3.2 Innovations in Acute Flow and
Capacity Management
Session Outline
• Working definition

• How we have prioritised flow

• How we might want to think about flow in future

• What are the issues – why raise our ambition?

• Celebrating our existing work & what it tells us

• Next Steps
Flow

1. a. To move or run smoothly with unbroken continuity, as
in the manner characteristic of a fluid.
1. b. To issue in a stream; pour forth: Sap flowed from the
gash in the tree.
2. To circulate, as the blood in the body.
3. To move with a continual shifting of the component
particles: wheat flowing into the bin; traffic flowing through
the tunnel.
Right treatment area
                  Right time
                 Right team
                  Right care

(as efficiently as possible and within available
                   resources)
Flow = People
How we traditionally consider flow
• Access targets and standards (point improvements)
• Evolved from point improvements to pathway
  management (unscheduled care / 18 weeks RTT/
  cancer/mental health)
• Chunking up strategies and goals for the system (i.e.
  elective and unscheduled)
• Focus on improving constraints (delayed discharge)
• Strategies having competing impacts (patient boarding)
• Insufficient emphasis on individual patient experience?
• Insufficient recognition of workforce design on flow and
  of improvement and workforce relationship?
How we should consider flow?

–   Access/equity
–   safety issue
–   experience
–   efficiency

– 20/20 Vision demands on acute services are such that
  optimising throughput is critical

– Poor flow and inefficient use of capacity can drive up
  costs and may be compromising efficiency in all parts
  of the system
Efficiency & Productivity Framework SR10
          Aim, Objectives & Scope
    “To improve the overall quality and efficiency of
    NHSScotland while ensuring good value for money
            and achieving financial targets.”
Key objectives:
                                       Acute Flow & Capacity work-
• Quality is not compromised,          stream formed to support NHS
• NHSScotland will achieve financial   Boards to improve/optimise flow
   balance over the SR10 period,       and to challenge unwarranted
• NHS Boards are supported in          variation.
   achieving efficiency targets and
   improving services, and             Productive Opportunity (based on
• Central co-ordination of             McKinsey DoH study and applied
   support, monitoring, benefits       pro-rata up to £300m)
   realisation and challenge will be
   available to NHS Boards.
The Problems of Patient Flow –
                Why raise our game?
                        Marilyn E Rudolph



•   Peaks and valleys
•   Resource utilisation
•   Internal diversion – boarding
•   Increases in medical errors
•   Delays in patient care
•   Boarders and ED diversion (non IP areas)
•   Left without being seen
•   Decreased throughput = increased costs?
•   Increased length of stay
•   Staff and patient satisfaction
Theory: The Quality Pyramid
How Complex?
Born this Way? People and Reform
Reform agenda domains               Medical           Medical      General       Nurse      Nurse
                                    clinicians        managers     managers      managers   clinicians

Recognise interconnections          Ambivalent        Accept       Strongly      Accept     Strongly
between the clinical and                                           accept                   reject
Resource dimensions of care.

Adopt a perspective that            Reject            Accept       Strongly      Accept     Ambivalent
balances autonomy with                                                  accept
transparent accountability.

Participate in processes that are   Strongly reject   Strongly     Accept        Accept     Accept
oriented to bring clinical work                       reject
within the ambit of work
process control.


Accept the multidisciplinary        Reject            Ambivalent   Accept        Strongly   Accept
and hence team-based nature                                                      accept
of clinical service provision.




Peter Diegling
National Results & Examples of Flow
 Improvement across NHS Boards
Patient journeys within 18 weeks




                 50%
                       60%
                             70%
                                   80%
                                         90%
                                               100%
        Jan-11

        Feb-11
        Mar-11

        Apr-11

        May-11

        Jun-11
        Jul-11

        Aug-11



Month
        Sep-11

        Oct-11
                                                              Elective Performance:




        Nov-11
        Dec-11

        Jan-12
        Feb-12
                                                      % of Patient Journeys within 18 Weeks




        Mar-12
Median and 90th Percentile Waits
                            for IP/DC
                             Median (days)   90th percentile (days)


              120      105
              100
Wait (days)




                  80                                                  63
                  60
                       35
                  40                                                  25
                  20
                  0
               Ju 8




               Ju 9




               Ju 0




               Ju 1




                      2
              M 8




              M 9




              M 0




              M 1
              N 8




              N 9




              N 0




              N 1
                   -0




                   -0




                   -1




                   -1




                   -1
                   -0




                   -0




                   -1




                   -1
                 l-0




                 l-0




                 l-1




                 l-1
                ar




                ar




                ar




                ar




                ar
                ov




                ov




                ov




                ov
              M




                                      Quarter ending
4 Hour Emergency Standard Compliance
Emergency Care Pathways
Elective/Unscheduled Admissions
          by Day of Week
Variation within our Control?
Smooth Elective Flows?
NHS Board Examples
NHS Tayside: Exploring Improvements for
    Effective Management of Capacity and Demand
•    Demand activity calculated for each medical specialty
•    Reason code tracker completed by each Specialty to ascertain reasons why
     capacity not achieved
•    Reason code tracker includes: Patients on EDISON / Patients due for
     discharge who are placed out with speciality ward for non clinical reasons /
     Awaiting script / Awaiting tests/investigations (state what) / No bed in
     receiving hospital
•    Improvement methodology applied to tailor improvements to each Specialty
•    Development of Capacity and Flow page on staff intranet which has daily
     activity info, RAG status for each directorate/CHP, access to escalation plan
     and action cards
•    Developing a 7 day acute physician delivered service model to ensure
     senior clinical decision making at the front door
•    Interactive whiteboards with real time information


•
NHS Fife                                  Waits
230/                                             4,8,12 hrs                     Add. Capacity
                                       ~60                                       / Boarding
250                                                                                31 (52)

               A&E
                                                               Slow
                                      Ad Unit
                                                                                       Queue
                                                                            7.7(6.4)
                                                                                       52 (62)
                                                                             pts/d
                                          Q
                                       Assess.
                                                                                       8.8(6)
  Home                                  49(49)            Sp Beds
               ~46/d                                                                   pts/d
Improving Flow and Emergency Access Programme
•Work streams = Front Door, Acute Admissions and
Specialty Flow, Community Flow
                                                                                          Q
•Metrics and PDSA‟s in each work stream                          Q      Community      Assess.
                                                              Assess.    Beds/IRT        ~20
•Front Door examples –
       •  Flow 1 and 2 / 4 hours
                                                                ~18
       •  Fast track triage (time to 1st assessment)
       •  Junior check in with Cons (referral rate /
          clinical safety)
       •  Specialty Review (time to specialty review)                                        NH
       •  Increased Consultant cover at peak times                                          Beds
          (overall performance at 4 hours)
15/6/2012
NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde
          Management of Inpatient Flow
Glasgow Royal Infirmary

  –   Creation of Emergency Receiving Complex – patients streamed
      directly to the following areas :

      •   Minor Injury Unit
      •   ED Majors and Resus
      •   Medical Assessment Unit – GP referred medical patients go
          directly
      •   Impact of the above has demonstrated a significant
          reduction in breachers and in particular breach reason “wait
          for bed”
NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde
NHS Board NHS GREATER GLASGOW & CLYDE Hospital GLASGOW ROYAL INFIRMARY
Note: When choosing board to view, do not choose '(All)' as will double count. Select NHS Scotland as board if
wanting to view Scotland level data.        ED 4 Hour Breach Reasons by month: October                                                                                                2010 - April 2012

