Marketing Analytics
Marketing Analytics
1. Top-Down Approach
The Top-Down Approach starts with a broad industry estimate and narrows it down
to the target market.
Steps Involved:
1. Start with a Macro View – Use industry reports or government data to determine the
total market size.
2. Segment the Market – Filter the market based on geography, demographics, or
industry.
3. Apply Market Share Estimates – Estimate the company’s potential share of the
market.
Example:
If the global fitness industry is worth $100 billion, and the home fitness equipment
sector is $10 billion, a company targeting high-end home gym equipment may
estimate their market size as 10% of $10 billion = $1 billion.
Advantages:
✔️Quick and efficient when data is available.
✔️Useful for understanding market potential.
Disadvantages:
❌ Relies on assumptions, which can lead to overestimation.
❌ May not consider niche market variations.
2. Bottom-Up Approach
The Bottom-Up Approach starts with specific, small-scale data and builds up to
estimate the total market size.
Steps Involved:
1. Start with Individual Sales Data – Estimate revenue per customer, number of
potential customers, and average sales.
2. Scale Up – Multiply by the total number of customers or sales units in the target
market.
3. Account for Growth & Adjustments – Consider factors like market expansion,
pricing, and competition.
Example:
If a company sells 10,000 units of fitness equipment annually at an average price of
$500, the estimated market size is 10,000 × $500 = $5 million.
Advantages:
✔️More accurate since it’s based on actual sales data.
✔️Useful for businesses entering new markets with real demand data.
Disadvantages:
❌ Time-consuming and requires detailed data.
❌ May underestimate potential market size.
UNIT 2
Unit 3
Explain the different step of ratio to moving average
forecasting method
The Ratio-to-Moving-Average Method is a time series forecasting technique
primarily used for seasonal data. It helps in identifying seasonal variations by
smoothing out irregularities using moving averages and then computing seasonal
indices. Below are the key steps involved in this method:
Step 1: Calculate the Centered Moving Average (CMA)
Compute a moving average (usually 2-period, 4-period, or 12-period depending on
the data frequency).
The moving average smooths out short-term fluctuations and reveals the underlying
trend-cycle component.
Step 2: Compute the Ratio-to-Moving-Average (Seasonal Ratios)
Divide the actual data values by the corresponding CMA values.
This gives the ratio-to-moving-average, which represents the seasonal component.
Step 3: Calculate the Average Seasonal Index
Group the seasonal ratios by season (e.g., January, February, etc. for monthly data).
Compute the average for each season to get the seasonal index.
Step 4: Normalize the Seasonal Index
Adjust the seasonal indices so that their average equals 100 (or 1 in decimal form) to
maintain consistency.
Step 5: Deseasonalize the Data (Optional)
If required, divide the actual values by the seasonal index to remove seasonality and
analyze the trend.
Step 6: Forecast Future Values
Multiply the estimated trend-cycle component (obtained through regression or
moving averages) by the seasonal index for the corresponding period.
This method is widely used in business forecasting, particularly in sales, production,
and economic data, where seasonality is a key factor.
Unit 4
Components of CLV
1. Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)
The cost incurred in acquiring a new customer (marketing, sales efforts, promotions,
etc.).
A lower CAC compared to CLV indicates a profitable business model.
2. Average Purchase Value (APV)
The average amount a customer spends per transaction.
Higher APV means each customer contributes more to revenue per purchase.
3. Purchase Frequency (PF)
How often a customer buys from the business within a given time frame.
Frequent purchases increase CLV and indicate customer engagement.
4. Customer Retention Rate (CRR)
The percentage of customers who continue to buy from a business over time.
Higher retention leads to increased CLV and reduced dependence on new customer
acquisition.
5. Customer Churn Rate
The percentage of customers who stop purchasing from the business.
A lower churn rate leads to higher CLV.
6. Profit Margin per Customer
The net profit earned from a customer after deducting costs.
Businesses must ensure a positive profit margin to sustain a high CLV.
7. Customer Engagement & Loyalty
Loyal customers make repeat purchases, refer others, and require lower marketing
spend.
High engagement increases retention and CLV.
Why CLV Matters
1. Maximizes Profitability
Understanding CLV helps businesses allocate resources efficiently to acquire and
retain high-value customers.
2. Enhances Customer Retention Strategies
Businesses can identify loyal customers and develop personalized engagement
strategies to retain them.
3. Optimizes Marketing Spend
Helps determine how much to invest in acquiring new customers while ensuring
profitability.
Focuses marketing efforts on the most valuable customer segments.
4. Improves Product & Service Offerings
Insights from CLV can guide product development to meet customer expectations and
enhance satisfaction.
5. Supports Pricing & Revenue Growth Strategies
Helps in setting optimal pricing models that maximize long-term revenue rather than
short-term sales.
6. Strengthens Competitive Advantage
Businesses with strong CLV strategies outperform competitors by building long-term
customer relationships and brand loyalty.