Maersk Q1 2025 Investor Presentation
Maersk Q1 2025 Investor Presentation
Q1 2025
Investor Presentation
Forward-looking
statements
Comparative figures
Unless otherwise stated, all comparisons refer to y/y changes. Unless
otherwise stated, all figures in parentheses refer to the corresponding
figures for the same period prior year.
Q1 2025
highlights
Highlights Q1 2025
Q1 – solid delivery in an increasingly
volatile environment
• Operational improvements and proactive cost measures
showing impact, resulting in first quarter EBITDA of USD 2.7bn
and EBIT of 1.3bn
• Logistics & Services on track with EBIT margin improvement to
4.1%, representing significant YoY increase
• Solid profitability in Ocean despite expected sequential rate
decrease
• Continued strong results in Terminals driven by good volumes
and higher revenue per move
• Financial guidance maintained
• Container market volume growth for 2025 now expected
in a range of -1% to 4%, given the increased
macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty
• Red Sea disruption expected to last for the full year
• Full-year 2025 underlying EBIT guidance of USD 0 to 3bn
maintained
Highlights Q1 2025
Operational improvements and proactive cost measures
-161
Q1’19 Q1’20 Q1’21 Q1’22 Q1’23 Q1’24 Q1’25 Q1’19 Q1’20 Q1’21 Q1’22(1) Q1’23 Q1’24 Q1’25
Q1’19 Q1’20 Q1’21 Q1’22 Q1’23 Q1’24 Q1’25
EBIT EBIT Margin EBIT EBIT Margin EBIT EBIT margin ROIC (LTM) ROIC ex. Russia
impair. (LTM)
• EBIT margin on track at 4.1% reflecting • Declining rate environment as expected • Excellent quarter with ROIC of 14.5% driven by
improved business performance • Utilisation of 92% following normal strong volumes, and increased storage income
• Margin uplift from operational improvements seasonality leading to higher revenue per move
in Middle Mile and Last Mile as well as • Gemini network launched successfully with • Strong asset utilisation at 79%
productivity gains early reliability results in line with • Continued progress on automation and
• Revenue stable with volume growth across expectations – cost saving expectations operational efficiencies
most products while Air and Middle Mile unchanged
rebased to focus on margins
Logistics
Organic revenue growth Above 10% 6.9%
& Services
-2.0m to
Other supply-side drivers • Scrapping, idling, slow steaming etc. Unchanged
-1.5m
Maersk is well positioned to weather challenges ahead APMM Q1 2025 Financial Results 8
Highlights
2025 financial guidance unchanged
Capex (cumulative)
• Considering these factors APMM reiterates its outlook for the full-year
2025: 2024-2025 10.0-11.0
• Underlying EBITDA of USD 6bn to 9bn 2025-2026 10.0-11.0
• Underlying EBIT of USD 0bn to 3bn
• Free cash flow (FCF) of USD -3bn or higher
Note:
APMM’s outlook for 2025 is subject to considerable macroeconomic
• Unchanged CAPEX guidance of USD 10.0-11.0bn in 2024-2025 and USD and geopolitical uncertainties impacting container volume growth
10.0-11.0bn in 2025-2026 and freight rates.
• Quarterly profitability increased year-on-year with EBIT reaching USD 1.3bn EBITDA 2,710 3,597 1,590
(margin: 9.4%) compared to USD 177m in the previous year (margin: 1.4%)
EBITDA margin 20.3% 24.6% 12.9%
• Free cash flow increased significantly to USD 806m, given higher
profitability and supported by good working capital development in the
quarter EBIT 1,253 2,050 177
• Significant increase in return on invested capital (LTM) to 14.3% supported NIBD -5,206 -7,373 -3,092
by strong earnings in the second half of last year
ROIC (LTM) 14.3% 12.3% 3.2%
-1,000
• Dividend of USD 2.2bn paid
in March and share buy-
-1,500 back of USD 328m
-2,000
Cash flow Capitalized Gross capex Financial Sale proceeds Free cash Acquisitions, Dividends Financial Repayment Net cash flow
from lease payments, net and dividends flow net and share investments of/proceeds
operations instalments received buy-backs and others, from
net borrowings,
net
2,000
• Volumes stable YoY (+0.1%) but down QoQ (-6.5%) 15%
1,000
• Freight rates 2.5% higher YoY while lower QoQ as 0%
expected as rate erosion continued 0
2,000
1,903
695
1,500
150 124
1 3
228
1,000 956
Driven by
Volumes up Bunker price down
higher Terminal
by +0.1% at USD 569 / Driven mainly by
and Empty
tonne timing effect of
Loaded costs
rates and higher
freight rates Detention &
up by +2.5% Demurrage
500
revenue
0
EBITDA Q1 ’24 Freight rate effect(1) Volume effect Bunker price Container Network cost Other revenue, EBITDA Q1 ’25
handling cost exl. Bunker price SG&A, net FX
impacts and others(2)
• Operating costs excluding bunker increased by 2.9%. Unit cost, fixed bunker (USD/FFE) 2,539 2,431 4.4% 2,478 2.5%
Unit cost at fixed bunker increased by 2.5% to 2,539 Average operated capacity (‘000 TEU) 4,477 4,395 1.9% 4,187 6.9%
USD/FFE. Bunker costs decreased 11% driven by lower Loaded volumes (‘000 FFE) 2,931 3,134 -6.5% 2,928 0.1%
prices and consumption
Long/short-term rate product share(1) Q1 ’25 2025e
• Average operated fleet capacity was 6.9% higher YoY,
reaching 4.5m TEUs. Capacity utilisation was 92% Long-term (> 3 months) 50% 51%
Short-term (≤ 3 months) 50% 49%
• Loaded volumes were slightly up 0.1% to 2,931k FFE
1) New Ocean product classifications concern rate validity of terms and conditions that can extend across multiple shipments and
time periods. Short-term includes volumes previously classified as shipments. See the quarterly report for further explanation and
comparison with the previous contracts/shipments volumes split.
