Achieving NDC Ambition in Agriculture: Overview of NDC ambition in the agriculture sectors

Achieving NDC Ambition in Agriculture: Overview of NDC ambition in the agriculture sectors

• 1.
  Krystal Crumpler Climate Changeand Natural Resources Specialist FAO Office of Climate Change, Biodiversity and Environment An overview of NDC ambition in the agricultural sectors
• 2.
  How is NDCambition evolving in the agricultural sectors? Which priority areas are emerging for climate action in the agricultural sectors? How implementation-ready are the NDCs? What support is needed to achieve NDC ambition in the agricultural sectors?
• 3.
  How is NDCambition evolving in the agricultural sectors?
• 4.
  Adaptation components continueto reflect the extreme vulnerability and urgency of adaptation in the agricultural sectors, natural ecosystems, and rural livelihoods 31% 90% 92% 8% 40% 92% 95% 5% LONG-TERM ADAPTATION GOAL CLIMATE-RELATED IMPACTS ADAPTATION PRIORITY AREAS AND ACTIONS NO ADAPTATION COMPONENT % OF ADAPTATION COMPONENTS ADAPTATION COMPONENTS IN THE AGRICULTURAL SECTORS Previous NDCs New or Updated NDCs 59% 50% 42% 59% 19% 9% 70% 55% 68% 60% 51% 14% C ROP P ING S Y S T E MS LIVE S T OC K S Y S T E MS F ORE S T S Y S T E MS F IS H E RIE S & A QUA C ULT URE S Y S T E MS A GRI - F OOD VA LUE C H A IN E NE RGY IN/F ROM A G % OF ADAAPTATION COMPONENTS ADAPTATION PRIORITIES IN THE AGRICULTURAL SECTORS Previous NDCs New or Updated NDCs
• 5.
  Which priority areasare emerging for climate action in the agricultural sectors?
• 6.
  4 Scales ofAdaptation in the Agricultural sectors • 25% of adaptation actions in the agricultural sectors target the farm level • 45% of adaptation actions in the agricultural sectors target the landscape level • 24% of adaptation actions in the agricultural sectors are oriented towards rural community and household level • Only 5% of all adaptation actions in the agricultural sectors are oriented around the agri-food value chain 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Africa Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Near East and North Africa % of actions Distribution of adaptation actions in the agricultural sectors Agri-food value chain Farm Landscape Community & Governance
• 7.
  Farm-level approaches toadaptation in the agricultural sectors 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Africa Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Near East and North Africa % of actions Adaptation actions at farm level Cropping Fisheries & Aquaculture Livestock Energy in/from AG 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Agroforestry Climate tolerant varieties, rotation and cropland management Irrigation, water harvesting and reuse On-farm soil and nutrient management Pest and disease management Bioenergy Adapted aquaculture breeds and species diversification Aquatic genetic resources conservation Fishing technologies and infrastructure Monitoring of climate-related impacts and autonomous… Feeding, breeding and husbandry Water reservoirs and basins Cropping Energy in/from AG Fisheries & Aquaculture Livestock N. of NDCs Adaptation actions at farm level 70% of new/updated NDCs prioritize adaptation in cropping systems, particularly water resource management, climate-tolerant varieties and on-farm soil management
• 8.
  Landscape-level approaches toadaptation in the agricultural sectors 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Africa Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Near East and North Africa % of actions Adaptation actions at landscape level Terrestrial, forest and grassland ecosystems Coastal, low-lying areas and marine ecosystems Freshwater resources and ecosystems Biodiversity Mountain ecosystems 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Biodiversity conservation Mangrove, tidal marshes, seagrass and coastal ecosystem conservation/restoration Marine and ocean ecosystem conservation/restoration Inland wetlands and freshwater system conservation/restoration Water resource use and management Forest conservation and sustainable management Grazing land management (including sylvopastoral systems) Pest and disease management Reforestation, regeneration and afforestation Terrestrial ecosystem conservation/restoration Wild-fire prevention and integrated management Biodiversity Coastal, low-lying areas and marine ecosystems Freshwater resources and ecosystems Terrestrial, forest and grassland ecosystems N. of NDCs Adaptation actions at landscape level 83% of new/updated NDCs prioritize adaptation in terrestrial, forest or grassland ecosystems and 33% promote mangrove and coastal ecosystem restoration
• 9.
  Agri-food value chain approachesto adaptation • 51% of adaptation components in new/updated NDCs call for adaptation along agri-food value chains – particularly value addition measures 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Africa Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Near East and North Africa % of actions Adaptation actions along agri-food value chains Value addition Infrastructure Post-harvest processing and storage Supply chain management Food loss and waste reduction Consumption
• 10.
  Community- and governance-levelapproaches to support adaptation in the agricultural sectors 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Africa Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Near East and North Africa % of actions Climate actions at community/household level Food security & Nutrition Credit and insurance services Livelihood diversification Gender equality & Social inclusion Farmer cooperatives Human health services Social protection 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Africa Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Near East and North Africa % of actions Climate actions at governance level (Adaptation Planning & Risk Management) Adaptation policy mainstreaming Climate risk information and advisory services Regulatory approaches Information programmes Monitoring strategies Environmental market-based instruments Infrastructure 81% of new/updated NDCs prioritize adaptation in livelihood, health and/or economic systems, particularly credit and insurance services and 1/3 call for improved climate information and advisory services
• 11.
  How implementation ready arethe NDCs?
