FundsIndia Wealth Conversations
FundsIndia Wealth Conversations
1
FundsIndia’s Wealth Conversations is a visual curation of interesting investment
insights.
Here we focus on long-term insights related to Equity, Debt, Gold, Real Estate,
Asset Allocation and Diversification.
This can help you set the right expectations, reduce behavioral blindspots, and
become a better investor.
Happy Investing!
This is published every month on our blog where you can read it along with other interesting
insights.
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Long Term
Asset Class Performance
Indian Equities have outperformed all other asset classes
over the long run
Real Estate 4.7 6.1 5.2 4.6 6.4 8.4 1.0x 1.2x 1.3x 1.6x 2.5x 5.0x
Debt* 7.2 5.7 6.5 7.2 7.4 7.3 1.1x 1.2x 1.4x 2.0x 2.9x 4.1x
Indian Equities have given Indian Equities multiplied
16% returns over 20 years ~21 times in 20 years
Returns as on 30-Jun-2024
Source: MFI, Gold.org, NHB, Investing.com, FundsIndia Research.S&P 500 TR and Gold returns are adjusted for USD-INR Exchange Rate. Debt*: Index calibrated based on the Debt Schemes - Aditya Birla SL Low Duration Fund, HDFC Low
Duration Fund, Aditya Birla SL Corporate Bond Fund. *Real Estate Returns are calculated based on NHB Residex (returns for the period Dec-02 to Dec-08 are considered for 5 cities and for 15 cities post Dec-08 till Mar-2024).
Understanding
Equity Returns & Volatility
0
12,000
15,000
18,000
21,000
24,000
27,000
3,000
9,000
6,000
Jul-90
Jan-91
Jul-91
Jan-92
Jul-92
Jan-93
Jul-93
Jan-94
Jul-94
Jan-95
Jul-95
Jan-96
Jul-96
Jan-97
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Jul-14
14% i.e. 86 times in last 34 years
Jan-15
Jul-15
Indian Equities – The long term story…
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-17
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Jan-22
Jul-22
Jan-23
Jul-23
Jan-24
Mid & Small Caps have delivered 17-19% returns in the
last 15 years…
Compound Annualized Returns (%) No of times your money multiplied
Index
(as on 30-Jun-2024)
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y
Large Cap
S&P BSE Sensex TRI 23.7 16.1 16.4 13.5 13.5 16.7 1.2x 1.6x 2.1x 3.5x 6.7x 21.8x
Nifty 50 TRI 26.7 16.5 16.7 13.6 13.5 16.3 1.3x 1.6x 2.2x 3.6x 6.7x 20.6x
Nifty 100 TRI 32.4 17.5 17.4 14.1 14.1 16.8 1.3x 1.6x 2.2x 3.7x 7.2x 22.2x
Mid Cap
S&P BSE Mid Cap TRI 62.1 28.5 27.0 18.6 17.3 -- 1.6x 2.1x 3.3x 5.5x 11.0x --
Nifty Midcap 150 TRI 56.4 27.9 27.9 20.1 19.4 -- 1.6x 2.1x 3.4x 6.3x 14.3x --
Small Cap
S&P BSE Small Cap TRI 61.1 28.4 30.8 18.8 17.1 -- 1.6x 2.1x 3.8x 5.6x 10.7x --
Nifty Smallcap 250 TRI 63.4 27.6 28.4 17.1 17.1 -- 1.6x 2.1x 3.5x 4.8x 10.7x --
Flexi Cap
Nifty 500 TRI 38.7 20.0 19.8 15.1 14.6 17.0 1.4x 1.7x 2.5x 4.1x 7.7x 23.2x
NASDAQ 100 32.8 15.8 26.5 22.9 24.6 18.2 1.3x 1.6x 3.2x 7.8x 27.1x 28.1x
S&P 500 27.9 14.5 19.6 16.7 19.2 13.6 1.3x 1.5x 2.4x 4.7x 13.9x 12.9x
MSCI World
(represents Developed 20.2 9.3 14.3 10.8 -- -- 1.2x 1.3x 1.9x 2.8x -- --
Markets)
MSCI Emerging
Markets
11.5 -4.0 4.5 3.7 -- -- 1.1x 0.9x 1.2x 1.4x -- --
Rolling Returns (Compound Annualised) for Nifty 50 TRI Since Inception i.e Jun-99
15 Y 12 Y 10 Y 7Y 5Y 3Y 1Y
% No. of Times
Less than 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.1% 7% 24%
Less than 7% 0% 2% 1% 2% 14% 22% 37%
Greater than 7% 100% 98% 99% 98% 86% 78% 63%
Greater than 10% 95% 89% 83% 83% 73% 67% 57%
Greater than 12% 80% 70% 70% 66% 65% 58% 53%
Greater than 15% 34% 32% 41% 37% 37% 43% 45%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. As on 30-Jun-2024. Nifty 50 TRI Inception date: 30-Jun-99.
80% of the times Indian Equities have tripled in 10-11 years
No. of Years
Multiply
5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15 Year
2 times 38% 64% 79% 93% 95% 98% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
3 times 14% 24% 25% 41% 58% 73% 85% 92% 93% 100% 100%
4 times 8% 10% 15% 17% 24% 42% 56% 67% 81% 91% 97%
80% of the times 80% of the times 80% of the times Indian
Indian Equities have Indian Equities have Equities have multiplied
doubled in 6-7 years tripled in 10-11 years 4 times in 12-13 years
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. As on 30-Jun-2024. Nifty 50 TRI Inception date: 30-Jun-99.
Longer the time frame, lower the odds of negative
returns
Nifty 50 TRI - % Instances of Negative Returns since Inception
45%
38%
35%
31%
24%
7%
0.1% 0% 0%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. As on 30-Jun-2024. Nifty 50 TRI Inception date: 30-Jun-99. X-Axis: Investment Time Period. Y-Axis: % Instances of Negative Returns
Longer the time frame, higher the odds of better
returns
Nifty 50 TRI - % Instances of Returns > 7% since Inception
98% 99%
86%
78%
63%
49%
38%
15%
0%
1 Day 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 7 Year 10 Year
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. As on 30-Jun-2024. Nifty 50 TRI Inception date: 30-Jun-99
Equities have beaten Inflation over the long run
Year wise Outperformance of Nifty 50 TRI vs Inflation (2000 to 2023)
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of Lumpsum. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc. CII Data is used for inflation.
Investing in Indian Equities with a time frame of 7+ Years
has led to a good experience
Year wise Lumpsum Returns of Nifty 50 TRI (2000 to 2023)
Average 16% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 14% 13% 13%
Max 97% 59% 60% 48% 47% 37% 30% 28% 26% 22% 21% 22% 20% 20% 19% 19% 18% 18% 18% 18% 17% 17% 15% 14%
Min -53% -19% -13% -6% 0% 2% 6% 4% 4% 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 11% 12% 12% 10% 12% 12% 12% 13%
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Jan-00 -14% -14% -8% 9% 9% 14% 17% 22% 10% 15% 16% 12% 13% 13% 14% 13% 12% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13%
Jan-01 -15% -5% 17% 16% 20% 23% 28% 14% 19% 19% 14% 16% 15% 16% 15% 14% 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 14% 15% NA
Jan-02 6% 38% 28% 31% 33% 37% 18% 24% 24% 18% 19% 18% 19% 17% 16% 17% 16% 16% 16% 17% 16% 16% NA NA
Jan-03 79% 41% 40% 41% 44% 20% 27% 26% 19% 20% 19% 20% 18% 17% 18% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% NA NA NA
Jan-04 11% 24% 30% 36% 11% 20% 20% 13% 15% 14% 16% 14% 13% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 39% 40% 46% 11% 22% 21% 13% 15% 15% 16% 14% 13% 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 14% 15% NA Returns NA >=10%NA
NA NA
Jan-06 42% 49% 4% 18% 18% 10% 13% 12% 14% 12% 11% 13% 12% 12% 13% 13% 13% 13% NA NA 7NA NA
to <10% NA NA
Jan-07 57% -11% 11% 13% 4% 8% 8% 11% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 12% 11% 12% NA NA NA 0NA NA
to <7% NA NA
Jan-08 -50% -7% 1% -6% 0% 2% 6% 4% 4% 7% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% NA NA NA NA Less NA0% NA
NA than NA
Jan-09 73% 44% 16% 20% 17% 20% 16% 15% 16% 15% 15% 15% 16% 15% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 19% -5% 6% 6% 11% 9% 8% 10% 10% 10% 11% 12% 11% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 -24% 0% 2% 9% 7% 6% 9% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 30% 18% 23% 16% 13% 16% 14% 14% 15% 16% 15% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 7% 19% 11% 10% 13% 12% 12% 13% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 33% 14% 10% 15% 13% 13% 13% 15% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 -3% 1% 9% 9% 9% 11% 13% 12% 13% NA NAIn most
NA NAinstances
NA NA a NA
7 year
NA time-frame
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 4% 16% 13% 13% 13% 15% 14% 15% NA NA NAincreases
NA NA the
NA odds
NA ofNA returns
NA NA > 10%.
NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 29% 17% 16% 16% 18% 16% 16% NA NA NA NA
In rare
NA
instances
NA NA NA
where
NA
returns
NA NA
wereNA< 10%
NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-18 6% 10% 12% 15% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-19 13% 15% 18% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NAextending
NA NA the
NA time
NA frame
NA NA by 1-2
NA years
NA NA helps.
NA NA NA NA
Jan-20 16% 21% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-21 25% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 6% 13% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-23 21% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of investment. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc. For eg: If you invested on Jan-03, then your
5 year annualized return is 44%, 6 year annualized return is 20% etc
In rare instances where 7 year returns were < 10% extending the
time frame by few years helped to recover performance
Year wise Lumpsum Returns of Nifty 50 TRI (2000 to 2023)
Average 15% 15% 14% 14% 14% 14%
Max 30% 28% 26% 22% 21% 22%
Min 6% 4% 4% 6% 7% 6%
Period 7 8 9 10 11 12
Apr-06 9% 10% 12% 10% 11% 11%
May-06 9% 10% 11% 10% 10% 11%
Sep-06 8% 13% 11% 11% 12% 12%
Oct-06 8% 12% 11% 10% 11% 11%
Nov-06 9% 12% 10% 10% 11% 10%
Dec-06 8% 11% 9% 9% 10% 10%
Jan-07 8% 11% 9% 9% 10% 10%
Feb-07 7% 11% 8% 9% 11% 10%
Mar-07 9% 12% 9% 10% 11% 10%
May-07 8% 10% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Jun-07 9% 10% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of investment. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Number of Times Money Multiplied - Lumpsum Investment in
HDFC Flexi Cap Fund (1995 to 2023)
Average 1.3x 1.6x 2x 2.4x 3x 3.7x 4.7x 6.1x 7.8x 9.5x 11.3x 13.5x 16.1x 19.3x 22.6x 26.5x 31.9x 38.7x 47.5x 57.2x 66.4x 74.8x 85.5x 105.3x 132.9x 153.9x 159.8x 149.4x 150.6x
Max 2.6x 4.1x 5.6x 7.1x 10.5x 12.3x 12.2x 17.5x 26.6x 33.3x 40.5x 40x 44.9x 54.2x 45.6x 58.8x 75.9x 97.9x 80.7x 101.7x 128.2x 113.6x 126.9x 162.8x 182.3x 223.8x 266.2x 206.6x 150.6x
Min 0.5x 0.6x 0.7x 0.9x 1x 1.3x 1.6x 1.7x 1.6x 1.8x 2.6x 2.8x 2.7x 3.3x 5.5x 6.1x 9.3x 14.5x 19.7x 16.4x 27x 38.1x 40.6x 62.6x 48.6x 72x 97.5x 115.3x 150.6x
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Jan-95 0.7x 0.6x 0.7x 0.9x 2.4x 1.9x 1.8x 2.3x 5.2x 6.7x 10.7x 14.6x 22.4x 11.4x 22.3x 31.2x 22.2x 30.9x 31.9x 45.3x 46x 45.9x 65x 63.4x 67.5x 72x 97.5x 115.3x 150.6x
Jan-96 0.8x 0.9x 1.3x 3.2x 2.6x 2.4x 3.2x 7.2x 9.2x 14.9x 19.5x 30.6x 16.4x 31.7x 40.6x 31.2x 38.7x 41.5x 69.4x 62.8x 65.1x 95x 87x 92.6x 98.8x 133.7x 158.2x 206.6x NA
Jan-97 1.2x 1.6x 4.2x 3.3x 3.2x 4x 9.1x 11.7x 19.4x 25x 40.5x 19.3x 40.7x 54.2x 40.6x 51.9x 50.9x 85.1x 80.7x 86.7x 108.4x 113.6x 119.1x 127x 171.9x 203.4x 265.6x NA NA
Jan-98 1.4x 3.5x 2.7x 2.7x 3.4x 7.9x 9.5x 15.6x 22x 33.3x 16.5x 33.5x 44.9x 31.7x 45.6x 45.8x 66.5x 64.1x 69.4x 101.7x 91.6x 95x 106.1x 143.6x 169.8x 221.8x NA NA NA
Jan-99 2.5x 2x 2x 2.4x 5.6x 7.2x 11.6x 15.6x 23.5x 12.8x 25x 33.5x 24.8x 31.7x 32x 51.9x 50.9x 48x 69.4x 73.9x 77.3x 79.4x 104.9x 124.1x 162.1x NA NA NA NA
Jan-00 0.8x 0.8x 1x 2.2x 2.8x 4.6x 6.3x 9.8x 4.8x 10.1x 12.7x 8.9x 13.3x 12.8x 19.7x 18.5x 19.2x 26.6x 27.3x 27.4x 32.3x 38.1x 48.9x 63.8x NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-01 1x 1.2x 2.8x 3.5x 5.8x 7.9x 12.2x 6x 12.2x 16.1x 11.6x 16x 16.4x 25.4x 25.2x 24.1x 33.8x 35.8x 37.4x 38.3x 54.8x 66.3x 80.1x NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-02 1.3x 2.9x 3.6x 5.9x 8.1x 12.3x 6.3x 12.4x 15.9x 11.8x 16.5x 16x 24.8x 25.4x 25.2x 35.5x 33.8x 35.8x 37.4x 53.4x 65.1x 79.4x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-03 2.3x 2.9x 4.7x 6.4x 9.8x 5.1x 10x 13.2x 9.2x 12.8x 13.9x 21.2x 20.2x 20.3x 28.4x 27.4x 29.4x 30.9x 43.7x 53.4x 65.1x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-04 1.3x 2x 2.8x 4.3x 2.2x 4.4x 5.6x 4.3x 5.6x 5.7x 8.9x 8.9x 9.6x 12.8x 12x 12.3x 14.4x 19.7x 23.2x 27.4x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 1.6x 2.2x 3.4x 1.7x 3.6x 4.6x 3.4x 4.6x 4.8x 7.3x 6.8x 7.3x 9.6x 10.1x 10.5x 10.7x 14.4x 16.9x 23.2x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 1.4x 2.1x 1.1x 2.1x 2.8x 2.1x 2.8x 2.9x 4.4x 4x 4.7x 5.9x 6.2x 6.3x 7.1x 9.4x 10.8x 14.5x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 1.5x 0.8x 1.6x 2.1x 1.5x 2.1x 2.1x 3.3x 3x 3.4x 4.7x 4.3x 4.9x 4.9x 7.1x 8.1x 10.8x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 0.5x 1x 1.3x 1x 1.3x 1.3x 2.1x 2x 2.2x 2.8x 2.9x 3.1x 3.1x 4.3x 5.5x 7.1x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 2x 2.6x 1.9x 2.6x 2.7x 4.2x 4x 4.3x 5.6x 5.7x 6.2x 6.6x 8.6x 10.1x 13.6x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 1.3x 0.9x 1.3x 1.3x 2x 2x 2.1x 2.9x 2.8x 2.8x 3.2x 4.3x 4.9x 6.3x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 0.7x 1x 1x 1.6x 1.5x 1.6x 2.2x 2.1x 2.2x 2.4x 3.2x 3.9x 4.9x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 1.4x 1.4x 2.1x 2.1x 2.2x 3x 2.8x 3.1x 3.3x 4.4x 5.1x 6.6x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 1x 1.6x 1.5x 1.6x 2.2x 2.1x 2.2x 2.5x 3.3x 4x 5.1x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 1.5x 1.5x 1.6x 2.1x 2.1x 2.2x 2.4x 3.3x 3.8x 4.8x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 1x 1x 1.4x 1.4x 1.5x 1.5x 2.1x 2.5x 3.3x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
A lumpsum NA investment in HDFC FlexiNACapNAFundNAon an
NA
Jan-16 1.1x 1.4x 1.4x 1.5x 1.6x 2.2x 2.5x 3.3x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 1.4x 1.3x 1.4x 1.5x 2x 2.4x 3.2x NA NA NA NA NAaverage
NA multiplied
NA NA NAmoreNA than
NA 2 times
NA NAover NA a 7NAyear NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Returns
NA >=10%
timeNAframe
Jan-18 1x 1x 1.1x 1.5x 1.8x 2.3x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-19 1.1x 1.1x 1.5x 1.8x 2.4x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA7 to <10% NA
NA NA NA
Jan-20 1.1x 1.4x 1.7x 2.2x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
0 to <7% NA NA NA
Jan-21 1.4x 1.6x 2.1x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 1.2x 1.5x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NALess than
NA 0%NA NA NA
Jan-23 1.3x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of investment. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc For eg: If you invested on Jan-95, then
over 5 years your money multiplied 2.4 times.
