Project Identification
Project Identification
Project Identification
Part I: Project identification
Project identification is the first and, perhaps, the most crucial stage
among the rest phases of the project cycle in which it is an opportunity
study stage. It is from this perspective that the project will be based,
and unnecessary ideas are likely to lead us to mal-project’s status. At
this stage an initial screening of project ideas will take place, with
some project ideas being abandoned as impractical or of a low priority.
Ideas for projects can be derived from a range of different sources,
such as; government organizations including: Ministries, individuals,
local communities’, non-government organizations and international
donor agencies and others.
One can distinguish two levels where project ideas are born; the macro
and micro level. Macro level project ideas: as the name indicates this
type of the project ideas can emanate from international level or
national level and can have large–scale impact. E.g
Micro level project ideas: this type project idea originates from the
smallest household or neighborhood and local level to solve a problem
and fill need gaps identified at a small territory level. E.g
Project ideas can be generated formally or informally, by an institution
or by individuals.
(1) Needs(N)
(2)Problems(P)
(3) Trend or pattern (T)
It is important for practitioners as well as non practitioners of project
management to know that projects revolve around one basic concept
"need".Human beings are a bundle of needs.
The need for a new project will usually be pretty well defined
before investor institutions will agree to provide the capital
needed to build.
1. NEEDS APPROACH
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• Aspect also like education can be reviewed critically and projects
will definitely emerge from this factor. E.g .number of teachers, pupil
to teacher ratio, number of schools etc
3. TREND APPROACH
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II) How and where do projects come from?
Every project starts with an idea. Where do you think the idea comes
from? Does it drop from the sky? No. Is it innate in the mind? No.
Obviously an idea comes from people, i.e. individuals, groups,
corporations, and even nations. But under what conditions are these
most likely to foster new ideas? Projects, by their very nature, have a
lot in common. They usually start as an idea. The idea is then
developed into a concept. The concept is then analyzed and probed
through the process of due diligence (an investigation or audit of a
potential investment). Due diligence from the foundation of a project’s
feasibility. The first task of the entire project cycle is, thus, identifying
the project area.
As indicated earlier one can distinguish two levels where project ideas
are born; the macro and micro level.
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iii) Project Profile, Prioritization and Ranking
a) Pre-Conditions
Justification and purpose:- What goal is the project contributing to?
What is the purpose?
Policies and plans:- How does the project proposal fit into plans and
policies at hand,
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During selection process, each project can be assessed against each of
the criteria to give a rating. At this stage of the project cycle it is more
likely to be qualitative than quantitative. Certain criteria can be given
greater weighting to reflect the importance of the criteria in
determining the overall range of the project.
Pre-Feasibility Study
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Feasibility study results with the preliminary project proposal
document that contains all the information necessary for an
investment decision for the implementing agency. It also critically
examines economic and environmental factors affecting projects.
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human beings, etc. In environmental impact assessment, the feasibility
study discuss in detail the impacts of the proposed projects on the
environment and to choose the equipment and production systems
that minimizes pollution, soil degradations and others. The feasibility
study should include a laboratory details on how to dispose-off the
wastes of the project that pollute air and water. There are a number of
questions that need to be answered during the analysis, such as:
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vii) Financial Analysis
The objective of financial analysis is to ascertain whether the proposed
project will be financially viable in the sense of being able to meet the
burden of servicing debt and whether the proposed project will satisfy
the return expectations of those who provide the capital. While
conducting a financial appraisal certain aspects has to be looked into
like:
- Investment outlay and cost of project
- Means of financing
- Projected profitability
- Break- even point
- Cash flows of the project
- Investment worthiness judged in terms of various criteria of
merit
- Projected financial position
Financial feasibility
In case of a new project, financial viability can be judged on the
following parameters:
Total estimated cost of the project
Financing of the project in terms of its capital structure, debt
equity ratio and promoter's share of total cost
Existing investment by the promoter in any
other business Projected cash flow and
profitability
[
The financial viability of a project should provide the following information:
Full details of the assets to be financed and how liquid those assets are.