                             800


                             700
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Breach Reason
                                                                                                                                                                                                                99 Not Known
                             600                                                                                                                                                                                98 Other reason
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 08 Major incident
  Monthly ED 4 hr Breaches




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 07 Clinical reason(s)
                             500                                                                                                                                                                                 06 Wait for 1st assessment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 05B Wait for diagnostics test(s) - awaiting results
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 05A Wait for diagnostics test(s) - to be performed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 05 Wait for diagnostics test(s)
                             400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 04B Wait for initial A&E treatment - to be completed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 04A Wait for initial A&E treatment - to commence
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 04 Wait for initial A&E treatment
                             300                                                                                                                                                                                 03C Wait for a specialist - Wait for Mental Health/Psychiatrist
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 03B Wait for a specialist - Wait for Medical Specialty
                                                                                                                                                                                                                03A Wait for a specialist - Wait for Orthopaedics
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 03 Wait for a specialist
                             200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                02 Wait for transport
                                                                                                                                                                                                                01 Wait for bed

                             100


                              0                                                                                                                                                                                  Source: ISD A&E2 datamart Management
                                                                                                  May-11
                                                                                Mar-11




                                                                                                                                                                                             Mar-12
                                            Nov-10




                                                                                                                                                         Nov-11
                                   Oct-10




                                                                       Feb-11




                                                                                                                                                                                    Feb-12
                                                     Dec-10


                                                              Jan-11




                                                                                         Apr-11




                                                                                                           Jun-11


                                                                                                                     Jul-11

                                                                                                                              Aug-11


                                                                                                                                       Sep-11


                                                                                                                                                Oct-11




                                                                                                                                                                  Dec-11


                                                                                                                                                                           Jan-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                      Apr-12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 information Reports covering October 2010 - April
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2012. Data is for management information
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 purposes only and subject to change.
                                                                                                                    Month
NHS Greater Glasgow & Clyde
         Management of Inpatient Flow
                Use of Lean methodology

•   Three teams configured to work at Western
    Infirmary; Royal Alexandra Hospital; Victoria
    Infirmary to :

    – Improve discharge process with increased number of
      beds available before midday

    – Improve flow through ED/wards by addressing
      relationship issues between Medicine and DME
NHS Lothian

• Implementation of Real Time Demand and Capacity Management
  (Resar, et al, 2011)

• Estimate of 10-15% in day capacity gains through implementing this
  methodology

• Project/Improvement Manager in place, estimate 6 months for
  implementation, further 6 for sustainability

• Focus on „Discharge Huddles‟ and change in bed meeting process
   – accuracy of predictions
   – key issues to „unblock‟
What the World of Improvement Science
               says….
Strategies for Managing Patient Flow
  S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak

• Key principles:
   – System-wide not silos
   – Science-based, data-driven
   – Right structure before improving micro-processes
   – Compliance review and enforcement
• Operations Management
   – Critical path – minimise delays
   – Queuing theory – mismatch between demand and
     resources
   – Simulation
Natural Variability           Artificial Variability


• Random                      • Non-random
• Predictable                 • Non-predictable (driven
• Can not be eliminated (or     by unknown individual
  even reduced)                 priorities)
• Must be optimally           • Should not be
  managed                       managed, must be
                                identified and eliminated
A. N. Other Hospital



                • Overcrowded
                • Safety?
                • Experience?
                • Waits/Boarding
The Natural Variation                The Artificial Variation
Hospital                             Hospital

   – Emergencies only                   – Electives only
   – Queuing theory to decide size      – Smooth all admissions and
     and staffing                         discharges
   – Run at 80% capacity                – Run at 95% capacity
Strategies for Managing Patient Flow
  S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak
• Artificial Variability
   – Inadvertence e.g. LoS in HDU awaiting bed
   – Provider scheduling – „dysfunctional scheduling of
     elective admissions‟
   – Inappropriate management of flows
     emergency/elective predictions, complexity
• Effects
   „Artificial variability cannot be predicted or managed but
   must be investigated and eliminated‟
   – Compromised quality of care
   – Decreased patient satisfaction
   – Decreased staff satisfaction
   – Operational inefficiency/ high cost of care
Strategies for Managing Patient Flow
  S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak

• Variability Methodology
Peaks in scheduled admissions is artificial variability
caused by dysfunctional scheduling of elective admissions
   – Identify variability
   – Classify as natural or artificial
   – Statistical test for randomness
   – Quantify – as deviation from ideal expected pattern
   – Eliminate/ significantly decrease
   – Manage natural variability by stratifying patients
Strategies for Managing Patient Flow
  S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak

• Variability Methodology IHO
   – Eliminating variability where you can
   – Optimally managing it where you can‟t
   – Different types of variability in health care
       • Clinical variability – illness and response to treatment
       • Flow variability – when
       • Professional variability – time taken
Strategies for Managing Patient Flow
 S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak

Phases
• Separate flows
• Smooth elective and queuing theory to emergencies
• Once optimised estimate resource for system
20/20 A Balanced Flow Hospital

                   • Flow = Quality
                   • Separate Flows
                   • Variation Smoothed
                   • Real Time Queuing
                   Theory
                   • Whole System with
                   Integrated Community
                   Teams
Intelligent Flow

• Making the flows/processes visible/separating them
• Measurement & balancing measures
• Patient experience & co-design
• Complex adaptive thinking – the whole system
• Counter-intuitive - most variation is in elective care and
  is a supply not a demand problem
• Generating the evidence base that poor flow is a patient
  safety, efficiency and experience issue
• Sustainable improvement will require a focus on
  quality, workforce and governance
NHS Scotland’s Focus on Flow




  Whole Hospital Acute Flow and Capacity Management
Key Improvement Messages

• Separate scheduled and unscheduled patient flows
• Eliminate / minimise artificial variability wherever possible
• Assign separate resources for scheduled and unscheduled
  patients
• Resources for unscheduled patients should be based on
  clinically driven maximum acceptable waiting times – match
  capacity to the profile of demand
• Resources for scheduled patients should be based on
  maximising patient throughput and minimising unnecessary
  waiting
• Only after separation and matching capacity to demand
  examine fixed resources
Next Steps - 2012

• Acute Flow & Capacity Management workstream
  progresses improvement projects and maintains close
  links to unscheduled care groups. Overarching
  improvement context

• Acute Flow & Capacity Management Programme Board
  receives proposals to test/implement a whole systems
  approach to flow and capacity planning – August 2012

• HSCMB, QAB and Efficiency Portfolio Board invited to
  agree proposals
The Relationship between
 Flow, Quality and Cost
Thanks to
Question:

• If Patient Flow slows down:
   – do more patients die?
   – does cost go up?
Agenda

• Programme Structure
• High level measures
   – What are we trying to improve?
• Patient Flow
   – Emergency and Elective
• The constraints
• The policies that need changing

• How to make changes happen
Structure for an Improvement
                               Programme
                          DH, SHA, Monitor, Health Commission etc.


                                                        Board                                                       Board

                          GP                                                       GP                               Flow
Emergency
Planned care
Clinical subspecialties
Medicine
                                                                                              Intermediate care
Surgery
                                                                                              Community hospitals
Paediatrics
                               A&E                                                            Long term care        Functional
             Ambulance                                                                                              Departments
                          Clinics Radiology Pathology Theatres Wards Pharmacy Therapies Transport



                          HR             IT            Finance           Estates           Supplies                 Support
                                                                                                                    functions


                                                                                        Seattle Children‟s Hospital
Board Report




               Comments?
Weekly A&E performance & crude death rate
           April 2007 to Feb 2011
                  Dec 07       Dec 08            Dec 09   Dec 10
                               Foundation
Weekly number                  Status                          Non elective
                               deferred
of A&E breaches                                                death rate

                                            What
                                            happened
                                            In Sept
                                            2009?




