Chapter 3 Hedging Exchange Rate Risk With Derivatives
Chapter 3 Hedging Exchange Rate Risk With Derivatives
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Hedging Exchange Rate Risk with
Derivatives
Chapter Objectives
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Chapter Contents
• Forward Market
• Currency Futures Market
• Currency Options Market
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Forward Market
¤ Spot Market
¤ Forward Contract
¤ Fixed Forward Contract
¤ Non-Deliverable Forward Contracts
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Spot market
• The most common type of foreign exchange
transaction for immediate exchange. The market
where these transactions occurs is known as the
spot market.
• The spot exchange rate is the current market
price for exchanging one currency directly for
another.
• Foreign exchange spot contracts are agreements
between the buyers and the sellers to exchange
a specified amount of currency at the spot rate for
delivery in two business days.
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Spot market
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Spot market
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Forward Contract
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FORWARD
December December December
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Forward Contract
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Forward Contract
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Forward contract
Determining forward premium/discount
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Forward contract
Example 1:
Suppose spot rate: S (USD/VND) = 23,412
1- year forward rate: F (USD/VND) = 23,600
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Forward contract
Example2
Suppose spot rate: S (GBP/USD) = 1.681
90-day forward rate: F (GBP/USD) = 1.677
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Forward contract
• Forward points
Forward points (P) are the number of basis
points added to or subtracted from the
current spot rate of a currency pair to determine
the forward rate for delivery on a specific value
date.
Forward rate = Spot rate +/- Forward points
F = S +/- P
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Forward contract
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Forward contract
F=S+P
Bid forward point < Ask forward point
F=S-P
Bid forward point > Ask forward point
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Forward contract
3 months 42-44 ?
6 months 85-88 ?
9 months 44-42 ?
12 months 88-85 ?
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Forward contract
Forward
Maturity Forward rate
point
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Fixed Forward Contract
Cancelation
Extension
Early Termination
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Fixed Forward Contract - Cancellation
• Solution:
1. Let the Forward deal executed as contracted
2. To cancel the old contract, ABC book an opposite deal
at the spot rate on the date we cancel.
3. Determine the profit/loss arising from the difference in
the exchange rate that is borne by the customer.
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Fixed Forward Contract - Cancellation
1. Execute the old deal
ABC set up a forward contract to buy 1mio USD at forward
rate F (USD/VND) = 21,268. On 25 Dec 2021, ABC must
pays:
1,000,000 * 21,268 = 21,268,000,000 VND
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Fixed Forward Contract - Cancellation
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Fixed Forward Contract - Extension
• Example: The shipment is delayed by one month. On 25
Dec 2021, ABC requests the bank to extend the forward
contract for one month.
• Solution:
1. Let the Forward deal executed as contracted
2. Book the opposite deal at the current spot rate
3. Set up a new one month forward contract by using the
current spot rate and 1mth forward point
4. Determine the profit/loss arising from the difference in
the exchange rate that is borne by the customer
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Fixed Forward Contract - Extension
1. Execute the old deal
ABC set up a forward contract to buy 1mio USD at forward
rate F (USD/VND) = 21,268. On 25 Dec 2021, ABC must
pay:
1,000,000 * 21,268 = 21,268,000,000 VND
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Fixed Forward Contract - Extension
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Fixed Forward Contract – Early
Termination
• Example: The shipment arrived one month earlier (25 Nov
2021). Therefore, ABC requests the bank to execute the
forward contract one month earlier.
• Solution:
1. Let the Forward deal executed as contracted
2. On 25Nov 2021, ABC buy 1mio USD at current spot rate
3. ABC book an opposite forward deal to cancel the old
deal using the current spot rate and 1mth forward points
4. Determine the profit/loss arising from the difference in
the exchange rate that is borne by the customer
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Fixed Forward Contract - Early
Termination
1. Execute the old deal
Suppose that ABC buy 1mio USD at forward rate F
(USD/VND) = 21,268. On 25 Dec 2021, ABC must pays:
1,000,000 * 21,268 = 21,268,000,000 VND
On 25 Nov 2021:
S(USD/VND) = 21,241 - 21,243
1 month Forward point USD/VND = 81 – 90
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Fixed Forward Contract - Early
Termination
3. Book an opposite forward deal to cancel the old deal
On 25 Nov 2021, ABC set up an opposite deal - one
month forward contract to sell 1mio USD at forward rate
21,322 (= 21,241 + 81)
On 25 Dec 2021, ABC receives:
1,000,000 * 21,322 = 21,322,000,000 VND
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Fixed Forward Contract - Early
Termination
4. Determine the profit or loss arising from the difference
in the exchange rate
Changes in the exchange rate make the bank get profit:
21,322,000,000 – 21,268,000,000 = 54,000,000 VND
The bank needs to pay back VND54,000,000 to cancel
the old deal
Total cost which ABC needs to pay for early termination is:
21,243,000,000 – 54,000,000 = 21,189,000,000 VND
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Fixed Forward Contract
Exercise 1
XYZ company exporting goods to Australia will receive
500,000 AUD in the next 3 months. XYZ sets up a 3-
months forward contract to sell AUD to the bank.
