TAG Balochistan - January 2025
TAG Balochistan - January 2025
Balochistan
Technical Advisory Group (TAG) Meeting
Islamabad, Pakistan – January 2025
Inam Ulhaque
Coordinator, EOC Balochistan
Presentation Outline
20
23
16
20
(n)
18
12 20 22
16 22
8 12 15
10
10 11 11
4 8 7
6 5
3 3 4
2 2 1 2 1
0
Sep
Jan
Feb
Sep
Jun
Aug
Nov
May
Nov
Dec
Dec
Mar
Apr
Jul
Oct
Oct
2023 2024
YB3A4B; 21; 9%
Program ownership at the highest level is maintained. (Chief Secretary, Commissioners & Deputy Implemented
1
Commissioners leading the program)
All polio cases and events investigated by PEOC/DEOCs to determine the causes of occurrence,
2 1,836 MMPs settlements with 79,000 <5 children tracked, mapped and incorporated in micro Implemented
plan/vaccinated
• Coverage of missed children clubbed with 03 Integrated Outreach Activities (IOAs), and
successfully implemented in Quetta & Chaman districts.
4 Implemented
• Full support for BCU provided in Round 1 (zero dose data collection , micro-planning,
mobilization, site identification, monitoring)
4
Cross Border: Implementation Status of TAG
Recommendations
S# TAG Recommendations Implementation Status
2 10 religious and community influencers engaged for mobilizing community on both sides, FM Radio 'Talim Ul Implemented
Islam' and 'VOA Dewa Radio' engaged to promote awareness among listeners on both sides of the border
01 face-to-face and 03 virtual meetings conducted with South region of Afghanistan, WhatsApp group created
3 with the Afghan team to facilitate timely information exchange, MMP data is updated before each campaign in Implemented
IDIMS
4 Joint action plan tracker maintained and updated regularly Implemented
5 Alliance building with PRCS and MSF to enhance awareness about RI and polio among women from Chaman and Implemented
across the border
6 The vaccination record is regularly updated & shared with each other at district level Implemented
7 03 out of 09 SIAs (In Feb, Jun, & Oct) synchronized with Afghanistan Partial
8 Both inbound and outbound population is vaccinated on cross border and data updated in IDIMS, In 2024, total Implemented
vaccination at 06 cross-border PTPs (Reduced to 04 CB PTPs following rationalization) remained 745,236
Refusals analysis and Social profiling of MMP shared with Afghanistan team , Developed video testimonials of
10 influencers having influence across the border and shared with Afghan team , 21 permanent gantries and Implemented
billboards placed at bordering areas with synchronized messages in Pashto and Urdu
5
NEAP (Roadmap 2*4*6) Implementation - Reset Phase
Revitalizing Emergency Mode of Working Plugging Operational Gaps Fixing HR Issues Especially in
Across the Programme Hampering SIAs Quality Core Reservoirs
• High-Level Government oversight; The Chief • Conducted thorough • Repositioning of WHO and
Minister & Chief Secretary chaired meetings for assessment to identify key NSTOP officers, placing best HR
strengthening PEI and RI issues affecting campaign in the most challenging districts
• Sensitization and refresher workshops organized quality – (District Reviews, • Shuffling of teams and AICs
for all DCs and DHOs in Balochistan RDQA) (n=518) in CBV districts in
• PEOC Task Teams notified, with clear Terms of • Risk analysis and prioritization suspicion of Fake finger marking
Reference (TORs) for their respective areas of work of Districts, UCs and Areas for • Deployed 70 COMNet surge
response staff in outbreak districts (Hub
• PEOC Focal persons assigned to support 07 high
risk districts and regular review of all outbreak • District improvement plans 19, Khuzdar 17, Zhob 19, Dera
districts prepared, implemented for the Bugti 12, & Sibi 3) and also
districts Increased female Community
• Co-created Social and Behavioral Change Mobilizers from 06% to 32% in
Communication (SBCC) strategy by engaging Chaman
district teams
• Sensitized and oriented 12 Bureau Chiefs, 90
Senior Journalists and Social Media Influencers, to
support shaping community perception regarding
anti-polio vaccination
6
NEAP (Roadmap 2*4*6) Implementation - Phase-2
Implement 3 High-Quality Synchronized Objective Reviews to Map Linking Performance With
SIAs Reaching All Children Issues/Gaps Accountability
• 2 of 3 synchronized Campaigns conducted • Post campaign reviews by PEOC/ Accountability of low/poor
