rate in three consecutive years exceeds its predicted short-term fi
nanced growth rate, and denote it as PROP.SFG.
C. Test Variable
public disclosure. These scores are obtained from the annual volumes of the Re
disclosures, CIC first forms subcommittees for a select group of industries. Each
subcommittee is then completed with analysts specializing in that industry.The
documents examined by each analyst within a subcommittee include annual re
ports, 10-Ks, quarterly reports, proxy statements, and other published information
such as press releases and fact books, as well as less formal disclosures
through
meetings and responses to analyst (for each selected firm within that
inquiries
industry). For uniformity of evaluation across industries as well as firms,CIC
provides a list of criteria that is to be used to evaluate disclosures. The
corporate
final disclosure scores for each a consensus of
corporation represent judgment
analysts in the industry to which the corporation Prior studies use the
belongs.
AIMR disclosure scores as a comprehensive measure of a firm's disclosure policy
(e.g., Lang and Lundholm (1993), (1996), Sengupta (1998)).
14Following Demirguc-Kunt and Maksimovic, we denote the assets of the firm not financed by
short-term debt as "long-term capital," which is obtained by multiplying a firm's total assets by one
minus the ratio of short-term liabilities to total assets.
15To examine the robustness of our results to our choice of computing proportions over a three-year
period, we repeat our analysis by computing proportions over two and four years, and find that the
three-year cut-off is not critical for our results on the relation between externally financed growth and
level of disclosure.
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 367
quarterly and other published information, and investor relations and related as
pects. The benefit of using the scores assigned by the analysts is that theyprovide
a ready off-the-shelf measure that is widely used in prior research as a compre
hensive measure of corporate disclosure These scores reflect
practices.16 analysts'
evaluations of the timeliness, detail, and clarity of information presented (Sen
gupta (1998)). Lang and Lundholm (1996) note that the scores quantify qualita
tive disclosure (e.g., new announcements, management discussion, and
product
analysis) and disclosure thatmay not have been reflected in published financial
statements conference calls to analysts). Therefore, our disclosure metric
(e.g.,
a evaluation of a firm's disclosure
provides comprehensive policy.
While each committee uses a standardized template to rate disclosure, they
often tailor the disclosure scores to the unique characteristics of their industries
(Botosan and Plumlee (2002)). To make AIMR scores comparable across indus
tries, we follow prior research (e.g., Healy et al. (1999), Botosan and Plumlee
D. Data
Our sample selection begins with the firm-year observations included in the
AIMR Reports dated from 1982 through 1994. We require data on Compustat
to compute variables necessary to estimate models (1) and (2) as de
regression
scribed above. Eliminating these observations from the sample selection process
Panel A of Table 1 reports descriptive statistics for the dependent, test, and
control variables. The mean and median values of EXCESS _IG are 0.01 and
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368 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
?0.01, respectively, suggesting that some sample firms grow much faster than
their internal growth rate constraint. The mean value of EXCESS JSFG is ?0.02.
The interquartile range of EXCESS _SFG suggests that there is variation in the
extent to which firms grow faster than their short-term financed growth rate. The
variable PROP-IG an estimate of the proportion of years in which a firm
provides
grows faster than our estimate of IG, the maximum internally financed growth
rate. Analogously, PROP.SFG an estimate of the proportion of years
provides
in which a firm grows faster than our estimate of SFG, the maximum short
term financed growth rate. A of the mean values of PROP JG and
comparison
PROP-SFG can highlight the relative importance of internalfunds and short-term
debt inproviding capital forgrowth. Thus, a mean value of PROP JG of 0.48 in
dicates that for 48% of firm-years, a firm's realized exceeds its estimated
growth
growth using internal funds. Of these, 11% could finance their realized growth
entirely using short-term debt.
Our testvariable, DISCL, represents the overall level of firmdisclosure and
is a rank of the total AIMR disclosure score based on a within rank
industry/year
ing. The mean value forDISCL is 0.57. The DISCL variable exhibits consider
able variation across the sample, as evidenced by the interquartile range.
