5 1-bernard dubs

5 1-bernard dubs

• 1.
  European Commission FInES Cluster Meeting Brussels 12 October 2012 Session : Digital Enterprise & Business Innovation i b t Invent the 21st Century Enterprise
• 2.
  Agenda & TakeAway Digital Enterprise & Business Innovation Business & Information Technology (BIT) Analyst Group Express Bernard Dubs, Founder, CEO & Research Director, co-author of EU Report « Software 2.0 : winning for Europe » May-June 2009 Digital Enterprise Foundation Cycle Theory & Innovation Cycles Business Innovation in the digital age Co-innovation in the digital age Real-life examples: Skis Rossignol, TD Bank Canada, Barclays Bank FInES & BIT Analyst Group Reconciliation Take Away Socially-Valued, Service-Oriented & ‘Individual Dream’-based Strategies are 3 ways of doing Business Innovation in the Digital Enterprise age. (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group www.eu-bitgroup.com 2
• 3.
  BIT Analyst Groupin the Strategic Consulting Dynamics STRATEGIC POSITIONING A European Island in an American Ocean McK/BCG/ATK Enterprise BUSINESS 1963 « Monopoly » (Board & CEO) Frameworks Business Ex Big 6 Transformation EY, Joaquim Gonzales (CEO - CxO) Bernard DUBS Digital Enterprise 2020 Meta Bridge Business & IT Gap BIT Analyst Digital Transformation Group (CEO – CxO – CIO) BIS STR GG, Dale Kutnick Gideon Gartner George Colony Giga Forrester IT Advisory IT Encyclopedia (CIO, IT Staff, IT Vendors) Gartner IT Gideon Gartner DataQuest Rick Smith IDC IT Market Studies 1964 (IT Vendors) © 2005 - 2012 BIT Analyst Group 1963-64 1979 1983 1989 1996 2003 - 2005 2020 +3
• 4.
  Business & InformationTechnology (BIT) Analyst Group: European Roots, however a global footprint via a strategic partnership with WinterGreenResearch, Boston, USA www.wintergreenresearch.com 5+5 analysts 22 analysts 16 analysts BIT Analyst Group - WGR USA independent market studies are sold by a 35-distributor worldwide network and 150 countries via Bloomberg and Thompson Financial (C) 2008-2012 BIT Analyst Group www.eu-bitgroup.com 4
• 5.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 PART 1 Digital Enterprise Foundation 5
• 6.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 Cycles Theory: Kondratieff, Juglar, Kitchin, Schumpeter Socio-Economic Cycles Nicolai Kondratieff (40 - 60 years) Clément Juglar (8 – 12 years) Joseph Kitchin (3 – 4 years) Joseph Schumpeter (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group 6
• 7.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 Schumpeter’s Socio-Economic Cycles Table (1770 – 1939) Kondatrieff Economic Cycles (40 to 60 years) triggered by energy and technology innovation Ramp-up Prosperity Decline Creative Démarrage Destruction 1st Industrial Revolution : steam machines and mechanisation for Agriculture, Mines & Textile Industries 1770-1786 1787-1800 1801-1813 1814-1827 1st Transport Revolution : steam machines and railways for goods and persons transportation 1828-1842 1843-1857 1858-1869 1870-1885 nd 2 Industrial & Transport Revolution : Telephone, steel, electricity, liquid fuels, mass production (Taylorisation) 1886-1897 1898-1911 1912-1924 1925 -1939 Mondialisation moderne, dont les chocs pétroliers, début du « retour de balancier » entre les pays industrialisés et le reste du monde en termes de PIB 1940-1950 1951-1964 1965-1973 1974-1981 1ère Révolution Numérique, faisant levier de l'innovation S360 / Microprocesseur côté informatique + Arpanet 2009- puis Internet-Web, et GSM côté télécoms 1982-1991 1992-2000 2001-2008 2015e 2ème Révolution Numérique : Objets Intelligents – Connexion avec l’Economie Numérique et la Société de 2016- 2025- 2034- 2043- la Connaissance ? 2024e 2033e 2042e 2050e www.eu-bitgroup.com Tous droits réservés 7 www.eu-bitgroup.com 7
• 8.
