A Vision for Climate Smart
              Agriculture


                 Bruce Campbell, Director
CGIAR Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
                         (CCAFS)
Outline

1.   What is CSA?
2.   Mitigation options
3.   Adaptation options
4.   Which way forward for CSA?
Food
             security




                        Ecological
Adaptation               footprint



Grand Challenges of the 21st Century
Ocean                          Safe
 Role of        acidification      Nitrogen    operating
Agriculture                         cycle
                                                space

    Climate
    change
                                              Phosphorous
                                                 cycle

                                                   Current
 Biodiversity                                      status
    loss
                                          Global
                                       freshwater
                                           use
                  Change in land          Rockström et al. (2009);
                      use                 Bennett et al. (in prep.)
GHG CO2-eq tonne
 Food                 25
                              per capita

 Security             20
                      15
                      10
                       5
                       0

                             US      Malawi




Adaptation                    Ecological
                                footprint
    Climate-Smart Agriculture
Agriculture and Rural Development
             Day 2011
•   Positive on CSA: national governments,
    regional organisations, regional farmer’s
    organisations
•   Informal feedback: More clarity needed on
    CSA
A multitude of trade-offs……..
• Across sub-sectors (e.g. residues to soils or
  livestock?)

• Across spatial scales (e.g. more productive
  agriculture can result in forest clearance)

• Different kinds of households (e.g. some risk
  insurance exclude female-headed households)

• Short-term vs. long term benefits (e.g.
  livestock risk insurance can promote land
  degradation)
CSA will differ significantly…
 Impact of
 climate change
 on child
 malnutrition




                                       Costs of
                                       adaptation
                  Indirect emissions
                  Direct emissions
2) Mitigation
   options
Where to invest?
                                             •   Agronomy
                                             •   Nutrient management
                    Cropland                 •   Tillage/residue management
                   management                •   Water management
    Grazing land                             •   Rice management
    management                  Land cover
                                  change     •   Agro-forestry
                                             •   Set-aside, land use change
Management
 of organic                          Manure-
                      GHG
    soils                            biosolid
                    reduction
                                    management




 Restoration of                     Bioeenergy
degraded lands

                    Livestock
                   management
Five areas for investment
1. Sustainable intensification &
   forest governance
2. Sustainable land management
   (SLM) practices
3. Alternate wetting and drying
   systems in irrigated rice
4. Improved nitrogen use
   efficiency
5. Increased intensity of ruminant
   production in Africa to reduce
   GHG++ per unit of product
Food
 Security




Adaptation             Ecological
                         footprint
“Climate smart means landscape
        and policy smart”
Alternate-Wetting-
    and-Drying
      (AWD)




                           30% water


                           25-50% GHG

                     Yield not compromised
3) Adaptation
options
Adaptive capacity

                  Technology
Income & assets                    Infrastructure


                  Knowledge &
 Governance                           Access
                     skills
       &                                 to
 institutions                       information

                  Social capital
Key adaptation strategies
Incremental adaptation to progressive
 climate change
• Closing the yield gaps
• Raising the bar – breeding for 2030s
Climate risk management
• Technologies (e.g. flood-resistant varieties)
• Institutions (e.g. index-based insurance)
• Climate information systems (e.g. seasonal forecasts)
Transformative adaptation
• Changing production systems
• Changing livelihood portfolios
Mali farmer climate advisories

• Climate information to farmers for decision
  making
• National Met Service, WMO, ACMAD
• Forecasts provided for three‐days, ten‐days,
  and seasonal (inc. crop health...)
• Major increases in yields for participating
  farmers
• Lessons learning and scaling up across Sahel?
EA Regional Learning
         partnership
• Information exchange, capacity strengthening, building
  consensus around issues and priorities
• National and regional       • Regional economic
  agencies                      community
• Research providers          • Advisory services
• =
• NGOs & policy think tanks   • Farmer organisations
Activities
• Common messages
  to UNFCCC COP17
• Communities of
  practice
 – Synergies across
   diverse projects
 – Carbon markets for
   agriculture
Transformative adaptation



             Relocation of grape
              production or wineries to
              cooler regions
             Shifts to other crops
             Diversification



Parks et al CSIRO
Coffee areas
  shrink (in
 Nicaragua)
4) Which way forward for CSA?
CSA, in summary:
• Takes into account: food security, adaptation and
  ecological footprint
• foremost about development itself and address
  smallholder concerns
• Crucial to deal with trade-offs
• Context matters: CSA differs widely
• Development & ecological footprint → green economy
What is needed?
• Analytics and tools – choices, options,
  investments



• What kinds of knowledge products are
  needed to advance action
  – especially at farmer, district and national
    levels?
  – but also for coherent messaging and
    dialogue?
More analytics on resource
 efficiency?   E.g.


                     Tomatoes
$ return per     X
 water use       X                               Cotton
                                                                X
                  X                         X
                 X        X
                                                            X
                      X
                                  Maize                             Soybean
                              X           Rice
                      X               X           X   X X       X


                              Water use per output
  Grains use much more water than fruits/vegetables and
  yield lower economic returns                  Lele et al. (2011)
Integrated decision support
             tools?
 Example:
Options        Food       Adaptation Environmental
               security              impact
Crop x
Crop z
Livestock
Agroforestry
Questions
• What kinds of knowledge products are
  needed to maintain momentum?
• Is it time to give more formalisation to the
  partnership between the CGIAR and WB?

