2
ECONOMIC GROWTH &
ECONOMICDEVELOPMENT
Economic growth is the increase in the market value of the goods
and services produced by an economy over time. It is conventionally
measured as the percent rate of increase in real
gross domestic product, or real GDP
Economic development is the sustained, concerted actions of policy
makers and communities that promote the standard of living and
economic health of a specific area. Economic development can also
be referred to as the quantitative and qualitative changes in the
economy. Such actions can involve multiple areas including
development of human capital, critical infrastructure, regional
competitiveness, environmental sustainability, social inclusion,
health, safety, literacy, and other initiatives.
3.
3
THE DETERMINANTS OFECONOMIC
DEVELOPMENT
Different countries have dramatically different levels of economic
development.
GNI (Gross National Income) is regarded as the yardstick for measuring the
economic development of a country as it measures the total annual income
received by the residents of a nation.
However, living cost needs to be considered along with GNI. E.g. GNI per
capita of USA is $46,040 and Switzerland is $59,880 (2007) but the living
cost of USA is low. So the residents of USA can afford better living standard
than Switzerland.
GNI per capita does not measure whether the economy is growing. To
measure that, we need to consider PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) and its
growth rate.
PPP asks how much money would be needed to purchase the same goods
and services in two countries.
5
BROADER CONCEPTIONS OF
DEVELOPMENT:AMARTYA SEN
Development should be assessed less by material output measures
such as GNI per capita and more by the capabilities and opportunities
that people enjoy.
Development means ensuring real freedom of people through:
Removing impediments to freedom
Removing poverty, as well as, tyranny
Removing social deprivation
Ensuring public facilities for all
I.E. Basic education for women, basic healthcare for children.
o Development is not only economic freedom but also political
freedom. To succeed in this countries need ‘democratization’.
6.
6
BROADER CONCEPTIONS OF
DEVELOPMENT:AMARTYA SEN
Human Development Index (HDI) was developed to measure the
quality of life in different nations. It calculates three factors:
1. Life expectancy at birth (function of health care)
2. Educational attainment (combination of adult literacy rate and
enrollment in primary, secondary and tertiary education)
3. Whether average incomes enable people to afford basic needs of life
(adequate food, shelter, health care)
High HDI: 0.8 and above (up to 1)
Medium HDI: 0.5 to 0.8
Low HDI: less than 0.5 (the quality of life is poor)
In 2014, HDI Rank for was 0.570. It was 0.433 in 2000.
7.
7
LIFE EXPECTANCY RATES
RankCountry Overall Rate
1 Japan 84.6
3 Singapore 84
36 United States 79.8
50 Maldives 77.2
127 Bangladesh 70
137 Myanmar 68
150 India 65
182 Nigeria 53
193 Sierra Leone 38
List By World Health Organization 2012
As of 2014, the country with the highest life expectancy is Monaco at 89.57
years; the country with the lowest life expectancy is Chad at just 49.44 years.
8.
8
FACTS ABOUT LITERACY
RATES
According to the CIA World Factbook, almost 75% of the world's 775
million illiterate adults are concentrated in ten countries (in descending
order: India, China, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Egypt,
Brazil, Indonesia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo).
Women represent two-thirds of all illiterate adults globally. Extremely
low literacy rates are focused in three regions: South Asia, West Asia
and Sub-Saharan Africa.
Literacy rate of Bangladesh is 57.7%; India is 74.4%; Germany, France,
USA, UK and Japan is 99%; Ghana is 71.5%; UAE is 77.9%; South Sudan
is 27%; Haiti is 52.9%, etc. (2013 data).
9.
9
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX
RANK
(2013)
COUNTRYHDI
1 Norway 0.944
2 Australia 0.933
5 United States 0.914
110 Egypt 0.682
6 Germany 0.911
155 Madagascar 0.498
14 United Kingdom 0.892
146 Pakistan 0.537
49 Argentina 0.808
79 Brazil 0.744
183 Sierra Leone 0.374
Source: UNDP
11
INFANT MORTALITY RATE&
MATERNAL MORTALITY RATE
HDI is a powerful predictor of both infant and maternal
mortality rates.
Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) is the number of deaths of infants
under one year old per 1,000 live births. The infant mortality
rate of the world is 49.4 according to the United Nations and
42.09 according to the CIA World Factbook.
Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) is the annual number of
female deaths per 100,000 live births from any cause related to
or aggravated by pregnancy or its management (excluding
accidental or incidental causes).
13
POLITICAL ECONOMY AND
ECONOMICPROGRESS
i) Innovation and entrepreneurship are the engines of growth:
Innovation and entrepreneurship activity ensure long term
economic growth. The economic growth of USA is the reflection
of innovative firms like Microsoft, Dell Computers.
ii) Innovation and entrepreneurship require a market economy
To ensure innovation and entrepreneurship, economic freedom is
necessary which can only be ensured through market economy.
In a market economy, any individual who has an innovative idea are
free to try to make money out of that idea through business.
In planned or mixed economy all or most sectors are state-owned.
So entrepreneurship spirit is often not appreciated.
14.
14
POLITICAL ECONOMY AND
ECONOMICPROGRESS
iii) Innovation and entrepreneurship require strong property rights:
To promote innovation and entrepreneurship providing property right
is necessary. Otherwise, business will be in risk that the profit may be
taken by criminal activity or by the state. State can take the money
through excessive tax or through corruption.
15.
15
THE REQUIRED POLITICALSYSTEM
Free market economy with strict protection for property rights is
required first. However, democracy is not always the key to
economic growth.
