Chapter 9

Benefit/Cost
Analysis
Engineering Economy, 8th edition
Leland Blank, Anthony Tarquin

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Homework

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Solution

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Homework

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Solution

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Homework

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 LEARNING OUTCOMES

1. Explain difference in public vs. private sector

projects
2. Calculate B/C ratio for single project
3. Select better of two alternatives using B/C method
4. Select best of multiple alternatives using B/C method
5. Use cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) to evaluate
service sector projects
6. Describe how ethical compromises may enter public
sector projects

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 Differences: Public vs. Private Projects
Characteristic Public Private
Size of Investment Large Small, medium, large

Life Longer (30 – 50+ years) Shorter (2 – 25 years)

Annual CF No profit Profit-driven

Funding Taxes, fees, bonds, etc. Stocks, bonds, loans,

etc.

Interest rate Lower Higher

Selection criteria Multiple criteria Primarily ROR

Environment of evaluation Politically inclined Economic

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 Types of Contracts
Contractors does not share project risk
 Fixed price - lump-sum payment
 Cost reimbursable - Cost plus, as negotiated
Contractor shares in project risk
 Public-private partnerships (PPP), such as:
 Design-build projects - Contractor responsible from
design stage to operations stage
 Design-build-operate-maintain-finance (DBOMF)
projects - Turnkey project with contractor managing
financing (manage cash flow); government obtains
funding for project

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 Cash Flow Classifications and B/C Relations
Must identify each cash flow as either benefit, disbenefit, or cost

Benefit (B) -- Advantages to the public

Disbenefit (D) -- Disadvantages to the public
Cost (C) -- Expenditures by the government
Note: Savings to government are subtracted from costs

Conventional B/C ratio = (B–D) / C

Modified B/C ratio = [(B–D) – C] / Initial Investment
Profitability Index = NCF / Initial Investment

Note 1: All terms must be expressed in same units, i.e., PW, AW, or FW
Note 2: Do not use minus sign ahead of costs
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 Decision Guidelines for B/C and PI
Benefit/cost analysis
If B/C ≥ 1.0, project is economically justified at
discount rate applied
If B/C < 1.0, project is not economically acceptable

Profitability index analysis of

revenue projects
If PI ≥ 1.0, project is economically justified at
discount rate applied
If PI < 1.0, project is not economically acceptable
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 B/C Analysis – Single Project

B-D
Conventional B/C ratio = If B/C ≥ 1.0,
C
accept project;
B – D – M&O otherwise, reject
Modified B/C ratio =
C
Denominator is
PI = PW of NCFt initial investment
PW of initial investment
If PI ≥ 1.0,
accept project;
otherwise, reject © 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
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 Example: B/C Analysis – Single Project

A flood control project will have a first cost of $1.4 million with an annual
maintenance cost of $40,000 and a 10 year life. Reduced flood damage is
expected to amount to $175,000 per year. Lost income to farmers is estimated
to be $25,000 per year. At an interest rate of 6% per year, should the
project be undertaken?

Do not build project

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 Example: B/C Analysis – Single Project

A flood control project will have a first cost of $1.4 million with an annual
maintenance cost of $40,000 and a 10 year life. Reduced flood damage is
expected to amount to $175,000 per year. Lost income to farmers is estimated
to be $25,000 per year. At an interest rate of 6% per year, should the
project be undertaken?

Solution: Express all values in AW terms and find B/C ratio

B = $175,000
D = $25,000
C = 1,400,000(A/P,6%,10) + $40,000 = $230,218
B/C = (175,000 – 25,000)/230,218
= 0.65 < 1.0
Do not build project
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Example: B/C Analysis – Single Project

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Solution

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Defender, Challenger and Do Nothing Alternatives

When selecting from two or more ME alternatives, there is a:

 Defender – in-place system or currently selected alternative
 Challenger – Alternative challenging the defender
 Do-nothing option – Status quo system

General approach for incremental B/C analysis of two ME alternatives:

 Lower total cost alternative is first compared to Do-nothing (DN)
 If B/C for the lower cost alternative is < 1.0, the DN option is compared
to
∆B/C of the higher-cost alternative
 If both alternatives lose out to DN option, DN prevails, unless overriding
needs requires selection of one of the alternatives
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Alternative Selection Using Incremental B/C
Analysis – Two or More ME Alternatives

Procedure similar to ROR analysis for multiple alternatives

(1) Determine equivalent total cost for each alternative

(2) Order alternatives by increasing total cost
(3) Identify B and D for each alternative, if given, or go to step 5
(4) Calculate B/C for each alternative and eliminate all with B/C < 1.0
(5) Determine incremental costs and benefits for first two alternatives
(6) Calculate ∆B/C; if >1.0, higher cost alternative becomes defender
(7) Repeat steps 5 and 6 until only one alternative remains

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 Example: Use B/C Analysis
Compare two alternatives using i = 10% and B/C ratio
Alternative X Y
First cost, $ 320,000 540,000
M&O costs, $/year 45,000 35,000
Benefits, $/year 110,000 150,000
Disbenefits, $/year 20,000 45,000
Life, years 10 20

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Example: Incremental B/C Analysis

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Example: ∆B/C Analysis; Selection Required
Must select one of two alternatives using i = 10% and ∆B/C ratio
Alternative X Y
First cost, $ 320,000 540,000
M&O costs, $/year 45,000 35,000
Benefits, $/year 110,000 150,000
Disbenefits, $/year 20,000 45,000
Life, years 10 20

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Example: ∆B/C Analysis; Selection Required

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Example: ∆B/C Analysis; Selection
Required

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Solution

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 B/C Analysis of Independent Projects

 Independent projects comparison does not require

incremental analysis
 Compare each alternative’s overall B/C with DN option

+ No budget limit: Accept all alternatives with B/C ≥ 1.0

+ Budget limit specified: capital budgeting problem; selection
follows different procedure (discussed in chapter 12)

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Class 2

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 Cost Effectiveness Analysis
Service sector projects primarily involve intangibles, not
physical facilities; examples include health care, security
programs, credit card services, etc.

Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) combines monetary cost

estimates with non-monetary benefit estimates to calculate the
Cost-effectiveness ratio (CER)

Equivalent total costs

CER = Total effectiveness measure
= C/E
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 CER Analysis for Independent Projects
Procedure is as follows:
(1) Determine equivalent total cost C, total effectiveness measure E and CER
(2) Order projects by smallest to largest CER
(3) Determine cumulative cost of projects and compare to budget limit b
(4) Fund all projects such that b is not exceeded

Example 1: The effectiveness measure E is the number of graduates from

adult training programs. For the CERs shown, determine which independent
programs should be selected; b = $500,000.

Program CER, $/graduate Program Cost, $

A 1203 305,000
B 752 98,000
C 2010 126,000
D 1830 365,000
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Example 1: CER for Independent Projects
First, rank programs according to increasing CER:
Cumulative
Program CER, $/graduate Program Cost, $ Cost, $

B 752 98,000 98,000

A 1203 305,000 403,000
D 1830 365,000 768,000
C 2010 126,000 894,000

Next, select programs until budget is not exceeded

Select programs B and A at total cost of $403,000
Note: To expend the entire $500,000, accept as many additional
individuals as possible from D at the per-student rate
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Example 2: CER for Independent Projects
The manager has a maximum of $50 per employee to spend on
the permanent implementation of as many of the strategies as are
justified from both the effectiveness and economic viewpoints.
Determine which strategies are the best to implement.

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 Solution
Strategies are independent; calculate CER values, rank in
increasing order and select those to not exceed
$50/employee.

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Select strategies C, A, B and D to not exceed $50 per employee.
Parts of F may be a possibility to use the remaining of the $50.
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 Example 3 ： CER for Independent Projects
(a) Conduct programs at the capacity level for the technique with
the lowest cost effectiveness ratio.
(b) Offer programs using as many techniques as possible to treat
up to 1300 people per year using the most cost-effective
techniques.

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 Solution
(a) Methods are independent. Calculate CER values, rank in
increasing order, select lowest CER, determine total cost.

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 Solution
(b) Rank by CER (column 4) and select techniques to treat 1300
people. Request is for $2,295,000 (column 8).

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 CER Analysis for Mutually Exclusive Projects
Procedure is as follows
(1) Order alternatives smallest to largest by effectiveness measure E
(2) Calculate CER for first alternative (defender) and compare to DN option
(3) Calculate incremental cost (∆C), effectiveness (∆E), and incremental measure
∆C/E for challenger (next higher E measure)
(4) If ∆C/Echallenger < C/Edefender challenger becomes defender (dominance);
otherwise, no dominance is present and both alternatives are retained
(5) Dominance present: Eliminate defender and compare next alternative
to new defender per steps (3) and (4).
Dominance not present: Current challenger becomes new defender agains
next challenger, but old defender remains viable
(6) Continue steps (3) through (5) until only 1 alternative remains or only
non-dominated alternatives remain
(7) Apply budget limit or other criteria to determine which of remaining
non-dominated alternatives can be funded
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 Example: CER for ME Service Projects
The effectiveness measure E is wins per person. From the cost
and effectiveness values shown, determine which alternative to
select.

Cost (C) Effectiveness (E)

Program $/person wins/person
A 2200 4
B 1400 2
C 6860 7

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 Example: CER for ME Service Projects
Solution:
Order programs according to increasing effectiveness measure E

Cost (C) Effectiveness (E) CER

Program $/person wins/person $/win

B 1,400 2 700
A 2,200 4 550
C 6,860 7 980
B vs. DN: C/EB = 1400/2 = 700
A vs. B: ∆C/E = (2200 – 1400)/(4 – 2) = 400 Dominance; eliminate B
C vs. A: ∆C/E = (6860 – 2200)/(7 – 4) = 1553 No dominance; retain C

Must use other criteria to select either A or C

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 Example: CER for ME Service Projects
There is time for using only one method of assistance before the
exam; he must select well. In a rapid process of estimation, he
determines how many minutes it would take for each method of
assistance and how many points it might gain for him on the
final. The method and estimates follow. Where should he seek
help to be most effective?

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 Solution
Minutes are the cost, C, and points gained are the effectiveness
measure, E. Order on basis of E and calculate CER values, then
perform ΔC/ analysis.

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 Ethical Considerations
Engineers are routinely involved in two areas
where ethics may be compromised:
Public policy making – Development of strategy, e.g.,
water system management (supply/demand strategy;
ground vs. surface sources)
Public planning - Development of projects, e.g., water
operations (distribution, rates, sales to outlying areas)

Engineers must maintain integrity and impartiality and

always adhere to Code of Ethics
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 Summary of Important Points
B/C method used in public sector project evaluation

Can use PW, AW, or FW for incremental B/C analysis, but must
be consistent with units for B,C, and D estimates
For multiple mutually exclusive alternatives, compare two at a time
and eliminate alternatives until only one remains

For independent alternatives with no budget limit, compare each against

DN and select all alternatives that have B/C ≥ 1.0

CEA analysis for service sector projects combines cost and

nonmonetary measures

Ethical dilemmas are especially prevalent in public sector projects

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Homework

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Homework

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