Procprocessrisks
Procprocessrisks
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Abstract
Purpose – This paper employs the positivism paradigm, quantitative approach and explanatory research
design. It analyses primary data obtained from manufacturing firms via structured questionnaires and uses the
partial least square-structural equation modelling technique to establish the effect of individual procurement
process risk on procurement performance.
Design/methodology/approach – Procurement risks are inevitable in manufacturing procurement process; a
situation that could undermine the performance of manufacturing firms if not properly managed. Yet, with
procurement accounting of about 14–19% of developing countries gross domestic product, the effects of procurement
process risk on performance remain scarce in manufacturing firms in developing countries. Therefore, the paper aims
to investigate the effect of procurement process risk on procurement performance of manufacturing firms.
Findings – In this paper, five out of the six procurement process risks studied were found to be undermining
procurement performance of manufacturing firms significantly. However, the risk threshold effect on the
performance differs.
Research limitations/implications – Although this research is geographically/sector bias, several
insightful managerial implications can be drawn to manage procurement process risk in manufacturing
settings irrespective of the area of operation. The results of this research imply that manufacturing firms’
procurement process is risk prone and the effect of risk surrounding each procurement process on procurement
performance differs. Hence, the need to identify and analyse the risks surrounding each procurement process
before making managerial decision to spend firms limited resources in response to the individual risk to
improve procurement performance in the manufacturing sector.
Originality/value – This paper is the first to provide existing and future procuring practitioners/firms with
in-depth empirical evidence of the effect of the procurement process risks on procurement performance in
manufacturing firms operating in developing economies.
Keywords Procurement process risk, Planning/preparation risk, Product/service identification risk,
Requisition review risk, Supplier selection risk, Managerial risk, Procurement performance
Paper type Research paper
2.2 Risk
The concept “risk” has been used since the 17th century with the original meaning “to run into
danger or to go against a rock” (McElwee, 2007, p. 12). In the 21st century, this concept has
been widely used and associated with different words such as threat, hazard, uncertainty or
challenge. According to Zou et al. (2007), risk is a two-edged sword and refers to the
possibility that a threat or unforeseen event would occur and its associated consequences.
Chopra and Sodhi (2014) opined that risk represents the probability and consequences of an
c and Ivetic (2016) posited that risk is an unfavourable situation that
unknown event. Soti
deviates firms’ attention from achieving expected outcomes. Machado et al. (2019) similarly
defined risk as the total of the possibility and impact of a hazard. Risk is as an evitable
component of any business activity with its occurrence likely to affect the overall
productivity of any business (Dellana et al., 2021). Tarei et al. (2020) asserted that risk could
have been positive and negative effects on businesses; however, its negative consequences
could be devastating; consequently, having severe negative rippling effects on business
success, productivity and competitiveness. Risk is also any threat of loss, damage, injury or
liability that emanates from both internal and external vulnerabilities (Nyamah et al., 2017;
Rane et al., 2019; Tarei et al., 2020). It is associated with a firm’s exposure level to uncertainties
that could have devastating effects on operational efficiency, effectiveness and survival.
Related studies have argued that risk can occur in any business activity at any time; however,
firms should ensure that its occurrence do not cause severe damage to them (Nyamah et al.,
2017; Kumar et al., 2019). According to Kumar et al. (2019), risk needs maximum attention; as
such, firms within the pharmaceutical industry need to adopt green supply chain initiatives to
identify, analyse and manage risk. Simply put, in any procurement process, procurement
practitioners are equally likely to be exposed to various risks such as supplier selection risk,
planning and preparation risks and contract risk, among others, and thus, the need to ensure
proper risk management.
3. Research methodology
3.1 Research philosophy/approach/design
This paper’s research objectives were achieved through the positivism philosophy and
quantitative approach. Also, extensive literature search was conducted to obtain relevant
BIJ information to support or disapprove this research’s findings. The positivist philosophy is
appropriate for obtaining facts about an event through hypothesis testing (Mingers,
2019). This philosophy plays crucial roles in determining truth about an event or situation
while promoting generalisation of findings. It also permits the use of rigorous analytical
tools to obtain concrete findings and draw evidence-based conclusions, generalisable
over a population (Aliyu et al., 2014; Ryan, 2018). Based on Baskerville and Pries-Heje
(2010) and Ryan (2018), the quantitative approach and explanatory design were
adopted to gather a set of data from a relatively large population of manufacturing
firms without compromising its quality to investigate how procurement processes (i.e.
