CL327 - Module 1
CL327 - Module 1
Economics (PEE)
CL 327
Sangram Roy
Assistant Professor
Department of Chemical Engineering
Course Timing and Policy of PEE
Monday – Room 217, 1100-1150
Tuesday – Room 213, 1330-1420
Wednesday – Room 217, 1200-1250
Assessment
First Quiz 10%
Mid-Sem 25%
Second Quiz 10%
End Sem 50%
Instructor Assessment 5%
References:
1. Plant Design and Economics for Chemical Engineers, Max S. Peters, K.D. Timmerhaus 4th Edition,
McGrawHill Inc.
2. Chemical Engineering Design Principles, Practice and Economics of Plant and Process Design, Gavin
Towler and Ray Sinnott, 2nd Edition, Elsevier
Why PEE?
Project Engineering & Economics
• Design
• Economic Feasibility- Cost of
• Manufacturing
production
• Process Facilities
• Investment - Expansion
• Modification of existing facility
Course Objectives
• To Develop the Concept of the start of a plant design M1
and find the best design method
• Draw Block Diagrams/Process Flow Diagrams and
plant layout of processes plant
• To Understand the various components of the project
cost M2,M3 & M4
• To understand the components of profit and loss
• Identify and understand various hazards and safety M5
measures in Chemical Industries
Context
Rank Company Total revenue (in billion ₹)
Total revenue
Expensed Engineering
2. If need is satisfactory - a preliminary
(re)search
• Literature Review
• Patent search
• Look up at present state-of-the-art
What Drives Process Development?
3. Research –
• Experimental measurements in the laboratory
• Modeling and validation
Expensed Engineering
• Preliminary economic viability
4. Pilot Plant studies
• Data Generation for commercialization and market
survey
5. Complete market survey –
• Limited launch for customer feedback (Prototype
version)
• Capital cost estimation for the full-scale plant
• Return on investment and a complete cost-and-profit
analysis is done
What Drives Process Development?
Bharat Bharat Bharat Bharat
Characteristics
Stage II Stage III Stage IV Stage V/VI
Sulphur, Total, Max mg/kg for diesel 500 350 50 10
Sulphur, Total, Max mg/kg for
500 150 50 10
gasoline
Stricter Mercaptane
R-SH,
s R-S-S-R
fuel Better
Understa-
?
Thiophenes
standards Higher understanding
S of
Nov-2000
Dec-2011
Aug-1986
Sep-1997
Aug-2005
Oct-1989
May-1991
Apr-1999
Oct-2008
May-2010
Jan-1985
Jul-1994
Jul-2013
Mar-1988
Jun-2002
Jan-2004
Mar-2007
Feb-1996
Me Me
Expensed Engineering
Capitalised Engineering
Chemical Engineering Projects
Lab-scale
Pilot-scale Demo Plant
• • Operated continuously to
Also referred as Bench
Scale Engineering
• Workhorse for full-scale
demo plant
demonstrate commercial
• Testing of hypothesis viability
(kinetics, catalyst …) Procurement and
• Features all process
conditions (product
• Testing for possible
safety and hazard of
• Often a batch process
• Limited operating window
(~ few gm of catalyst)
Construction(EPC)
separation and purification) commercial plant
• Limited continuous operation• Limited product launch
for market
Plant Layout
ISBL OSBL
Phase 2: Plant
design
Cost Estimation
• Estimation of the product revenues and costs of production is a
key step in determining the profitability of a process
Capital Cost
Indirect
• Temporary construction, Field expenses (canteen for workers, social benefits
• Construction Insurance
• Miscellaneous - Local Taxes, Duties or Octroies, transportation
Fixed Capital Investment
Investments on OSBL
• Power supply (Power plants, Substations, transformers, power lines…)
• Steam Supply (Boiler, Condensers, Condensate Line, Boiler water…)
• Cooling Towers (Cooling water, Blowers,…)
• Water (Demineralized (DM), pipes, pumps, site drainage…)
• Laboratories (Sample and product testing…)
• Air Separation Plants (Oxygen, Nitrogen…)
• Plant Utilities (Emergency Services, Firefighting equipment, …)
CostOSBL~ (20-50%) CostISBL
• Raw Materials
• Utilities – fuel, water, steam
• Consumables
• Effluent disposal
• Packaging and shipping
Cost Estimates
Cost Curve Methods – Order-of-magnitude ±30%
𝑛
𝑆2
𝐶2 = 𝐶1
𝑆1
𝐶2 ISBL Capital Cost with capacity 𝑆2
𝐶1 ISBL Capital Cost with capacity 𝑆1
𝑛 (0.8-0.9) Mechanical (pumps, compressors…) intensive industries
0.7 Petrochemical
(0.4-0.5) Speciality Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals
Petroleum Refinery, petrochemicals, and gas processing (published by Hydrocarbon
Processing )
𝐶1 𝑛 𝑛
𝐶2 = 𝑛 𝑆2 = 𝑎𝑆2
𝑆1
Cost Estimates
Step-Count Method – Bridgewater’s Method (1979)
𝑄 0.675
𝑄 ≥ 60000 ∶ 𝐶 = 3200𝑁 (Old: 4320)
𝑠