Totalitarian regimes that ensured strong property rights and free
market economy have observed economic growth.
Example: four fastest growing economies of past 30 years – South
Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong were under totalitarian
regime.
A dictator government committed towards free market and
development can also ensure economic growth.
16.
16
THE NATURE OFECONOMIC
TRANSFORMATION
To form a market-based economy number of steps needs to be
entailed:
Deregulation:
Deregulation involves removing legal restrictions to
1. Free play of markets (removing price controls and price set by
the demand and supply of markets)
2. Establishment of private enterprises
3. The manner in which private enterprises operate
4. Relaxing or removing restrictions on FDI by foreign enterprises
and international trade.
Example: India is a mixed economy and now going through gradual
deregulation.
17.
17
THE NATURE OFECONOMIC
TRANSFORMATION
Privatization:
It goes hand in hand with deregulation.
Privatization means transferring the ownership of state property into
hands of private individuals, frequently by sale of state assets through
auction.
Example: Since the establishment of the Privatization Board in 1993 and
thereafter the Privatization Commission in 2000, 74 state owned
enterprises (SOEs) have been privatized in Bangladesh.
SOEs privatized till date: Mymensingh Jute Mills Ltd., Madaripur Textile
Mills, Kohinoor Spinning Mills, Dhaka Vegetable Oil, Berger Paints
Bangladesh Ltd., Siemens Bangladesh Ltd., Sylhet Pulp and Paper Mills,
Ujala Match Factory Ltd., etc.
19
MANAGERIAL IMPLICATIONS
The attractivenessof a country as a market depends on long-term:
1. Benefits:
This include;
- The size of the market
- Present and future wealth of the consumers
E.g. in 1960 South Korea was viewed as just another improvised
Third World nation. By 2000 it was world’s 12th
largest economy
measured in terms of GDP.
Country’s economic system and property rights regime are
reasonably good predictors of economic prospects.
For example, countries with market economy in which property
rights are protected tend to achieve greater economic growth rates
than command economies and economies where property rights
are not well protected.
20.
20
MANAGERIAL IMPLICATIONS
2. Costs:
Costof doing business depends on a number of political, economic
and legal factors.
Political: Cost increases if
- Only politically powerful people are allowed to do business.
- Need to pay bribe
Economic: if the country is economically under developed, then
it lacks proper infrastructure and support for doing business.
Example: McDonalds in Moscow had to build up vertically integrated
backward supply chain as the quality of poultry and vegetables
produced in Russia was poor.
Legal: If the legal system of a country is strong, then cost of
doing business will be more.
21.
21
MANAGERIAL IMPLICATIONS
3. Risks
Political risk: political risk tends to be higher in countries experiencing social
unrest and disorder. Social unrest is usually expressed through strikes,
demonstrations, terrorism and violent conflict. All these hamper business
activities.
Economic risk: Economic mismanagement can adversely affect profit and
other goals of business (Inflation, Bankruptcy or business and government
debt). Example: South East Asian crisis ( Indonesia, Thailand, South Korea in
1997-1998); GREECE BAILOUT; BREXIT?
Legal risk: Legal risk means the likelihood that a trading partner will
opportunistically break a contract or expropriate property rights. Investors
may hesitate to invest in joint ventures if legal risk is high. Example: Coca-
Cola, IBM in India
22.
22
Benefits
- Size ofEconomy
- Economic Growth
Costs
Corruption
Lack of Infrastructure
Legal Costs
Risks
Political Risks: Social unrest/Anti-business trends
Economic Risks: Economic mismanagement
Legal Risks: Failure to safeguard property rights
Overall
Attractiveness
Editor's Notes
#2 GDP: It is the total dollar value of goods and services produced over a specific time period. It indicates about the health and size of the country’s economy.
Real: Real values are adjusted for inflation.
Critical infrastructure is a term used by governments to describe assets that are essential for the functioning of a society and economy. For e.g. electricity generation, gas, oil, telecommunication, water supply, transportation, security services, agriculture, heating, public services, financial services, etc.
The World Bank defines social inclusion as the process of improving the terms for individuals and groups to take part in society.
#5 Citizens should be able to voice out their opinion in important decision making process. There should be basic education for women, basic healthcare for children. If people are chronically ill or ignorant, than they will not be able to expand their capabilities and opportunities.
#6 Life expectancy is a statistical measure of how long a person may live, based on the year of their birth, their current age and other demographic factors including gender.
#11 This rate is often used as an indicator of the level of health in a country.
#12 This rate is often used as an indicator of the level of health in a country.
#13 It is often argued that a country’s economic development is a function of its political and economic systems. Then what is the relationship between political economy and economic progress?
#20 McDonalds needed to built their own poultry farm, cattle ranches, vegetable plot, food processing plant, etc.
#21 Financial crisis-South East Asian Crisis: Many businesses were increasing their debt rapidly. Even government was encouraging the businesses to invest in industries of ‘strategic importance’. It led to over investment with respect to more factories and offices being built that could not justify the demand condition. The businesses were not being able to make profit with over capacity and such investments became uneconomic. Banks realized that the businesses will not be able to meet their debt payment obligations. Many foreign investors pulled their money out of the country realizing that the local companies and the banks will go bankrupt.
In 1970s, Indian Government passed a law requiring all foreign investors to enter into joint ventures with Indian companies. Coca-Cola and IBM closed their investment as they felt that the Indian legal system did not provide adequate protection of their IPRs and Indian companies might seize their IP. IPR-core of competitive advantage for the American companies.