predictor variable) causes a change in manufacturing firms’ operational performance
(i.e. endogenous variable).
presence of common method bias. Kock (2015) also suggested the use of variance inflation
factor (VIF) values to report for common method bias in partial least square-structural
equation modelling (PLS-SEM) studies. He proposed that VIF values > 3.5 suggest
pathological collinearity which are also indications that the model could be contaminated as a
result of common method bias. As such, the model could be free from common method bias if
the VIF values are <3.5. These are clear indications that the study’s model was free from
common method bias with all the VIF values (i.e. 1.018–1.123) lower than 3.5, as seen in
Table 6.
Figure 1. RRRISK7
Initial model with all
indicator loadings RRRISK8
that all indicator loadings in the population are equal (J€oreskog, 1971). This is consistent with
the PLS-SEM algorithm’s working theory, which prioritises indicators based on their
reliabilities during model estimation. CA is often sensitive to the number of items on the scale,
and it often underestimates internal quality reliability.
Table 3 shows that in exploratory testing, values of 0.60–0.70 are acceptable, and in more
advanced stages of research, values of 0.70–0.90 are satisfactory (Orme and Combs-Orme,
2009; Diamantopoulos et al., 2012). Composite reliability for the outer model ranged from
0.70–0.90, inferring that the internal consistency of the constructs was ensured. Also, the
validity of the outer model was assessed by noting a construct’s convergent validity and
discriminant validity. The degree to which a construct converges to describe the variance of
its products is known as convergent validity (Hair et al., 2019). When the average variance
extracted (AVE) for each construct is 0.50 or higher, convergent validity is supported. The
AVE (Hair et al., 2014) is the grand mean value of the squared loadings of a group of indicators
and is equal to a construct’s communality. Simply put, an AVE of 0.50 indicates that the
construct accounts for more than half of the variance in its indicators. Thus, from Table 3,
PP1 PP2 PP4 PP5 PP6 PP7 Procurement
process risk
0.668 0.739
0.796 0.657 0.757 0.767 and firm
0.802
PPRISK5
0.900 0.630
MRISK5 performance
–0.345
PPRISK6 –0.166 0.945
0.519 MRISK6
PaPRisk
MRisk
ProcPerf
–0.151
–0.083
PSIRISK4 SRISK1
0.503
0.876 0.883 SRISK3
PSIRISK5 –0.146
0.802 0.809
0.741
PSIRISK6 SRISK4
SRisk
P/SIRisk –0.425
CRISK4
0.522
0.807
CRISK5
0.832
CRISK6 CRisk
RRRISK7
0.786
0.860
RRRISK8 Figure 2.
Final model extracted
RRRisk
AVE for the various constructs was all above the 0.50 threshold, hence convergent validity
was ensured.
In the structural model, discriminant validity refers to the degree to which metrics of
different constructs are distinct from one another; in other words, the construct tests what it
claims to measure. The Fornell and Larcker (1981) criterion is one tool for determining
whether discriminant validity exists. The construct shares more variance with its indicators
than any other construct, according to this approach. To verify this, each construct’s AVE
must be greater than the highest squared correlation with any other construct. Table 4 shows
the results on the Fornell–Larcker criterion.
The AVE of each construct is higher than the highest squared correlation with every other
construct, as shown in Table 4. This result suggests absence of discriminant validity; thus,
each constructs’ indicators are truly distinct from each other. However, current research
indicates that the Fornell–Larcker criterion is unsuitable for assessing discriminant validity.
According to Ringle et al. (2020), the Fornell–Larcker criterion performs poorly when the
indicator loadings on a construct differ only slightly. As a result, Voorhees et al. (2016)
suggested the heterotrait–monotrait (HTMT) correlation ratio. The HTMT is calculated as a
percentage of the (geometric) mean of average correlations for the same construct as the mean
value of item correlations across constructs. Henseler et al. (2015) suggested a 0.90 threshold
value for structural models with conceptually identical constructs. The construct’s HTMT
values are shown in Table 3.