        Non elective deaths / non elective discharges inc deaths
        by Date of ADMISSION                                         Comments?
Foundation   What
                              Status       happened in
                              deferred     September 2009?                        Weekly Flow
                                                                                  Cost Quality
                                                                                Ap 07 to Ap – Jan 11
                                                                                  A&E breaches &
                                                                                  Non elective
                                                                                  deaths / discharges
                                                                                  by date of admission

                                           Palliative
          Infection control                Care
                                                         > %15-64 years
                                           excluded
                                                         admissions        Adult Non elective Rami
                                                                           (Rate Adjusted Mortality Index)
                                                                           (excl paeds, obs & midwifery)
                                                                           compared to average for peer
                                                                           group


                                              Open new wards
                              Recruit                                     Total Pay costs
Agenda for change                                                         (elective and non elective)




                                                                                             Comments?
What have we learned?
What the Warwick and Sheffield teams
                learned
• Plot the dots!
   – weekly data
   – reviewed monthly: Board

• Monthly 2 hour meeting:
  – Executives, senior clinicians and Dpt. heads from
    across the health & social care system
      • Study, Adjust, Plan, Do
         – When did the statistically significant changes happen?
         – Why?
             » What did WE change?
Understanding Flow
                                DH, SHA, Monitor, Health Commission etc.


                                                        Board                                                       Board


Emergency GP                                                                       GP                               Flow
Planned care
Clinical subspecialties
Medicine
Surgery                                                                                       Intermediate care
Paediatrics                                                                                   Community hospitals
                               A&E                                                            Long term care        Functional
             Ambulance
                                                                                                                    Departments
                          Clinics Radiology Pathology Theatres Wards Pharmacy Therapies Transport



                          HR             IT            Finance           Estates           Supplies                 Support
                                                                                                                    functions
High Level Emergency System Map

                               Death

                 Hospital                                Community
Ambulance                                                 Hospitals
             Accident   Assessment
               and        Unit(s)
                                           Specialist    Intermediate
     GP     Emergency                        Ward            Care
                                                         (services delivered
                                                        in the patient‟s home)


                     Permanent place of residence
Emergency Demand




                   Comment?
Emergency Admissions




                       Comment?
Relationship between flow in, A&E performance and
        deaths and emergency admissions




                                           Comments?
Closure of
                              Foundation   Community Hospital
                              Status
                              deferred
                                           Sept 2009                               Weekly Flow
                                                                                   Cost Quality
                                                                                 Ap 07 to Ap – Jan 11
                                                                                   A&E breaches &
                                                                                   Non elective
                                                                                   deaths / discharges
                                                                                   by date of admission

                                           Palliative
          Infection control                Care
                                                          > %15-64 years
                                           excluded
                                                          admissions        Adult Non elective Rami
                                                                            (Rate Adjusted Mortality Index)
                                                                            (excl paeds, obs & midwifery)
                                                                            compared to average for peer
                                                                            group



                                              Open new wards
                              Recruit                                      Total Pay costs
Agenda for change                                                          (elective and non elective)
High Level System Map

                               Death

                 Hospital                                 Closed 40
                                                         Community
                                                            beds
Ambulance                                                 Hospitals
                                                          Sept 2009
             Accident   Assessment
               and        Unit(s)
                                           Specialist    Intermediate
    GP      Emergency                        Ward            Care
                                                         (services delivered
                                                        in the patient‟s home)


                     Permanent place of residence

                                             Continuing Health Care
                                            funding process changed
                                                    Oct 2009
Lesson for Boards:

Poor A&E performance is due to poor flow OUT
   – Constraints are under our control
Lesson for Performance Management

• Plot the dots!
   – Trend lines should be removed from Excel

   – Statistical Process Control
      • Reveals the voice of the process
What did we learn?

•   Plot the weekly emergency admissions by age group:
•   0 to 15
•   16 to 64
                    Correlates with the high level patient flows
•   65 to 79
•   80 and plus

• Plot Patients-in-Progress (work-in-progress):
   – very sensitive to changes in demand x LOS:
        • A&E performance (breaches)
        • Midnight bed occupancy
            – See later
Emergency admissions 80 years +




Confirms that poor flow is NOT due to increased admissions of patients > 80 years
High Level Emergency System Map

                                  Death

                  Hospital                                   Community
Ambulance                                                     Hospitals
             Accident    Assessment
               and         Unit(s)
                                              Specialist     Intermediate
     GP     Emergency                           Ward             Care
                                                             (services delivered
                                                            in the patient‟s home)


                       Permanent place of residence

            (0 to15)         16 to 64            65 to 79      80 and plus
            years
                                Warwick

                                          Sheffield: GSM
GSM: How Many Bed Nights Do
        They Stay?
                                                         Pareto of Bed Nights for Home to Home Patients


           100%



           90%



           80%



           70%



           60%
Cum Freq




           50%



           40%



           30%



           20%



           10%



            0%
                  0

                      6
                          12
                               18
                                    24
                                         30

                                              36
                                                   42
                                                        48
                                                             54
                                                                  60

                                                                       66
                                                                            72
                                                                                 78
                                                                                      84
                                                                                            90

                                                                                                 96
                                                                                                      102
                                                                                                            108
                                                                                                                  114

                                                                                                                        120
                                                                                                                              126
                                                                                                                                    132
                                                                                                                                          138
                                                                                                                                                144

                                                                                                                                                      150
                                                                                                                                                            156
                                                                                                                                                                  164
                                                                                                                                                                        175
                                                                                                                                                                              189

                                                                                                                                                                                    205
                                                                                                                                                                                          263
                                                                                           Bed Nights
Day to day
                                                        Admissions Discharge mismatch
                                                                               NEL Admission Discharge mismatch
number of NEL patients
admtted and dicharged




                                                80
                                                70
                                                60                                                                                                                              Total NEL admissions (NEL
                                                50
                                                40
                                                                                                                                                                                + NEL other)                1.
                                                30                                                                                                                              Total NEL discharges (NEL
                                                20                                                                                                                              + NEL other)                Reduce daily
                                                10
                                                 0                                                                                                                                                          variation in
                                                                                                                                                                                                            discharges
                                            7

                                           07


                                            7

                                            7

                                           07


                                            8

                                            8

                                           08

                                           08
                                  08 00




                                  22 00

                                  29 00




                                  12 00

                                  19 00
                                         20




                                         20




                                         20

                                         20
                                         2




                                         2

                                         2




                                         2

                                         2
                                       2/

                                       2/

                                       2/

                                       2/

                                       2/

                                       1/

                                       1/

                                       1/

                                       1/
                                     /1

                                     /1

                                     /1

                                     /1

                                     /1

                                     /0

                                     /0

                                     /0

                                     /0
                                  01




                                  15




                                  05




                                  26
                                                                                                                  date



                                                                   Elective Admission Discharge mismatch
                  Nubmer of elective patients
                   admitted and discharged




                                                80
                                                70
                                                60
                                                50
                                                40
                                                                                                                                                                          EL admissions
                                                                                                                                                                                                            2. Smooth
                                                30                                                                                                                        EL discharges
                                                20                                                                                                                                                          Variation in
                                                10
                                                 0                                                                                                                                                          PLANNED
                                                     01/12/2007


                                                                  08/12/2007


                                                                               15/12/2007


                                                                                            22/12/2007


                                                                                                         29/12/2007


                                                                                                                      05/01/2008


                                                                                                                                   12/01/2008


                                                                                                                                                19/01/2008


                                                                                                                                                             26/01/2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                            Elective
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Admissions
                                                                                                            date
In-day mismatch between
Emergency admissions and Specialist capacity
              Time of Arrival into A&E    Time of Departure out of A&E to Main Hospital

450

400
                                                                                          Patients admitted
                                                                                          when capacity is not
350

300

250

200

150
                                                                                          available
100

 50

  0
      00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23             Assessment units
                                                                                          are storage units to
 When is the Specialist Capacity available?                                               hold the patients until
                                                                                          the specialist capacity
                                           X junior                                       is available the
                                             staff
                                              +                                           following day
                  Minimal                     Y                             Minimal
                  capacity                specialist                        capacity
                                         consultants?


