About ILC
• TheInternational Longevity Centre UK (ILC) is the UK’s
leading authority on the impact of longevity on society
• We combine evidence, solutions and networks to make
change happen to ensure we all live happier, healthier and
more fulfilling longer lives
• We are a part of the International Longevity Centre Global
Alliance and co-ordinate the ILC Europe Network
3.
Summary
• Europe isageing – since 1960, the total population has
grown 27%, yet the over-65 population has increased 181%
• Demographic change is having an impact on our healthcare
systems, economies and wider society
• Immunosenescence – the gradual weakening of the
immune system as people age – poses a challenge
• Promoting healthier lifestyle choices and prevention are
key to ensuring healthy ageing and better, longer lives
4.
The Supporting oursystems report
• Looks at 30 European countries – EU27, Iceland, Norway,
and the UK
• Data analysis and expert interviews have been collated to
form policy recommendations
• Key message: Europe is ageing, making immunosenescence
more common: we need to adopt healthy ageing policies
and increase prevention to meet the health and
socioeconomic challenges of weakened immune systems
5.
By 2030, Europewill have as many
older adults as children
EU27, Norway, Iceland &UK combined population projection
(UN Data Portal Population Division)
The number of over-65s in Europe
has grown from 40.5 million in
1960 to 113.7 million in 2024.
By 2030, the over-65 population
will match that of children and
young adults (under-24s).
The number of working-age
people (25-64) has also started to
fall, presenting socioeconomic
challenges.
6.
Healthy ageing inEurope is split along
East-West lines
Healthy life expectancy (HLE) at
birth varies drastically between
Eastern and Western Europe.
Someone born today in Italy can
expect to live 73 years in good
health, while in Bulgaria, it’s just
63 years.
This gap highlights the profound
geographical health challenges
facing Europe: people are not
ageing well equally.
HLE at birth (years)
(WHO, 2021)
7.
Healthy ageing hasworsened since
COVID-19
Eastern Europe has seen a big fall
in HLE versus pre-pandemic
levels – 628 more days in ill health
compared to 2017.
Bulgaria lost 3.05 years, while
Sweden’s HLE increased by 0.14
years (+51 days).
HLE at birth (years) compared to 2017
(WHO, 2021)
8.
Flu vaccination coverageis also
divided
Low flu vaccination in Eastern
Europe is also compounding
healthy ageing efforts.
Only a handful of countries across
Europe reach the WHO’s 75%
coverage target.
The average flu vaccination
coverage rate in people aged 65
and over in 2022 was just 47.2% –
meaning around 60,000,000 older
people went unvaccinated.
Flu vaccination coverage in older people in 2022 (%)
(Eurostat (2025), UK Health Security Agency (2022), Public Health
Agency. (2025), NHS Scotland. (2025), Public Health Wales (2022))
9.
4
1
1
1
8
15
Age 45+ Age50+ Age 55+ Age 59+ Age 60+ Age 65+
Age-based recommendations are
fragmented
Inconsistencies in age-based
vaccination recommendations
make it harder to address
immunosenescence.
As of October 2025, 15 countries
recommend flu vaccination at 65
years old, while 8 recommend it at
60 years old. Recent changes
have been made in Bulgaria,
Poland and Romania, where the
recommendation has now been
lowered to 45, in line with Austria.
While a positive step, most
countries still recommend flu
vaccination at older age.
Age-based recommendations for flu
vaccination across EU27, Norway, Iceland & UK
(ECDC, UKHSA)
10.
Recommendations should alignwith
healthy life expectancy
The average flu vaccination
recommendation age is 60. The
average HLE at birth in Europe is 70.
That means there is a ten-year gap
between flu vaccine eligibility and
when someone’s “healthy” life
peaks. But in the majority of
countries, this gap is smaller.
This means that most adults are
being recommended a flu vaccine
at an age when immunosenescence
may be more pronounced, by which
point, their immune response to a
vaccine might be lower.
Gap between flu vaccination age recommendations and HLE
(ECDC Vaccine Scheduler (2025), GOV.UK (2025),
International Longevity Centre (2025))
0.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Austria
Poland
Romania
Bulgaria
Czech
Republic
Malta
Spain
Iceland
Netherlands
Portugal
Germany
Greece
Estonia
Italy
France
Cyprus
Slovakia
Sweden
Luxembourg
Norway
Republic
of
Ireland
Finland
Denmark
Slovenia
Hungary
United
Kingdom
Belgium
Croatia
Latvia
Lithuania
Flu
vaccination
recommendation/healthy
life
expectancy
gap
(years)
11.
What needs tochange?
• National governments should lower the current age
recommendations for vaccination against the flu
• Greater investment in vaccine research and technology is
needed to reflect demographic health challenges
• Health inequalities and vaccination access barriers must be
addressed to improve uptake and health equity, including
improved vaccination communication
• European countries should spend 8% of their healthcare
budgets on prevention