Results of the Gulf War

EXAMINE THEVARIOUS OUTCOMES OF THE
             GULF WAR
 No invasion of Iraq
   No mandate for this in UN Resolution 678
   Could have split the coalition
   USA still conscious of failure of Vietnam
   What about Iran???

 In military terms the war was successful
   Al-Sabah family back in power
   Saddam out of Kuwait

 But little change in the stability of the Middle East
 The ‘new world order’ elusive due to new conflicts
   Break up of USSR and Yugoslavia
Allied casualties

 Casualties very low considering numbers deployed
   USA 150 killed in action (Korean War 30,000 & Vietnam War
    58,000)
   UK 24 killed in action
   Arab countries (not including Kuwait) 37 deaths

 Number killed or seriously
  wounded from illness and
  accidents (including ‘blue
  on blue’)
     USA 1,500
     UK 700
Other casualties

 Exact number of Iraqi deaths unknown
   Recent estimates suggest around 20,000 (Some sources
    200,000)
   Controversy over civilian deaths 1,000 – 15,000

 In Kuwait attacks continued after ceasefire
   Reprisals of Kuwaiti citizens on those they saw as Saddam
    supporters – Palestinians, Sudanese and Yemenis
Physical damage

 Cost of damage to Kuwait including damage to
  oilfields and loss of foreign investments estimated at
  around $30 billion
 Effects of 40 day bombing campaign on Iraq
    Destruction of power, water, sanitation facilities, roads,
     bridges and telephone exchanges
    Un official visiting Iraq said it had been ‘relegated to a pre-
     industrial age’.
Environmental damage

 23rd January Iraq dumped 400 million gallons of
 crude oil into the Persian Gulf (to try and prevent US
 invasion)
    The largest oil spill in history
 Retreating Iraqis set alight 600 oil wells in Kuwait
Political effects: Iraq

 Hope that the humiliating defeats would trigger
 rebellions within the political and military elite
    Risings by Kurds and Shiites
    Brutally suppressed by Saddam
    Refugees flood into Turkey and Iran
    USA and UK slow to act –eventually declare ‘no-fly zones’ and set up
     a ‘safe haven’ in the north for Kurds
 April UN Security Council Resolutions 687 passed
    Hunt for WMDs and economic sanctions on Iraqi (including oil)
 Saddam remained in power until 2003
    Normal people suffered the most from sanctions IMR trebled and LE
     fell 15-20 years
Political effects: USA

 Desert Storm –USA was to play the dominant role in
  conflict resolution
 Events eventually led to the Iraq War of 2003
Political effects: Middle East

 USA stronger force in the region
   Provoked Muslim radicals to become increasingly anti-
    American
   No move to democracy especially in Kuwait

 Palestinian peace process kick started by US
   Yasser Arafat’s credibility undermined

   Led to the Oslo Accords 1993

3, results of the gulf war

  • 1.
    Results of theGulf War EXAMINE THEVARIOUS OUTCOMES OF THE GULF WAR
  • 2.
     No invasionof Iraq  No mandate for this in UN Resolution 678  Could have split the coalition  USA still conscious of failure of Vietnam  What about Iran???  In military terms the war was successful  Al-Sabah family back in power  Saddam out of Kuwait  But little change in the stability of the Middle East  The ‘new world order’ elusive due to new conflicts  Break up of USSR and Yugoslavia
  • 3.
    Allied casualties  Casualtiesvery low considering numbers deployed  USA 150 killed in action (Korean War 30,000 & Vietnam War 58,000)  UK 24 killed in action  Arab countries (not including Kuwait) 37 deaths  Number killed or seriously wounded from illness and accidents (including ‘blue on blue’)  USA 1,500  UK 700
  • 4.
    Other casualties  Exactnumber of Iraqi deaths unknown  Recent estimates suggest around 20,000 (Some sources 200,000)  Controversy over civilian deaths 1,000 – 15,000  In Kuwait attacks continued after ceasefire  Reprisals of Kuwaiti citizens on those they saw as Saddam supporters – Palestinians, Sudanese and Yemenis
  • 5.
    Physical damage  Costof damage to Kuwait including damage to oilfields and loss of foreign investments estimated at around $30 billion  Effects of 40 day bombing campaign on Iraq  Destruction of power, water, sanitation facilities, roads, bridges and telephone exchanges  Un official visiting Iraq said it had been ‘relegated to a pre- industrial age’.
  • 6.
    Environmental damage  23rdJanuary Iraq dumped 400 million gallons of crude oil into the Persian Gulf (to try and prevent US invasion)  The largest oil spill in history  Retreating Iraqis set alight 600 oil wells in Kuwait
  • 7.
    Political effects: Iraq Hope that the humiliating defeats would trigger rebellions within the political and military elite  Risings by Kurds and Shiites  Brutally suppressed by Saddam  Refugees flood into Turkey and Iran  USA and UK slow to act –eventually declare ‘no-fly zones’ and set up a ‘safe haven’ in the north for Kurds  April UN Security Council Resolutions 687 passed  Hunt for WMDs and economic sanctions on Iraqi (including oil)  Saddam remained in power until 2003  Normal people suffered the most from sanctions IMR trebled and LE fell 15-20 years
  • 8.
    Political effects: USA Desert Storm –USA was to play the dominant role in conflict resolution  Events eventually led to the Iraq War of 2003
  • 9.
    Political effects: MiddleEast  USA stronger force in the region  Provoked Muslim radicals to become increasingly anti- American  No move to democracy especially in Kuwait  Palestinian peace process kick started by US  Yasser Arafat’s credibility undermined  Led to the Oslo Accords 1993