00.00                 06.00                12.00                    18.00 23.59
Assessment Process at April 2009

                                                                                            Up to 24
                               4 hours.                       Up to 12 hours overnight      hours post
                                                                                            arrival at hospital


Arrive                      History &     Requests                   Perform tests          Perform tests
At       Triage   Nursing   examination   Test &
                  Obs‟                                               & imaging              & imaging
A&E                         & initial     imaging
                            treatment                Senior
                                                     review


                                                 Transfer to Assessment Unit
                                                                 Nursing      History &     Senior Review
                                                                 Obs          examination   Plan definitive
                                                                                            treatment
                                                                                                              ?

                               A&E                                      Assessment Unit



                                                                                            = value
What do we need to do instead?
                                                                                              Pull patients forward into the working day:
450
              Time of Arrival into A&E     Time of Departure out of A&E to Main Hospital
                                                                                              •Stop making them wait 3:59 minutes…..
400                                                                                           •Stop duplication
350

300

250

200

150

100

 50

  0
      00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23




 The specialty capacity needs to be available:                                                        Right decisions
                                                                                                      On time
                            08:00                                                     21:00
                                                                                                      Every time
                                           Specialists available                                      In full
                                         Seeing patients on wards
         Minimal                           Discharging patients
         capacity                           Admitting patients



00.00                 06.00                 12.00                    18.00 23.59
„Future‟ Assessment Process
                     (Now current as at April 2012)

                                             2 hours
                                                                                               Transfer to
                                                                                               Appropriate
                               History &                                   Senior specialist
Arrive   Plan                                 Requests                                         specialist area
                     Nursing   examination                 Perform tests   Review
At       for                                  Test &                                           including home
                     Obs‟      & initial                   & imaging       Plan definitive
A&E      diagnosis                            imaging                                          with PT/OT /SS
                               treatment                                   treatment
                                                                                               home assessment
                                                                                               at home

                                                         1 hour



                         Safe ambulatory care process now possible
Demand: numbers by day
All admissions from A&E by hour
                                         Mondays May to Oct 08
            8



            7

                                                                                                                                   Reduce daily
            6                                                                                                                      variation in
                                                                                                                                   discharges
            5
                                                                                                                                         Max
Admission




                                                                                                                                         Min
            4                                                                                                                            Avg
                                                                                                                                         Av + 1 SD
                                                                                                                                         Av +2 SD
            3



            2



            1



            0
                00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23
                                                                   Hour of arrival
                                                                                      What is the rate of production required?
Planning Capacity of the workforce
                     Junior Doc      Nurse   X-ray Consultant doc
Medical Emergencies Arrival Time
       08:00
       08:15
       08:30
       08:45                                                        4
       09:00
       09:15
       09:30
                                                                    admissions
       09:45
       10:00
                                                                    /hr.
       10:15
       10:30
       10:45
       11:00
       11:15
       11:30
       11:45
       12:00
       12:15
       12:30
       12:45
All Emergencies Arrival Time
       08:00
       08:10
       08:20                                                        6
       08:30
       08:40                                                        admissions
       08:50
       09:00
       09:10
                                                                    /hr.
       09:20
       09:30
       09:40
       09:50
       10:00
       10:10
       10:20
       10:30
       10:40
       10:50
       11:00
       11:10
       11:20
       11:30
       11:40
Improving Flow (front end)

• Pooled junior docs
   – A&E, MAU and specialty on call
   – Staggered start times on A&E/MAU
   = Increased availability from 08:00 to 10:00

• MAU consultants continuous flow
   • Speciality take every day: admissions
   • Heartbeat system for tracking patients


• Wards
  – Consultant ward round every day: discharges
Functional departments
                                DH, SHA, Monitor, Health Commission etc.


                                                        Board                                                       Board

                          GP                                                       GP                               Flow
Emergency
Planned care
Clinical subspecialties
Medicine
                                                                                              Intermediate care
Surgery
                                                                                              Community hospitals
Paediatrics
                               A&E                                                            Long term care        Functional
             Ambulance                                                                                              Departments
                          Clinics Radiology Pathology Theatres Wards Pharmacy Therapies Transport



                          HR             IT            Finance           Estates           Supplies                 Support
                                                                                                                    functions
Do this hour‟s work this hour:

• Emergency Blood turnaround:
   – Bottleneck for emergency samples = centrifuges
   Change:
      • Now a centrifuge starts every 3 minutes whether full or not


• IP blood monitoring on wards
   – Bottleneck: Phlebotomists & transport to lab
   Change:
      • Porters running between phleb‟s and lab
      • Steady flow of samples into lab
      • all results back by 10:30 a.m. for ward rounds
1 year later

• Warwick

• Focus on:
   – A&E,
   – Assessment units and wards
   – Diagnostics
   – Ward rounds
   – TTOs
Foundation      Close
                     Status          Community     Dec 2010: flow improvements start
                     deferred        Hsp Sept 09
                                                       Increased %
                                                       16 to 64 years


                                                                               Flow doesn‟t
                                                                               recover from
                                                                               Sept 2009
                                                                               bed + staff
                                                                               closures
       Infection control             Palliative
                                     Care
                                     excluded        Reduction in death rate   Nobody
                                                                               addressed
                                                                               the CHC
                                                                               admin delays
                                                                  Acquire
                                                                               causing the
                                                                  Community    long LOS
                                                                  services
                                        Open new wards                         Organisation
                           Recruit
Agenda for change
                                                                               change
                                                                               disrupted the
                                                                               Admin flow
                                                                               even more
                                                                               Comments?
1 Year later

• Sheffield
Geriatric and stroke medicine
   – Focus on reducing the admin constraints (policies)
   – Check List and CHC assessment process
      • 42 page document
      • 18 man hours of work
      • Min time (LOS) = 30 days+


   – Home assessment at home on day of discharge
      • Referral to Social Services by physio to social services
      • SS package in place within 48 hours (Upper process limit)
   – Home of choice:
      • out to residential home, CHC afterwards
Home of choice




Weekly




                   Daily
Lessons for executive support services

                                DH, SHA, Monitor, Health Commission etc..


                                                        Board                                                       Board


Emergency GP                                                                       GP                               Flow
Planned care
Clinical subspecialties
Medicine
Surgery                                                                                       Intermediate care
Paediatrics                                                                                   Community hospitals
                               A&E                                                            Long term care        Functional
             Ambulance
                                                                                                                    Departments
                          Clinics Radiology Pathology Theatres Wards Pharmacy Therapies Transport



                          HR             IT            Finance           Estates           Supplies                 Support
                                                                                                                    functions
Lessons for executive support services

•   HR:
     – Systems thinking and improvement science for A4C 8 & above
     – Match staff capacity to patient demand: 7/7, 365
     – Heads of functions = responsibility for end-to-end process
        Focus is on Flow,
        WIP incurred accountable to the Dpt. concerned.