Year wise Lumpsum Returns of Franklin India Flexicap
Fund (1995 to 2023)
Average 23% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 19% 18%
Max 209% 119% 72% 58% 56% 50% 39% 41% 41% 40% 37% 33% 31% 30% 28% 27% 28% 26% 26% 26% 24% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 20% 18%
Min -48% -22% -12% -3% -2% 4% 7% 8% 7% 7% 9% 8% 8% 9% 11% 12% 13% 16% 16% 14% 16% 16% 16% 17% 16% 17% 18% 18% 18%
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Jan-95 -23% -18% -9% 1% 26% 14% 11% 12% 20% 21% 23% 25% 27% 19% 22% 22% 19% 20% 19% 21% 20% 19% 20% 19% 18% 18% 19% 18% 18%
Jan-96 -13% -2% 10% 42% 23% 18% 18% 27% 27% 29% 30% 32% 23% 26% 26% 23% 23% 22% 24% 23% 22% 22% 21% 20% 20% 21% 20% 20% NA
Jan-97 11% 24% 68% 34% 25% 24% 34% 33% 34% 36% 37% 27% 30% 29% 25% 26% 24% 26% 25% 24% 24% 23% 22% 21% 22% 21% 22% NA NA
Jan-98 38% 107% 43% 29% 27% 38% 36% 37% 39% 40% 28% 31% 31% 26% 27% 25% 27% 26% 24% 25% 23% 22% 22% 23% 22% 22% NA NA NA
Jan-99 209% 45% 26% 24% 38% 36% 37% 39% 41% 28% 31% 30% 26% 26% 24% 26% 25% 24% 24% 22% 21% 21% 22% 21% 22% NA NA NA NA
Jan-00 -32% -20% -8% 13% 15% 20% 24% 27% 16% 20% 20% 17% 18% 17% 19% 18% 17% 18% 17% 16% 16% 17% 16% 17% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-01 -5% 7% 33% 31% 34% 37% 39% 24% 28% 27% 22% 23% 22% 24% 22% 21% 22% 20% 19% 19% 20% 19% 20% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-02 20% 58% 47% 47% 47% 49% 28% 33% 31% 26% 26% 24% 26% 25% 23% 24% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-03 108% 62% 57% 55% 55% 30% 35% 33% 26% 27% 25% 27% 25% 23% 24% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-04 25% 36% 40% 44% 18% 25% 24% 18% 20% 18% 21% 20% 19% 19% 18% 17% 17% 18% 17% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 48% 48% 51% 16% 25% 24% 17% 19% 18% 21% 19% 18% 19% 17% 16% 16% 17% 17% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 49% 52% 7% 20% 20% 13% 16% 14% 18% 17% 16% 17% 15% 14% 14% 16% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 55% -9% 12% 14% 7% 11% 10% 15% 14% 13% 14% 13% 12% 12% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 -47% -5% 3% -2% 4% 4% 10% 9% 9% 11% 9% 9% 9% 11% 11% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 69% 42% 19% 22% 19% 24% 21% 19% 20% 18% 16% 16% 18% 17% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 19% 0% 10% 8% 17% 15% 13% 15% 13% 12% 12% 14% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 -16% 5% 5% 16% 14% 12% 14% 12% 11% 12% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 32% 18% 30% 23% 19% 21% 17% 15% 15% 17% 16% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 5% 28% 20% 16% 19% 15% 13% 13% 16% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 57% 28% 20% 22% 17% 14% 15% 17% 16% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 5% 5% 12% 8% 7% 9% 13% 12% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 4% 16% 9% 8% 9% 14% 13% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NAReturns
NA >=10%
NA
Jan-17 30% 12% 9% 11% 16% 14% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA7 toNA
<10%NA
Jan-18 -4% 0% 5% 13% 11% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA0 toNA
<7% NA
Jan-19 3% 10% 19% 15% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NALessNA
than NA
0%
Jan-20 16% 27% 20% 22% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-21 40% 21% 24% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 5% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-23 31% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of investment. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Number of Times Money Multiplied - Lumpsum Investment in
Franklin India Flexicap Fund (1995 to 2023)
Average 1x 1.3x 1.6x 2x 2.4x 2.9x 3.6x 4.4x 5.6x 7.1x 8.5x 10.1x 11.9x 14x 16.5x 19.4x 23.2x 28x 34.6x 42.2x 50.4x 57.1x 63.9x 73.5x 91.6x 110.3x 124.6x 124.1x 119.3x
Max 1.1x 3.8x 4.9x 5.6x 6.8x 10x 13.1x 12.1x 18x 22.5x 27.1x 31.8x 30x 35.8x 33.7x 38.3x 48.6x 70.7x 67.9x 85.5x 91.7x 96.7x 100.1x 117.9x 144.8x 156.3x 173.1x 202.8x 156x
Min 0.9x 0.5x 0.7x 0.6x 0.9x 0.9x 1.3x 1.5x 2x 1.7x 2x 2.9x 1.8x 2.8x 4.4x 4.3x 7.3x 9.6x 15x 17.4x 14.2x 23.4x 27.2x 30.1x 53.5x 41.4x 68.9x 92.2x 97x
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Jan-95 0.8x 0.7x 0.8x 1x 3.2x 2.2x 2.1x 2.5x 5.2x 6.7x 9.7x 14.6x 22.4x 11.4x 19.7x 24.1x 19.2x 26.6x 27.3x 45.3x 46x 45.9x 61.5x 59.3x 61.3x 71.3x 99.5x 104.8x 137.1x
Jan-96 0.9x 1x 1.3x 4.1x 2.8x 2.7x 3.2x 6.8x 8.6x 12.8x 17.9x 28x 14.7x 25.4x 32x 27.4x 33.8x 35.8x 59.6x 62.8x 65.1x 79.4x 76.6x 79.1x 92.1x 128.5x 135.4x 177x NA
Jan-97 1.1x 1.5x 4.7x 3.2x 3.1x 3.6x 7.8x 9.8x 13.9x 21.6x 31.9x 17.6x 30.3x 35.3x 28.4x 40.4x 38.7x 64.1x 69.4x 73.9x 91.6x 95x 90.8x 105.6x 147.4x 155.3x 203.1x NA NA
Jan-98 1.4x 4.3x 2.9x 2.8x 3.3x 6.9x 8.6x 12.4x 19.4x 28.9x 15.1x 25.5x 33.5x 25.4x 36.1x 35.5x 58.2x 64.1x 59.6x 86.7x 77.3x 79.4x 95.4x 133.1x 140.3x 183.4x NA NA NA
Jan-99 3.1x 2.1x 2x 2.4x 5x 6.3x 9.1x 13.9x 22x 11.8x 19.5x 23.3x 20.2x 25.4x 25.2x 40.4x 44.4x 48x 59.6x 53.4x 54.8x 66.3x 96.4x 101.6x 132.8x NA NA NA NA
Jan-00 0.7x 0.6x 0.8x 1.6x 2x 3x 4.5x 6.8x 3.8x 6.2x 7.4x 6.6x 8.6x 9x 13.6x 14.1x 14.4x 19.7x 19.7x 19.5x 22.6x 31.6x 32.9x 43x NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-01 1x 1.1x 2.4x 2.9x 4.3x 6.6x 10x 5.6x 9.2x 10.9x 8.9x 12x 13.3x 20.3x 19.7x 21.1x 29.4x 26.6x 27.3x 32.4x 46x 45.9x 63.1x NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-02 1.2x 2.5x 3.2x 4.7x 6.9x 10.9x 5.6x 9.8x 11.4x 10.1x 12.7x 13.2x 20.2x 22.7x 22.3x 31.2x 29.4x 30.9x 37.4x 45.3x 54.8x 66.3x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-03 2.1x 2.6x 3.9x 5.8x 8.9x 4.8x 8.2x 9.8x 8x 10.9x 11.6x 17.6x 18.2x 18.1x 25.2x 24.1x 25.5x 30.9x 37.4x 45.3x 54.8x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-04 1.3x 1.8x 2.7x 4.3x 2.3x 3.8x 4.5x 3.8x 5.2x 5.2x 8.1x 8.9x 9.6x 11.4x 12x 12.3x 14.4x 19.7x 19.7x 27.4x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 1.5x 2.2x 3.4x 1.8x 3.1x 3.6x 3x 4x 4.4x 6.7x 6.8x 7.3x 9.6x 9x 9.3x 10.7x 14.4x 16.9x 19.7x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 1.5x 2.3x 1.2x 2.1x 2.5x 2.1x 2.8x 2.9x 4.4x 4.8x 5.1x 6.6x 6.2x 6.3x 7.1x 10.7x 10.8x 14.5x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 1.6x 0.8x 1.4x 1.7x 1.4x 1.9x 1.9x 3.1x 3.3x 3.4x 4.2x 4.3x 4.4x 4.9x 7.1x 7.1x 9.3x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 0.5x 0.9x 1.1x 0.9x 1.2x 1.3x 1.9x 2x 2.2x 2.8x 2.6x 2.8x 3.1x 4.3x 4.8x 6.1x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 1.7x 2x 1.7x 2.2x 2.4x 3.6x 3.8x 4x 5.2x 5.2x 5.1x 5.9x 8.6x 9x 12x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 1.2x 1x 1.3x 1.4x 2.2x 2.3x 2.4x 3.1x 3x 3.1x 3.5x 4.8x 5.5x 7.1x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 0.8x 1.1x 1.2x 1.8x 1.9x 2x 2.5x 2.5x 2.6x 3.1x 4.2x 4.3x 5.5x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 1.3x 1.4x 2.2x 2.3x 2.4x 3.1x 3x 3.1x 3.5x 4.8x 5.1x 6.6x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 1.1x 1.6x 1.7x 1.8x 2.4x 2.3x 2.4x 2.7x 3.8x 4x 5.1x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of investment. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc For eg: If you invested on Jan-95, then
over 5 years your money multiplied 3.2 times.