On average, dividends for our sample firms constitute 3% of the total as
sets and in profit margin (Z\NI/TA) is ?0.01. The mean in asset
change changes
turnover (zANS/TA) is -0.02%. Median firm size in termsof assets is $2,612.23
million, indicating that our average sample firm is large. The firm size ranges from
$1,121.25 million in the lower quartile to over $6,118 million in the upper quar
tile. The mean and median values of Tobin's are 1.69 and 1.43, respectively.
Q
External debt and equity issuances, on average, constitute 8% of total assets.
B. Correlations
18The variance inflation factor (VIF) measures the interrelationship between the explanatory vari
ables and is considered preferable to examining pairwise correlations in testing for
collinearity (Neter
et al. (1996)). For each of our regressions, we evaluate the
sensitivity of our findings to influential
observations by calculating the studentized residual for each observation (Belsley, Kuh, and Welsch
(1980)). When observations with studentized residuals in excess of the absolute value of three are
dropped and the regressions reestimated, the results are similar to those reported in the paper. For
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 369
TABLE 1
Summary Statistics
All variables except EXCESSJG, EXCESS.SFG, PR0PJG, and PROP.SFG are averaged over threeyears covering the
same timespan overwhich PROP.IG and PROP.SFG are computed.
EXCESSJG = Differencebetween a firm's actual sales growthrateand itspredicted internally financedgrowthrate.
For each firm, thepredicted internally financedgrowthrate isdefinedas ROA * b/C\ ? ROA * b),
where ROA is the ratioof earnings aftertaxes and interesttoassets, and b is theproportionof the
firm's earnings thatare retainedforreinvestment.
EXCESS.SFG = Differencebetween a firm's actual sales growthrateand itspredictedshort-term financedgrowthrate.
For each firm,thepredicted short-termfinancedgrowthrate isdefined as ROLTC/(1 ? ROLTC),
where ROLTC is the ratioof earningsaftertaxand interest to long-term
capital.
PROP.IG = Proportionof years inwhich a firm's actual sales growthrate inthreeconsecutive years exceeds its
predicted internally financedgrowthrate.For each firm, thepredicted internallyfinancedgrowthrate
isdefinedas ROA * ?>/(1? ROA * b), where ROA is the ratioof earningsaftertaxes and interest to
assets, and b is theproportionof thefirm's earnings thatare retainedforreinvestment.
PROP.SFG = Proportionof years inwhich a firm's actual sales growthrate inthreeconsecutive years exceeds its
predicted short-term financedgrowthrate. For each firm,thepredicted short-term financedgrowth
rate isdefinedas ROLTC/(1 ? ROLTC), where ROLTC is the ratioof earnings aftertaxand interest
to long-term capital.
DISCL = Rank of the totaldisclosure score (obtained fromtheannual volumes of the reportof theFinancial
AnalystsFederationCorporate Information Committee)based on a within industry/year ranking.
DIV/TA = Totaldividends divided by totalassets.
NI/NS = Earnings after interest
and taxes divided by net sales.
NS/TA = Net sales divided by totalassets.
LOG.TA = Natural logof totalassets.
Tobin'sQ = ?
(Marketvalue of equity book value of equity+ totalassets)/total assets.
FIN/TA = (Issuance of equity+ issuance of debt)/totalassets.
A = Change inthevariable relativeto thepreviousyear.
