Application of the SPHY model for the Ganga basin and
integration in WFlow / Delft-FEWS
Arthur Lutz
Delft, 24 October 2017
> Research and consultancy for a sustainable future of our water resources
> Offices: Wageningen (Netherlands), Cartagena (Spain): 12 staff members
> Partners/Clients: World Bank, Asian Development Bank, Governments, River Basin
Organizations, Research Entities
> Geographical focus: Europe, Asia, Africa
> Outputs: technical reports, policy reports, scientific publications, training, datasets,
models, operational services
About FutureWater
Expertise
www.futurewater.eu: all projects, reports, papers
Spatial Processes in Hydrology (SPHY) model
> High-resolution raster based fully
distributed cryospheric-hydrological model
> Includes all major hydrological and
cryospheric processes
> Developed by FutureWater, available in
public domain
─ www.sphy-model.org, GitHub:
(github.com/FutureWater/SPHY)
─ Documentation, software, tutorials
> PCRaster/Python framework
> Graphical User Interface for open source
QGIS
> Full details and documentation:
> www.sphy-model.org
> Open access journal paper:
Spatial Processes in Hydrology (SPHY) model
> Strategic planning, operational services
> Applications worldwide
─ Asia, Africa, but also in The Netherlands
> Two quick examples
─ Climate Change impacts for high-mountain hydrology
 IDRC: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience (HI-AWARE) Research
 ICIMOD: Himalayan Climate Change Adaptation Programme (HICAP)
 ADB: Water and Adaptation in Central Asia
─ Soil moisture monitoring/forecasting
 Province of Brabant, Waterboards, Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the
Environment (RIVM), GD Animal Health
SPHY applications
Climate change impact: RCP8.5 2050
Lutz et al., 2014, Nature Climate Change
ICIMOD, GRID-Arendal, CICERO, 2015
Soil moisture
Strategic Basin Planning Ganga River Basin
> Analytical Work and Technical Assistance to support Strategic Basin Planning
for Ganga River Basin in India
> Client: Central Water Commission / World Bank
> Consortium: Deltares, AECOM, FutureWater
> Objectives:
─ Strengthen the capability of central and state government agencies to
undertake strategic basin planning
─ develop plausible scenarios that improve the health of the river and
maintain an acceptable level of economic productivity
─ accessible information and knowledge base to facilitate dialogue around
and management of the Ganga River basin
─ multi-stakeholder engagement to support strategic basin planning
The project
> How:
─ Developing a detailed and robust water resources planning model for the entire
Ganga basin in India and training central and state government engineers and
planners in its use
─ Characterizing and analysing surface-groundwater interactions
─ A multi-scale environmental flow assessment
─ Developing, modelling and disseminating a series of plausible scenarios that
explore alternative options for improving water management including improving
river health
─ Establishing and facilitating a multi-stakeholder consultation process (inside and
outside of government) to guide and share the work above
─ Ensuring wide access to the models and analyses and quality documentation of
these
The project
SPHY setup
SPHY setup
> 1 x 1 km spatial resolution
> Daily time step
> 1958-2014
> Elevation: HydroSheds
> Soil: HiHydroSoil
> Glaciers: Randolph Glacier
Inventory
> Land use: Globcover
Meteorological forcing
> 1958-1978: EU-WATCH
> 1979-2014: WATCH Forcing ERA-Interim (WFDEI)
> IMD Precipitation data similar to WFDEI, Temperature
data large biases
WFDEI APHRODITE WATCH ERA-INTERIM
Upper Ganga 1482 995 1409 1704
Lower Ganga 1130 964 1113 1106
Calibration/validation to observed discharge
Model calibration and validation to observed discharge:
─ 2 locations in India (CWC)
─ 2 locations in the Koshi basin, Nepal (DHM)
Calibration
Validation
Calibration/Validation to observed discharge
Model calibration and validation to observed discharge:
─ 2 locations in India (CWC)
─ 2 locations in the Koshi basin, Nepal (DHM)
Location Cali/Vali Period NSE R2 Pbias
Nepal C 1998-2007 0.92 0.94 2.7%
Nepal V 1998-2007 0.87 0.89 9.2%
India C 1986-2010 0.83 0.84 -6.1%
India V 1986-2010 0.85 0.87 -12.5%
Calibration/Validation to observed discharge
> In general good performance for
mountainous basin
─ In some locations difficulties in
simulating peaks or low flows
─ Interannual variation difficult
Outputs
Outputs
Outputs
Thanks!

