Soy Refined Oil - Performance Review FY 2021-22 - 1656403935
Soy Refined Oil - Performance Review FY 2021-22 - 1656403935
Sl. No. A B C
Kharif
Crop Season Kharif Rabi
(Long Duration crop)
Paddy, Maize, Bajra,
Moong, Soybean, Guar Wheat, Barley, Chana, RM
Crops Castor and Turmeric
seed, Kapas, Sesame Seed, Coriander, Jeera
Seed
Guar gum, Soybean meal,
Relevant Processed
Soy oil, Cotton, Cotton Castor Oil -
commodities
seed Oil cake, Gur, CPO
Sowing Time July onwards July onwards October onwards
Harvesting Time Oct onwards Jan onwards March onwards
Reference Year
Financial Year 2021-22 (Apr-Mar)
Corresponding Years
Production Year (PY) 2021-22 (July-Sept) 2020-21(July-June) 2020-21(July-June)
Marketing Year (MY) 2021-22 (Oct-Sept) 2021-22 (Jan/Feb-Dec/Jan) 2021-22 (Mar/Apr - Feb/Mar)
Calendar Year (CY) 2021 (Jan-Dec) 2021 (Jan-Dec) 2021 (Jan-Dec)
Current Financial Year = Current Financial Year = Current Financial Year =
Relationship b/w Current Production Year = Previous Production Year = Previous Production Year =
Various Years Current Marketing Year = Current Marketing Year = Current Marketing Year =
Calendar Year Current Calendar Year Current Calendar Year
FY 2021-22 = PY 2021-22 FY 2021-22 = PY 2020-21 = FY 2021-22 = PY 2020-21 =
Example
= MY 2021-22 = CY 2021 MY 2021-22 = CY 2021 MY 2021-22 = CY 2021
Explanatory Notes:
India is a vast country and various crops are sown and harvested at different point of time. However,
two major crop seasons, are there i.e. Kharif & Rabi. Apart from it, Zaid/Summer season is also there.
Crop seasons are classified based upon sowing time. Normally Kharif season sowing starts from mid-
June/July and new crop arrivals begin from Oct/Nov. However, early/late sowing/harvesting also takes
place. Rabi season sowing usually takes place mainly from October/November and harvesting starts
from March/April. Early/late sowing/harvesting also takes place. Summer crops/Zaid crops are short
duration crops mainly sown during January-March and harvested during April-June.
“Production Year” is considered as “July to June”. With the start of monsoon rains during June/July the
sowing of Kharif season starts and they are harvested during Sept/Oct. From Oct onwards the sowing
of Rabi season crops starts and harvesting usually takes place during March/April. Thus, a single
production cycle completes between July-Sept period covering Kharif, Rabi and Zaid crops. Thus
production year remains same for all season crops and the period corresponds to July-Sept.
“Marketing Year” for each crops starts from beginning of the harvest time i.e. from start of new crop
produce arrivals in the market. Thus, for Kharif crops Marketing Year is generally considered as
“October to September”, while for Rabi crops Marketing Year is considered as “April to March”.
However, Marketing Year may vary slightly for some of the crops depending upon early/late
maturity/harvesting.
For processed commodities, their production starts after the start of new season crop arrivals of their
underlying crop.
b. Commodity fundamentals and balance sheet as per the following format (to be prepared based
on publicly available information on best effort basis):
In Lakh Tonnes
Top 10 Major Producing Countries Top 10 Major Consuming Countries
Current Current
Rank Previous FY Previous FY
Country FY(2021-22) Country FY(2021-22)
(2020-21) (2020-21)
(P) (P)
1 China 167 160 China 178 173
2 United States 114 119 United States 106 114
3 Brazil 90 91 Brazil 80 75
4 Argentina 79 79 India 49 54
5 European Union 30 30 European Union 24 25
6 India 17 18 Argentina 20 21
7 Mexico 11 12 Mexico 13 13
8 Russia 8 8 Bangladesh 12 13
9 Egypt 7 7 Egypt 11 10
10 Thailand 5 5 Algeria 8 8
Others 63 61 Others 86 87
World Total 592 590 World Total 587 593
Source: USDA (April 2022); P= Provisional,
Countries are arranged in descending order based on the figure in Current FY (2021-22)
Please refer to Table entitled “Reference Years for Commodities” to know type of years corresponding to
financial year.
