Cancers 16 00674
Cancers 16 00674
Systematic Review
AI-Driven Models for Diagnosing and Predicting Outcomes in
Lung Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Mohammed Kanan 1, * , Hajar Alharbi 2 , Nawaf Alotaibi 3 , Lubna Almasuood 4 , Shahad Aljoaid 5 , Tuqa Alharbi 6 ,
Leen Albraik 7 , Wojod Alothman 8 , Hadeel Aljohani 9 , Aghnar Alzahrani 10 , Sadeem Alqahtani 11 ,
Razan Kalantan 9 , Raghad Althomali 12 , Maram Alameen 12 and Ahdab Mufti 13
1 Department of Clinical Pharmacy, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh 12211, Saudi Arabia
2 Department of Medicine, Gdansk Medical University, 80210 Gdansk, Poland
3 Department of Clinical Pharmacy, Northern Border University, Rafha 73213, Saudi Arabia
4 Department of Pharmacy, Qassim University, Buraydah 52571, Saudi Arabia
5 Department of Medicine, University of Tabuk, Tabuk 47911, Saudi Arabia
6 Department of Medicine, Qassim University, Buraydah 52571, Saudi Arabia
7 Department of Medicine, Al-Faisal University, Riyadh 12385, Saudi Arabia; [email protected]
8 Department of Medicine, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, Dammam 31411, Saudi Arabia
9 Department of Medicine and Surgery, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah 22230, Saudi Arabia
10 Department of Medicine, Al-Baha University, Al Bahah 65964, Saudi Arabia
11 Department of Pharmacy, King Khalid University, Abha 62217, Saudi Arabia
12 Department of Medicine, Taif University, Taif 26311, Saudi Arabia
13 Department of Medicine, Ibn Sina National College, Jeddah 22230, Saudi Arabia
* Correspondence: [email protected]
Simple Summary: This research explores the transformative potential of artificial intelligence (AI) in
the early detection of lung cancer. Through a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis,
this study evaluates the effectiveness of AI models, emphasizing a promising avenue for improving
diagnostic accuracy. Among 1024 identified records, 39 studies were meticulously selected and
Citation: Kanan, M.; Alharbi, H.; analyzed following the PRISMA guidelines. The findings highlight significant strides in AI’s role,
Alotaibi, N.; Almasuood, L.; Aljoaid, S.; emphasizing the need for standardized protocols. Despite the observed heterogeneity, this study
Alharbi, T.; Albraik, L.; Alothman, W.; underscores AI’s promising impact on lung cancer screening, laying the groundwork for future ad-
Aljohani, H.; Alzahrani, A.; et al. vancements in clinical practice. This research contributes crucial insights for healthcare professionals
AI-Driven Models for Diagnosing and
and researchers alike, aiming to enhance the early diagnosis and management of lung cancer.
Predicting Outcomes in Lung Cancer: A
Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.
Abstract: (1) Background: Lung cancer’s high mortality due to late diagnosis highlights a need
Cancers 2024, 16, 674. https://
for early detection strategies. Artificial intelligence (AI) in healthcare, particularly for lung cancer,
doi.org/10.3390/cancers16030674
offers promise by analyzing medical data for early identification and personalized treatment. This
Academic Editors: Athanasia Pataka, systematic review evaluates AI’s performance in early lung cancer detection, analyzing its techniques,
Serafeim Chrysovalantis Kotoulas and strengths, limitations, and comparative edge over traditional methods. (2) Methods: This systematic
Dionisios G. Spyratos
review and meta-analysis followed the PRISMA guidelines rigorously, outlining a comprehensive
Received: 19 November 2023 protocol and employing tailored search strategies across diverse databases. Two reviewers inde-
Revised: 20 January 2024 pendently screened studies based on predefined criteria, ensuring the selection of high-quality data
Accepted: 25 January 2024 relevant to AI’s role in lung cancer detection. The extraction of key study details and performance
Published: 5 February 2024 metrics, followed by quality assessment, facilitated a robust analysis using R software (Version
4.3.0). The process, depicted via a PRISMA flow diagram, allowed for the meticulous evaluation
and synthesis of the findings in this review. (3) Results: From 1024 records, 39 studies met the
inclusion criteria, showcasing diverse AI model applications for lung cancer detection, emphasizing
Copyright: © 2024 by the authors.
varying strengths among the studies. These findings underscore AI’s potential for early lung cancer
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
diagnosis but highlight the need for standardization amidst study variations. The results demonstrate
This article is an open access article
distributed under the terms and
promising pooled sensitivity and specificity of 0.87, signifying AI’s accuracy in identifying true
conditions of the Creative Commons positives and negatives, despite the observed heterogeneity attributed to diverse study parameters.
