Student Handout Tenative
Student Handout Tenative
• B. Forecasting techniques
• C. Forecasting Room availability
• D. Useful forecasting data
• % of walkin
• % of overstay
• % of under stay
• E. Forecast formula
• F. Types of forecast
• G. Sample forecast forms
• H. Factors for evaluating front office operations
• Q.9. (a) Write forecast formula. (b) Write any
two formulas for the following: (i) % of no
show (ii) % of overstay (iii) Occupancy % (iv)
Double occupancy % (5+(2x2 ½) =10)
Occupancy percentage
No of Rooms Sold
= X 100
No of Rooms available
Walkins Percentage
No of Walkins
= X 100
Total no of Arrivals
No show Percentage
No of Noshows
= X 100
No of Reservations
Understay percentage
No of Understay
= X 100
Total No of Checkouts
Overstay percentage
No of Overstays
= X 100
Total no of Checkouts
ADR
Room Revenue
=
No of Rooms Sold
Revpar
Room Revenue
=
No of Rooms Available
Total Revpar
Room Revenue
=
No of Guests
Avg Guest per Room Sold
No of Guests
=
No of Rooms Sold
Multiple Occupancy Ratio
Day 20 10%
2(Sat)
Day 10 10%
3(Sun)
Total
Conditions:
Total No. of Rooms : 100 Walkin Percentage : 10%
Corporate Bookings : 10 No Show percentage : 10
rooms Length of Stay :LOS
Occupancy %
Occupancy %= Number of rooms occupied x 100
Number of rooms available
Multiple or Double Occupancy Ratio
DOR% = No. of Rooms occupied by more than one Guest x 100
No. of rooms sold
(Or)
To be submitted to all department heads at least on week before the first day listed on the forecast.
1. Date / Day M T W Th F Sa Su M T W
2. Estimated departures 10
3. Reservation arrivals – Group
4. Reservation arrivals – Individual
5. Future reservation (estimate)
6. Expected walk-ins
7. Total arrivals
8. Stay over
9. TOTAL FORECASTED ROOMS
10. Occupancy multiplier (no. of guests per
occupied room for average of the same day for
the last 3 weeks.)
11. FORECASTED NO. OF GUESTS
12. Actual rooms occupied
13. Forecasted variance
14. Explanation
Distribution: General Manager, House Keeping, All F&B Outlets, Accounting, Sales,
Banquets, Security
Evaluating Front Office Operations
The important tools required in evaluating the
success of front office operations include
Daily operations report: it contains a summary
of the hotels financial activities during a 24hr
period. It provides a means of reconciling cash,
bank account, revenue, and accounts receivable.
Copies of the DOR are generally distributed to
all department and division managers in the
hotel.
Occupancy Ratios: they measure the success of the
Front office in selling the hotel’s primary product
the guest rooms. The data necessary to calculate
the ratios,
• No. of rooms available for sale
• No. of rooms sold
• No. of guests
• No. of guests per room
• Net rooms revenue.
The ratios that can be calculated from this data
include
• Rooms Revenue Analysis: This report helps
the FOM review the use of various special
rates to determine whether the staff have
followed all appropriate policies and
procedures.
• Hotel Income Statement: provides important
financial information about the results of
hotel operations for a given period of time.
The period can be a month or longer but
cannot exceed one year. It is one of the most
important reports as it reveals the amount of
net income for a given period.
• Rooms Division Income Statement: Shows only
summary information, separate departmental income
statements provide more detail.
• Operating Ratios: assist managers in evaluating the
success of front office operations. The operating ratios
should be compared against proper standards –
budgeted % etc.
• Ratio Standards: Operating ratios are meaningful only
when compared against useful criteria such as:
• Planned ratio goals
• Corresponding historical ratios
• Industry Averages
• The ratios are best compared against planned ratio
goals.