Rate of conversion to cash-liquidity (i.e. how easily can the various assets be
converted to cash?). Project's funding potential and repayment terms.
Sensitivity in the repayments capability to the following factors:
o Time delays.
o Mild slowing of sales.
o Acute reduction/slowing of sales.
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o Small increase in cost.
o Large increase in cost.
o Adverse economic conditions.
concerned whether the capital cost as well as the cost of theproduct is justifiable vis-à-vis the price at
which it will sell at the market place. Forexample, technically, silver can be extracted from silver bromide,
(a chemical used forprocessing the X-ray and photo films); but, the cost of extraction is so high that
itwould not be economically feasible to do so. Likewise, until recently cost ofharnessing solar power was
prohibitively high. This cost-benefit analysis goes intofinancial calculations for profitability analysis that we
discussed under financialanalysis. At this stage it is also useful to distinguish between the economic
andcommercial feasibility; whereas economic feasibility leads one to the unit cost of theproduct,
Apart from the cost-benefit analysis as above, which we also refer to as private cost benefitanalysis, it is also
useful to dowhat is known as social- cost-benefit- analysis (SCBA). For example, the entrepreneur may be
getting subsidized electricity in which case private cost would be less than social cost. Likewise, exporting units
earn precious foreign exchange resulting into social benefits being more than private earnings. Many a time, a
project that is worthy on SCBA may find greater favour with the support agencies.
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I. What Is a Project Proposal?
A project proposal is a detailed account of a succession of activities meant to
solve a certain problem. In order to be successful, the document should: give
a logical arrangement of a research idea, demonstrate the importance of the
idea, explain the idea's connection to past actions, and express the activities
for the intended project.
1. Solicited Proposal:
A solicited proposal is submitted in response to a request by a funding
agency for research or training in a specific subject. The proposal may be in
response to a Request for Proposal (RFP) or a Request for Application (RFA).
A RFA is a solicitation from a funding agency inviting applications from
investigators who are interested in working with the funding agency in
designing and carrying out a specific project.
2. Unsolicited Proposal:
An unsolicited proposal is a proposal on a subject of interest to the faculty
member who makes it, which the targeted funding agency may find of
interest as well because it is in an area it is exploring, needs more
information on, fits with other areas of its interest, or has suddenly deemed a
priority. Many organizations and foundations consider unsolicited proposals,
as do some federal agencies.
3. Renewal:
A competing renewal is a request for additional funding for a project that is
currently funded but the period of performance is ending. Competing
renewals generally include new work based on the results of the existing
grant and are subject to peer review.
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4. Resubmission:
A resubmission is an effort to secure funding for a proposal which has been
revised in response to critical comments from reviewers when it was
previously submitted. Unless otherwise stated specifically in the funding
opportunity announcement or RFA, just one resubmission is permitted.
5. Revision:
A revision is a request to an agency for additional support for an existing
project to expand the project’s scope or to meet unforeseen expenses. (In
the case of NIH, the former “competing supplemental application” is now
known as a “revision.”) A revision may be submitted to request support for a
significant expansion of a project’s scope or research protocol. An
administrative revision, also known as a “supplement,” requests additional
funding to meet increased costs that are within the scope of the approved
application, but these new costs were not foreseen when the new or
competing renewal application was submitted.
6. Continuation:
A continuation is a non-competing request for additional funding. The
application is not subject to peer review.
If a proposal is accepted, funding may be awarded in one of the following
forms, sometimes called “sponsored research vehicles”:
Contract or Grant:
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Although contracts and grants are both legal agreements, a contract differs
from a grant in the following ways:
Contracts:
Grants:
Although the format and content of a proposal may vary with the
requirements of the potential sponsor, the proposal will generally
consist of the following elements.