  Digital Planet 2070,Digital Enterprise 2020 : Socio-Economic Cycles, Joseph Schumpeter (1787 - 1939) & Bernard Dubs (1940 - 2070) Kondatrieff Economic Cycles (40 to 60 years) triggered by energy and technology innovation Démarrage Prosperity Decline Creative Ramp-up Destruction 1st Industrial Revolution : steam machines and mechanisation Agriculture, Mines & Textile Industries 1770-1786 1787-1800 1801-1813 1814-1827 1st Transport Revolution : steam machines and railways for goods and persons transportation 1828-1842 1843-1857 1858-1869 1870-1885 nd 2 Industrial & Transport Revolution : Telephone, steel, electricity, liquid fuels, mass production (Taylorisation) 1886-1897 1898-1911 1912-1924 1925-1939 Modern American-led Globalisation. Oil shocks start the swinging-back of the pendulum between Occidental and ROW Economies 1940-1950 1951-1964 1965-1973 1974-1980 Multi-polar Globalisation leveraging the ‘1st Digital Revolution’ : S360 / Microprocessor + Arpanet then 2009- Internet-Web, + GSM and Energy efficiencies 1981-1991 1992-2000 2001-2008 2023e Man Digital Context Build-up with Web extension to smart (software enabled) objects (Internet of Things) 2023- 2035- 2046- 2058- and even better energy efficiencies + renewable energy 2034e 2045e 2057e 2070e © 2009-2012 BIT Analyst Group, Bernard Dubs 8
• 9.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 Prosperity Cycle 1980 – 2020+ Socio-Economy : The 4-phase Evolution Journey 2025 2009 - 2020+ Destructive Creation 2000 - 2008 Decline 1993 - 2000 Lehmann Brothers Prosperity 1980 1980-1992 15/9/2008 Ramp-up Internet Bubble Burst, 03/2000 USSR Implosion, 1991 Internet Open, 01/1993 2nd (Iran) Oil Shock (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group www.eu-bitgroup.com 9
• 10.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 Prosperity Cycle 1980 – 2020+ Customer : The 4-phase Evolution Journey By the late 1970s, Occidental Countries switched from an equipment 2025 economy to a replacement economy, so the ‘User’ morphed into a ‘Customer’. Co-Creative Customer-Citizen Empowered Customer & Citizen Moving-target Customer User - Customer 1980 2009-2020+ Destructive Creation 2000-2008 Recession 1993-2000 Prosperity 1980-1992 Ramp-up (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group www.eu-bitgroup.com 10
• 11.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 Prosperity Cycle 1980 – 2020+ Enterprise : The 4-phase Organization Evolution Journey Co-Creative Customer-Citizen 2025 Empowered Customer & Citizen ‘Cellular-Communitarian’ Liquid Digital Moving-target Customer Towards the Enterprise Ecosystem User - Customer ‘Porter’ Matrix ‘Porter’ Matrix Model Enterprise Enterprise 2000-2020+ From Producing E-company E-company ‘Silo’ Industrial To Selling ‘Silo’ Industrial Enterprise Enterprise 1980-2000 1980 2010s Informed Modular Automated Process 2000s Modular Automated Process (SOA, BPM) 1990s ‘Mono-block’ Automated Process 1980s Manual Process (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group www.eu-bitgroup.com 11
• 12.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 Prosperity Cycle 1980 – 2020+ Enabling Technology : The 4-phase Evolution Journey 2025 ‘Cellular-Communitarian’ Liquid Digital Towards the Enterprise Ecosystem ‘Porter’ Matrix ‘Porter’ Matrix Model Enterprise Enterprise 2000-2020+ From Producing E-company E-company To Selling 2008 (9/15) ---------------- 2020 + ‘Silo’ Industrial ‘Silo’ Industrial Enterprise Enterprise 1980-2000 3V Data, Cloud, Mobile & BYOD, Social Networks 1980 Web 1.0 / Web 2.0 PC Destructive Creation Client / Server Mainframes Real-Time, Context-aware, All Data & Event-driven, Cloud-based, Interactive (‘Engage’) Technology Data, Relational Databases, Transactional (‘Records’) Technology (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group www.eu-bitgroup.com 12
