Ena Doc 025-2022
Ena Doc 025-2022
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DISCLAIMER
This document refers to various standards, guidelines, calculations, legal requirements, technical
details and other information.
Over time, changes in Australian Standards, industry standards and legislative requirements, as well as
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technological advances and other factors relevant to the information contained in this document, may
affect the accuracy of the information contained in this document. Accordingly, caution should be
exercised in relation to the use of the information in this document.
Energy Networks Australia accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of any information contained in
this document or the consequences of any person relying on such information.
Correspondence should be addressed to the Industry Standards Officer, Energy Networks Australia, at
[email protected] or Unit 5, Level 12, 385 Bourke Street Melbourne VIC 3000.
COPYRIGHT ©
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All rights are reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced or copied in any form or by any
means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, without the written permission of the
Association.
ISBN: 978-1-925871-09-8
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Contents
CONTENTS ................................................................................................................................................... 3
FIGURES ....................................................................................................................................................... 5
TABLES......................................................................................................................................................... 5
DOCUMENTS OF ENERGY NETWORKS AUSTRALIA ........................................................................................ 6
HISTORY OF ENERGY NETWORKS AUSTRALIA ................................................................................................................ 6
DOCUMENTS .......................................................................................................................................................... 6
OBJECTIVE ................................................................................................................................................... 6
KEY INFORMATION ...................................................................................................................................... 7
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ................................................................................................................................ 8
1 SCOPE .................................................................................................................................................. 9
1.1 DEFINITIONS AND ABBREVIATIONS ................................................................................................................. 9
2 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK ............................................................................................................... 10
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4.13 TOUCH, STEP AND TRANSFER VOLTAGE CHECK (STEP 7) .................................................................................. 40
4.14 RISK ANALYSIS DECISION CHECK (STEP 8) ..................................................................................................... 40
4.15 MODIFY THE DESIGN USING RISK MITIGATION PRINCIPLES (STEP 9) ................................................................... 41
4.15.1 Option 1:Reduce Presented Voltage or Clearing Time................................................................ 41
4.15.2 Option 2: Reduce the Probability of Coincidence........................................................................ 41
4.16 DIRECT QRA OF INDIRECT SHOCK RISK (STEP 10) .......................................................................................... 41
4.17 ASSESSMENT OF RISK TOLERABILITY (STEP 11) .............................................................................................. 42
4.18 LIGHTNING AND TRANSIENT DESIGN (STEP 12) .............................................................................................. 43
4.19 CONSTRUCTION SUPPORT (STEP 13)............................................................................................................ 43
4.19.1 Physical Implementation Compliance......................................................................................... 43
4.19.2 Construction Safety .................................................................................................................... 43
4.20 COMMISSIONING AND ONGOING SUPERVISION (STEP 14) ............................................................................... 44
4.20.1 Testing, Inspection and Supervision Principles ........................................................................... 44
4.20.2 Commissioning Programme and Safety Compliance Review ..................................................... 45
4.20.3 Ongoing Supervision and Maintenance...................................................................................... 47
4.21 FINAL DOCUMENTATION (STEP 15) ............................................................................................................. 48
5 MANAGEMENT OF SHOCK RISK .......................................................................................................... 49
5.1 SHOCK TYPES ........................................................................................................................................... 49
5.2 HISTORY OF INDIRECT SHOCK SAFETY CRITERIA................................................................................................ 49
5.3 VALUE OF QUANTIFYING THE RISK OF INDIRECT SHOCK ..................................................................................... 53
5.4 RISK MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES ................................................................................................................. 54
5.4.1 Risk management process overview ............................................................................................... 54
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Figures
Tables
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Documents of Energy Networks Australia
History of Energy Networks Australia
Energy Networks Australia is the peak national body representing Australia’s gas distribution and electricity
transmission and distribution companies. Established in its current form in 2004 it has a long history of industry
representation, operating under different names over the years to reflect the sector transformation.
With more than 16 million customer connections across the nation, Australia’s energy networks provide the
final step in the safe, reliable delivery of gas and electricity to virtually every home, business and industry in the
country.
Documents
Part of Energy Networks Australia’s role is the development and management of support material such as
codes, specifications, guidelines and handbooks to support the energy industry and members of the public in
the interpretation and application of legislation and standards. All documents are written in collaboration with
the industry through reference groups and general consultation with Energy Networks Australia’s members.
This Guideline is just one document in a framework of information designed to support the energy sector.
Network Operators and Service Providers should refer to all current Energy Networks Australia Guidelines. A
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Objective
This document addresses the high-level aspects of management policies and strategies associated with power
system earthing. It provides a framework for managing earthing system related risk associated with electrical
power systems to meet societally acceptable and tolerable levels.
Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
This document is intended to complement, but not substitute or override, a number of regulations and
Australian Standards. Consistency of approach in the detail will be delivered by way of this document together
with the relevant legislation, codes and standards.
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Key Information
Version No 2
Scope of Revision Complete review with a new set of case studies to enhance
consistency with WHS framework and changes to relevant
Standards and Guides (e.g., AS2067, AS7000, AS4853, ENA EG-1,
CIGRE TB749)
Revision Working Group Peter Woloszyn (Chair), Ausgrid; Luke Clout, Essential Energy;
Ben Li, AusNet Services; Emma King, Energy Queensland; Blake
Christian, Endeavour Energy.
Supersedes ENA DOC 025-2010 EG-0 Power System Earthing Guide Part 1:
Management Principles, Version 1
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Acknowledgements
This is a Reference Group project of Energy Networks Australia Earthing Reference Group.
The Energy Networks Australia Earthing Reference Group has broad national representation from a number of
industry representatives and has access to a large database of industry guidelines, policies, reference standards
and design manuals.
Energy Networks Australia has Members across Australia’s electricity distribution and transmission and gas
distribution companies. For the development of this document the following industry organisations were
represented on the Reference Group:
» Ausgrid
» AusNet Services
» Essential Energy
» Endeavour Energy
» Energy Queensland
The remaining companies represented by Energy Networks Australia, but not on the Reference Group, were
actively engaged throughout the preparation, review and comment stages of the draft document.
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In addition, a number of technical experts and stakeholder groups have also been consulted during the
development of this document.
The Reference Group would like to acknowledge the assistance of all parties who contributed to the
development of this Guideline including ENA member organisations and external industry stakeholders who
provided comments during the industry consultation period.
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1 Scope
This Guideline addresses the high-level aspects of management policies and strategies associated with power
system earthing. It provides a framework for managing earthing system related risk associated with electrical
power systems to meet societally acceptable and tolerable levels. This framework provides principles for the
design, installation, testing, maintenance, and ongoing supervision of earthing systems associated with power
system assets on a.c. and d.c. systems with nominal voltages up to EHV. A central part of this framework is a
probabilistic derivation of tolerable voltage criteria and exposure under fault conditions. It is intended for use
by electrical utilities and HV asset owners, operators, and customers, specifically regarding:
• Major substations
• Distribution networks
• Transmission lines
• Power stations, and
• Large industrial systems.
It does not apply to the design or installation of any of the following which may be covered by other standards
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or codes:
All Energy Networks Australia documents utilise a single abbreviations list located on the Energy Networks
Australia website. This is to ensure all documents use consistent abbreviations across Energy Networks
Australia documents.
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2 Regulatory Framework
This chapter provides an overview of the legislative and regulatory framework as applicable to implementing
and managing HV earthing systems.
and undertake a risk management exercise (ISO31000 [4]) to identify hazards, assess risks and then eliminate
or control risks, where operations or installations may affect workers or the public. The risk management
obligations of asset owners are not ‘contracted out’ using consultants and contractors to provide design,
construct and operate services on their behalf. It has been clarified that a duty of care to meet regulatory
requirements is not transferrable and lies with all parties involved to the extent to which each party has the
capacity to influence and control the matter [1].
The primary defence against negligence claims is due diligence. This may be expressed as what a reasonable
person in the same position would have undertaken to ensure whatever it is that did happen, on the balance of
probabilities, wouldn’t have occurred. The ‘balance of probabilities’ involves determining the balance between
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The overall situation facing asset owners and consequently power system design and operational engineers has
been succinctly summarised by Chief Justice Gibbs of the High Court of Australia [6], who stated:
‘Where it is possible to guard against a foreseeable risk which, though perhaps not great, nevertheless cannot
be called remote or fanciful, by adopting a means which involves little difficulty or expense, the failure to adopt
such means will in general be negligent.’
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The balance between level of risk to tolerate and cost to be spent to mitigate the residual risk is the difficult
part to determine. Nevertheless, it is the responsibility of an asset owner or operator to undertake such
analysis. As distinct from private risks, public risks are usually seen as involuntary as they are characterised by
being centrally or mass produced, broadly distributed, and largely outside the risks bearer’s direct
understanding or control [7].
The following statement [16] clearly defines the regulatory requirement for managing involuntary risk: ‘Where
an individual may be exposed to involuntary risk (beyond their control) due to exposure to a hazardous
condition then the appropriate regulatory requirement placed upon the body generating the risk was the need
to manage the imposed risk increase.’ The European Union Framework Directive 89/391/EEC [9] requires all
member countries to enact a similar regulation. The UK has enacted a regulation on the Management of Health
and Safety at Work 1999 [10] which states that ‘Every employer shall make a suitable and sufficient assessment
of ... the risks to the health and safety of persons not in his employment arising out of or in connection with
the conduct by him of his undertaking.’ Within the UK this is clearly embodied in the process described in the
Health and Safety Executive (HSE) document ‘Reducing risks, protecting people’ [11]. Similar processes are
used in most countries.
Within the Australian context WH&S regulations [1] an asset owner or business operator is required to:
a) eliminate risks to health and safety so far as is reasonably practicable; and
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b) if it is not reasonably practicable to eliminate risks to health and safety, to reduce those risks so far as is
reasonably practicable’.
What may be deemed a ‘reasonably practicable’ risk reduction, in relation to a duty to ensure health and
safety, is defined in [1] as:
That which is, or was at a particular time, reasonably able to be done in relation to ensuring health and safety,
considering and weighing up all relevant matters including:
c) the likelihood of the hazard or the risk concerned occurring; and
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d) the degree of harm that might result from the hazard or the risk; and
• Identify hazards,
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• Determine consequences and likelihood if people may be exposed to the identified hazards,
• Determine control measures to eliminate and/or adequately mitigate risks SFAIRP within the design scope.
• Continue to monitor the installation to identify the need for revising the design if changes are made to the
network or environment.
The five principles of safe design as articulated by Safe Work Australia [103] are:
• Principle 1: Persons with control—those who make decisions affecting the design of products, facilities or
processes can promote health and safety at the source.
• Principle 2: Product lifecycle—safe design applies to every stage in the lifecycle from conception through
to disposal. It involves eliminating hazards or minimising risks as early in the lifecycle as possible.
• Principle 3: Systematic risk management—apply hazard identification, risk assessment and risk control
processes to achieve safe design.
• Principle 4: Safe design knowledge and capability—should be either demonstrated or acquired by those
who control design.
• Principle 5: Information transfer—effective communication and documentation of design and risk control
information amongst everyone involved in the phases of the lifecycle is essential for the safe design
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approach.
An asset owner must be able to provide documented justification for the way risks associated with a given
asset (or class of asset) have been assessed, reduced so far as is reasonably practicable and managed for the
life of the asset.
two points of potential difference during an earth fault event. The points of contact may be with the soil (i.e. a
step voltage) or between the soil and metalwork such as a fence (i.e. touch or transfer voltage), or between
two pieces of metalwork (e.g. across a gate).
While no such thing as absolute safety exists, it is an asset owner’s responsibility to make systems as safe as
reasonably practicable. The hierarchy of controls is a proven framework for the selection and prioritisation of
controls for the treatment of risk [14]. In this context, the safety challenge that earthing systems must meet is
clear:
• Elimination - The societal value of electricity is enormous and not supplying electricity is rarely an option.
Further the reduction of earthing related hazards to negligible levels is rarely possible.
• Engineering Controls - Electricity is delivered directly to where people live, making complete isolation of
people from the hazard difficult to implement in a robust manner over a long period of time.
• Administrative Controls and PPE - Training and PPE can be used effectively with workers but are less
reliably implemented for the public.
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Figure 2-2: Hierarchy of control
Elimination of the hazard associated with electricity distribution is rarely an option given the utility involved,
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and minimising the risk is non-trivial with a fundamentally hazardous substance such as electricity. Historically
earthing system shock safety compliance was demonstrated by meeting ohmic or touch voltage/time
characteristic targets or implementing a consistent installation guideline. Unfortunately, without undertaking
an assessment of the risk that considers both the magnitude of the hazard and the likelihood of exposure it is
not possible to claim that a given mitigation option is related directly to the actual level of risk.
As most earthing related indirect shock risks cannot be eliminated, the determination of what may be
considered ‘reasonably practicable’ requires an assessment of the risk profile associated with the hazard
scenario to which a person may be exposed. Once the functional performance requirements are met by a base
earthing system design the assessment of additional measures to reduce the risk profile is the next step.
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Provided the cost/risk reduction is not grossly disproportionate, known and commonly applied precautions
should be applied so far as is reasonably practicable (SFAIRP) or as low as reasonably practicable (ALARP). What
is reasonably practicable includes a measure of the significance of the risk versus the effort required to reduce
it. This assessment should also be conducted with the awareness that earthing system design is a predictive
process within a framework of foreseeable events. Appropriate supervision is required to respond to changes
in the risk profile due to unforeseeable future events. The risk that is assessed in this process includes the risk
imposed on any individual (commonly determined for the maximally exposed, reasonably behaved individual)
and for the risk imposed on society (commonly determined for multiple fatality risk for a single event). Chapter
5 provides further detail of this process.
The process of quantifying risk presented in this document enables an asset owner to demonstrate that
selected risk mitigation measures meet functional requirements and reduce the risk to as low as is reasonably
practicable. Such an assessment may justify the adoption of simplified approaches (e.g. global earthing
system, fixed ohmic targets, tolerable touch voltage time characteristics, or standard installation guidelines)
provided the designer can demonstrate that the asset situation clearly meets the boundary conditions
governing the risk assessment. Such an assessment may also be undertaken for an individual installation and
be able to justify the most cost efficient specific remedial measures that manage risks associated with specific
hazard exposures and yield a much more cost-efficient design overall.
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3 Earthing System Purpose and Operation
This chapter provides a brief introduction to the purpose and operation of HV earthing systems.
3.1 Purpose
Earthing systems are required to manage the transfer of fault energy to limit the risk to people, equipment,
and system operation to tolerable levels. An earthing system is required to perform for the life of the electrical
asset for which it is installed, for the range of configurations of the network and nearby infrastructure that are
foreseeable. The earthing system may need to be augmented over time to continue to fulfil this function.
Safety-critical systems are those systems whose failure could result in loss of life, significant property damage,
or damage to the environment. Therefore, like power network protection systems, earthing systems are safety
critical systems in that they are required to effectively protect the lives of the public and utility workers. While
constant supervision is inherently available for phase conductors and much primary plant, earthing systems do
not actively conduct significant current for most of the time. Therefore, deterioration or damage to an earthing
system can remain latent and only become evident at the time of a test, or during an investigation following a
shock or equipment damage incident. For this reason, the design, installation, and maintenance of an earthing
system is critical. Where an earthing system is inadequately designed, poorly installed, not updated following a
change in the environment and risk level or not supervised through appropriate maintenance it may not
reliably operate to provide safety when required to do so. This risk is not tolerable, as responsible management
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produced by the portion of fault current that flows through the earthing installation. The resultant EPR on the
earthing system causes electrical potential to transfer to any metal structures and equipment connected to the
earthing system. This can result in significant voltage differences appearing between the local earth and the
equipment connected to the earthing system. The earth potential rise (EPR) can be considered as the driving or
source voltage for many of the following electrical shock descriptions. Consideration should also be given to
independent voltage rise obligations for plant connected to the earthing system covered by other Australian
Standards such as the telecommunications EPR standard [AS3835], the pipeline standard [AS4853] or other
rules that may be in place to limit maximum earth potential rise.
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Touch voltages typically appear between a hand and one or both feet of a person touching a temporarily
energised conductive part while standing on the earth surface one metre away from the structure (see Figure
3-1).
The transferred potential is the potential rise of an earthing system transferred by a connected conductor (for
example a metallic cable sheath, MEN conductor, pipeline, or rail) into areas with low or no earth potential rise
resulting in a potential difference occurring between the conductor and its surroundings.
A transferred potential may also appear when the conductor connected to reference earth brings reference
earth into the area of potential rise. The transferred potential may approach the full potential rise of the
earthing system in some cases. Transferred potentials may affect third party plant, equipment and people.
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Where potential rises on the earthing system are transferred by metalwork such as neutral conductors of a
MEN system or water pipes to locations remote from the installation, allowance may be made for voltage drop
in these conductors. Otherwise, the transferred potential should be regarded as being equal to the full
potential rise on the earthing system.
Where transferred potential involves a long conductive part such as a fence earthed at regular intervals along
its length, the transferred potential on the conductive part relative to the surrounding earth will vary along its
length. A touch and hand-to-hand voltages will exist when a person contacts the metallic system carrying the
transferred potential and the soil beneath their feet or nearby metalwork (e.g. opening a gate).
When contact is first made with the isolated object, the stored charge in the capacitance will discharge and the
final voltage on the object is likely to be low. As long as the stored energy is not very large the instantaneous
discharge current will be low. However, if the stored energy is large, such as on a relatively long de-energised
circuit in parallel with an energised circuit, the discharge current may be high.
Protection for this hazard is not within the scope of this document and would be covered by low-frequency
induction codes or standards and operating and maintenance (O&M) procedures for a given line (in particular
for transmission lines operating above 100kV).
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The foregoing voltages can be present on metallic equipment within substations, associated with substations
or equipment associated with power lines/cables, or even on non-power system plant items nearby but not
associated with the electrical system. For a hazardous situation to arise, a power system earth fault must be
coincident with a person being exposed to a hazardous voltage. For all reasonably foreseeable conditions an
earthing system shall not impose on any person or group of people an unreasonable shock risk. Section 5
provides guidance on how earthing related hazards can be assessed against this requirement.
The earthing system will typically be required to meet the following functional requirements for equipment
protection:
• Be capable of distributing and discharging the fault current without exceeding thermal and mechanical
design limits based on backup protection operating time.
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• Maintain its integrity for the expected installation lifetime with due allowance for corrosion and
mechanical constraints.
• Avoid damage to equipment due to excessive potential rise, potential differences within the earthing
system and due to excessive currents flowing in auxiliary paths not intended for carrying a portion of the
fault current.
• Contribute to ensuring electromagnetic compatibility (EMC) among electrical and electronic apparatus of
the high-voltage system in accordance with IEC/TR 61000-5-2.
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• Facilitating the proper and reliable operation of protection systems during earth faults. This entails reliable
detection of earth faults and either clearing the fault or minimising the resulting fault current,
• Limiting equipment damage and the consequent need for repair or replacement, and
• Robustness - The earthing system, its components and earthing conductors shall be capable of conducting
the expected fault current or portion of the fault current which may be applicable and without exceeding
material or equipment limitations for thermal, mechanical, and chemical/corrosive stresses.
• Ongoing monitoring – The earthing system shall be designed and configured to enable the system to be
tested at the time of commissioning and at regular intervals as required, and to enable cost effective
monitoring of the key performance parameters and/or critical items to ensure they remain in a fit-for-
purpose state.
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3.2 Earthing System Operation
Energy sources that lead to potential rise on earthing systems and hazardous contact scenarios are discussed in
this chapter.
• Lightning discharges,
that many non-power system plant items, such as fences, pipelines and conveyors, are an active part of the
return current path.
The current distribution between the installed earthing system (fixed plant), the power system plant (e.g.
neutral conductors, cable sheaths, overhead shieldwires), non-power system plant (e.g. pipelines), and the
soil, must be understood if the hazard magnitudes are to be determined for each relevant energy source.
While earthing systems are installed as components of assets within distinct segments of the power system
network (e.g. generation, transmission, distribution, and LV reticulation) the flow of current during normal and
earth fault events does not recognise such notional boundaries but rather follows physical laws regarding the
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conservation of energy. It is the duty of asset owners to recognise the interrelated nature of power system
earthing components and other metallic systems such as pipelines, railway lines and telecommunication
systems when determining hazardous exposures, and to manage the risks accordingly. Figure 3-4 illustrates the
range of metallic systems that may be involved in earth fault events associated with the power system
distribution system and the processes and parameters involved. It may be observed that the interaction
between a range of disparate disciplines needs to be understood if earthing system performance is to be
properly understood and effectively managed.
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Table 3-1: Possible hazard location listing
Parks
Aquatic centres
Sporting venues
Cattle sale yards
Theme parks
Locations infrequently visited by Assets such as transmission towers located outside normal public
members of the public thoroughfares with low frequency of direct contact by a given person
(e.g. urban interface contact scenario)
Utility and industrial staff outside Power utility and Telco workers accessing mobile base station
substation accessing plant – installations on transmission towers, or splicing OPGW conductors
inductively and conductively Telco workers: accessing cable termination pits and pillars
coupled hazards Pipeline workers (water, gas, industrial slurry, liquid hydrocarbons):
Cathodic protection (CP) system routine inspection, maintenance,
valve inspection and operation, repairs (usually require use of special
safety provisions)
Industrial (including generating plant and mining workers): access to
conveyors, pipelines, pumps, mining machinery
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Individual locations will represent a different risk profile due to different coincident probabilities of system
events and human contacts and different series impedances (e.g. footwear and surface coverings).
• Conductive and inductive coupling into non power system plant such as communications infrastructure,
telecoms, pipelines, and conveyors.
When considering the risk associated with a given asset, it should be acknowledged that not all risk is imposed
by the earthing system. Figure 3-5 summarises the external factors that may also impact the earthing system
risk profile:
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Note: Substation secondary equipment is associated with assets such as SCADA, communications, or protection
systems.
Some external factors that need to be addressed during design and installation are theft, vandalism and
corrosion (e.g. from stray traction current) of earth system components. Consideration should be given to
protecting exposed components and supervising key components to ensure a tolerable risk profile. The
interaction between the substation or power line earthing systems and secondary systems (e.g. SCADA) needs
also to be considered as those systems can adversely affect each other.
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3.2.3 Transient Hazard Sources
A range of transient current sources that may cause damage to primary plant or damage or interfere with the
operation of secondary plant, include:
• Atmospheric Events - A lightning stroke to a HV line generates travelling waves on the line. These waves
can be produced by a stroke to the conductor, to the earth shield wire or a tower or the earth nearby. A
flashover of insulation can be caused by a lightning stroke to the line or to the conductors in the
substation, or by insulator contamination. The flash-over will produce electromagnetic waves which affect
the secondary circuits and the lightning current fed directly, or via an arc into the earthing system may
result in high potential differences within the earthing system.
• Switching in High Voltage Circuits - Switching of disconnectors or circuit breakers can be a source of
transient energy ‘noise’ in HV substations. The guided waves are coupled/transferred by the current
transformers (CT) and voltage transformers (VT) to the measuring and protection circuits. Current flow on
cable-screens produced by guided waves, and magnetic fields and currents fed into the earthing system
through CT and VT circuits, generate common mode voltages which may also influence the secondary
circuits.
• Earth Faults - Earth faults caused by lightning, switching overvoltages, flashover due to contamination of
insulators, conductor galloping, or faulty switching can cause earth faults with power frequency current
components in the substation. The resulting magnetic field may influence susceptible secondary circuits.
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• Switching in Secondary Circuits - De-energising inductive loads (coils, motors) can generate transient high
frequency overvoltages in secondary circuits.
• Radio Transmitter Operation - The high frequency field generated by radio transmitters, including those
which are used by maintenance workers, can influence sensitive electronic equipment.
Earthing systems play a key role in intercepting and dissipating hazardous transient energy:
• The earthing system will form part of the lightning protection system (interception, conduction, and
dissipation).
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• Switching and earth fault transients associated with GIS systems may require special consideration,
including short, low inductance earthing conductors and electromagnetic screening in the path of the
propagating transient to create a very low surge impedance to earth.
• Secondary circuit cable screens in the substation need to be segregated from sources of transients and
consideration given to the screen bonding arrangement (single- or double-point earthing) and screening
with parallel earth grid conductors.
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4 Earthing System Management Framework
4.1 Earthing System Design
Historically, an earthing system with a low overall earth resistance was considered safe. However, there is no
direct relationship between the resistance of the earthing system (e.g. 1Ω or 10Ω) and the chance that a
fatality could arise in any particular situation.
The goal of earthing system design is to ensure adequate robustness in the design at the same time as finding a
balance between cost, practicality, and management of risk. Multiple hazard scenarios often need to be
analysed for a number of fault scenarios, while considering the impact of the various design configurations on
the overall risk profile for the site and system.
The design goals which need to be met include:
• Operational requirements,
• Cost effectiveness,
• Practical to implement,
• Supportive of cost effective monitoring of the key performance parameters or critical items, and be
• Reliable and robust over the whole of life (i.e. resistant to critical failure modes and easily testable for
longer acting deterioration mechanisms).
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The performance criteria identified above should be used within a risk-cost-benefit analysis framework when
resolving competing design configurations to demonstrate due diligence in accordance with WH&S regulations.
