The Concept of National Income and Its Application On The Indian Economy
The Concept of National Income and Its Application On The Indian Economy
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Date of Submission: 11-04-2024 Date of Acceptance: 25-04-2024
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often included in broader measures like Gross 7. Ignores Changes in Productivity: National
National Income (GNI) or Gross National Product income does not account for changes in
(GNP). productivity or improvements in technology that
may affect the efficiency of production. As a
While national income is a valuable economic result, changes in national income may not
indicator, it also has several limitations that need to accurately reflect changes in economic well-being
be considered when interpreting its significance. or standards of living over time.
Here are some key limitations of national income: 8. Currency Fluctuations: National income
1. Excludes Non-Market Transactions: calculations are typically done using a single
National income typically measures only market currency, which may not accurately reflect the
transactions, excluding non-market activities such purchasing power of that currency due to
as household work, volunteer services, and fluctuations in exchange rates. This can distort
informal sector activities. As a result, it may not comparisons of national income between countries
fully capture the overall economic activity within a and over time.
country, leading to an underestimation of the true
economic output. Overall, while national income is a valuable
2. Ignores Distributional Issues: National measure of economic activity, it should be
income aggregates the total output of an economy interpreted alongside other indicators and
without considering how income is distributed supplemented with additional data to provide a
among different segments of the population. As a more comprehensive understanding of economic
result, it may mask income inequality and performance and societal well-being.
disparities in wealth distribution, providing an
incomplete picture of the economic well-being of II. Calculation of National Income of India
citizens. Various measures are used to estimate the
3. Doesn't Account for Externalities: aggregate economic activity in a country, mainly
National income calculations often ignore the GDP, GNP, NDP and NNP. GDP is one of the
external costs and benefits associated with most vital macroeconomic variables and one of the
economic activities, such as environmental best measures to review an economy’ performance.
degradation, pollution, and social impacts. Failure Nominal GDP or Gross Domestic Product
to account for these externalities can lead to at Current Prices in the year 2022-23 is estimated
overestimation of economic welfare and at Rs. 272.04 lakh crore, compared to the First
sustainability. Revised Estimates of GDP of the year 2021-22 at
4. Quality of Life Indicators: National Rs. 234.71 lakh crore. The growth of nominal GDP
income alone does not capture important aspects of during the year 2022-23 is estimated at 15.9% as
well-being and quality of life, such as health compared to 18.4% in 2021-22.
outcomes, education levels, social cohesion, and The three approaches used to calculate the
personal happiness. While economic growth may GDP are the output approach, the income approach
increase national income, it does not necessarily and the expenditure approach. Theoretically, the
translate into improvements in overall quality of three approaches must produce the same result
life for all citizens. because the total expenditures on goods and
5. Ignores Household Production: National services (Gross National Expenditure) must be
income calculations typically exclude household equal to the total income paid out to the producers
production, such as self-consumption of home- (Gross National Income), and that must also be
grown food, childcare, and home repairs. This equal to the total value of the output of goods and
omission can lead to underestimation of economic services (Gross National Production). However, in
output, particularly in economies where household real life difference might arise in the results of the
production is significant. three methods, majorly due to statistical
6. Ignores Income Distribution: While discrepancies, limited data availability and
national income provides an aggregate measure of measurement errors. These methods rely on
economic output, it does not reveal how income is different data sources and assumptions.
distributed among different groups within a
society. Rising national income may benefit certain a. Output Approach
segments of the population disproportionately, This method measures national income at the
exacerbating income inequality. production stage. The stages involved are:
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using GDP price Deflator, which helps in As of Year 2022, India’s Nominal GDP (current)
measuring the change in prices of all the goods and is $3,385,090,000,000 (USD), whereas, the Real
services in an economy. GDP (constant) of India reached
Real GDP = Nominal GDP $2,432,020,000,000 in 2022.
GDP Deflator GDP Growth Rate in 2022 was 7.00%,
representing a change of 193,390,000,000 US$
The base-year for calculating India’s GDP is 2011- over 2021, when Real GDP
2012 which was adopted in the year 2015, before was $2,761,590,000,000.
that the base-year used to be 2004-2005.
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The per capita income of India has seen a previous year’s GDP which shows the positive rise
consistent rise over the years. The image depicts in India’s economic growth. However, this number
three different years, but for this project, we will has fallen as compared to last year's calculation as
stick to the current year's prices. earlier the jump was approximately 17.2%.
