Chapter Five Security Market Indexes
Chapter Five Security Market Indexes
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LEARNING OBJECTIVES
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LEARNING OBJECTIVES
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INTRODUCTION
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INTRODUCTION
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INTRODUCTION
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5.1 USES OF SECURITY-MARKET
INDEXES
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5.1 USES OF SECURITY-MARKET
INDEXES
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5.2 Differentiating Factors In
Constructing Market Indexes
• 5.2.2 Weighting Sample Members
• The second factor is the weight given to each member in the sample.
• Four principal weighting schemes are used for security-
market indexes:
• (1) a price-weighted index,
• (2) a market-value weighted index,
• (3) an unweighted index, or what would be described as an equal-
weighted index, and
• (4) a fundamental weighted index based on some operating variable
like sales, earnings, or return on equity.
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5.2 Differentiating Factors In
Constructing Market Indexes
• 5.2.2 Weighting Sample Members
• (1) a price-weighted index,
• means that, index movements are influenced by the differential
prices of the components.
• (2) a market-value weighted index,
• is generated by deriving the initial total market value of all stocks
used in the index (Market Value = Number of Shares Outstanding
× Current Market Price).
•
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5.2 Differentiating Factors In
Constructing Market Indexes
• 5.2.2 Weighting Sample Members
• (3) an unweighted index, or what would be described as an
equal-weighted index, and all stocks carry equal weight regardless
of their price or market value.
• (4) a fundamental weighted index based on some operating
variable like sales, earnings, or return on equity. employs some
widely used fundamental factors. Specifically, four broad
fundamental measures of size: sales, profits (cash flow), net assets
(book value), and distributions to shareholders (dividends).
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5.2 Differentiating Factors In
Constructing Market Indexes
• 5.2.3 Computational Procedure
▪ The final consideration is the computational procedure used.
▪ One alternative is to take a simple arithmetic mean of the
various members in the index.
▪ Another is to compute an index and have all changes, whether in
price or value, reported in terms of the basic index.
▪ Finally, some prefer using a geometric mean of the components
rather than an arithmetic mean.
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5.3 Stock-market Indexes
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5.3.1 Price-weighted Index
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5.3.1 Price-weighted Index
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5.3.1 Price-weighted Index
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5.3.1 Price-weighted Index
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5.3.1 Price-weighted Index
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5.3.1 Price-weighted Index
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Criticism of the DJIA
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5.3.2 Value-weighted Index
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5.3.2 Value-weighted Index
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5.3.2 Value-weighted Index
➢The current market value is compared to the initial “base” market value
to determine the percentage change, which
➢In turn is applied to the beginning index value.
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5.3.2 Value-weighted Index
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5.3.2 Value-weighted Index
▪ The point is, price changes for large market value stocks in a value-
weighted index will dominate changes in the index value over time.
▪ Therefore, it is important to be a ware of the large-value stocks in the
index.
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5.3.3 Unweighted Index
▪ In fact, the actual movements in the index are typically based on the
arithmetic mean of the percent changes in price or value for the stocks
in the index.
▪ The use of percentage price changes means that the price level or the
market value of the stock does not make a difference—each
percentage change has equal weight.
▪ Exhibit 5.5 demonstrates the computation of an equal weighted index
using the average of the percent changes for each of the three stocks.
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5.3.3 Unweighted Index
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5.3.4 Fundamental Weighted Index
▪ Given these variables for a large sample of firms, they created an index of
1,000 of the largest firms and
▪ Computed the percent of each firm’s sales, cash flow, book value, and
dividends to the total for the sample and
▪ Determined a company’s relative size (weight) by averaging the weights
of the four-size metrics across the trailing five years (to avoid the impact
of cyclicality).
▪ The authors contend that this index [RAFI]) is representative, but also
ensures high liquidity, high capacity, and low turnover.
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5.3.6 Global Equity Indexes
▪ While these local indexes are closely followed within each country, a
problem arises in comparing the results implied by these indexes for
different countries why ?
▪ Because of a lack of consistency among:
➢ the min sample selection,
➢weighting, or
➢computational procedure.
▪ To solve these comparability problems, several investment data firms have
computed a set of consistent country stock indexes.
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5.3.6 Global Equity Indexes
▪ In addition to the individual countries and the world index, there are several
geographic subgroups, subgroups by market value, and by industry sectors.
▪ These indexes are available daily in the Financial Times.
▪ Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Indexes
▪ These International Indexes are consisting of three international, 22 national,
and 38 international industry indexes.
▪ The indexes consider some 1,673 companies listed on stock exchanges in 22
countries,
▪ With a combined market capitalization that represents approximately 60
percent of the aggregate market value of the stock exchanges of these
countries.
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5.3.6 Global Equity Indexes
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5.3.6 Global Equity Indexes
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5.3.6 Global Equity Indexes
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5.3.6 Global Equity Indexes
▪ The correlations between the three series since December 31, 1991,
indicate that the results with the various world stock indexes are quite
comparable.
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5.3.6 Global Equity Indexes
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5.4 Bond-market Indexes
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5.4 Bond-market Indexes
▪ Third, the volatility of prices for individual bonds and bond portfolios
changes because bond price volatility is affected by duration, which is
likewise changing constantly because of changes in maturity, coupon, and
market yield.
▪ Finally, significant problems can arise in correctly pricing the individual
bond issues in an index compared to the current and continuous
transactions prices available for most stocks used in stock indexes.
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5.4 Bond-market Indexes
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5.4 Bond-market Indexes
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5.4 Bond-market Indexes
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5.4 Bond-market Indexes
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5.5Composite Stock-bond Indexes
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5.5Composite Stock-bond Indexes
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5.6 Comparison Of Indexes Over Time
▪ Thus, the major difference between the indexes is that the samples of
stocks are from different segments of the U.S. stock market or from
different countries.
▪ There is a high positive correlation (0.98–0.99) between the Dow Jones
Total Stock Market Index and the several comprehensive U.S. equity
indexes: the S&P 500, and the Russell 3000 and Russell 1000 large cap
index.
▪ In contrast, there are lower correlations with various style indexes such
as the Russell 2000 Small-Cap index (0.828).
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5.6 Comparison Of Indexes Over Time
▪ The correlations between the Dow Jones Total Stock Market Index and
the several non-U.S. indexes are clearly lower ranging from 0.462 (Pacific
Basin) to 0.726 (Europe).
▪ All of these support the case for global investing.
▪ These results confirm the benefits of global diversification because such
low correlations would definitely reduce the variance of a pure U.S. stock
portfolio.
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5.6 Comparison Of Indexes Over Time
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SUMMARY
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SUMMARY
• In this case, you must be sure the index (benchmark) is consistent with
your investing universe.
• If you are investing worldwide, you should not judge your performance
relative to the DJIA, which is limited to 30 U.S. blue-chip stocks.
• For a bond portfolio, the index should like wise match your investment
philosophy.
• Finally, if your portfolio contains both stocks and bonds, you must evaluate
your performance against an appropriate combination of indexes.
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SUMMARY
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Reference : Fr an k K . R e i l ly &Ke i t h C . B row n, I nve st ment Ana ly sis &
Por t folio M a nage me nt , Te nt h E dit io n , © 2 0 1 2, 2 0 0 9 So u th - we s te r n,
Ce n gage L e ar n ing AL L R I G H T S R E SE RVED
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THANK YOU
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