The remainder of this section presents the steps in the overall design process, with the quantified risk analysis
and assessment aspects of the design process are covered in Section 5.
The analysis portion of the design process has been placed within the context of a wider asset management
process to facilitate alignment with asset management practicalities. Therefore, the design process is
integrated within the asset management life cycle comprised of building blocks as follows:
• System definition
• Data gathering
• Hazard analysis
• Detailed design
• Installation
• Commissioning
• Documentation of performance specification, operation and maintenance (O&M) plan, and training
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• Supervision and maintenance
The design and management methodology incorporates these components to avoid the shortcomings of more
narrowly focussed structures based predominantly on analytical modelling. The quality assurance, systems
engineering, risk management and configuration management disciplines provide benefit when their
perspectives are incorporated into the asset design and management process through:
• Objectivity: Procedure promotes examination of problem to determine appropriate response, rather than
indiscriminate use of analysis.
• Hazard identification – interference modes: Process for determining the full range of hazards associated
with earthing system operation.
• Threat identification – failure analysis: Identification of and response to threats to system risk profile
compliance.
• Robust design – configuration management: Feed forward from the design decisions to facilitate
consideration of installation and operational constraints.
• Asset design and management process integration: Design and ongoing management of asset coordinated
throughout the design process.
• Standardisation and simplification: Installation to be simplified and wherever possible (with risk-cost-
benefit justification) standard solutions to be implemented.
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The design steps outlined above are presented and discussed in the remainder of this chapter.
• Standard Curves (Case matching): Aligning the design to be undertaken with a published case and using
the specified probabilistically derived voltage/time curves as the design safety criteria (Step 3 - see Section
4.6).
• Direct Probabilistic: Directly calculating contact and fault incidence coincidence and fibrillation probability
to derive a ‘design specific’ risk profile (Step 10 - see Section 4.7).
Table 4-1: Design and Management Process
BASIC DESIGN
Based on soil characteristics and the proportion of fault current flowing into the local
earthing system, determine the expected earth potential rise (EPR) of the earthing
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system. The first pass sets a conservative upper limit for the EPR and enables
assessment of which fault scenarios should be the focus of the detailed design effort.
1D. First Pass Safety Criteria
Determine a value of tolerable prospective touch voltage (Vptt) which relates to a
conservative (e.g. stringent) touch voltage scenario.
DETAILED DESIGN
3A. Detailed Earthing Layout
3 Generate a detailed earthing conductor layout to meet earthing system functional
requirements (see Sections 4.1 and 4.9)
26
Identify locations where workers or the public may be exposed to indirect shock
hazards. Such hazards include touch, step, transfer and hand-to-hand contacts. For
each location calculate the expected shock voltages for each applicable fault
scenario identified in Step 1.
4 Are any of the standard voltage/time (V/t) curves from the case studies (see Section
4.10 and Appendix E) applicable in this situation? Conservative assumptions and
comparisons are advisable.
5 Is the EPR less than the minimum prospective touch voltage (Vptt) found in the
selected Vt/time characteristic(s)?
If Yes, move to Step 12 and the Transient Design phase.
Are values of Vt expected << Tolerable Vptt for each exposure location?
7
If Yes, move to Step 12 and the Transient Design phase.
Design Improvement
9 Improve the design and identify and implement appropriate risk treatment
measures. Typical treatment measures might include global and/or local risk
reduction techniques. (See Section 4.15 and Appendix A)
27
Intermediate region the cost and practicality of any mitigation measure (see Step 9
and Section 4.15) is assessed against a range of criteria (See Section 5.5.3).
Negligible – If the EPR is sufficiently low it is a simple matter to classify the whole
system as presenting a tolerably low risk.
If the risk level is considered tolerable still check to see if the risk can be further
reduced ‘so far as is reasonably practicable’ using commonly used economical
mitigation measures (see Step 9).
Construction Support
13 Provide installation support as necessary to ensure design requirements fulfilled and
construction workers safety risk effectively managed (See Section 4.19).
14 Review the installation for physical and safety compliance following the construction
phase of the project. Ensure that the earthing system performs adequately to meet
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Documentation
• Fault levels and protection clearing times (for relevant fault scenarios).
• Primary and secondary power system conductor details (e.g. cable sheaths, overhead shield
wires/earthwires OHEW’s)
• Ability to undertake a soil resistivity test program during a range of climatic conditions.
28
• Gathering better location specific information resulting in significant cost savings (e.g. special constraints,
lower resistivity locations, additional availability of secondary earthing systems for interconnections).
• Identification of hazard locations. The issues can be addressed earlier rather than once the system is
installed (e.g. retrofitting can be hazardous, and costs are significantly higher than at the initial stage).
• Area requirements,
• Interaction with assets ‘external’ to the main contract (e.g. cables, communication lines, pipelines),
• Installation timing and project staging,
• Construction workers safety (e.g. working within or adjacent to areas with energised power systems),
• Inspection hold points,
• Staged commissioning requirements, and
• Training or briefing session timing for project and construction workers.
29
4.4.2.3 Design and Installation Decision Documentation and Communication
What decisions are made and the reasoning for these should be documented within the design system. As built
drawings and key earth system parameters need to be available to the duty holder (refer Section 4.21) at the
conclusion of any project. The system that retains this data must also be auditable.
The process and complexity of an earthing system design varies according to the requirements of the
application; however, a number of design considerations are largely universal. These include:
• Earthing conductor ratings (minimum earthing conductor size requirements), and redundancy targets
(number of conductors).
The design of an earthing system should consider all relevant parameters. Further installation practicalities to
be considered in the design (e.g. sizing and corrosion) are included in the Detailed Earthing Layout section
(Section 4.9).
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The design parameters critical to the initial design concept include the fault current magnitude and auxiliary
systems coupling factors, fault current duration, soil resistivity and earth grid area. These are briefly discussed
as follows:
Single phase to earth fault or double phase to earth fault conditions (when close to generation sources or
reactive plant, although probability may be considered for double phase to earth faults given the infrequency
of occurrence).
Faults both within and outside the installation site, shall be examined to determine the worst case earth
potential rise.
The combined effect of the magnitude (including d.c. offset) and duration of the fault in establishing the levels
of stress imposed on a person, equipment or earthing component.
30
• Installation of generation equipment.
• Removal of fault limitation devices such as neutral earthing resistors or reactors (NER’s), earthing
transformers or line reactors.
• System reconfiguration (e.g. new power lines which interconnect power systems).
Some allowance may also be made for line and fault impedance if appropriate. It is not usually appropriate to
use the switchgear fault short circuit rating when selecting future fault levels for use in determining risk to a
person.
Often only a small proportion of the prospective earth fault current will return via the general mass of the
earth through the local earth grid. In some cases, fault current is diverted from the mass of the earth via cable
screens, overhead earth wires, LV neutrals (MEN conductors) or other bonded conductors such as pipelines.
Some of the earth fault current may also circulate within an earth grid and not contribute to the earth
potential rise. Before calculating the earthing system potential rise, step voltages and touch voltages, it is
important to first calculate the realistic earth return current which will be a portion of the total earth fault
current.
The expected portion of the maximum earth fault current flowing into the earthing system shall be used to
calculate the size required for the earthing conductors. Where parallel earthing conductors exist such as for an
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earth grid, the rating of the parallel conductors may be based on a design current which is a portion of the
maximum expected earth fault current. The portion depends on the number of parallel conductors.
The fault clearing time of primary protection relays or first upstream protection device and circuit breakers
shall be used for personal safety (e.g. primary protection time plus circuit breaker operating time, or total fault
clearing time of a fuse)[15]. Refer to Appendix C for typical primary protection clearing times. The initial fault
and auto reclose events should not be aggregated unless High-Speed Single-Phase Auto Reclosing (HSSPAR) is
used for transmission lines, in which case the clearing times for the two or more events should be summated.
Initial fault clearing time is used for distribution lines which typically have much longer no-voltage times
between successive auto reclose attempts.
The assessment of step and touch voltage hazards often requires the consideration of a number of earth fault
scenarios with different fault clearing times. It is then necessary to evaluate which combination of fault current
and clearing time represents the worst case for step and touch voltage hazards assessment. Quite often, it
may be necessary to assess more than one set of fault current and fault duration scenarios.
31
The total accumulated fault time needs to be considered where auto-reclose is applied as there is very little
cooling during the auto-reclose dead time. Further details on the selection of earth fault duration are included
in the ENA Substation Earthing Guide EG-1 for use when specifying conductor sizes.
Testing after recent rainfall should be avoided and rainfall history data can be checked to gain an appreciation
of soil moisture conditions. Data should be evaluated and cross checked whilst in the field. Incorrect readings
and inaccurate or erroneous values should be identified and eliminated. As many sites have been developed
and redeveloped over many years, interference with the test current may be caused by in-ground metallic
services and objects such as underground cables, water supply pipes, drainage pipes, sewerage pipes, and
building and machinery foundation piles. Buried services may also provide an unintended conductive path for
transfer potentials. Geotechnical data identifying soil/rock types and depths also provides a useful cross check
when interpreting test results.
Method specific analysis should be used to convert the test data to a model which represents the soil
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structure. Measured soil resistivity data may need to be adjusted for seasonal variation or test limitations,
based upon additional data gathered and engineering experience, when deciding upon a resistivity model to
use in each part of the earthing system design analysis.
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4.8 Global Earthing System (Step 2)
Prove or verify that the installation is or is not part of a global earthing system, where there are no hazardous
potential differences [IEC 61936][EN 50522]. This outcome will usually be met where the EPR is less than the
tolerable prospective touch voltage (Vptt).
A global earthing system will best manage risk by limiting the EPR through distributing earth fault current to
interconnected systems or dissipating fault current into a low impedance local earthing system. While the
notion of gradient control through the creation of a ‘quasi equipotential surface’ has popular appeal, it should
not be readily relied upon, as testing experience has shown non-compliant exceptions.
An earthing system whose configuration meets certain criteria that have been previously proven to result in an
acceptable design may also be considered to form a global earthing system.
No simple or stand-alone rule is available, however, in general [EN50522]:
• A low overall resistance is helpful but is not a guarantee. Moreover, in installations with high soil resistivity
and overall resistances, safety requirements may be fulfilled due the increase of the additional resistances
and adequate potential grading.
• A low fault current level is helpful as the total earth potential rise will be limited.
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• A suitable cable sheath reduction factor or earth wire reduction factor distributes the fault current in such
a way that the total earth potential rise is limited.
• Substation surrounded by buildings with foundation earth electrodes and the earthing systems are
interconnected e.g. by cable sheath or low voltage protective earth conductors.
• Substation feeding suburban area with many distributed earth electrodes interconnected by protective
earth conductors of low voltage system. An example may be a kiosk or padmount substation fed by
underground cables with multiple continuous MV cable sheaths providing continuity back to the source
and additional bonds to a well meshed and dense LV MEN system. The LV (TNCS system) multiple earthed
neutral (MEN) scheme that is common in Australian LV reticulation systems includes a neutral conductor
earthed at each customer premise and the source MV/LV transformer. A CMEN system involves multiple
MV/LV transformer reticulation areas having interconnected MV and LV earthing. This is most common in
urban areas where the MV reticulation is made with buried cable, and the cable sheath and LV MEN
conductor are common bonded throughout. In such situations the resultant EPR at the source substation
for both primary and secondary earth fault conditions is very low and the substation may be shown to be a
part of a Global Earthing System.
• Substations are part of system with multi earthed high voltage neutral conductor.
33
Within a global earthing system, it may be possible to show that segments of a MV network are sufficiently
interconnected and that a minimum earthing arrangement is all that is required at each substation node,
removing the requirement for a site-specific earthing system design. Note that where a standard minimum
earthing arrangement is to be installed a minimum total local earthing resistance of the combined HV and LV
earthing electrodes may be required to meet insulation coordination performance requirements.
requirements.
rating of earthing conductors, the fault clearing time achieved by the backup protection (see Table A5 in
Appendix C.3) shall be used. However, when rating all buried earthing conductors, additional factors such as
the long-term service life of the conductors, future growth, and the corrosive nature of the soil in which they
are installed should also be considered. This may justify the selection of a larger sized conductor considering
the cost involved in future reinforcement or replacement of the conductors.
Earthing conductors also need to be sufficiently physically robust to match the intended duty, taking into
consideration factors such as exposure to traffic, corrosion, physical protection, and support.
The range of ambient temperatures of a specific region should be considered when rating earth conductors.
Different values are usually applicable for buried conductors and for above ground conductors.
The design should ensure that the maximum temperature that any earthing conductor is allowed to reach does
not cause deterioration of the conductor. The maximum conductor temperatures are usually limited by
jointing/connection methods. Historically, where bolted or compression joints are used, IEEE Std 80 and ENA
EG-1 have recommended a maximum temperature of 250°C for bare copper earthing conductors. IEEE Std 80
also recommends a maximum temperature of 250°C to prevent annealing of hard drawn copper conductors.
Maximum temperatures of 450°C have been used for bare copper earthing conductors that are welded or
brazed. PVC covered conductors should not exceed a maximum temperature of 160°C to avoid damaging the
insulation. Both IEEE Standard 80 and ENA EG-1 provide further guidance regarding allowable temperature rise
of direct buried earthing conductors.
34
• Overhead lines and underground cables
Overhead shield wires or underslung earth wires on powerlines and underground cable screens are critical
components in earthing systems. They provide current dissipation at a point of fault and often a direct return
path to the source of the earth fault current, thereby reducing the EPR at both source and fault locations and
reducing inductive interference into parallel metallic systems. Shieldwire ratings should be assessed, especially
close to fault current sources.
HV cable screen ratings should be assessed under both load and earth fault conditions. In HV networks where
single core cables are used the cable screen bonding configuration is an integral part of the system design. If a
single point bonding scheme is to be implemented the magnitude of cable screen voltages induced under
balanced maximum load, and under prospective short circuit fault conditions, shall be calculated [106][107].
The design should consider the impact of the terminating substation EPR on the sheath voltages when
determining sheath voltage limiter ratings. Sheath bonding and earthing arrangements should limit standing
sheath voltages under maximum prospective load conditions (e.g. 65V for system voltages <= 132kV, and 150V
for system voltages >132kV [107]).
If a double point bonding scheme is to be implemented the cable sheath current induced under balanced
maximum load, and under prospective short circuit fault conditions, shall be calculated.
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Copper is the most common material used for earth electrodes. It has a high conductivity and has the
advantage of being corrosion resistant in most soil conditions. Copper clad or copper bonded high tensile steel
is often used for electrodes. The thickness of the copper coating or sleeve used on the rods shall be substantial
enough to avoid rapid corrosion of the steel rod. A minimum thickness of 250 µm is suggested. Some inferior
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Stainless Steel may be considered in some soil conditions where copper may suffer from excessive corrosion.
However, in certain soil conditions with limited oxygen the outer layer cannot passivate and will exhibit pitting
corrosion.
Mild Steel is not preferred due to excessive corrosion rates. The use of mild steel or galvanized steel earth
electrodes in conjunction with or near copper earth grids is not recommended. The steel will act as a sacrificial
anode and could corrode away relatively quickly. In areas where a considerable quantity of buried galvanized
steel or structural steel is present near a copper earth electrode, stainless steel may be an attractive
alternative to copper (depending upon presence of certain salts in the soil).
Galvanized steel may be used in cases where there is an extensive buried steel pipe network in proximity such
as a power station, as copper earthing would corrode the steel pipe network. Galvanized steel will give a short
service life in corrosive soils.
Aluminium or solid zinc should not be used as a buried electrode.
35
prudent to include at least a basic Corrosion Risk Assessment in the design process to determine if special
conditions exist.
To enable a secure or robust design to be realised, a review of the parameters affecting corrosion performance
is recommended. The following points are useful to assess:
• The acidity and chemical content of the soil, as well as the presence of foreign materials including cinders,
scrap metal or organic material. For instance, the presence of certain salts has been shown to lead to
corrosion of copper conductors.
• The presence of stray electric current – particularly, d.c. from traction system return currents or cathodic
protection systems.
• The interconnection of dissimilar metals in the soil or above ground where moisture is present. This is
among the most common causes of corrosion of earth electrodes. For example, the connection of copper
mounted on galvanised steel structures can lead to corrosion. Special care is also required in selecting the
fixing of conductors to structures.
• The resistivity of the soil, as an electrolyte, is an important factor associated with corrosion. Soils having
resistivity lower than approximately 15 Ω-m are highly conductive and therefore considered to provide a
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highly corrosive environment. Corrosion of conductors at the soil/air interface should be also considered.
The mitigation of corrosion is a complex task, and it is not possible to lay down rigid rules. If corrosion
problems are encountered or are anticipated, these should be investigated on a case-by-case basis.
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• Minimising exposure to ‘external risks’ (i.e. damage through vandalism or theft).
The interconnection of equipment to the buried earth system should be undertaken with consideration of loss,
damage and failure of either the bonding/or earth conductor or the terminations. In the event of some
singular failure, it is desirable that the earth system remains functional and that both personnel and equipment
are protected.
The failure of a single component of the earthing system should not jeopardise the system performance in the
event of an earth fault. This ‘single contingency’ approach is quite reasonable, provided there is a mechanism
for identifying the failure before a second contingency occurs. Unfortunately, the failure of a component of the
earthing system is often not identified (or even able to be identified). Therefore, it is good design practise to
consider:
• Identifying the safety critical earthing system components. The performance of some elements are critical
to the safety of the entire system (i.e. if required to carry current in each fault occurrence), whilst other
elements are safety critical only if a fault occurs on an individual item of plant.
• Providing redundancy (i.e. duplication) for earthing system elements that are safety critical and not
supervised, or are susceptible to damage (i.e. ‘exposed’ buried cables outside the controlled environment
of a substation or not adjacent to a power cable).
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• Rating all primary earthing system elements conservatively to withstand backup clearing times and
assuming 70/30% distribution (rather than 50/50%).
• Providing ‘simple’ methods for supervising the integrity of safety critical elements of the earthing system
(i.e. ‘clip-on’ continuity capability).
In some cases, disconnection of an earth can cause a sustained voltage to immediately appear between one
part of the earthing system and another. The potential on the broken conductor may be quite high (kV) and
has been known to result in a fatal touch voltage being experienced by a worker. Such critical bonds and
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connections require adequate redundancy to withstand at least one contingent failure and regular supervision
include:
• LV neutral connections.
Providing clear details on drawings is important as any ambiguities may be misinterpreted and buried before
they can be identified. Many incorrect configurations cannot be identified by continuity testing during the
commissioning programme; therefore, visual checks of installed connections are recommended prior to burial.
37
• Indirect Coupling (i.e. via soil)
• Electromagnetic induction
The risk profile associated with earthing systems varies greatly for different locations and circumstances.
During the first phase of an earthing system design or redesign it is necessary to identify the hazard scenarios
applicable to the site and power system configuration that could be presented during the period of the project
and life of the installation/asset. The hazard locations are those where workers or members of the public may
be able to experience a hazardous potential between their hand and feet or two hands during normal load or
earth fault conditions, as outlined in Section 3.2.2.
frequency and duration as well as fault frequency and duration as identified in the preceding step (Section 4.9
and 3.2.2).
A number of negligible risk standard V/t criteria cases are summarised in Table 4-2 following, and the
additional details of the assumptions and the voltage/time (V/t) curves are included within Appendix E.
TU
location.
Contact with distribution asset in urban interface
DU
location.
Contact with metalwork in a backyard effected by either
TDB
Transmission (≥66kV) transmission or distribution asset.
E-1 and distribution Contact with MEN connected metalwork (around house)
assets (< 66kV) where MEN or soil is affected by either transmission or TDMEN
distribution assets.
Contact with metalwork associated with an aquatic
AQ5
centre that operates five months of the year.
Contact with metalwork associated with an aquatic
AQ12
centre that operates twelve 12 months of the year.
38
Case Earth fault event Description Acronym
Zone substations
E-3 Backyard near Zone Substation with Secondary side fault. ZSSBI
(<66kV secondary)
MEN contact near Zone Substation with Secondary side
ZSSMEN
fault.
Note: The above cases are based on touch voltage hazards. Where applicable, the negligible risk step voltage
or hand to hand voltage/time curves (typically much less stringent than the allowable touch voltages) should
also be checked and the stringent voltage/time curve used.
The parameters have been selected with a view to conservatism, nevertheless the designer should check the
assumptions match the circumstances of the hazard scenario being analysed and determine if any additional
mitigation measures may be applicable if the cost is low and/or a normally expected practice.
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The following series of curves (in Figure 4-2) relate to prospective touch voltages posing negligible risk (e.g. 10-6
annual individual risk) associated with earth fault events on transmission and distribution assets (Case F-1) with
fault frequency assumptions given in Table F-2.
100000
TU
DU
TDB
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10000
TDMEN
AQ5
Prospective Touch Voltage (Volts)
AQ12
1000
100
10
0.1 1 Clearing Time (sec) 10
Figure 4-2: Transmission and Distribution Asset Prospective Touch Voltage Criteria
39
When the published V/t criteria from the case studies do not fit the hazard scenarios of the design being
undertaken producing direct probabilistic criteria is recommended. Section 4-16 details the process for direct
derivation with reference to a software tool [38][39].
Remote locations: Assets may be considered as ‘remote’ if they do not require a certain touch voltage to
comply with the fatality risk targets. This occurs when the coincidence probability is below the risk target.
Nevertheless, an earthing system may still be required at such assets to meet protection operation and/or
insulation coordination performance requirements (see Sections 5.5.2.2 and D.1.1 for further details).
4.11 Check if EPR below lowest tolerable prospective touch voltage (Step 5)
If the EPR is less than the lowest permissible touch voltage, then the shock safety requirements of the design
are met. If so, move to Step 12 and the Transient Design phase, otherwise check more closely the expected
hazard voltages at the exposed locations identified during Step 3 (see Section 4.9.2).
It is usual that there will be more than one EPR to consider, depending upon the range of fault sources and
locations. Note that induction on parallel services may still require assessment and mitigation.
estimate of the maximum EPR, however, in many cases such an approach yields excessive mitigation
requirements, particularly when managing risk associated with transfer hazards beyond an assets perimeter.
Voltages may be calculated or measured at locations where workers or the public may be in contact with
metalwork both within a substation, and on any metalwork or utility service outside the station or walking in
areas of high voltage gradient (area immediately surrounding a station) and able to receive an electric shock.
Each exposure location is characterized by the following parameters: contact location, contact open circuit
voltage (%EPR), contact configuration (e.g. hand to feet), series impedance (e.g. footwear). Contact frequency
and duration estimates will be required for each site if quantified risk analysis (QRA) is undertaken (Step 10).
Checks should be made for any interference with metalwork associated with third party assets including:
Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
• Metallic pipelines (e.g. gas, water and hydrocarbons) – Refer also to AS/NZS4853.
• Telecommunications worker exposure – Refer also to AS3835 for conductive EPR hazards and SA HB 101
for low frequency induction (LFI) hazards.
40
4.15 Modify the Design using Risk Mitigation Principles (Step 9)
If compliance is not achieved following Step 7 or Step 11 then a review of available risk mitigation strategies is
required. It is likely that some reiteration will be required to determine the appropriate improvements to
make. A range of design improvements that may be considered are discussed in more detail in Appendix A and
ENA EG-1. The principles of the hierarchy of controls should be applied to the mitigation/redesign process in
determining priorities (see Clause 2.2).
The goal of earthing system design optimisation is to ensure adequate robustness in the design at the same
time as finding a balance between cost, practicality and management of risk. While sensitivity and uncertainty
analyses must be applied to individual risk mitigation assessments, the overall picture must also be managed.
Multiple risk scenarios need to be analysed regarding interactions between individual scenarios (e.g. trade-
offs), and the impact of the various design configurations on the overall risk profile for the site and for the
earthing system.
Mitigation options often fall into two categories: either reduce the hazard (the presented voltage or clearing
time) or reduce the probability of coincidence. The reduction in magnitude of the hazard should be considered
first. The design should be evaluated to ensure all reasonable precautions have been included, where the costs
are not ‘grossly disproportionate’ to the risk reduction benefit gained. Assessment of risk mitigation is an
iterative process with an aim to reduce the earthing related shock risk so far as is reasonably practicable
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(SFAIRP) or to as low as reasonably practicable (ALARP) within a risk-cost-benefit analysis (RCBA) framework.
41
derived to reflect the various configurations found in practice. The basis applied for a safe earthing design is a
low probability of electrocution by contact with metalwork during load and earth fault conditions.
The quantified risk analysis methodology utilises as its basis the fact that a fatality due to an earth fault can
only occur if both of the following situations exist:
• Touch (or step) voltage generated results in a large enough current passing through the body for sufficient
time to cause fibrillation of the heart muscle.
The particular value of applying the probabilistic method to analyse earthing related shock risk lies in being
able to:
• Optimise cost of mitigation through being able to more accurately identify the amount that each fault case
and input parameter contributes to the risk profile.
• Identify hazard scenarios where more traditional approaches are non-conservative and more stringent
criteria may be justified on account of the risk profile to which the public or utility workers may be
exposed.
• Alternatively, the risk-based approach is also able to identify hazard scenarios where the risk profile is very
low and less stringent design targets than previously adopted may be justified.