The per capita GDP has seen a 14.7% rise from the The same story is replicated by per capita GNI
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At current estimated prices the Gross National Disposable Income of India is roughly calculated at ₹273.99 lakh
crore for the year 2022-23, however for the year 2021-22 the disposable income stood at ₹239.25 lakh crore,
depicting a growth of 14.5% for the year 2022-23 in comparison to the growth of 18.8% in the year 2021-22.
b. Purchasing Power Parity different when you take the USA in comparison
Purchasing Power Parity is calculated and thus, we use Purchasing Power Parity where you
used to compare the standard of living of a country take a basket of goods and services and how much
as well as its economic productivity. It is used to income you require to purchase the same amount
measure the purchasing power of different of goods in any other country or determine their
currencies across countries by equalizing the prices purchasing power. This is very important for
of goods and services. For example: the goods and economists as it helps to compare the economies of
services you can purchase with ₹100 in India are the different countries.
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This is a brief example of what we discussed above Parity in India between rural and urban areas. The
it explains how much money you need to maintain rural cost of living is one-third of what the cost of
a lifestyle of 100,000 dollars in the USA in living is in the urban areas. Thus, the rural PPP is
comparison to other countries. much higher than the urban India. Furthermore, the
Purchasing Power Parity in India: rise in costs of the rural economy is far slower than
India ranks 12th by the gross domestic product the urban economy. Apart from the costs the rural
calculation, whereas when it comes to the PPP- economy is more adaptable.
adjusted GDP India ranks 3rd right behind the US In India, there is a high difference between the
and China. PPPs of different states as well.
When we come to compare the Purchasing Power
The above image depicts the ranging PPPs of different cities in India. Bangalore has the highest Purchasing
Power in comparison to Mumbai and other metropolitan cities.
V. Case Study: Analyzing India’s demand indicators: GDP was growing at about 7.5
Economic Resilience- Unraveling the Puzzle of percent, while investment and exports were
growth amidst shocks growing faster, at 13 percent and at the rate of 15
During 2002–2011, India behaved like a percent. percent respectively, corresponding to a
typical fast-growing country, with measured GDP mean value of 12 percent for both variables among
growth showing a strong correlation with other comparable fast growers.
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A number of shocks struck the Indian economy between 2011 and 2016. Throughout the whole five-year period
under review, growth was impacted by three of these shocks. These were:
1.Export Collapse: Strong worldwide demand for surprise that investment growth fell by 10
emerging markets' goods propelled them during the percentage points, which could reduce growth by
2000s, allowing their average export growth to be an additional 2½ to 3 percentage points.
very rapid. But since 2011, there has been a
slowdown in global demand, which has led to the 3.Oil Price and terms of trade: Offsetting these
collapse of emerging market export growth. India's negative shocks were positive ones in the form of
export growth slowed to just 3% annually from an falling oil prices and consequent improvement in
average of 15% annually prior to 2011. With a the terms of trade for India as a net oil importer.
rough estimate of roughly 2½ percentage points, The annual average change in real US$ oil prices
this shock has the potential to significantly slow was about 16.5 percent between 2002-2011 and
development because India's export-to-GDP ratio minus 16 percent between 2012-2016. Again, a
was roughly 22% between 2012 and 2016. rough calculation suggests that this should have led
2. Twin Balance Sheet Problem: During the boom to growth of about 1 to 1 ½ percentage points.
of the mid-2000s many companies invested heavily
in projects that did not work out, leading to 4. Drought (2014-2015). The agricultural sector
significant stress in the corporate sector and was hit by drought for two consecutive years.
double-digit levels of non-performing assets in Growth in foodgrain production was -4.9 percent
banks. As a result, many companies are not and 0.5 percent in these years, well below the long-
financially strong enough to invest, while banks term average of about 3 percent. This reduced
are reluctant to lend even to healthy companies. growth, which is about 0.4 percent.
