Cities & CC - URAdapt presentation Jan 2011 v2 sm

Cities & CC - URAdapt presentation Jan 2011 v2 sm

• 1.
  Climate change anddevelopment in Ghana Climate change and cities URAdapt URadapt.iwmi.org Managing water at urban-rural interface Accra, January 2011
• 2.
  Why are wehere?  Debate on Ghana’s plans & role of urban areas in tackling opportunities & challenges posed by climate change for development  National & international context on climate change  Emerging climate change response  Each area & sector as part of national solution  Ghana as part of international solution  Long-term implications & lock-in decisions  Securing international support & finance
• 3.
  Why are wehere? 2 Ghana’s response to climate change in development  A comprehensive vision & approach key  Senior leadership commitment & direction  Cross-government approach & inter-sectoral coordination & collaboration to scale up  Integration with national, regional & sector plans - Med-Term Nat Dev Plan, budget cycle, PFM  Systems approach – financing, institutions, measurement, reporting & verification but  stretch on technical capability & capacity
• 4.
  2020 2030 Temperature ChangeC0 High Low 20502040 High increase in north Ghana dry scenario - oC change from base
• 5.
  Conclusions Economics ofAdaptation – 1 • Cost: Estimated cost of adaptation $60m - $300m per year (mid-range) – agriculture, roads, energy & water, coastal infrastructure – selected elements only • Shocks: Potential negative impacts of CC shocks significant & increasing over time • CC shocks will become greater & increase in variance • GDP: Present values of losses under scenarios are significant compared to a historical climate base simulation • 1.2% - 3.9% of present value of discounted baseline GDP
• 6.
  • Agriculture: Significantdrop in crops requires intervention for food security & productivity • Energy: Energy mix needs to include diversified renewable sources (e.g. mid-size hydro & mini-hydro) • Roads: Costs of roads adaptation high • Coastal: Coastal communities very vulnerable to CC Conclusions – 2
• 7.
  Response to climatechange in development Development Mitigation Adaptation & disaster risk ‘Climate- resilient’ … tackling adaptation … & mitigation needs
• 8.
  Climate & developmentplans Both developing + developed countries Process Iteration, Support, Financing, Capacity, Technology Measurable, Reportable & Verifiable Content Priorities, policies, measures & international support Development, adaptation & mitigation CCGP = climate compatible growth plan LCGP = low carbon growth plan CRGP = climate resilient growth plan Long & short term horizons
• 9.
   How citiescontribute to & are affected by CC  How policy makers can use cities to change behaviour & technology on CC  How cities should use CC as an opportunity to raise their profile, reinforce sensible policies & move toward a more sustainable pattern Cities & climate change
• 10.
   Urban transition- future population growth in low- & middle-income country urban centres – 3M a week!  Cities most vulnerable, especially poor groups  Cities account for bulk of consumption & GHGs  Infrastructure of 2050 being built today – is it adequate?  Fit for past or for future purpose?  Vulnerability – location, economy, scale  Congestion or competition? Cities & climate change
• 11.
  Cities & climatechange initiatives
• 12.
  Why Scenarios? • Acknowledgeand explore uncertainty – not ‘one future’ • Take a holistic view of the issue – show the interconnections • Long-term mindset: beyond the day-to-day • Make explicit the impact of decisions made now on the future - enable ‘future-proofing’ of initiatives – a useful tool
• 13.
   Climate adaptation& disaster risk reduction  Lower carbon growth in carbon-constrained world  Social development – equity, poverty & gender  Governance & coordination  Capacity  Research & knowledge management – gaps, uncertainty  Financing mechanisms – fiduciary standards, scale  Measurement, reporting & verification  International cooperation  Communication  Measurement & reporting A framework approach for Ghana
• 14.
  • Assist Ghanato achieve its growth & development objectives in a resilient & lower-carbon way • Both long-term vision & short-term strategy/action plans • Coordinate action across sectors, link to national policies • Spell out requirements for domestic & international resources - funding, technology transfer & capacity • Nationally appropriate mitigation actions • Specify international support needs An approach for Ghana - content
• 15.
  •Base on sectoraland geographical needs & capabilities • Integrate with other policy documents & overall economic & development objectives, esp. MTNDP & sector plans • Build on previous consultation, extend with multiple stakeholders, (public, private & non-state) & public debate •Ensure consistency – or surface trade-offs - between overall national plan & individual measures • Mandate & ownership directly from leadership • Allow for iterations, learning & refinement An approach for Ghana - process
• 16.
  Food & agriculture Public Governance? Health Private Civilsociety Finance & Economic Planning Environment, Science & Technology Nat CC committee Env & NR Advisory Council Technical officials, civil society Ministers, Presidency Energy Forestry EPA Civil society NDPC Met Agency Foreign Affairs Cabinet NADMO Water Resources REDD committee DRR committee AMA???
• 17.
  Why are wehere again?  Each area & sector as part of national solution  Ghana as part of international solution  How implement a comprehensive climate vision & approach for Accra & urban areas, at highest levels?  How consolidate & extend existing climate practice in light of technical & political stretch?