The probability that the heart will enter ventricular fibrillation due to contact with an external voltage is the
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Probability of Fibrillation (Pfibrillation). The probability that a person will be present and in contact with an item
while the item is affected by a fault is defined as the Probability of Exposure or Coincidence (Pcoincidence). A key
purpose of earthing system design is to reduce the likelihood of a fatality occurring (Pfatality), which can be
described by the following equation:
The societally tolerable limits supported by this guide are based upon meeting both individual, and societal (or
multiple) fatality risk limits as covered in Section 5.4.5.
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• Meeting voltage/time characteristics which have been developed independently and can be shown to
represent a negligible level of risk for each of the exposure locations (see Section 5.6), or
• Demonstrating that the range of risk of fatality for each of the exposures, considering the variability in
contributing parameters, is sufficiently low as may be considered negligible. It must also be shown that
any further reduction in risk cannot be achieved without incurring a cost impost that is ‘grossly
disproportionate’ to the level of risk reduction or installation requirements or operational restrictions that
conflict with functional requirements (e.g. unable to meet redundancy requirements to meet reasonable
operational contingencies or placing unreasonable access restrictions for the site). Section 5.5.3 addresses
ways to undertake such an assessment.
42
4.18 Lightning and Transient Design (Step 12)
Switching surges and lightning strokes impacting directly or indirectly upon a substation may cause damage to
both primary and secondary plant. Collection and dissipation of the incident energy involves components of
the earthing system (see AS1768).
If the interactions between the HV earthing system and secondary systems (i.e. protection, d.c. and a.c.
auxiliary power and control wiring) are not managed appropriately this may result in:
• Ensuring that the as-built installation matches the design drawings and is constructed to an appropriate
standard.
prohibitive to inspect many components once buried. During construction suitable hold and witness points are
required to be specified. This also provides several benefits:
• Defects and issues arising during installation can be cost effectively managed, including:
• Quality of workmanship
• Methods of simplifying or easing the installation process can be incorporated and the system
improvements captured/incorporated for future stages of the project or future designs.
43
• Where LV street supply can be used
• Specify locations for site sheds (either completely inside the earth grid or some minimum distance from
the buried earth system).
• Specify laydown material storage areas (especially for conductive/metallic construction material), either
completely inside the earth grid or some minimum distance from the buried earth system.
• Isolating/insulation mats
• Required remedial works on existing assets, if required (e.g. isolation section(s) in third party fences)
• Construction safety requirements are to be identified and the controls listed in the appropriate safety
documentation.
44
4.20.1.1 Documentation and Records
All measurements and tests required should be properly recorded and the documentation kept. To enable the
integrity of the earthing installation over a long period of time and its suitability for present fault levels to be
assessed the following records should be maintained:
• Drawings showing the earthing system layout including location and size of all earth conductors and
electrodes, and the location of all grid connections.
Commissioning of new earthing systems is essential as a validation step for the design and installation process
and for the design inputs. In most cases commissioning should measure the outputs of the earthing system in
terms of produced voltages and current distributions rather than solely resistance or impedance. The
commissioning shall consider the key performance criteria identified in the hazard identification and treatment
analysis phases.
Commissioning will determine the earthing system initial compliance and set a benchmark or baseline for
ongoing supervision. As it is not always possible to foresee all hazard mechanisms at the design stage,
commissioning testing can determine the need for any localised secondary mitigation and any additional
requirements for telecommunication or pipeline interference coordination.
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The earthing system commissioning procedure normally consists of six core activities. In some instances, not all
activities are required.
• Visual inspection
• Continuity testing
45
• Condition of earthing conductors and connections
The simulated fault is typically made sustainable by injecting a small current, commonly between 2 and 20
amps. The effects are made measurable, even on live systems, by injecting at a frequency different to the
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power system frequency and using frequency tuneable measuring equipment. The test is referred to as a Low
Current, Off Power Frequency Injection Test.
The earthing system’s EPR is measured by performing a Fall of Potential test. This test requires a test lead to be
run out from the earthing system to allow a series of voltage measurements to be made between the earthing
system under test and the ground. The route and distance are chosen to minimise measurement errors.
The measurements taken from the Fall of Potential test must be processed for the difference between test and
power system frequency and for distance to remote earth. They can then be used to determine the earth
system impedance and the EPR under actual fault conditions. Adjustments should also be made for mutual
earth resistance and for mutual inductance as required.
Direct remote earth measurements, such as voltage measurements to remotely earthed communications or
pilot wires, can also supply supplementary test data. However, with single point measurement alone it is very
difficult to correctly assess and correct the many error sources that can be part of any measurement taken.
46
• Current Distribution
In the situation where fault current may leave the earthing system through paths alternate to the earth grid
(such as cable sheaths or overhead earth wires), the current through those alternate paths should also be
measured. This allows analysis of how fault energy is dissipated, its effect on the alternate paths (e.g. cable
sheath capacity) and calculation of the earth grid impedance from the total system impedance. In complex
systems the results are useful for modelling alternate fault scenarios and fault current sources not simulated
during testing.
• Telecommunications Coordination
Where telecommunications equipment is installed within the area of influence of a high voltage earthing
system consideration is required of the hazards that may be created. In such cases coordination is required
between the power system asset owner/operator and the appropriate telecommunications group.
Measurement of the earthing system performance should be carried out periodically or following major
changes to the installation or power system which affect the fundamental requirements of the earthing
system. Such measurements should generally follow the commissioning programme. Continuity tests should
also be undertaken, and compared with historical records (see Section 4.21).
Configuration management standards (AS/NZS 3907) require owners of assets that can pose a threat to staff
and public to manage changes to their own assets (e.g. earth fault level increases) and surrounding
infrastructure and land use. Ongoing inspections should identify when infrastructure surrounding an earthing
system has changed in configuration and/or use. For instance, a kindergarten set up in a property backing on to
a major substation, or a swimming pool and Colourbond fence installed near a transmission tower.
47
4.20.3.1 Inspection and Test Intervals
The asset owner or user shall determine appropriate inspection and tests intervals based on knowledge of its
own earthing installations and design standards, and on its understanding of environmental conditions (e.g.
corrosion) and assessment of risk.
When work has taken place that may have interfered with the earthing system, the system in that area shall be
inspected and checked. All parts of the earthing system exposed by excavation shall be inspected for damage
or deterioration.
To be most effective the documentation process should be an integral part of the overall design process, with
the requirements well understood by designers, field workers and project workers from the inception of the
project. Configuration management requirements (see AS/NZ 3907) appropriate for a safety critical system
would include identifying and including the requirements within the ‘system’.
The final stage of the design process should be a formal sign-off or handover process, whereby the design
engineer is able to collate all the design documentation and ongoing management requirements for inclusion
in the operational support documentation and programmes for the installation.
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48
5 Management of Shock Risk
5.1 Shock types
Most electric shock incidents occur at power frequency and involve the subject touching or holding onto a
metallic object. A voltage difference exists between the object and the ground on which the subject is standing
(i.e. touch voltage), so that current passes through the subject. Some electric shock incidents can occur when
two separate metallic objects are touched/held so that current passes through the body from one hand to the
other (i.e. hand-to-hand touch voltage). The human body represents a conductive alternate return path for the
flow of electrical current.
Electrocution due to contact with the ground or metalwork at a potential different to another point of contact
(feet or hand) during earth fault events is a low probability, but clearly high consequence, hazard scenario.
Such cases are known as indirect contact, as opposed to direct contact with energised conductors. This guide
focusses upon managing the indirect shock risk to which workers and the public may be exposed during power
system fault and load conditions.
Section 3 describes the range of hazardous potential differences to which personnel or members of the public
may be exposed under load and fault conditions.
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The fibrillating current threshold is affected by the type of source (ac vs dc), voltage magnitude, current
magnitude, current path (e.g. hand to feet), duration of time, sensitivity of the individual, frequency, and body
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impedance. Ventricular fibrillation occurs when an external current passes through the heart during the
vulnerable period of the heart cycle being the relative refractory period or the T wave in the ECG. The
vulnerable period is 50-100ms in duration and is repeated approximately every second, as the average heart
rate of an adult human being (at rest) is 60-80 beats per minute. Therefore, at power frequencies (e.g. 50Hz), it
is possible to stimulate the heart up to 10 times during the vulnerable period, if it is assumed that the body is
only concerned with magnitude.
The following table indicates these thresholds for electric shocks involving 50Hz current, as most electric shock
incidents occur at power frequencies. The effects described occur when a subject has a solid connection with
electricity by holding electrodes in their hands with conductive jelly.
49
Table 5-1: Physiological effects of 50Hz alternating current
Nerve block, partial paralysis. Nerve block prevents signal from brain
1A
reaching lungs, natural breathing ceases.
Although Table 5-1 describes the effects for a current pathway of hand-to-hand, the magnitudes are similar for
other pathways that include the chest area. As most electric shock incidents involve the subject touching or
holding onto a metallic object, the chest area will almost always be involved in all electric shock incidents.
Therefore, the threshold for fibrillation determines the safety criteria for electric shocks of short duration.
The current magnitude and pathway through the body are the main factors that determine which physiological
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effect will result from an electric shock. Significant investigation of the electrical characteristics of the human
populace, primarily by Prof. Gottfried Biegelmeier [17], led to the publication of AS/IEC60479 including
population fibrillation and body impedance data.
In deriving safety criteria, Ohm’s Law can be used to indicate a corresponding voltage level for each
physiological effect. However, the impedance of the human body, particularly the skin, is complex in nature.
The value for the internal impedance of the human body (without the skin) is in the order of 500Ω for the
current pathway of hand-to-foot. The human skin is a good insulator (up to 6kΩ) when it is dry and intact but is
easily compromised by the presence of sweat and surface cuts or abrasions. Furthermore, the human skin
displays non-linear and time-varying properties, and is dependent on voltage, frequency, and environmental
factors. In the power industry, safe work practices may include the use of gloves and good footwear which
provides an additional series resistance to further limit the current through the body during an electric shock.
Appendix B provides an overview of each of the factors which contribute to the susceptibility of a person to the
flow of current through the body.
There are many probabilistic influences involved in assessing indirect shock related safety apart from the
physiological variability in the human population. Other factors include the fault current magnitude and
duration, the probability of the fault occurrence, and the presence probability of a human being. This has led
some countries to introduce a new approach to earthing system design based on the explicit application of
probabilistic methods. The following points identify cases where indirect shock risk has been quantified, either
50
for use in developing tolerable safety standards (i.e. touch voltage vs protection clearing time withstand
curves), or to assess the risk associated with a specific or class of hazard scenario (i.e. voltage source and
contact exposure mechanism):
• Australia 1960’s
Risk to telecommunications workers was quantified using probabilistic studies in the 1960’s, to determine the
maximum impressed voltages to allow on telecommunications circuits. In a seminal Australian work O’Keefe et
al [18] followed on from probabilistic studies in the 1960’s by Todd [19], and took existing physiological
research data and added their own work based on tests upon dogs to conclude the following regarding risk of
exposure related to telephone lines:
‘..1000V (<0.5secs) and 1500V (<0.35secs) could be accepted as substantially safe values in comparison with
430V which is only acceptable on probability grounds.’
These ‘conservative values’ (their words) were incorporated into the 1971 draft code of practise for
telecommunications power coordination, and the higher targets have been in use in Australia from that point
onwards. The resultant tolerable safety standards (i.e. 430V, 1000V and 1500V) were less stringent than the
International Telecommunications Union (ITU) standards of the time (i.e. 430V and 650V) [20].
• Finland in 1970’s
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Finland adopted a set of earthing voltage requirements as part of the Electrical Safety Code [20], based upon a
probabilistic analysis of the contributing factors. Although the Finnish study was designed specifically for their
system configuration and physical constraints (i.e. soil resistivity between 1000 and 10000 Ωm, and being
snowbound during winter months), the following extract is generally applicable.
‘When applying probabilistic calculations to the safety studies of the electric power system or its part, one has
to accept the fact that no absolute safety exists in reality. For example, the problem of the earthing voltage has
to be solved by accepting a certain accident probability that on different earths can be very low. The result
based on probability calculation can, of course, then be expressed deterministically as a categorical
requirement. This is often the most suitable way in practice, however, the determination of the requirement as
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well as the interpretation of its context presumes a probabilistic way of thinking and evaluation’ [21].
• IEC479 (1974)
This document published physiological details of human fibrillation current withstand expressed in probabilistic
terms. The introduction to the document included specific direction to include consideration of actual risks
before using the current withstand data to develop voltage withstand criteria in practise.
‘There are, however, other aspects to be taken into account, such as probability of faults, probability of contact
with live or faulty parts, experience gained, technical feasibilities and economics. These parameters have to be
considered carefully when fixing safety requirements, .... for electrical installations.’
• Australia in 1980’s
In the 1980’s the power industry undertook probabilistic studies to determine tolerable design criteria for
distribution and transmission structures [23]24][25]. This work generated tolerable prospective touch voltages
of up to 8kV (for clearing times less than 0.2 secs) associated with transmission structures based upon an
annual fibrillation fatality risk increase limit of 1: 1,000,000 (10-6).
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• Germany VDE 0141
The 1976 edition of DIN VDE 0141 [26] allowed for networks 110kV or higher to consider a design current of
70% of the maximum fault current. This allowance was based upon the low likelihood of the coincidence of
maximum fault current and a person being in the worst-case contact location.
• IEEE80
IEEE80 clearly acknowledges that a hazardous electric shock incident will only occur given the coincidence of a
number of variable conditions, and then makes the general observation that the ‘relative infrequency of
hazardous incidents is due to the low probability of the coincidence of those necessary conditions’. The design
safety criteria recommended in IEEE80 is based upon the work of Dalziel [33], who based his work upon the
same physiological data as the IEC working group led by Biegelmeier and generated a current versus time
characteristic that was claimed to provide safety against ventricular fibrillation for 99.5% of all persons.
The international HV installation standard IEC61936 uses selected physiological data from IEC60479 for body
impedance (50%), body current withstand (5%), and heart current factor (LH to feet) to generate a permissible
prospective touch voltage curve. As was the case for IEEE80, IEC61936 does not overtly incorporate a
probabilistic process, however, it does include the following statement: ‘It must also be recognized that fault
occurrence, fault current magnitude, fault duration and presence of human beings are probabilistic in nature’.
• UK in 2000’s
The UK has adopted an alternative design process in a national annex to the Cenelec earthing standard BS
EN50522. The design flowchart has been augmented to allow designers to undertake a quantified risk analysis
if normal touch voltage criteria are found to be inadequate (i.e. too stringent, or unable to take special
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conditions such as sporting events into consideration). Examples are included based upon the work undertaken
at the Cardiff University [34] [35] that incorporates IEC60479 physiological data with system performance
information and uses Monte Carlo analysis to determine risk profiles associated with transmission system
assets.
52
redevelop a number of safety standards covering distribution and transmission assets AS/NZS 7000, metallic
pipelines AS/NZS 4853, and finally AS2067 (2016) (companion to IEC 61936). The latter standard covers all HV
plant and includes typical criteria covering a wide range of applications including mining and industrial hazard
scenarios.
• CIGRE/CIRED 2018
A joint CIGRE/CIRED international working group B3:35 examined and published a brochure TB749 [40] on the
use of quantified risk analysis to assess risk profiles and thereby optimise substation earthing design.
The circumstances that make electric shock accidents possible are as follows:
• Relatively high fault current to ground in relation to the area of ground system and its resistance to remote
earth.
• Soil resistivity and distribution of ground currents such that high potential gradients may occur at points at
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• Presence of an individual at such a point, time, and position that the body is bridging two points of high
potential difference.
• Absence of sufficient contact resistance or other series resistance to limit current through the body to safe
value if the first three requirements are being met.
• Duration of the fault and body contact, and hence, of the flow of current through a human body for a
sufficient time to cause harm at the given current intensity.
The relative low frequency of accidents is due largely to the low probability of coincidence of all the
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unfavourable conditions listed above. Nevertheless, fatalities due to voltage gradients associated with earthing
systems have occurred. The fact that basic physiological data alone are insufficient in establishing electrical
safety requirements is highlighted in the introduction to the IEC 60479 Standard: ‘The basic criteria are
intended to form part of a synthesis of a number of contributing factors’.
In response to these drivers earthing safety standards have acknowledged the probabilistic nature of the risk of
electrocution and are making the risk-based nature of the decisions overt rather than hidden and have
incorporated the ability to undertake a quantified risk analysis within the earthing design process.
Traditional approaches to managing earthing related risk relied on a combination of recognised controls or
prescribed measures and the reduction of touch and step voltages to below particular levels considered or
deemed safe. However, it is now clearly understood that these traditional criteria do not ensure survival,
should someone be in the touch voltage situation coincident with the earth fault occurring and creating the
touch voltage. The ability to quantify the probability of fibrillation, should a person be exposed to a hazard
voltage, provides designers with the ability to see more directly the impact of hazard reduction on reducing
fibrillation risk.
For instance, if a person in bare feet was exposed to a touch voltage equal to the standard tolerable touch
voltage characteristics tabled in EN50522 and IEEE80, the likelihood of fibrillation occurring when assessed
against the best available physiological withstand criteria (IEC60479) is shown in Table 5-2 [47].
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Table 5-2: Comparative fibrillation likelihood
Clearly the likelihood of fibrillation in all cases is much larger than typical tolerable individual inadvertent risk
targets (such as 10-6). Therefore, traditional safety criteria can only be considered tolerably safe provided there
is a low likelihood of an earth fault occurring at the same time as a person being in an exposed position
(IEEE80, IEC61936, EN050522). The ENA EG-0 TDMEN voltage/time characteristic, assuming no footwear
impedance, has been included for comparison purposes. The TDMEN characteristic results in a probability of
fatality of 10-6 based upon contact and fault frequency and footwear conditions described in Appendix E-1.
The ability to quantify the risk associated with a hazard provides a designer and asset owner with the ability to
better understand the magnitude (and thereby criticality) of the contribution to the risk profile of each of the
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contributing factors. Furthermore, as each of these parameters may be characterised in probabilistic terms the
final design can also be understood in terms of confidence limits, not simply meeting a single pass/fail point.
analysed using quantitative methods and qualitatively assessed against specific criteria. Once the risks are
evaluated the appropriate risk treatment process shall be implemented where appropriate to manage the risks
effectively and efficiently.
54
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A risk management process is a logical and systematic method to ensure that the risks are effectively and
efficiently managed.
Risk assessments must be conducted by those who create and control the extent of the risk – the asset owners
or those acting on their behalf.
55
Activities that do not allow an individual choice in participation are tolerated to a much lesser extent and must
be analysed and controlled to a higher level. Such risks are called ‘involuntary’ and include terrorist attack, gas
explosion or exposure to carcinogens in consumable products. As there is no choice available to the individual
concerned, there is often no escape or warning associated with involuntary risks. Risks associated with earthing
system electrical hazards are usually categorised as involuntary and the primary responsibility for risk
management lies with the owners of the hazard source.
The occurrence of a hazard (risk event) which results in simultaneous exposure for multiple people is
considered less tolerable. The difference between individual risk and societal risk is explained in the following
definitions:
• Societal Risk: The risk associated with multiple, simultaneous fatalities within an exposed population.
Societal risk may be a determining factor in the acceptability of the risk associated with a hazard for areas
where many individual people may be in a position to be in contact with a hazard voltage (e.g. school) or
where a group of people congregate (e.g. bus stop) and are likely to be simultaneously in an exposed
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position.
Risk limit targets for both individual and societal exposure cases are discussed in Section 5.4.5.
Risk may be analysed using quantitative, qualitative or a combination of the two methodologies. In this guide
probabilistic risk analysis is used to determine the probability of causing fatality to one or multiple individuals.
The probabilistic model which is a commonly adopted method of risk assessment is:
Risk = f (hazard, coincidence)
56
Where coincidence represents the frequency of public exposure to a risk event and hazard represents the
consequences of failure. Risk in this context is a function of hazard and exposure. Risk analysis may be carried
out for individual assets or for groups of assets with similar characteristics.
It is important that designers and engineers analysing a particular risk scenario are consistent in assigning
values to parameters and interpreting the results of the risk quantification. To meet that goal this guide aims to
articulate assumptions and tools, and to provide software based analysis tools. In setting risk criteria, the
underlying principle is that people should not involuntarily be subject to a risk which is significant in relation to
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the background risk associated with what could be realistically expected to be normal movements.
Individual and societal risk should be considered separately, and the more stringent outcome used as the risk
scenario to be managed. While an individual’s concern about their life or safety is largely independent of
whether the risk is from an isolated incident or a major disaster, society’s risk perception is strongly influenced
by events with potential for multiple injuries or fatalities [9].
point at which the controlled risk is so high that the activity should not be allowed, and similarly so low that it
doesn’t warrant further consideration; that is, it is reasonably to accept the remaining risk.
The use of probabilistic ‘bright lines’, defining boundaries between unacceptable and negligible risk limits, is
not a perfect approach by any means. A strict use of the bright line approach to decision making has the
following shortcomings:
• Cannot explicitly reflect uncertainties about population variation in susceptibility, community values, or
economic considerations.
• As magic numbers are inconsistent with the variability and uncertainty inherent in estimates of risk.
• May be misunderstood to imply that an exact boundary exists between safe and unsafe.
Such weaknesses or criticisms are acknowledged, but rather than discounting the bright line approach, the
criticisms should be used to strengthen the approach through provision for incorporating checks and other
considerations in the process. Although susceptible to misuse and misunderstanding, the concept of
probabilistic bright lines is proposed to be more responsible than traditional fixed so-called safety criteria, as it
attempts to enumerate the real issue of the level of risk, which is at the heart of the safety policy setting
problem.
57
Risk ‘bright lines’ are boundaries for what is broadly considered a tolerable level of risk to which either
individuals or groups of people will be exposed. They are generally defined in terms of the annual increase in
fatality likelihood for the maximally exposed reasonably behaved person. The thresholds are widely supported
by policy setting bodies across the world.
The point of negligible or ‘de minimis’ risk at which no further risk reduction is warranted has been defined as
the point where either [41]:
• The cost of further risk reduction becomes imbalanced compared to the small additional increment of
benefit, or
• The risk to the most exposed individuals and the entire population is so small that it becomes
inconsequential and is of no concern to the majority of people when compared to other risks.
In most countries the negligible risk level is set to be one order of magnitude higher than the background noise
risk that is always present and associated with rare events such as direct lightning strikes [42].
The risk increase to which an individual may be inadvertently exposed may be calculated on an annual basis
and assessed against the target fatality probability limits (bright lines) in common use shown in Figure 5-2 and
Table 5-3 following (e.g. NSW Risk Guidelines [43][44][45] or WA EPA Guidelines [46], UK Health and Safety
Executive (2001) [11]).
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Figure 5-2: Target individual fatality probability limits [42] (Based upon UK HSE R2A [11])
The assessment is made considering the risk to a person who represents the maximum exposure that could be
expected of a person acting reasonably. For a distribution of population behaviours from least to most risk
attracting, maximum reasonable exposure is an estimate of the behaviour of 90 to 95% of the exposed
population. Activities which place a person in an exposed location for an unnaturally long time, or which create
a situation where the fault and contact are not independent events (e.g. a vandal causing the fault, or a utility
operator inadvertently energising an earthed line) are not covered within the maximum reasonable exposure
conditions.
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Table 5-3: Target individual fatality probability limits
Societal risk relates to any person(s) being affected, based on a typical or average expected exposure. The most
common measure of societal risk is the Frequency-Number (F-N) curve representing the total frequency (per
year) of events resulting in N or more fatalities. The F-N curve is usually constructed in a 2-step process:
(i) Calculate the number of fatalities resulting from each incident case.
(ii) Construct the F-N curve showing the results in cumulative frequency form,
where,
FN = Sum (Fi) for all incident outcome cases i for which Ni>=N.
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• Uniform Exposure (Time Independent): An individual’s movements are largely independent of one another
(e.g. people in separate households), but may share exposure to a common hazard with other people in
the vicinity (e.g. LV neutral rise).
• Gathered Exposure (Time Dependent): Individual movements are governed by an external organising
event or location, which may result in one or more people being exposed to a higher degree than for the
totally random cases. Gathered exposures could include events or situations such as large sporting
complexes, municipal swimming pools or cattle sale yards. People’s exposure may be characterised as
59
being of higher contact frequency, but over a limited time span. Therefore, the coincidence must be
calculated based upon non-uniform arrival rates, as outlined in Appendix C.4. For the purposes of this
guide, it is understood that while people are ‘gathered’ in a location for a fixed duration they still exhibit
essentially random movements whilst in that location (uniform behaviour). In this case the fault frequency
is considered constant.
• Generalised (Time Dependent): In this scenario the rate at which people make contact and fault events
occur are both non-uniformly distributed. The approach outlined in Appendix C.4 allows for seasonal fault
conditions as well as time of day/week exposure profile.
The points on the F-N curve relate to the Frequency of events occurring with ‘N or more’ fatalities. Therefore, it
is understandable that the greater the number of people possibly exposed the higher the values. The value of
‘F’ on the ‘Y’ axis is therefore the highest value as it relates to ‘1 or more’ fatalities.
The boundary conditions on the ALARP region have been aligned with those in common use within Australia
relating to hazardous industries [43]. The position on the Y axis crossing and slope of the lines defining the
upper and lower limits have been developed based upon the relative utility of the product (i.e. value of
electricity to society), and experience in assessing risk profiles. Nevertheless, the graph is interpreted in a
similar manner to the individual risk assessment (see Table 5-3), where if part of the curve lies within each of
the regions the following steps should be taken:
• Intolerable region – The risk is considered intolerable, and the risk profile must be reduced.
