Draft Slides
Draft Slides
Overview
Industry
Market Size Peer Set
Structure 30000
25200
HVAC 25000
Raw Material
Growth Drivers
Prices
250000 140
120
200000
100
150000 80
Low RAC Rising Increasing
Penetratio Power Disposable 60
n Adequacy Income 100000
40
50000
20
0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Growing Increasing
Urbanizati Global Aluminium Iron Ore
on Warming
₹ 321 Cr.
Cashflow from
Sheet Injection
Printed Operations
metal, IDU Heat Multi-flow Inductio Circuit Mobility
Exchangers Molding Board
Condensers n Application
and ODU Components
Motors Assemble
(PCBA)
s
Mr. Jasbir Mr. Daljit Mr. Sudhir
x%
2003 2007 2009 2010 2012 2018 2019 Singh Singh Goyal Return on Equity
Chairman & Managing Chief Financial
CEO Director Officer
Current ratio Quick Ratio Net Profit Margin Operating margin Debt-Equity Interest Coverage ratio
Earnings - Company has been able to increase its Additional investment in Capex is expected to ROCE/ ROA - Company needs to efficiently use its
book value per share at a CAGR of 16.06%. increase revenue in the future resources in the form of assets and equity.
80 18
60 700
50.37 579.94 64.68 16 15.97
50 526.17 600 60
14
489.92 46.66 44 13.09
38.8
500 40 35.74 12 11.86
40
319.63 369.9 26.73
32.41 400
22.16
16.03 10
30.14 20 8.43 8.78
30 7.5 8
24.96 300
0 6 5.45
20 FY 19 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 FY 23
200 -23.53 4 3.94
-20 -28.07
10 100 2 2.27 2.22 2.51
-40 0
0 0 FY 19 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 FY 23
FY 19 FY 20 FY 21 FY 22 FY 23
% Inc in capex % inc in sales
Return on Capital Employed Return on Asset
Earnings per share Book value per share
Mahindra and Mahindra operates through Automotive, Farm Equipment, Financial Services, Real Estate, Hospitality and other segments
1 Overview The company’s vision is to build new emergent categories with differentiated product propositions & expand its market reach
The Management is investing in Industry Trends, Product Research and Bolt-on Acquisitions to expand brand and product portfolio
The Indian battery industry has witnessed a surge in demand due to the rapid adoption of renewable energy sources, EVs, and energy storage solutions
2 Industry Analysis Batteries are used not only in electric vehicles but also in a wide range of applications, including renewable energy storage, consumer electronics, etc.
Indian Government launched several initiatives to support the battery industry such as FAME scheme providing incentives for domestic battery production
Peer set consists of shortlisted potential targets for Mahindra and Mahindra based on business segments and strategic fit
3 Target Universe Evaluation of each and every peer on the financial and strategic synergies ground and the compatibility of the business with Mahindra and Mahindra
Peer benchmarking on the profitability, operational, coverage and leverage metrics suggest Amara Raja Batteries as a potential target
Amara Raja Batteries produces, sells lead-acid storage batteries for industrial and automotive applications under the Amaron and Powerzone brands
Target Overview The company is planning to expand operations and manufacture LiB with full potential and will pivot towards the new age batteries in the future
4
The scope for Amara Raja is immense as there is a boom in EV adoption, Renewable Energy Integration, Energy Storage Systems and IoT
With this acquisition, it will help Mahindra in expanding operations with consistent support from in-house battery production
5 Investment Rationale Amara Raja Batteries’ products are already customized to meet Mahindra’s needs, hence it will cater to the expansion plans of Mahindra
The backward integration deal will help Mahindra to form an end-to-end supply provider and a one stop solution for customers
Based on the multiple valuation techniques employed, the intrinsic value of the share price of is in the range of ₹653 to ₹922 per share
Valuation and Deal