BIJ From Table 5, it could also be argued that there was absence of discriminant validity since
each construct’s value is below the HTMT0.90 threshold. This suggests that all the constructs’
indicators are truly distinct from each other. Finally, the variance inflation factor was used to
determine multicollinearity problems (VIF). The rule of thumb is that VIF values of 5 or
higher imply important indicator collinearity issues (Hair et al., 2014). Collinearity problems
can occur at lower VIF values of 3–5, according to Mason and Perreault (1991) and Becker
et al. (2015); thus, VIF values should be close to 3 or lower. The VIF values of the model
evaluation are shown in Table 6.
From Table 6, it can be seen that all the constructs’ VIF values are far below the threshold
of 3, suggesting absence of multicollinearity among the constructs’ indicators.
CRisk 0.734
MRisk 0.269 0.803
P/SIRisk 0.040 0.062 0.808
RRRisk 0.075 0.152 0.035 0.824
Table 4. PaPRisk 0.084 0.017 0.096 0.206 0.852
Fornell–Larcker ProcPerf 0.235 0.249 0.127 0.542 0.491 0.732
criterion SRisk 0.084 0.146 0.086 0.047 0.232 0.222 0.750
effect of these risks. Calculating the Q2 value is another way to evaluate the predictive Procurement
accuracy of the PLS path model (Geisser, 1975; Stone, 1974). This metric is based on a process risk
blindfolding technique that extracts individual points from a data matrix, imputes the
removed points with the mean and estimates model parameters (Sarstedt et al., 2014). As a
and firm
result, the Q2 is not a measure of out-of-sample prediction, but rather of in-sample performance
explanatory power and out-of-sample prediction (Rigdon, 2014; Sarstedt et al., 2014). Q2
values greater than zero for an endogenous construct suggest the structural model’s
predictive accuracy, according to Hair et al. (2019). Small, medium and large predictive
relevance of the PLS path model are indicated by Q2 values greater than 0.00, 0.25 and 0.50,
respectively. Table 7 yielded a Q2 of 0.255, indicating a medium predictive significance. The f2
also evaluates how the removal of a specific predictor construct influences the R2 value of an
endogenous construct. When comparing the size of the path coefficients and the f2 effect sizes,
the rank order of the predictor constructs’ importance in describing a dependent construct in
the structural model is often the same. Small, medium and large f2 effect sizes are represented
by values greater than 0.02, 0.15 and 0.35, respectively (Cohen, 1988). From Table 7, it can be
seen that some exogenous variables (MRisk, SRisk and CRisk) had small effect while PaPRisk
and PPRisk each had large effect on the endogenous variable independently.
CRisk 0.502
MRisk 0.253 0.206
P/SIRisk 0.152 0.344 0.210
RRRisk 0.127 0.175 0.137 0.345 Table 5.
PaPRisk 0.344 0.351 0.182 0.808 0.651 Heterotrait–Monotrait
ProcPerf 0.322 0.337 0.197 0.234 0.393 0.344 ratio (HTMT)
ProcPerf
CRisk 1.092
MRisk 1.123
P/SIRisk 1.018
RRRisk 1.071
PaPRisk 1.117
ProcPerf Table 6.
SRisk 1.091 VIF
R2 Q2 f2
CRisk 0.040
MRisk 0.051
P/SIRisk 0.014
RRRisk 0.350
PaPRisk 0.222 Table 7.
ProcPerf 0.519 0.255 Explanatory power of
SRisk 0.044 exogenous variables
BIJ 5. Discussion
Following the evaluation of the measurement model to ensure the PLS-SEM technique’s
accuracy, the path coefficient which represents the hypothesised relationships were
subsequently assessed. Table 8 shows the six different relationships and their
significance. Risk occurring in the procurement process, namely planning and preparation
risk (PaPRisk), product/service information risk (P/SIRisk), requisition review risk (RRRisk),
supplier risk (SRisk), managerial risk (MRisk) and contract risk (CRisk) were assessed to test
their effects on procurement performance (ProcPerf). Table 8 presents the results of the path
co-efficient.