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a. Title page: A title page should appear on proposals longer than
three to four pages. The title page should indicate the project
title, the name of the lead organization (and potential partners, if
any), the place and date of project preparation and the name of
the donor agency to whom the proposal is addressed.
b. Project title: The project title should be short, concise, and
preferably refer to a certain key project result or the leading
project activity. Project titles that are too long or too general fail
to give the reader an effective snapshot of what is inside.
c. Contents page: If the total project proposal is longer than 10
pages, it is helpful to include a table of contents normally at the
start of the document. The contents page enables readers to
quickly find relevant parts of the document. It should contain the
title and beginning page number of each section of the proposal.
d. Abstract (Executive summary): Many readers lack the time
needed to read the whole project proposal. It is therefore useful
to insert a short abstract or a summary. The abstract provides a
brief summary of the project, and in most cases, within a space
limitation specified by the sponsor. The abstract should include
the problem to be addressed, the objectives to be achieved, the
implementing organization, the key project activities and the
total cost (budget) of the project. Although it appears first in the
proposal, the abstract should be written last with the thought that
it may be the only part of the proposal that is read by some
agency reviewers. It should be clear, succinct and effective in
generating interest for the project.
e. Context (Project Impact): This part of the project should
describe the social, economic, political and cultural background
from which the project is initiated. It should contain relevant data
from research carried out in the project planning phase or
collected from other sources. The writer should take into
consideration the need for a balance between the length of this
item and the size of the overall project proposal. Large amounts
of relevant data should be placed in an annex.
f. Beneficiaries (Target Groups): In this part define the target
group and show how it will benefit from the project. Describe the
groups of people that will directly benefit from the project. If
applicable and possible, break down the direct beneficiaries into
categories (e.g. women, youth, and minorities).
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g. Project justification: Rationale should be provided for the
project. Due to its importance usually this section is divided into
four or more sub-sections. These sub-sections are discussed
below.
Priority needs: The needs of the target group that have arisen as a
direct negative impact of the problem should be prioritized. An
explanation as to how this decision was reached (i.e what criteria were
used) must also be included. For example, if the problem is stated as
“…poor infrastructure in the community”, the list of needs associated
with this problem may be: (i) improved water supply in quality and
quantity; (ii) better roads; and (iii) improved solid waste collection.
These three needs would then be given higher or lower priority
according to the level of importance for the community, and a
description would be given of how that decision was reached (e.g a poll
taken from the local population, costs associated with project
intervention, etc.). This procedure provides credibility to the selected
intervention.
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h. Project Goals and Objectives: Having a goal is like having a
road map. It helps members decide how to get from where they
are to where they want to go. Project goals are tools that help
members look ahead to plan what they want to do. Often one
major “goal” is declared and then broken down into various
objectives. Write SMART goal and objectives.
i. Output (outcomes): Outputs are the goods, services and
change is knowledge and attitudes produced as a result of
project activities which contribute to achieving the objective.
Outputs describe the services or products to be delivered to the
intended beneficiaries, therefore specifying what the project
management is promising to deliver.
j. Project Description and Background: This part shall include
the specific detailed description of each activity. Activities are the
major tasks or steps carried out that lead to achieving the
specified outputs. Link the activities to the objectives. Describe
every detailed aspect including responsibilities of partners and
the institution. There may be more than one activity for every
output. All activities should be associated with an output. You
should not have any activities that do not link up to outputs. To
determine the activities ask: “What does the project need to do in
order to produce the desired outputs?” Activities should be
clearly defined and when possible, quantified. List only the major
activates. You may list up to four activities for each output (you
may list fewer than four activities per output).
k. Human Resources: This part of the project should describe the
management and implementation teams, their experience and
responsibilities.
l. Project feasibility: This part of the project shows the feasibility
of the project.
m. Sustainability: Specify how your project will be
sustainable in the further after the donation has finished.
n. Overall project value: This part shows the added value of the
project to the higher education, institution, and other other
beneficiaries.
o. Risks of the project: This part of the project shall include the
main risks (may occur) and the tools could be used to overcome
them.
p. Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) plan: In this part specify
how you will monitor the progress of activities and how you will
be able to evaluate the accomplishment of the overall goal of the
project. Identify the indicators you will measure. Use the following
table.