If you are hesitant to invest large lumpsum money in
Equity, stagger entry over 6 months
Year wise 6M STP Returns of Nifty 50 TRI (2000 to 2023)
Average 13% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15% 15% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15% 15% 14% 13% 13%
Max 93% 50% 49% 45% 46% 36% 28% 27% 24% 21% 20% 21% 20% 18% 19% 18% 17% 17% 18% 17% 17% 16% 15% 13%
Min -49% -20% -12% -2% 1% 1% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 12% 13% 13% 13%
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Jan-00 -15% -15% -8% 8% 9% 13% 17% 21% 10% 15% 15% 11% 13% 12% 14% 13% 12% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13%
Jan-01 -13% -4% 18% 16% 21% 24% 28% 14% 19% 19% 15% 16% 15% 16% 15% 14% 15% 15% 14% 15% 15% 15% 15% NA
Jan-02 3% 35% 27% 30% 32% 36% 18% 24% 23% 17% 18% 17% 19% 17% 16% 17% 16% 16% 16% 16% 16% 16% NA NA
Jan-03 93% 46% 44% 43% 46% 22% 28% 27% 20% 21% 20% 21% 19% 18% 18% 18% 17% 17% 18% 17% 17% NA NA NA
Jan-04 20% 29% 33% 39% 13% 21% 21% 14% 16% 15% 17% 15% 14% 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 41% 41% 46% 12% 22% 22% 14% 16% 15% 16% 15% 14% 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 29% 42% 0% 15% 16% 8% 11% 10% 13% 11% 10% 12% 11% 12% 12% 13% 12% 13% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 55% -12% 10% 12% 4% 8% 8% 11% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 12% 11% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 -41% 1% 7% -2% 4% 4% 8% 7% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 11% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 64% 40% 14% 18% 16% 18% 15% 14% 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 22% -4% 7% 7% 12% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 11% 12% 12% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 -18% 3% 5% 11% 8% 7% 10% 10% 10% 11% 12% 11% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 18% 13% 19% 13% 11% 14% 13% 13% 13% 14% 14% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 8% 20% 12% 10% 13% 12% 12% 13% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 28% 12% 9% 14% 12% 12% 13% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 -6% -1% 8% 8% 9% 10% 12% 11% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 7% 18% 14% 13% 14% 16% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 18% 12% 12% 13% 16% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-18 4% 9% 11% 15% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Returns
NA >=10%
NA NA
Jan-19 9% 13% 17% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 7 to
NA<10% NA NA
Jan-20 37% 31% 22% 22% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0 to
NA<7% NA NA
Jan-22 7% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Less
NAthan 0%
NA NA
Jan-23 23% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of investment – from which you deployed the amount via 6 month STP. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on
investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Year wise 6M STP Returns of HDFC Flexicap Fund (1995
to 2023)
Average 19% 20% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 22% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 22% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 19%
Max 123% 91% 67% 60% 57% 49% 43% 42% 41% 41% 39% 34% 34% 33% 29% 28% 28% 28% 26% 25% 25% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23% 21% 19%
Min -48% -22% -11% -1% -1% 2% 8% 7% 5% 6% 9% 9% 8% 10% 12% 13% 14% 15% 17% 16% 17% 18% 18% 18% 17% 18% 19% 19% 19%
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Jan-95 -21% -22% -10% 0% 21% 13% 10% 12% 21% 22% 25% 26% 28% 20% 24% 24% 20% 21% 20% 22% 20% 20% 20% 19% 19% 18% 19% 19% 19%
Jan-96 -20% -2% 9% 35% 21% 17% 18% 28% 28% 31% 32% 33% 24% 28% 28% 24% 25% 23% 25% 23% 22% 23% 22% 21% 20% 21% 21% 21% NA
Jan-97 16% 26% 59% 34% 26% 26% 37% 35% 38% 38% 39% 28% 33% 32% 27% 28% 26% 28% 26% 25% 25% 24% 23% 22% 23% 23% 23% NA NA
Jan-98 27% 80% 37% 26% 26% 39% 37% 40% 39% 41% 28% 33% 33% 27% 28% 26% 28% 26% 25% 25% 24% 23% 22% 23% 22% 23% NA NA NA
Jan-99 112% 30% 18% 20% 36% 34% 38% 38% 40% 26% 32% 32% 26% 26% 25% 26% 24% 23% 24% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 22% NA NA NA NA
Jan-00 -21% -12% -1% 22% 23% 29% 30% 32% 19% 26% 26% 20% 21% 20% 22% 20% 19% 20% 19% 18% 18% 18% 18% 19% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-01 0% 12% 42% 38% 43% 41% 43% 26% 33% 32% 25% 26% 24% 26% 24% 23% 23% 22% 21% 20% 21% 21% 21% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-02 10% 58% 47% 50% 47% 49% 28% 35% 34% 26% 27% 25% 27% 24% 23% 24% 22% 21% 20% 21% 21% 21% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-03 123% 67% 66% 58% 57% 30% 39% 37% 28% 29% 26% 28% 25% 24% 25% 23% 22% 21% 22% 22% 22% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-04 28% 44% 41% 44% 17% 28% 29% 20% 21% 19% 22% 20% 19% 20% 18% 17% 17% 18% 18% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 60% 47% 50% 14% 28% 28% 18% 20% 18% 21% 19% 18% 19% 17% 17% 16% 17% 17% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 24% 38% -1% 18% 20% 11% 14% 13% 17% 14% 14% 15% 14% 13% 13% 14% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 50% -12% 16% 19% 8% 12% 11% 15% 13% 12% 14% 13% 12% 12% 13% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 -38% 12% 17% 4% 10% 9% 14% 12% 11% 13% 12% 11% 11% 13% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 98% 60% 23% 26% 21% 26% 21% 19% 21% 18% 17% 16% 18% 18% 19% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 28% -3% 8% 7% 15% 12% 11% 14% 12% 11% 11% 13% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 -22% 3% 3% 14% 10% 9% 13% 11% 10% 10% 12% 12% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 20% 11% 24% 16% 14% 17% 14% 13% 13% 15% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 7% 29% 16% 14% 18% 14% 13% 12% 15% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 45% 18% 14% 19% 14% 13% 12% 15% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 -5% 0% 11% 8% 7% 7% 11% 12% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 14% 25% 15% 13% 12% 15% 16% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 22% 9% 8% 8% 13% 14% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-18 1% 4% 5% 12% 13% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Returns
NA >=10%NA
NA NA
Jan-19 3% 5% 14% 15% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 7NA NA
to <10% NA NA
Jan-20 29% 32% 28% 28% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
0 to <7%NA NA NA
Jan-21 23% 21% 24% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 15% 23% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Less
NA
than 0%
Jan-23 31% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of investment – from which you deployed the amount via 6 month STP. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on
investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Year wise 6M STP Returns of Franklin India Flexicap
Fund (1995 to 2023)
Average 18% 19% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 21% 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 19% 18%
Max 150% 99% 68% 56% 55% 46% 39% 38% 38% 39% 37% 32% 31% 29% 26% 26% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 23% 22% 23% 22% 22% 22% 20% 19%
Min -44% -21% -11% -3% -2% 3% 7% 8% 7% 7% 10% 8% 8% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 17% 15% 15% 17% 17% 17% 16% 17% 18% 18% 18%
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Jan-95 -19% -16% -8% 2% 27% 15% 11% 13% 21% 21% 23% 25% 27% 20% 22% 22% 20% 20% 19% 21% 20% 19% 20% 19% 18% 18% 19% 18% 19%
Jan-96 -17% -4% 8% 41% 22% 17% 17% 26% 26% 28% 30% 32% 23% 26% 25% 22% 23% 22% 23% 22% 21% 22% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% NA
Jan-97 7% 21% 66% 33% 24% 23% 33% 32% 34% 35% 37% 27% 29% 29% 25% 25% 24% 26% 25% 23% 24% 22% 21% 21% 22% 21% 22% NA NA
Jan-98 26% 98% 38% 26% 25% 36% 34% 36% 37% 39% 27% 31% 30% 26% 26% 25% 26% 25% 24% 24% 23% 22% 21% 22% 21% 22% NA NA NA
Jan-99 150% 30% 17% 18% 32% 31% 33% 35% 37% 25% 28% 28% 24% 24% 23% 25% 23% 22% 23% 21% 20% 20% 21% 20% 21% NA NA NA NA
Jan-00 -26% -16% -6% 15% 17% 22% 25% 29% 17% 21% 21% 17% 18% 17% 20% 19% 18% 18% 17% 16% 16% 17% 17% 17% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-01 -5% 7% 34% 31% 35% 37% 39% 24% 28% 27% 22% 23% 22% 24% 22% 21% 22% 20% 19% 19% 20% 19% 20% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-02 7% 49% 41% 42% 44% 46% 26% 31% 30% 24% 25% 23% 25% 24% 22% 23% 21% 20% 20% 21% 20% 20% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-03 109% 62% 57% 55% 55% 30% 35% 33% 26% 27% 25% 27% 25% 24% 24% 22% 21% 21% 22% 21% 21% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-04 26% 37% 41% 44% 18% 25% 25% 19% 20% 18% 21% 20% 19% 19% 18% 17% 17% 18% 17% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 45% 47% 50% 16% 25% 24% 17% 19% 17% 21% 19% 18% 19% 17% 16% 16% 17% 17% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 33% 43% 3% 17% 17% 11% 14% 13% 17% 15% 14% 16% 14% 13% 13% 15% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 52% -10% 11% 13% 7% 10% 10% 15% 14% 13% 14% 12% 12% 12% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 -36% 4% 9% 2% 7% 7% 13% 12% 11% 13% 11% 11% 11% 13% 12% 13% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 66% 41% 18% 21% 18% 24% 21% 19% 20% 17% 16% 16% 18% 17% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 19% 0% 9% 8% 17% 15% 13% 15% 13% 12% 12% 14% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 -12% 7% 7% 17% 15% 13% 15% 13% 12% 12% 14% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 21% 13% 26% 20% 17% 19% 15% 14% 14% 16% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 8% 30% 21% 17% 19% 15% 13% 14% 16% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 50% 25% 18% 21% 15% 13% 14% 17% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 0% 2% 11% 7% 6% 8% 12% 11% 13% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 6% 18% 10% 8% 10% 14% 13% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 18% 6% 5% 8% 14% 12% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Returns
NA >=10%
NA NA NA
Jan-18 -2% 1% 6% 13% 12% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 7 toNA<10%NA NA NA
Jan-19 1% 9% 18% 15% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0 toNA<7% NA NA NA
Jan-20 36% 38% 26% 27% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA LessNAthan NA
0% NA NA
Jan-21 27% 16% 20% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 7% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-23 33% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of investment – from which you deployed the amount via 6 month STP. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on
investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Equity SIPs over 7+ Years have historically given a
good return experience
Year wise SIP Returns of Nifty 50 TRI (2000 to 2023)
Average 17% 16% 16% 17% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 14% 13% 13% 13% 14% 13% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 14%
Max 141% 67% 54% 49% 48% 44% 40% 35% 25% 24% 22% 18% 18% 18% 18% 16% 16% 16% 15% 16% 16% 15% 15% 15%
Min -65% -40% -22% -8% -4% -2% 0% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13% 14% 14% 14%
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Jan-00 -18% -14% -2% 28% 23% 27% 30% 35% 14% 22% 21% 15% 16% 15% 17% 15% 14% 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15%
Jan-01 -9% 4% 42% 30% 33% 35% 40% 15% 23% 23% 15% 17% 16% 17% 15% 14% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% NA
Jan-02 13% 67% 39% 39% 40% 44% 15% 24% 23% 15% 17% 16% 17% 15% 14% 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% 15% NA NA
Jan-03 141% 47% 44% 43% 47% 12% 23% 23% 13% 15% 14% 17% 14% 13% 14% 14% 14% 14% 15% 14% 14% NA NA NA
Jan-04 41% 43% 42% 48% 5% 21% 20% 10% 13% 12% 15% 13% 11% 13% 13% 13% 13% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 58% 46% 53% -2% 19% 19% 7% 12% 11% 14% 11% 10% 13% 12% 12% 12% 13% 13% 13% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 42% 57% -15% 16% 17% 4% 10% 9% 13% 10% 9% 12% 11% 11% 12% 13% 12% 13% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 81% -29% 17% 18% 2% 9% 9% 13% 10% 9% 12% 11% 11% 12% 13% 13% 13% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 -47% 28% 24% 1% 10% 10% 15% 11% 10% 13% 12% 12% 12% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 74% 35% -1% 11% 10% 16% 11% 10% 13% 12% 12% 13% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 28% -13% 8% 8% 16% 10% 9% 13% 11% 12% 12% 14% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 -25% 12% 10% 19% 11% 9% 13% 12% 12% 13% 15% 13% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 26% 14% 23% 12% 9% 14% 12% 12% 13% 15% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 15% 27% 10% 7% 14% 12% 12% 13% 15% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 31% 4% 4% 13% 11% 11% 13% 15% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 -7% 1% 14% 11% 12% 14% 16% 14% 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 3% 20% 12% 13% 15% 18% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 21% 9% 11% 15% 18% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Returns >=10%
Jan-18 4% 11% 18% 20% 16% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
7 to <10%
Jan-19 14% 25% 25% 17% 19% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
0 to <7%
Jan-20 59% 33% 19% 20% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Less than 0%
