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WST01 01 ms-S1

This document contains the marking scheme for the Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Level Statistics 1 exam from January 2021. It outlines general marking guidance, specific instructions for marking, and detailed marking criteria for various questions in the exam. The document emphasizes fairness in marking, the importance of rewarding candidates for their demonstrated knowledge, and provides a structured approach to evaluating student responses.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
64 views13 pages

WST01 01 ms-S1

This document contains the marking scheme for the Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Level Statistics 1 exam from January 2021. It outlines general marking guidance, specific instructions for marking, and detailed marking criteria for various questions in the exam. The document emphasizes fairness in marking, the importance of rewarding candidates for their demonstrated knowledge, and provides a structured approach to evaluating student responses.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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com

Mark Scheme (Results)

January 2021

Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Level


In Statistics 1
(WST01/01)
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Edexcel and BTEC Qualifications

Edexcel and BTEC qualifications come from Pearson, the world’s leading learning company.
We provide a wide range of qualifications including academic, vocational, occupational and
specific programmes for employers. For further information, please visit our website at
www.edexcel.com.

Our website subject pages hold useful resources, support material and live feeds from our
subject advisors giving you access to a portal of information. If you have any subject specific
questions about this specification that require the help of a subject specialist, you may find
our Ask The Expert email service helpful.

www.edexcel.com/contactus

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achievement through innovation in education. Find out more about how we can help you
and your students at: www.pearson.com/uk

January 2021
Publications Code WST01_01_2101_MS
All the material in this publication is copyright
© Pearson Education Ltd 2021
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General Marking Guidance

• All candidates must receive the same treatment. Examiners must mark the first
candidate in exactly the same way as they mark the last.
• Mark schemes should be applied positively. Candidates must be rewarded for
what they have shown they can do rather than penalised for omissions.
• Examiners should mark according to the mark scheme not according to their
perception of where the grade boundaries may lie.
• There is no ceiling on achievement. All marks on the mark scheme should be used
appropriately.
• All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to be awarded. Examiners should
always award full marks if deserved, i.e. if the answer matches the mark scheme.
Examiners should also be prepared to award zero marks if the candidate’s
response is not worthy of credit according to the mark scheme.
• Where some judgement is required, mark schemes will provide the principles by
which marks will be awarded and exemplification may be limited.
• When examiners are in doubt regarding the application of the mark scheme to a
candidate’s response, the team leader must be consulted.
• Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the candidate has replaced it with an
alternative response.
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EDEXCEL IAL MATHEMATICS

General Instructions for Marking

1. The total number of marks for the paper is 75.

2. The Edexcel Mathematics mark schemes use the following types of marks:

• M marks: method marks are awarded for ‘knowing a method and attempting to
apply it’, unless otherwise indicated.
• A marks: Accuracy marks can only be awarded if the relevant method (M) marks
have been earned.
• B marks are unconditional accuracy marks (independent of M marks)
• Marks should not be subdivided.

3. Abbreviations

These are some of the traditional marking abbreviations that will appear in the mark
schemes.

• bod – benefit of doubt


• ft – follow through
• the symbol will be used for correct ft
• cao – correct answer only
• cso - correct solution only. There must be no errors in this part of the question to
obtain this mark
• isw – ignore subsequent working
• awrt – answers which round to
• SC: special case
• oe – or equivalent (and appropriate)
• dep – dependent
• indep – independent
• dp decimal places
• sf significant figures
•  The answer is printed on the paper
• The second mark is dependent on gaining the first mark

4. All A marks are ‘correct answer only’ (cao.), unless shown, for example, as A1 ft to
indicate that previous wrong working is to be followed through. After a misread
however, the subsequent A marks affected are treated as A ft, but manifestly absurd
answers should never be awarded A marks.

5. For misreading which does not alter the character of a question or materially simplify
it, deduct two from any A or B marks gained, in that part of the question affected.

6. If a candidate makes more than one attempt at any question:


• If all but one attempt is crossed out, mark the attempt which is NOT crossed
out.
• If either all attempts are crossed out or none are crossed out, mark the last
most complete solution.