APMM Q1 2025 Financial Results 15
First quarter 2025
Development in EBIT (USDm) and EBIT margin (%)
Logistics & Services 200 6%
5%
150
4%
100 3%
• Sequentially stable EBIT margin supported by USDm Q1 ‘25 Q4 ‘24 QoQ % Q1 ’24 YoY %
continued progress in Middle Mile Revenue 3,488 3,891 -10% 3,504 -0.5%
Gross Profit 1,121 1,226 -8.6% 1,007 11%
• YoY EBIT margin improvement driven by multiple
EBITDA 383 402 -4.7% 266 44%
products and continued focus on cost and
productivity EBITDA margin 11% 10% 0.7pp 7.6% 3.4pp
EBIT 142 158 -10% 54 163%
EBIT margin 4.1% 4.1% 0.0pp 1.5% 2.6pp
Gross capex 97 232 -58% 201 -52%
• Freight Management revenue increased by Revenue | USDm Key products Q1 ‘25 Q1 ’24 YoY %
USD 85m to USD 553m (18%) and EBITA • Lead Logistics
margin increased to 21.0% (17.3%). Increases Managed by • Project Logistics
driven by Custom Services, Project Logistics 553 468 18%
Maersk • Custom Services
and Cold Chain Logistics • Cold Chain Logistics
• Warehousing
• Fulfilment Services revenue decreased by
Fulfilled by • Middle Mile
USD 101m to USD 1.3bn (-7.1%) and EBITA 1,322 1,423 -7.1%
Maersk • Last Mile
margin improved to -2.5% (-6.2%). Margin
• E-Fulfilment
improvements mainly driven by Warehousing
and refocusing Middle Mile • Landside Transportation
Transported
• Air 1,613 1,613 0%
• Transport Services revenue was on par with by Maersk
• LCL
Q1 ‘24 USD 1.6bn (0%) and EBITA margin was
6.4% (6.5%) Total Logistics & Services 3,488 3,504 -0.5%
• ROIC (LTM) increased to 14.5% (11.3%) USDm Q1 ’25 Q4 ‘24 QoQ % Q1 ’24 YoY %
Revenue 1,231 1,194 3.1% 999 23%
• CAPEX of USD 126m (USD 127m) largely unchanged
EBITDA 444 421 5.5% 348 28%
EBITDA margin 36.1% 35.3% 0.8pp 34.8% 3.5pp
EBIT 394 338 17% 300 31%
EBIT margin 32.0% 28.3% 3.7pp 30.0% 2.0pp
Gross capex 126 158 -20% 127 -0.8%
USDm
550
500 -81
142 444
450 -15
400
Higher labour
50 costs and
348
350 revenue-driven
Increase in storage
revenue, rate concession fees
300 increases and
8.4% increase, driven
improved terminal
by North America,
250 mix
Latin America and
Europe
200
150
100
50
0
EBITDA Q1’24 Volume Revenue per move Cost per move FX, exits and others EBITDA Q1’25
Final remarks
USD million Q1 ‘25 Q1 ‘24 YoY % Q1 ‘25 Q1 ‘24 YoY % Q1 ‘25 Q1 ’24 YoY % Q1 ‘25 Q1 ‘24 YoY % Q1 ‘25 Q1 ’24 YoY %
Ocean 8,910 8,009 11% 1,903 956 99% 743 -161 NM 1,168 325 259% 31,647 29,455 7.4%
Logistics & Services 3,488 3,504 -0.5% 383 266 44% 142 54 163% 97 201 -52% 11,682 11,378 2.7%
Terminals 1,231 999 23% 444 348 28% 394 300 31% 126 127 -1% 8,086 7,799 3.7%
Unallocated
activities and -308 -157 NM -20 20 -200% -26 -16 NM 7 53 -87% 176 1,798(1) -90.2%
eliminations, etc.
A. P. Moller -
Maersk 13,321 12,355 7.8% 2,710 1,590 70% 1,253 177 608% 1,398 706 98% 51,591 50,430 2.3%
consolidated
Income statement (USDm) Q1 ’25 Q1 ’24 FY24 Key figures and financials (USDm) Q1 ’25 Q1 ’24 FY24
Revenue 13,321 12,355 55,482 Profit/loss for the period 1,207 208 6,232
EBITDA 2,710 1,590 12,128 Gain/loss on sale of non-current
-55 -7 -222
assets etc., net
EBITDA margin 20.3% 12.9% 21.9%
Impairment losses, net. 1 -3 74
Depreciation, impairments etc. 1,620 1,518 6,220
Gain on sale of non-current Transaction and integration cost - 7 5
55 7 222
assets, etc., net Tax on adjustments -1 5 6
Share of profit in joint
108 98 369 Underlying profit/loss 1,152 210 6,095
ventures and associates
Earnings per share (USD) 74 11 387
EBIT 1,253 177 6,499
Lease liabilities (IFRS 16) 11,851 10,345 11,412
EBIT margin 9.4% 1.4% 11.7%
Net interest-bearing debt -5,206 -3,092 -7,373
Financial items, net 177 151 317
Profit/loss before tax Invested capital 51,591 50,430 50,564
1,430 328 6,816
Tax Total Equity (APMM total) 56,455 53,373 57,947
223 120 584
Profit/loss for the period Total market capitalisation 26,638 20,349 25,698
1,207 208 6,232
1) Under “Receivables, etc.” on balance sheet (see note 2 “Term deposits and other receivables” in quarterly report).