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  NDC planning andimplementation attributes improved across all indicators of adequacy and effectiveness but there are still some caveats Indicators of adequacy and effectiveness: •Institutional arrangements •Engagement processes •Gender-responsiveness •Policy coherence and coordination •Budgeting and investment •Private sector engagement •Implementation plan •Transparency 79% 93% 83% 48% 91% 61% 91% 94% 89% 80% 100% 100% A LL A F RIC A A S IA & P A C IF IC E UROP E & C E NT RA L A S IA LA T IN A ME RIC A & C A RIBBE A N NE A R E A S T & NORT H A F RIC A POLICY COHERENCE & COORDINATION Previous NDCs New or Updated NDCs Mention of NAP 72% Mention of NAPA 4% Mention of NDC-NAP relationship 22% No mention of NAP 2%
• 13.
  NDCs show significantlygreater recognition of the vulnerabilities, needs and capacities of women and other marginalized groups to enhance the ambition and effectiveness of climate action 56% 76% 46% 56% 60% 38% 24% 42% 100% 44% 20% ALL AFRICA ASIA & PACIFIC EUROPE & CENTRAL ASIA LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN NEAR EAST & NORTH AFRICA % OF NEW/UPDATED NDCS MENTION OF GENDER AND/OR MARGINALIZED GROUPS BY DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Agricultural sectors/Natural resources Cross-cutting Only 14% of developing country new/updated NDCs include gender-responsive indicators in the agricultural sectors
• 14.
  Most new/updated NDCsreport that national M&E systems to track adaptation progress are not in place 35% 61% 46% 11% 19% 11% 51% 82% 33% 33% 67% 60% ALL AFRICA ASIA & PACIFIC EUROPE & CENTRAL ASIA LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN NEAR EAST & NORTH AFRICA INFORMATION ON M&E SYSTEMS Previous NDCs New or Updated NDCs 19% 41% 7% 13% 28% 0% 52% 18% 70% 67% 33% 60% 29% 41% 22% 20% 39% 40% ALL AFRICA ASIA & PACIFIC EUROPE & CENTRAL ASIA LATIN AMERICA & CARIBBEAN NEAR EAST & NORTH AFRICA % OF NEW/UPDATED NDCS INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS FOR M&E Established Not specified Planned or needed 1/3 of adaptation actions in the agricultural sectors contain measurable indicators to track adaptation targets
• 15.
  There is wideagreement that the private sector has a key role to play in facilitating NDC implementation in the agricultural sectors 10% 7% 4% 7% 22% 0% 9% 13% 8% 7% 11% 41% 53% 50% 27% 39% 20% 41% 27% 38% 60% 28% 80% A LL A F RIC A A S IA A ND P A C IF IC E UROP E A ND C E NT RA L A S IA LA T IN A ME RIC A A ND C A RIBBE A N NE A R E A S T A ND NORT H A F RIC A %OF NEW/UPDATED NDCS PRIVATE SECTOR ENGAGEMENT Active collaboration Concrete engagement Limited consultation No mention No private sector engagement activities identified 59% Agricultural sectors 27% Other sectors 14% Private sector engagement activities identified 41%
• 16.
  What support isneeded to achieve NDC ambition in the agricultural sectors?
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  There are significantgaps in the specificity of finance needs for NDC implementation in the agricultural and natural resource sectors and support for rural communities. 32% 29% 67% 33% 12% 12% 50% 0% 40% 35% 33% 50% 67% 16% 24% A LL A F RIC A A S IA & P A C IF IC E UROP E & C E NT RA L A S IA LA T IN A ME RIC A & C ARIBBE AN NE A R E A S T & NORT H AFRIC A % OF FINANCE NEEDS REFERENCED INFORMATION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRY FINANCE NEEDS IN THE AGRICULTURAL SECTORS Cropping systems Livestock systems Forest systems Fisheries & Aquaculture systems Finance • 92 % of developing countries communicate qualitative finance needs yet only half quantify the amount required for NDC implementation. • 35 % of developing countries distinguish between adaptation and mitigation finance needs • Only 18 % of developing countries estimate the cost of NDC implementation in the agricultural sectors. 18% 12% 11% 8% A GRIC ULT URA L S E C T ORS E C OS Y S T E MS A ND NA T URA L RE S OURC E S LIVE LIH OODS , H E A LT H A ND E C ONOMIC S DRR/M % OF NEW/UPDATED NDCS
• 18.
  Conclusions
• 19.
  Conclusions • Adaptation ambitionin the agricultural sectors has gone up across the board in coverage and quality across all regions • NDCs continue to reflect the extreme vulnerability and urgency of adaptation in the agricultural sectors • Entry-points for adaptation and building resilience at 4 levels: farm, landscape, agri-food value chain and community/governance level • NDC planning and implementation attributes improved across all indicators of adequacy and effectiveness but there are still some caveats • Greater recognition of the vulnerabilities, needs and capacities of women and other marginalized groups –> but more gender-responsive indicators in agricultural sectors needed • Private sector engagement entry-points are reported mostly in the agricultural sectors • There are significant gaps in the specificity of finance needed for adaptation and disaster risk reduction in the agricultural sectors
• 20.
  Thank you! Authors: KrystalCrumpler, Rebecca Abi Khalil, Emily Tanganelli, Neha Rai, Lapo Roffredi, Alexandre Meybeck, Viviane Umulisa, Julia Wolf and Martial Bernoux Contact: [email protected] Scaling Up Climate Ambition in Land use and Agriculture through NDCs and NAPs (SCALA) Programme NDC Enhancement Team Coming soon! Link