7. Ignore wrong working or incorrect statements following a correct answer.


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Question
Scheme Marks
Number
1 (a) [0.15 + 0.13 + 0.12 = ] 0.4 B1
(1)
(b) 0.15 + 0.20 + 0.23 + 0.12 or 1 – (0.17 + 0.13) or 0.35 + 0.35 M1
= 0.7 A1
(2)
P( A  B) p 0.15
(c)  P( A | B) =  and or M1
P( B) "0.4" "0.4"
3
= A1
8
(2)
[5 marks]
Notes
(a) B1 for 0.4 or exact equivalent

(b) M1 for a correct sum or expression


A1 for 0.7 or an exact equivalent. Correct answer with no incorrect working 2/2

(c) P( A  B) p 0.15


M1 for and where 0 < p < “0.4” or just

P( B ) "0.4" "0.4"
P( A  B)  A  B  A  B
Condone one missing “P” e.g. but NOT P   or but of course
( B)  B  B
0.15
they may score this M mark from
"0.4"

3 0.15
A1 for or exact equivalent e.g. 0.375 but is A0
8 0.4
Correct answer with no incorrect working 2/2
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Question
Scheme Marks
Number
2. (a) [Median =] 74 B1
(1)
(b) Q1 = 68 Q3 = 80 M1
[IQR = 80 – 68 =] 12 A1
(2)

Q1 − 1.5  (IQR) = "68"− 1.5  "12" [= 50]


(c) M1
or Q3 + 1.5  (IQR) = "80"+ 1.5  "12" [=98]
Outliers are < 50 or > 98 A1ft
So there is just one outlier at 43 A1
(3)

(d) M1
A1ft
A1
(3)
[9 marks]
Notes
(a) B1 for 74

(b) M1 for an attempt at both and at least one correct.


May be in a calculation e.g. 80 – A (where 60 < A < 80) or B – 68 (where 68 < B < 90)
A1 for 12

(c) M1 for correct attempt for at least one of the limits. Can ft their quartiles and IQR
1st A1ft for correct attempts for both limits and with at least one correct limit
or correct ft using their quartiles and IQR
Sight of the two limits 50 and 98 will score M1A1
2 A1 for identifying only one outlier at 43 (e.g. may say “43 < 50”) Must be stated in (c)
nd

Just stating the outlier is 43 (or seeing it on box plot) without sight of limits is M0A0A0

(d) M1 for drawing a box with only two whiskers one at each end
1st A1ft for Q1 , Q2 and Q3 as a correctly drawn box ( or ft their values for Q1  Q2 < Q3 )
2nd A1 for upper whisker ending at 97 and lower whisker ending at 54 or 50 and only
one outlier, shown at 43
Allow + 0.5 of a square for accuracy
NB A fully correct box plot can score full marks in (d) even if other parts are missing or
incorrect
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Question
Scheme Marks
Number
3. (a) [W = weight of a package delivered to factory W ~ N(18, 5.42)]
 10 − 18 
P(W < 18) = P  Z   or P(Z < – 1.481…) M1
 5.4 
= 1 – 0.9306 (calc: 0.069239…) M1
= 0.0694 [0.0692, 0.0694] A1
(3)
j − 18
(b) [P(W > j) = 0.15 implies] = 1.0364 M1B1
5.4
j = 23.596.… awrt 23.6 A1
(3)
P(18  W  "23.6")
(c) [P(W > 18 | W < “23.59…”) =] M1
P(W  "23.6")
0.5 − 0.15 0.85 − 0.5 0.35
= or ; = M1;A1
0.85 0.85 0.85
35 7
= = or allow awrt 0.412 A1
85 17
(4)
(d) 0.85  0.15  6
2 2
M1dM1
= 0.0975375 awrt 0.0975 A1
(3)
[13 marks]
Notes
st
(a) 1 M1 for standardising 10 with 18 and 5.4 (allow +)
2nd M1 for 1 – p (where 0.91 < p < 0.95)
A1 for answer in the range 0.0692 ans 0.0694 (calc. 0.069239…) Ans only 3/3