Jan-21 22% 11% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 10% 21% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-23 33% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of SIP. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Year wise SIP Returns of HDFC Flexicap Fund (1995 to
2023)
Average 27% 25% 24% 24% 23% 22% 22% 22% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 21% 21% 21% 21%
Max 177% 127% 92% 69% 60% 54% 51% 46% 43% 43% 42% 40% 37% 34% 33% 30% 27% 27% 27% 26% 24% 24% 23% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21%
Min -63% -40% -23% -13% -8% -5% -1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 8% 10% 11% 13% 15% 15% 16% 17% 18% 18% 18% 20% 20% 20% 21%
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Jan-95 -27% -24% -2% 13% 46% 25% 18% 20% 33% 32% 36% 36% 37% 25% 31% 30% 25% 26% 24% 26% 24% 23% 23% 22% 21% 20% 21% 21% 21%
Jan-96 -25% 5% 22% 61% 31% 21% 22% 37% 35% 39% 38% 40% 26% 32% 32% 26% 27% 25% 26% 24% 23% 24% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% NA
Jan-97 14% 32% 82% 34% 22% 23% 40% 38% 41% 40% 42% 27% 33% 33% 26% 27% 25% 27% 24% 23% 24% 22% 21% 20% 21% 21% 21% NA NA
Jan-98 46% 115% 33% 18% 20% 42% 38% 42% 41% 43% 26% 33% 33% 25% 26% 24% 26% 24% 22% 23% 22% 21% 20% 21% 20% 21% NA NA NA
Jan-99 163% 13% 6% 13% 42% 38% 43% 41% 43% 24% 32% 32% 24% 25% 23% 25% 23% 21% 22% 21% 20% 19% 20% 20% 20% NA NA NA NA
Jan-00 -22% -4% 10% 48% 41% 46% 44% 46% 24% 33% 32% 24% 25% 22% 25% 22% 21% 22% 20% 19% 18% 19% 19% 20% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-01 11% 20% 68% 52% 55% 50% 51% 25% 35% 34% 24% 25% 23% 26% 22% 21% 22% 20% 19% 18% 19% 19% 20% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-02 18% 95% 59% 61% 53% 54% 22% 34% 33% 22% 24% 21% 25% 21% 20% 21% 19% 18% 17% 18% 18% 19% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-03 177% 66% 66% 54% 54% 17% 32% 32% 19% 22% 19% 23% 19% 18% 20% 18% 17% 16% 17% 17% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-04 51% 63% 49% 52% 8% 28% 28% 15% 18% 16% 20% 17% 16% 18% 16% 15% 14% 16% 16% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 84% 49% 53% -1% 26% 27% 12% 16% 14% 19% 16% 14% 17% 15% 14% 13% 15% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 35% 52% -14% 24% 26% 8% 14% 12% 18% 14% 13% 16% 14% 13% 12% 14% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 75% -28% 28% 29% 7% 14% 12% 19% 14% 13% 16% 14% 13% 12% 14% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 -43% 48% 38% 7% 16% 12% 21% 15% 14% 17% 14% 13% 12% 15% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 119% 52% 3% 16% 12% 22% 15% 13% 17% 14% 13% 12% 15% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 33% -16% 9% 7% 21% 13% 12% 16% 13% 12% 11% 14% 14% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 -32% 12% 9% 25% 15% 12% 17% 13% 12% 11% 14% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 30% 14% 33% 16% 13% 19% 14% 12% 11% 15% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 21% 43% 16% 12% 19% 13% 11% 11% 15% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 50% 8% 7% 18% 11% 10% 10% 14% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 -6% 4% 19% 10% 9% 9% 15% 16% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 11% 27% 11% 9% 10% 16% 17% 19% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 29% 7% 6% 9% 17% 17% 20% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Returns
NA >=10%
NA NA NA
Jan-18 3% 5% 11% 20% 19% 22% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 7 toNA<10% NA NA NA
Jan-19 6% 17% 25% 23% 25% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0 toNA<7% NA NA NA
Jan-20 53% 38% 28% 29% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Less than 0%
Jan-21 25% 21% 27% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 21% 31% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-23 44% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of SIP. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Year wise SIP Returns of Franklin India Flexicap Fund
(1995 to 2023)
Average 25% 23% 23% 23% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 19% 19% 19% 20% 20% 20% 20% 19% 19% 19% 20% 20% 20% 20%
Max 245% 144% 101% 75% 57% 52% 49% 43% 41% 41% 40% 38% 35% 30% 29% 28% 25% 25% 25% 25% 23% 23% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 20%
Min -57% -34% -22% -14% -10% -6% -2% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 13% 14% 14% 15% 16% 17% 17% 17% 18% 19% 19% 20%
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Jan-95 -26% -18% -4% 12% 53% 26% 18% 18% 30% 29% 32% 33% 35% 24% 28% 27% 23% 24% 22% 24% 23% 22% 22% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
Jan-96 -19% 0% 19% 70% 30% 20% 20% 33% 32% 34% 36% 38% 25% 29% 28% 24% 24% 23% 25% 23% 22% 23% 21% 20% 20% 21% 20% 20% NA
Jan-97 1% 26% 97% 34% 20% 20% 36% 34% 36% 38% 40% 25% 29% 28% 24% 24% 23% 25% 23% 22% 23% 21% 20% 20% 21% 20% 20% NA NA
Jan-98 36% 143% 32% 16% 17% 36% 34% 37% 38% 41% 25% 29% 28% 23% 24% 22% 24% 23% 22% 22% 20% 19% 19% 20% 19% 20% NA NA NA
Jan-99 245% 12% 3% 10% 35% 33% 36% 38% 41% 23% 28% 27% 22% 23% 21% 24% 22% 21% 21% 19% 18% 18% 19% 18% 19% NA NA NA NA
Jan-00 -27% -9% 5% 40% 36% 39% 41% 43% 23% 28% 27% 21% 22% 20% 23% 22% 20% 21% 19% 18% 18% 19% 18% 19% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-01 3% 14% 58% 45% 46% 47% 49% 24% 30% 29% 22% 23% 21% 24% 22% 20% 21% 19% 18% 18% 19% 18% 19% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-02 14% 83% 54% 52% 51% 52% 22% 30% 28% 21% 22% 20% 23% 21% 20% 21% 18% 17% 17% 18% 18% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-03 161% 62% 56% 53% 54% 18% 28% 26% 18% 20% 18% 22% 20% 18% 19% 17% 16% 16% 18% 17% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-04 46% 50% 50% 52% 10% 24% 23% 14% 17% 15% 20% 18% 16% 18% 15% 14% 14% 16% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 63% 54% 55% 2% 21% 21% 11% 15% 13% 19% 17% 15% 17% 14% 13% 14% 16% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 51% 58% -10% 18% 18% 7% 13% 11% 18% 16% 14% 16% 14% 13% 13% 15% 14% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 76% -25% 18% 19% 6% 12% 11% 19% 16% 14% 16% 14% 12% 13% 15% 14% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 -40% 31% 25% 6% 14% 12% 21% 17% 15% 17% 14% 13% 13% 16% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 79% 35% 4% 15% 12% 23% 18% 15% 18% 14% 13% 13% 16% 15% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 22% -9% 11% 9% 23% 18% 15% 17% 13% 12% 13% 16% 14% 16% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 -20% 15% 11% 28% 20% 15% 18% 14% 12% 13% 16% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 30% 14% 35% 22% 16% 19% 14% 11% 13% 16% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 18% 46% 22% 15% 19% 13% 10% 12% 16% 15% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 62% 17% 10% 17% 10% 8% 11% 16% 14% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 -1% 2% 16% 7% 6% 10% 16% 14% 17% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 2% 20% 7% 5% 10% 18% 15% 18% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 23% 3% 3% 11% 19% 15% 19% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NAReturns
NA >=10%
NA NA NA NA
Jan-18 -3% 2% 14% 23% 17% 21% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
7 to <10%
Jan-19 5% 23% 30% 20% 24% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-20 59% 43% 23% 27% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA0 to <7%
NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-21 31% 13% 23% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NALess than
NA 0% NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 11% 29% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-23 47% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of SIP. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Equity Markets witness 10-20% temporary declines
almost every year
Sensex : Year-wise Drawdown (1980 to 2024 YTD)
1998
2001
2004
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1999
2000
2002
2003
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
0%
-4%
-10% -7% -7% -6%
-10% -9% -10%
-10% -11% -12% -10%
-12% -12% -13% -12%
-15% -14% -13% -14%
-16% -15% -16%
-20% -17% -17%
-19% -19% -16%
-21%
-24% Average : -21%
-27% -26% -27% -26%
-30% -28% -27%
-30% -29%
-34% -33%
-35%
-40% -38%
-39%
-41%
-50% -47%
-60%
-60%
-70%
Only 4 out of the last 44 calendar years, had intra-year declines less than 10%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Drawdown of 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024
Despite an intra-year decline of more than 10% almost
every year, 3 out of 4 years ended with positive returns!
Sensex (1980 to 2024 YTD) - Calendar Year Returns vs Drawdown
1992
2017
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
94%
87%
Returns Average : 20%
74% 76%
64%
51% 47%
50% 47%
42%
34%
34% 30%
28% 28% 27% 27% 19%
17% 17% 16% 22%
18%
4% 7% 7%
13% -18% 4% 12% 8% 7% 14% 9%
4% 2% 4%
-1% -16% -20% -17% -21% -51% -25% -5%
-60%
Drawdown Average : -21%
Despite the markets having intra-year declines every year, 35 out of 44 years ended with positive returns
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Drawdown and Returns of 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024.
Temporary declines are more frequent – 34% of the days
Sensex is down more than 10% from their peak
Drawdown from % of days Sensex % of days Nifty Midcap 100 % of days Nifty Smallcap 100
Peak traded below the traded below the traded below the drawdown
(Since Jan-2004) drawdown threshold drawdown threshold threshold
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Data as of 30-Jun-2024.(Jan 2004 is the inception date of Nifty Smallcap 100 index)
Temporary market declines of 30-60%, historically has
occurred once every 7-10 years
Historically, large market falls (of more than 30%) and subsequent recoveries have taken around 1-3 years
Average 1Y 1M 1Y 3M 2Y 4M
Max 2Y 3M 2Y 7M 4Y 10M
Min 2M 6M 8M
1995
2005
2019
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
-70%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Data for 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024.
India Mid Cap
Returns & Volatility
Midcaps are more volatile than Largecaps - witness 15-25%
temporary declines almost every year
Sensex VS Nifty Midcap 100 : Year-wise Drawdown (2003 to 2024 YTD)
2013
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
0%
-4% -6%
-10% -7% -7% -7%
-8%
-11% -10% -10% -8%
-12% -9% -12%
-14% -13% -13% -14% -12%
-15% -14% -15% -13% -15%
-14% -13% -16%
-20%
-16% -16% -17%
-21% -21%
-50%
-60%
-60%
Sensex Drawdown Nifty Midcap 100 Drawdown
-70% -67%
Only in 3 out of the last 21 calendar years, Midcaps had intra-year declines less than 10%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Drawdown of 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024 (Jan 2003 is the inception date of Nifty Midcap 100 index)
Despite an intra-year decline of more than 15% almost every
year in Midcaps, 3 out of 4 years ended with positive returns!
Nifty Midcap 100 (2003 to 2024 YTD) - Calendar Year Returns vs Drawdown
2007
2003
2004
2005
2006
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
143%
95%
81% Returns Average : 27%
56% 47%
41% 44% 47%
35% 29%
23% 19% 23%
20%
-59% -31% -6% 7% 6% 4%
-15% -4%
-8% -8%
-14% -15% -17%
-13% -14% -9% -13% -7% -12% -21%
-16% -26% -27% -26%
-32% -15%
-28% -37%
-40%
-67%
Despite the markets having intra-year declines every year, 16 out of 21 years ended with positive returns
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Drawdown and Returns of 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024.
Temporary market declines of more than 30%, historically
has occurred once every 8-10 years
Historically, large market falls (of more than 30%) and subsequent recoveries have taken around 2-3 years
Average 1Y 2M 1Y 4M 2Y 6M
Max 2Y 2M 2Y 5M 3Y 7M
Min 1M 7M 8M
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Nifty Midcap 100 has been used since inception (Jan 2003 is the inception of Nifty Midcap 100 index)
Last two decades saw frequent sharp temporary falls >30%
in Midcaps
Frequency of Market Declines
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
-70%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Data for 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024.
India Small Cap
Returns & Volatility
Smallcaps are more volatile than Large & Midcaps - witness
15-30% temporary declines almost every year
Sensex VS Nifty Midcap 100 VS Nifty Smallcap 100 : Year-wise Drawdown (2004 to 2024 YTD)
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
0%
-10%
-11% -9% -11% -11%
-13% -14%
-16% -15%
-20%
-19%
-20%
-24% -24% -23%
-30%
-29%
-35% -33%
-35% -35%
-40%
-40%
-50% -47%
-60%
-70%
Sensex Drawdown Nifty Midcap 100 Drawdown Nifty Smallcap 100 Drawdown
-80% -76%
Only in 1 out of the last 20 calendar years, Smallcaps had intra-year declines less than 10%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Drawdown of 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024
Despite an intra-year decline of more than 15% almost every
year in Smallcaps, 3 out of 4 years ended with positive returns!
Nifty Smallcap 100 (2004 to 2024 YTD) - Calendar Year Returns vs Drawdown
2015
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
102%
91%
42% 39%
35%
22%
18% 20%
7%
-71% -34% -8% -29% -9% -14%
1%
-76%
Despite the markets having intra-year declines every year, 14 out of 20 years ended with positive returns
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Drawdown and Returns of 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024.