𝑄 0.3
𝑄 ≤ 60,000: 𝐶 = 280000𝑁 𝑠
𝑄 − 𝑃𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑡 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑖𝑛 𝑀𝑒𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑐 𝑡𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
𝐶 − 𝐼𝑆𝐵𝐿 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡
𝑠 − 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛
𝑁 − 𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑢𝑛𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑢𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑠 (Reactors, Ancillaries, Separation unit…)
Cost Estimates
Cost Estimates
Cost Estimates
Equipment Cost
𝐶𝑒 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑆 𝑛
Cost Estimates
Equipment Cost
Cost Estimates
Equipment Cost
Cost Estimates
Factorial Method – Lang Factors
4. Calculate the OSBL, engineering, and contingency costs using the factorial method
5. The sum of ISBL, OSBL, engineering, and contingency costs is the fixed capital
investment (Step 3 +Step 4)
6. Estimate the working capital as a percentage of the fixed capital investment; 10% to
20% is typical
7. Add the fixed and working capital to get the total investment required.
Cost Index
𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 𝑖𝑛 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝐴
𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑖𝑛 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝐴 = 𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑖𝑛 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝐵
𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 𝑖𝑛 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝐵
Why?
• Inflation
• Wage Escalation
How?
• Historical Cost Data
• Weighted Average Indices – Composite (Labour, Material, Location…)
• Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index (CEPCI)- by Chemical Engineering
• Marshall and Swift index (M&S Equipment Cost Index)- by Chemical Engineering
• Nelson-Farrer Refinery Construction Index (NF index) - by Oil and Gas Journal
Cost Index (CEPI)
Source: https://personalpages.manchester.ac.uk/staff/tom.rodgers/Interactive_graphs/CEPCI.html?reactors/CEPCI/index.html
Nelson-Farrer Refinery Construction
Index (NF index)
• Base Year 1946
• Base Index 100
• Published Quarterly
• Petroleum and Petrochemical
Industry
-Pumps, compressors, etc.
-Electrical machinery
-Internal combustion engines
-Instruments
-Heat exchangers
-Miscellaneous equipment, average
-Materials
-Labor
https://www.ogj.com/home/article/17229698/nelsonfa
rrar-cost-indexes
Marshall and Swift index (MS)
Example 7.4
The purchased cost of a shell and tube heat exchanger, carbon shell, 316 stainless
steel tubes, heat transfer area 500 m2, was $64,000 in January 2003; estimate the
cost in December 2010. Use the M&S Equipment Cost Index
Solution
Index in 2003 = 1123.6
Index in 2011 = 1476.7
So, the estimated cost in December 2010
= $64,000 × 1477/1124 = $84,000
Working Capital (WC)
Working Capital (WC) = Current Assets – Current Liabilities
•Cash-at- •Accounts
bank or payable
• Value of Raw Materials, (by) products inventory
equivalent •Bank
• Cash-on-hand to meet estimated
•Accountsexpenses like – wages, raw material
overdrafts.
purchase receivable •Sales, payroll,
• Accounts Payable for products manufactured
•Inventory and income
• Spares Inventory •Short-term taxes.
• Taxes investments •Wages.
𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 •Rent.
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡
= •Short-term
𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 loans.
= 5 − 30% 𝑜𝑓 𝐹𝐶𝐼
•Outstanding
𝐹𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡(𝐹𝐶) + 𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙
expenses
Typical for general chemicals and petrochemicals, it is 15 % of FCI
Fixed Capital (FC) vs Working Capital
(WC)
FC WC
Capital Investment in the Capital Invested in current
Definition long-term assets of an assets of an enterprise
enterprise
Objective Strategy oriented for goals Operational need
Liquidity No High
Profits
The cash cost of production (CCOP) is the sum of the fixed and variable production costs:
CCOP = VCOP+ FCOP
Where,
VCOP = sum of all the variable costs of production minus by-product revenues
FCOP = sum of the fixed costs of production
The gross profit is
Gross profit = Main product revenues− CCOP
Net profit = gross profit − taxes
Cash Flows
Project Engineering & Economics (PEE)