whereas 3rd campaign delayed by 02 weeks due Chief Secretary/ Secretary performers is ensured from top to
to unavoidable circumstances ( Boycott of Grand Health( Data analysis, bottom:
health alliance ) identification of gaps,
communication to the districts for • Explanations to 01 Deputy
• Encouraged the teams to record true numbers corrections) Commissioner & 20 District
of missed children (Average missed children Health Officers, 01 DHO
recording increased from ~119,000 to ~152,000 suspended, while 1 DHO was
in Quetta block (28%). transferred
• 10,084 children registered in grey houses; 8,034 • 1,136 other staff including
grey houses cleared from June to December partners
2024
• Coverage in extended catch-up and in between
campaigns is 4,812 in Jul, 22895 in Sep, and Terminations = 100
18,329 in Oct (1632 unrecorded missed children Final warnings = 149
identified in 27500 zero and locked houses from
Explanations = 19
Jul-Oct) in Quetta block
Contract closures = 184
Warnings = 666
Probation = 18
7
AFP Surveillance Indicators Balochistan 2023-2024*
BALOCHISTAN QUETTA BLOCK
S# Key Surveillance Indicators
2023 2024 2023 2024
1 WPV1 Cases Reported 0 27 0 14
2 Compatible Cases Reported 0 1 0 1
3 No of AFP Cases Reported 759 834 140 182
4 Non-Polio AFP Rate 11.8 12.6 7.8 9.4
5 Adequate Stool % 87 83 86 81
6 Detected within 7 days of onset % 81 82 80 76
7 Investigated within 48 hrs of notification % 96 98 99 99
8 EV Isolation % 15 14 15 11
9 SL Isolation % 4 5 1 6
Local Circula-
tions; 187; 82%
Exportation to
Afghanistan; 24;
23%
Exportation to
Other Province;
80; 77%
*Data as on 12-01-2025 10
Details of the Wild Polio Cases (n=27) –2024
7 KAN-
DAHAR; KARACHI; 1
District wise WPV Cases
6 6 4
8
11 10
5 13
16 17
19
15 5
Male Female Adequate Inadequate Public Private Community 1st 2nd 3rd 4th & above Yes No
Monitoring of Sampling Log tags used in 100% samples. 97% index samples have reached lab with
in 72 hours of dispatch
Added ES site of Noshki in Oct Added ES site of Noshki in Oct 2024 (Northwest of Balochistan)
2024 (Northwest of Balochistan)
AFP Cases in MMP 24 AFP cases reported from MMP in 2023 and 45 in 2024 (NPAFP rate:
4.5)
NID Jan-24 NID Feb-24 OBR Mar-24 SNID Apr-24 SNID Jun-24 OBR Jul-24 SNID Sep-24 NID Oct-24 SNID Dec-24
• Recall vaccination in Quetta block is <90% in recent SIAs, whereas between 91% - 93% in non-Quetta block districts,
• Due to implementation of Plan-B in December, operational issues increased in non-Quetta block
90% 91% 88% 91% 93% 92% 91% 91% 92% 92% 92% 27.4%
90% 88% 87% 88%
80%
25.0%
19.7% 18.8%
20.0% 17.8%
70%
14.7% 18.0%
60%
15.6%
50% 15.0%
40%
10.0%
30%
4.7% 4.5%
20% 5.0% 2.5%
1.2% 1.2%
3.6%
3.3%
10%
0.0%
30%
20%
10%
0%
NID Jan 24
NID Feb 24
SNID Apr-24
SNID June 24
NID Oct-24
SNID Sep-24
SNID Dec 24
NID Jan 24
NID Feb 24
SNID June 24
NID Oct-24
NID Jan 24
NID Feb 24
SNID Apr-24
SNID June 24
NID Oct-24
SNID Sep-24
SNID Dec 24
SNID Sep-24
SNID Dec 24
• Household coverage ranged from 95% to 104% in the Quetta block and from 98% to 101% in the other districts
• No significant change in proportion of still-missed children observed in non Quetta block
12.5%
3.4%
3.3%
7.1%
4.4%
5.0%
4.5%
1.7%
1.6%
1.7%
2.4%
1.6%
1.5%
1.6%
14.0% 100%
90%
10.0% 70%
8.0%
60%
9.8%
50%
0.5% 0.6%
4.0% 0.5% 0.5% 30%
0.4% 0.4%
4.2% 0.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.1%
20%
2.0%
3.0% 2.7%
2.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5%
10%
0.0% 0%
NID Jan-24
NID Feb-24
SNID Apr-24
SNID Jun-24
SNID-Sep-24
NID Oct-24
SNID Dec-24
NID Jan-24
NID Feb-24
SNID Apr-24
SNID Jun-24
SNID-Sep-24
NID Oct-24
SNID Dec-24
NID Jan-24
NID Feb-24
SNID Apr-24
SNID Jun-24
SNID-Sep-24
NID Oct-24
SNID Dec-24
NID Jan-24
NID Feb-24
SNID Apr-24
SNID Jun-24
SNID-Sep-24
NID Oct-24
SNID Dec-24
Quetta Block Rest of Balochistan
children covered in
10189
53%
13537
12594
21818
59%
60%
4242
OBR July 2024 SNID Sept 2024 NID Oct 2024 • 10,084 hidden children
SMC as per IDIMS NA Cov Ref Cov were identified, and 8,034
grey houses were cleared
7313
62%
Grey HHs
8939
47%
since June 2024 SNID
9278
8496
41%
40%
3608
27%
9096
8157
10000
9000
7000
6900
SNID Sept 24
NID Oct 24
SNID Dec 24
3194 3442
5000
4000
2671 2207
1144 houses (Old 5884 & new
3000
620
2000
1000
1016)
0
n ... 24 p.