DSD-INT 2017 Application of the SPHY model for the Ganga basin and integration in WFlow / Delft-FEWS - Lutz

  • 1.
    Application of theSPHY model for the Ganga basin and integration in WFlow / Delft-FEWS Arthur Lutz Delft, 24 October 2017
  • 2.
    > Research andconsultancy for a sustainable future of our water resources > Offices: Wageningen (Netherlands), Cartagena (Spain): 12 staff members > Partners/Clients: World Bank, Asian Development Bank, Governments, River Basin Organizations, Research Entities > Geographical focus: Europe, Asia, Africa > Outputs: technical reports, policy reports, scientific publications, training, datasets, models, operational services About FutureWater
  • 3.
  • 4.
    Spatial Processes inHydrology (SPHY) model > High-resolution raster based fully distributed cryospheric-hydrological model > Includes all major hydrological and cryospheric processes > Developed by FutureWater, available in public domain ─ www.sphy-model.org, GitHub: (github.com/FutureWater/SPHY) ─ Documentation, software, tutorials > PCRaster/Python framework > Graphical User Interface for open source QGIS
  • 5.
    > Full detailsand documentation: > www.sphy-model.org > Open access journal paper: Spatial Processes in Hydrology (SPHY) model
  • 6.
    > Strategic planning,operational services > Applications worldwide ─ Asia, Africa, but also in The Netherlands > Two quick examples ─ Climate Change impacts for high-mountain hydrology  IDRC: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience (HI-AWARE) Research  ICIMOD: Himalayan Climate Change Adaptation Programme (HICAP)  ADB: Water and Adaptation in Central Asia ─ Soil moisture monitoring/forecasting  Province of Brabant, Waterboards, Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), GD Animal Health SPHY applications
  • 7.
    Climate change impact:RCP8.5 2050 Lutz et al., 2014, Nature Climate Change
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
    Strategic Basin PlanningGanga River Basin
  • 11.
    > Analytical Workand Technical Assistance to support Strategic Basin Planning for Ganga River Basin in India > Client: Central Water Commission / World Bank > Consortium: Deltares, AECOM, FutureWater > Objectives: ─ Strengthen the capability of central and state government agencies to undertake strategic basin planning ─ develop plausible scenarios that improve the health of the river and maintain an acceptable level of economic productivity ─ accessible information and knowledge base to facilitate dialogue around and management of the Ganga River basin ─ multi-stakeholder engagement to support strategic basin planning The project
  • 12.
    > How: ─ Developinga detailed and robust water resources planning model for the entire Ganga basin in India and training central and state government engineers and planners in its use ─ Characterizing and analysing surface-groundwater interactions ─ A multi-scale environmental flow assessment ─ Developing, modelling and disseminating a series of plausible scenarios that explore alternative options for improving water management including improving river health ─ Establishing and facilitating a multi-stakeholder consultation process (inside and outside of government) to guide and share the work above ─ Ensuring wide access to the models and analyses and quality documentation of these The project
  • 16.
  • 17.
    SPHY setup > 1x 1 km spatial resolution > Daily time step > 1958-2014 > Elevation: HydroSheds > Soil: HiHydroSoil > Glaciers: Randolph Glacier Inventory > Land use: Globcover
  • 18.
    Meteorological forcing > 1958-1978:EU-WATCH > 1979-2014: WATCH Forcing ERA-Interim (WFDEI) > IMD Precipitation data similar to WFDEI, Temperature data large biases WFDEI APHRODITE WATCH ERA-INTERIM Upper Ganga 1482 995 1409 1704 Lower Ganga 1130 964 1113 1106
  • 19.
    Calibration/validation to observeddischarge Model calibration and validation to observed discharge: ─ 2 locations in India (CWC) ─ 2 locations in the Koshi basin, Nepal (DHM) Calibration Validation
  • 20.
    Calibration/Validation to observeddischarge Model calibration and validation to observed discharge: ─ 2 locations in India (CWC) ─ 2 locations in the Koshi basin, Nepal (DHM) Location Cali/Vali Period NSE R2 Pbias Nepal C 1998-2007 0.92 0.94 2.7% Nepal V 1998-2007 0.87 0.89 9.2% India C 1986-2010 0.83 0.84 -6.1% India V 1986-2010 0.85 0.87 -12.5%
  • 21.
    Calibration/Validation to observeddischarge > In general good performance for mountainous basin ─ In some locations difficulties in simulating peaks or low flows ─ Interannual variation difficult
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 29.