Temporary market declines of more than 30%, historically
has occurred once every 8-10 years
Historically, large market falls (of more than 30%) and subsequent recoveries have taken around 2-3 years - from 2004 till date
Average 9M 1Y 10M 2Y 9M
Max 2Y 2M 7Y 5M 8Y 7M
Min 1M 5M 6M
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Nifty Smallcap 100 data has been used Inception (Jan 2004 is the inception of Nifty Smallcap 100 index)
Last two decades saw frequent sharp temporary falls >30%
in Smallcaps
Frequency of Market Declines
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
-70%
-80%
-90%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Note: Data for 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024.
Time in the Market > Timing the Market
There is always a reason not to buy Equities
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Index: S&P BSE Sensex (As of 30-Jun-2024)
Despite several intermittent crises, Indian Equities have
gone up over the long run mirroring earnings growth
90,000 Sensex (1986 to 2024 YTD)
13.8% CAGR i.e.144 times in 38+ years
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
2015-16 Global Market Sell off
Decline: -23%
Balance of Payments Crisis
30,000
Decline: -39% Global Financial Crisis
Decline: -61% Corona Virus Pandemic
Mounting Fiscal Harshad Mehta Scam 2006 Market Sell off
20,000 Decline: -38%
Deficit Decline: -41% Decline: -54% Decline: -29%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Index: S&P BSE Sensex (As of 30-Jun-2024)
Every crisis in the past has been followed by a recovery
and further upside
Sensex - Market Decline and Recovery (1980 to 2024 YTD)
Upsides are much higher than the Declines!
Major Falls > 20% since 2000 Absolute Decline Nifty 50 TRI Debt Inflation
Source: FundsIndia Research, MFI; FI Debt Index comprising of ABSL Low Duration Fund, HDFC Low Duration Fund & ABSL Corporate Bond Fund is considered as the debt option; Inflation % is based on the
Cost Inflation Index; Returns as on 30-Jun-2024.
Even Bull Markets have several intermittent declines
20,000
18,000
16,000
14,000 703%
12,000 -11%
-15%
10,000
8,000 -29%
-56%
6,000 -13%
4,000 -11%
-27%
2,000
Feb-00
Feb-01
Feb-02
Feb-03
Feb-04
Feb-05
Feb-06
Feb-07
Nov-00
Nov-01
Nov-02
Nov-03
Nov-04
Nov-05
Nov-06
Nov-07
Aug-00
Aug-01
Aug-02
Aug-03
Aug-04
Aug-05
Aug-06
Aug-07
May-00
May-01
May-02
May-03
May-04
May-05
May-06
May-07
Source: BSE, FundsIndia Research; Returns shown are Absolute.
Even Bull Markets have several intermittent declines
40,000
36,000 414%
-10%
32,000
-14%
-10%
28,000
24,000
20,000
-61% -23%
16,000
12,000
-28%
8,000
Sep-09
Jan-11
Sep-13
Jan-15
Sep-17
Jan-19
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-14
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-20
Sep-08
Sep-10
Sep-11
Sep-12
Sep-14
Sep-15
Sep-16
Sep-18
Sep-19
May-08
May-09
May-10
May-11
May-12
May-13
May-14
May-15
May-16
May-17
May-18
May-19
Source: BSE, FundsIndia Research; Returns shown are Absolute.
Equity Returns are non-linear - Missing few best days in
the market significantly reduces returns
Rs.10 Lakh invested in Nifty 50 TRI (2005 to 2024 YTD)
Rs. 1.45 Crore
(14.7%) Seven of the best 10 days occurred within two
weeks of the worst 10 days
Rs.68 lakh.
(10.4%)
Rs.52 lakh.
(8.8%)
Rs.40 lakh.
(7.4%) Rs.31 lakh.
(6.0%) Rs.25 lakh.
(4.8%) Rs.17 lakh. Rs. 12 lakh.
(2.7%) (0.8%)
Entire period Miss 5 best days Miss 10 best days Miss 15 best days Miss 20 best days Miss 25 best days Miss 30 best days Miss 40 best days Miss 50 best days
If you missed the 10 best days in the last 19+ years, your portfolio value was lower by 50%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. Index Considered: Nifty 50 TRI. Period Considered: Jan-05 to Dec-21
All Time Highs are a natural part of any growing asset
class and not something to be feared
Sensex Max Level Sensex Max Level Sensex Max Level
Calender Year Status Calender Year Status Calender Year Status
during the year during the year during the year
1979 132 ATH 2000 5,934 ATH 2021 61,766 ATH
1980 149 ATH 2001 4,438 - 2022 63,284 ATH
1981 228 ATH 2002 3,713 - 2023 72,410 ATH
1982 253 ATH 2003 5,839 - 2024 YTD 79,243 ATH
1983 253 ATH 2004 6,603 ATH
1984 280 ATH 2005 9,398 ATH
1985 540 ATH 2006 13,972 ATH
1986 659 ATH 2007 20,376 ATH
1987 579 - 2008 20,873 ATH
1988 719 ATH 2009 17,465 -
1989 798 ATH 2010 21,005 ATH
1990 1,559 ATH 2011 20,561 -
1991 1,924 ATH 2012 19,487 -
1992 4,467 ATH 2013 21,326 ATH
1993 3,455 - 2014 28,694 ATH
1994 4,631 ATH 2015 29,682 ATH
1995 3,932 - 2016 29,045 -
1996 4,069 - 2017 34,057 ATH
1997 4,548 - 2018 38,897 ATH
1998 4,281 - 2019 41,682 ATH
1999 5,075 ATH 2020 47,751 ATH
24,000
22,000
20,000
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
Nifty 50 TRI
1 Y Returns 3 Y Returns 5 Y Returns
Performance post All-Time Highs
Source: FundsIndia Research, MFI; 'Buy & Hold' Investor invests into equities and holds the same for the entire period; 'Profit Booking @ X% Gains' indicates portfolios of investors who deploy the profits made in equity into debt
whenever the absolute gains reach 20%, 30% and 50% levels; 'Profit Booking @ All-time Highs' indicates the portfolio of an investor who deploys the profits made in equity into debt whenever the Nifty index touches an all-time high;
Nifty 50 TRI is considered as the equity option and HDFC Money Market Fund is considered as the debt option; Taxation impact has not been factored for simplicity.
Calendar year returns are volatile & rarely resemble
long term averages
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
2000
2000
2000
2001
2001
2002
2002
2002
2003
2003
2011
2012
2012
2012
2013
20 Y RR
2013
2014
2014
2015
Sensex - Rolling Returns (1980 to 2024 YTD)
2015
2015
2016
2016
2017
2017
2017
2018
Equities are less volatile over longer time horizons
2018
2019
2019
2020
2020
2020
2021
2021
2022
2022
2022
2023
2023
2024
Indian Equity - Takeaways
1. Over the Long Term (10-15 years) Equity has provided returns above inflation
34 19X
35 17X
36 15X
37 14X
38 12X
39 11X Rs 1 lakh invested (assuming 12% per annum returns)…
40 10X
41 9X
42 8X at the age of 20, grows ~100 times to ~Rs 1 Crore when you reach 60 years.
43 7X
44 6X
45 5.5X at the age of 30 (10 years delay), grows only 30 times to Rs 30 lakhs when you reach 60 years.
46 4.9X
47 4.4X
48 3.9X at the age of 40 (20 years delay), grows only 10 times to Rs 10 lakhs when you reach 60 years.
49 3.5X
50 3.1X
51 2.8X
52 2.5X
53 2.2X
54 2X
55 1.8X
60
Source: FundsIndia Research. Assuming CAGR at 12%
Start Investing Early
20 ₹ 8,416
21 ₹ 9,493
Monthly SIP Amount Required to Reach Rs 10 crore at 60 years (@12% returns per annum)
22 ₹ 10,710
23 ₹ 12,085
24 ₹ 13,639
25
If you start investing via SIP at the age of 25, the monthly SIP required is only Rs 15,000.
₹ 15,396
26 ₹ 17,383
27 ₹ 19,631
28
But if you delay and start at the age of 30 the monthly SIP required is 2 times more at Rs 28,000!
₹ 22,176
29 ₹ 25,060
30 ₹ 28,329
31 ₹ 32,038
If you delay and start at the age of 40 the monthly SIP required is 6 times more at Rs 1,00,000!
32 ₹ 36,250
33 ₹ 41,039
34 ₹ 46,488
35 ₹ 52,697
36 ₹ 59,784
37 ₹ 67,886
Starting Age
38 ₹ 77,167
39 ₹ 87,821
40 ₹ 1,00,085
41 ₹ 1,14,243
42 ₹ 1,30,644
43 ₹ 1,49,718
44 ₹ 1,72,005
45 ₹ 1,98,186
46 ₹ 2,29,138
47 ₹ 2,66,006
48 ₹ 3,10,316
49 ₹ 3,64,146
50 ₹ 4,30,405
51 ₹ 5,13,290
52 ₹ 6,19,093
53 ₹ 7,57,696
54 ₹ 9,45,564
55 ₹ 12,12,322
10
₹ 250 Crores ₹ 2.5 Crores M
11
M
₹ 200 Crores ₹ 2.0 Crores 1Y
1Y 0M
₹ 150 Crores ₹ 1.5 Crores 3M
1Y
4M
1Y
₹ 100 Crores ₹ 1.0 Crores 2Y 8M
2Y 0M
₹ 50 Lakhs 4Y 9M
₹ 50 Lakhs 1M 17Y 18Y 20Y 21Y 22Y 23Y 24Y
8Y
8Y 3M 12Y 4M 15Y 1M 1M 9M 1M 4M 4M 3M 1M
3M
₹ 0 Lakhs
M
11
₹ 400 Crores ₹ 4.0 Crores M
1Y
₹ 320 Crores ₹ 3.2 Crores 0M
1Y
2M
₹ 240 Crores ₹ 2.4 Crores 1Y
1Y 5M
2Y 7M
₹ 160 Crores ₹ 1.6 Crores 1M
2Y
8M
₹ 80 Lakhs 4Y
₹ 80 Lakhs 0M 22Y 23Y
16Y 18Y 19Y 21Y 22Y
8Y 11M 9M
8Y 1M 12Y 1M 14Y 9M 10M 5M 10M 0M 0M
1M
₹ 0 Lakhs
M
₹ 550 Crores ₹ 5.5 Crores 11
M
1Y
₹ 440 Crores ₹ 4.4 Crores 1M
1Y
2M
₹ 330 Crores ₹ 3.3 Crores 1Y
1Y 4M
2Y 8M
₹ 220 Crores ₹ 2.2 Crores 0M
2Y
4Y 9M
₹ 110 Crores ₹ 1.1 Crores 18Y 19Y 20Y 21Y 22Y 23Y
0M 16Y
7Y 4M 8M 10M 11M 10M 8M
7Y 11M 11Y 11M 14Y 8M 8M
11M
₹ 0 Lakhs
Investment 69% 48% 40% 38% 34% 28% 31% 30% 26% 28%
Contribution to Incremental 80 Lakhs
(At 10% Annual Increase)
Returns 31% 52% 60% 62% 66% 72% 69% 70% 74% 72%
Rs. 10,000 5Y 10M 9Y 2M 11Y 7M 15Y 0M 17Y 11M 20Y 1M 25Y 6M 28Y 9M 31Y 1M 32Y 11M 35Y 8M 38Y 7M
Rs. 20,000 3Y 5M 5Y 10M 7Y 8M 10Y 6M 13Y 0M 15Y 0M 20Y 1M 23Y 2M 25Y 6M 27Y 3M 30Y 0M 32Y 11M
Rs. 25,000 2Y 10M 4Y 11M 6Y 7M 9Y 2M 11Y 7M 13Y 5M 18Y 4M 21Y 5M 23Y 8M 25Y 6M 28Y 2M 31Y 1M
Rs. 30,000 2Y 5M 4Y 3M 5Y 10M 8Y 2M 10Y 6M 12Y 4M 17Y 0M 20Y 1M 22Y 3M 24Y 0M 26Y 8M 29Y 7M
Rs. 40,000 1Y 11M 3Y 5M 4Y 8M 6Y 9M 8Y 10M 10Y 6M 15Y 0M 17Y 11M 20Y 1M 21Y 9M 24Y 5M 27Y 3M
Rs. 50,000 1Y 7M 2Y 10M 3Y 11M 5Y 10M 7Y 8M 9Y 2M 13Y 5M 16Y 3M 18Y 4M 20Y 1M 22Y 8M 25Y 6M
Rs. 75,000 1Y 1M 2Y 0M 2Y 10M 4Y 3M 5Y 10M 7Y 1M 10Y 10M 13Y 5M 15Y 5M 17Y 0M 19Y 6M 22Y 3M
Rs. 10,000 5Y 5M 8Y 4M 10Y 5M 13Y 5M 15Y 11M 17Y 10M 22Y 9M 25Y 9M 27Y 11M 29Y 8M 32Y 3M 35Y 1M
Rs. 20,000 3Y 3M 5Y 5M 7Y 1M 9Y 6M 11Y 8M 13Y 5M 17Y 10M 20Y 8M 22Y 9M 24Y 4M 26Y 11M 29Y 8M
Rs. 25,000 2Y 9M 4Y 8M 6Y 1M 8Y 4M 10Y 5M 12Y 1M 16Y 4M 19Y 1M 21Y 1M 22Y 9M 25Y 3M 27Y 11M
Rs. 30,000 2Y 4M 4Y 1M 5Y 5M 7Y 6M 9Y 6M 11Y 0M 15Y 2M 17Y 10M 19Y 10M 21Y 5M 23Y 10M 26Y 6M
Rs. 40,000 1Y 10M 3Y 3M 4Y 5M 6Y 3M 8Y 1M 9Y 6M 13Y 5M 15Y 11M 17Y 10M 19Y 5M 21Y 9M 24Y 4M
Rs. 10,000 5Y 1M 7Y 8M 9Y 6M 12Y 0M 14Y 3M 15Y 10M 20Y 1M 22Y 8M 24Y 7M 26Y 1M 28Y 5M 30Y 11M
Rs. 20,000 3Y 2M 5Y 1M 6Y 6M 8Y 8M 10Y 7M 12Y 0M 15Y 10M 18Y 3M 20Y 1M 21Y 6M 23Y 8M 26Y 1M
Rs. 25,000 2Y 8M 4Y 5M 5Y 8M 7Y 8M 9Y 6M 10Y 10M 14Y 7M 16Y 11M 18Y 8M 20Y 1M 22Y 3M 24Y 7M
Rs. 30,000 2Y 4M 3Y 10M 5Y 1M 6Y 11M 8Y 8M 10Y 0M 13Y 7M 15Y 10M 17Y 7M 18Y 11M 21Y 1M 23Y 5M
Rs. 40,000 1Y 10M 3Y 2M 4Y 2M 5Y 10M 7Y 5M 8Y 8M 12Y 0M 14Y 3M 15Y 10M 17Y 2M 19Y 3M 21Y 6M
Rs. 50,000 1Y 6M 2Y 8M 3Y 7M 5Y 1M 6Y 6M 7Y 8M 10Y 10M 13Y 0M 14Y 7M 15Y 10M 17Y 10M 20Y 1M
Rs. 75,000 1Y 1M 1Y 11M 2Y 8M 3Y 10M 5Y 1M 6Y 1M 8Y 11M 10Y 10M 12Y 4M 13Y 7M 15Y 5M 17Y 7M
Rs. 100,000 0Y 10M 1Y 6M 2Y 1M 3Y 2M 4Y 2M 5Y 1M 7Y 8M 9Y 6M 10Y 10M 12Y 0M 13Y 10M 15Y 10M
Source: FundsIndia Research; Assuming CAGR at 12% and 10% Annual Increase
How many times does your money multiply?