6 Acquisition of 100% stake in the target with a premium of 25% over the current share price of ₹616 for the acquisition is suggested
Structure
A 40% equity & 60% debt deal is suggested, as it proves to be the most accretive in terms of EPS of the combined entity
1
Target Overview
Background
Incorporated in 1985, Amara Raja Batteries specializes in the manufacture of lead-acid storage batteries catering to various
customer groups such as telecom, solar, power control, UPS, automobile OEMs, replacement markets and private label customers
Overview Financial Summary
Headquartered in Tirupati, Amara Raja is one of the largest manufacturers of lead-acid In ₹Mn FY19A FY20 FY21A FY22A FY23A
Description batteries for both industrial and automotive applications in the Indian storage battery
industry Revenue 67,931 68,392 71,498 86,972 1,03,882
Flagship brand with Include Automotive Batteries, % Growth 31% 35% 33% 29% 31%
presence in 50+ Two-wheeler batteries,
Brands countries and 40,000+ inverter batteries and UPS Gross Profit 21,378 23,771 23,888 25,533 31,745
dealers
Gross Profit % 31% 35% 33% 29% 31%
Shareholding Promoters (28%), Public (47%), FII (35%)
Pattern EBITDA 9,533 10,778 10,892 9,957 13,285
Geographic 520+ cities across India EBITDA % 14% 16% 15% 11% 13%
Presence 350,000+ Active Restaurant Listings
EBIT 6,938 7,978 7,987 6,488 9,539
Largest exporter of 4W Batteries in India
EBIT % 10% 12% 11% 7% 9%
Key Highlights 7 Battery Manufacturing Plants in 2 locations
23 Branches, 500+ Amaron Franchisees, 2000+ Extensive Service Hubs, 100,000+ PoS EPS 28.3 38.7 37.9 30.0 40.7
Amara Raja Batteries will be a game-changing purchase for Mahindra, strengthening its position in meeting the demand for the New Age Battery
cells and solidifying its presence in the Indian and International industry
Deal Rationale
ESG Rationale and Public Image
Matchingrequirements
Matching requirements
from
Both Amara Raja and the Mahindra Group are eyeing on sustainable practices as customers are now
from in-house
in-house expansion
expansion
becoming aware and shifting to such products gradually
The storage battery industry is built on the pillars of energy efficiency, greenhouse gases mitigation, Backward Integration Mahindra and stated in their
responsible water management, pollution control and waste management Backward Integration No Supply Chain Hold-up
and Cost Synergies Annual report that they are
and Cost Synergies looking to expand their
Good practices in waste and manufacturing capacity and
Effective use of Natural Resources
pollution control management Acquiring Amara Raja also launch various models in Enhance the reliability
would help Mahindra upcoming years and consistency of the
Reduction of greenhouse gas Focus on Biodiversity achieve significant cost This deal could help support supply chain
emissions reduction in the Mahindra can rely that
their expansion plans
manufacturing process there would be no
100% PPE compliance Solar Power for Energy Requirement
It would enable manufacturing
Pioneered in introducing air pollution control equipment with the latest technologies which include the competitive advantage breakdowns due to any
and greater quality future pandemic like
HEPA filters situations
control over the batteries
Lock Out Tag Out (LOTO) an international best practice implemented across all locations
Has aligned business operations with ISO 14001 and 45001 frameworks for over two decades
Nokian Tyres has mainly experienced a profitability hit as an aftermath of the Ukraine Russia war which disrupted its supply chain, however with the
support of MRF, it can diversify its production facilities and be well prepared for such future contingencies
EBITDA Margins Operating Margins
2022A 2023E 2022A 2023E
16% 10%
10%
14% 14% 9%
13% 13%
8% 8%
9% 9% 6% 6%
9% 9%
8% 8%
5% 5%
7% 4%
3%
2%
Series1 Series1
1% 3%
2022A 2023E
Series1
1% 1%
-10%
-12%
Series1
Source: Capital IQ, Bloomberg as on 12 th February 2024.
