Probability
Probability
Quarter 4
Probability
Competencies
• Defines experiment, outcome, sample space and event.
• Explains and interprets the probability.
• Differentiates between an experimental probability and a
theoretical probability.
• Counts the number of occurrences of an outcome in an
experiment and organize them using a table, tree diagram,
systematic listing, and the fundamental counting principles.
• Solves simple problems involving probabilities of events.
Definitions
• Experiment – activity with an observable result
Examples:
a. Tossing a coin
b. Rolling a die
c. Throwing a coin and a die together
Examples
Example 1
Experiment : tossing a coin
Sample Space: S = {H, T}
Number of possible outcomes: n(S) = 2
Examples
Example 2
Experiment : rolling a die
Sample Space: S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
Number of possible outcomes: n(S) = 6
Examples
Example 3
Experiment : throwing a coin and a die together
Sample Space: S = {H1, H2, H3, H4, H5, H6, T1,
T2, T3,
T4, T5, T6}
Number of possible outcomes: n(S) = 12
What is the Probability?
Questions:
1. How many possible outcomes are there?
2. To have even numbers, how many favorable outcomes are
there?
3. Considering your answers, how do you compute for the
probability of an event?
4. What formula can be used?
5. This activity uses Theoretical Probability. How do you define
Theoretical Probability?
Probability of Events
The probability of an event, P(event), is a number from 0 to 1
which tells how likely this event to happen.
Probability Rules
1. The probability of any event is a number (either a fraction, a
decimal, or a percent) from 0 to 1.
2. If an event will never happen, then its probability is 0.
3. If an event is sure to happen, then the probability is 1.
4. The sum of the probabilities of all the outcomes in the sample
space is 1.
Match Me with the Probability Scale
1. There are seven days in a week.
2. Out of 20 items, Jann got 15.
3. In the Philippines, it will snow in March.
4. If you flip a coin, it will come down heads.
5. All months of the year have 28 days.
6. It will be daylight in Manila at midnight.
7. The day before Monday is Sunday.
8. Of the 40 seedlings, only 10 survived.
9. Next year, the month after November has thirty days.
10.The third person to knock on the door will be a female.
11. The chance the last outcome in rolling a number cube is an
even number.
Probability of Event
See My Prob-ability?
Solve the following carefully, then write the correct answer on the
space provided before each number.
___ 1. Earl is asked to choose a day from a week. What is the
probability of choosing a day which starts with S?
___ 2. Choosing a month from a year, what is the probability of
selecting a month with 31 days?
___ 3. If a letter is chosen random from the word
PERSEVERANCE, what is the probability that the letter
chosen is E?
___ 4. If one letter is chosen at random from the word
TRUSTWORTHY, what is the probability that the letter
chosen is a consonant?
See My Prob-ability?
___ 5. The sides of a cube are numbered 11 to 16. If Jan Renz
rolled the cube once, what is the probability of rolling a
composite number?
___ 6. A box contains 7 red balls, 5 orange balls, 4 yellow balls, 6
green balls, and 3 blue balls. What is the probability of
drawing out an orange ball?
___ 7. Of the 45 students in a class, 25 are boys. If a student is
selected at random for a field trip, what is the probability of
selecting a girl?
___ 8. Two fair coins are tossed simultaneously. What is the
probability of showing a tail (T) followed by a (H)?
See My Prob-ability?
___ 9. A spinner is divided equally and numbered as follows:
1, 1, 2, 3, 3, 4, 1,1, 2, 4, 1, 2, 3, 4, 1, 2.
What is the probability that the pointer will stop at an
even
prime?
___ 10. What is the probability of getting an 8 from a deck of 52
cards?
Fundamental Counting Principle