Attribution (CC BY) license (https:// (4) Conclusions: AI demonstrates promise in early lung cancer detection, showing high accuracy
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ levels in this systematic review. However, study variations underline the need for standardized
4.0/). protocols to fully leverage AI’s potential in revolutionizing early diagnosis, ultimately benefiting
patients and healthcare professionals. As the field progresses, validated AI models from large-scale
perspective studies will greatly benefit clinical practice and patient care in the future.
Keywords: AI-driven models; diagnosing; predicting; outcomes; lung cancer; systematic review;
meta-analysis
1. Introduction
Lung cancer remains a formidable global health challenge, claiming the lives of
millions of individuals each year [1]. The high mortality rate associated with lung cancer is
primarily attributed to the advanced stage at which it is often diagnosed [2]. Lung cancer
is notorious for its asymptomatic early stages, making it extremely difficult to diagnose
until it has reached an advanced, often incurable, stage. The later the diagnosis, the more
limited the treatment options, and the grimmer the prognosis for patients. In contrast,
when lung cancer is detected at an early stage, the chances of successful treatment and long-
term survival increase significantly. Consequently, there is a pressing need for innovative
strategies to enable early detection, as this could significantly improve the prognosis and
overall survival rates of lung cancer patients [3]. In recent years, the field of artificial
intelligence (AI) has emerged as a promising avenue for achieving this goal. In the field
of healthcare, AI has shown promise in improving diagnostic accuracy, predicting disease
outcomes, and personalizing treatment plans [4]. In the context of lung cancer, AI systems
can analyze vast datasets of medical images, patient records, and genetic information to
identify patterns and abnormalities that may elude human perception. These systems can
not only detect lung cancer at earlier stages, but also assist in risk assessment and treatment
planning [5].
Current methods for early lung cancer detection include screening programs such
as low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) and the analysis of biomarkers. While these
approaches have demonstrated some success, they are not without limitations [6]. LDCT,
for instance, may lead to overdiagnosis and increased healthcare costs. AI systems can
potentially enhance the effectiveness of these methods by providing more precise and
efficient analysis, reducing false positives and false negatives, and offering a complemen-
tary approach to existing techniques. Despite the potential benefits of AI in early lung
cancer detection, several challenges and considerations must be addressed [7,8]. The perfor-
mance of AI models can vary depending on the quality and diversity of the data used for
training [9,10]. Therefore, the selection and curation of data are fundamental to the success
of AI-based systems in this context.
This systematic review and metanalysis endeavors to provide a comprehensive evalu-
ation of the performance of AI systems for the early detection of lung cancer. This paper
analyzed the current state of AI applications in lung cancer detection, including the various
techniques and approaches being utilized. Furthermore, the study critically assessed the
advantages and limitations of AI-based methods compared to traditional approaches.
any specific database prior to its initiation. While the journals encourage registration for
systematic reviews, it is not a mandatory requirement universally practiced in the field.
This decision was aligned with established practices within this domain, considering the
extensive body of previously published systematic reviews without prior registration in
reputable peer-reviewed journals.
including pooled sensitivity and specificity, along with their associated confidence inter-
vals, i.e., 95%. Moreover, the presence of heterogeneity among the included studies was
evaluated using a chi-square test and I2 index statistics.
2.9. Reporting
A PRISMA flow diagram was used to illustrate the study selection process, including
the number of studies identified, screened, assessed for eligibility, and included in the
final analysis.