•   IT
     – Information in real time
     – Time series data

•   Estates:
     – Reduce transport and motion
     – Co-location of process resources

•   Supplies
     – Just-in-time
Finance
Pareto analysis of the pay costs in one Trust
        for one month by employee.




         50% of cost
                                      Role of senior managers is to
                                      improve process flow
                       20% of staff   through the most expensive
                                      value adding staff =clinicians
Change the Finance Paradigm
Economies of Scale                                        Economies of Flow


                                                         Capacity                                                       Nu,ber of Patients
                                                         Patients/hr                                                    treated
                                                                                                                        successfully
                                                                                                                        Land lives „saved‟



                                                         Demand
                                                         Patients /hr                                                          Activity
                                                                                £5       £2                                     x PbR
                                                                        £1
                                                                                /hr      /hr            £1                     income
     Dpt 1   Dpt 2   Dpt 3   Dpt 4   Dpt 5   Dpt 6                      /hr                                     £2
                                                                                                £1      /hr
                                                                                                /hr             /hr


                                                                        Dpt 1   Dpt 2   Dpt 3   Dpt 4   Dpt 5   Dpt 6
                Department Cost
                      Activity                                                                                          = waste
                     = unit cost                                                         constraint
                                                     So focus is on improving value delivered and income
Drives Dpt manager to                                This depends on moving resources to support the constraint
do more activity at less cost                        The constraint should be the most expensive resource
Acquires „new business‟                              in the process = in Dpt 2.
But what happens to flow?                            How can we optimise productivity through the most
                                                     expensive resource?
Finance

• John Darlington‟s paper
• http://www.leanuk.org/downloads/LS_2010/paper_lean_b
  usiness_case.pdf
How to make changes happen
Get Everyone on Board

  Patient‟s experience of waste
                                                                                                Discussion
History       Full                  Endoscopy                                                                  Discharge
                          Nil by                  Rest &      Check       Cross                 with cardiac
Examination   blood                 &                                               Transfuse                  With Plan
                          mouth                   dehydrate   FBC         match                 centre
Assessment    Count                 Breath test                                     8 hours                    And Rx
                          4 hours                 for 20      5 minutes   40 mins               Re stent
30 minutes    5 minutes             30 minutes                                                                 15 minutes
                                                  hours                                         15 minutes




  Value adding                               34 hours  = 18% of time value adding
 Non Value adding                         8 days x 24 hours

                            82% of time and resource wasted

                          Poor quality experience and outcome
                              From a Poor Quality System
The Doctors can lead the change…..

• Very complex system:
   – Like a human body!

• Understand
   – Anatomy
   – Physiology (flows)
   – Plot the dots: BP, temp, pulse, resp‟s ….
   – Diagnosis
   – Treatment (releave the constraints)
   – Look for changes in the pattern of variation (SPC)
Get the Managers on Board

• Top Down Command and Control is impossible:
   – Not possible for one person to understand whole end-
     to-end process or System.

• Facilitate Big Room Meetings
   – Get the everyone in a room
   – Listening to each other
   – Conversations based on facts:
   – Study, Adjust, Plan, Do,
   – Monthly and Weekly reviews
Big Room Process
Summary

• Quality is a System property
• Track patient flow (WIP), death rate and cost over time.
   – Increasing cost doesn‟t always improve flow
   – Reducing cost can have grave consequences
• Improve processes to reduce delays and inventory (WIP)
   – Match staff capacity to patient demand
   – Do this hour‟s work this hour
• Shift from:
   – Unit Costing: Dpt cost/activity
   – to Flow Accounting: throughput at constraint/total process cost
   – The constraints are policies or availability of staff, not beds.
What have we learned ?

