Benon FX Bulls Presents
Benon FX Bulls Presents
FOREX TRADING
Introduction
CURRENCIES
Most traded
Base and Quote Currencies
FOREX BROKERS
Definition
Most used
Leverage and spreads
Lots
TRADING ANALYSIS’
Sentimental Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
RISK MANEGEMENT
Risk to Reward
PSYCHOLOGY
Mental
FOREX TRADING
What is FOREX?
The Foreign Exchange market, also referred to a "Forex" or
"Retail forex" is the largest financial market in the world, with a
volume of about $2 trillion a day. If you compare that to the $25
billion a day volume that the New York Stock Exchange
trades, you can easily see how enormous the Foreign Exchange
really is. It actually equates to more than three times the total
amount of the stocks and futures markets combined!
In other words, Forex Trading is the buying at low prices and
selling at high prices of different currencies of different countries.
CURRENCIES
What is traded on the Foreign Exchange?
Currencies are traded through a broker or dealer, and are
traded in pairs; for example the Euro dollar and the USD dollar
(EUR/USD) or the British pound and the Japanese Yen
(GBP/JPY).
SENTIMENTAL ANALYSIS
Sentiment is a measure of how traders and investors view the
outlook of the market and larger economy.
Forex traders generally analyze the overall sentiment by looking at the
positions of all traders in a market, and how their positions change
on a daily or weekly basis, to get a better 'feel' of where currency
prices might be heading in the future.
IMG.1
From IMG.1 USDJPY portrays to have 74% of traders Shorting it
( SELLING IT ) and 26% of traders Longing it ( BUYING IT ). Choosing
whether to sell or buy this pair according to the provided report is what is
called Sentiment. ( https://www.fxblue.com/connect/#sentiment )
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Fundamental analysis refers to the critical analysis of economical, social,
and political forces / News updates that may affect currency pair prices
both short and long term .(My Forex Factory)
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical analysis is a trading discipline employed to evaluate in-
vestments and identify trading opportunities in price trends and
patterns seen on charts. Technical analysts believe past trading
activity and price changes of a stock can be valuable indicators of
the stock's future price movements.
Under Technical Analysis we have a variety of different trading
techniques;
Candlestick Patterns Technique
Support And Resistance Technique
Demand And Supply Technique etc.
The lower shadow/wicks- which represents the lowest price that the
market has reached for that period of time
The body- which represents the range between the opening price and
closing price for a given period of time. The body is in most cases col-
ored red or green which represents sellers and buyers respectively.
(note the color is just customized).
If the close is above the open, we can say that the candlestick is bullish
which means that the market is rising in this period of time. Bullish
candlesticks are always displayed as green candlestick.
If the close is below the open, we can say that the candlestick is bear-
ish which indicates that the market is falling in this period of time.
Bearish candles are always displayed as red candlesticks. But this is not
a rule as we already noted that the color can be changed.
This indicates a bullish rejection from buyers and their intention to push the
market higher. It should be noted that color of a candle doesn't matter but the
wicks and body of the candles communicate good price action.
This candle forms when sellers push the market lower after the open, but they
get rejected by buyers so the market closes higher than the lowest price.
Therefore the hammer candlestick represents buyers coming in the market and
it should be noted that if it’s a GREEN hammer handle it shows buyers taking
over and if it’s a RED hammer candle it shows buyers coming in but sellers still
available.
As you can see the market was trending down, the formation of the ham-
mer candlestick was a significant reversal pattern.
The long shadow represents the high buying pressure from this point.
Sellers was trying to push the market lower, but in that level the buying
power was more powerful than the selling pressure which results in a
trend reversal.
The most important to understand is the psychology behind the formation
of this pattern, if you can understand how and why it was created, you will
be able to predict the market direction with high accuracy.
The pin bar candlestick is a candlestick with along wick or shadow above
and a small body below with a small or no wick on the bottom.
This indicates a bearish rejection from sellers and their intention to push
the market lower. It should be noted that color of a candle doesn't matter
but the wicks and body of the candles communicate good price action.
The pin bar is a reversal candlestick pattern when it occurs at the top of an
uptrend.
Illustration of a pin bar candlestick
This candle forms when buyers push the market higher after the open, but
they get rejected by sellers so the market closes lower than the highest
price.