3. Results
The flow diagram in Figure 1 shows that the researchers identified 1024 records from
the databases, but only 116 records were assessed for eligibility. At the identification stage,
326 records were excluded due to duplication. During the screening stage, 28 records were
excluded because they were not in English. Some records lacked the essential data required
for the systematic review. Records that did not have full-text versions available for review
were excluded. Review articles, which summarize and analyze existing research, were
excluded during the screening stage. After completing the identification and screening
stages, the research team identified 39 studies that met the inclusion criteria and were
relevant to the systematic review. These studies formed the basis for the subsequent data
extraction and analysis, contributing to the comprehensive evaluation of AI systems for
early lung cancer detection in the systematic review.
In Table 1, we present an overview of the characteristics of the included studies
in our systematic review, each focusing on the application of AI models for the early
detection of lung cancer. The table encompasses a diverse range of studies conducted across
different countries and utilizing various AI models and data sources. When comparing
and contrasting the results of these studies, several key insights emerge. While studies
such as Wu et al. (2022) and Alexander et al. (2020) achieved notably high specificity
levels, suggesting the potential for reducing false positives in clinical settings, Baldwin
et al. (2020) achieved exceptionally high sensitivity, minimizing the risk of missing cancer
cases [4,7,10]. On the other hand, the study by Chen (2022) showcases the effectiveness
of AI models, specifically CNN and RNN, in improving the overall accuracy of lung
cancer prediction [8]. Notably, Huang et al. (2018) integrated sensor array technology
with machine learning, demonstrating its promise in the precise identification of lung
cancer, especially when compared to traditional models [11]. Li et al. (2019) conducted a
retrospective study in China using 3D deep learning technology on CT scans [9]. Their AI
system achieved a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 82%, resulting in an overall accuracy
of 88.8%. This research emphasized the potential of AI as a diagnostic tool capable of
providing more precise and unbiased outcomes in the diagnosis of pulmonary nodules,
ultimately reducing the interpretation time for radiologists. Choi et al. (2018), from the
USA, conducted a retrospective study using Support Vector Machine (SVM) and LASSO
on LIDC-IDRI data [5]. Their AI model achieved an accuracy of 84.6%, which was notably
12.4% higher than the accuracy for Lung-RADS. This result demonstrated the potential of
AI in substantially improving the accuracy of lung cancer detection. In another study from
China employed a 3D CMixNet model on LUNA-16 and LIDC-IDRI datasets. Their system
achieved a sensitivity of 94.0% and specificity of 91.0%, showcasing better results compared
to existing methods for lung cancer detection. These variations in results highlight the
trade-offs between sensitivity and specificity, as well as the distinct strengths of different AI
models and approaches. While some studies emphasize the potential of AI in overcoming
specific challenges, such as PD-L1 assessment or eligibility assessment, others underscore
the efficiency and reliability of AI in lung cancer screening. Collectively, these findings
underscore the transformative potential of AI in enhancing the accuracy and efficiency
of lung cancer diagnosis, promising significant benefits to both patients and healthcare
professionals. Collectively, these results underscore the transformative role AI can play
in improving the accuracy, efficiency, and reliability of lung cancer diagnosis, ultimately
Cancers 2024, 16, 674 5 of 18
x FOR PEER REVIEW benefiting patients and healthcare professionals. Our systematic review incorporates
6 of 15
these findings to offer a holistic understanding of the state of AI in lung cancer detection,
shedding light on the remarkable potential of these technologies in the field of oncology.
Table 1. Cont.
Table 1. Cont.
Table 1. Cont.
Table 1. Cont.
Table 1. Cont.
Table 1. Cont.
Figures
Figures 22 and
and 33 present
present forest
forest plots
plots of
of the
the pooled
pooled sensitivity
sensitivity and
and sensitivity
sensitivity of
of AI
AI
models for the early diagnosis of lung cancer. The pooled sensitivity and specificity
models for the early diagnosis of lung cancer. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of AI of
AI models across the included studies were 0.87 (95% CI: 0.82–0.90) and 0.87
models across the included studies were 0.87 (95% CI: 0.82–0.90) and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.80– (95% CI:
0.80–0.91), respectively.