• 13.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 PART 2 Business Innovation in the digital age 13
• 14.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 Prosperity Cycle 1980 – 2020+ Business (Co)-Innovation 4-phase Evolution Journey 2025 ‘Cellular-Communitarian’ Liquid Digital Towards the Enterprise Ecosystem ‘Porter’ Matrix ‘Porter’ Matrix Model Enterprise Enterprise 2000-2020+ From Producing E-company E-company ‘Silo’ Industrial To Selling ‘Silo’ Industrial Enterprise Enterprise 1980-2000 2010s Socially-Valued, Service 1980 Oriented & Individual Dream-based Innovation 2000s Design Thinking & Socially-Collaborative Innovation 1990s Collaborative Innovation 1980s Process-based Innovation (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group www.eu-bitgroup.com 14
• 15.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 Business Innovation in the Digital Enterprise Age Real-Life Examples Individual Dream-based Innovation Skis Rossignol, The ‘WOOOW’ effect, Socially-Valued Innovation TD Bank of Canada ‘The Only 7-days-a-week open’ bank in North America (excluding on-line), Service-Oriented Innovation Barclays Bank 22,000 Client facing Employees’ Compensation moves from ‘volume’ to ‘collaborative customer satisfaction’. (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group 15
• 16.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 PART 3 BIT Analyst Group & FInES Reconciliation 16
• 17.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 BIT Analyst Group Vision (Socio-Economic Cycles Theory Based) The 9 Facets of the 21st Century ‘Digital’ Enterprise Direct Sell Produce Manage C C M C F C C O S O H E - C - T O C L F M S O I O O N The AGILE & SOURCED Enterprise The Socially COLLABORATIVE Enterprise The HUMAN-centric DIGITAL COMMERCE Enterprise The INFORMATION-DRIVEN & REAL-TIME Enterprise The CO-INNOVATIVE Enterprise The MOBILE & BYOD Enterprise The SECURE & RISK-controlled Enterprise The SMART Objects & JUST-IN-TIME Enterprise (specific to ‘Physical Goods Moving’ Verticals) The SOCIALLY Relevant & SUSTAINABLE Enterprise (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group www.eu-bitgroup.com 17
• 18.
  Digital Enterprise 2020 Future Internet Enterprise Systems (DG Connect – FInES) FInES Research Roadmap 2025 FInES Approach is based on the Complexity Theory and its ‘bifurcation’ (discontinuity) concept leading to the definition of nine (9) Qualities of Being (QoB) for the Digital Enterprise : Humanistic, Inventive, Agile, Cognisant, Sensing, Community-oriented, Liquid, Glocal, Sustainable www.eu-bitgroup.com 18
• 19.
  Digital Planet 2070/ Digital Enterprise 2020 Reconciling FInES (Complexity Theory) & BIT Analyst Group (Cycle Theory) Inventive Liquid FInES Humanistic Agile Sustainable Sensing Cognisant Communitarian Glocal The AGILE & SOURCED Enterprise The Socially COLLABORATIVE Enterprise The HUMAN-centric DIGITAL COMMERCE Enterprise BIT Analyst Group The INFORMATION-DRIVEN & REAL-TIME Enterprise The CO-INNOVATIVE Enterprise The MOBILE & BYOD Enterprise The SECURE & RISK-monitored Enterprise The SMART Objects & JUST-IN-TIME Enterprise (specific to ‘Physical Goods Moving’ Verticals) The SOCIALLY Relevant & SUSTAINABLE Enterprise (C) 2012 BIT Analyst Group www.eu-bitgroup.com 19
• 20.
  THANKS FOR YOURATTENTION Bernard DUBS 33 6 76 08 53 23 [email protected] www.eu-bitgroup.com 20