M1 for standardising their letter j with 18 and 5.4 and setting equal to z value 1 < |z| < 2
(b)
Condone use of 10 instead of 18 for the M1 mark
B1 for use of z = + 1.0364 or better (calc 1.03643338…)
A1 for awrt 23.6 (calc 23.596740.…)
Ans only [ awrt 23.60 scores 3/3 23.6 scores M1B0A1 unless 1.0364 or better is seen]

1st M1 for a correct ratio of probability expressions ft their answer to (b)


(c)
i.e. their j either the letter or their value provided > 18 May be implied by 2nd M1
q
2nd M1 for a ratio of probs of the form where 0.15 < q < 0.5
0.85
Allow recalculation of 0.85 provided awrt 0.85
1st A1 for a correct ratio i.e. using q = 0.35
7
2nd A1 for or exact equivalent or allow awrt 0.412 (0.4117647…)
17

(d) 1st M1 for p 2  (1 − p ) 2  k for any positive integer k (allow k = 1) and any probability p
2nd dM1 dep on 1st M1 for k = 6 or 3! or 3  2 or 4C2
7803
A1 for awrt 0.0975 NB allow exact fraction Ans only 3/3
80000
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Question
Scheme Marks
Number
4 (a) (Discrete) uniform (distribution) B1
(1)
(b)(i) [By symmetry] E(X) = 13 B1 (1)
(ii) 10 + 12 + 14 + 16 − 132 or
2 2 2 2
696
− 169 or 174 – 169 M1
4 4
=5 A1
(2)
1 90 M1; A1
(c)(i) E(Y) = (1 4 + 2  9 + 3  6 + 4  5 + 5  6 ) ; = =3
30 30 (2)
(ii) E(Y2) = 1 12  4 + 22  9 + 32  6 + 4 2  5 + 52  6 =  324 or 10.8 
( ) M1
 30 
30  
Var(Y) = “10.8” – “[3]”2 ; = 1.8 M1; A1
(3)
(d) E(W) = E(Y)  aE( X ) + b [= E(W ) or E(Y ) or "3" ]; i.e. "13" a + b = "3" M1; A1ft
Var(W) = Var(Y)  a 2  "5" = "1.8" ; so a = 53 or 0.6 M1; A1
b = – 4.8 A1
(5)
(e) Values of w are: 10  "0.6"− "4.8" = 1.2 or 2.4 or 3.6 or 4.8 i.e. all non integers M1
[So no cases are possible when W = Y so P(W = Y)] = 0 A1
(2)
[16 marks]
Notes
(a) B1 for “uniform” but if they say “continuous uniform” B0

For all parts, correct answer with no incorrect working seen scores full marks
(b)(i) B1 for 13
32  2 + 12  2
(ii) M1 for a fully correct expression, can ft their 13 May use E(X – )2 =
4
A1 for 5

(c)(i) M1 for an attempt at E(Y) with at least 3 correct products seen


A1 for 3
(ii) 1st M1 for an attempt at E(Y2) with at least 3 correct products seen or 10.8 o.e.
2nd M1 for correct expression for Var(Y) (ft their 10.8 and 3) [NB Var(Y) = …= 10.8 M1M0]
A1 for 1.8 (or exact equivalent)
E(X – ) 2 May see 0  306 + 1 ( 309 + 305 ) + 22  ( 304 + 306 ) if in doubt send to review.

(d) 1st M1 for correct use of E(aX + b) formula i.e. aE(X) + b or “13” a + b
1st A1ft for a correct equation in a and b ft their E(X) and their E(Y)
2nd M1 for correct use of Var(Y) = Var(aX + b) formula with their Var(X) and their Var(Y)
2nd A1 for a = 0.6 or exact equivalent
3rd A1 for b = – 4.8 or exact equivalent