Panel A. DescriptiveStatistics
Lower Upper
Variable N Mean STD Quartile Median Quartile
EXCESSJG 1,436 0.01 0.15 -0.06 -0.003 0.064
EXCESS.SFG 1,436 -0.02 0.17 -0.09 -0.027 0.046
PROP.IG 1,436 0.48 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.67
PROP.SFG 1,436 0.37 0.34 0.00 0.33 0.67
DISCL 1,436 0.57 0.24 0.37 0.58 0.77
DIV/TA 1,436 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03
AEBHfTA 1,436 -0.01 0.04 -0.01 0.00 0.01
A NS/TA 1,436 -0.02 0.07 -0.05 -0.01 0.03
TA ($ inmill.) 1,436 5,083.77 6,768.36 1,121.25 2,612.23 6,118.10
Tobin'sQ 1,436 1.69 0.78 1.16 1.43 1.98
FIN/TA 1,436 0.08 0.08 0.03 0.05 0.10
Panel B. Spearman Correlation
Variable DISCL DIV/TA LOG.TA Tobin'sQ FIN/TA
DIV/TA 0.04
?1EBIT/TA -0.01 0.08***
A NS/TA -0.03 -0.03 0.11***
LOG.TA 0.09*** 0.03 0.01 -0.09***
Tobin'sQ 0.04* -0.23*** 0.18*** -0.07** -0.05*
FIN/TA 0.07*** -0.16*** -0.11*** -0.16*** 0.04* -0.14***
PROP.IG 0.11*** -0.52*** -0.04 0.16*** -0.04 -0.22*** 0.20***
PROP.SFG 0.05** -0.56*** -0.09*** 0.17*** -0.01 -0.35*** 0.31***
***
,**, significantat the 10%, 5%, or 1% level(two-tailedtest), respectively.
C. Regression Results
each of our regressions, the null hypothesis of homoskedasticity could not be rejected using theWhite
(1980) test at the 0.10 level. To check whether the relation between our test variable DISCL and the
dependent variable is nonlinear, we plotted the residuals against DISCL but the plots did not show a
nonlinear pattern.
19Instrumental variables estimation of DISCL to extract the endogenous effect of disclosure yields
an average adjusted R2 of 0.43 for the 11 years.
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370 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
yearly coefficients of FIN/TA are positive and in the expected direction. For most
years, the coefficients on Tobin's Q and FIN/TA are also statistically significant,
indicating that the growth opportunities and reliance on external are
capital posi
tivelyassociated with rates of growth thatexceed thepredicted internallyfinanced
growth rate. Both theZl and theZ2 test statistics indicate thatDIV/TA, Z\NS/TA,
LOG-TA, Tobin's Q, and FIN/TA are statistically significantat the 0.05 level.
Our main interest, in terms of HI, is whether DISCL is positively associated
with the rates of growth that exceed the rate predicted by the use of internal funds.
All yearly coefficients of DISCL are positive. For six years, these coefficients are
also statistically significant.Both theZl and theZ2 test statistics indicate that the
coefficienton DISCL is statistically significantat the0.01 level.22 The implication
is that an expanded firm disclosure policy is positively associated with rates of
growth that require external financing. In other words, our is consistent
finding
with the notion that disclosure affects firm growth access to lower
by providing
cost external financing.
Table 3 presents 2SLS a
results on both
regression yearly basis and an across
years significance test, using EXCESS_SFG
the asvariable. Recall
dependent
that EXCESS-SFG is the excess of a firm's realized sales rate and its
growth
predicted short-term financed growth rate. The across-years tests
significance
20The untabulated results for the pooled regression are similar to the results for the cross-sectional
regressions reported in this paper.
21Z1 and Zl statistics testwhether the time-series mean f-statistic equals zero,
Zl = -? I V-^ -? t;
Jt =
and Z2
V^V
> - -,
ytt y/kj/ikj 2) stddeviO/v^V^T)
where t is the i-statistic for year j, k is the
degrees of freedom for year j, and TV is the number of
years. Zl assumes independence in the annual ?-statistics whereas Z2 corrects for potential lack of
independence.
22We also test for an alternative specification in which FIN/TA is interacted with DISCL. The
coefficient on the interaction term is positive and statistically significant at the 0.01 level,
suggesting
that firms that disclose more and access external markets exhibit higher
externally financed growth
rates.