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Item Indicators Sources of Assumptions M&E
verificatio
n (Risks)
Overall
goal
Objective
Evaluation
1
Objective
2
Objective
3
Outputs
1.1
1.2
2.1
2.2
2.3
Activity
1.1.1
1.1.2
1.1.3
Monitoring
Activity
1.2.1
1.2.2
1.2.3
Activity 3
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client confidence that you have given it thought and you understand
what they want. It also provides a solid opportunity for them to clarify
encase you did not understand.
3. Break Down the Project into a Nice “To Do” List:
After your summary, follow-up with a solid “To Do” list, that is very
useful for both you and your client. List everything that they have
requested so far as well as your standard work on the project. For
designers, this would include listing the initial drafts, etc. For
programmers, this would include planning the database, building it, etc.
Be thorough in your list. It will help give the client a strong sense that
you know what you are doing and that you will do the job well. It will
also help you make sure nothing slips through the cracks. Use the list in
your project updates and cross things off as you move along.
4. Split the Project into Phases:
After your “to do” list split the project up into a number of clearly
defined phases. It is recommended starting out with a minimum of
three. Your first phase might be the “Initial First Draft”. During this
phase, you begin work on the project and end the phase by sending the
client a first draft for testing and revision. Your next phase, in a simple 3
phase project, could be “Bug Squashing and Customizing”. During this
phase the project is tested and revisions are made until the client is
happy with the work and it is ready for action. Your last phase is
“Finalization”. Once the work is finished, you send them an invoice, ask
for referrals, collect payment, and end with a virtual handshake, all
parties satisfied with a job well done. Bonus: A useful strategy to keep in
mind when it comes to pricing is splitting up a long to-do list into
meaningful project phases and then pricing each of the “phases”
individually. This can be especially useful for isolating features that
require additional time and energy and being sure the client recognizes
the work involved when it comes time to give them the price.
5. Give Your Clients a Timeline:
Once you have gone over the project phases, let your clients know
approximately how long you expect the project to take. Be generous
(overestimate if need be, but gently)
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and then strive to finish up ahead of time. While a project may only
take you a few hours to finish up, keep in mind that there will be
waiting time between the initial drafts and the finished project as the
client reviews the work and provides feedback. If the client is in a rush,
let them know exactly when it can be finished and be sure to go over
in detail exactly what, if anything needs to be done on their part to
make that deadline possible.
6. Estimate Your Time Involved:
While not useful for all project types, giving an estimate of time
involved is useful for most and not only gives the client a sense of what
to expect and that you know what you are doing, but also helps you
know exactly what to plan ahead for. A large design/programming
project, for example, with a high dollar amount, can be an excellent
opportunity to detail the hours involved in each step of the to-do list.
Be generous, but honest. The last thing you want is word getting
around that it takes you several hours to do what takes the average
freelancer 15 minutes.
7. Use the Multiple Choice Price Strategy:
Now that all the details have been clearly laid out and your client is
confident in your understanding of the project and your ability to see it
through, it’s time to give them the price. Calculate your predicted time
involved and be sure that nothing is overlooked. Then, give them the
total number of hours along with your standard hourly rate followed by
a discounted “flat rate”. Let us say you estimate about 5-8 hours
involved in the project and your hourly rate is $40 an hour. Your
proposal would then read something like this: “At around 5-8 hours of
work, you are welcome to my basic hourly rate of $40 an hour or a
discounted flat rate of $250.” 9 times out of 10 the client will choose
the flat rate over the hourly and will be happy with having had the
freedom to choose. Note that as an honest freelance artist whose
abilities are constantly improving, you will often reach a point where
what once took you 5 hours now takes you an hour. Once that
happens, the multiple price strategy is no longer
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needed. Give them your flat rate and do an excellent job. Be sure that,
along with your price, you give them your options for accepting
payment.