Number of Times your Original Investments Multiply
Annual Return
Years
5% 8% 10% 12% 15% 18% 20%
2Y 1.1x 1.2x 1.2x 1.3x 1.3x 1.4x 1.4x
3Y 1.2x 1.3x 1.3x 1.4x 1.5x 1.6x 1.7x
4Y 1.2x 1.4x 1.5x 1.6x 1.7x 1.9x 2.1x
5Y 1.3x 1.5x 1.6x 1.8x 2x 2.3x 2.5x
6Y 1.3x 1.6x 1.8x 2x 2.3x 2.7x 3x
7Y 1.4x 1.7x 1.9x 2.2x 2.7x 3.2x 3.6x
8Y 1.5x 1.9x 2.1x 2.5x 3.1x 3.8x 4.3x
9Y 1.6x 2x 2.4x 2.8x 3.5x 4.4x 5.2x
10 Y 1.6x 2.2x 2.6x 3.1x 4x 5.2x 6.2x
11 Y 1.7x 2.3x 2.9x 3.5x 4.7x 6.2x 7.4x
12 Y 1.8x 2.5x 3.1x 3.9x 5.4x 7.3x 8.9x
13 Y 1.9x 2.7x 3.5x 4.4x 6.2x 8.6x 10.7x
14 Y 2x 2.9x 3.8x 4.9x 7.1x 10.1x 12.8x
15 Y 2.1x 3.2x 4.2x 5.5x 8.1x 12x 15.4x
16 Y 2.2x 3.4x 4.6x 6.1x 9.4x 14.1x 18.5x
17 Y 2.3x 3.7x 5.1x 6.9x 10.8x 16.7x 22.2x
18 Y 2.4x 4x 5.6x 7.7x 12.4x 19.7x 26.6x
19 Y 2.5x 4.3x 6.1x 8.6x 14.2x 23.2x 31.9x
20 Y 2.7x 4.7x 6.7x 9.6x 16.4x 27.4x 38.3x
25 Y 3.4x 6.8x 10.8x 17x 32.9x 62.7x 95.4x
30 Y 4.3x 10.1x 17.4x 30x 66.2x 143.4x 237.4x
Source: FundsIndia Research, Stable Investor. CAGR which is not practically possible has been highlighted in grey i.e. CAGR > 30%
Debt Returns
Debt historically has delivered 6-8% over 5+ years
How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of SIP. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. *Debt: Index calibrated based on the Debt Schemes - Aditya Birla SL Low Duration Fund, HDFC Low Duration Fund, Aditya Birla SL Corporate Bond Fund.
India Rate Hike Cycle – PAUSE for now
Repo Rate
9.0%
8.0%
6.50%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21 Jan-22 Jan-23 Jan-24
7.5
7.0
6.5
6.0
5.5
Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Oct-19 Apr-20 Oct-20 Apr-21 Oct-21 Apr-22 Oct-22 Apr-23 Oct-23 Apr-24
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Oct-19 Apr-20 Oct-20 Apr-21 Oct-21 Apr-22 Oct-22 Apr-23 Oct-23 Apr-24
Source: Investing.com, FundsIndia Research. Latest date: 08-Jul-24, 1 month back: 08-Jun-24, 6 month back: 08-Jan-24
Yields continue to remain elevated
7.5
7.2 7.2
7.1 7.1
7.0
6.5
6.0
0Y 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 11Y 12Y 13Y 14Y 15Y
08-Jul-24 1M back 6M back
Source: worldgovernmentbonds.com, FundsIndia Research Latest date: 08-Jul-24, 1 month back: 08-Jun-24, 6 month back: 08-Jan-24
US & India Inflation – Early signs of easing
Inflation (YoY %)
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
-2.00%
Jul-14
Jul-12
Jul-13
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-23
Apr-15
Apr-12
Apr-13
Apr-14
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Apr-22
Jan-23
Apr-23
Apr-24
Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Oct-23
Jan-24
Oct-12
Oct-13
Oct-14
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
India US
1. Over the Long Term (10-15 years) Debt has provided returns above inflation
3. High Credit Quality, Shorter Duration Debt Funds should form a part of your Core Debt Portfolio
Gold Returns
Gold has beaten Inflation over the long run
Year wise Outperformance of Gold vs Inflation (1995 to 2023)
Average 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4%
Maximum 23% 20% 17% 17% 16% 15% 16% 14% 14% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4%
Minimum -27% -18% -14% -13% -8% -7% -6% -3% -1% -1% 0% 0% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4%
Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Jan-95 4% -4% -10% -8% -6% -6% -6% -2% -1% -1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4%
Jan-96 -12% -16% -11% -8% -8% -7% -3% -2% -1% 0% 2% 2% 3% 5% 5% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% NA
Jan-97 -20% -12% -8% -8% -6% -2% 0% 0% 1% 3% 4% 4% 6% 6% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% NA NA
Jan-98 -4% 0% -3% -2% 2% 4% 3% 5% 7% 6% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% NA NA NA
Jan-99 3% -3% -2% 3% 5% 4% 6% 7% 7% 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% NA NA NA NA
Jan-00 -9% -4% 4% 6% 4% 7% 8% 8% 8% 10% 10% 11% 9% 7% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-01 -1% 10% 10% 7% 10% 11% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 11% 8% 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-02 21% 15% 10% 12% 13% 11% 13% 14% 14% 14% 12% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-03 10% 5% 10% 11% 10% 12% 13% 13% 13% 11% 8% 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-04 0% 8% 11% 10% 11% 13% 13% 14% 11% 7% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 18% 18% 13% 15% 16% 15% 16% 13% 7% 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 17% 11% 14% 16% 15% 15% 13% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 5% 13% 15% 14% 15% 12% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 21% 20% 17% 17% 13% 5% 4% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 5% 4% 5% 5% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09
Jan-10
19%
11%
16%
15%
16%
8%
11%
-3%
2%
-2%
1%
-4%
-2%
-3%
0%
-2%
1%
-1%
1%
1%
2%
3%
3%
1%
3%
2%
3%
2%
4%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
Gold has outperformed
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
Jan-11 19% 5% -7% -6% -8% -4% -4% -3% -1% 1% 1% 2% 2% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA inflation by 2-4% over the
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
long run
Jan-12 -8% -18% -13% -13% -8% -7% -6% -2% 0% -1% 0% 0% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 -27% -15% -14% -9% -7% -5% -2% 0% -1% 0% 1% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 -4% -8% -2% -1% 0% 2% 5% 4% 4% 5% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 -12% -1% 0% 1% 4% 6% 4% 5% 6% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 11% 5% 5% 8% 10% 7% 7% 8% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 0% 2% 8% 10% 7% 7% 7% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-18 5% 11% 15% 9% 9% 8% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-19 17% 19% 10% 9% 9% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-20 23% 6% 7% 7% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-21 -7% -1% 3% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 7% 8% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-23 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Outperformance >=0%
Outperformance < 0%
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of Lumpsum. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
CII data is used for Inflation.
Gold Returns = Inflation + 2-4% over long run
Average 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
Max 31% 27% 24% 25% 24% 23% 23% 22% 19% 20% 19% 18% 16% 15% 15% 13% 12% 12% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9%
Min -22% -9% -8% -5% -3% -1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9%
Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
Jan-80 10% -7% 1% -1% -2% -1% 3% 5% 4% 5% 5% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9%
Jan-81 -22% -3% -5% -5% -3% 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 6% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% NA
Jan-82 19% 5% 2% 2% 7% 9% 8% 8% 7% 10% 9% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 10% NA NA
Jan-83 -8% -6% -3% 4% 7% 6% 6% 6% 9% 8% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 9% NA NA NA
Jan-84 -4% -1% 8% 11% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA
Jan-85 2% 15% 17% 12% 12% 10% 13% 12% 14% 12% 12% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-86 29% 25% 16% 14% 12% 15% 14% 15% 13% 13% 12% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-87 21% 10% 9% 8% 12% 11% 13% 11% 12% 10% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-88 0% 4% 4% 10% 10% 12% 10% 11% 9% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-89 8% 7% 14% 12% 15% 12% 12% 10% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-90 5% 17% 13% 17% 13% 13% 10% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 7% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-91 31% 18% 21% 15% 14% 11% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% 8% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-92 6% 16% 10% 11% 8% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-93 27% 12% 12% 8% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-94 -2% 5% 3% -2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 4% 5% 7% 7% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-95 13% 5% -2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-96 -3% -9% -3% -2% -1% 0% 3% 4% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-97 -14% -4% -2% -1% 0% 4% 5% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-98 7% 5% 4% 4% 8% 9% 8% 9% 11% 11% 13% 13% 14% 15% 15% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-99 3% 2% 3% 8% 9% 8% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 11% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-00 1% 3% 10% 11% 8% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 16% 14% 13% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% 11% 11% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-01 4% 14% 14% 10% 13% 14% 14% 16% 16% 17% 18% 18% 15% 14% 12% 12% 12% 11% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-02 25% 19% 12% 15% 16% 16% 18% 18% 19% 20% 19% 15% 14% 13% 12% 12% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-03 14% 7% 12% 14% 15% 17% 17% 18% 19% 18% 15% 14% 12% 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-04 0% 10% 14% 15% 17% 18% 19% 20% 19% 15% 13% 12% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% 11% 11% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 22% 22% 20% 22% 22% 22% 23% 22% 16% 15% 13% 12% 12% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 21% 19% 22% 22% 22% 23% 22% 16% 14% 12% 12% 11% 11% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 17% 23% 22% 22% 24% 22% 15% 13% 11% 11% 10% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 11% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 29% 24% 24% 25% 23% 15% 13% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 12% 11% 11% 11% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 19% 22% 24% 21% 12% 10% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 24% 27% 22% 10% 9% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 10% 8% 9% 9% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 29% 20% 6% 5% 2% 4% 4% 4% 6% 8% 7% 8% 8% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 12% -4% -2% -4% -1% 0% 1% 4% 6% 5% 6% 6% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 -18% -8% -8% -4% -2% 0% 3% 5% 4% 5% 6% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 2% -3% 1% 3% 4% 6% 9% 8% 8% 9% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15 -8% 1% 3% 4% 7% 10% 8% 9% 10% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-16 11% 8% 8% 11% 14% 11% 11% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Returns
NA NA >=10%
NA NA NA NA
Jan-17 6% 7% 12% 15% 12% 12% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
7 to <10%
Jan-18 8% 15% 19% 13% 13% 13% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-19 21% 24% 15% 14% 14% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0 NA
to <7%
NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-20 28% 11% 12% 12% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Less than 0%
Jan-21 -3% 4% 8% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 12% 13% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-23 15% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Year wise Lumpsum Returns of Gold (1980 to 2023)
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of Lumpsum investment. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
However, Gold has underperformed Equities over
longer time frames
Year wise Outperformance of Gold vs Nifty 50 TRI (2000 to 2023)
Average -4% -3% -3% -4% -3% -3% -3% -2% -2% -2% -2% -2% -2% -2% -2% -2% -3% -3% -3% -3% -3% -3% -3% -1%
Maximum 79% 34% 23% 31% 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 3% 4% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% -1% -1% -2% -1% -1% -2% -2% -1%
Minimum -65% -34% -28% -27% -29% -21% -14% -10% -10% -11% -9% -9% -7% -6% -7% -6% -5% -5% -5% -5% -5% -4% -3% -1%
Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Jan-00 15% 17% 18% 2% -1% -3% -5% -9% 4% 0% 0% 5% 3% 1% -1% -2% -1% -2% -2% -2% -1% -2% -2% -1%
Jan-01 19% 19% -3% -6% -7% -9% -14% 2% -3% -2% 4% 2% 0% -2% -3% -2% -3% -3% -2% -1% -3% -2% -3% NA
Jan-02 19% -19% -16% -16% -17% -21% 0% -6% -5% 2% 0% -3% -5% -4% -4% -5% -4% -4% -3% -5% -4% -4% NA NA
Jan-03 -65% -34% -28% -27% -29% -3% -10% -8% 0% -2% -4% -6% -6% -5% -7% -6% -5% -5% -5% -5% -5% NA NA NA
Jan-04 -11% -14% -16% -21% 6% -2% -1% 7% 4% 1% -3% -2% -2% -3% -3% -3% -2% -3% -3% -2% NA NA NA NA
Jan-05 -17% -18% -26% 11% 0% 1% 10% 7% 1% -1% -1% -1% -3% -2% -2% -1% -3% -2% -3% NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-06 -21% -30% 18% 4% 4% 13% 9% 4% 0% 0% 1% -2% -1% 0% 0% -1% -1% -1% NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-07 -40% 34% 11% 9% 20% 14% 7% 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% -1% 0% -1% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-08 79% 31% 23% 31% 23% 13% 7% 6% 6% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-09 -54% -22% 8% 1% -5% -10% -9% -7% -8% -7% -6% -5% -7% -6% -5% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-10 5% 32% 16% 4% -2% -3% -2% -4% -3% -2% -1% -4% -2% -3% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-11 53% 20% 4% -4% -5% -2% -5% -5% -3% -2% -4% -3% -4% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-12 -18% -22% -25% -20% -14% -16% -13% -10% -9% -11% -9% -9% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-13 -25% -27% -19% -14% -15% -12% -9% -8% -10% -8% -8% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-14 -31% -17% -9% -12% -9% -7% -4% -7% -6% -6% NA NA NA Over 15-20 year periods, Gold has usually
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-15
Jan-16
-5%
7%
0%
-8%
-6%
-5%
-5%
-2%
-2%
1%
-1%
-4%
-5%
-3%
-3%
-3%
-3%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
underperformed equities by 2-3%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
Jan-17 -23% -10% -4% -1% -6% -4% -4% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-18 2% 5% 7% -2% 0% -1% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-19 8% 9% -3% -1% -2% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-20 12% -10% -3% -5% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-21 -28% -11% -9% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-22 6% 0% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jan-23 -6% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Outperformance >=0%
Outperformance < 0%
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of Lumpsum. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc.
