08_Day_2_Lackner

08_Day_2_Lackner

• 1.
  Working Group IITechnology Issues
• 2.
  Current Members KlausS. Lackner – Columbia University Jim Boyden – Vulcan Inc Haroon Kheshgi – ExxonMobil Research Marco Mazzotti - ETH Zurich Vijay Modi – Columbia University Mike Mauel - Columbia University Thorsteinn Sigfusson – University of Iceland Mike Singleton – Suncor Canada Detlef Stolten - Forschungzentrum Juelich Art Small – Columbia University Yukio Yanagisawa – Tokyo University
• 3.
  Question to theGroup: What mix of energy sources and technologies offer the credible promise of delivering a sustainable energy future, in which energy services are cheap, plentiful, environmentally benign, and accessible to all humanity, on a time scale of several centuries?
• 4.
  Planning Time Scalesfor Carbon Management 1 year - Operational Decisions Response time – to political and economic events Kyoto treaty is in force Oil prices skyrocket Competitor’s position 5 year - Planning Horizon under given conditions High oil prices will shape discussion Kyoto impacts, Kyoto successor negotiations Need to affect outcome Carbon Policy decisions 10 year – Investment cycles in oil 20 year – research cycles 30 years - Investment loans, depreciation of assets 50 years - Power plant life time Climate Change Oil & Gas Resources 100 years – Long term drivers Resources, environment, industrialization, urbanization
• 5.
  Focus on CarbonDioxide? Mitigation & Adaptation Technologies? Other Greenhouse gases? Industrial Sectors? Electricity, Heat, Transportation Fuels, Chemical Processing
• 6.
  Potential of EnergyTechnologies Capacity, and Scale Globally and Regionally Scenarios Solar Nuclear Fossil Carbon with Sequestration Solar Derivatives, Geothermal, Tides
• 7.
  Resources and CarriersResource Options Energy Conversion Options Carrier Options
• 8.
  Vision and ScenariosExamples Solar Energy with Hydrogen Solar Energy with Carbon Fuels Fossil Energy with Sequestration Nuclear Energy with Hydrogen or Carbon .... Plug and play