8. Offer a Satisfaction Guarantee:
Once you have given them the price, be sure to include your
satisfaction guarantee. Let them know that you are committed to
working on the project until they are fully satisfied and then, once they
have accepted your proposal, stick to it. There is always the possibility
that it can backfire with a client who just does not ever seem to be
satisfied (we can talk about dealing with them another day), but the
vast majority of the time a solid guarantee will give your clients an
extra vote of confidence and help to close the deal. There is always the
possibility of a project costing you more time than it is worth, but no
matter. Give the project your absolute best and learn everything that
you can. Satisfied customers often end up being repeat customers and
they are more than worth the time spent on those who may not
appreciate your work.
9. End With a Call to Action:
Finally, after all the details have been made clear, and the price and
guarantee given, end with “what happens next.” Let them know
exactly what they need to do to get started. If you require payment
upfront, let them know where to send the money. If everything prior
has gone well, you now have a client who is excited and eager to see
their project come to life and you want to make sure that they know
what needs to happen next.
10. Write and Format Professionally:
Nothing says “unprofessional” like a bunch of “misspellings”,
grammatical errors, and “IM Style” typing. Take the extra time to proof
read your proposal and fix any little errors that may have slipped in.
Use spacing between your paragraphs and divide your various sections
(Project Summary, Timeline, Price Quote, etc.) with subheadings. For
extra points, put your proposal up on a password protected page
(make sure the password works) within your website. Remember if you
are struggling
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with style or would just like some extra ideas/opinions, put together an
example proposal and share it with family and friends along with a
request for feedback.
Once the proposal has been accepted and the project complete, be
sure to always ask the client if they have any suggestions for how you
can improve and do even better work in the future. Ask them if your
proposal was clear and ask if you were able, what the deciding factor
was in choosing you to do the work. Take note of all you learn and
apply it to the next proposal you write. Although not directly related to
“proposal writing”, here are two other tips that are worth mentioning:
1. Pre-Screen your Clients:
To save both you and your client’s time and energy, it is important to
be sure that they are as informed and as prepared as possible before
they contact you. This is where your website can step in and do its job.
After they have browsed through your portfolio and decided to go for a
price on your services, it is important that you provide a clear path to
follow. Create a page specifically for those interested in working with
you. Outline the types of projects that you do and the processes that
you use. Do not hide your prices. As well as offering an hourly rate and
flat rate estimates for various project types, it is better to mention that
you are always open to creative negotiations. You can often end up
with “free projects” that more than pay what you would have charged
them.
2. Respond Quickly:
While not always possible, when you are able to, respond to your
prospective and active clients immediately. If you have an expected
delay, let them know that you plan to be unavailable. Be punctual with
all your appointments and make sure that you meet your deadlines. If
you miss a deadline and you are at fault, take a hit on your earnings.
This will let the client know that you mean what you say and it will also
help you to make sure it does not happen again.
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Part _III
Project Appraisal
For all other types of projects there are four ways to look at financial
feasibility from the point of view of:-
- Risk Analysis,
- Special Decision situation,
- Social Cost Benefit Analysis,
- Multiple Projects and Constraints,
- Valuation of real Options,
- Judgmental Behavioral Strategic and Organizational
considerations.
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Comments: As described above project appraisal and its technique
are relevant only for project where goods or services are being
charged for, albeit subsidized in one form or the other
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markets where prices are distorted by various government
interventions, by macroeconomic policies, or by imperfect competition.
Shadow prices may be used in estimating the willingness to pay and
willingness to accept compensation values in the face of these market
absences and market imperfections. Shadow prices are used to take
into account the major impacts of a project where economic values
differ from financial values. In the two types of analysis costs for
various considerations are part and parcels. The notable ones are
listed here under.
In many fields, cost estimation methods are well codified. The office
walls of organizational purchasing departments are lined with
catalogues detailing what materials, services, and machines are
available, from whom, and at what prices. And also on the book
shelves the volumes devoted to the techniques or estimating the
quantities of materials and labor required to accomplish specific jobs.
Every business (or simply project) has its own rule of thumb for
estimation of its cost and obviously of its initial investment cost.