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 371
TABLE 2
Regression Results
Dependent Variable: Firms Growing Faster than Predicted Internally Financed Growth Rate
Regressions are estimated using two-stage leastsquares. The instrumentalvariables forDISCL are lagged DISCL, log
ofmarketvalue of equity,historicalcorrelationbetween annual returnsand earnings computed over thepreceding five
years, returnon assets, and standard deviationof annualmarket-adjustedstock returns.All independentvariables are
averaged over threeyears covering thesame timespan overwhich PROP.IG iscomputed. Mean parameterestimates
estimates fromtheyearlyOLS regressionstoobtain an across-yearmean and f-statistics.
use the 11 coefficient Z1 and
mean i-statistic
Z2 statisticstestwhether the time-series equals zero,
V? 2)
\lk,/^i
where t is the i-statisticforyear y,k is thedegrees of freedomforyear j, and N is thenumberof years.
PROP.IG = Proportionof years inwhich a firm's actual sales growthrate inthreeconsecutive years exceeds itspre
dicted internally financedgrowthrate. For each firm,the predicted internally financedgrowth rate is
definedas ROA * fc>/(1 ? ROA *
b), where ROA is the ratioofearningsaftertaxes and interest
toassets,
and b is theproportionof thefirm's earnings thatare retainedforreinvestment.
DISCL = Rankof the totaldisclosure score (obtained fromtheannual volumes of the reportof theFinancialAnalysts
FederationCorporate Information Committee)based on a within industry/year ranking.
DIV/TA = Totaldividendsdivided by totalassets.
NI/NS = Earnings after interest
and taxes divided by net sales.
NS/TA = Net sales divided by totalassets.
LOG.TA = Natural logof totalassets.
Tobin'sQ = ?
(Marketvalue of equity book value of equity+ totalassets)/total assets.
FIN/TA = (Issuance of equity+ issuanceof debt)/totalassets.
A = Change inthevariable relativeto thepreviousyear.
ParameterEstimates
(i-statisticinparentheses)
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372 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
inTable 3 indicate that all control variables except LOG_TA and Tobin's Q are
associated with rates of growth thatexceed short-termdebt financed growth.Our
main interest is inwhether a higher level of disclosure is associated with realized
rates of growth that exceed the estimated rate of growth internal funds and
using
short-term debt. Hence, our focus is on the DISCL variable. If, in fact, disclosure
policy allows firms to better pursue potentially profitable projects using external
funds, then we should observe a relation between the level of disclosure
positive
and externally financed growth. The test variable DISCL is significantwith the
predicted positive sign indicating thata higher disclosure level is associated with
more financed
externally growth.
Lang and Lundholm (2000) suggest that, for some firms, disclosure can have
a more insidious in that it helps
effect less deserving firms to window-dress and
hype their stock price and thereby issue new capital at a lower cost. Therefore, a
subsamples using themedian value of Tobin's Q and reestimate model (2) for
each subsample. Our expectation is that the positive relation between externally
financed growth and disclosure should be more for our
pronounced financially
constrained
subsample.24
When we use PROP.IG as thedependent variable, the coefficient on DISCL
for thefinancially constrained subsample is higher than the coefficient on DISCL
for thefinancially unconstrained subsample (0.3065 versus 0.2111 ) and thediffer
ence is statistically significantat the0.01 level.When we repeat the
analysis with
PROP-SFG as thedependent variable, the coefficienton DISCL for thefinancially
constrained subsample is higher than the coefficient on DISCL for thefinancially
unconstrained subsample (0.1228 versus 0.0406), and the difference is sta
again
23Our focus on this set of firms is based on prior research that finds that firms manage earn
ings/disclosure prior to raising funds through external equity issuance. For example, Teoh, Welch,
andWong (1998a), (1998b) show that firmsmanage their
earnings upward to boost share prices prior
to initial public offerings (IPO) as well as
secondary equity offerings (SEO), and that the stock price
corrects itself in the periods following the IPO and SEO. In contrast, Lang and Lundholm (2000)
focus on disclosure and find that firms thatmaintain a consistent disclosure level do not exhibit an
unusual return behavior relative to the control firms subsequent to an equity
offering announcement.
However, firms that altered their disclosure policy to "hype" their stock prior to equity issuance suffer
a decline in value in the period
following the equity issuance.