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• ALARP region – Reduce the risk profile whenever possible, and only accept the residual risk based on a risk
cost benefit analysis (RCBA) (See Section 5-5). The use of the ALARP or SFAIRP principle is clearly intended
to form a key part of the Due Diligence process embodied in this guide. The ALARP/SFAIRP principle that
requires a designer and asset owner to reduce the risk profile whenever possible provides a consistent yet
practical means for managing earthing system related risk.
• Low or tolerable region – Risk generally tolerable, however, risk treatment should be considered if the cost
is low and/or a normally expected practice.
Both the individual and societal hazard scenarios should be assessed and the risk profile of both managed
depending upon the region in which the risk is placed (i.e. intolerable, ALARP, or negligible).
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It should be noted that when calculating societal risk, account should be taken of possible future increases in
exposed population, particularly in cases where assets are in areas where there is surrounding residential land
that has not yet been fully developed.
60
5.5 QRA Methodology Overview (Step 10)
The process for quantifying the risk of fatality due to earthing system related indirect shock risk is shown in
Figure 5-4 [47-54].
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Each of the steps is described in more detail in the following sections with supporting information provided in
the appendices.
61
5.5.1 Fibrillation Probability Calculation (Step 10A)
The probability of fibrillation is dependent upon the magnitude of the hazard (i.e. touch, step or transfer
voltage) and the current that is likely to flow through the exposed person.
A series of voltage time curves have been derived that have constant fibrillation probability independent of
fault duration based upon IEC 60479 body withstand current and body resistance probability distributions (see
Section 4.10 and Appendix E). Such constant probability (Pfibrillation) curves are needed to make resolution of
Equation 4-1 possible without additional detailed calculations, as Pcoincidence is also dependent upon fault
duration.
The methodology may be used to derive constant fibrillation curves dependent upon the following parameters:
Electric shock QRA software [38][39] may be used to analyse a range of constant probability curves to meet
boundary conditions specified by the user.
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From Equation 4-1, if the maximum tolerable risk of fatality is set to a predetermined value (e.g. 10-6 Pfatality
target), then for a known value of fibrillation probability there is a value of coincidence probability that
determines whether the tolerable risk of fatality has been met. The exposure or fault/contact coincidence
probability, for both individual and societal (multiple) risk exposures, may be calculated using the formulae
given in Appendix C.
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The selection of contact frequency and duration is one for which very little published literature is available.
Nevertheless, contact frequencies are implicit within all previous design methodologies and targets. It is usual
that a conservative value be assumed in the first instance, and only revised downward following review within
the risk cost benefit analysis (RCBA) framework.
Location classifications should simplify the selection process and increase tolerance to local changes in access
profile. It is critical that appropriate attention be given to sensitivity and criticality analysis.
Appendix C provides additional information regarding the calculation of fault/contact coincidence including:
62
should be taken to consider the cumulative effect of multiple exposures, as in the case of workers who move
between job sites. A case study is included in Appendix E that considers the exposure risk of a power utility
technician working in a substation.
While earthing system modelling tools have improved in accuracy in recent years, responsible design requires
more than accurate modelling tools. A designer needs to understand which parameters have the most
significant impact on key performance requirements and incorporate uncertainty in input parameters in the
analysis. Unfortunately, the significance of individual parameters is not always easily understood. Earthing
system design not only comprises many input parameters (see Section 3.3), but many of the parameters have a
large natural variability.
A sensitivity analysis is undertaken to identify those input parameters that have greatest impact upon the
outcomes. Using traditional earthing design methods safety is gauged by compliance with a fixed touch
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voltage/time characteristic. Therefore, as touch voltage is directly dependent upon the driving EPR, safety is
also directly dependent upon EPR. This relationship is better understood once the probability of fibrillation is
calculated based upon a full probabilistic model of each of the key parameters (see Section 5.5.1). As an
example, in one case an error in EPR value of 7% corresponded to a 15% error in fibrillation probability on
account of the actual relationship between applied voltage and the body resistance [59]. The use of
probabilistic modelling to determine constant probability voltage/time curves overcomes this limitation (see
Sections 4.13, 5.5.1 and Appendix E). The risk of fatality is highly sensitive to variations in earth fault duration
as the duration impacts both the coincidence probability and likelihood of fibrillation.
Once a sensitivity analysis has identified the most significant variables, the next stage is to ascertain the
required level of accuracy for those parameters.
In the earthing system modelling process, parameters are more-or-less uncertain. Either or both the existing
and future values may be uncertain (e.g. source impedance), or alternatively the parameter may be inherently
uncertain or variable (e.g. fault location). For instance, fault/presence coincidence probability is relatively
insensitive to variations in fault duration in the likely operating region (i.e. 0.1-1 seconds). Unfortunately, the
fibrillation probability is sensitive to fault duration. Therefore, in this instance a single parameter has varying
impact in different parts of the risk modelling process. Sensitivity may be variable across the input parameter
range, and according to the values of other parameters, as in the case of fibrillation sensitivity to series
impedances offered by material such as footwear. It has been shown that while footwear series impedance is
63
highly uncertain (across the population range) it is also clearly voltage dependent [58][59]. However,
depending upon the fault/presence coincidence frequency and the applied voltage characteristics the footwear
impedance assumes variable significance. In the case of a transmission tower where the applied voltage is very
high, the footwear voltage withstand is likely to be exceeded, rendering the additional series impedance
ineffective, and hence of little value. In contrast, the lower applied voltages found at larger substations allow
the footwear series impedance values to be effective.
The following questions provide a means for examining the issues from a range of alternative perspectives:
• Does a risk cost-benefit analysis (RCBA) yield a positive result considering 'all-of-life' costs? A positive result
is achieved if many people are affected or it is a high exposure location, and the hazard may be mitigated
with reasonable cost. The use of risk cost benefit analysis may provide a mechanism for gauging the relative
value of the risk reduction options, however, it should not be used as the only arbiter in decision making
[62][63].
• Does the remedial action lower the fear level of the public or raise their confidence in the utility (e.g. use of
brick boundary fences)?
• Is there another reason to justify the expense? Examples might include:
• Need to maintain corporate image,
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Figure 5.5 following summarizes the ALARP/SFAIRP design process, while the following points discuss the key
parameters used within the RCBA process, and Appendix F provides several case studies to illustrate the
process.
64
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Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
Proportionality factor: For business risk decisions a benefit/cost ratio (or proportionality factor) of two or
more is considered reasonable. In the earthing risk context, the benefit is in avoiding an electrocution (e.g.
value of life) while the cost is the cost of a successful mitigation strategy. In particular, the benefit/risk ratio is
the ratio of the benefit (value of life) NPV/cost of mitigation NPV. A proportionality factor of up to 10 has been
used for earthing mitigation RCBA on account of the safety critical nature of the decision [64].
65
Value of Saved Life (VoSL): In the case of human safety, to carry out such an analysis, it is necessary to use a
‘value of life’ figure, normally referred to as the Value of Statistical Life (VSL), as the basis for the analysis.
Various studies of VSL carried out around the world [65-74] show that values varying between approximately
$2 million and $20 million. In 2003 Abelson [65] stated that given research findings as a whole and values
employed in Europe, $3 million to $4 million would appear to be a plausible VSL for a healthy prime age
individual in Australia. Miller [67] proposed an alternative Australian perspective, depending upon nature of
the hazard scenario. One key issue is the lack of studies investigating VSL across varied risk contexts with most
studies investigating the road safety context, which is an activity in which people voluntarily or consciously
chose to engage [69]. The value of saved life (VoSL) is defined as a risk cost benefit calculation based around
the cost of a fatality in terms of VSL and fatality related organisational costs including investigations,
subsequent actions, and reputation impacts.
The selection of a VoSL value for carrying out RCBAs when evaluating earthing system related indirect shock
risks needs to account for the following:
• The public’s expectation that power systems are ‘safe’ provided they are not tampered with.
• The possibility that those at risk may be ‘vulnerable’ (i.e. young, old, infirm).
• The ‘involuntary’ nature of the risk to the public.
• The knowledge of the public and their ability to control/reduce the risk
• The utility’s image and reputation.
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Consideration is given to increasing the base case VSL value used in public policy decision-making in Australia
from A$4.6 million to A$7.46 million (2021A$) by Ananthapavan [69]. An increase is supported by evidence
that after controlling for increased income, VSL increases over time [71][105]. This range of VSL is lower than
that recommended by Viscusi in 2018 [72], who estimated the appropriate VSL for Australia based on USA VSL
estimates as approximately A$12.7 million in 2021 values.
For the examples within this guide (see Appendix F), a VoSL value of $10 million has been used. It would be
considered prudent for an individual utility to develop their own value of saved life (e.g. based on relative risk
profile and professional advice) and discount cash rate.
Cost of capital – Discount rate (D): The choice of discount rate has a significant effect on the PV calculated and
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should be chosen carefully Farber [74]. The discount rate varies over time and depends on the individual
utility’s cost of capital. Therefore, it is prudent to assess the sensitivity of the NPV calculation to variations in
the discount rate.
Figure 5-6 provides an outline of the steps that may be used in undertaking a risk cost benefit analysis.
66
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Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
Consideration should also be given to what is the most appropriate way to apply the VSL to the RCBA. The
examples shown in Appendix F highlight two approaches: the first analysis is based on the cost of a fatality,
while the second considers the per person cost of lowering the risk of fatality.
Even for ‘low risk’ situations where RCBA indicates risk treatment is not required, a continuous monitoring and
review process is still to be carried out to ensure that the overall risk level remains within the ‘low risk’ region.
In the case of high-cost projects, it may be argued that a relatively low-cost risk treatment is always to be
incorporated (based upon the precautionary approach).
67
voltage withstand, and likelihood of presence at the time of a fault. This guide provides a quantified risk-based
technique whereby voltage/time (V/t) criteria may be derived to reflect the various configurations found in
practice.
The quantified risk analysis methodology utilises as its basis the fact that a fatality due to an earth fault can
only occur if both of the following situations exist: a person is present when a fault occurs, and the touch (or
step) voltage generated is sufficient to allow a large enough current to pass through the body for sufficient
time to cause fibrillation of the heart muscle.
The probability that a person will be present and in contact with an item while the item is affected by a fault is
defined as the Probability of Coincidence Pcoinc. The probability that the heart will enter ventricular fibrillation
due to contact with an external voltage is the Probability of Fibrillation Pfib. A key purpose of earthing system
design is to maintain the likelihood of a fatality occurring Pfatality, which can be described by the following
simple equation, to within societally tolerable limits.
The development of a probabilistic risk approach based on these assumptions restricts the application of the
calculation to persons who will not contribute to or cause risk events to occur, and situations for which a fault
which causes the risk event will not cause the generation of additional faults. For scenarios where occurrence
of an earth fault is not independent of the presence of an individual (e.g. operational switching) it may be
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prudent to consider special precautions. The calculation of the probability of fatality is limited by the accuracy
of the available data and the conditions under which the hazard may occur.
5.6.1 Calculate Fatality Probability and Assess Risk Profile (Step 6C)
Using Equation 5-1 the expected probability of fatality associated with the specified fault/contact and applied
voltage scenario may be calculated. Both individual and societal risk scenarios (defined in Section 5.4.2.3)
should be assessed against targets outlined in Section 4.4.6. Should the outcome lie in the intolerable region
the risk must be mitigated (see Section 5.8) and re-assessed. If it is assessed to lie in the ALARP region then the
process as outlined in Section 5.7.5 and Appendix E should be followed.
The output from the process is a design curve that corresponds to the specific probability of fatality relevant to
this design case. If the design is considered compliant (i.e. either has a negligible probability of fatality (e.g.
<10-6), or is in the ALARP region and deemed to be tolerable), then the design curve is valid for designs which
have the same fault/presence profile.
68
A similar process shall be applied for any contact configuration (i.e. touch, transfer, step or hand to hand) and
the lower (i.e. more stringent) voltage curve used for the design of the earthing system.
For a calculated probability of fibrillation of 0.37 (based upon an applied voltage, fault duration, and series
resistance), the following curve is obtained:
Societal Fatality Risk, Population Size = 100 and Worst Case Zone: ALARP Region.
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Because some of the curve shown in Figure 5-7 example exists in the ALARP region, ALARP principles are to be
used to reduce the risk profile. It is necessary to consider the effectiveness of a range of mitigation options in
the design. Therefore, move on to Step 6D of the procedure (see Section 5.7.5) and consider what options are
appropriate.
The probabilistic safety criteria derivation methodology enables a designer to use touch voltage criteria that
reflect the following requirements:
69
• Series resistances present (e.g. footwear, soil, crushed rock, asphalt)
• Frequency and duration of both earth faults and contact by people
• Tolerable individual risk and societal negligible risk targets/guidelines
A software-based approach [38] has been implemented that provides design workers with the capability to
develop safety criteria to match actual risk profiles. The methodology has been developed to be practical to
implement (i.e. not require inordinate data gathering, or analysis time), transparent (i.e. all embedded
assumptions accessible), consistent in application (e.g. not be susceptible to misinterpretation or misuse), and
be able to clearly document applicable boundary conditions.
to mitigate specific hazards if the RCBA undertaken in Step F demonstrates that the risk reduction is warranted.
earth fault occurrences. Each point is characterised by contact location, contact voltage (%EPR), contact
configuration (e.g. hand to feet), series impedance (e.g. footwear), contact frequency, and duration (refer to
Section 3.2.2).
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• Step E: Sensitivity and criticality analysis
Assess the sensitivity of output (fatality risk) to changes in the input, and uncertainty in defining critical
parameters (See Appendix D3.6). Once this is done, it is good practice to do a contingency analysis and ask
questions such as ‘what could go wrong?’, and ‘what level of redundancy is used to cover reasonable
operational contingencies?’
Appendix D.
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71
6 Standards and Codes of Practice
The following referenced documents are useful and are related to the application of this document. For dated
references, only the edition cited applies. For undated references, the latest edition of the referenced
document (including any amendments) applies.
AS/NZS 3835 (all parts), Earth potential rise – Protection of telecommunication network users, personnel, and
plant
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AS/NZ 3907, Quality Management – Guidelines for Configuration Management. (Also called ISO10007).
AS/NZS 3931, Risk Analysis of Technological System – Application Guide
AS/NZS 60479.1, Effects of current on human beings and livestock, Part 1: General aspects.
HB 101-1997 (CJC 5), Coordination of power and telecommunications - Low Frequency Induction (LFI) - Code of
practice for the mitigation of hazardous voltages induced into telecommunications lines; 1997
72
IEC/TR 61000-5-2, Electromagnetic compatibility (EMC) - Part 5: Installation and mitigation guidelines - Section
2: Earthing and cabling
Power and A.C. Electrified Railway Installations in Fault Conditions - Series K: Protection Against Interference’.
Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
73
7 Definitions
For the purposes of this guide, the following definitions apply:
1. ALARP – ‘as low as reasonably practicable’
The underlying risk management principle whereby risk is reduced to ‘as low as reasonably practicable’ within
a risk cost benefit framework. Sometimes referred to as ALARA (i.e. ‘as low as reasonably achievable’).
2. Asset
A power system asset with an earth. Examples – Timber pole with downlead for earthwire, timber pole with
transformer, steel or concrete pole, transmission tower, major substation.
3. Asset management
Systematic and coordinated activities and practices through which an organization optimally and sustainably
manages its assets and asset systems, their associated performance, risks, and expenditures over their life
cycles for the purpose of achieving its organizational strategic plan
4. Backyard
An area with a contactable metallic structure subject to fault induced voltage gradients. This metallic structure
(e.g. fence) is not a HV asset but becomes live due to earth fault current flow through the soil.
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5. Clearing Time
The time taken for the protective devices to detect and isolate the fault current.
7. Coupling Factor
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Vector that describes the ratio of the current caused to flow in a conductor under the inductive influence of
the current in another conductor. The magnitude of the current returned on a faulted cable's screens and
sheath or on an overhead power line earth wire, expressed as a vector ratio of the fault current. May also be
expressed as '1- shielding factor'.
8. Distribution
HV power system assets such as lines and cables with system voltages of less than 66kV, and distribution
transformers with LV secondaries.
9. Distribution Substation
A small substation from which electricity is supplied via the distribution network to a consumer. The
distribution substation may consist of one or more ring main units (RMUs) or transformers on a pole, on the
ground, underground, or in a building; and includes the enclosure or building surrounding the transformer(s)
and switchgear. Excludes zone substations.
10. Duty holder
The utility that bears responsibility for managing the risk assessments and the safety of both the public and
work personnel.
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11. Earth Electrode
Uninsulated conductor installed vertically in contact with the earth (or an intermediate material) intended for
the conduction and dissipation of current. One part of the Earthing System.
[IEV 195-02-01, modified]
12. Earth Fault
Fault caused by a conductor or conductors being connected to earth or by the insulation resistance to earth
becoming less than a specified value.
[IEV 151-03-40 (1978), modified]
NOTE: Earth faults of two or several phase conductors of the same system at different locations are designated
as double or multiple earth faults.
13. Earth Fault Current
Current that flows from the main circuit to earth or earthed parts at the fault location (earth fault location) For
single phase and double phase earth faults, this is,
• in systems with solid or low impedance neutral earthing, the line-to-earth and two line to earth short-
circuit current.
14. Earth Potential Rise (EPR)
Voltage between an earthing system and Reference Earth.
The portion of total earth fault current which returns to source by flowing through the earth grid and into the
surrounding soil.
NOTE: This current determines the EPR of the earthing system.
16. Earth Grid
Interconnected uninsulated conductors installed in contact with the earth (or an intermediate material)
intended for the conduction and dissipation of current and or for the provision of a uniform voltage reference.
One part of the Earthing System.
17. Earth Rod
Earth electrode consisting of a metal rod driven into the ground.
[IEV 604-04-09]
18. Earthing Conductor
Conductor intended to provide a conductive path for the flow of Earth Fault Current for the control of voltage
rise and reliable operation of protection devices. Where a conductor is intended to also carry neutral return
current (under normal load) it is not usually called an earthing conductor.
75
NOTE: Where the connection between part of the installation and the earthing system is made via a
disconnecting link, disconnecting switch, surge arrester counter, surge arrester control gap, then only that part
of the connection permanently attached to the earthing system is an earthing conductor.
19. Earthing System
Arrangement of Earth Conductors, typically including an Earth Grid, Earth Electrodes and additional Earth
Conductors such as Overhead Earth Wires (OHEWs), Cable Sheaths, Earth Continuity Conductors (ECCs) and
parallel earthing conductors.
[IEV 604-04-02, modified]
reflected in the safety criteria by varying assumptions concerning the human body resistance and foot contact
resistance. The foot contact is simulated either using a driven rod, or 300cm2 copper disc. The former method
provides a conservative estimate for touch voltages as it negates the current limiting effect of a high
impedance surface layer, if present.
Any item used for such purposes as generation, conduction, conversion, transmission, distribution and
utilization of electrical energy, such as machines, transformers, apparatus, measuring instruments, protective
devices, equipment for wiring systems, appliances.
[IEV 826-07-01]
76
26. Event
Occurrence of a particular set of circumstances
best manage risk by limiting the EPR by distributing earth fault current to interconnected systems or dissipating
fault current into a low impedance local earthing system.
NOTE 4: The creation of a ‘quasi equipotential surface’ through gradient control should not be assumed to exist
without validation as testing experience has shown non-compliant exceptions.
28. Hazard
Any substance that causes safety, public health or environmental concerns requiring an elevated level of
management effort, due to its chemical, physical or biological nature.
30. Impedance to Earth, Ze
Impedance at a given frequency between a specified point in a system or in an installation or in equipment and
reference earth.
NOTE: The impedance to earth is determined by the directly connected earth electrodes and also by connected
overhead earth wires and wires buried in earth of overhead lines, by connected cables with earth electrode
effect and by other earthing systems that are conductively connected to the relevant earthing system by
conductive cable sheaths, shields, neutral conductors or in another way.
31. Induced Voltage
The voltage on a metallic structure resulting from the electromagnetic or electrostatic effect of a nearby power
line.
Part of the Earth that is in electric contact with an earth conductor and the electric potential of which is not
necessarily equal to zero.
[IEV 195-01-03, modified]
77
33. MEN
Multiple earth neutral LV power system. (Equivalent to TN-C-S from IEC 60364)
Metallic infrastructure that is nearby Power System Equipment and subject to voltage hazard via some
electrostatic, electromagnetic, or conductive coupling.
Conductor combining the functions of both protective earth conductor and neutral conductor.
[IEV 826-04-06, modified]
NOTE: In a MEN system, this is the conductor connected to the star point of the transformer which combines
the functions of both protective earth conductor and neutral conductor.
39. Potential
78
44. Remote
A location where the contact frequency is sufficiently low that the fault/contact coincidence probability is less
than the target fatality probability. Typically, it is a location with few people around such as a rural area. For
this case there is no touch voltage target required, however, other considerations such as insulation
coordination and protection system operation may still place earthing requirements on the asset.
NOTE 1: A risk is often specified in terms of the expected value of the conditional probability of the event
occurring times the consequences of the event given that it has occurred.
The culture, processes and structures that are directed towards realizing potential opportunities whilst
managing adverse effects.
52. Risk Management Process
The systematic application of management policies, procedures, and practices to the tasks of communicating,
establishing the context, identifying, analysing, evaluating, treating, monitoring and reviewing risk.
A term applied to any condition, event, operation, process, or item whose proper recognition, control,
performance or tolerance is essential to safe system operation and support (e.g. , safety-critical function,
safety-critical path, or safety- critical component).
55. Shielding Factor
Vector quantity that can be expressed as ‘1 – coupling factor’.
79
56. Soil Resistivity
Specific resistivity of a material is used to define the resistance of a material to current flow and is defined as
the electric field strength (V/m) divided by the current density (A/m2). Values tabled are normalised to 1 amp
flowing into a one metre cube of material yielding units of ohmmetre (Ωm).
Part of a power system, concentrated in one place, including mainly the terminations of transmission or
distribution lines, switchgear, and housing and which may also include transformers. It generally includes
facilities necessary for system security and control (e.g. the protective devices). For the purposes of this guide
the term ‘major substation’ may refer to either a transmission substation or a zone substation.
Examples: transmission substation (66kV and above), zone or distribution substation.
[IEV 605-01-01]
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59. Transmission
HV power system assets such as lines and cables and associated infrastructure (e.g. poles, earth pits) with
system voltages of 66kV and above.
Potential rise of an earthing system caused by a current to earth transferred by means of a connected
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conductor (for example a metallic cable sheath, protective earth neutral (PEN) conductor, pipeline, rail) into
areas with low or no potential rise relative to reference earth resulting in a potential difference occurring
between the conductor and its surroundings.
NOTE: The definition also applies where a conductor, which is connected to reference earth, leads into the area
of the potential rise.
80
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[57] Kleijnen, J.P.C., ‘Sensitivity Analysis and Related Analyses: A Review of Some Statistical Techniques’. 1997.
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at 50-60HZ’. IEE Proc. Vol.127, No.2, Part A, March 1980.
[77] Ferris, L.P., King, B.G., Spence, P.W., Williams, H.B., ‘Effect of Electric Shock on the Heart’. Electrical
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[78] Kouwenhoven, W.B., ‘Effects of Electricity on the Human Body’. March 1949 Elec. Eng. Vol.68.
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[83] Dalziel, C.F., ‘Electric Shock Hazard’. IEEE Spectrum, February 1972.
[84] Biegelmeier, Prof. Dr. G., ‘Effects of Current Passing Through the Human Body and the Electrical
Impedance of the Human Body’. Report etz-Report 20e vde-verlag 1987.
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[92] Papoulis, A., ‘Probability, Random Variables, and Stochastic Processes’. McGraw-Hill, 2nd Ed. 1984.
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: 978-2-85873-378-1
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Conference on Lightning Physics and Effects. Porto de Galinhas, Brazil. June, 2016
[100] Carman WD ‘Making risk based earthing design accessible and effective’. CIRED 24th International
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[107] Cigre TB 283, ‘Special bonding of high voltage power cables’, 2005
85
Appendix A Design Improvements (Step 9)
Further to the discussion provided in Section 4-15, this Appendix discusses a range of design improvements
that may be implemented to further mitigate shock risk. When designing earthing systems, the following
primary and secondary risk treatment methods may be considered when assessing how best to manage the
risk associated with step, touch and transferred voltage hazards:
• Isolation
Often a combination of risk treatments will be required to control EPR hazards. Each of these methods is briefly
discussed in the following points.
If the earthing system earth impedance is reduced by enlarging the earthing system, then even though the EPR
on the earthing system will reduce, the resultant EPR contours may cover a larger area. In some circumstances,
the increase in the size of the EPR contours may be significant for a small reduction in the EPR of the system. As
a result, the size of any transferred EPR hazard zones will increase which represents an increase in risk
exposure presented to the surrounding area. Whether or not this will represent a desirable outcome
considering all hazard scenarios will depend on the situation.