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straightforward. In single product enterprises, the cost of production
can be compared directly to the price of the product, regardless of
the method used to calculate the cost of production.
The procedure for the single payment compound amount factor finds
the future sum of money, F, which is equivalent to a present sum of
money, p, at a specified interest rate, I, after n periods. This is
calculated as:
n
F=P(1+i)
Example:
A sum of 5,000.00 is deposited in a project account and left to earn
interest for 15 years. If the interest rate per year is 12%, the
compound interest rate after 15 years can be calculated as follows:
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15
F=5000(1+0.12)
=27,367.85
P=9,660.03
P=A/i
Example:
P=A/i
P=6,500/0.11
P=59,090.91
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Economic and Financial Evaluation
There are two basic type of project selection models. These are:
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extends the line in a new, desirable direction. Some times
careful calculations of profit are not required. Decision
makers can act on their beliefs about what will be the likely
impact on the total system performance if the new product
is added to the line.
d) Comparative benefit model: For this situation assume
that an organization has many projects to consider. Senior
management would like to select a subset of the projects
that would most benefit the firm, but the project do not
seem to be easily comparable. For example some projects
concern potential new products, some concern changes in
the production methods, others concern computerization of
certain records, and still others cover a variety of subjects
not easily categorized (e.g a proposal for creating a daycare
center for employees with small kids). The organization has
no formal method of selecting a project, but members of the
selection committee think that some projects will benefit
the firm more than others even if they have no precise way
to define or to measure benefit. The concept of comparative
benefit, if not formal model, is widely adopted for selection
decision on all sorts or projects.
ii) Financial and Economic evaluation (Numeric models):
which sometimes are called quantitative, do use numbers and
computations, but the criteria being measured may be either
subjective or objective. A large majority of all firms using
project selection models use profit/profitability as the sole
measure of acceptability. Some of these models include:
a) Payback period (PBP): The payback period for a project is
the initial fixed investment in the project divided by the
estimated annual cash inflows from the project. The ratio of
these quantities is the number of years required for the
project to repay its initial fixed investment. For example,
assume project costs 100,000.00 to implement and has
annual net cash inflows of 25,000.00. Then, the payback
period is calculated as follows:
This method assumes that the cash inflows will persist at least long
enough to pay back the investment, and it ignores any cash inflows
beyond the payback period. The method also serves as an inadequate
proxy for risk. The faster the investment is recovered, the less the risk
to which the firm is exposed.
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b) Average rate of return: Often mistaken as the reciprocal
of the payback period, the average rate of return is the ratio
of the average annual profit (ether before or after tax) to
the initial or average investment in the project. Because
average annual profits are usually not equivalent to net
cash inflows, the average rate of return does not usually
equal the reciprocal of the payback period. Assume, in the
example just given, that the average annual profits are
15,000.00
Where, Ft= the net cash flow in period t, K=the required rate of return,
Ao = initial cash investment (because this is an out flow, it will be
negative)
Early in the life of the project, net cash flow is likely to be negative, the
major out flow being the initial investment in the project, Ao. If the
project is successful, however, cash flows will become positive. The
project is acceptable if the sum of the net present values of all
estimated cash flows over the life of the project is positive. A simple
example will suffice for indicating this. Using our 100,000.00
investment with a net cash inflow of 25,000.00 per year for a period of
eight years, a required rate of return of 15 percent, and an inflation of
rate of 3 percent per year, we have
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NPV (project)=100,000.00+∑ 25,000.00/(1 + 0.15 + 0.03) =
1939.00
Because the present value of the inflows is greater than the present
value of the out flow that is, the net present value is positive the
project is deemed acceptable.
producing x units,
FC is the total fixed cost, and VC(x) is the total variable cost
associated with producing x units.
In this case the total revenue resulting from the sale of x
units is defined as:
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TR(x)=px, where p is the price per unit. The profit due to
the production and sale of x units of the product is
calculated as
P(x0=TR(x)-TC(x)
RT(x)=TC(x)or
P(x)=0