8
Risks and Benefits to target shareholders
Key risks include integration challenges, locus of focus and regulatory/financial risk, while manufacturing capabilities and an
established distribution network remain key offerings
Moderate regulatory changes, & keeping legal teams ready on both the sides
Strain
Integration to ensure a seamless & efficient process
Market Proper targeting and marketing for the premium range of tyres,
Consolidation Product Fit Moderate
especially the multiple utility tyres
Regulatory Manufacturing plant utilization: With MRF investing over ₹1000cr in the development of its
new manufacturing plant in Telangana, Nokian Tyres can utilize the same to cope up with the
Integration loss of its Russian Market, till the time its factory in Romania becomes functional
Distribution diversification: Making use of MRF’s existing network of 2500+ dealers and
exports to more than 65 countries through various channels will provide an instant boost to
Nokian Tyres’ supply chain
Instant push to the business: Nokain Tyres has been severely impacted by the exit from the
Minor Signifi cant Serious Russian market and has taken a hit in the last 2 years. MRF’s capabilities will act as a catalyst
Impact of risks on the company towards boosting Nokian’s business and providing better than existing returns
Source: Company Website
v
Indian Gaming Industry Analysis
Nazara Technologies, one of the leading India based diversified gaming and sports media platform primarily operates across 3
segments - Gaming, eSports and Ad-tech offering an interactive gaming, gamified early learning experience
Product Portfolio
Kiddopia continues to be #2 grossing app for Revenue streams include: Over the last year, Nazara has been focusing on
kids under 5 years of age in the US Media Rights licensing original content higher-margin business lines & simultaneously
The World Cricket Championship (WCC) is commercial sponsorships for both offline & expanding client base to minimize dependency
Key Highlights
India’s leading cricket simulation game and has online events on a few customers.
around 9 million MAU1 and 1.5 million DAU2 Sponsorships from brands targeting the As a result, the overall gross margin of the
Revenues increased +10% YoY and EBITDA millennial audience business improved from 18.4% to 22.9%
Margin increased from 18.4% to 28.0% YoY in M&A driven expansion of offerings/ adjacencies The product-led businesses - Vizibl and HighR
Q1FY24 across emerging markets are showing signs of good market acceptance &
MAU (mn) NODWIN Gaming signed definitive and binding growing revenue
agreements for a funding round of $28M (INR This segment expects Revenue & EBITDA
11.7 232 Cr) from marquee new and existing growth to pick up from Q3 onwards as the
9.8 10.3 10.6
8.9 8.7 investors company aims to build out a more diversified,
Significant media revenues from broadcast higher margin client base
TV + OTT
clear guidelines outlined in the POSH1 policy
Gender diversity in workforce
8.6 30%
Prioritising the needs and well-being of
employees
8.6 8.4
Governance
Sound risk management policy
Adopted fair practices 8.1 40%
Strict policy against corruption
Diversified board
8.1 7.9
Ratings are based on MSCI Materiality Map Peers considered
*Integrity, competence, and reliability are core values to industry;
hence 40% weight to governance
Industry Overview Company Overview Competitor Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Methodology Investment Rationale ESG Analysis Risk Profile
Company Overview
Segment Wise Revenue Solar’s Product Portfolio
14% 9%
Explosives Segment Products About
13%
16%
Industry o SIIL explosives enable precise
FY24 FY23 Initiating Explosives rock breaking, tunneling, &
Systems demolition
70%
o Ammonium nitrate-based
78% formulas ensure optimal
Defence
performance with strict
regulations
Industry Overview Company Overview Competitor Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Methodology Investment Rationale ESG Analysis Risk Profile
Company Overview
Geographical Presence
82+ Footprints
Middle East India
Africa Asia/Oceania
Share Price Chart 52-week high: 13,298 52-week low: 3,655.15 5-year CAGR: 57% 3-year CAGR: 82% Y-O-Y Return: 151%
Industry Overview Company Overview Competitor Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Methodology Investment Rationale ESG Analysis Risk Profile
Competitor Analysis
Segment Wise Competitor Analysis
Industry Explosives
Industry Explosives Defence
Defence Initiating Systems
Initiating Systems
o Shifting to electronic detonation from traditional o Players aiming to integrate drones, counter-drone o Increase in the number of blasting applications
technology systems, and secure networks o Growing focus on enhancing safety measures