From Table 8, five out of the six procurement risks were found to significantly affect
procurement performance negatively. More precisely, the study hypothesised (H1) that
planning and preparation risk significantly influence the procurement performance of
manufacturing firms negatively. This study failed to reject this hypothesis by finding
planning and preparation risk to significantly and negatively affect procurement
performance (β 5 0.345; t 5 4.907; p < 0.05). This implies that when planning and
preparation risk increases, procurement performance decreases by 34.5%. Hence, planning
and preparing for procurement is a critical issue in procurement performance. Studies by
Eberhard et al. (2014) and Apiyo and Mburu (2014) affirm this finding. They opined that for
the success of any procurement project, the planning and preparation considerations are
necessary because violating any step in this process could adversely affect procurement
contracts and operational performance of the procuring firms. This finding supports the TOC
by revealing planning and preparation risk as a constraint associated with any procurement
process in the manufacturing sector; thus, the need for manufacturing firms to develop
relevant strategies that aim at managing planning and preparation risk during procurement.
Planning and preparation are key stages in any procurement process; thus, manufacturing
firms could experience poor procurement performance if they fail to manage any risk
associated with this stage effectively. Practically the study’s outcome implies that the
procurement processes of manufacturing firms in developing economies such as Ghana are
exposed to planning and preparation risks which could consequently affect procurement
performance by 34.5% if not identified and properly managed.
Contrary to the previous findings (Hong et al., 2009; Noor et al., 2013; Zubairu et al., 2021), the
second hypothesis that product/service information risk significantly influences procurement
performance was not supported. This is because the result had a t-stat value of 1.150 which was
less than the expected 1.96 (β 5 0.083; p > 0.05). This means that a unit increase in product/
service information risk by 8.3% will not cause any significant change in procurement
performance of the firms studied. This implies that information on product/service-related risk
thresholds do not significantly affect procurement performance of manufacturing firms
operating in developing economies. Although product/service information risk is known to be a
constraint in procurement process of manufacturing firms, in practice, the study’s outcome
implies that the threshold of product/service information risk does not significantly affect their
procurement performance of manufacturing firms in a developing economy.
6. Conclusions
This model offers managers of manufacturing firms an in-depth correlation between
procurement process risks and procurement performance to manage the occurrence of
possible risks that could affect the procurement and overall business processes. The model
specifically offers the directions for identifying, developing and implementing relevant
policies and strategies in order to easily detect and manage risks that could occur during
procurement; thereby, promoting procurement and overall firm performance. The study’s
outcomes, for instance, show that manufacturing industries within West Africa notably
Ghana are exposed to various risks during procurement processes. These risks comprising
contract risks, managerial risks and procurement planning and preparation risks play
differing roles in affecting the procurement performance of these firms. In investigating the
true and significant effects of these key procurement risks on procurement performance,
findings show that five out of the six procurement risks had significant negative effects on
procurement performance. Thus, manufacturing firms’ exposure to any of those risks could
have negative rippling effects on their procurement performance. More precisely, planning
and preparation risk, requisition review risk, supplier selection risk, managerial risk and
contract management risk exhibited significant negative effects on procurement
performance. These findings indicated that manufacturing firms within the West Africa
are likely to experience poor procurement performance if they are exposed to any of these five
significant procurement risks during operation. In contrast, product or service identification
risk was found to have no significant effect on procurement performance; suggesting that
these firms would exhibit constant procurement performance in the face of product or service
identification risk. Among the various procurement risks, risks associated with requisition
review, procurement planning and preparation and managerial aspect of the procurement
process had the highest effects respectively. These key findings, therefore, provide vital
information to key policy makers for policy formulation and review purposes. For instance,
the findings reveal that procurement risks generally affect procurement performance; thus,
procurement practitioners including management of the firms’ studied should view
procurement risks as inevitable in any procurement process. In this regard, management
of manufacturing firms should strategise to respond to any of these possible risks during any
procurement process. During the implementation stage of the procurement process, more
attention should be paid to requisition review risks, supplier selection risks and managerial
risks since they undermine the procurement performance in manufacturing sector in West
Africa. The study further suggests that procurement managers should adopt a risk
management strategy to identify risks at each stage of the procurement process. This will
help to easily detect possible risk at any particular stage; thus, prevent such risk from
transferring to another stage; thereby improving procurement performance and
proactiveness of the procurement department. Per the study’s outcomes, the researchers
recommended that procurement managers should develop collaborative relationships with
risk managers and key suppliers to frequently redesign or re-evaluate the procurement
process to help eliminate possible risk at any stage; thereby, achieving better procurement
performance and competitiveness.
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Corresponding author
Edmond Yeboah Nyamah can be contacted at: [email protected]
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