24Financially constrained firmswith a higher level of disclosure should be able to realize more ex
ternally financed growth. Furthermore, for financially constrained firms, the incentive to use disclosure
as a means to obtain lower cost external
financing should dominate any other competing incentives.
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 373
TABLE 3
Regression Results
Variable: Firms Growing Faster than Predicted Short-Term Financed
Dependent
Growth Rate
Regressions are estimated using two-stage leastsquares. The instrumentalvariables forDISCL are lagged DISCL, log
ofmarketvalue of equity,historicalcorrelationbetween annual returnsand earnings computed over thepreceding five
years, returnon assets, and standard deviationof annual market-adjustedstock returns.All independentvariables are
averaged over threeyears covering thesame timespan overwhich PROP.SFG iscomputed. Mean parameterestimates
use the 11coefficientestimates fromtheyearlyOLS regressionstoobtainan across-yearmean. Z1 and Z2 statisticstest
whether the time-seriesmean i-statistic
equals zero,
f
_i_
?-Y - stddev(t)/VN
v^tt 2)
y/kj/(kj
where t isthe i-statisticforyear j, k is thedegrees of freedomforyear /,and N is thenumberof years.
PROP.SFG Proportionof years inwhich a firm'sactual sales growthrate inthreeconsecutive years exceeds its
predicted short-termfinanced growthrate. For each firm,the predicted short-termfinancedgrowth
rate isdefinedas ROLTC/(1 ? ROLTC), where ROLTC is the ratioof earnings aftertaxand interestto
long-term capital.
DISCL Rank of the totaldisclosure score (obtained fromthe annual volumes of the reportof the Financial
AnalystsFederationCorporate Information Committee)based on a within industry/year
ranking.
DIV/TA Totaldividends divided by totalassets.
NI/NS Earnings after interest
and taxes divided by net sales.
NS/TA Net sales divided by totalassets.
LOG.TA Natural logof totalassets.
?
Tobin'sQ (Marketvalue of equity book value ofequity+ totalassets)/total assets.
FIN/TA (Issuance of equity+ issuance of debt)/totalassets.
A Change inthevariable relativeto thepreviousyear.
ParameterEstimates
(i-statisticinparentheses)
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374 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
tistically significant at the 0.10 level. Taken these results suggest that
together,
while increased disclosure may access to lower cost external fi
activity improve
nancing, the impact of disclosure ismore pronounced for firms forwhich lower
cost external financing is important.
D. Sensitivity Tests
= - z*
(6) IG, (ROA, * bt)/{\ ROA, * bt) and
=
(7) SFG, ROLTC,/(l-z*ROLTC,).
As a specification we
reestimate
check, the specifications in Table 4 for z = 0,
= -
(8) IG, (ROA, * bt)/{\ * y ROA, * bt) and
=
(9) SFG, ROLTC,/(l*y-ROLTC,).
25To assess the impact of lower cost structure (and higher profitability), we also reestimate the
specification inTable 4 for z= 1.05 and z= 1.10. Note that in the presence of market competition, there
is less room for a firm to adjust its cost structure to improve its profitmargin. Therefore, we specify
a narrower range of the parameter values of z. Unreported results for these alternative specifications
show no evidence of a differing association between disclosure and externally financed growth for our
sample.
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 375
TABLE 4
Sensitivity Analyses forRegressions of Short-Term Financed Growth Rate Based on
Different Marginal Profit Rate Assumptions
Z1 ? _1_ '
Y - - 1
stddev(i)/\/A/
VTVytl y/kj/(kj 2)
foryear j, k is thedegrees of freedomforyear _/',
where t isthe f-statistic and N is thenumberof years.
PROP.IG = Differencebetween a firm's actual sales growthrateand itspredicted internally financedgrowthrate.
For each firm,thepredicted internally financedgrowthrate isdefinedas ROA * ?>/(1 ? z * ROA * b),
where ROA is the ratioof earningsaftertaxes and interest toassets, and b is theproportionof thefirm's
earnings thatare retainedforreinvestment.