• Nuggets

• Niggles

• Nice-if

• NoNos
Parallel Session 3.2 Innovations in Acute Flow and Capacity Management

Parallel Session 3.2 Innovations in Acute Flow and Capacity Management

  • 1.
    3.2 Innovations inAcute Flow and Capacity Management
  • 2.
    Session Outline • Workingdefinition • How we have prioritised flow • How we might want to think about flow in future • What are the issues – why raise our ambition? • Celebrating our existing work & what it tells us • Next Steps
  • 3.
    Flow 1. a. Tomove or run smoothly with unbroken continuity, as in the manner characteristic of a fluid. 1. b. To issue in a stream; pour forth: Sap flowed from the gash in the tree. 2. To circulate, as the blood in the body. 3. To move with a continual shifting of the component particles: wheat flowing into the bin; traffic flowing through the tunnel.
  • 4.
    Right treatment area Right time Right team Right care (as efficiently as possible and within available resources)
  • 5.
  • 6.
    How we traditionallyconsider flow • Access targets and standards (point improvements) • Evolved from point improvements to pathway management (unscheduled care / 18 weeks RTT/ cancer/mental health) • Chunking up strategies and goals for the system (i.e. elective and unscheduled) • Focus on improving constraints (delayed discharge) • Strategies having competing impacts (patient boarding) • Insufficient emphasis on individual patient experience? • Insufficient recognition of workforce design on flow and of improvement and workforce relationship?
  • 7.
    How we shouldconsider flow? – Access/equity – safety issue – experience – efficiency – 20/20 Vision demands on acute services are such that optimising throughput is critical – Poor flow and inefficient use of capacity can drive up costs and may be compromising efficiency in all parts of the system
  • 8.
    Efficiency & ProductivityFramework SR10 Aim, Objectives & Scope “To improve the overall quality and efficiency of NHSScotland while ensuring good value for money and achieving financial targets.” Key objectives: Acute Flow & Capacity work- • Quality is not compromised, stream formed to support NHS • NHSScotland will achieve financial Boards to improve/optimise flow balance over the SR10 period, and to challenge unwarranted • NHS Boards are supported in variation. achieving efficiency targets and improving services, and Productive Opportunity (based on • Central co-ordination of McKinsey DoH study and applied support, monitoring, benefits pro-rata up to £300m) realisation and challenge will be available to NHS Boards.
  • 9.
    The Problems ofPatient Flow – Why raise our game? Marilyn E Rudolph • Peaks and valleys • Resource utilisation • Internal diversion – boarding • Increases in medical errors • Delays in patient care • Boarders and ED diversion (non IP areas) • Left without being seen • Decreased throughput = increased costs? • Increased length of stay • Staff and patient satisfaction
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
    Born this Way?People and Reform Reform agenda domains Medical Medical General Nurse Nurse clinicians managers managers managers clinicians Recognise interconnections Ambivalent Accept Strongly Accept Strongly between the clinical and accept reject Resource dimensions of care. Adopt a perspective that Reject Accept Strongly Accept Ambivalent balances autonomy with accept transparent accountability. Participate in processes that are Strongly reject Strongly Accept Accept Accept oriented to bring clinical work reject within the ambit of work process control. Accept the multidisciplinary Reject Ambivalent Accept Strongly Accept and hence team-based nature accept of clinical service provision. Peter Diegling
  • 13.
    National Results &Examples of Flow Improvement across NHS Boards
  • 14.
    Patient journeys within18 weeks 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Month Sep-11 Oct-11 Elective Performance: Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 % of Patient Journeys within 18 Weeks Mar-12
  • 15.
    Median and 90thPercentile Waits for IP/DC Median (days) 90th percentile (days) 120 105 100 Wait (days) 80 63 60 35 40 25 20 0 Ju 8 Ju 9 Ju 0 Ju 1 2 M 8 M 9 M 0 M 1 N 8 N 9 N 0 N 1 -0 -0 -1 -1 -1 -0 -0 -1 -1 l-0 l-0 l-1 l-1 ar ar ar ar ar ov ov ov ov M Quarter ending
  • 16.
    4 Hour EmergencyStandard Compliance
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 22.
  • 24.
  • 25.
    NHS Tayside: ExploringImprovements for Effective Management of Capacity and Demand • Demand activity calculated for each medical specialty • Reason code tracker completed by each Specialty to ascertain reasons why capacity not achieved • Reason code tracker includes: Patients on EDISON / Patients due for discharge who are placed out with speciality ward for non clinical reasons / Awaiting script / Awaiting tests/investigations (state what) / No bed in receiving hospital • Improvement methodology applied to tailor improvements to each Specialty • Development of Capacity and Flow page on staff intranet which has daily activity info, RAG status for each directorate/CHP, access to escalation plan and action cards • Developing a 7 day acute physician delivered service model to ensure senior clinical decision making at the front door • Interactive whiteboards with real time information •
  • 26.
    NHS Fife Waits 230/ 4,8,12 hrs Add. Capacity ~60 / Boarding 250 31 (52) A&E Slow Ad Unit Queue 7.7(6.4) 52 (62) pts/d Q Assess. 8.8(6) Home 49(49) Sp Beds ~46/d pts/d Improving Flow and Emergency Access Programme •Work streams = Front Door, Acute Admissions and Specialty Flow, Community Flow Q •Metrics and PDSA‟s in each work stream Q Community Assess. Assess. Beds/IRT ~20 •Front Door examples – • Flow 1 and 2 / 4 hours ~18 • Fast track triage (time to 1st assessment) • Junior check in with Cons (referral rate / clinical safety) • Specialty Review (time to specialty review) NH • Increased Consultant cover at peak times Beds (overall performance at 4 hours) 15/6/2012
  • 27.
    NHS Greater Glasgow& Clyde Management of Inpatient Flow Glasgow Royal Infirmary – Creation of Emergency Receiving Complex – patients streamed directly to the following areas : • Minor Injury Unit • ED Majors and Resus • Medical Assessment Unit – GP referred medical patients go directly • Impact of the above has demonstrated a significant reduction in breachers and in particular breach reason “wait for bed”
  • 28.
    NHS Greater Glasgow& Clyde NHS Board NHS GREATER GLASGOW & CLYDE Hospital GLASGOW ROYAL INFIRMARY Note: When choosing board to view, do not choose '(All)' as will double count. Select NHS Scotland as board if wanting to view Scotland level data. ED 4 Hour Breach Reasons by month: October 2010 - April 2012 800 700 Breach Reason 99 Not Known 600 98 Other reason 08 Major incident Monthly ED 4 hr Breaches 07 Clinical reason(s) 500 06 Wait for 1st assessment 05B Wait for diagnostics test(s) - awaiting results 05A Wait for diagnostics test(s) - to be performed 05 Wait for diagnostics test(s) 400 04B Wait for initial A&E treatment - to be completed 04A Wait for initial A&E treatment - to commence 04 Wait for initial A&E treatment 300 03C Wait for a specialist - Wait for Mental Health/Psychiatrist 03B Wait for a specialist - Wait for Medical Specialty 03A Wait for a specialist - Wait for Orthopaedics 03 Wait for a specialist 200 02 Wait for transport 01 Wait for bed 100 0 Source: ISD A&E2 datamart Management May-11 Mar-11 Mar-12 Nov-10 Nov-11 Oct-10 Feb-11 Feb-12 Dec-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 information Reports covering October 2010 - April 2012. Data is for management information purposes only and subject to change. Month
  • 29.
    NHS Greater Glasgow& Clyde Management of Inpatient Flow Use of Lean methodology • Three teams configured to work at Western Infirmary; Royal Alexandra Hospital; Victoria Infirmary to : – Improve discharge process with increased number of beds available before midday – Improve flow through ED/wards by addressing relationship issues between Medicine and DME
  • 30.
    NHS Lothian • Implementationof Real Time Demand and Capacity Management (Resar, et al, 2011) • Estimate of 10-15% in day capacity gains through implementing this methodology • Project/Improvement Manager in place, estimate 6 months for implementation, further 6 for sustainability • Focus on „Discharge Huddles‟ and change in bed meeting process – accuracy of predictions – key issues to „unblock‟
  • 31.
    What the Worldof Improvement Science says….
  • 32.
    Strategies for ManagingPatient Flow S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak • Key principles: – System-wide not silos – Science-based, data-driven – Right structure before improving micro-processes – Compliance review and enforcement • Operations Management – Critical path – minimise delays – Queuing theory – mismatch between demand and resources – Simulation
  • 33.