Therefore the pin bar candlestick represents sellers coming in the market
and it should be noted that if it’s a RED pin bar candle it shows sellers tak-
ing over and if it’s a GREEN pin bar candle it shows sellers coming in but
buyers still available.
As you can see the market was trending up, the formation of the pin bar
candlestick was a significant reversal pattern.
The long shadow represents the high selling pressure from this point.
Buyers was trying to push the market up, but in that level the selling power
was more powerful than the buying pressure which results in a trend rever-
sal.
The most important to understand is the psychology behind the formation
of this pattern, if you can understand how and why it was created, you will
be able to predict the market direction with high accuracy.
The bearish engulfing bar pattern tells us that the market is no longer un-
der control of buyers, and sellers will take control of the market.
When a bearish engulfing candle forms in the context of an downtrend, it
indicates a continuation signal.
When a bearish engulfing candle forms at the end of an uptrend, the rever-
sal is much more powerful as it represents sellers taking over control of the
market.
The doji candlestick
Doji is one of the most important candlestick patterns, when this candlestick
forms, it tells us that the market opens and closes at the same price which
means that there is equality and indecision between buyers and sellers, there is
no one in control of the market. See the example below:
DOJI
As you can see the opening price is the same as the closing price, this signal
means that the market didn’t decide which direction will take.
This candlestick pattern shows indecision in the market i.e. neither sellers or
buyers in control of the market at that specific period of time.
The doji candle stick is categorized into two: Dragon fly doji.
The gravestone doji.
The dragon fly doji
The Dragonfly Doji is a bullish candlestick pattern which is formed when the
open high and close are the same or about the same price.
What characterizes the dragonfly Doji is the long lower tail that shows the re-
sistance of buyers and their attempt to push the market up.
The gravestone doji
The gravestone Doji is a bearish candlestick pattern which is formed when the
open high and close are the same or about the same price.
What characterizes the gravestone Doji is the long upper tail that shows the re-
sistance of sellers and their attempt to push the market down.
The illustration above shows us a perfect gravestone Doji. The long upper tail
suggests that the forces of supply and demand are nearing a balance and that
the direction of the trend may be nearing a major turning point.
KEY FACTORS
Candlesticks are one of the most important tools used in technical analysis
as they help us identify key trading opportunities through pure price ac-
tion.
It should be noted that candlestick pattern are not traded in isolation i.e.
they should be accompanied by other confluence before executing a trade.
Candlestick patterns are mostly used for entries in the lower time frames.
For example all the candlesticks we have seen that indicate buyers coming
in the market should be traded at support and all that indicate sellers in
the market should be traded at resistance.
If a candlestick that represents buyers shows at resistance then we expect
a break of that zone as the market is telling us that buyers are still available
even though we at resistance, the same way at support.
In the forex market we trade what we see not what we think that’s why pa-
tience is one of the greatest assets needed in the market .
Resistance refers to a level in the market where commodities will cease to rise
in price. In Uptrend currencies will continue to increase in price. Until they hit
the ceiling above which the price seems reluctant to increase hence resistance
level.
Support and resistance can also be termed as reaction or rejection areas in
the financial markets, Its is one of the most used tools when analyzing the
financial markets .
At any one time a trader has only 3 options:
Buy (buy/ long)
Sell (sell/ short)
Stand (waiting )
it should be noted that support and resistance is a strategy used in analyz-
ing the markets so as to identify buy or sell opportunities in the market.
Support and resistance is going to help traders identify prices where to buy
from or sell from.
Basically support and resistance happens when the big market players in
the market e.g. financial institutions, hedge funds etc. pick a certain price
and buy from it multiple times.
As its already noted above in technical analysis that the markets are repeti-
tive we as traders we use this opportunity to predict what might happen in
the future just by identifying those prices that market movers buy and sell
from multiple times.
We believe that ounce the market movers buy or sell from a certain price
there are high chances that they will come back to that price and buy and
sell again.
Support and resistance can be identified in all trends in the market i.e. up-
trend, downtrend and ranging market.
Illustrations of Support And Resistance in trending markets.
Downtrend Uptrend
From the picture above we can see that market was respecting trend line multi-
ple times hence giving us touches which show that we can buy and sell at support
and resistance respectively.
In an uptrend we can be buying at support and in a downtrend we can be selling
at resistance
We trade Support and Resistance in 2 ways;
Multiple touches.