PROP-SFG = Proportionof years inwhich a firm's actual sales growthrate inthreeconsecutive years exceeds its
predicted short-term financedgrowthrate.Foreach firm, thepredicted short-term financedgrowthrate
isdefined as ROLTC/(1 ? z * ROLTC), where ROLTC is the ratioof earnings aftertaxand interestto
long-termcapital.
DISCL = Rank of the totaldisclosure score (obtained fromthe annual volumes of the reportof the Financial
AnalystsFederationCorporate Information Committee)based on a within industry/year ranking.
DIV/TA = Totaldividends divided by totalassets.
NI/NS = Earningsafter interest and taxes divided by net sales.
NS/TA = Net sales divided by net fixedassets.
LOG-TA = Natural logof totalassets.
Tobin'sQ = ?
(Marketvalue of equity book value of equity+ totalassets)/total assets.
FIN/TA = (Issuance of equity+ issuance of debt)/totalassets.
A = Change inthevariable relativeto thepreviousyear.
Dependent Variable
PROP.IG PROP-SFG
Mean Mean
Parameter Z1 Z2 Parameter Zl Z2
public debt or equity instead of private debt, the effectof disclosure on externally
financed growthmay be more pronounced forfirms issuing public debt or equity.
As a sensitivity test,we identifythose sample firms that issued either private debt
26Our choice of the parameter values of y are based on anecdotal evidence that suggests that asset
turnover tends to be sticky.
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376 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
or public debt and equity in a given year from the Securities Data Company New
Issues database and classify the sample firm-years into two groups?those issuing
public debt or equity and those issuing private debt.We then reestimate regression
model (2) for each subsample using PROPJSFG as the dependent variable. The
magnitude of the coefficient on DISCL forfirms that issued public debt or equity
in a given year is 0.172 and is statistically significant at the 0.01 level. For firms
that issued only private debt in a given year, the magnitude of the coefficient on
DISCL is 0.113 but is statistically insignificant at the 0.10 level. These results
are consistent with the notion that disclosure is of more consequence to firms that
raise funds in public capital markets.
As an alternative to the 2SLS estimation, we also address the endogeneity of
a firm's disclosure policy in our empirical tests bymeasuring DISCL prior to the
time period over which economic growth of the firm is computed. In theseOLS
estimations, we also average other firm characteristics in model (2) over the same
time period for which firm growth is computed. As an example, for a firm-year
observation with a fiscal year ending on December 31,1990, we use DISCL for
the year 1990, compute externally financed growth during 1991, 1992, and 1993,
and average other firm characteristics (e.g., DIV.TA) for the years 1991, 1992,
and 1993. results of this alternative specification are very similar to
Unreported
those reported inTables 2 and 3 where disclosure and externally financed growth
metrics are measured over contemporaneous time periods. Overall, the attempt to
explicitly address self-selection bias supports the hypothesis that analyst rankings
of overall firmdisclosure are positively associated with firmgrowth supported by
external financing.
Thus far we have focused on the level of the disclosure scores. To ensure
that our results are not driven correlations, we also examine the asso
by spurious
ciation between changes in our excess growth metrics and changes in disclosure
scores.27 We focus on
"significant and sustained
improvements" in disclosure
for several reasons.28 First, a significant and sustained in disclo
policy change
sure policy is more a deliberate
likely to reflect managerial policy. Second, while
extant theory is quite clear on the effects following disclosure improvements, it
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 377
For each firm,we identify the year during the sample period forwhich the
largest increase in average relative ranking takes place and focus on these firm
years to examine the relation between the changes in our excess growth metrics
and Z\DISCL. The reduced sample consists of 180 firmswith an average change
of 16.1 percentage No firm enters the sample more than once and the
points.
sample period ranges from 1986 to 1994. We then compute AEFGit in a manner
analogous toADlSCLit.
where all variables are as defined before and the change operator (A) for the
and independent variables other than DISCL represents a change in the
dependent
= Tobin's ?
to the previous
variable relative year.29 For example, A Tobin's Qit Q/f
Tobin's Qit-x
In Table 5, we report the results of estimating regression equation (11). The
firstmodel reports results using Z\EXCESS_IG as thedependent variable to proxy
for Z\EFG and the second model uses Z\EXCESS _SFG; as thedependent variable.