Today is 1st May, the current spot rate is 16.750-16.810
Fixed Forward contract for cancellation, extension and
early termination
-On 1st Jul, S(AUD/VND): 16.950-17.080
-On 1st Aug, S(AUD/VND): 17.150-17.210
-One month forward points is 35-50
- Three months forward points is 80-105.
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Exercise 1 - Cancellation
1. Execute the old deal
XYZ set up a forward contract to sell 500,000 AUD at
forward rate F (AUD/VND) = 16,750 + 80 = 16,830.
On 1st Aug, ABC receives:
500,000 * 16,830 = 8,415,000,000 VND
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Exercise 1 - Cancellation
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Exercise 1 - Extension
1. Execute the old deal
XYZ set up a forward contract to sell 500,000 AUD at
forward rate F (AUD/VND) = 16,750 + 80 = 16,830.
On 1st Aug, XYZ receives:
500,000 * 16,830 = 8,415,000,000 VND
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Exercise 1 - Extension
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Exercise 1 - Extension
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Exercise 1 – Early termination
1. Execute the old deal
XYZ set up a forward contract to sell 500,000 AUD at
forward rate F (AUD/VND) = 16,750 + 80 = 16,830.
On 1st Aug, XYZ receives:
500,000 * 16,830 = 8,415,000,000 VND
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Exercise 1 – Early termination
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Exercise 1 – Early termination
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Fixed Forward Contract
Exercise 2
Thang Loi JSC importing goods from Germany will pay
800.000€ in the next 3 months. Firm sets up a 3-month
forward contract to buy 800,000€.
Today is 1st Jun, the current spot rate is 28.150-28.280
Fixed forward contract for: cancellation, extension and
early termination.
-On 1st Aug, S(EUR/VND): 28,080 – 28,110
-On 1st Sep, S(EUR/VND): 27,950 - 28,050
-One month forward points is 60-90
- Three months forward points is 150-180
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Non – deliverable Forward contract
NDF
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Currency Futures Contracts
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Currency Futures contract Specification
Currency Futures Contracts Traded on the CME
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Currency Futures contract Specification
Contract size/Trading unit EURO 125.000
Price Quote USD per EURO
Minimum Price Fluctuation 0.0001
Delivery months Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec
Trading hours 7.20 am – 2.pm
Last day 7.20 pm – 9.16 am
Last day of trading Two business days before the Third
Wednesday of the contract month
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Comparison to Forward Contracts
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Credit Risk of Currency
Futures Contracts
• Currency futures contracts have no credit risk
since they are guaranteed by the exchange
clearinghouse.
• To minimize its risk in such a guarantee, the
exchange imposes margin requirements to
cover fluctuations in the value of the contracts.
• Participants in the currency futures market
need to establish and maintain a margin when
they take a position.
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Margin Requirements
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Mark to market - MTM
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Mark to market - MTM
Margin account
Initial Margin
Fluctuation
Maintenance
Margin Level
Call Margin
Call Margin
Settlement date
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Mark to market - MTM
Example
On 1st Jul, A trader set up a future contract to
purchase GBP at an exchange rate of $1.47/GBP.
• Initial margin is $2,000
• Maintenance margin level is $1,500
• Contract size is 62,500 GBP
The value of this contract is
62,500 x 1.47 = $91,875
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Mark to market - MTM
Example
Date Settleme Contract MTM Account Call
nt price Value (Profit/ Balance Margin
Loss)
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Pricing Currency Futures
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How Firms Use Currency Futures
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Speculation with Currency
Futures Contracts
April 4 June 17
1. A futures contract to 2. Buy 500,000 pesos at
sell 500,000 pesos at $0.08/peso ($40,000)
$0.09/peso ($45,000) from the spot market.
on June 17. 3. Sell the pesos to fulfill
contract.
Gain $5,000.
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Closing Out A Futures Position
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Closing Out A Futures Position
Example:
On 10th Jan, ABC firm anticipates that it will need AUD in 19th
Mar. ABC purchases a futures contract specifying A$100,000
at price of $0.53/AUD. On 15th Feb, ABC realizes that it has
no need for AUD in March. To close out this futures position,
ABC sells a futures contract on AUD at the settlement date.
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Currency Options Market
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Currency Options Contracts
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Currency Options Contracts
Currency
Options
Call Put
Options Options
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Currency Call Options
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Currency Call Options
A firm anticipates his needs on USD to import goods.
It establishes to purchase a currency call options at
strike price of 1.45 USD/GBP
On the expiration date, the spot rate fluctuates as
follows:
- The spot rate S(USD/GBP) = 1.5
- The spot rate S(USD/GBP) = 1.45
- The spot rate S(USD/GBP) = 1.3
How will the firm decide? Does it exercise the right
or not?
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Currency Call Options
The holder
exercises his right In the money
if spot rate > strike - ITM
price
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Currency Call Options
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Currency Call Options
Length of time
Spot price relative Potential variability
before the
to strike price of currency
expiration date
• The higher the • The longer the • The greater the
spot rate relative time to expiration variability of
to the strike date, the higher currency, the
price, the higher the option price higher the option
the option price will be price will be
will be
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Currency Call Options
How firm use currency call options
• Firms with open positions in foreign currencies
may use currency call options to cover those
positions.