Note that if the earthing system impedance is reduced by bonding remotely earthed conductors to the initial
earthing system, the resultant reduced EPR will also spread to the remote earths. This also introduces new
transferred EPRs onto the earthing system when there are earth faults at any of these remote earths. Examples
of this include bonding the earthing system to extensive LV network systems. Nevertheless, this risk treatment
measure can be very effective in significant urban areas where an extensive earthing system can be obtained
by bonding together MEN conductors from adjacent LV networks. The resultant EPRs for earth fault events at
distribution assets as well as the source substation can be dramatically reduced, as a significant percentage of
the earth fault current does not flow through the soil.
86
compounds, chemical treatment of the soil surrounding the electrode and the use of buried metal strips, wires
or cables.
These methods may be considered as a possible solution to the problem of high electrode resistance to earth.
They may also be applied in areas where considerable variation of electrode resistance is experienced due to
seasonal climatic changes.
Chemical treatment of the soil surrounding an electrode should only be considered in exceptional
circumstances where no other practical solution exists, as the treatment requires regular maintenance. Since
there is a tendency for the applied salts to be washed away by rain, it is necessary to reapply the treatment at
regular intervals. The salts can also accelerate corrosion on systems that are subject to the treatment.
be investigated when considering NERs at zone substations, especially where there are long rural feeders. The
earth fault level is very low towards the end of these feeders. In the event of an earth fault the NERs could
further reduce earth fault current preventing the fault from being cleared by the protection device. Care
should also be exercised when retrofitting NERs if equipment is not sufficiently rated to withstand the
additional phase voltage offset on the healthy phases during earth fault conditions. Insulation levels of
transformer neutral end and arresters, if not fully rated, will be stressed during earth fault conditions.
NERs may be an effective way of reducing the EPR at faulted sites and thereby controlling step, touch and
transferred voltages especially in urban areas where distribution system earth electrodes are bonded to a
significant MEN system. However, the reduction in EPR may not always be significant if the impedance of the
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earthing system is relatively high. The use of NERs for the control of EPR hazards should be investigated on a
case-by-case basis. NERs can be very effective in reducing induction into parallel services such as
telecommunication circuits or pipelines.
Resonant earthing (Petersen Coils) are also effective in controlling step, touch and transferred voltages. A
Petersen Coil is an inductance that is connected between the neutral point of the system and earth. The
inductance of the coil is adjusted so that on the occurrence of a single phase to earth fault, the capacitive
current in the unfaulted phases is compensated by the inductive current passed by the Petersen coil. Resonant
earthing can reduce MEN EPR to a safe level even in systems with high MEN resistance.
Studies show that fault restriction may be useful in limiting risk at the point of fault (i.e. pole top substation),
but may not be necessary if the first number of kilometres of feeder are underground cables. When examining
major substation EPR magnitude it has been found that the actual fault levels can be expected to be much less
than the conservative ‘bus fault impedance plus one ohm’, calculated value in common use.
87
While the primary purpose of the shield wires is to provide lightning shielding for the substation or line,
bonding of the shield wires to the substation earth grid can significantly reduce earth fault currents flowing
through the local earth grid into the soil for faults at the station, or at conductive poles, or towers bonded to
the shield wires.
Inductive coupling between the shield wire(s) and the faulted phase conductor can significantly reduce the
earth return current flowing into the ground at conductive poles or towers bonded to the shield wire(s) during
fault conditions. This, in turn, reduces the EPR levels at both the substation and at the conductive pole or
tower. However, the incidence of (transferred) EPR events at the conductive poles or towers will become more
frequent since each station or line fault EPR will be transferred to the nearby towers/poles. For a busbar earth
fault at a substation, the shield wires can divert significant current away from the substation earth grid. The
net effect of the shield wires is to reduce the earth return current, thereby reducing the EPR. Underslung earth
wires installed below the phase conductors may also provide benefit in EPR reduction and shielding of third-
party metalwork against inductive interference (e.g. pipelines, railway lines, telecommunications lines).
Consideration must be given to the shield wire size (fault rating), particularly for the first few spans from the
substation.
calculations need to consider the network surrounding the cable, especially the EPR of each of the terminal
stations.
An earth continuity conductor is usually run as a surrogate cable screen, to provide a direct earth return path
when single core cables are single point bonded. As the earth continuity conductor does not encompass the
phase conductors the magnetic coupling is less efficient than for a concentric cable sheath.
88
layer of surface material helps in limiting the body current by adding resistance to touch and step voltage
circuits (see also Appendix B).
Chip seal or scoria (i.e. light, porous, volcanic rock) should not be used since the resistivity of the chip seal
surface is not typically very high and its breakdown voltage is usually low.
A.4.2 Asphalt
Asphalt may also be used in zone substations and transmission substations but is likely to be more expensive
than crushed rock. Asphalt has the advantage of providing easier vehicle access. Vehicle access over crushed
rock may sometimes be problematic especially if the base course is not prepared correctly.
Asphalt can also be used to control touch and step voltages around towers and poles and is often justifiable in
areas with pedestrian traffic.
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Limited data is available on the flashover withstand of asphalt, which may be as low as 2 kV for a 50 mm thick
sample in relatively poor condition. Therefore, where asphalt is used for mitigation, touch voltage should
typically not exceed 3 kV and step voltage should not exceed 5 kV. For some cold mix asphalt formulations
even these levels may not be met. For applications where these limits are exceeded, the withstand voltage
should be determined based on the type of asphalt that is being considered.
The insulating property of asphalt can be compromised by cracks and excessive water penetration. The
integrity of the asphalt layer used for surface treatment must be maintained.
A.4.3 Concrete
Exposed concrete should not normally be relied upon to provide a series impedance to control body current
flow due to its low resistivity if moist. However, the reinforcing in the concrete can be used to provide an
equipotential zone where it is prepared and bonded appropriately. A layer of asphalt may be used within 1m of
the edge of the slab if a step voltage requires hazard mitigation.
A house slab with PVC underlay will remain reasonably dry and tests have shown an impedance of at least 1500
ohms, between a ‘foot’ electrode on the moistened slab and the MEN conductor [60]. This may be considered
as a part of a design solution for a particular case (if appropriate).
89
Many new installations will have ‘wet area’ reinforcing metalwork bonded to the MEN conductor to provide
equipotential bonding, and thereby reducing the shock risk. The use of non-conductive water pipes within
houses will almost eliminate the shock risk associated with impressed voltages from the MEN network or soil
due to neighbouring earthing installations.
Step voltages can also be controlled with the use of gradient control conductors. One or more gradient control
conductors may be positioned in a concentric configuration at increasing distances from the structure (i.e. 1m,
2m), and the buried depth of each gradient control conductor is increased as the distance increases. However,
this measure will push the EPR contours further out from the structure and the resulting effects on third party
equipment should be considered.
Bonding of reinforcement in slabs/pathways/driveways can also prove useful in reducing step voltages.
combined or separated.
In either case, the risk associated with step, touch, transferred and stress voltages within both the HV and the
LV installation shall be managed.
For distribution substations (e.g. 11kV/400V or 22kV/400V) a combined earthing system is the preferred
configuration. However, a segregated earthing system, as detailed below in Section A.6.2, may be necessary in
certain circumstances where adequate control of the risks associated with step, touch and transferred voltages
cannot be achieved with a combined earthing system.
Adequate control of the risks associated with step, touch and transferred voltage may be achieved where there
is a significant density of HV and LV earth electrodes through the interconnection of local earthing systems.
90
Large earth electrode densities are typically achieved in large urban distribution networks which are
interconnected via cable screens or overhead shield wires and/or via interconnected neutral conductors.
Overhead shield wires and interconnected LV neutral conductors that are part of a common multiple earthed
neutral system and HV cable sheaths may also provide a path back to source substations for HV earth fault
currents. A significant portion of the earth fault currents may return to source via these paths thereby resulting
in low risks from step, touch and transferred voltages.
• Soil resistivity,
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A minimum separation distance of 4 m is suggested between the HV and LV earthing systems. In some
instances, the required separation may be much larger (i.e. low/high soil resistivity layering and a LV network
with limited number of customers).
The integrity of the separated HV and LV earthing systems may be difficult to maintain into the future since
other earthed or conductive structures may be installed at later stages within the area between the earth
Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
• Ensuring the configuration of LV lines at the distribution transformer poles is such that a HV line to LV line
contact is unlikely.
• LV buried cable,
• LV aerial bundled conductor cable that is insulated to withstand the full HV conductor voltage.
The transformer shall be rated to withstand the maximum EPR on the HV earthing system, without breaking
down to the LV side of the transformer (e.g. via HV/LV winding breakdown, or transformer tank to LV winding
breakdown).
When the LV earthing system is segregated from the HV earthing system at a distribution substation, the total
earth impedance of the LV earthing system plus associated MEN earths, must be sufficiently low to ensure the
91
HV feeder protection will operate in the event of a HV winding to LV winding fault. A safety factor should be
considered when calculating this maximum earth impedance value.
Separation is often preferred in rural areas where low values of combined HV and LV resistance are difficult to
achieve as there are few LV customers.
If high voltage and low voltage earthing systems are separated, the method of separating earth electrodes shall
be chosen such that the risk to persons or equipment in the low voltage installation is minimised. This means
that the potential rise of the neutral of the LV installation caused by a HV fault shall transfer a low risk to
interconnected customer facilities.
There is a risk of a sustained voltage on each of the earthing systems in the event of a LV phase contacting the
HV earth (ie tank) and there being insufficient current to cause a fuse to clear the fault. In this case the
240volts are divided between each of the earthing systems and the intervening soil. As the HV earth usually
has far greater resistance than the LV/MEN combined earthing system, the majority of the 240volts appears on
the HV earth. Animals are sensitive to the voltage gradient between the two electrodes, and utility staff must
always test for dead before contacting either earthing system.
A.7 Isolation
Access to structures where hazardous touch voltages may be present can be restricted by the installation of
safety barriers or fences. These barriers or fences would typically be non-conductive such as wood, plastic or
rubber. For example, a tower could be surrounded by a wooden fence to restrict access to the tower base, or a
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sheet of rubber could be wrapped around the base of a steel or concrete pole. The installation of isolation
barriers usually requires ongoing maintenance but can be effective in reducing the risk.
Third party fences should be isolated from the substation security fence using non-conductive section of
fences. Non-conductive sections may also be required at additional locations along third-party fences.
Mitigation of step and touch voltages of metallic pipelines (e.g. water pipes connected to a HV or LV network
earthing system) can be effectively achieved by the installation of non-conductive pipes.
Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
92
Appendix B Fibrillation Risk Analysis
This appendix provides the following background to the fibrillation risk component of the overall risk analysis
process:
B1 – Voltage Limits for Ventricular Fibrillation
B2 - Development Constant Fibrillation characteristics
93
NOTE 1: Body impedance depends on voltage across body.
NOTE 2: If additional resistance between bare hands and/or feet is considered in the formulation, then the
voltage is a prospective touch voltage and tested accordingly (refer to Section 4.20.2.4 regarding measurements)
The following sections detail the calculation of tolerable prospective touch and step voltage limits. These
calculations are based on the procedure from Figure B-1.
Biegelmeier and Lee [76] took the work of Dalziel and Lee [81-83] and set the long-term current (i.e. >3 secs) to
67 mA. Then using the same slope found in Figure B-2 the short-term current level is found to be 1960 mA. The
upper knee of the curve was set to 200 msecs (i.e. 1/3 heart cycle of 100 beat/second man). For ‘safety
94
purposes’ these values were then further reduced by Biegelmeier and Lee to 50 mA and 500 mA. Notice also
that the ‘difference’ between the two ‘stable’ currents has also been reduced from 30 to 10 (see Figure B-3).
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A number of ‘safety factors’ have been introduced at various stages in the development of safety criteria
applicable for the protection of human life. The reduction from 80 mA to 50 mA for the long-term current level
relates to less than 5% of the population, making the criteria quite conservative.
The IEC-TC 64 [84] sub working group based their recommendation to the host committee primarily based on
data from Biegelmeier and Lee’s work. The conservative smoothing of the values seen in Figure B-4 to achieve
the characteristic recommended for inclusion in IEC60479 given in Figure B-5 should be noted.
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It is also of interest to note the introduction of an ‘S’ or safety curve in the IEC60479 [14] document. This curve
is intended to represent a ‘very conservative’ limit below which safety may be always assumed. It is also
understood that this curve was selected based on being that which is easily met using earth leakage circuit
breakers (ELCB’s) (mandatory in most European countries).
95
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Figure B-4: IEC (TC64) threshold of ventricular fibrillation, normal condition of health, longitudinal current flow [84]
The published IEC60479 standard contained three curves of interest regarding body current fibrillation
withstand currents (see Figure B-5). These are curve c1 which corresponds to a negligible probability of
fibrillation, curve c2 which corresponds to a 5% probability of fibrillation and curve c3 which corresponds to a
50% probability of fibrillation.
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Figure B-5 Time/current zones of effects of a.c. currents (15 Hz to 100 Hz) on persons (IEC60479 original curves)
Figure B-6 shows the percentage variation between the TC64 working group 0.5%, 5% and 50% curves (shown
in Figure B-4) [50] and the published IEC60479 curves (shown in Figure B-5). A 95% curve is shown in Figure B-4
[84] and this data has been used as the basis for developing a 95% curve consistent with the published
96
IEC60479 document. As the working group document criteria were reduced by up to nearly 30% for inclusion
in the IEC60479 document, it would be consistent to determine similar reduction factors for the 95% curve.
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Figure B-6: Comparison of TC64 working graph with IEC60479 final form
While the 95% body current curve did not come directly from IEC60479 a sensitivity analysis indicates that the
final fibrillation results for a particular applied voltage and clearing time are not highly sensitive to the 95%
current curve. From this it seems reasonable to use the 95% curve as given. For a voltage and clearing time
which causes higher fibrillation probabilities and then applying a 10% change to the 95% current curve, the
final fibrillation probability varies by as little as 3% (for example the chance of fibrillation may go from 6.8x10-1
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Fitting a probability function across the 5, 50 and 95% curves enables the probabilistic analysis outlined in this
appendix to be undertaken. As the IEC 60479 -1 standard does not define the probability of fibrillation for
curve c1 it is not usually included in the construction of probability density functions.
The body current withstand curves within AS/IEC60479-1 for both ac and dc currents are included in Figures B-
7 and B-8 respectively.
97
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Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
[IEC60479-1]
Figure B-7: Time/current zones of effects of a.c. currents (15Hz to 100Hz) on persons for a current path left hand to feet
98
The short term d.c. body current withstand thresholds shown in Figure B-7 are less stringent than the
equivalent a.c. body current withstand thresholds shown in Figure B-8.
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Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
Figure B-8: Time/current zones of effects of d.c. currents on persons for a longitudinal upward current path [IEC60479-1]
While exposure to a dc related earth fault is usually less hazardous than an equivalent ac contact voltage, dc
earth fault return currents are not constrained by magnetic coupling increasing the possible area of exposure.
ENA EG-1 and Cigre TB675 [93] provide further guidance regarding management of d.c. earthing system
related risk.
99
The curves c1, c2 (5%) and c3 (50%) from Figure B-7 and the additional c4 (95%) curve are shown in Figure B-9.
These curves apply to a current path of left hand to both feet.
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Table B-2 (from IEC60479-1) provides details of heart current factor (HCF) or relative current density for a
range of contact configurations. The HCF may be used to scale allowable body current criteria shown in Figure
B-9 according to the contact configuration. For example, when considering the current path hand to hand the
allowable body current values which are normalised for LH to foot content are divided by 0.4 (i.e. increased by
250%).
Table B-3 Relative Current Densities (or HCF) in the vicinity of the heart for different conditions
100
Back to LH 0.7
Chest to RH 1.3
Chest to LH 1.5
Seat to LH, RH or both hands 0.7
Foot to Foot 0.04
For step and touch voltage shock situations, parameters which are significant for the step and touch voltage
circuits are shown in Figure B-10. The parameters are further detailed in the following sections.
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For step and touch voltages, the relevant circuit parameters are:
101
B-11 from IEC 60479-1) is lower than the hand-to-hand impedance or the foot-to-foot impedance (both
represented by 2 Zip). Where Zip = internal partial impedance of one extremity (arm or leg).
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Figure B-11 – Simplified schematic diagram for the internal impedances of the human body – IEC60479-1
Since body impedances values in IEC 60479-1 are for the hand-to-hand path (or foot to foot), it follows that the
hand to feet impedance (i.e. for touch voltage) is 75% of the quoted values and the foot to foot impedance (for
Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
step voltages) are the same as the quoted values. Table B-4 summarises the resistance path factors (RPF’s) and
Figure B-12 shows the resistance characteristics from IEC60479 for hand to hand or foot to foot contact paths
(for large area dry and water wet contact).
Table B-4: Body Resistance Path Factors (RPF’s) from IEC60479
102
7000
5% Dry skin
6000
50% Dry skin
5% Wet skin
4000
50% Wet skin
2000
1000
0
10 100 1000
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Figure B-12: Body resistance large contact areas dry and water wet conditions
IEC 60479-1:2005 contains body impedance data for dry, water-wet and saltwater-wet conditions and also for
three contact areas. For the purposes of this document, the body impedances for dry and water-wet conditions
and for the large contact surface area are considered appropriate. However, it should be noted that the data
for dry and water-wet conditions are very similar especially for fault durations below 1.5 s and touch voltages
above 125 volts (see Figure B-12).
The calculation of step and touch voltage limits uses body impedances which depend on the voltage across the
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body and considers the current path through the body. The probability distribution of the body impedance is
also considered.
• BS 7354:1990 allows a shoe resistance of 4,000 Ω to be used for substation earthing design. BS 7354
acknowledges that the withstand voltage of worn footwear has not been well researched. This standard
also recommends a limiting value of 5 kV for touch and step voltages.
• BS EN 50341-1 uses a shoe resistance of 2,000 Ω for calculating touch voltage limits for locations where
people are expected to be wearing shoes.
• ITU K.33 standard allows the use of the following shoe resistances (see Table B4) for calculating the voltage
limits.
103
Table B-5: ITU K.33 Footwear Resistance
• Typical Public Footwear – A range of footwear resistances were used in the probabilistic analysis behind the
derivation of EC5 [23] (NSW Electricity Council precursor to ENA(C(b)-1[24]) criteria in the late 1980’s). More
recently published data based upon HV testing of shoes [60] led to the addition of voltage withstand
characteristics to the data shown in Table B-6 following. These values will be referred to as ‘typical public
footwear’ and used throughout this guide when appropriate.
Table B-6: Typical Public Footwear Characteristics
Voltage
Resistance Population
Case Description withstand
(Ω ) percentage
(volts)
1 Bare feet 0 0 10
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In the absence of any new data the typical public footwear distribution cited in Table B-6 has been used in
probabilistic analysis. If additional conservation is required then, a single value of 2,000 Ω can be used.
For specific cases involving electrical workers in and around substation/transmission assets, electrical footwear
as outlined in Table B-7 may be used in the analysis.
104
Table B-7: Electrical Worker Footwear Characteristics
Voltage
Resistance Population
Case Description withstand
(ohms) percentage
(volts)
1 Dry Used Black Rubber 1,000 2,500 35
2 Dry Used Elastomer 6,000,000 15,000 35
3 Wet Used Black Rubber 500 750 15
4 Wet Used Elastomer 50,000 4,000 15
In EHV substation capacitive coupling may lead to staff receiving low level, though uncomfortable, shocks
whilst walking or working at heights near energised outdoor busbars. If conductive footwear is be worn in such
situations a conservative position would be to assess the shock safety for the site without assuming any
footwear impedance.
Additional work has been undertaken regarding the effectiveness of ‘safety gumboots’ in limiting body current
flow, particularly in industrial situations where such footwear is commonly worn [61]. The study investigated
the electrical withstand properties of both new and used gumboots and generated the probability distribution
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shown in Table B-8. The focus of the study was construction workers within live (brownfield) substations.
However, the use of safety gumboots as PPE can be equally applied to other areas within the electrical
industry as well as other industries where personnel are exposed to touch voltage hazards.
Where safety gumboots are being used as a risk mitigation measure for workers subject to touch voltage
hazards it is required that gumboots be cleaned and inspected prior to use and replaced if worn and damaged.
The wearing of anti-static or conductive footwear is not acceptable as PPE for workers exposed to touch
voltage hazards.
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Voltage
Resistance Population
Case withstand
(Mohms) percentage
(volts)
1 0 5 5
2 0.15 3500 2
3 0.803 5000 2
4 1.00 4500 10
5 2.00 5000 34
6 3.00 7500 19
7 4.00 2000 11
8 5.00 14500 5
9 6.00 4700 2
10 7.00 1500 2
11 8.00 13000 6
12 11.0 17500 2
When considering the effect of shoe resistances, the touch voltage circuit will include the resistance of two
shoes in parallel while the step voltage circuit will include the resistance of two shoes in series.
105
B.1.2.3 Contact Resistance of Feet-to-Soil
The contact resistances between the feet and the soil may appreciably increase the resistance of the shock
circuit, especially if a thin layer of high resistivity material is used on the surface.
For soil with a surface resistivity, ρE, the contact resistance maybe calculated as follows from ENA EG(1) and
IEEE80:
For step voltages,
Z cs = 6 ρ E B-1
For touch voltages,
Z ct = 1.5 ρ E B-2
As described in Appendix A, thin layers of high resistivity material can be used to reduce the current flowing
through the human body. For a thin layer of high resistivity material on top of the soil, a de-rating factor, Cs is
required to account for the difference in magnitude between the resistivity of the thin layer (ρl) and the
resistivity of the underlying soil (ρE), and also to account for the thickness of the layer (hs).
ρ
0.091 - E
Cs = 1 - ρl B-3
2 h s + 0.09
The contact resistance is then calculated as follows:
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materials. These materials exhibit a wide range of electrical properties both initially and over time and any
design requiring their use for safety reasons should take care to ensure the installation matches the required
specification. The following points outline some experience to date in the application of these materials:
• Aggregate size: 30 – 50 mm
• Electrical properties: 3000 Ωm
• Aggregate with at least three cracked faces
Prior to accepting delivery of the full consignment of material some utilities carry out a brief testing process
(see IEEE81)[60].
106
B.1.2.4.2 Asphalt
Asphalt may also be used to limit body current flow and allow trafficability of vehicles and people.
Unfortunately, asphalt exhibits highly variable electrical properties as shown in HV testing research [60].
Therefore, care must be taken in the specification of asphalt for body current limiting purposes. Key aspects to
be considered include:
• Preparation: Use of compacted road base (and possibly plastic underlay for weed control).
• Material: Well compacted hot mix at least 50mm thickness compacted (as cold mix electrical properties are
compromised in wet condition).
Electrical properties: As it is difficult to type test a batch of hot asphalt, conservative values of resistance and
voltage withstand are often used. In the attached fibrillation tables (see Section B.3) the following values are
assumed:
• Asphalt Resistivity – 10,000Ωm
• Asphalt Voltage withstand – 3kV
The prospective touch voltage, VTP, for a fault duration, t, may be determined by the acceptable body current,
Ib/HCF multiplied by the sum of the various impedances considered in the shock circuit. The factor, HCF, is the
heart-current factor as detailed in Table B-3 (from Section 5.9 of IEC 60479-1:2005). The heart-current factor
permits the calculation of currents through paths other than left hand to feet which represent the same danger
of ventricular fibrillation as that corresponding to Ib left hand to feet shown in Figure B-10.
Ib
VTP
= ( Zb + Zst + Zct ) B-6
HCF
For touch voltages, a current path of left hand to feet is assumed. According to Table B-3 from IEC 60479-
1:2005, HCF=1 for touch voltages.
Z ct = 1.5 ρ E B-7
107
Z1s
Zst = B-8
2
VTP = Ib (Zb + Zst + Zct ) B-9
Prospective touch voltage limits can be calculated by substituting the relevant body impedance, soil resistivity
and the IEC 60479-1 body current limits. Equation B-9 can be re-written as follows:
VTP = I b Z b + I b (Z st + Z ct ) or
VTP = VTE + I b (Zst + Z ct ) B-10
To calculate the prospective touch voltage limit for particular fault duration, Equation B-10 can be used. The
following Section B2 outlines how probabilistic analysis may be applied to derive fibrillation characteristic
curves.
Ib
VSP
= ( Zb + Zss + Zcs ) B-11
HCF
Z cs = 6 ρ s B-12
Ib
VSP = (Zb + Zss + Zcs ) B-14
HCF
I I
VSP = b Z b + b ( Zss + Zcs ) or
HCF HCF
108
Ib
VSP = VSE + ( Zss + Zcs ) B-15
HCF
For a foot-to-foot path, the heart-current factor of 0.04 is given in Table B-3 (from of IEC 60479-1:2005). This
implies that 25 times more current flowing through the foot-to-foot path is required to create the same risk of
ventricular fibrillation compared to the current flowing in the left hand to feet path. The current is lowered
further still by the added effect of having two sets of footwear and/or foot-to-ground resistances in series.
Figure B-15 shows the first stages of the process being the selection of a single voltage value and a specific
time for which to apply the current. The selection of these parameters then allows the creation of probability
distributions for body impedance and body current.
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Figure B-15: Process for generating body impedance and body current distributions
109
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Figure B-16 – Finding the probability of fibrillation for an applied voltage and time
Figure B-17 demonstrates the process of calculating a probability of fibrillation for a particular applied voltage
and time pair. This process can now be adjusted to find the voltage that corresponds to a particular fibrillation
110
probability for a specific duration that the voltage is applied to a body, this revised process is shown in Figure
B-16.