Real credit growth in India dropped from 14% to
6% before to 2011.More significantly from the 5. Demonetization (2016). Finally, there was a
standpoint of investments, real credit growth to major macroeconomic shock in the last year of our
industry contracted from a depressing fifteen sample period, when the currency supply fell by 86
percent to a pitiful one percent. Additionally, the percent in November 2016, affecting the
figures may potentially exaggerate the amount of production of the large informal sector, which
credit that was utilized to finance firms' relies heavily on cash.
investments if part of the credit growth—after TBS The following graph illustrates the major effect of
took effect—represented evergreening, or bank these shocks on key macro indicators of growth in:
lending to cover interest payments of stressed
enterprises. Therefore, it should come as no
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● Real credit to industry collapsed, falling ● Overall real lending declined from 13
from 16 percent to -1 percent, reflected in official percent to 3 percent;
figures for real investment growth, which fell from
● Real imports fell from 17 percent to
13 percent to 3 percent;
minus 1 percent.
● Actual exports fell from 15 percent to 3
percent;
But the new GDP series shows that despite this big does not necessarily increase development.
shock, economic growth has dropped from 7.7
percent to 6.9 percent.17 This raises the question: 2.Productivity Surge: Consider the next
Could it be that these five big negative effects productivity improvement opportunity. If such
really have less impact? SME development? growth takes place in the post-2011 period,
Possible Explanation: Of course, there may be productivity should have accelerated in the last two
other things to compensate for this big earthquake. years of the UPA-2 regime, amid acute macro
Specifically, three possibilities should be stress and declining policy credibility. This makes
considered: the beneficial reform efforts of the trust difficult; it is more likely that productivity
NDA government; increase productivity; and will actually decrease during these difficult times.
consumer growth. Furthermore, if productivity has increased, we
should see benefits in the form of higher profits for
1.NDA-2 Reforms: Take a first look at the NDA the company. But figure below, using the Provess
reforms. Three are very important: the historic database (which collects data from firms' balance
introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), sheets), shows the opposite: the annual growth of
the upcoming Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code real income (before and after tax) of the Indian
(IBC) and the public offering of essential private corporate sector (domestic, foreign and
goods and services (PPEGS) - housing, gas, government combined)) dropped from 22-28
energy, toilets, bank accounts, insurance percent to a negative growth zone, a sharp drop if
emergency medicine. But GST and IBC, which productivity increased, actually collapsing. Profit
will provide growth benefits in the medium term, accumulation contradicts the explanation of
were implemented after the period covered by this productivity growth.
study. PPEGS, which in turn increases welfare,
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International Journal of Humanities Social Science and Management (IJHSSM)
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3. Consumption Surge puzzle: Post-2011, India has our analysis has illuminated its inherent
experienced several major shocks that have had a limitations, particularly its inability to capture
significant impact on demand indicators but little qualitative aspects of economic welfare.
impact on measured growth. That is, India has
continued economic growth in an environment of Examining India’s growth trajectory over
lower investment, income, exports, debt financing the years has revealed both triumphs and
and possible consumption. The three conventional challenges. The impact of export collapses, the
explanations usually offered to explain this Twin Balance Sheet problem, fluctuating oil
phenomenon are inconsistent with the available prices, and terms of trade fluctuations has
evidence. This leaves us with a profound highlighted the vulnerability of the Indian
conundrum. economy to external shocks. Additionally, events
such as demonetization have underscored the
VI. Conclusion complexities of policy interventions and their
Our comprehensive exploration of repercussions on economic dynamics.
national income has provided us with a deep
understanding of the concept as well as its Nevertheless, amidst these challenges,
implications in context with India. By exploring India has exhibited resilience and adaptability. The
various theoretical frameworks and methodologies economy’s ability to rebound from setbacks such
such as output and expenditure methods, we have as demonetization underscores its inherent strength
gained insights into the intricate process of and potential for growth. Through prudent policy
calculating National Income. Moreover, our measures and structural reforms, India has
discussion on purchasing power parity, disposable demonstrated its capacity to navigate turbulent
income, and per capita income has shed light on waters and emerge stronger.
the standard of living and economic well-being of
the Indian populace. Looking ahead, as India continues its
journey towards economic prosperity, it must
Furthermore, a deep dive into the remain vigilant to address systemic issues and
comparison between Real GDP and Nominal GDP foster inclusive growth. By leveraging its
has underscored the importance of accounting for demographic dividend, technological prowess, and
inflationary pressures and price level fluctuations entrepreneurial spirit, India can chart a path
when assessing economic performance. Despite the towards sustainable and equitable development,
utility of GDP as a measure of economic activity,
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