o Diversifying portfolio for Indian Air Force and for o ISR solutions, signature reduction tech, network- and reducing environmental impact of explosives
missile program centricity, autonomous systems o Indian manufacturers exploring export
o Increasing emphasis on sustainability o India transforming from net importer to net opportunities
exporter
Industry Overview Company Overview Competitor Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Methodology Investment Rationale ESG Analysis Risk Profile
Competitor Analysis
Return on Equity Dupont Analysis- RoE Deep Dive
SOIL GOCL Premier Explosives SOIL GOCL Premier Explosives
35%
30%
Net Profit 19%
23%
26% Margin 11% 12% 10% 12% 11% 12%
14%
10%
8% 7%
22% 4% 3%
3%
20% nm nm
Industry Overview Company Overview Competitor Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Methodology Investment Rationale ESG Analysis Risk Profile
Financial Analysis
Probability Ratios- Shows a steady increase, Solvency Ratios- Management expects lower Liquidity Ratios- Stable liquidity position, less
driven by topline growth 19%
Debt levels and better coverage ratio incremental move Y-O-Y
8000 20% 16 2 9
14.42
7.99
16% 14 13.09 1.8 8
15% 6,954 12.5 1.76
15% 1.6
6000 16% 6,113 15% 12 7
9.75 1.4 1.5 1.49 1.53
14% 10 6
11% 1.2 1.34
12% 12% 5
4000 11% 10% 8 7.1 1
3,967
6
4
0.8
2,537 0.6 3
2000 2,278 5% 4
0.4 2
2 0.89
0.5 0.39 0.41 0.35 0.19 1
0.2 1.20
0 0% 0 0.96 0.86
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 0
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (in INR cr) EBIT Margin
PAT Margin Int Coverage Ratio Net D/E Current Ratio Quick Ratio
Return Ratios- ROA and ROE shows an increase Payout Ratios- Stable dividend payment, with 1600 Capex& OCF- Increased capex driven by growth
100
trend and expected to have an upward EPS driven by Earnings growth 92.38 and tailwind factors in economy 1406
90 1400
25%movement 83.68
80 1200
21%
20% 19% 70
1000
16% 60
15% 14% 48.77 800
16%
15% 50 656 668
12%
12% 40 600
10% 11% 29.55 30.54 471
10% 30 357
400 325 293 298
20 235 264
5%
7.5 8 8.5 200
10 6 6
0% 0 0
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Capex OCF
ROA ROCE DPS EPS Source: Annual reports, Broker report
Industry Overview Company Overview Competitor Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Methodology Investment Rationale ESG Analysis Risk Profile
Investment Rationale
Government Initiatives – A Game Changer Stable CFO and a robust growth expected ROA/ROE expected to have linear growth
o Make in India, smart cities and rural electrification have given 10000 23.0% 9,321 25%
8,228 29.5%
significance impetus to explosive industry 8000 20% 25.5%
27.7%
o Defence sector has transformed from being a net importer to 6,853 23.4%
6,009 19.0% 19.0%
a net exporter, with around 16,000 crore worth of exports in 6000 15% 12.5%
FY23, a growth of 433% 3,908
o Government’s vision for ‘Developed Nation’ by 2047 is driving 4000 10%
10.0%
the infrastructure sector, with initiatives like Bharatmala, 2000
8.0%
5% 3.4% 4.6% 4.1% 4.8% 4.2%
Sagarmala, UDAN and Gati Shakti programmes
o Defence ministry estimates contracts worth almost 4 Lakh 0 0% FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E
crore to be given to domestic industry in next 5-7 years FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25E FY26E
ROA ROE
Sales CFO (%)
Robust growth in Explosives and Defence EBITDA Margins expected to grow Strong Order Book Value
8%
completed its certification test 9000 14%
23.1%
o SOIL is in final stages of securing much anticipated orders 8,227.92 22.5%
8000 19.3% 19.0% 2 0 .0 0 %
for PINAKA rocket, which is expected to make the defence 7000 6,853.30
revenue grow three-fold in FY25 6000 6,008.82 14.4%
1 5 .0 0 %
Total Order 15%
o Received largest-ever order from CIL – Rs.1,853 Cr bulk 15.1% Book Value:
5000 11.5% 14.3%
explosives 4,802
4000 3,908.13 11.7%
o Current market share is around 27%-28%. In near future, it 47%
1 0 .0 0 %
3000 Crores
plans to move towards 30% on all India basis 15%
o The management expects defence to grow from 9% current 2000 5 .0 0 %
Industry Overview Company Overview Competitor Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Methodology Investment Rationale ESG Analysis Risk Profile
ESG Analysis
Environment Description Metrics
Scores SOIL GOCL Corp Premier Explosives
Amount of GHG Emissions CO2 (Tonnes) 70,871
73,988
Increase in Utilisation Increase in Utilisation
FY22 597,719 of Solar Energy of Biomass
0
Instances %
% of Sexual Harassment Exposure Risk Low Medium High
Industry Overview Company Overview Competitor Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Methodology Investment Rationale ESG Analysis Risk Profile