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Figure B-18 outlines the process of calculating a voltage vs time characteristic for a particular target
probability.
111
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Figure B-18 – Generating a voltage vs time characteristic for a particular fibrillation probability
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The possible current CDFs are calculated based on the body impedance CDFs. The following considerations
besides body impedance must be included in the calculation of possible currents:
112
V Applied
I possible = B-16
Z Path Im pedance
The probability of fibrillation may then be calculated for a given applied voltage and clearing time by
comparing the two CDFs:
n m
n =100 m =100 × ( I possible (Vapp ) > I allowable (tc)
Pfibrillation (Vapp , t c ) = ∑ ∑ 100 100 B-17
n m
n =1 m =1
×
100 100
Equation B17 is the sum of all the possible combinations of probabilities for when Ipossible > Itolerable divided by
the total number of possible combinations of probabilities. This calculation is essentially the same as the
convolution of the Ipossible and Itolerable probability distribution functions (PDF)s.
1.5
929.857 - 87.698t c 0.5 +3.33096t c −0.066177t c +0.00073641t c 2
i 5% = 1.5
1 - 0.13244t c 0.5 +0.012013t c −0.00058515t c +0.0000113595t c 2 B-18
1.5
1399.7 - 116.078t c 0.5 +4.097775t c −0.08132t c +0.0009314t c 2
i 50% = 1.5
1 - 0.1157538t c 0.5 +0.01039125t c −0.00049416t c +0.0000093319t c 2 B-19
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113
The 100 percentile for body impedance was chosen such that the trailing tail is symmetrical with the leading
tail.
114
Appendix C Fault/Contact Coincidence
Probability Calculation
This appendix provides additional detail regarding fault/contact coincidence probability (Pcoinc) in the following
sections:
C1 Coincidence probability equation derivation
C2 Coincidence lookup table
C3 Fault duration and rate data
C4 Calculation of the coincidence probability for variations in fault and exposure rate
C5 Calculation of the coincidence probability for multiple hazard sources
C6 Calculation of the coincidence probability for combined hazards
The coincidence probability Pcoinc is the probability that one or more risk events will occur during time period
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Events A and B have been approximated as Poisson processes. The homogeneous Poisson process describes
the arrival of random, independent events that are equally likely to occur at any time and has been used to
derive Pcoinc.
The Poisson distribution is used to describe Event A as follows:
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(λΤ) x e− λT
P( X A= x=) C-1
x!
Where: λ is the arrival rate of events.
Τ is the time period in which the risk events could occur.
ΧA represents the number of risk events occurring as a result of a person being in contact
with an earthed asset.
x is the number of risk events for which the probability is being calculated.
P ( ΧA =x ) is the probability that a total of x risk events occurred as a result of event A
during time [0, T].
{P( X A1 0 | A1=
= E= ) P( X A2 O | A2 )...=
P( X AM 0 | AM )}
Where: A1, A2, …AM are the exposure events 1, 2, ….., M.
P(XA1= 0|A1) is the probability that no risk event will occur during exposure one.
Note that the probabilities in (C-4) can be multiplied together since we are assuming a Poisson process.
The period of consideration is restricted to times for which an individual is present in the hazard area. In this
case a fault must occur for a risk event to occur. The rate of arrival of risk events (λ) will be equal to the rate at
which faults occur (λF).
λF = λ C-5
If faults are equally likely to occur at any time and the length of each of the exposures is T1, T2,…TM, then the
probability that no fault will occur during any of the exposures is:
P( X A =
= 0) {P( X A1 0 | A=
E= 1 ) P ( X A 2 0 | A2 )...
= P( X AM 0 AM )}
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Where: ΤΕΤot is the cumulative exposure time that occurs during [0, T].
λF has been approximated as being constant (faults are equally likely to occur at any time), but a time varying
fault rate may be applied by using different known values of λF (i.e. λF 1, λF 2,.... ) and calculating directly from
the above expression. Alternatively, T may be divided into periods for which λF is constant.
This approximation is valid as long as λF TETot is small (λF TETot =10−2 gives an error of 5 x 10-3%). The
expression for P(XA = 0) simplifies to:
0) E{1 − λF TETot } =
P( X A =≈ 1 − λF µ E C-8
Where: µ E is the mean cumulative time spent in the hazard area during [0, T].
The period [0, T] can be defined arbitrarily. If fn is expressed as the average number of faults in one year and is
µ E is defined as the average cumulative exposure in one year, then the probability of one or more risk events
for Y years is:
P( X A = 0) ≈1 − f n µ EY C-9
116
Where: P(XA = 0) is the probability that no risk events will occur due to exposure events A.
The same process can be repeated for P(XB = 0) by applying the same process used for P(XA = 0). The
probability that no risk event will occur due to B faults is:
P( X B = 0) ≈1 − pn µ F Y C-10
Where: pn is arrival rate of exposures in 1 year.
µF is the mean cumulative fault time per year.
XB represents the process of a risk event occurring as a result of a person contacting an
earthed asset during a fault.
Y is the number of years in [0, T].
P(XB = 0) is the probability that a total of x risk events occurred as a result or process XB
during time [0, T].
The average cumulative exposure time (µE) and the average cumulative fault duration (µF) can be expanded:
Pcoinc ≈ fnµEY + pnµFY
≈ fn (pntE)Y + pn (fntF)Y
≈ fnpn (tF + te)Y C-12
Where: tE is the average duration of the average exposure (in years).
tF is the average duration of the average fault (in years).
pn is the rate at which exposures occur (exposures or presences/year)
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If the unit of time for tE and tF is converted into seconds (rather than years), and the period of time over which
the calculation is made is in years then:
f n × pn × ( f d + pd ) × T
Pcoinc= x CRF C-13
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
Where: pd is the average duration of the average exposure (in seconds).
fd is the average duration of the average fault (in seconds).
pn is the rate at which exposures occur (exposures or presences/year).
fn is the rate at which faults occur (faults per year).
T is the number of years (exposure duration) = 1 year.
CRF is Coincidence reduction factor (see Section 5.6.9.2) (set to 1 normally).
117
Presence and fault coincidence may initially be viewed as two independent processes. The dependencies and
time and seasonal correlations will be addressed in a later section. Figure C-1 and the following analysis
assumes:
fd = mean fault duration.
pd = mean presence duration.
fd < pd
T = duration under consideration.
At least one each of fault and presence events occurs during the time T. As time T is usually set to one year, this
assumption is usually valid for most substations. The value of T may be increased to allow for those
locations/installations whose fault frequency is less than 1 per year (e.g. transmission and distribution assets).
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Case (c) covers direct coincidence probability (i.e. total overlap) which is only a subset of all five cases. The
range for Case (a) through to Case (e) covers all instances of coincidence (including partial overlap).
f p f ×p
P ( presence ) × P ( fault ) = × =
For Case (c) T T T2
C-14
To determine the total coincidence probability the situation may be represented by a Borel field diagram as
shown in Figure C-2 following (see Papoulis [92], and Ross [91]). The P axis represents Presence occurrence
(units of time), while the F axis represents fault occurrence (units of time).
118
Figure C-2: Borel field representation of coincidence probability of two independent time events
Probability of coincidence =
Total Area
{− pd ≤ F − P ≤ f d }
Pc =
T2
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Area A + Area C
=
PNC T2
(T − f d ) (T − pd )
2 2
= +
2T 2 2T 2
T 2 − 2T f d + f d 2 T 2 − 2Tpd + pd 2
= +
2T 2 2T 2
1 fd f 2 1 p p2
= − + d 2 + − d + d2
2 T 2T 2 T 2T
f d + pd f d 2 + p 2 d
=1− +
T 2T 2 C-15
119
Coincidence probability = Area ' B ' Total Area
This derivation is valid for short duration contacts and fault events. It is not appropriate to be used for
continuous exposure or fault conditions.
This basic form is then taken in the following section and revised to manage a desired failure or arrival rate,
multiple incidents, as the well as non-stationary nature of the fault/presence process (i.e. a non-homogenous
Poisson process).
To extend the derived formulae which are applicable for an individual for one presence and one fault in time T,
Equation C-16 is rewritten using the definitions below.
Where
fd = fault duration (in seconds)
pd = presence duration (in seconds)
T = time period for calculation (years)
Κ = constant to convert seconds into year time base
= 365 × 24 × 60 × 60 C-18
Thus the probability that an individual will not be in contact with an earth fault generated voltage at the same
time as a fault occurs can be written as:
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PNC1= 1 − Pc C-19
When the individual has a pattern of behaviour which equates to multiple contacts with items associated with
a fault in time T, the probability of non-coincidence with a single fault can be written as:
p nT
PNCmulti − presences = PNC
= (1 − Pc ) pnT C-20
Where
pnT = number of contacts over time T
pn = number of contacts/ year
Hence the probability of coincidence for an individual with multiple presences and a single fault in time T can
be written as:
PC multi − presences = 1 − PNC multi − presences C-21
=1 − (1 − Pc ) pnT
For a population of N people, the probability that exactly i will be coincident with a fault occurring in time T is:
𝑁𝑁 𝑁𝑁−𝑖𝑖
𝑃𝑃𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁 = � � 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑖𝑖 × �1 − 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 � C-22
𝑖𝑖
120
Where the number of N distinct outcomes taken i at a time is:
𝑁𝑁 𝑁𝑁!
� � = 𝑖𝑖!(𝑁𝑁−𝑖𝑖)!
𝑖𝑖
For a population of N people, the probability that anything other than i people will be coincident with a fault
occurring in time T is:
𝑃𝑃𝑁𝑁2 = 1 − 𝑃𝑃𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁
𝑁𝑁 𝑁𝑁−𝑖𝑖
= 1 − � � 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑖𝑖 × �1 − 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 � C-23
𝑖𝑖
If there is a known average fault rate, rather than a single fault occurrence in time T, the probability that from
N people, anything other than i people will be coincident during ANY fault is:
𝑁𝑁 𝑁𝑁−𝑖𝑖 𝑓𝑓𝑛𝑛 𝑇𝑇
𝑃𝑃𝑁𝑁2𝑓𝑓 = �1 − � � 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑖𝑖 × �1 − 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 � � C-24
𝑖𝑖
Where
fn T = average number of faults in time T
Taking the complement of this value gives the probability that from a population of size N, exactly i people will
be coincident with ANY fault in time T:
𝑁𝑁 𝑁𝑁−𝑖𝑖 𝑓𝑓𝑛𝑛 𝑇𝑇
𝑃𝑃𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁 = 1 − �1 − � � 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝑢𝑢𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑖𝑖 × �1 − 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 � � C-25
𝑖𝑖
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Finally, in order to present group probabilities in a form consistent with the F-N curves, the expected number
of times that from a population of size N, at least i people are coincident with any fault in time T is:
𝑁𝑁 𝑁𝑁−𝑖𝑖 𝑓𝑓𝑛𝑛 𝑇𝑇
𝑁𝑁
𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = ∑𝑖𝑖=𝑗𝑗 1 − �1 − � � 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑖𝑖 × �1 − 𝑃𝑃𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 � � C-26
𝑖𝑖
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121
C.2 Coincidence Lookup Table
A range of standard exposure scenarios have been incorporated within the following lookup Table C-1. The
table provides a coincidence multiplier for an individual fault duration which may be used to calculate Pcoinc (as
per Equation C-13).
Coincidence
Location Factor = Factor in lookup table (see Table C-1 in Appendix C)
(multiplier)
𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃(𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓+𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝)
=
365×24×60×60
Fault Frequency = Number of fault occurrences expected to yield a hazard event in
the period of 1 year. Table C-2 in Appendix C gives typical fault
rates.
= 1 year
While the access assumptions have been specified to be reasonably conservative, a designer should confirm
that they accept that the values quoted are reasonable. In other cases, the user must state and document
their own access assumptions.
The contact duration estimating process is necessarily quite imprecise, as very little or no actual data is
available. While tables pertaining to ‘what people do’ all day are available they usually relate to general
movement and are insufficiently accurate for the purpose of assessing duration contact. Therefore, it is
important that the sensitivity of the response to contact frequency and duration be understood when making
decisions regarding exposure rates.
122
Table C-1: Coincidence Location Factor (multiplier) Lookup Table
Access Coincidence multiplier (x10-4) for fault duration (sec)
Location
Assumptions 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 2 3 4
Inside backyard
with regular
contact of up
to 8 times/wk
Backyard 0.541 0.554 0567 0.58 0.594 0.620 0.633 0.646 0.660 0.791 0.923 1.06
(contact
duration 4 sec)
416
contacts/year
Within 100m of
houses, where
people visit
Urban occasionally,
0.130 0.133 0.136 0.14 0.143 0.149 0.152 0.155 0.159 0.190 0.222 0.254
Interface up to 100
contacts/year
(contact
duration 4 sec.)
Remote
location where
a person may
Remote contact up to 0.013 0.0133 0.0136 0.014 0.014 0.0149 0.0152 0.0155 0.0159 0.019 0.0222 0.0254
10 times per
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year for up to 4
sec.
Regular contact
of between 5
and 6/day with
items
connected to
MEN 2.60 2.66 2.73 2.79 2.85 2.98 3.04 3.11 3.17 3.81 4.44 5.07
the MEN
(contact
duration 4 sec)
2000
contacts/year
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123
The fault rates for underground cables are much lower than for overhead lines. Typical underground cable
fault rates are 2 to 3 per 100 km for 11 to 33kV and less than 1 for higher voltages. The average fault
duration fd, can be estimated from values given in Table A2. Note that for close in faults, earth fault
current is high and the protection operates quickly. However, for faults further out along the feeder,
additional line impedance limits the fault current which takes longer to be cleared by the protection
system. Consequently, different fault locations need to be considered to determine the worst case EPR
and clearing time combination.
Table C-2: Typical overhead line fault rates
330kV <0.5
400kV <0.5
500kV <0.5
NOTE 1: The higher outage rates occur in northern Australia where there is more frequent high wind and
lightning storm activity.
NOTE 2: The lower outage rates occur in southern Australia and New Zealand where there is less frequent
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NOTE 3: Consider the effect of earth fault events on interconnected assets (eg structures and cables) when
setting EPR frequency and fault clearing time for a given asset.
124
Table C-3: Typical primary protection clearing times
NOTE: The primary protection clearing times for >100kV are based on National Electricity Rules fault
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100kV-<250kV 430msec
250kV-275kV 250msec
330kV 250msec
400kV 175msec
500kV 175msec
NOTE: The backup protection fault clearing times for >100kV are based on National Electricity Rules CB Fail
clearing time requirements.
125
The resultant fault frequency is based upon:
Seasonal effects: Summer and winter fault statistics often exhibit seasonal effects of weather. The periods
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with high weather dependency display skewing of the fault occurrences. Similarly contact exposure rates
vary dramatically between seasons in some locations. Examination of Australian and international fault
statistics [96-99] reveals that most permanent faults are caused by lightning, tree contact or equipment
failure. Such weather-related storms typically account for at least 30 percent of all faults.
Time of Day Effects: Fault statistics also indicate a skewing of the probability density function, probably
due to the influence of several of the significant failure mechanisms, such as weather and vehicle accidents,
which often exhibit non-random properties. In one case the average hourly fault frequency during the daily
peak period for 2pm to 10pm was 34% higher than for any hour during the remainder of the day.
Combining Time of Day and Seasonal Effects: In one case the time of day and seasonal effects yielded an
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average hourly fault rate during the summer peak period of between 80% and 300% higher than the quieter
winter fault period. Thus, combined analysis of the operational fault statistics and climate characteristics
of the region (particularly wind and lightning storm activity) may reveal significant non-linearities in average
hourly fault frequency. High seasonal fault frequency may align with high exposure rates (e.g. beachside
holiday locations in summer when storms and lightning occur regularly with little forward notice)). When
the impact of high seasonal correlation is compared to the use of the same values averaged over the whole
year the fault/exposure coincidence probability the latter result can be non-conservative. The year may be
broken down into seasonal classes (not necessarily of equal length) with each week broken down into
categories (e.g. weekday and weekend) and then as many fault/presence classifications used as is justified
on an hourly basis. Note that the analysis is more robust if confidence limits of 90% or 95% value of the
resultant P(coinc) probability density function (pdf) is used rather than a mean value. QRA analysis tools
(e.g. Argonium [39] provide provision for such modelling. While such a process is necessarily time
consuming, it can be of significant value where required for certain exposure cases. Note that it is still
possible that a design approach using standard voltage/time curves will satisfy the design requirements for
some of the hazard scenarios identified. Section C.4 and Example C2 provide additional discussion.
126
EXAMPLE C1: Jogger
Problem: A jogger goes for a run every day of the week. At the halfway point of each run the jogger
touches a metal gate next to a 275 kV tower for 1 s. Risk events occur at the pole once every 120 years
(i.e. fault rate 0.83/100 km/year, with average tower spacing of 100 m and say 5 towers each side
contribute to ‘significant’ EPR of the structure near the gate), and create a touch voltage hazard on the
gate for 1 s.
Solution: The risk associated with this scenario may be calculated directly using Equation 1 as shown. The
average length of an exposure Pd is approximately 1 s, the average length of a fault fd is 1s, and the
number of exposures per year that occur pn is 365. The rate at which risk events occur is:
1 𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸
𝑓𝑓𝑛𝑛 = = 8.33 × 10−3 𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦
120 𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦
The coincidence probability per year is therefore:
T x CRF
Pcoinc
= fn pn (fd + Pd )
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
1
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-3
(8.33 × 10 )(365)(1 + 1)
=
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-3 -8
= 8.33 × 10 × 365 × 6.34 × 10
−7
= 1.93 × 10
This individual risk level is below the negligible risk level of 10-6 defined in Section 5.4.4. Consequently, no
further risk treatment action is necessary.
The fault rate may vary with the time of day (e.g. during daylight hours) or season (e.g. winter), and the
exposure factor often varies significantly according to the time of day or season. In order to adjust for
such variations, rather than use the conservative highest rate, the probability of coincidence may be
calculated separately for each period of time over which the fault or exposure rate is constant.
The risk calculation may therefore be divided into regions of the lowest common length of time for which
both the fault and exposure rates are approximately constant. The coincidence probability for a single
year is the sum of the coincidence probabilities for each of the individual periods over each year.
127
EXAMPLE C2: Tourist Attraction Near River
Problem: A conductive (or earthed) power pole is located next to a popular tourist attraction near a river.
Tourists visit the attraction most regularly during the warmer holiday months between late spring and
early autumn. Risk events also occur most frequently during this period as a result of insulation failure.
The average length of exposures and faults are 1 s and 0.2 s respectively. The average number of hazards
and exposures per season are shown in Figure C-3.
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Figure C-3: Variations in fault rate and exposure rate over the year
Solution: The coincidence probability may therefore be determined for each season independently and
the final value calculated as the sum of the coincidence probabilities from each of the individual periods. If
the average fault and exposure lengths are 0.2 s and 1 s then the probability of coincidence for each
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season is:
Spring
Exposures occur approximately 12 times per day (Pn = 1,050 per ¼) and last ~1 s on average. Risk events
are estimated to occur in spring once in every 377 years on average (Pn = 2.7 × 10-3 per ¼) and last
approximately 1 s. The coincidence probability occurring in spring is therefore:
4
Pc,Sprg
= fn Pn (f + P )
d d 365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-3 4
(2.7 × 10 )(1,050)(1 + 1)
=
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-3 -7
=2.7 × 10 × 1,050 × 2.53 × 10
−7
= 7.2 × 10
Summer
Exposures occur approximately 18 times per day (Pn = 1,600 per ¼) and last ~1 s on average. Risk events
are estimated to occur in spring once every 364 years and last approximately 1 s. The coincidence
probability occurring in spring is therefore:
128
4
Pc,Sumr
= fnPn fd (fd + Pn )
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-3 4
(2.8 × 10 )(1,600)(1 + 1)
=
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-3 -7
=2.8 × 10 × 1,600 × 2.53 × 10
−6
= 1.1 × 10
Autumn
Exposures occur approximately 15 times per day (Pn = 1,350 per ¼) and last ~1 s on average. Risk events
are estimated to occur in spring once every 364 years on average (fn = 2.8×10-3 per ¼) and last
approximately 1 s. The coincidence probability occurring in autumn is therefore:
4
Pc,Autm
= fnPn (fd + Pd )
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-3 4
(1.3 × 10 )(1,350)(1 + 1)
=
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-3 -7
= 1.3 × 10 × 1,350 × 2.5 × 10
−7
= 4.5 × 10
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Winter
Exposures occur approximately 5 times per day (Pn = 450 per ¼) and last ~1 s on average. Risk events are
estimated to occur in spring once every 1,333 years (fn = 7.5×10-4 per ¼) and last approximately 1 s. The
coincidence probability occurring in winter is therefore:
4
Pc,wntr
= fnPn (fd + Pd )
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-4 4
= (8 × 10 )(450)(1 + 1)
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-4 -7
= 8 × 10 × 450 × 2.53 × 10
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−8
= 9.1 × 10
This does not differ significantly from the probability of coincidence obtained for the average values over
the entire year. Exposures occur (on average over the whole year) 12 times per day (Pn = 4,450 per year)
and last ~1 s on average. Risk events are estimated to occur once every 132 years (Pn = 7.6×10-3 per
year) and last approximately 1 s. The coincidence probability calculated from these average values is
therefore:
1
Pcoinc, avg = (7.6 × 10 -3 )(4,450)(1 + 1)
365 × 24 × 60 × 60
-3 -8
= 7.6 × 10 × 4,450 × 6.34 × 10
−6
= 2.1 × 10
129
Only small variations in fault and exposure rates are apparent in this example. As a result little difference
exists between the seasonally adjusted coincidence probability (Pcoincidence = 2.4×10-6) and the
coincidence probability calculated from average fault and exposure characteristics (Pcoincidence = 2.1×10-6).
This risk level is above the tolerable level of 10-6 and falls in the Intermediate Risk category defined in
Section 5.4.4. Consequently, risk treatment measures must be investigated to reduce the risk to as low as
reasonably practicable.
H1 H2 H3 H4 H5 H6 H7
Figure C-4: Multiple hazard zones resulting from independent substation faults
If hazard zones overlap as shown in (b), the overlapped region (H4) will contain fault rate contributions
from both sources, resulting in a higher coincidence probability in that region. In such cases the
coincidence probability should be calculated separately for each region with a different fault rate. The
occurrence of overlapping hazard zones is restricted to risk events which occur independently.
Overlapping hazard zones are therefore a rare occurrence usually restricted to risk events arising from
step voltage hazards.
The methods presented in the preceding sections illustrate the methods for calculating the coincidence
probability for specific cases. However, hazards are rarely simple and the risk analysis may require a
combination of these approaches to be undertaken. In such cases the coincidence probability must be
calculated separately for each case. For example, two hazards with overlapping hazard regions for which
the exposure and fault rates vary separately should first be separated and then each region should be
analysed separately according to Appendix C-3.
130
Appendix D Worked Examples
To illustrate the principles of quantified risk-based earthing design a number of worked examples are
presented in this section.
voltage inside the fence line (i.e. the voltage between metalwork and the soil in the middle of the largest
earth grid mesh). This exposure could occur if a technician was working from a vehicle parked clear of the
switchgear and a bond was made to the metalwork (e.g. CB timing check). With a maximum EPR of 1500
volts the maximum expected touch voltage is 430 volts. This EPR occurs for earth faults associated with
the primary volage of the substation. For earth faults associated with the secondary system (i.e., network
supplied by the substation) the maximum EPR is only 250 volts yielding a maximum touch voltage of 72
volts. The secondary fault contribution is negligible in this case.
The following analysis uses earthing safety software [39][39] to assess the risk associated with the
foregoing touch scenario. The following assumptions are made:
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• Crushed aggregate layer – not used to limit body current in this instance
Therefore, as the touch voltage alone is non-compliant the coincidence probability will also be assessed
using the following relationship:
To ensure that Pfatality < 10-6 the following maximum value of Pcoincidence value is required:
For the given fault frequency and duration, the number of contacts must be less than:
131
Contact number < 13k/year (approx. 52/day)
This number of contacts is higher than any expected exposure frequency for a worker in a year, the grid
layout is compliant without the need for crushed rock to limit body current. This assumes that the worker
is exposed to a similar touch voltage magnitude or less at each of the sites visited over a year.
The addition of a 100mm layer of crushed aggregate of 3000 Ωm resistivity reduces the Pfibrillation value
from 5.8 x 10-3 to 9.99 x 10-4. Therefore, a value of Pcoincidence < 9.98x10-4 or lower will maintain Pfatality less
than a negligible annual incremental risk increase (e.g. 10-6). For the given fault frequency and duration,
the number of contacts must be less than 75k/year (approx. 300/day).
132
Pfibrillation <= 6.107 × 10−4 ≈ 1 × 10−3
Calculate target coincidence range:
10−6 10−4
𝑃𝑃𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 ≤ < 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 ≤ D-1
𝑃𝑃𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑃𝑃𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓
10−6 10−4
𝑃𝑃𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 ≤ < 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 ≤
1×10−3 1×10−3
For the risk of fatality to be contained within the negligible risk zone for step voltage hazards the number
and duration of contacts may be assessed in a number of ways. If a maximally exposed person could be
expected to visit the bus stop once per working day (conservatively say 52 weeks by 5 days) for say 10
minutes per visit the probability of coincidence is:
Thus, the step voltage is unlikely to be an intolerable safety risk for this situation.