    Natural Variability Artificial Variability • Random • Non-random • Predictable • Non-predictable (driven • Can not be eliminated (or by unknown individual even reduced) priorities) • Must be optimally • Should not be managed managed, must be identified and eliminated
  • 34.
    A. N. OtherHospital • Overcrowded • Safety? • Experience? • Waits/Boarding
  • 35.
    The Natural Variation The Artificial Variation Hospital Hospital – Emergencies only – Electives only – Queuing theory to decide size – Smooth all admissions and and staffing discharges – Run at 80% capacity – Run at 95% capacity
  • 36.
    Strategies for ManagingPatient Flow S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak • Artificial Variability – Inadvertence e.g. LoS in HDU awaiting bed – Provider scheduling – „dysfunctional scheduling of elective admissions‟ – Inappropriate management of flows emergency/elective predictions, complexity • Effects „Artificial variability cannot be predicted or managed but must be investigated and eliminated‟ – Compromised quality of care – Decreased patient satisfaction – Decreased staff satisfaction – Operational inefficiency/ high cost of care
  • 37.
    Strategies for ManagingPatient Flow S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak • Variability Methodology Peaks in scheduled admissions is artificial variability caused by dysfunctional scheduling of elective admissions – Identify variability – Classify as natural or artificial – Statistical test for randomness – Quantify – as deviation from ideal expected pattern – Eliminate/ significantly decrease – Manage natural variability by stratifying patients
  • 38.
    Strategies for ManagingPatient Flow S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak • Variability Methodology IHO – Eliminating variability where you can – Optimally managing it where you can‟t – Different types of variability in health care • Clinical variability – illness and response to treatment • Flow variability – when • Professional variability – time taken
  • 39.
    Strategies for ManagingPatient Flow S,G.Vaswani, M.C.Long, B.Prenney, E,Litvak Phases • Separate flows • Smooth elective and queuing theory to emergencies • Once optimised estimate resource for system
  • 40.
    20/20 A BalancedFlow Hospital • Flow = Quality • Separate Flows • Variation Smoothed • Real Time Queuing Theory • Whole System with Integrated Community Teams
  • 41.
    Intelligent Flow • Makingthe flows/processes visible/separating them • Measurement & balancing measures • Patient experience & co-design • Complex adaptive thinking – the whole system • Counter-intuitive - most variation is in elective care and is a supply not a demand problem • Generating the evidence base that poor flow is a patient safety, efficiency and experience issue • Sustainable improvement will require a focus on quality, workforce and governance
  • 42.
    NHS Scotland’s Focuson Flow Whole Hospital Acute Flow and Capacity Management
  • 43.
    Key Improvement Messages •Separate scheduled and unscheduled patient flows • Eliminate / minimise artificial variability wherever possible • Assign separate resources for scheduled and unscheduled patients • Resources for unscheduled patients should be based on clinically driven maximum acceptable waiting times – match capacity to the profile of demand • Resources for scheduled patients should be based on maximising patient throughput and minimising unnecessary waiting • Only after separation and matching capacity to demand examine fixed resources
  • 44.
    Next Steps -2012 • Acute Flow & Capacity Management workstream progresses improvement projects and maintains close links to unscheduled care groups. Overarching improvement context • Acute Flow & Capacity Management Programme Board receives proposals to test/implement a whole systems approach to flow and capacity planning – August 2012 • HSCMB, QAB and Efficiency Portfolio Board invited to agree proposals
  • 45.
    The Relationship between Flow, Quality and Cost
  • 46.
  • 47.
    Question: • If PatientFlow slows down: – do more patients die? – does cost go up?
  • 48.
    Agenda • Programme Structure •High level measures – What are we trying to improve? • Patient Flow – Emergency and Elective • The constraints • The policies that need changing • How to make changes happen
  • 49.
    Structure for anImprovement Programme DH, SHA, Monitor, Health Commission etc. Board Board GP GP Flow Emergency Planned care Clinical subspecialties Medicine Intermediate care Surgery Community hospitals Paediatrics A&E Long term care Functional Ambulance Departments Clinics Radiology Pathology Theatres Wards Pharmacy Therapies Transport HR IT Finance Estates Supplies Support functions Seattle Children‟s Hospital
  • 50.
    Board Report Comments?
  • 51.
    Weekly A&E performance& crude death rate April 2007 to Feb 2011 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 Dec 10 Foundation Weekly number Status Non elective deferred of A&E breaches death rate What happened In Sept 2009? Non elective deaths / non elective discharges inc deaths by Date of ADMISSION Comments?
  • 52.
    Foundation What Status happened in deferred September 2009? Weekly Flow Cost Quality Ap 07 to Ap – Jan 11 A&E breaches & Non elective deaths / discharges by date of admission Palliative Infection control Care > %15-64 years excluded admissions Adult Non elective Rami (Rate Adjusted Mortality Index) (excl paeds, obs & midwifery) compared to average for peer group Open new wards Recruit Total Pay costs Agenda for change (elective and non elective) Comments?
  • 53.
    What have welearned?
  • 54.
    What the Warwickand Sheffield teams learned • Plot the dots! – weekly data – reviewed monthly: Board • Monthly 2 hour meeting: – Executives, senior clinicians and Dpt. heads from across the health & social care system • Study, Adjust, Plan, Do – When did the statistically significant changes happen? – Why? » What did WE change?
  • 55.
    Understanding Flow DH, SHA, Monitor, Health Commission etc. Board Board Emergency GP GP Flow Planned care Clinical subspecialties Medicine Surgery Intermediate care Paediatrics Community hospitals A&E Long term care Functional Ambulance Departments Clinics Radiology Pathology Theatres Wards Pharmacy Therapies Transport HR IT Finance Estates Supplies Support functions
  • 56.
    High Level EmergencySystem Map Death Hospital Community Ambulance Hospitals Accident Assessment and Unit(s) Specialist Intermediate GP Emergency Ward Care (services delivered in the patient‟s home) Permanent place of residence
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59.
    Relationship between flowin, A&E performance and deaths and emergency admissions Comments?
  • 60.
    Closure of Foundation Community Hospital Status deferred Sept 2009 Weekly Flow Cost Quality Ap 07 to Ap – Jan 11 A&E breaches & Non elective deaths / discharges by date of admission Palliative Infection control Care > %15-64 years excluded admissions Adult Non elective Rami (Rate Adjusted Mortality Index) (excl paeds, obs & midwifery) compared to average for peer group Open new wards Recruit Total Pay costs Agenda for change (elective and non elective)
  • 61.
    High Level SystemMap Death Hospital Closed 40 Community beds Ambulance Hospitals Sept 2009 Accident Assessment and Unit(s) Specialist Intermediate GP Emergency Ward Care (services delivered in the patient‟s home) Permanent place of residence Continuing Health Care funding process changed Oct 2009
  • 62.
    Lesson for Boards: PoorA&E performance is due to poor flow OUT – Constraints are under our control
  • 63.
    Lesson for PerformanceManagement • Plot the dots! – Trend lines should be removed from Excel – Statistical Process Control • Reveals the voice of the process
  • 64.
    What did welearn? • Plot the weekly emergency admissions by age group: • 0 to 15 • 16 to 64 Correlates with the high level patient flows • 65 to 79 • 80 and plus • Plot Patients-in-Progress (work-in-progress): – very sensitive to changes in demand x LOS: • A&E performance (breaches) • Midnight bed occupancy – See later
  • 65.
    Emergency admissions 80years + Confirms that poor flow is NOT due to increased admissions of patients > 80 years
  • 66.
    High Level EmergencySystem Map Death Hospital Community Ambulance Hospitals Accident Assessment and Unit(s) Specialist Intermediate GP Emergency Ward Care (services delivered in the patient‟s home) Permanent place of residence (0 to15) 16 to 64 65 to 79 80 and plus years Warwick Sheffield: GSM
  • 67.
    GSM: How ManyBed Nights Do They Stay? Pareto of Bed Nights for Home to Home Patients 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Cum Freq 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 102 108 114 120 126 132 138 144 150 156 164 175 189 205 263 Bed Nights
  • 68.