In Lakh Tonnes
Top 10 Major Exporting Countries Top 10 Major Importing Countries
Current Current
Previous FY Previous FY
FY(2021-22) FY(2021-22)
(2020-21) (2020-21)
Rank Country (P) Country (P)
1 Argentina 61 59 India 32 37
2 Brazil 13 18 China 12 11
3 European Union 11 11 Bangladesh 7 8
4 United States 8 8 Algeria 6 6
5 Russia 6 6 Peru 6 6
6 Bolivia 5 4 Morocco 5 5
7 Paraguay 6 3 European Union 5 5
8 Ukraine 2 2 Korea, South 4 4
9 Turkey 3 2 Egypt 4 4
10 Thailand 1 1 Colombia 3 3
Others 11 11 Others 33 31
World Total 126 124 World Total 118 119
Source: USDA (April 2022); P= Provisional,
Countries are arranged in descending order based on the figure in Current FY (2021-22)
Please refer to Table entitled “Reference Years for Commodities” to know type of years corresponding to
financial year.
c. Major changes in the polices governing trade in the spot markets of the commodity
d. Geo political issues in the commodity and its impact on Indian scenario.
b. Annual traded volume as proportion of total deliverable supply (quantity in appropriate units)
c. Annual traded volume as proportion of total annual production (quantity in appropriate units)
Yearly
Symbol Traded Value (in Cr.)
SYOREF 83,803
Annual
SYOREF Nil
Yearly
Symbol Value in Cr
SYOREF Nil
i. Monthly and Annual Average Open Interest (OI) (in appropriate units)
k. Total number of unique members and clients who have traded during the financial year
l. Ratio of open interest by FPOs/farmers/Hedge/VCP positions to total open interest (Annual average
as well as maximum daily value)
Annual average of ratio of open interest by FPOs/farmers/Hedge/VCP positions to total open interest
Symbol VCPs/ Hedger
SYOREF 40.82%
Maximum daily value of ratio of open interest by FPOs/farmers/Hedge/VCP positions to total open interest
Symbol VCPs/ Hedger
SYOREF 47.34%
It is calculated on the day when commodity has highest open interest during the year.
Commodity wise client categorization is as per category details as provided by the members.
m. Number of unique FPOs / farmers and VCPs/hedgers who traded in the financial year
88
4.61%
0. Delivery defaults
i. Number of instances
0
ii. Quantity involved
Nil
iii. Value involved
Nil
3. Price movements
a. Comparison, correlation and ratio of standard deviation of Exchange futures price vis-à-vis international
futures price (wherever relevant comparable are available).
Correlation- 0.32
Standard Deviation- 0.61
Comparison
Price Comparison
1800 90
1700 80
1600 70
Int'l Price
1500 60
Price
50
1400
40
1300 30
1200 20
1100 10
1000 0
Date
b. Comparison, correlation and ratio of standard deviation of Exchange futures price vis-à-vis international
spot price (wherever relevant comparable are available) and domestic spot price (exchange polled
price).
Not Available
c. Correlation between exchange futures & domestic spot prices along with ratio of standard deviation.
Correlation- 0.55
Standard Deviation- 1.13
d. Correlation between international futures & international spot prices along with ratio of standard
deviation (wherever relevant comparable are available).
Not Available
e. Comparison of Exchange polled price and mandi price (in case of agricultural commodities) / other
relevant price (in case non-agricultural commodities) at basis centre.
Not Available
f. Maximum & Minimum value of daily futures price volatility and spot price volatility along with disclosure
of methodology adopted for computing the volatility. (Volatility calculated by Square root of Standard
Deviation of daily returns for the period from 1 April 2021 to 31 March 2022)
Futures Spot
Volatility
Month Value Month Value
Max Jun 0.020404 Mar 0.016163
Min Jan 0.006388 Jan 0.005246
g. Number of times the futures contract was in backwardation/contango by more than 4% for the near
month contract in the period under review
Contango 1
Backwardation 0
4. Others parameters
a. Qualitative and quantitative measure for Hedge effectiveness ratio (Methodology in Annexure I) and
basis Risk (Volatility of Basis) along with disclosure of methodology adopted for such calculations.