Nifty 50 TRI is used for the comparison of gold versus equities.
Gold Returns have beaten inflation in the long term but
goes through long intermittent periods of subdued returns
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Jan-80 Jan-82 Jan-84 Jan-86 Jan-88 Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14 Jan-16 Jan-18 Jan-20 Jan-22 Jan-24
Source: gold.org (gold prices exclude taxes and levies), FundsIndia Research. As on 30-Jun-2024.
1980-1989: It took gold 10 years to hit its 1980 peak once
again
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. Gold prices used are for 1 troy ounce (1 troy ounce = 31.1035gms).
1996-2002: It took gold ~7 years to hit its 1996 peak
once again
Gold (Feb-1996 to May-2002)
17000
16000
15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
10000
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. Gold prices used are for 1 troy ounce (1 troy ounce = 31.1035gms).
2012-2019: It took gold ~7 years to hit its 2012 peak
once again
Gold (Nov-2012 to Jun-2019)
105000
100000
95000
90000
85000
80000
75000
70000
65000
60000
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. Gold prices used are for 1 troy ounce (1 troy ounce = 31.1035gms).
Gold witness 10-15% temporary declines almost every
year
Gold : Year-wise Drawdown (1980 to 2024 YTD)
1992
2009
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
0%
-35%
-40%
-41%
-45%
Only 13 out of the last 44 calendar years, had intra-year declines less than 10%
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. Note: Drawdown of 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024. Gold prices used are for 1 troy ounce (1 troy ounce = 31.1035gms).
Despite an intra-year decline of more than 10% almost
every year, 3 out of 4 years ended with positive returns!
Gold (1980 to 2024 YTD) - Calendar Year Returns vs Drawdown
1981
1992
2005
2016
1980
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
40%
31% 29%
30% 29% 28%
30% 26%
23% 25% 24% Returns Average : 9%
22%
21% 19% 21%
20% 18% 17% 15%
14% 14% 12%
12% 12%
7% 11% 8%
10% 6%
4% 5% 6% 6%
4% 3% 4%
-20% 2% -8%
-8% -5% 0% -1% -14% 1%
-3% 0% -18% -3%
0%
-4% -5%
-10% -7% -7% -6% -7% -7% -7% -7% -8%
-9% -10% -8% -9% -8%
-10%-12% -11% -11% -10%
-12% -13% -12% -13%
-14% -14% -15% -13% -13%
-16% -16% -15% -15%
-20% -17% -17% -17% -17% -16%
-22% -21%
-23%-23% -23%
-30% -24%
-50%
Despite the markets having intra-year declines every year, 34 out of 44 years ended with positive returns
Source: Gold.org FundsIndia Research. Note: Drawdown and Returns of 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024. Gold prices used are for 1 troy ounce (1 troy ounce = 31.1035gms).
Temporary declines are frequent - 51% of the days, Gold
is down more than 10% from the peak
< -40% 3% 8%
< -50% 1% 2%
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. Note: Data as of 30-Jun-2024. Gold prices used are for 1 troy ounce (1 troy ounce = 31.1035gms).
Temporary market declines of 30-60%, historically has
occurred once every 10-15 years
Historically, large market falls (of more than 30%) and subsequent recoveries have taken around 7-8 years
Average 2Y 8M 4Y 7M 7Y 6M
Max 3Y 6M 7Y 5M 9Y 11M
Min 2Y 6M 2Y 10M 6Y 4M
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. Gold prices used are for 1 troy ounce (1 troy ounce = 31.1035gms).
Gold occasionally saw large temporary falls >30%
Frequency of Market Declines
2006
2022
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2023
2024
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
-70%
Source: Gold.org, FundsIndia Research. Note: Data for 2024 updated till 30-Jun-2024. Gold prices used are for 1 troy ounce (1 troy ounce = 31.1035gms).
Gold shows inverse correlation to US Real Yields
3.0
2,400
2.5
2,200
2.0
2,000
1.5
1.0 1,800
0.5
1,600
0.0
1,400
-0.5
1,200
-1.0
-1.5 1,000
Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Oct-19 Apr-20 Oct-20 Apr-21 Oct-21 Apr-22 Oct-22 Apr-23 Oct-23 Apr-24
Source: fred.stlouisfed.org, FundsIndia Research. As on 30-Jun-2024. 1 Troy Ounce = 31.1 grams.US 10 Yr Real Yield is calculated based on yields of treasury inflation protected securities (TIPS).
Gold - Takeaways
1. Over the Long Term (10-15 years) Gold has provided returns above inflation
24%
23%
22%
10%
9% 9% 9%
8%
7%
6% 6%
5% 5% 5%
3% 4%
2% 2%
1%
Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22 Dec-23 YTD 2024
(Mar-24)
Returns >=10%
7 to <10%
Source: NHB, Indiabudget.gov.in. Returns are calculated based on NHB Residex. 0 to <7%
For the period Dec-01 to Dec-07, returns for 5 cities are considered- Delhi, Bangalore, Mumbai, Bhopal & Kolkatta Less than 0%
Post Dec-07, returns for 15 cities are considered which includes 10 additional cities- Hyderabad, Faridabad, Patna, Ahmedabad, Chennai, Jaipur, Lucknow, Pune, Surat and Kochi
NAV is rebased to 100 from 2001
How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of Lumpsum. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Real estate has beaten Inflation over longer time frames
provided the entry is right
Year wise Outperformance of Real estate vs Inflation (2001 to 2022)
Outperformance >=0%
Outperformance < 0%
Source: NHB, Indiabudget.gov.in, Income tax portal. Returns for real estate are based on NHB Residex.. Inflation data is based on Cost of Inflation Index (CII). The above table shows the Lumpsum returns of Real estate over Inflation.
How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of Lumpsum. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
But Real Estate has Underperformed Equities over long time
frames
Year wise Outperformance of Real estate vs Nifty 50 TRI (2001 to 2022)
Outperformance >=0%
Outperformance < 0%
Source: NHB, Indiabudget.gov.in, MFI. Returns for real estate are based on NHB Residex. The above table shows the Lumpsum returns of NHB Residex vs Lumpsum returns of Nifty 50 TRI
How to read the table: Column 1 indicates the starting date of Lumpsum. The Row named ‘Year’ indicates the time frame on investment – 1Y, 2Y, 3Y etc
Real Estate - Takeaways
1. Over the Long Term (15-20 years) Real Estate has provided returns above inflation
3. Real Estate also goes through cycles (7-10 years of up-cycle followed by down-cycle)
4. WHEN you enter in the Real Estate Cycle is a key driver of long term returns
Inflation
Know Your Enemy – Inflation!
13%
12%
11%
10% 10%
9% 9%
9% 9%
8% 9% 9% 9% 9%
8%
7% 7%
7%
6% 6%
6% 6% 6%
6% 6% 6%
5% 5% 5%
5% 5%
4% 4% 4% 4%
4% 4%
4% 4% 4%
3% 3% 3%
Source: Income tax portal. Inflation data is based on Cost of Inflation Index (CII)
Currency
Indian Currency has weakened by 3-4% per annum vs
USD over the long run
63
58
53
48
43
38
Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10 Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-15 Oct-16 Oct-17 Oct-18 Oct-19 Oct-20 Oct-21 Oct-22 Oct-23
Source: Investing.com, FundsIndia Research. As on 30-Jun-2024. Note: USD: US Dollar, INR: Indian Rupee.
Asset Allocation
Winners keep changing across Asset Classes
Note:
Real Estate: Returns based on NHB House Price Index. Ind-Equity: Nifty 50 TRI, US-Equity: S&P 500 TRI. Debt: Index calibrated based on the Debt Schemes - Aditya Birla SL Low Duration Fund, HDFC Low
Duration Fund, Aditya Birla SL Corporate Bond Fund.
CY-2010 Returns since 01-Apr-10. 2024 YTD Returns as on 30-Jun-2024. CY 2024 Real Estate Returns are updated till Mar-2024.
Source: MFI, NHB, gold.org, FundsIndia Research
Asset Allocation is an important driver of long-term returns
Equity 70% : Debt 30% 21% 14% 14% 13% 12% 12% 14% -40% -35% 74%
Equity 50% : Debt 50% 17% 11% 12% 11% 11% 11% 13% -27% -23% 52%
Equity 30% : Debt 70% 13% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 11% -14% -10% 32%
Ind Equity (Nifty 50 TRI) 27% 17% 17% 16% 14% 14% 16% -59% -55% 110%
US Equity (S&P 500 TR) 28% 14% 20% 19% 17% 19% 14% -44% -33% 71%
Debt 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% -4% 0% 15%
Gold 24% 14% 15% 13% 9% 10% 13% -29% -21% 79%
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. The table shows the ranking of diversified equity funds (Largecap, Midcap, Smallcap, Flexicap, Large & Midcap, Multicap, ELSS, Value/Contra, Focused & Dividend Yield) based on 3 Year returns. The
first column in each section shows the rank based on 3Y Returns during the specified period. The second column shows the ranking of the same fund in the subsequent 3Y Period.
Avoid Chasing Performance – Present Winners may
not have been Past Winners
How did the 30 Top Funds Fare in the Prior 3Y Period?