0.91), respectively. These These results
results indicate
indicate thatthat AI models
AI models demonstrated
demonstrated a high
a high level
level of
of accuracy in correctly identifying true positives and true negatives, showing
accuracy in correctly identifying true positives and true negatives, showing promising promising
results for the early diagnosis of lung cancer. However, heterogeneity was observed
results for the early diagnosis of lung cancer. However, heterogeneity was observed
among the included studies. This heterogeneity may be attributed to variations in study
among the included studies. This heterogeneity may be attributed to variations in study
populations, data sources, and model specifications. The results of quality assessments are
populations, data sources, and model specifications. The results of quality assessments
presented in Figure 4.
are presented in Figure 4.
Figure 2.
Figure 2. Forest
Forest plot
plot of
of pooled
pooled sensitivity
sensitivity of
of AI
AI models
models [4,5,7–42].
[4,5,7–42].
Cancers 2024, 16, 674 14 of
Cancers 2024, 16, x FOR PEER REVIEW 11 of 18
15
Cancers 2024, 16, x FOR PEER REVIEW 11 of 15
Figure
Figure3.3.3.Forest
Figure Forest plot
Forestplot of
plotof pooled
ofpooled specificity
specificityofof
pooledspecificity AI
ofAI models
AImodels [4,5,7–42].
models[4,5,7–42].
[4,5,7–42].
Figure
Figure4.4.Quality
Qualityassessment
assessmentof
ofincluded
includedstudies
studiesusing
usingQUADAS-2
QUADAS-2tool
tool[43]
[43]. .
Figure 4. Quality assessment of included studies using QUADAS-2 tool [43].
4.4.4.Discussion
Discussion
Discussion
Lung
Lung cancer
cancerisisis
Lungcancer one
one
oneofof
of the
the most
most
the prevalent
prevalent
most prevalent diseases
diseases worldwide
worldwide
diseases worldwideandand
thethe
and leading
leading
the cause
cause
leading of
cause
of cancer-associated
cancer-associated
of cancer-associated deaths,deaths, with
with with
deaths, an estimated
an estimated 2.2
2.2 million
an estimated million new
new cases
2.2 million cases
newand and 1.8
1.8 million
cases million
and 1.8 deaths
million
deaths
in deaths in
in2020
2020 [44].
2020 [44].
[44].Currently,
Currently, a CT scan
Currently, aaCT
of scan
CTthe of
ofthe
chest
scan chest
is the
the isisthe
most
chest most
mostfrequent
frequent
the methodmethod
frequent of of
oflung
lung cancer
method lung
cancer
cancer screening.
screening. Its Its high
high resolution
resolution can
can elucidate
elucidate the
the association
association among
among surrounding
surrounding
Cancers 2024, 16, 674 15 of 18
screening. Its high resolution can elucidate the association among surrounding organs
and blood vessels more clearly, and it plays a significant role in the early detection of lung
cancer [45]. However, the accuracy of this method can be influenced by benign lesions
such as necrosis, inflammation, tuberculosis, various textures in lung images, and several
other factors like the experience of radiologists, potentially leading to misdiagnosis and
omissions [46]. With the implementation of AI-assisted diagnostic systems into clinical
practice, a new era has dawned in the field of lung cancer diagnosis. Recent studies have
documented the growing and widespread utilization of AI models in clinical diagnosis and
treatment, respectively [47–49]. AI models primarily focus on diagnosing and evaluating
various medical images, including skin lesions, pathological microscopic images, and
radiological data. AI models are remarkable in their ability to enhance diagnostic accuracy,
stability, and work efficiency.
This review documented promising results, indicating that AI models for the early
diagnosis of lung cancer demonstrated a high level of accuracy, with pooled sensitivity
and specificity values of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.82–0.90) and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.80–0.91), respectively.
These findings suggest that AI models exhibit significant capability in correctly identifying
true positives and true negatives. Liu et al. recently conducted a systematic review and
meta-analysis in which they also demonstrated the commendable performance of AI
models in predicting lung cancer, with a pooled sensitivity and specificity of 89% and 87%,
respectively [46]. Robust performance is sometimes crucial in terms of lung cancer, where
early detections substantially impact patient outcomes. High accuracy of more than 90%
was observed in this study, which aligns with the broader trend in the medical literature
supporting the effectiveness of AI in diagnostic settings [7,8,10,12,14,15,26,32]. However,
a lower pooled accuracy was also reported in studies mainly focused on lung cancer
screening, specifically considering the results obtained across all studies [20,30,34,42] and
those in which a CNN model was employed [20,30,42], ranging from 67–75%, respectively.