The tenor of our results is essentially unaltered by this specification. Specifically,
the coefficient on Z\DISCL is positive and statistically significantat the0.01 level
in both models, suggesting that changes in disclosure levels are associated with
changes in externally financed growth. Overall, the evidence from the change
model complements the level specification, highlighting the importance of dis
closure in easing access to external financing.
V. Conclusion
Extant research posits that information asymmetry and agency conflicts ad
versely affect the ability of firms to pursue potentially profitable projects. More
specifically, these factors are conjectured to increase the cost of external financ
ing. A related literature posits that an expanded and credible disclosure policy
will serve to improve the ability of firms to fund their growth opportunities. In
part, an expanded disclosure serves to reduce information asymmetry and
policy
mitigate agency conflicts by improving the ability of investors tomonitor inside
managers. As a consequence, it is posited that disclosure will positively affect a
firm's growth rate by improving firm access to lower cost external financing.
29We also compute the change variables over the same time period as that used for theDISCL, and
our inferences are qualitatively similar to those reported in the paper.
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378 Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
TABLE 5
Regression Results for the Change Model
= a + ?iADlSCLjt + ?2D\Vit/lkit +
(11) AEFGit ?3AH\it/MSit + ?4ANSit/JAit
+ ?5ALOG TA/, + /36Z\Tobin's Qit + /?7FIN,Y/TA?
Z\EXCESS_IG - - - EXCESS-IG.
y^EXCESSJG
EXCESS-SFG Differencebetween a firm'sactual sales growthrateand itspredictedshort-term financedgrowth
rate. For each firm,the predicted short-termfinancedgrowth rate is defined as ROLTC/(1 ?
ROLTC), where ROLTC is the ratioof earningsaftertaxand interest
to long-termcapital.
?AEXCESS-SFG - EXCESS-SFG EXCESS-SFG.
0Y t=0 ? J2
.--?
DISCL Rank of the totaldisclosure score (obtained fromtheannual volumes of the reportof theFinancial
AnalystsFederationCorporate Information Committee)based on a withinindustry/year ranking.
DIVATA Totaldividendsdivided by totalassets.
zANI/NS Change inearningsafter interest and taxes divided by netsales relativetopreviousyear.
ENSATA Change innet sales divided by totalassets relativetopreviousyear.
A LOG-TA Change innatural logof totalassets relativetopreviousyear.
zATobin'sQ Change inTobin's Q relative to previous year where Tobin's Q is (marketvalue ofequity ?
book value of equity+ totalassets)/total assets.
FIN/TA (Issuance of equity+ issuance ofdebt)/totalassets.
-2 1 -4
/ADISCL> -1 D|SCL? DISCL
3y^r=0 2 X!
f=-3
ParameterEstimates
(f-statisticinparentheses)
Dependent Variable
Variable zAExcess.lG Z^Excess.SFG
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Khurana, Pereira, and Martin 379
To evaluate
this prediction, we examine the association between
empirically
a firm's and its disclosure policy. In particular, we investigate whether
growth
an expanded disclosure allows firms to grow at rates exceeding those that
policy
could be attained on their internal sources of funds or short
by relying strictly
termborrowing.We firstestimate a predicted growth rate foreach firm if it strictly
relies on internal cash flows or short-term borrowing. We next compute the differ
ence between realized firm growth and the predicted rate. This measure
growth
reflects the amount of growth supported through external finance. Using a cross
section of U.S. firms, we find a relation between a firm's fi
positive externally
nanced growth rate and its level of disclosure. Our results are robust to alternative
measures of externally financed of disclosure, and the inclu
growth, endogeneity
sion of other firm-specific factors relevant in this setting.
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