2009-11 2012-14 2010-12 2013-15 2011-13 2014-16 2012-14 2015-17 2013-15 2016-18 2014-16 2017-19 2015-17 2018-20 2016-18 2019-21 2017-19 2020-22 2018-20 2021-23
7 1 NA 1 1 1 35 1 NA 1 145 1 140 1 167 1 113 1 160 1
25 2 7 2 15 2 4 2 1 2 99 2 143 2 11 2 158 2 16 2
21 3 45 3 71 3 18 3 101 3 NA 3 77 3 79 3 67 3 166 3
NA 4 36 4 95 4 93 4 119 4 42 4 NA 4 89 4 149 4 133 4 The
51 5 49 5 135 5 NA 5 NA 5 40 5 56 5 93 5 159 5 9 5 number
46
76
6
7
12
53
6
7
96
52
6
7
9
1
6
7
46
39
6
7
1
53
6
7
139
79
6
7
88
118
6
7
166
41
6
7
96
147
6
7 1fund
NA 8 78 8 63 8 3 8 146 8 148 8 142 8 138 8 125 8 173 8 currently
45 9 108 9 70 9 24 9 45 9 141 9 14 9 NA 9 90 9 170 9 was
56 10 NA 10 17 10 23 10 125 10 143 10 114 10 137 10 109 10 169 10 ranked
160
58 11 6 11 6 11 21 11 66 11 66 11 85 11 NA 11 148 11 175 11
22 12 8 12 7 12 6 12 18 12 43 12 43 12 106 12 NA 12 5 12
31 13 4 13 76 13 13 13 48 13 118 13 131 13 166 13 157 13 107 13 during
6 14 20 14 12 14 136 14 8 14 NA 14 NA 14 70 14 154 14 122 14
2018-20
2 15 2 15 105 15 33 15 112 15 89 15 NA 15 26 15 135 15 116 15
8 16 39 16 33 16 26 16 NA 16 54 16 120 16 49 16 76 16 153 16
5 17 38 17 98 17 NA 17 106 17 111 17 128 17 2 17 17 17 140 17
38 18 67 18 68 18 78 18 49 18 125 18 130 18 149 18 96 18 NA 18
78 19 9 19 90 19 25 19 60 19 NA 19 129 19 77 19 133 19 86 19
54 20 61 20 141 20 16 20 59 20 138 20 2 20 148 20 95 20 NA 20
85 21 11 21 123 21 88 21 123 21 137 21 121 21 90 21 29 21 118 21
NA 22 73 22 112 22 44 22 127 22 136 22 152 22 1 22 NA 22 131 22
NA 23 94 23 45 23 29 23 58 23 83 23 89 23 27 23 NA 23 77 23
16 24 25 24 14 24 32 24 NA 24 NA 24 125 24 140 24 NA 24 68 24
11 25 91 25 26 25 28 25 80 25 102 25 70 25 NA 25 155 25 92 25
119 26 107 26 8 26 94 26 28 26 57 26 136 26 160 26 128 26 172 26
4 27 13 27 3 27 47 27 103 27 105 27 157 27 34 27 NA 27 164 27
99 28 NA 28 38 28 20 28 NA 28 61 28 137 28 142 28 68 28 87 28
13 29 123 29 100 29 49 29 136 29 123 29 117 29 134 29 88 29 63 29
116 30 16 30 136 30 12 30 62 30 2 30 105 30 82 30 147 30 NA 30
Source: MFI, FundsIndia Research. The table shows the ranking of diversified equity funds (Largecap, Midcap, Smallcap, Flexicap, Large & Midcap, Multicap, ELSS, Value/Contra, Focused & Dividend Yield) based on 3 Year returns. The
second column in each section shows the rank based on 3Y Returns during the specified period. The first column shows the ranking of the same fund in the prior 3Y Period. Funds which did not exist in the prior period have been
ranked as NA
Only 1 out of 4 Top Funds continue to remain in top
over the next 3 years
ORIGINAL
3Y PERIOD SUBSEQUENT PERCENTAGE OF FUNDS THAT REMAINED IN TOP QUARTILE
(where the funds 3Y PERIOD
finished in the top IN THE SUBSEQUENT 3 YEAR PERIOD
quartile)
Average: 27%
2002-04 2005-07 36%
2003-05 2006-08 33%
2004-06 2007-09 21%
2005-07 2008-10 0%
2006-08 2009-11 14%
2007-09 2010-12 29%
2008-10 2011-13 21%
2009-11 2012-14 42%
2010-12 2013-15 42%
2011-13 2014-16 38%
2012-14 2015-17 68%
2013-15 2016-18 18%
2014-16 2017-19 10%
2015-17 2018-20 7%
2016-18 2019-21 22%
2017-19 2020-22 20%
2018-20 2021-23 26%
Source: FundsIndia Research, MFI; Note: The quartile ranking is based on returns of diversified equity mutual funds (Large Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap, Flexicap, Large & Midcap, Multicap, ELSS, Value/Contra, Focused & Dividend Yield)
for 3 year periods starting Jan-02 to Dec-04 and returns for the subsequent 3 year periods.
Only 1 out of 5 Top Funds continue to stay on top
over the next 5 years
ORIGINAL
5Y PERIOD SUBSEQUENT PERCENTAGE OF FUNDS THAT REMAINED IN TOP QUARTILE
(where the funds 5Y PERIOD
finished in the top IN THE SUBSEQUENT 5 YEAR PERIOD
quartile)
Average: 21%
2002-06 2007-11 9%
2003-07 2008-12 8%
2007-11 2012-16 4%
Source: FundsIndia Research, MFI; Note: The quartile ranking is based on returns of diversified equity mutual funds (Large Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap, Flexicap, Large & Midcap, Multicap, ELSS, Value/Contra, Focused & Dividend Yield)
for 5 year periods starting Jan-02 to Dec-06 and returns for the subsequent 5 year periods.
Diversify Across Investment Styles
Dividend Yield Global Size (Midcap) Global Value Momentum Value Momentum Quality Global Quality Value Value Value Value
34% 21% 47% 50% 79% 11% 25% 57% 9% 34% 26% 56% 23% 63% 30%
Value Quality Momentum Quality Size (Midcap) Low Volatility Global Size (Midcap) Low Volatility Nifty 50 TRI Size (Midcap) Momentum Nifty 50 TRI Size (Midcap) Momentum
31% -10% 39% 20% 63% 10% 15% 56% 7% 13% 26% 54% 6% 45% 30%
Quality Low Volatility Dividend Yield Momentum Momentum Size (Midcap) Dividend Yield Value Nifty 50 TRI Momentum Low Volatility Size (Midcap) Dividend Yield Dividend Yield Size (Midcap)
28% -12% 34% 13% 50% 10% 13% 47% 5% 11% 24% 48% 5% 44% 22%
Low Volatility Dividend Yield Value Nifty 50 TRI Quality Global Momentum Low Volatility Global Quality Global Dividend Yield Size (Midcap) Momentum Dividend Yield
25% -13% 32% 8% 40% 6% 10% 30% 4% 6% 21% 34% 4% 42% 17%
Size (Midcap) Momentum Low Volatility Low Volatility Low Volatility Quality Size (Midcap) Nifty 50 TRI Dividend Yield Low Volatility Momentum Global Low Volatility Low Volatility Global
20% -16% 32% 7% 37% 2% 7% 30% 1% 5% 20% 31% 2% 32% 16%
Momentum Nifty 50 TRI Quality Size (Midcap) Dividend Yield Nifty 50 TRI Nifty 50 TRI Quality Momentum Dividend Yield Nifty 50 TRI Quality Quality Quality Quality
20% -24% 31% -1% 37% -3% 4% 30% -2% 1% 16% 26% -4% 32% 13%
Nifty 50 TRI Size (Midcap) Nifty 50 TRI Dividend Yield Nifty 50 TRI Value Low Volatility Dividend Yield Size (Midcap) Size (Midcap) Dividend Yield Nifty 50 TRI Momentum Global Nifty 50 TRI
19% -31% 29% -5% 33% -7% 3% 29% -13% 1% 16% 26% -5% 28% 11%
Global Value Global Value Global Dividend Yield Quality Global Value Value Value Low Volatility Global Nifty 50 TRI Low Volatility
10% -38% 19% -14% 16% -9% 1% 15% -26% -14% 8% 24% -9% 21% 11%
Source: FundsIndia Research, MFI. The indices considered are as follows: Quality - Nifty 200 Quality 30 TRI, Value - Nifty 500 Value 50 TRI, Size (Midcap) - Nifty Midcap 150 TRI, Global - S&P 500 TR INR, Momentum -
Nifty 200 Momentum 30 TRI, Low Volatility - Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 TRI, Dividend Yield - Nifty Dividend Opportunities 50 TRI. 2024 YTD - as on 30-Jun-24.
Diversification by Investment Styles has outperformed the
Index over the long run
Compound Annualized Returns (%) No of times your money multiplied
Index
(as on 30-Jun-2024)
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y
Quality 34.3 17.5 18.9 15.0 18.7 1.3x 1.6x 2.4x 4.0x 13.1x
Value 91.6 41.6 30.6 17.0 17.7 1.9x 2.8x 3.8x 4.8x 11.5x
Size (Midcap) 56.4 27.9 27.9 20.1 19.4 1.6x 2.1x 3.4x 6.3x 14.3x
Momentum 67.1 26.8 26.9 23.3 22.3 1.7x 2.0x 3.3x 8.1x 20.5x
Low Volatility 32.9 17.6 18.9 15.5 17.1 1.3x 1.6x 2.4x 4.2x 10.6x
Dividend Yield 49.3 25.9 21.5 14.5 16.7 1.5x 2.0x 2.6x 3.9x 10.2x
Nifty 50 TRI 26.7 16.5 16.7 13.6 13.5 1.3x 1.6x 2.2x 3.6x 6.7x
Nifty 500 TRI 38.7 20.0 19.8 15.1 14.6 1.4x 1.7x 2.5x 4.1x 7.7x
Source: FundsIndia Research, MFI. The indices considered are as follows: Quality - Nifty 200 Quality 30 TRI, Value - Nifty 500 Value 50 TRI, Size (Midcap) - Nifty Midcap 150 TRI, Momentum - Nifty 200 Momentum 30 TRI, Low
Volatility - Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 TRI, Dividend Yield - Nifty Dividend Opportunities 50 TRI. 2024 YTD - as on 30-Jun-2024.
Diversify Across Sectors
Sector Returns by Calendar Year
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 YTD
Healthcare FMCG Media IT Financials Healthcare Metals Realty IT Realty Healthcare Metals Utilities Realty Realty
36% 9% 59% 58% 57% 12% 45% 106% 24% 27% 57% 70% 22% 79% 40%
Auto Healthcare Realty Healthcare Auto Media Oil & Gas Cons Disc. FMCG Financials IT Utilities Metals Auto Telecom
35% -13% 53% 21% 57% 10% 27% 54% 14% 26% 55% 64% 22% 48% 37%
FMCG Telecom Financials Telecom Cons Disc. Cons Disc. Auto Telecom Financials Telecom Cons Disc. IT FMCG Cons Disc. Auto
31% -16% 52% 18% 54% 8% 11% 49% 11% 13% 20% 60% 18% 39% 35%
Financials IT FMCG FMCG Healthcare Telecom Utilities Metals Healthcare IT Metals Realty Oil & Gas Healthcare Utilities
30% -18% 49% 12% 46% 3% 10% 49% -6% 8% 16% 55% 17% 33% 30%
IT Auto Auto Auto Media FMCG Financials Financials Utilities Oil & Gas Telecom Telecom Auto Utilities Oil & Gas
29% -19% 42% 9% 33% 0% 5% 41% -15% 7% 14% 43% 15% 33% 28%
Cons Disc. Cons Disc. Cons Disc. Oil & Gas Utilities IT Cons Disc. Oil & Gas Oil & Gas FMCG FMCG Media Financials Telecom Cons Disc.
12% -23% 40% 4% 20% 0% 5% 34% -16% -1% 13% 35% 10% 31% 25%
Media Oil & Gas Healthcare Media FMCG Auto FMCG Media Cons Disc. Cons Disc. Auto Cons Disc. Cons Disc. FMCG Metals
4% -29% 33% 1% 18% 0% 3% 33% -16% -2% 11% 30% -1% 29% 23%
Telecom Financials Metals Cons Disc. IT Oil & Gas Media Auto Metals Healthcare Realty Oil & Gas Telecom IT Healthcare
2% -29% 18% -3% 18% -3% -1% 31% -20% -7% 9% 24% -4% 24% 18%
Oil & Gas Media Oil & Gas Financials Oil & Gas Utilities Realty Utilities Auto Utilities Financials Auto Media Media Financials
1% -33% 13% -7% 12% -4% -6% 30% -23% -7% 4% 19% -10% 20% 9%
Metals Utilities Utilities Utilities Telecom Financials IT FMCG Media Auto Utilities Healthcare Realty Metals IT
0% -34% 10% -14% 9% -5% -7% 29% -26% -11% 0% 18% -10% 19% 2%
Utilities Metals IT Metals Realty Realty Healthcare IT Realty Metals Oil & Gas Financials Healthcare Financials FMCG
-6% -48% -2% -14% 8% -14% -14% 12% -31% -11% -4% 14% -11% 13% 0%
Realty Realty Telecom Realty Metals Metals Telecom Healthcare Telecom Media Media FMCG IT Oil & Gas Media
-26% -52% -3% -32% 7% -31% -21% -3% -41% -30% -9% 10% -26% 13% -17%
Source: FundsIndia Research, MFI; The indices considered to represent each sector are as follows: Auto: Nifty Auto; Cons Disc.: S&P BSE Consumer Disc Goods & Services; Financials: Nifty Financial Services; FMCG: Nifty FMCG;
Healthcare: Nifty Healthcare Index; IT: Nifty IT; Media: Nifty Media; Metal: Nifty Metal; Oil & Gas: S&P BSE Oil & Gas; Realty: S&P BSE Realty; Telecom: S&P BSE Telecom; Utilities: S&P BSE Utilities – as on 30-Jun-2024.
Diversify Across Market Cap Segments - Large,
Mid & Small Cap
Mid Cap Large Cap Mid Cap Large Cap Small Cap Small Cap Mid Cap Small Cap Large Cap Large Cap Small Cap Small Cap Large Cap Small Cap Mid Cap
20% -25% 47% 8% 72% 11% 7% 58% 3% 12% 26% 63% 5% 49% 22%
Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap Mid Cap Mid Cap Mid Cap Large Cap Mid Cap Mid Cap Mid Cap Mid Cap Mid Cap Mid Cap Mid Cap Small Cap
19% -31% 40% -1% 63% 10% 5% 56% -13% 1% 26% 48% 4% 45% 22%
Small Cap Small Cap Large Cap Small Cap Large Cap Large Cap Small Cap Large Cap Small Cap Small Cap Large Cap Large Cap Small Cap Large Cap Large Cap
18% -35% 33% -6% 35% -1% 1% 33% -26% -7% 16% 26% -3% 21% 15%
Source: FundsIndia Research, MFI. The indices considered are as follows: Large Cap - Nifty 100 TRI, Mid Cap - Nifty Midcap 150 TRI, Small Cap - Nifty Small Cap 250 TRI. 2024 YTD - as on 30-Jun-2024.
Large, Mid & Small Cap returns historically
converge over a market cycle
Sensex vs BSE Midcap vs BSE Smallcap
6600
6100
5600
5100
4600
4100
3600
3100
2600
2100 c
1600
1100
c End of Market
c
600 End of Market Cycle
End of Market Cycle Cycle
100
Apr-03 Apr-04 Apr-05 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19 Apr-20 Apr-21 Apr-22 Apr-23 Apr-24
S&P BSE Sensex S&P BSE Mid Cap S&P BSE Small Cap
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