Despite these consolidated findings, we are confident that AI models are a valuable resource
for radiologists to detect lung cancer.
AI-assisted diagnostic systems result in different diagnostic outcomes. A study re-
ported that a 3D CNN model exhibited greater advantages in detecting lung cancer as
compared to improvements seen with other AI models [18]. However, in two studies,
ANN achieved high diagnostic performance that could be useful for the detection of lung
cancer [32,33]. Distinct algorithms demonstrate diverse diagnostic capabilities, notably in
radionics and deep learning, which not only assist in predicting the benign or malignant
nature of lung nodules, but also identify the prognosis of small-cell lung cancer [50,51]. The
utilization of AI models in clinical practice is promising; however, validity remains a critical
step for generalizability. Among 39 articles, 15 articles performed cross-validation to assess
the effectiveness and reliability of AI models [5,6,12,14,15,19,21,23,26,28–30,36,42,50].
Despite the overall positive outcomes, observed heterogeneity among the included
studies was identified. Therefore, future research should focus on refining AI models, con-
sidering the identified heterogeneity challenges. Collaborative efforts among researchers,
clinicians, and policymakers are essential to establish guidelines and standards for the
development and evaluation of AI systems in lung cancer screening. By addressing these
challenges collectively, the field can progress toward the implementation of AI technolo-
gies in clinical settings, ultimately improving the early diagnosis and management of
lung cancer.
The current study has certain limitations that should be addressed: (1) The exclusion
of the studies lacking complete diagnostic data may have altered the results. (2) While
conducting this comprehensive search, only English language articles were included, po-
tentially introducing language bias. (3) The high heterogeneity among all included studies
may be attributed to variations in study populations, data sources, and model specifica-
tions, and these results warrant further investigation. (4) The included studies were mainly
designed retrospectively, which may have affected the overall quality of the systematic
review and meta-analysis. Despite the initial verification of AI models’ effectiveness in lung
Cancers 2024, 16, 674 16 of 18
cancer screening, most of the AI-based approaches are still in the laboratory research stage
and have not yet been implemented into clinical practice. Limitations are evident in data
integration, image data quality, legal liability definition, complex pathology diagnosis and
cost of use. However, a huge volume of experienced healthcare professionals, especially
radiologists and pathologists, are getting involved in AI-assisted lung cancer detection. It is
anticipated that AI models will play a significant role in the early detection of lung cancer.
5. Conclusions
This systematic review and meta-analysis reported the promising outcomes of AI
models in the early detection of lung cancer. The pooled sensitivity and specificity values
of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.82–0.90) and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.80–0.91) showed the potential of AI models
in identifying true positives and true negatives. Regarding the observed heterogeneity
among the included studies, these findings highlight the need for standardized protocols in
the development of AI models for lung cancer screening. As the medical field continues to
grow, healthcare professionals and patients will benefit from the integration of AI models in
clinical practice once these models have been validated in large-scale prospective studies.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, M.K., L.A. (Leen Albraik) and H.A. (Hajar Alharbi);
methodology, N.A. and L.A. (Lubna Almasuood); validation, S.A. (Shahad Aljoaid) and T.A.; formal
analysis, L.A. (Lubna Almasuood) and W.A.; investigation, H.A. (Hajar Alharbi) and A.A.; resources,
S.A. (Shahad Aljoaid), R.K., and R.A.; data curation, R.K., R.A. and M.A.; writing—original draft
preparation, M.K., L.A. (Leen Albraik), H.A. (Hadeel Aljohani) and N.A.; writing—review and editing,
S.A. (Sadeem Alqahtani), A.A. and R.K.; visualization, R.A., M.A. and A.M.; project administration,
M.K., S.A. (Sadeem Alqahtani) and H.A. (Hadeel Aljohani). All authors have read and agreed to the
published version of the manuscript.
Funding: This research received no external funding.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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