Climate-Smart Agriculture Bruce Campbell, CCAFS

  • 1.
    A Vision forClimate Smart Agriculture Bruce Campbell, Director CGIAR Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)
  • 2.
    Outline 1. What is CSA? 2. Mitigation options 3. Adaptation options 4. Which way forward for CSA?
  • 4.
    Food security Ecological Adaptation footprint Grand Challenges of the 21st Century
  • 5.
    Ocean Safe Role of acidification Nitrogen operating Agriculture cycle space Climate change Phosphorous cycle Current Biodiversity status loss Global freshwater use Change in land Rockström et al. (2009); use Bennett et al. (in prep.)
  • 6.
    GHG CO2-eq tonne Food 25 per capita Security 20 15 10 5 0 US Malawi Adaptation Ecological footprint Climate-Smart Agriculture
  • 7.
    Agriculture and RuralDevelopment Day 2011 • Positive on CSA: national governments, regional organisations, regional farmer’s organisations • Informal feedback: More clarity needed on CSA
  • 8.
    A multitude oftrade-offs…….. • Across sub-sectors (e.g. residues to soils or livestock?) • Across spatial scales (e.g. more productive agriculture can result in forest clearance) • Different kinds of households (e.g. some risk insurance exclude female-headed households) • Short-term vs. long term benefits (e.g. livestock risk insurance can promote land degradation)
  • 9.
    CSA will differsignificantly… Impact of climate change on child malnutrition Costs of adaptation Indirect emissions Direct emissions
  • 10.
  • 11.
    Where to invest? • Agronomy • Nutrient management Cropland • Tillage/residue management management • Water management Grazing land • Rice management management Land cover change • Agro-forestry • Set-aside, land use change Management of organic Manure- GHG soils biosolid reduction management Restoration of Bioeenergy degraded lands Livestock management
  • 12.
    Five areas forinvestment 1. Sustainable intensification & forest governance 2. Sustainable land management (SLM) practices 3. Alternate wetting and drying systems in irrigated rice 4. Improved nitrogen use efficiency 5. Increased intensity of ruminant production in Africa to reduce GHG++ per unit of product
  • 13.
    Food Security Adaptation Ecological footprint “Climate smart means landscape and policy smart”
  • 14.
    Alternate-Wetting- and-Drying (AWD) 30% water 25-50% GHG Yield not compromised
  • 15.
  • 16.
    Adaptive capacity Technology Income & assets Infrastructure Knowledge & Governance Access skills & to institutions information Social capital
  • 17.
    Key adaptation strategies Incrementaladaptation to progressive climate change • Closing the yield gaps • Raising the bar – breeding for 2030s Climate risk management • Technologies (e.g. flood-resistant varieties) • Institutions (e.g. index-based insurance) • Climate information systems (e.g. seasonal forecasts) Transformative adaptation • Changing production systems • Changing livelihood portfolios
  • 18.
    Mali farmer climateadvisories • Climate information to farmers for decision making • National Met Service, WMO, ACMAD • Forecasts provided for three‐days, ten‐days, and seasonal (inc. crop health...) • Major increases in yields for participating farmers • Lessons learning and scaling up across Sahel?
  • 19.
    EA Regional Learning partnership • Information exchange, capacity strengthening, building consensus around issues and priorities • National and regional • Regional economic agencies community • Research providers • Advisory services • = • NGOs & policy think tanks • Farmer organisations
  • 20.
    Activities • Common messages to UNFCCC COP17 • Communities of practice – Synergies across diverse projects – Carbon markets for agriculture
  • 21.
    Transformative adaptation  Relocation of grape production or wineries to cooler regions  Shifts to other crops  Diversification Parks et al CSIRO
  • 22.
    Coffee areas shrink (in Nicaragua)
  • 23.
    4) Which wayforward for CSA?
  • 24.
    CSA, in summary: •Takes into account: food security, adaptation and ecological footprint • foremost about development itself and address smallholder concerns • Crucial to deal with trade-offs • Context matters: CSA differs widely • Development & ecological footprint → green economy
  • 25.
    What is needed? •Analytics and tools – choices, options, investments • What kinds of knowledge products are needed to advance action – especially at farmer, district and national levels? – but also for coherent messaging and dialogue?
  • 26.
    More analytics onresource efficiency? E.g. Tomatoes $ return per X water use X Cotton X X X X X X X Maize Soybean X Rice X X X X X X Water use per output Grains use much more water than fruits/vegetables and yield lower economic returns Lele et al. (2011)
  • 27.
    Integrated decision support tools? Example: Options Food Adaptation Environmental security impact Crop x Crop z Livestock Agroforestry
  • 28.
    Questions • What kindsof knowledge products are needed to maintain momentum? • Is it time to give more formalisation to the partnership between the CGIAR and WB?