    Day to day Admissions Discharge mismatch NEL Admission Discharge mismatch number of NEL patients admtted and dicharged 80 70 60 Total NEL admissions (NEL 50 40 + NEL other) 1. 30 Total NEL discharges (NEL 20 + NEL other) Reduce daily 10 0 variation in discharges 7 07 7 7 07 8 8 08 08 08 00 22 00 29 00 12 00 19 00 20 20 20 20 2 2 2 2 2 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ /1 /1 /1 /1 /1 /0 /0 /0 /0 01 15 05 26 date Elective Admission Discharge mismatch Nubmer of elective patients admitted and discharged 80 70 60 50 40 EL admissions 2. Smooth 30 EL discharges 20 Variation in 10 0 PLANNED 01/12/2007 08/12/2007 15/12/2007 22/12/2007 29/12/2007 05/01/2008 12/01/2008 19/01/2008 26/01/2008 Elective Admissions date
  • 69.
    In-day mismatch between Emergencyadmissions and Specialist capacity Time of Arrival into A&E Time of Departure out of A&E to Main Hospital 450 400 Patients admitted when capacity is not 350 300 250 200 150 available 100 50 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Assessment units are storage units to When is the Specialist Capacity available? hold the patients until the specialist capacity X junior is available the staff + following day Minimal Y Minimal capacity specialist capacity consultants? 00.00 06.00 12.00 18.00 23.59
  • 70.
    Assessment Process atApril 2009 Up to 24 4 hours. Up to 12 hours overnight hours post arrival at hospital Arrive History & Requests Perform tests Perform tests At Triage Nursing examination Test & Obs‟ & imaging & imaging A&E & initial imaging treatment Senior review Transfer to Assessment Unit Nursing History & Senior Review Obs examination Plan definitive treatment ? A&E Assessment Unit = value
  • 71.
    What do weneed to do instead? Pull patients forward into the working day: 450 Time of Arrival into A&E Time of Departure out of A&E to Main Hospital •Stop making them wait 3:59 minutes….. 400 •Stop duplication 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 The specialty capacity needs to be available: Right decisions On time 08:00 21:00 Every time Specialists available In full Seeing patients on wards Minimal Discharging patients capacity Admitting patients 00.00 06.00 12.00 18.00 23.59
  • 72.
    „Future‟ Assessment Process (Now current as at April 2012) 2 hours Transfer to Appropriate History & Senior specialist Arrive Plan Requests specialist area Nursing examination Perform tests Review At for Test & including home Obs‟ & initial & imaging Plan definitive A&E diagnosis imaging with PT/OT /SS treatment treatment home assessment at home 1 hour Safe ambulatory care process now possible
  • 73.
  • 74.
    All admissions fromA&E by hour Mondays May to Oct 08 8 7 Reduce daily 6 variation in discharges 5 Max Admission Min 4 Avg Av + 1 SD Av +2 SD 3 2 1 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Hour of arrival What is the rate of production required?
  • 75.
    Planning Capacity ofthe workforce Junior Doc Nurse X-ray Consultant doc Medical Emergencies Arrival Time 08:00 08:15 08:30 08:45 4 09:00 09:15 09:30 admissions 09:45 10:00 /hr. 10:15 10:30 10:45 11:00 11:15 11:30 11:45 12:00 12:15 12:30 12:45 All Emergencies Arrival Time 08:00 08:10 08:20 6 08:30 08:40 admissions 08:50 09:00 09:10 /hr. 09:20 09:30 09:40 09:50 10:00 10:10 10:20 10:30 10:40 10:50 11:00 11:10 11:20 11:30 11:40
  • 76.
    Improving Flow (frontend) • Pooled junior docs – A&E, MAU and specialty on call – Staggered start times on A&E/MAU = Increased availability from 08:00 to 10:00 • MAU consultants continuous flow • Speciality take every day: admissions • Heartbeat system for tracking patients • Wards – Consultant ward round every day: discharges
  • 77.
    Functional departments DH, SHA, Monitor, Health Commission etc. Board Board GP GP Flow Emergency Planned care Clinical subspecialties Medicine Intermediate care Surgery Community hospitals Paediatrics A&E Long term care Functional Ambulance Departments Clinics Radiology Pathology Theatres Wards Pharmacy Therapies Transport HR IT Finance Estates Supplies Support functions
  • 78.
    Do this hour‟swork this hour: • Emergency Blood turnaround: – Bottleneck for emergency samples = centrifuges Change: • Now a centrifuge starts every 3 minutes whether full or not • IP blood monitoring on wards – Bottleneck: Phlebotomists & transport to lab Change: • Porters running between phleb‟s and lab • Steady flow of samples into lab • all results back by 10:30 a.m. for ward rounds
  • 79.
    1 year later •Warwick • Focus on: – A&E, – Assessment units and wards – Diagnostics – Ward rounds – TTOs
  • 80.
    Foundation Close Status Community Dec 2010: flow improvements start deferred Hsp Sept 09 Increased % 16 to 64 years Flow doesn‟t recover from Sept 2009 bed + staff closures Infection control Palliative Care excluded Reduction in death rate Nobody addressed the CHC admin delays Acquire causing the Community long LOS services Open new wards Organisation Recruit Agenda for change change disrupted the Admin flow even more Comments?
  • 81.
    1 Year later •Sheffield Geriatric and stroke medicine – Focus on reducing the admin constraints (policies) – Check List and CHC assessment process • 42 page document • 18 man hours of work • Min time (LOS) = 30 days+ – Home assessment at home on day of discharge • Referral to Social Services by physio to social services • SS package in place within 48 hours (Upper process limit) – Home of choice: • out to residential home, CHC afterwards
  • 82.
  • 83.
    Lessons for executivesupport services DH, SHA, Monitor, Health Commission etc.. Board Board Emergency GP GP Flow Planned care Clinical subspecialties Medicine Surgery Intermediate care Paediatrics Community hospitals A&E Long term care Functional Ambulance Departments Clinics Radiology Pathology Theatres Wards Pharmacy Therapies Transport HR IT Finance Estates Supplies Support functions
  • 84.
    Lessons for executivesupport services • HR: – Systems thinking and improvement science for A4C 8 & above – Match staff capacity to patient demand: 7/7, 365 – Heads of functions = responsibility for end-to-end process Focus is on Flow, WIP incurred accountable to the Dpt. concerned. • IT – Information in real time – Time series data • Estates: – Reduce transport and motion – Co-location of process resources • Supplies – Just-in-time
  • 85.
  • 86.
    Pareto analysis ofthe pay costs in one Trust for one month by employee. 50% of cost Role of senior managers is to improve process flow 20% of staff through the most expensive value adding staff =clinicians
  • 87.
    Change the FinanceParadigm Economies of Scale Economies of Flow Capacity Nu,ber of Patients Patients/hr treated successfully Land lives „saved‟ Demand Patients /hr Activity £5 £2 x PbR £1 /hr /hr £1 income Dpt 1 Dpt 2 Dpt 3 Dpt 4 Dpt 5 Dpt 6 /hr £2 £1 /hr /hr /hr Dpt 1 Dpt 2 Dpt 3 Dpt 4 Dpt 5 Dpt 6 Department Cost Activity = waste = unit cost constraint So focus is on improving value delivered and income Drives Dpt manager to This depends on moving resources to support the constraint do more activity at less cost The constraint should be the most expensive resource Acquires „new business‟ in the process = in Dpt 2. But what happens to flow? How can we optimise productivity through the most expensive resource?
  • 88.
    Finance • John Darlington‟spaper • http://www.leanuk.org/downloads/LS_2010/paper_lean_b usiness_case.pdf
  • 89.
    How to makechanges happen
  • 90.
    Get Everyone onBoard Patient‟s experience of waste Discussion History Full Endoscopy Discharge Nil by Rest & Check Cross with cardiac Examination blood & Transfuse With Plan mouth dehydrate FBC match centre Assessment Count Breath test 8 hours And Rx 4 hours for 20 5 minutes 40 mins Re stent 30 minutes 5 minutes 30 minutes 15 minutes hours 15 minutes Value adding 34 hours = 18% of time value adding Non Value adding 8 days x 24 hours 82% of time and resource wasted Poor quality experience and outcome From a Poor Quality System
  • 91.
    The Doctors canlead the change….. • Very complex system: – Like a human body! • Understand – Anatomy – Physiology (flows) – Plot the dots: BP, temp, pulse, resp‟s …. – Diagnosis – Treatment (releave the constraints) – Look for changes in the pattern of variation (SPC)
  • 92.
    Get the Managerson Board • Top Down Command and Control is impossible: – Not possible for one person to understand whole end- to-end process or System. • Facilitate Big Room Meetings – Get the everyone in a room – Listening to each other – Conversations based on facts: – Study, Adjust, Plan, Do, – Monthly and Weekly reviews
  • 93.
  • 94.
    Summary • Quality isa System property • Track patient flow (WIP), death rate and cost over time. – Increasing cost doesn‟t always improve flow – Reducing cost can have grave consequences • Improve processes to reduce delays and inventory (WIP) – Match staff capacity to patient demand – Do this hour‟s work this hour • Shift from: – Unit Costing: Dpt cost/activity – to Flow Accounting: throughput at constraint/total process cost – The constraints are policies or availability of staff, not beds.
  • 95.
    What have welearned ? • Nuggets • Niggles • Nice-if • NoNos

Editor's Notes

  • #70 Using our data to understand our flow, we were able to highlight the impact of our current system on the timeliness of patient care delivery.