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The expected fibrillation probability for a touch voltage hazard of 3000V (for 0.5 secs) for a person
wearing typical ‘public footwear’ a dry body and surface soil resistivity of 50 Ωm is:
Pfibrillition <= 0.4895
Calculate target coincidence range:
10−6 10−4
𝑃𝑃𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 ≤ < 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 ≤
𝑃𝑃𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑃𝑃𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓
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10−6 10−4
𝑃𝑃𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 ≤ < 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 ≤
0.4895 0.4895
−6
𝑃𝑃𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 ≤ 2.043 × 10 < 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 ≤ 2.043 × 10−4
For the risk of fatality to be contained within the negligible risk zone for touch voltage hazards the
number and duration of contacts may be assessed in a number of ways. Firstly, it is usually the case that
the duration of touch voltage contact is less than step voltage exposure time.
The frequency of earth faults for the line with 200 poles is 5 faults per year. Therefore, the fault frequency
for a single pole (if not interconnected by shieldwire or MEN conductor) is in the order of:
5
𝑓𝑓𝑛𝑛 = = 0.025 faults per year
200
A maximally exposed person could be expected to visit the bus stop once per working day (conservatively
say 52 weeks by 5 days). For the purpose of this case study, it is assumed that the pole is touched for 5
minutes for five days of the week (i.e. for 260 days per year),
𝑝𝑝𝑛𝑛 = 260 days
𝑝𝑝𝑑𝑑 = 5 minutes × 60 seconds = 300 seconds
133
1 (0.025)(260)(0.5 + 300)
Pcoinc = 𝑓𝑓𝑛𝑛 𝑝𝑝𝑛𝑛 (𝑓𝑓𝑑𝑑 + 𝑝𝑝𝑑𝑑 ) = = 6 × 10−5
365 × 24 × 60 × 60 (365 × 24 × 60 × 60)
Thus, the touch voltage hazard scenario may be assessed as being in the ALARP region or Intermediate
Risk and should be minimised unless the risk reduction is impractical, or the costs are grossly
disproportionate to the level of safety gained.
For a contact duration of 9 seconds per visit the Pcoincidence value is calculated to be less than the target
coincidence value and the probability of fatality is less than the negligible risk increment of 10-6.
However, the target contact duration of less than 9 seconds is short if a person is inclined to contact the
pole while waiting for the bus (e.g. leaning and reading or talking with a friend) as total time waiting is
likely to be greater than 5 minutes on average. Therefore, it is considered that the risk is likely to be
within the ALARP region and a RCBA should be undertaken considering a revised contact duration.
A risk cost benefit analysis should be carried out to provide input to the mitigation justification process.
The following values provide an illustration of the net present value (NPV) process (see Section 5.5.3 and
Appendix F) assuming a longer contact duration. The various input parameters should be validated within
the context of the duty holding utility or corporation. The NPV calculation provides one input to the risk
cost benefit analysis process.
Calculate the present value (PV) of the liability:
VoSL = $10,000,000
NPV = $6,230 (if asset life is 50 years and discount rate is 4%)
134
• Moving the bus stop.
A few of the above risk treatment options are discussed below to illustrate the principles. The selection of
one or more risk mitigation measures would be determined following a RCBA of assessment of
implementing both singular and multiple measures.
• Installing a gradient control conductor and an asphalt layer around the pole
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With a gradient control conductor installed at one metre around the pole, the touch voltage still exceeds
the touch voltage limit. Note that the benefit of a gradient control conductor may be limited if the current
dissipated by the conductor is negligible compared to what the conductive structure dissipates. However,
if asphalt is installed around the pole, the touch voltage limit increases to 2,500 V with the result that the
touch voltage is lower than the limit. The cost of this risk treatment option is $10 k and is below the
present value of the liability. There may be some additional ongoing costs associated with maintenance of
the asphalt.
• Installing an insulating barrier around the pole to prevent people from touching the pole
An insulating barrier could be installed around the pole such as a wooden enclosure or a nonconductive
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(e.g. fibreglass) jacket. The cost of this risk treatment option is $5 k and is significantly below the present
value of the liability. There may be some additional ongoing costs associated with maintenance of the
insulating barrier.
Clearly, economically viable risk treatment options exist for this case and one of the options should be
implemented. The cheapest risk treatment option may not be the best option. For example, an
underslung earth wire may be the best option if several other EPR issues exist along the line.
135
D.3 Major substation QRA with secondary fault analysis
This case study illustrates how stepwise refinement of the fault case detail may be undertaken using a
simple rural substation as a case study (refer to Section 5.7).
Incoming lines/cables 3 wire 66kV overhead line (no OPGW or multi grounded neutral)
Fault level (primary) 2000 Amp earth fault level at 66kV bus
Protection clearing time 0.5 secs for 66kV bus fault - primary unit protection
136
Earth fault frequency 1 per 10 years within substation
Buried grid configuration 50m x 50m grid with 10m mesh size
Protection clearing time(s) IDMT relay: 50A pickup, 0.1 time lever, no hi-set
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100 substations located along the 4 by 25km long lines, individually fused
Loads
primary delta windings, 15ohm HV earthing
10 earth fault events per year associated with transformers (assuming line
Earth fault frequency
drop yielding EPR and Vt with negligible risk – i.e. Vt < 50volts)
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• Touch voltages (Vt) and step voltages (Vs) within the substation, as well as in areas surrounding the
substation.
For this case study the risk profile associated with a power utility worker accessing front gate of
substation is examined [50]. The exposure characteristics are assumed to be as shown in the Table D-2
following:
137
Table D-2: Utility worker exposure characteristics
Note: Utility workers operate in many switchyards in a year. It is considered that the responsibility of the
utility is to manage the cumulative risk to which the operator is exposed during a given year.
conductive impedance of the substation earth grid and any directly or indirectly interconnected metallic
systems. This step in the process may be undertaken using a staged approach, with conservative
assumptions being used initially and moving to more detailed analysis if required. It should be noted that:
Directly interconnected metallic systems usually have a large impact upon the final risk profile of an
installation. They are significant in that they are also usually under the direct control of a power utility.
Therefore, they should be more easily managed to ensure that the risk profile does not increase with time
due to deterioration of a circuit element (e.g. cable sheath bond).
Unfortunately, the disaggregation of vertically integrated utilities, and departmentalization can cause
interruptions in management of assets due to the interfaces that are created (e.g. design and operation of
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major substations being separated from the distribution network). This is a risk that must be addressed as
each part of the earthing system is co-dependent upon the upstream and downstream systems.
Directly interconnected metallic systems include:
• overhead shieldwires,
• cable sheaths, or
• bonds to a distribution network with multiple earth points interconnected by a neutral conductor.
Indirectly connected systems are bonded through the soil, and usually have a smaller impact on the
driving voltage (EPR). Nevertheless, they should be considered in the analysis, as they usually have a
significant impact upon the hazard scenario locations and hazard magnitude. For example, a distribution
network adjacent to a major transmission substation or transmission structure is not normally
interconnected to the transmission asset. The shock risk is certainly increased due to the introduction of
people to the situation as well as the effect of the large interconnected multiply earthed neutral network
providing a remote voltage reference.
138
Rural substation case study: For the given grid with no interconnecting paths to remote earth in 100 Ωm
soil the grid resistance is 0.971 Ω. The soil profiles (3D area and a traverse across the middle of the
‘outside’ mesh) are shown in Figures D-2 and D-3 following.
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139
D.3.4 Determine Cumulative Fatality Probability (Step 4)
The touch voltage/duration characteristic associated with a given system and exposure location
developed in the Step 3 is limited in its ability to characterize risk, as it is not able to consider the effect of
different fault/contact coincidence probabilities. The fatality probability calculated as the product of the
fibrillation probability and the fault/contact coincidence probability is a more realistic characterization of
the real risk profile to which a person may be exposed.
The cumulative fatality probability for a person may be calculated in several ways. A straightforward
method is as follows:
1. For each fault instance, determine the associated incremental fatality probability for the
exposure scenario under consideration.
2. Summate each incremental fatality probability to determine the total annual fatality probability
for all expected fault events for the exposure scenario under consideration.
The worker is assumed to be wearing normal work boots, and contacts of extra low voltage (less than 50
volts) may be discounted (i.e. standing on operator mats). A possible process that may be used is as
follows for an electrical worker accessing the front gate of the substation. For this case study it is assumed
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that the operator contacts the main gate 1000 times per year (4 seconds per contact). The coincidence
probability for the primary earth fault case (e.g. one fault per 10 years inside substation, of 0.5 second
duration) is equivalent to 1.43 x 10-5. A similar calculation is undertaken for each secondary earth fault
case identified.
• Third pass: Earth fault levels include line and fault resistance
While this case yields the highest earth fault current for earth fault events within the station, in those
instances the current returns directly to the local star point of the source transformers through the earth
grid conductors without entering the soil. Where there is no resultant leakage of current into the soil
there is no voltage rise created on the earth grid conductor (beyond simple resistive longitudinal current
140
driven voltage drop). This case also assumes that all earth fault events associated with the secondary
system (e.g. rural 11kV lines and plant) have a magnitude equal to the bus earth fault level.
The following Table D-3 summarises the results of each step of the risk quantification process for each
fault location class, with the summated total representing the total annual fibrillation fatality probability
for the substation and power system network.
Primary within
2000 0.5 0.1 1948 390 2.15
station
Primary
N/A - no earth wire N/A N/A N/A N/A 0
upstream
Total annual fibrillation fatality probability for given exposure (x1e-6) 746.2
cases is unrealistic in that any line impedance to the point of fault and fault resistance will reduce the
prospective earth fault level significantly.
D.3.5.2 Second pass: Bus plus 1Ω secondary system earth fault levels
Assume all secondary earth fault currents are equal to the bus fault level plus one ohm fault resistance (to
represent either line impedance and/or fault resistance). The prospective earth fault current is calculated
assuming a source transformer impedance required to give a bolted fault level of 6kA. By including the
impact of the 0.974 ohms source substation grid resistance and 1Ω fault resistance the resultant earth
fault level is calculated to be 2.094 kA.
141
Table D-4: Quantified risk analysis results- Pass II
Primary within
2000 0.5 0.1 1948 390 2.15
station
Again, the resultant fatality probability is unacceptably high (see Table D-4). This result is of interest as
the ‘bus plus 1Ω’ fault current assumption has been used for many years in several countries in
conjunction with traditional site independent safety criteria. This calculation gives rise to an interesting
discussion regarding actual risk versus safety criteria:
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• Suffice to say at this point that the actual earth fault level is rarely this high, and therefore the EPR
driving the risk is much attenuated.
• The effect of smaller earth fault currents is that many resultant EPR values are sufficiently low that
the touch voltages create a negligible fibrillation risk, independent of coincidence probability.
• Therefore, both the hazard magnitude and frequency characteristics are overstated by this
assumption.
D.3.5.3 Third pass: Earth fault levels include line and fault impedance
As the risk contribution from the primary side earth fault condition looks to be minimal in comparison to
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that from the secondary side, it is reasonable to spend time undertaking more detailed analysis of the
secondary side risk drivers.
A reasonable next step would be to calculate earth fault currents using actual line and fault impedances at
locations where faults are expected to occur. Actual earth fault conditions vary from substation to
substation (i.e. line structure types, rural tree contacts, lightning prone areas) and some examination and
quantification work has been undertaken in this area for transmission lines as well as 11kV systems [94-
98]. It has been seen that when distribution lines fall to the ground, the current that flows is sufficient to
be cleared by the protection system but does not usually contribute to significant EPR. The majority of
earth fault events are associated with HV assets such as overhead to underground cable transitions, pole
mounted transformers or kiosk transformers, or cable faults. It is possible to calculate the prospective
earth fault level at these discrete locations.
To undertake this analysis adequately, a model of the network is usually used, and faults simulated at
locations such as substations (pole top and ground mounted), arrestor locations (i.e. overhead to
underground cable transition points). Alternatively, a ‘typical’ feeder for the source substation type (i.e
cable type and length, and fault contributing plant density) could be used.
The fault frequency may be determined using actual fault statistics (taken over many years), or using
typical values used upon line types (e.g. underground cable fed system fault rates are much lower than
142
overhead fed systems, typically 5 times lower). A distribution may be generated or assumed, and a Monte
Carlo sampling analysis undertaken, or as shown in this example cumulative risk determined directly
based upon a summation of the risk calculated for individual fault locations. The direct method has the
additional benefit of highlighting those assets that contribute the greatest risk, thereby facilitating
targeted mitigation strategies.
When determining the fault frequency to apportion across the asset population it should be noted that
several fault events that are included in outage statistics do not yield significant EPR events. These
include:
• Phase to phase faults (e.g. line clashes due to birds or car impact), and
• Some earth fault cases such as ‘line drop’ conditions that result in very low earth fault currents and
may be discounted in the frequency analysis.
For this case study option, the 100 substations are located along the four 25km long overhead rural lines,
each with 15Ω HV earthing systems installed. The range of EPR and touch voltages are shown in the
following chart. It can be seen in Figure D-4 following that out of the 100 assets, earth faults at only 62
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percent of locations yield touch voltages in excess of 50 volts. Therefore, of the 10 faults per year only 62
percent should be counted towards the fault frequency tally, and used to determine the applicable fault
frequency for each asset item (or row) in the attached table (i.e. if all equipment deemed to have same
earth fault rate). The fault rate per asset item is therefore 0.062 faults per year that is equivalent to an
earth fault every 16 years on assets that create a significant touch voltage (e.g. the pole top substations).
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143
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The incremental fatality probability contributed by an earth fault event at an individual asset (i.e. each of
the 100 pole top transformers) is shown in the following graph (see Figure D-6). This level of granularity in
the analysis may appear to be overly time consuming. However, once processes are set up to undertake
the system studies the EPR resulting from an earth fault anywhere in the network may be determined.
This provides the designer with the ability to identify remedial measures that contribute a higher level of
incremental risk compared to other assets (e.g. segregating common bonded MV/LV earthing systems to
limit earth fault current flow, or bonding LV MEN networks to the source substation to provide a direct
return path for fault current).
144
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Annual
Current Fault fibrillation
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Primary
within 2000 0.5 0.1 1948 390 2.15
station
Based upon
Calculated at Distribution Distribution
Secondary earth fault 10 spread over
asset or individual or individual 2.23
downstream level & feeder asset base
locations results results
protection
Once the actual fault circuit is modelled, the earth fault current and therefore the EPR driving the risk are
much attenuated. With the current magnitude and frequency reflecting realistic conditions in this case the
calculated fatality risk contribution from the secondary system is much reduced. Note that in this simple
example of a rural substation the lack of interconnected systems means that the modelling of the fault
145
network yields greatly reduced earth fault currents driving directly into the local earth grid at the source
substation.
As this analysis shows that the cumulative risk lies in the ALARP region between 1 in one million and 1 in
ten thousand, it is incumbent upon the asset owner to determine if there are any further cost-effective
means for reducing the risk. If not, the risk may be tolerated and managed into the future.
High earth fault current: For many other systems with directly interconnected metallic earthing systems
the calculated earth fault currents may still be quite high, only attenuated by the line impedance, as the
impedance at the point of fault is very low. This high current distribution may not be reflected in a high
EPR distribution, for example the current returning directly through the cable sheath does not contribute
to the EPR.
One outcome of quantifying the risk associated with individual earth fault events across a network is to
demonstrate that high currents that do not always contribute to high EPRs. In this case high fault currents
are beneficial because they reduce protection system clearing times and hence have the double effect of
reducing coincidence probability as well as fibrillation probability. Fast protection clearing times can often
be shown to be a more effect risk mitigation measure than some of the traditional measures such as
voltage reduction.
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D.3.5.4 Fourth pass: Pole top transformer dropout fuses clear faults
An additional step of refinement of the model would be to recognize that pole top transformers will most
likely trip on the pole mounted dropout fuses rather than the upstream feeder breaker. As this is a
substation supplying rural feeders this is a reasonable assumption (i.e. not overly conservative), and
would be considered prior to authorizing any other expenditure to reduce the risk level from the ALARP
region to the negligible/tolerable. Figure D-7 shows the reduction in incremental probability contributed
by each asset compared to Figure D-6.
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146
Note: Local fuse protection may operate for a padmount or chamber substation before the upstream
protection for a fault within the switchboard or transformer. Low likelihood upstream cable faults are
likely to be cleared by the upstream or feeder protection.
The resultant annual fibrillation fatality risk contributions from primary and secondary earth fault events
are shown in Table D-7 following.
Annual
Current Fault fibrillation
Fault duration EPR Touch voltage fatality
Fault location magnitude frequency
(secs) (volts) (volts) probability
(Amps) (faults/year)
(x10-6)
Primary within
2000 0.5 0.1 1948 390 2.15
station
Based upon
Calculated 10 spread Distribution Distribution
Secondary dropout fuse
at asset over asset or individual or individual 0.247
downstream and earth fault
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Table D-8 following summarises the results of each of the four analysis passes.
147
Some observations that may be made in addition to those previously included are:
Primary side risk contribution: It may be seen that the primary fault contribution of 2.15x10-6 would
appear to be negligible compared to the secondary fault case contributions. However, the real
significance of the primary fault events becomes evident when the more detailed modelling of the
secondary fault contribution is made.
If the primary current increased clearly the contribution from the primary side fault events would
increase. However, the assumption of a single earth fault event every 10 years on the primary of the
substation is still quite conservative.
Secondary side risk contribution: The case studied clearly demonstrates the value in a closer analysis of
earth fault events in order to demonstrate compliance with societally accepted risk profiles, and to relate
analysis to more realistic shock statistics (i.e. earth fault related shocks are rare events).
The following three graphs (Figures D-8 to D-10) examine the changes in fatality probability for a range of
primary earth fault currents. The fixed protection operating time of 0.5s is also compared with an IDMT
relaying characteristic.
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148
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Figure D-8: Sensitivity: Pfatality with respect to primary current magnitude and relay characteristic
The foregoing graph clearly demonstrates how the Pfatality value is strongly dependent upon the earth
fault current as expected. While the touch voltage would be linearly dependent upon the earth fault
current the risk of fatality increases logarithmically with current. The magnitude of the responses shown
in the preceding graph are dependent upon many factors, therefore the absolute values should only be
used in an indicative manner.
The following two graphs examine the relative strength of the dependence of Pfatality on fault current by
firstly looking at the % change from one current value to the next increment (i.e. 1500Amps to
2000Amps).
149
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Figure D-9: Sensitivity: Pfatality percentage change wrt primary current magnitude and relay characteristic
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It may be seen that the greater Pfatality increase is exhibited by the IDMT relay. This is due to the double
value reduction in fault duration provides i.e. Vt vs tc dependence as well as Pcoincidence reduction due to
the heart’s increased ability to withstand current, the shorter the Pfatality values. With touch voltage
withstand inversely dependent upon contact duration, due to the heart’s increased ability to withstand
current for shorter exposure times.
To reduce the effect, the absolute current steps have upon the response, the following graph shows the
Pfatality characteristic normalized to % current step change.
150
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Figure D-10: Sensitivity: Pfatality percentage change wrt primary current magnitude and relay characteristic,
normalized to current increment (not magnitude)
The foregoing analysis enables the effectiveness of a range of risk mitigation measures to be quantified
and relative cost benefit analysis undertaken and illustrates how individual assets can contribute a high
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component of the risk, and how mitigation can be better targeted than previous approaches.
The final step of RCBA and mitigation option determination is not carried through in this example.
151
D.4 New transmission line
A new 132kV transmission line is be installed to provide a radial connection to a new 132kV substation.
Indirect shock risk safety compliance may be demonstrated in two broad ways:
• Predetermined curves: Demonstrating that touch voltages lie beneath one of the predetermined
touch voltage time curves included in ENA EG-0 and AS2067 and AS7000. This requires the designer
to prove that the installation and exposure condition meets the boundary conditions applicable for a
given curve. This approach is very similar to the traditional approach (Refer to Section 5.6 and
Appendix E).
• Calculation of risk exposure: This approach requires the designer to calculate the risk to which a
person is exposed and then demonstrate that the risk is as low as reasonably practicable using the
ALARP principle.
It is this latter approach that is used for this case study following the steps outlined in Section 5.7.
The following data is relevant to the analysis:
• Shieldwire: Single OPGW shieldwire with pole top construction as per drawing supplied.
• Expected pole footing resistance range (ohms): 30-50 ohms due to high soil resistivity
• Earth fault level: 5000 amps at the source substation (including X/R adjustment)
• Protection clearing times – 100 msecs primary with 400 msec secondary/backup expected clearing
time.
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• Earth fault frequency has been calculated to range from 0.5 to 2.5 faults/100km/yr for average pole
footing resistances of between 20 Ω and 50 Ω respectively. Taking the upper end of this range yields 1
fault every 4 years for the line or an outage rate of 0.007 outages/year per structure.
• Most of the line traverses land with no significant human interaction (i.e. remote locations).
152
• The line is to run along a suburban street for some distance, where most poles will only be subject to
irregular contact.
• One pole is planned to be positioned within 5m of a bus stop shelter that is used each school day
morning by school children.
• Railway tracks
• Building
• Swimming pool
• Conveyors
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153
Figure D-11: Maximum EPR per structure and the contribution of each pole EPR to Pole 15.
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154
Table D-9: Transmission Urban Standard Voltage/Time Curve
• Earth fault frequency: Earth fault frequency has been calculated for the proposed line to be up to 1
fault every 4 years for the line or an outage rate of 0.007 outages/year per structure. While the
individual structure fault frequency is much lower than the 0.1/yr listed in Table D-9, the fault
frequency for the rest of the poles interconnected by the overhead shieldwire of 0.25/yr is higher.
The designer must decide how to assess the impact of faults on the neighbouring poles transferring to
the pole of interest via the overhead shieldwire.
Examining Figure D-11 shows that faults associated with structures 8 poles away still yield 50% of the
maximum EPR on Pole 15. The high soil resistivity and high pole footing resistance contribute to this high
level of voltage being transferred between poles. A more conservative lower soil resistivity has been
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• Contact scenario: The Urban Interface contact profile of up to 100 contacts per year could be
considered high for a member of the public (i.e. contact less than twice per week seems reasonable),
unless a gate was connected or closely coupled to the structure. If more frequent exposure is
expected closer consideration as done for the bus stop case in this example may be undertaken.
This result is in the ALARP region. Rather than looking to justify more expenditure by RCBA a less
conservative, more realistic QRA can be undertaken.
155
Second pass: Use actual EPR values transferred to Pole 15 to generate a more realistic risk profile. Figure
D-12 also shows the probability of fatality at Pole 15 for an earth fault at each pole along the line. This
assumes that there is a uniform distribution of earth fault location along the line. Once the individual
values of EPR have been calculated the QRA calculations for each structure may be done using the batch
mode with the QRA calculation tool [38].
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Figure D-12: Quantified risk analysis results – Pole 15 with Vt of 60% EPR results summary
Thus, the additional analysis has shown that a more realistic assessment of the touch voltages likely to be
present yields a total probability of fatality in the negligible risk region (i.e. <10-6). Given that the TU
contact frequency is rather conservative for this site no additional analysis or remedial work is
recommended.
156
The expected touch voltage at the bus stop is calculated to be 20%EPR. The touch voltages appearing at
Pole 15 for an earth fault on any pole (or substation) along the line are shown in Figure D-13, along with
the incremental Pfatality contribution for earth faults at other poles along the line assuming 10-minute
touch contact exposure per day.
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Figure D-13: Maximum touch voltage per structure and the contribution of each pole Vt and Pfat to Pole 15.
The length of contact exposure is a parameter that is difficult to estimate with confidence. However, the
value can be set as an unknown variable and the fatality probability calculated for a range of values. Two
stages of analysis are also illustrated:
• First pass: The EPR seen at a given pole for a fault at any pole is the same as that of the highest MEPR
pole (i.e. Pole 15).
• Second pass: Use actual EPR values transferred to Pole 15 to generate a more realistic risk profile.
Figure D-14 illustrates the range of expected probability of fatality for contact duration varying from 5
minutes to 30 minutes per day for both EPR calculations.
157
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It may be seen that the simple analysis requires a contact duration of 8 minutes or less, while the more
realistic model indicates that a person can have up to 25 minutes per day of exposure and have a
negligible risk increase over the course of a year. Clearly such a length of exposure is unlikely on a regular
basis, while an 8-minute exposure may be possible.
The foregoing studies indicate that no additional earthing is required to manage the exposure of members
of the public moving near the structures located in the suburban street. Provided the protection
operation and reliability targets are met, the 50Ω structure earthing (maximum) has been shown to meet
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158
D.5 Societal Gathering Case Study
The case study involves an existing 132kV steel lattice tower 10m from a metallic fence surrounding a
sporting ground. Events are held at the ground 30 times/year for a duration of three hours. There are
potentially 100 people exposed to fault situations at each event. As there is an increased likelihood of
more than one person being in an exposed position the assessment will not be able to simply match to an
existing standard voltage/time curve.