(Volatility calculated by of Standard Deviation of daily returns for the period from 1 April 2021 to
31 March 2022
b. Details about major physical markets of the commodity vis-à-vis market reach in terms of availability
of delivery centers (information to be provided state-wise and UT-wise).
Refined Soy oil is produced in domestic market, as well as, it gets imported. The major imports takes place
at Kandla, Mundra, JNPT, and Haldia ports. The major trading center for Refined Soy oil are Kandla, Rajkot,
Ahmedabad, Indore, Neemuch, Ujjain, Dewas, Akola, Dhule, Nagpur, Latur, Mumbai, Kota, Delhi, Kolkata
etc.
Following are the port wise imports figures for Soybean oil.
(In MT)
Oil Year 17- Oil Year 18- Oil Year 19- Oil Year 20- Oil Year 21-
Port Location 18 19 20 21 22*
Haldia 7,41,502 7,63,570 7,68,891 6,88,839 3,80,349
Kandla 16,97,169 15,42,637 17,73,863 12,72,885 10,34,823
JNPT 2,59,257 2,64,905 2,67,662 3,47,338 1,37,906
Mundra 3,38,112 5,01,196 4,07,900 3,87,333 2,61,106
Other Ports 11,000 21,805 1,65,738 1,69,224 1,19,620
Total 30,47,040 30,94,113 33,84,054 28,65,619 19,33,804
Source: Sea of India
* Oil import from November 2021 to March 2022
* Oil year is considered from November to October
c. Details about major physical markets of the commodity and average Open Interest for each month
generated from those regions.
Note – The OI for each month is classified based on the Member level. The Average OI is on gross
level (Long OI + Short OI)
d. Details, such as number and target audience, of stakeholders’ awareness programs carried out by the
exchange.
Following list of Awareness programme, Stakeholder engagement programme has conducted for FY
2021-22.
Sr. Number Programme Location Number of
Participants
1 Trade Dynamics of Soy Complex Virtual 56
2 Investors Education Programme Virtual 17
3 Investors Education Programme Virtual 15
4 Investors Education Programme Virtual 5
5 Investors Education Programme Virtual 3
6 Investors Education Programme Virtual 6
7 Investors Education Programme Virtual 29
8 Investors Education Programme Virtual 25
9 Investors Education Programme Virtual 37
10 Investors Education Programme Virtual 19
11 Investors Education Programme Virtual 87
12 Investors Education Programme Virtual 13
13 Investors Education Programme Virtual 35
14 Investors Education Programme Virtual 46
15 Investors Education Programme Virtual 28
16 Investors Education Programme Virtual 39
17 Investors Education Programme Virtual 10
18 Investors Education Programme Virtual 11
19 Investors Education Programme Virtual 6
20 Investors Education Programme Indore 35
21 Investors Education Programme Bhopal 23
22 Investors Education Programme Ratlam 25
e. Steps taken / to be undertaken to improve hedging effectiveness of the contracts as well as to improve
the performance of illiquid contracts.
Creating awareness about hedging and targeting the major Soybean processors
Awareness Programme in major trading centres as well as remote location
One to one meeting with market participants and hedgers
ANNEXURE I
Hedging Efficiency Methodology
Regression analysis is carried out between near month futures returns and NCDEX polled spot prices
returns of the FY2021-22.
The R-Square value of the Regression analysis represents the “Hedging Efficiency”.
Note: -
Date for which spot prices were not available is not used for analysis.
Weekly returns are used for performing Regression Analysis.
The method used to calculate Hedging Efficiency does not consider liquidity risk because of this reason
illiquid commodities can have high hedging efficiency.
References:
Ghosh, Ph. D, Nilanjan & Dey, Debojyoti & Moulvi, Nazir & Jain, Niteen & Sinha, Neha & Rachuri, Sarika.
(2013). Hedging Efficiency—Measures and Empirical Study.