(e) M1 for a clear attempt to find all possible values of w (ft their values of a and b and
w values needn’t be correct) or state that no integer values for w (if this is true)
Can ft their values of a and b even if the values for w are integers
A1 for an answer of 0 provided it’s true for their a and b (which may be incorrect)
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Question
Scheme Marks
Number
5 (a) Positive (correlation) or e.g. “salary (y) increases as performance (x) increases” B1
[NB “Positive skew” is B0] (1)
(b)(i) 19 428 − 465  562 261330
or 19 428 − = 2006 (*) B1cso (1)
15 15
2
(ii) S =  23140 − 562 M1
 yy  15
= 2083.7333… awrt 2080 A1
(2)
2006
(c)  r = ; = 0.8803104… awrt 0.880 M1;A1
2492  "2083.73.."
(2)
Is consistent and the points on the scatter diagram lie close to a straight line or
(d) B1
r is close to 1 or strong/high (positive) correlation (o.e.)
(1)
2006
(e) b= ; = 0.80[497…] ; a = 37.46... − "b " 31 [= 12.512…] M1;A1;M1
2492
y = 12.5 + 0.805x A1 (4)
(f) An increase of 1 (performance) point gives an extra £800 (1 sf) in salary (o.e.) B1 (1)
(g) Line must cross x = 9 and x = 50 to score either of these marks
Line for 9~50 Intercept (extend line if necessary) at “12.5” (accept 11.5~13.5) B1ft
Line for 9~50 At x = 50 y = 52.8 (accept 52~54) B1 (2)
(h) For the point (25, 48) circled. (If more than one of the given points circled B0) B1 (1)

(i) "12.5"+ 30  "0.805" [= 36 ~37] or allow 2sf from their diagram M1


Salary of awrt (£) 36 700 (or 36.7 thousands) A1 (2)
[17 marks]
Notes
(b)(i) B1 for correct expression, all correct values must be seen (either of the printed expressions)
Correct answers to parts (b)(ii), (c), (e) & (i) with no incorrect working score full marks
(ii) M1 for a correct expression
A1 for awrt 2080 (expect to see 2084 but allow 3125615 )

(c) M1 for a correct expression but ft their Syy  23140 or answer only of 0.88
A1 for awrt 0.880 (accept 0.88 from a correct expression with S yy =  2083 ~ 2084 )

(d) B1 [ no ft] for “yes” (o.e.) and a suitable reason based on scatter diagram or value of r

(e) 1st M1 for a correct expression for b 1st A1 for b = 0.80 or better (allow 1246
1003
but not 2006
2492 )

15 for 37.46… and 15 for 31)


2nd M1 for a correct expression for a (allow 562 465

2nd A1 for correct equation in y and x with b = awrt 0.805 and a = awrt 12.5(no fractions)
(f) B1 for a comment mentioning their value in £ of b 1000 (awrt 1 sf) per performance point
Condone use of $ rather than £
(g) 1 B1ft for correct intercept for their line (+ 1) 2nd B1 for y = 52~54 when x = 50
st

(i) M1 for using x = 30 in their equation ft their a and b to any accuracy


A1 for awrt 36 700 (Answer only of awrt 37 000 can score M1A0)
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Question
Scheme Marks
Number
6. (a) Centre of the disc must land at least 1 cm from each side of the rectangle M1
i.e. inside a rectangle 3 cm long and 1 cm wide dM1
3 1 1 2 (1 5 + 11)
Probability disc lies inside rectangle is = or 1 − (oe)
5 3 5 5 3 A1cso
(*)
(3)
2
295  61 
(b)  x = −  or 3.1288... M1
15  15 
= 1.768866… awrt 1.77 A1
(2)
(c) y = 3.5   y = 42, so new  z = 42 + 61[= 103] M1, A1

y = 2  2 =
2  y − 3.5 or 2 =  y − 3.5
2
2
2
2
M1
12 12
 y = (2
2 2
)
+ 3.52 12 [= 195] so new z 2
( )
= 22 + 3.52 12 + 295 [or 490] A1
"103"
New mean = = 3.8148... dM1
(15 + 12)
"490"
New standard deviation = − "3.81..."2 [= 1.89613…] dM1
(12 + 15)
New mean =awrt 3.81 new st. dev = awrt 1.90 A1
(7)
(d) Centre of disc must be within 1 cm of a vertex (so 4 quarter circles) M1

