Pem M C07: Project Materials Management
Pem M C07: Project Materials Management
Decision ?
In the previous example,
was Case 1 better than Case 2 ??????
Total Purchase Quantity per annum
= 100 x 12 = 1200
Total Price Total
requirement per unit amount of
per annum (Rs.) materials
(units) (Rs.)
Case I (400 units at a 1200 300
time)
Case II 1200 285
(1200 units at a time)
Total Price Total
requirement per unit amount of
per annum (Rs.) materials
(units) (Rs.)
Case I (400 units at a 1200 300 3,60,000
time)
Case II 1200 285 3,42,000
(1200 units at a time)
Total Price Total Total GRAND TOTAL
requirement per amount of OC+CC
per annum unit materials (Rs.)
(units) (Rs.) (Rs.) (Rs.)
A B C D=BxC E F=D+E
Case I 1200 300 3,60,000 18,000
( 400 units at a
time)
Case II 1200 285 3,42,000 28,650
(1200 units at a
time)
Total Price Total Total GRAND TOTAL
requirement per amount of OC+CC
per annum unit materials (Rs.)
(units) (Rs.) (Rs.) (Rs.)
A B C D=BxC E F=D+E
Case I 1200 300 3,60,000 18,000 3,78,000
(400 units at a
time)
Case II 1200 285 3,42,000 28,650 3,70,650
(1200 units at a
time)
Conclusion from the example
Spares required
0 1 2 3 4
Spares
stocked
Spares required
0 1 2 3 4
Spares
stocked
Spares required
0 1 2 3 4
Spares
stocked
Spares required
0 1 2 3 4
Spares
stocked
Spares required
0 1 2 3 4
Spares
stocked
Spares required
0 1 2 3 4
Spares
stocked Probability of usage of spares
0.35 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.05
If s= 0,
Payoff = 0 x 0.35 + 15000 x 0.25 + 30000 x 0.20 + 45000 x 0.15 +
60000 x 0.05
= 0 + 3750 + 6000 + 6750 + 3000
= 19500
• If s = 1 then Payoff = Rs 11,750
• If s = 2 then Payoff = Rs 7750
• If s = 3 then Payoff = Rs 6750
• If s = 4 then Payoff = Rs 8000
Step 6 : Select optimal strategy
Since expected value of life time cost of 3 spares
is lowest, optimal strategy is to stock 3 spares
3) Buying under uncertainty
• Even the probability cannot be estimated.
• Occurs when no past experience or historical
data
• Cannot compute pay-off for order quantity