Breakouts .
Multiple Touches
We consider bounces to be the touches at support and resistance i.e. every
time market comes at support and buys that’s a bounce and when it reaches
resistance and sells that’s a bounce.
So bounces give us touches and as we have already noted the more the
touches the stronger the support and resistance.
As traders we always draw our support and resistance and wait for market to
reach those areas and execute our trades.
The way to know that market is going to bounce off my support and re-
sistance is through candlestick confirmations on.
Breakouts and Retests
We consider breakouts as violation of support and resistance, as we know
that the market moves in waves/trends, there are a lot of factors affecting
the market movements like fundamentals, so there's always possibility of
market breaking support and resistance
Whenever market breaks support or resistance it implies and signals the
availability and volume of buy and sell orders that are coming in the market
at that specific period of time.
Whenever support is broken we expect it to become resistance conversely
when resistance is broken we expect it to become support.
For a trader to consider a valid break of support and resistance the candle-
sticks must close below support or above resistance not just wicks as wicks
are considered stop hunts.
Every time market breaks support or resistance before taking a trade we wait
for a retest on that broken support or resistance and then we execute our
trades following the direction of the break.
Note:
Retest means that market has to come back and touch the broken zone for a
trader to execute a buy or sell order following the direction of the break.
The picture above shows a demand zone created by massive buying in the
market, so as traders we identify that area and wait for price to come back
to it and buy with the big boys.
Depending on the number and size of buy orders placed in the demand
zone, the price will always get rejected and move higher every time it
bounces to this level. Prices will only rise below the demand zone when
sellers overpower buyers.
The best way to find a supply and demand zone
The best way to find a supply and demand zone is to use longer timeframes to
identify areas where strong consolidation occurs. Four-hours, daily, and weekly
charts provide a clear view of potential supply and demand areas. While in the
longer timeframes, it is essential to use rectangular shapes to denote this zone
that should act as support and resistance levels as seen in the pictures above.
In addition, always be on the look for strong moves out of potential supply and
demand zones. Any sharp move signifies strong momentum in the new direc-
tion, affirming the initial buildup in momentum from large institutions placing
orders. Price will always move sharply from the supply and demand zone until
the value has diminished or the large institutions achieve their objective.
While an influx of sell orders characterizes the supply zone as sellers look to sell
high, traders can look to enter sell positions in anticipation of the price edging
lower afterward. Therefore, while placing a sell order below the supply zone, it
is essential to place a stop-loss order a few pips above the zone. The stop-loss
order will close the sell order should the price fail to edge lower after consoli-
dation from the supply zone as seen in the pictures above
Likewise, one can look to enter buy orders near the demand zone, given that an
influx of buy orders characterizes the area. The prospect of the price edging
higher from the demand zone is usually high. Stop loss orders should be placed
a few pips below the demand zone. This will close down any buy positions once
the price fails to move up above the demand zone and starts moving lower as
we have seen in the pictures above.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
To trade on a demand zone it has to be fresh meaning no touch on it.
Always place your stop loss below or above the zone when selling or buying
respectively.
The zone has to have massive buying and massive selling to be considered
demand and supply.
NOTE;
SUPPLY AND DEMAND CAN BE COMBINED WITH SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
AS THIS WILL HELP YOU CAPITALISE ON BIG MOVES IN THE MARKET.
Position Size
Selecting the right position size , or the number of lots you take on a trade, is
important as the right size will both protect your account and maximize oppor-
tunities. To select your position size, you need to work out your stop place-
ment, determine your risk percentage and evaluate your pip cost and lot size.
Stop Losses
Using stop loss orders – which are placed to close a trade when a specific price
is reached – is another key concept to understand for effective risk manage-
ment in forex trading. Knowing the point in advance at which you want to exit a
position means you can prevent potentially significant losses. But where is this
point? Broadly, it’s whatever point your initial trading idea is invalidated.
TRADE MANAGEMENT
Trade management is one of the ways someone can easily manage there risk in
the market and we focus on three key principles,
Breakeven
Trailing stop loss
Partial profits
BREAKEVEN
This is when you enter a trade and it goes in profits for example 20pips and u
shift your stop loss to entry price so that even if market comes back against you
no loss made.
Illustration of a trade with BE