• They may purchase currency call options
¤ to hedge future payables;
¤ to hedge potential expenses when bidding
on projects; and
¤ to hedge potential costs when attempting to
acquire other firms.
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Currency Call Options
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Currency Call Options
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Currency Call Options
Example:
A speculator buys a GBP call option at a
strike price of $1.35
On the expiration date, the current spot rate is
$1.43
Premium for this call option is $0.012 per unit
Call option contract size: $31,250
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Currency Call Options
Example:
For the buyer, on the expiration date, the current
spot rate ($1.43) > the strike price ($1.35)
Speculator exercises this call option at the strike
price, then selling currency at the spot rate to gain
profit
Per unit Per contract
Purchase currency - $1.35 - $1.35 x 31,250 = - $42,187.5
Sell currency + $1.43 + $1.43 x 31,250 = $44,687.5
Premium - $0.012 - $0.012 x 31,250 = - $375
Net profit + $0.068 + $0.068 x 31,250 = $2,125
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Currency Call Options
Example:
For the seller, since the buyer exercises this call
option so the seller has to provide GBP at the strike
price ($1.35) on the expiration date.
Net profit from selling this call option is derived
here:
Per unit Per contract
Sell currency + $1.35 + $1.35 x 31,250 = $42,187.5
Purchase currency - $1.43 - $1.43 x 31,250 = - $44,687.5
Premium received + $0.012 + $0.012 x 31,250 = + $375
Net profit - $0.068 - $0.068 x 31,250 = - $2,125
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Currency Call Options
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Currency Put Options
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Currency Put Options
A firm has a receipt USD from exporting goods. It
establishes to purchase a currency put options at
strike price of 1.45 USD/GBP
On the expiration date, the spot rate fluctuates as
follows:
- The spot rate S(USD/GBP) = 1.5
- The spot rate S(USD/GBP) = 1.45
- The spot rate S(USD/GBP) = 1.3
How will the firm decide? Does it exercise the right
or not?
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Currency Put Options
The holder
exercises his right In the money
if spot rate < strike - ITM
price
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Currency Put Options
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Currency Put Options
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Currency Put Options
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Currency Put Options
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Currency Put Options
Example:
A speculator buys a GBP put option at a strike
price of $1.35
On the expiration date, the current spot rate is
$1.23
Premium for this put option is $0.01 per unit
Call option contract size: $31,250
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Currency Put Options
Example:
For the buyer, on the expiration date, the current
spot rate ($1.23) < the strike price ($1.35)
Speculator purchase currency at the spot rate
then exercises this put option at the strike price to
gain profit
Per unit Per contract
Purchase currency - $1.23 - $1.23 x 31,250 = - $38,437.5
Sell currency + $1.35 + $1.35 x 31,250 = $42,187.5
Premium - $0.01 - $0.01 x 31,250 = - $312.5
Net profit + $0.11 + $0.11 x 31,250 = $3,437.5
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Currency Put Options
Example:
For the seller, since the buyer exercises this put
option so the seller has to purchase GBP at the
strike price ($1.35) on the expiration date.
Net profit from selling this put option is derived
here:
Per unit Per contract
Purchase currency - $1.35 - $1.35 x 31,250 = - $42,187.5
Sell currency + $1.23 - $1.23 x 31,250 = + $38,437.5
Premium received + $0.01 + $0.01 x 31,250 = + $312.5
Net profit - $0.11 - $0.11 x 31,250 = -$3,437.5
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Contingency Graphs for Currency Options
currency currency
call options call options
currency currency
put options put options
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Contingency Graphs for Currency Options
For long position
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Contingency Graphs for Currency Options
For short position
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Speculative strategies on options
Straddle
• Long straddle: Purchase both a put option and a
call option at the same strike price
• Short straddle: Sell both a put option and a call
option at the same strike price
Strangle
• Long strangle: Purchase both a put option and a
call option at the different strike price.
• Short strangle: Sell both a put option and a call
option at the different strike price
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Speculative strategies on options
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Speculative strategies on options
The strike price X = $1.05/EUR.
Call option premium: C = $0,03/EUR
Put option premium: P = $0,02/EUR
Spot rate EUR/USD on the expiration date
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Speculative strategies on options
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Speculative strategies on options
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Speculative strategies on options
Call option: XC = $1.15/EUR and premium C = $0,03/EUR
Put option: XP = $1.05/EUR and premium P = $0,02/EUR
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Speculative strategies on options
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Conditional Currency Options
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Conditional Currency Options
Option Type Exercise Price Trigger Premium
basic put $1.70 - $0.02
conditional put $1.70 $1.74 $0.04
$1.78 Basic
Net Amount Received
$1.76 Put
$1.74
Conditional Conditional
$1.72 Put
Put
$1.70
$1.68
$1.66
Spot
Rate
$1.66 $1.70 $1.74 $1.78 $1.82
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Conditional Currency Options
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