Beyond recession - visions for broadband

Beyond recession - visions for broadband

• 1.
  IIC – Telecommunications& Media Forum Washington, D.C. Tuesday, December 1, 2009 Beyond Recession – Visions for Broadband Communications Post 2010 Kenneth Engelhart Senior Vice President - Regulatory
• 2.
  Where are weheading? Global Ubiquitous Mobile Broadband HSPA Plus followed by LTE In Canada, 3 National Carriers offering 21 Mps service Not WiFi, probably not WiMax
• 3.
  Policy Implications PlannedRural Broadband Initiatives in Canada and US are probably already Obsolete. Broadband Competition Not Just DSL vs. Cable Now 1, 2, 3 or 4 more mobile wireless competitors
• 4.
  Mobile Broadband willcompete with Fixed Broadband
• 5.
  Broadband Metrics Willbecome even more complicated. Wireline broadband – should be measured per household, not per pop. Canada has “sunk” from #2 in the world to #10 based on population. But we are also #5 in the world based on household penetration. Many policy conclusions in Canada are based on erroneous population metric.
• 6.
  Wireless Penetration CanadianWireless penetration is one of the lowest in the OECD – 68%. But what does a 200% penetration rate mean? According to Merrill Lynch, Canada is eighth best in the world on MOU/capita – a better measure of wireless usages.
• 7.
  Broadband Speed OECDsamples advertized speeds and again Canada does poorly. The selection of services is a bit of a mystery. No weighting of the advertized speeds. Akamai is a much better measure – speeds customers actually receive, gathered in a random, unbiased way. Canada is eighth best among OECD countries in % of customers at 5 Mbps or greater.
• 8.
  Conclusion Sound policyshould be based on sound metrics.