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Firstly, the location and magnitude of the EPR voltage that drives the touch voltage hazard scenarios will
be assessed. Faults occur at the tower at the rate of 0.045/year with a clearing time of 200msec. The fault
rate includes the effect of neighbouring towers, with the EPR for each fault event assumed to be equal to
that of the tower under investigation being 10kV (i.e. conservative first pass assessment). Appendix D-4
examined in more detail the impact of a closer assessment of faults associated with a transmission line.
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Exposure case 1: Leaning against the fence while watching a football game exposed to a touch voltage. A
touch voltage of 600volts is expected. As a conservative assessment of individual exposure, 90% of the
population may contact the fence adjacent to the tower more than 12 times/ hour while for the societal
exposure the average person will contact 4 times/ hour. The duration of each contact is conservatively
estimated as 30 seconds. Out of a large total number of people who are in the vicinity of the tower, it is
assume that 100 people could be in an exposed position at any one time. This value is governed by how
people are expected to move during the event.
Exposure case 2: Children playing under the legs of the tower exposed to a touch voltage. This latter case
has an increased touch voltage in the range of 40-60% of EPR (say 5kV) but is expected that fewer children
will be exposed at one time (say 4) with an average contact frequency of say 20 contacts per hour
(societal case), and 90% exposure frequency of say 40 contacts per hour (individual contact case), each
with shorter contact periods (say 10 seconds). Note that fibrillation probability is the same for children
and adults in IEC60479.
Exposure case 3: Step voltages: As people sit and stand in the area surrounding the tower many will be
subject to some form of step voltage during a fault event. The hazard voltage will vary in magnitude
widely across the area, therefore a conservative first pass voltage of 2kV is assumed. It is expected that
159
more people will be exposed at one time (say 20) with an average contact frequency of say 20 contacts
per hour (societal case), and 90% exposure frequency of say 40 contacts per hour (individual contact
case), each with longer contact periods (say 10 minutes).
This information can be entered into an analysis tool [38][39], using a ‘Time dependent – gathering’ Time
Base option (selected under the ‘Tool’ menu). Table D-10 following shows the parameter inputs and
results for the societal gathering risk assessment.
Table D-10: Societal Gathering Risk Assessment
Fault assumptions:
0.045
Fault frequency/Year
160
Ave. contacts/hour/person 4 20 20
Societal fatality risk FN curve result Negligible risk region (see figures below)
Case 2: Children playing around tower legs – Multiple fatality likelihood FN curve
161
Case 2: Children playing around tower legs – Negligible risk of fatality touch voltage/time curve
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Case 3: People sitting and standing nearby – Multiple fatality likelihood FN curve
Case 3: People sitting and standing nearby – Negligible risk of fatality step voltage/time curve
162
From the analysis tool output [38] for the touch and step voltage cases illustrated, all points on the F-N
curve sit below the ALARP region in the Negligible risk increase region. The negligible risk of fatality
voltage/time curves are also shown, illustrating the amount of ‘headroom’ available in all three cases.
To ensure that no individual is exposed to a greater risk than that tolerable under the individual risk
exposure targets, it is also necessary to consider the above information for the individual case. See Table
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Ave. contacts/hour/person 12 40 40
Probability of coincidence calculation result 1.55 x 10-5 2.67 x 10-5 3.04 x 10-4
163
8.99 x 10-7 1.539 x 10-5 7.668 x 10-8
Probability of fatality calculation result
<10 x 10-6 >10 x 10-6 <10 x 10-6
Case 2: Children playing around tower legs – 1.539e-5 individual risk of fatality voltage/time curve
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Case 3: People sitting and standing nearby – Negligible risk of fatality voltage/time curve
164
The Probability of Fatality for the individual touch and step voltage cases are not all in the negligible risk
category. The probability of fatality associated with the case of children playing around the legs of the
tower is well within the ALARP region.
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A sensitivity analysis should be undertaken to gain an understanding of the key parameters driving each
of the risk profiles and then an assessment made regarding the ability of a range of mitigation measures
to reduce the probability of fatality. While it is relatively easy to remove the immediate tower touch
voltage risk using secondary measures (e.g. gradient control, series impedance) the additional hazard
exposure cases still remain. The remaining steps in the direct QRA analysis are not included in this case
study.
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165
Appendix E Standard Voltage/Time Curves
A series of standard prospective touch voltage/clearing time curves have been developed. This is aimed at
providing engineers with design curves complete with their boundary conditions well identified. For each
case study the curve details (figure and equation) and assumptions governing the range of applicability
have been included. If the boundary conditions do not meet the case under investigation Argon [38]
software may be used to generate appropriate design curves. The following comments provide
background to the curves:
Conservatism: Wherever possible a conservative approach has been followed to widen the range of
applicable conditions for a given curve type.
Touch duration: Contact duration of four (4) seconds has been taken as a general case, except where
otherwise mentioned.
Surface soil resistivity: A low soil resistivity value of 50 Ωm has been used.
Standard public footwear: A typical distribution of footwear resistance (see Appendix B.1.2.2 Table B5)
has been selected in all cases except that of bare feet at swimming pools, and electrical worker footwear
(see Appendix B.1.2.2 Table B6) inside substations.
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Surface layer materials: Crushed rock with a resistivity of 3000 Ωm and thickness of 100mm has been
used within substations.
Contact Configuration: The curves relate to prospective touch voltages; however, they can be applied
very conservatively to prospective step voltages.
Wet?: Wet body impedance scenario, with no footwear. (5 and 50 Ωm soil cases given).
Risk targets: All curves relate to a ‘negligible risk’ level as defined for individual and societal risk as
appropriate (see Section 4.4.6). An exception is ‘backyard’ and ‘MEN’ access under zone substation
secondary fault conditions, where a curve corresponding to an individual risk limit of 1 in 100,000 has also
been shown.
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166
Power System Asset Categories – The power system assets are divided as follows:
• Transmission Assets – overhead lines and cables and associated infrastructure (e.g. poles, earth pits)
with system voltages of 66kV and above.
• Distribution Assets – Overhead lines and cables with system voltages less than 66kV, and distribution
transformers with LV secondary.
• Transmission Substations – Major substations with secondary voltages of 66kV and above.
• Zone Substations – Major substations with secondary voltages less than 66kV.
Fault frequencies and durations: The fault frequencies and durations used are listed with each curve.
They are conservatively based upon the fault data given in Appendix C-3.
Curve shape selected: A conservative curve match has been selected based upon Argon [38] generated
curves corresponding to the cases under consideration. For clearing time conditions outside those
tabulated (i.e. < 0.1 secs and > 10 secs) the curve match equations are not valid. For times less than 100m
secs use the value tabulated for 100 m secs. For times greater than 10 secs apply a tangent to extrapolate
the curve.
The following table summarises the cases provided. Each case is characterised by a particular
combination of fault rate, contact probability and series resistance. The aquatic cases are for wet body, all
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167
Table E-1: Case Study Descriptions
168
100000
TU
DU
TDB
10000
TDMEN
AQ5
Prospective Touch Voltage (Volts)
AQ12
1000
100
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10
0.1 1 Clearing Time (sec) 10
Figure E-1: Transmission and Distribution Asset Prospective Touch Voltage Criteria
The following two tables describe the basis of the prospective touch voltage curves shown above.
Note that individual risk contact frequency and durations are based upon a ‘typical maximally’ exposed
individual.
The following assumptions are behind the fault rates used in Table E-2.
• Transmission assets: 2 km long transmission section (e.g. asset interconnected by 10 spans each up
to 200m in length with an overhead earthwire) contributing at a fault rate of 5 faults/100km/year
yielding 1 fault per 10 years.
169
• Distribution assets: A fault rate of 1 fault per 10 years relates to a range of distribution assets including
• 1km of isolated underground cable @ 10 faults/100km/yr
• 2 by 500m of underground cable feeding a substation @ 10 faults/100km/yr
• 1 km line section (e.g. 10 by 100m) with an earthwire shielded @ 10 faults/100km/yr
• 2 by 100m spans without an earthwire @ 40 faults/100km/yr
• 2 by 100m spans without an earthwire and pole mounted substation @ 40 faults/100km/yr
• Aquatic centres: A fault rate of 1 fault per 10 years relates to 500m of underground cable and
associated substation.
• Remote assets: Assets may be considered as ‘remote’ if they do not require a certain touch voltage to
comply with the risk targets (i.e. coincidence probability below risk target).
The following table details the voltage/time points used in the generation of the allowable curves.
The following table provides the equations that may be used to generate the curves. For time increments
less than 0.1sec, the curve fitting is not valid (e.g. for a clearing time of 0.15 sec, 0.2 sec should be used in
the equation). Discontinuities in the fitted curves may exist outside the 0.1sec granularity.
TDB (A+B × t0.5+C × t+D × t1.5+E × t2)/(1+F × t0.5+G × t+H × t1.5+I × t2)
TDMEN (A+B × t+C × t2+D × t3+E × t4)/(1+F × t+G × t2+H × t3+I × t4+J × t5)
AQ5 (A+B × t0.5+C × t+D × t1.5+E × t2)/(1+F × t0.5+G × t+H × t1.5+I × t2+J × t2.5)
AQ12 (A+B ×t+C × t2+D × t3+E × t4+F × t5)/(1+G × t-+H × t2+I × t3+J × t4+K × t5)
170
TU DU TDB TDMEN AQ5 AQ12
A 799.42725 8220.3651 97.645156 -649.67186 698.77353 495.31069
B -151.06911 -16049.118 -795.84933 16189.957 -2119.495 -924.04026
C 2134.7725 -3233.5941 2480.8153 -20833.832 2500.9396 799.79951
D -2465.5817 22189.669 -3353.6563 -7164.2576 -1252.7575 1923.7987
E 957.22069 -17347.089 1882.7004 50476.952 227.96264 -910.51476
0.06771926
F -54.963953 8373.5787 -8.6985271 -16.765657 102.10042
4
G 2.439744 6.8997717 27.772071 255.8065 -7.9995184 5.7831848
H 2.1390046 -48.174695 -38.682025 -743.73193 15.571508 -34.926711
I -0.37795247 109.8737 20.292411 852.87544 -9.7021929 85.548089
J -0.062680222 -118.88136 -12.438076 1.9941212 -32.281391
K 0.072177248 51.807561 3.3629346
The societal risk associated with each of the assets has also to be assessed for each hazard scenario with
the assumptions and conclusions shown in Table E-5. Note that the exposure conditions are based upon
average exposure frequency and duration estimates for the susceptible group of people, and the number
of exposed people is based upon the number who could reasonably be expected to be able to make
simultaneous contact with affected metalwork.
Table E-5 Societal Risk Assessment Assumptions
Av Av Max. no.
Av. no.
Av. contacts/ contacts gathering people for
Curve gatherings/y
person/yr duration duration < 10e-6
r
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Transmission
Urban >1 sec TU 75 Year 4 N/A N/A 41
Distribution
DU 75 Year 4 N/A N/A 43
Urban
Transmission
Distribution TDB 312 Year 4 N/A N/A 42
Backyard
Transmission
Distribution TDMEN 1500 Year 4 N/A N/A 42
MEN
Aquatic
Centre AQ5 7/gathering 4 10 150 43
5 months/yr
Aquatic
Centre AQ12 7/gathering 4 10 365 43
all year
171
Assumptions
• Contacts are based on the expected behaviour of an average person. This has been
approximated as 75% of the number of contacts for a worst-case single individual.
• Aquatic contacts are 7 per person per gathering. This is 7 contacts per person over a 10-hour
gathering duration.
Application notes
• Assets directly connected to major substations need to comply with the criteria listed in the
section for faults associated with the asset, as well as the appropriate major substation criteria
for voltages transferred to the asset under substation EPR conditions.
• The fault rates chosen are above average for higher transmission voltage assets to simplify the
criteria generated. This does not preclude a utility from reassessing its own asset class and
deriving less stringent criteria if necessary.
• Whenever safety criteria are selected (either standard curves or using Argon [38] software) it is
important that appropriate technical review be undertaken (e.g. peer and/or manager review
and signoff). For alternative curves generated within Argon it is also important that adequate
sensitivity analysis be undertaken, and assumptions and decisions documented in a generated
report.
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• A surface soil resistivity of 50 Ωm has been used for all contact cases outside a major substation
fence. This is quite a conservative value as in many instances the higher surface soil resistivity
would add series impedance allowing higher perspective touch voltages. Figure E-2 provides,
and example of the Transmission/Distribution MEN contact criteria for a range of soil
resistivities.
10000
TDMEN - 50 ohmm
100
10
0.1 1 Clearing time (secs) 10
Figure E-2 Surface soil resistivity effect on TDMEN prospective touch voltage contact case
172
E.2 Transmission substations
The following series of curves relate to acceptable prospective touch voltages associated with earth fault
events on transmission substations, and hazard scenarios beyond the fence. The transmission cases relate
to system voltages of 66kV and above, with fault frequency assumptions given in Table E-6. The hazard
scenarios to be managed within the transmission substation perimeter fence are handled separately in
Appendix E-4.
10000
MSPB
TSSB
1000
TSSMEN
Prospective touch voltage (volts)
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100
10
Clearing time (secs)
Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
0.1 1 10
Fault
Curve Contact Scenario Footwear
frequency/yr
Major Substation Primary Backyard-416
MSPB 0.1 Standard
Backyard contacts/yr for 4 sec
Transmission Substation Backyard-416
TSSB 5 Standard
Secondary Backyard contacts/yr for 4 sec
Transmission Substation TSS MEN-2000
5 Standard
Secondary MEN MEN contacts/yr for 4 sec
173
The following points provide the assumptions behind the fault rates listed in Table E-7.
• Major substation primary (transmission or zone substation): 1 fault per 10 years.
• Transmission substation secondary: A fault rate of 5 faults per year conservatively relates to
100km of 66kV (or above) lines allowing for up to 5 faults/100km/yr.
The following table details the voltage/time points used in the generation of the allowable curves.
Clearing
Curve Voltage
Time (sec)
Major Substation Primary Backyard MSPB 817 0.2
The following table provides the equations that may be used to generate the curves.
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MSPB (A+B × t2+C × t4+D × t6+E × t8)/(1+F × t2+G× t4+H × t6+I × t8)
(A+B × Ln(t)+C × Ln(t)2+D × Ln(t)3+E × Ln(t)4+F × Ln(t)5)/(1+G × Ln(t)+H × Ln(t)2+I ×
TSSB
Ln(t)3+J × Ln(t)4+K × Ln(t)5)
TSSMEN (A+B × t+C × t2+D × t3+E × t4)/(1+F × t+G × t2+H× t3+I× t4+J× t5)
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174
people, and the number of exposed people is based upon the number who could reasonably be
expected to be able to make simultaneous contact with affected metalwork.
Assumption
Contacts are based on the expected behaviour of an average person. This has been approximated
as 75% of the number of contacts for a worst-case single individual.
As the number of exposed people is expected to be less than the societal 10-6 criteria (see Table E-
Copyrighted material distributed by SAI Global and licensed to Horizon Power. Accessed on 2022-07-08.
Application notes
Whenever safety criteria are selected (either standard curves or using QRA [38][39] software) it is
important that appropriate technical review be undertaken (e.g. peer and/or manager review and
signoff). For alternative curves generated within Argon it is also important that adequate sensitivity
analysis be undertaken, and assumptions and decisions documented in a generated report.
The following series of curves (see Figure E-4) relate to acceptable prospective touch voltages associated
with earth fault events on zone substations, and hazard scenarios beyond the fence. The primary fault
cases are common with the transmission substations, while the secondary fault cases relate to system
voltages of below 66kV. The hazard scenarios to be managed within the substation perimeter fence are
handled separately in Appendix E-4.
175
10000
MSPB
ZSSB 1e-5
ZSSB 1e-6
Prospective Touch Voltage (Volts)
1000
ZSSMEN 1e-5
ZSSMEN 1e-6
100
10
0.1 1 10
Clearing Time (sec)
The following two tables describe the basis of each prospective touch voltage curve shown above. Note
that individual risk contact frequency and durations are based upon a ‘typical maximally’ exposed
individual (i.e. 90-95% confidence limit).
Fault Contact
Curve Footwear
frequency/yr Scenario
Major Substation Primary Backyard-416
MSPB 0.1 Standard
Backyard contacts/yr for 4 sec
Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
The following points provide the assumptions behind the fault rates listed in Table E-10.
• Major substation primary (transmission or zone substation): 1 fault per 10 years
• Zone substation secondary: A fault rate of 40 faults per year conservatively relates to 100km of <66kV
lines allowing for up to 40 faults/100km/yr. This value is higher than that experienced at many urban
cable networks, but lower than that experienced at some rural substations with long overhead lines.
Refer to Application notes at the end of this section for more discussion.
The following table details the voltage/time points used in the generation of the allowable curves.
176
Table E-11 Data Points used in Generation of Curves
Clearing
Curve Voltage
Time (sec)
Major Substation Primary Backyard MSPB 817 0.2
Zone Substation Secondary Backyard (P fatality = 1e-5) ZSSB 1e-5 162 0.5
Zone Substation Secondary Backyard (P fatality = 1e-6) ZSSB 1e-6 82 0.5
Zone Substation Secondary MEN (P fatality = 1e-5) ZSSMEN 1e-5 105 0.5
Zone Substation Secondary MEN (P fatality = 1e-6) ZSSMEN 1e-6 58 0.5
The following table provides the equations that may be used to generate the curves.
Table E-12: Curve Generation Equations
ZSSB 1e-6
(1+F × Ln(t)+G× Ln(t)2+H × Ln(t)3+I × Ln(t)4+J × Ln(t)5)
ZSSMEN 1e-5 (A+B × t+C× t2+D × t3+E × t4+F × t5)/(1+G × t+H × t2+I × t3+J × t4+K × t5)
ZSSMEN 1e-6 (A+B × t2+C× t4+D × t6+E × t8)/(1+F × t2+G × t4+H × t6+I × t8)
177
Table E-13 Data Points used in Generation of Curves
Av
Av.
contacts Max. no.
Curve contacts/
duration people for risk
person/yr
(secs)
As the number of exposed people is expected to be less than the societal 10-6 criteria (see Table E-13),
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• Some form of risk cost benefit analysis to justify the level of mitigation considered ‘reasonable’ for a
given substation, or
• Deriving their own set of curves based upon a different fault frequency, or
• Evaluate the fault current levels more closely to take into consideration a more ‘reasonable’ expected
EPR value. It would be seen to be reasonable to take the current corresponding to the 90%
confidence limit. Studies have shown that it is not unusual to reduce the ‘bus plus 1Ω’ fault
impedance by 60-70% when more realistic line and fault impedances are incorporated.
It is expected that for some maintenance or construction activities a special assessment of the risk exposure
may be warranted (e.g. replacing fences, extending an operating yard). It may be appropriate that training
and work methods put in place to protect workers in these instances (see Section 4.19.2).
Whenever safety criteria are selected (either standard curves or using safety QRA [38[[39] software) it is
important that appropriate technical review be undertaken (e.g. peer and/or manager review and signoff).
For alternative curves generated within the software it is also important that adequate sensitivity analysis
be undertaken, and assumptions and decisions documented in a generated report.
178
E.4 Inside major substations
The following series of curves (see Figure E-5) relate to acceptable prospective touch voltages associated
with earth fault events on major transmission and zone substations, for hazard scenarios within the
fence. The contact scenarios are associated with utility workers (e.g. operators, technicians) involved in
carrying out their normal duties, and therefore it is considered reasonable that the risk associated with
their aggregated exposure across all substations be kept within acceptable limits. The primary fault cases
have been evaluated and considered to contribute very little to the risk profile, therefore the secondary
fault cases are considered as the defining cases.
10000
TSI 1e-5
TSI 1e-6
ZSI 1e-5
Prospective Touch Voltage (Volts)
1000
ZSI 1e-6
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100
10
0.1 1 Clearing Time (sec) 10
The following two tables describe the basis of each prospective touch voltage curve shown above.
Contact scenarios: 1000 contacts with metalwork per year, with no equipotential earth mat or gloves. This
is only a percentage of the full number of contacts. It is the number of contacts that occur without
mitigation measures such as operator equipotential earthmats. However, it was decided that the risk levels
were such that:
• Equipotential operating mats be installed, and
• Gates have asphalt under foot, and/or open inwards.
Underfoot series impedance: 50Ωm topsoil with 100mm of 3000Ωm crushed rock
Footwear: Electrical footwear (see Appendix B.1.2.2)
Individual risk contact frequency and durations: Based upon a ‘typical maximally’ exposed individual (i.e.
90-95% confidence limit).
179
Table E-14 Curve Generation Data
The following points provide an outline of the assumptions behind the fault rates listed in Table E-14.
• Transmission substation secondary: A fault rate of 5 faults per year conservatively relates to 100km
of 66kV (or above) lines allowing for up to 5 faults/100km/yr.
• Zone substation secondary: A fault rate of 40 faults per year conservatively relates to 100km of
<66kV lines allowing for up to 40 faults/100km/yr. This value is higher than that experienced at many
Copyrighted material distributed by SAI Global and licensed to Horizon Power. Accessed on 2022-07-08.
urban cable networks, but lower than that experienced at some rural substations with long overhead
lines. Refer to Application notes at the end of this section for more discussion.
The following table details the voltage/time points used in the generation of the allowable prospective
touch voltage curves.
Clearing Time
Curve Voltage
(sec)
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180
The following table provides the equations that may be used to generate the curves.
TSI 1e-5 (A+B × t2 + C × t4+D× t6+E × t8+F × t10)/(1+G × t2+H × t4+I × t6+J × t8+K × t10)
TSI 1e-6 (A+B ×t+C× t2+D × t3+E × t4)/(1+F × t+G × t2+H × t3+ I × t4)
ZSI 1e-5 (A+B × t+ C × t2+ D × t3+E × t4+ F × t5)/(1+G × t+H × t2+I × t3+J × t4+ K × t5)
181
Table E-17: Data Points used in Generation of Curves
Av contact
Av. contacts/ Max. no. people
Curve duration
person/year for risk
(secs)
Transmission Substation Inside (P
TSI 1e-5 750 4 5 (<10e-5)
fatality = 1e-5)
Transmission Substation Inside (P
TSI 1e-6 750 4 64 (<10e-6)
fatality = 1e-6)
Zone Substation Inside
ZSI 1e-5 750 4 3 (<10e-5)
(P fatality = 1e-5)
Zone Substation Inside
ZSI 1e-6 750 4 45(<10e-6)
(P fatality = 1e-6)
Assumption
Contacts are based on the expected behaviour of an average person. This has been approximated as 75%
of the number of contacts for a worst-case single individual.
As the number of exposed people is expected to be less than the societal 10-6 criteria (see Table E-9), the
governing case is that of the individual risk criteria.
Copyrighted material distributed by SAI Global and licensed to Horizon Power. Accessed on 2022-07-08.
Application notes
Whenever safety criteria are selected (either standard curves or using safety QRA [38][39] software) it is
important that appropriate technical review be undertaken (e.g. peer and/or manager review and
signoff). For alternative curves generated within QRA software it is also important that adequate
sensitivity analysis be undertaken, and assumptions and decisions documented in a generated report.
Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
182
Appendix F Risk Cost Benefit Analysis
Case Studies
The calculated equivalent probability of 10-5 means that value determined has been deemed equivalent
to one individual fatality per 100,000 years (= Pe-1) and since the VoSL is $10,000,000, over a period of
100,000 years the asset owners liability per year is:
VoSL
L = = VoSL × Pe
Pe−1 F-1
-5
= $10,000,00 0 × 1 × 10 = $100 per year
The present value of risk treatment can be calculated using the remaining lifespan of the asset, the
liability per year and the expected rate of interest on an alternative investment (discount rate). The
present value (PV) figure calculated is considered a positive return as the investment into the elimination
of hazards will result in a reduction of the liability equal to the PV.
Y 1 L(1+D)
1−(1+1D )Y F-2
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L ∑ =
=PV
i=1 i
(1 + D)
D
Where
PV = Present value (dollars),
L = Asset owner’s liability per year (dollars),
D = Discount rate (fractional rate of interest),
Y = Time over which the asset will remain potentially hazardous (years).
If a discount rate of 0.04 (4%) is used, then the present value of the reduction in liability can be calculated
as approximately $2,234 for a remaining asset lifetime of 50 years. A discount rate of 4% is used in this
context as a representation of the interest on the opportunity cost investment. A sensitivity analysis
would examine the impact of a range of possible values of cost of capital.
The PV is used to provide a guide as to the appropriate level of expenditure that should be used when
determining whether risk treatment is a cost-effective option. The PV is compared to risk treatment costs
to ensure that costs are not grossly disproportionate to the reduction in liability.
In this case, comparing this figure to the costs of risk treatment (say $5,000), it appears that the
implementation of treatment is not cost effective. However, as this Pe equates to an ‘intermediate risk’
183
and the cost of mitigation is only 2.3 times the NPV calculation. Therefore, the cost is clearly not ‘grossly
disproportionate’ and so risk treatment should be fitted.
For the Disproportionality Factor of 10 used in the example, the risk mitigation measure only needs to
reduce the risk to a negligible level for 3 or more people for the cost to not be grossly disproportionate.
184
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Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
185
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Reproduction,distribution,storage or use on a network is prohibited.
This has been prepared by Energy Networks Australia for the benefit of its members. A full list of
member businesses is available at www.energynetworks.com.au/ena-members
Energy Networks Association Limited
Trading as Energy Networks Australia
ABN 75 106 735 406
186