..
b ... 24
Ju ly e to c
ID Ju D
S
Oc De
Series1 Series2 SN B R NI D ID
O Still Grey S
HHs NI
Registered SN
Children
17
Insights from Missed Children Trend – Quetta Block & Mastung
(Identification of true extent of missed Children)
Misconcep- Still Refusal Clusters SNID Sept – SNID Dec
OTHER; 26 tions; 2107
PASHTO; Demand; 313
2658 Still Refusal Cluster
PUNJABI; 22 406
Still Refusal Cluster
FARSI; 40 Language 353
Reasons of
Stratification Refusals 13%
Decreased
BALOCHI; 145 Sickness; 737
Repeated
BRAHVI; 812 Campaigns; 1 Religious; 503
Tribal Stratification
1600
39%
1451
SNID April 2024
1400
1200
1000
SNID Dec 2024
17%
800
637
600 10% Still Refusal Cluster 2024
385 5% 5% 5%
400
3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 600
189 185 168 1% 1% 503
119 103 99 98 90 90 462
200
45 44 500 410 406 410
0
LANGOVE
400 364 353
SHAHWANI
BANGULZAI
NOORZAI
KHILJI
PIRKANI
ACHAKZAI
LEHRI
MENGAL
SYED
BARECH
OTHER
KAKAR
TAREEN
300
200
100
0
Jan Feb Apr Jul Sep Oct Dec 18
Low Performing UCs and Routine Data Quality
Assessment
• RDQA conducted in 127 UCs of 21 districts; higher proportion of data accuracy reported in NID Oct-24
• The proportion of LPUCs have declined in Quetta block while increased in rest of districts due to plan B implementation
90% 4%
15% 16% 9%
40%
13% 4%
80% 16%
35%
33% 10%
31% 70%
30%
20%
5%
10%
0%
0%
NID Jan-24
NID Feb-24
SNID Apr-24
SNID Jun-24
SNID-Sep-24
NID Oct-24
SNID Dec-24
NID Jan-24
NID Feb-24
SNID Apr-24
SNID Jun-24
SNID-Sep-24
NID Oct-24
SNID Dec-24
NID Jan-24
OBR Jul-24
NID Oct-24
NID Feb-24
NID Nov-23
SNID Sep-24
Quetta Block Rest of Districts Accuracy Over Reporting Under Reporting Not Available
19
SBCC Road Map
The SBCC Road Map prioritizes Quetta Block and outbreak districts, guided by insights from social investigations and
community input.
Impact
Hidden 1. Effective first knock (through Ops / Comms collaboration)
Children /Grey 2. Female Influencers engagement 10,084 hidden children were registered
Houses 3. Asher (Joint sweeping) strategy in Chaman
Reaching Every 1. Following up on still missed children in-between Campaigns Vaccinated 4,812 OBR July, 22,895 In
2. Search for unrecorded missed children in 0/0 and lock between Sep, 18,329 In between Oct
Missed Child 1632 Unrecorded children identified
houses
1. Community engagement and Influencers engagement 5809 NA & 781 Refusal Covered
RI & Big Catchup 9724 sites arranged; 3997 influencers
2. Missed children coverage & Outreach Site identification
engaged
20
Mobile and Migrant Population (MMP)
MMP Mapped Districts
HH Coverage in AFG Coverage at Pak-Afg Cross Border
Migrant 199,130 Refugees Camps (n=14) PTPs (n=6)
Mobile 92,831
Jan-24 117,656
Total 291,96
Feb-24 84,985
MMP 1
43,122
42,888
42,686
42,646
42,222
42,117
Mar-24 49,214
35,107
Apr-24 44,817
May-24 42,732
Jun-24 38,646
Jul-24 49,483
NID Jan-24
NID Feb-24
SNID Apr-24
SNID Jun-24
SNID-Sep-24
NID Oct-24
SNID Dec-24
Aug-24 54,976
Sep-24 58,811
Oct-24 65,486
Nov-24 64,218
Dec-24 74,212
22
Challenges and Way Forward
23
Conclusion
01 Progressive spread of the virus since sept 2023 with highest number of cases
reported in September 2024.
03
All out efforts made to conduct high quality SIAs as per the Phase II Plan
04
COMNet expansion across the province
05
Implementation of alternate plan by hiring volunteer UCMOs and other staff
Government, polio partners & the Program Management remain committed to the
Goal of Eradication 24
Requested Guidance from the TAG
25
Thank You
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