C8.4_problems3
C8.4_problems3
4 Probabilistic Combinatorics
Sheet 3 — HT24
Chernoff bounds; Branching processes
Section B
1. If (V1 , V2 ) is a fixed partition of the vertices of G(n, 1/2), what is the distribution of the
number of edges of G(n, 1/2) joining V1 to V2 ?
Show that the probability that G(n, 1/2) contains a bipartite subgraph with at least
n2 /8 + n3/2 edges is o(1).
4. Using results from lectures, show that the survival probability ρ(c) = 1 − η(c) of the
Poisson branching process XPo(c) satisfies ρ(1 + ε) ∼ 2ε as ε tends to zero from above.
Can you obtain further terms in this expansion?
(b) Deduce that ρk (c) = ck−1 k k−1 e−ck /k!. [You may like to give a direct proof of this
formula.]
(c) Deduce that
∞
X k k−1 −ck
ck−1 e =1
k=1
k!
if 0 ⩽ c ⩽ 1, and that the sum is strictly less than 1 if c > 1. [You may not like to
give a direct proof of this!]
6. (a) Show that for each c ∈ (1, ∞) there is a unique d ∈ (0, 1) such that ce−c = de−d .
(b) Let η be the extinction probability of XPo(c) , the Galton–Watson branching process
with offspring distribution Po(c). Show that cη = d where d is related to c as in
part (a).
(c) Consider the first particle (the root) in the branching process XPo(c) . What is the
probability of extinction of the process conditional on the event that the root has
k children (for k ∈ {0, 1, 2, . . . })? Use this to find the conditional distribution of
the number of children of the root, conditional on the event that the process dies
out.
(d) Hence or otherwise argue that the branching process XPo(c) , conditioned on extinc-
tion, has the same distribution as the branching process XPo(d) .
What does this suggest about the random graphs G(n, d/n) and G(n, c/n)?
Section C
These questions are optional, but MFoCS students are recommended to at-
tempt them. Outline solutions will be provided later; you can also approach
class tutors (if they have time) or the lecturer to discuss them.
for any u > 0, x > p, and deduce that the Chernoff bounds proved in lectures for
the case Sn ∼ Bin(n, p) also apply in this more general case.
(b) Let a1 , . . . , an be constants and let c > 0. Let Y1 , . . . , Yn be independent random
variables such that ai ⩽ Yi ⩽ ai + c, for all i. Give (with brief justification) a
version of the Chernoff bound for P(Sn − ESn ⩾ t), where Sn = ni=1 Yi .
P