So probability of disc covering a vertex is A1
15
So an estimate for  is 15  0.2216 = 3.324 A1
(3)
[15 marks]
Notes
(a) 1st M1 accept a suitable diagram showing “winning area” or equivalent in words
2nd dM1 dep on M1 for dimensions of rectangle within which centre must lie (at least 3 or 1 seen)
A1 cso for complete explanation with evidence seen for both M1 marks
MR See next page for case of MR with n = 15  20 = 300
(b) M1 for a correct expression including allow 3.129 or better
A1 for awrt 1.77 [exact surd is A0] (allow s = awrt 1.83 [calc: 1.8309508…]) Ans only 2/2

(c) 1st M1 for using mean of 3.5 to get sum of 12 students e.g. 12  3.5
1st A1 for a correct sum of 42 + 61 or 103 (allow any letter).
2nd M1 for a correct equation for  y 2 (sum of squares for the 12 students). Any letter
2nd A1 for correct expression for z 2
e.g. = 195 + 295 [= 490]
rd st
3 dM1 dep on 1 M1 for a correct method for finding new mean or awrt 3.81
4th dM1 dep on 1st and 2nd M1s for a correct method for new st. dev.
3rd A1 for both mean = awrt 3.81 (or 3.815) and st. dev = awrt 1.90

(d) M1 for explanation or diagram showing possible region for centre is a full circle
1 A1 for the correct probability. Allow M1A1 for 15 (o.e.) but must be in part (d)
st

2nd A1 dep on M1 for estimate of 3.324 (accept 3.32 if M1A1 clearly scored)
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Minimum acceptable for 3/3 is  = 15  0.2216 = 3.324

Qu 6 Scheme for MR Marks


(a) As for main scheme M1dM1
MR Only use this scheme for marking the MR A1cso (3)
n = 300
2
295  61 
(b)  x = −  or 0.941988.. M1
300  300 
= 0.9705611… awrt 0.971 A0ft
m = 240 (2 – 1 = 1)
(c) y = 3.5   y = 240  3.5 = 840, so new  z = 840 + 61[= 901] M1, A0ft

y = 2  2 =
2  y − 3.5 or 2 =  y − 3.5
2
2
2
2
M1
240 240
 y = (2
2 2
)
+ 3.52  240 [= 3900] so z 2
= y 2
= (22 + 3.52 )  240 + 295
A1ft
[or 4195]
"901"
New mean = = 1.66851... dM1
(300 + 240)
"4195"
New standard deviation = − "1.668..."2 [= 2.2326…] dM1
(240 + 300)
New mean =awrt 1.67 new st. dev = awrt 2.23 A1ft
(7 – 1 = 6)
(d) Centre of disc must be within 1 cm of a vertex (so 4 quarter circles) M1

So probability of disc covering a vertex is A1
15
So an estimate for  is 15  0.2216 = 3.324 A1
(3)
[13 marks]
Notes
(a) As in main scheme

(b) M1 for a correct expression including allow 0.942 or better


A0 for awrt 0.971 (This is A0 for misread as the first two accuracy ft marks are withheld)

(c) 1st M1 for using mean of 3.5 to get sum of 12 students e.g. 240  3.5
1st A0 for a correct sum of 840 + 61 or 901 (allow any letter)
(This is the 2nd A0 for misread unless, of course, they didn’t achieve awrt 0.971 in (b))
2nd M1 for a correct equation for  y 2 (sum of squares for the 12 students = 240 rolls)
2nd A1ft for correct expression for z 2
e.g. = 3900 + 295 [= 4195]
3rd dM1 dep on 1st M1 for a correct method for finding new mean or awrt 1.67
4th dM1 dep on 1st and 2nd M1s for a correct method for new st. dev.
3rd A1ft for both mean = 1.67 and st. dev = awrt 2.23

(d) As in main scheme


M1 for explanation or diagram showing possible region for centre is a full circle
1st A1 for the correct probability. Allow M1A1 for 15 (o.e.) but must be in part (d)
2nd A1 dep on M1 for estimate of 3.324 (accept 3.32 if M1A1 clearly scored)
Minimum acceptable for 3/3 is  = 15  0.2216 = 3.324
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