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Climate Change: Priorities and Concerns for Sri Lanka
Climate Change: Priorities and Concerns for Sri Lanka discusses Sri Lanka's climate change priorities and concerns. Global emissions must be reduced to 42 GtCO2e by 2100 to limit warming to 2°C, but current country commitments under the INDCs will only reduce emissions by 12-14 GtCO2e, leaving a gap. As a result, global average temperature increase by 2100 is estimated to be 3-3.5°C without further commitments. Sri Lanka's long term power generation plan aims to increase renewable energy and reduce dependence on oil and coal.
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Climate Change: Priorities and Concerns for Sri Lanka
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- 2. GHG emissions (GtCO2e/yr) 120 100 Baseline 80 60 40 2°C 20 (> 66% chance) 0 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2100 + 7°C + 6°C + 5°C + 4°C + 3°C + 2°C + 1°C +/- 0 2020: ~52 GtCO2e 2030: ~42 GtCO2e 2010: 47.5 GtCO2e Es0mated global warming by 2100 (°C rel. 1850-1900) What are we aiming for? Staying within the 2oC target
- 3. 2°C pathways Global total emissions: 42 GtCO2e (range: 31-44) Baseline Global total emissions: 65 GtCO2e (range: 60-70) Current policy trajectory Global total emissions: 60 GtCO2e (range: 58-62) Uncondi0onal INDC case Global total emissions: 56 GtCO2e (range: 54-59) Condi0onal INDC case Global total emissions: 54 GtCO2e (range: 52-57) Uncond. INDC case 12 14 Cond. INDC case 3.4 cm The Gap INDC contributions and theemissions gap What do INDCs contribute? • Gap is in the order of 12 to 14 GtCO2e/yr Will this be sufficient to stay below 2°C? • Global average temperature increase will be in the range of <3 - 3.5°C by the end of the century
- 4. LONG TERMGENERATION EXPANSIONPLAN 2015-2034 CEYLON ELECTRICITYBOARD Transmission and Generation Planning Branch Transmission Division Ceylon Electricity Board Sri LankaJuly 2015 For 50 Years
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