Fail Conference 2012: Patrick polak
Fail Conference

      Ghent, November 6th 2012


Failure is not about falling down,

 failure is about staying down




                                     2
Introduction

• Newion Investments Management has 3 Funds under
 Management:
  • Newion Investments I: Early stage IT software fund ( € 28
    mln, 2000, closed)
  • Private Plus Fund: generic fund (€ 20 mln, 2005, closed)
  • Newion Investments II: Early –Later stage IT software fund (€
    50 mln, 2011, open)
       • B2B, Enterprise Software
       • Benelux
       • Stages:
            • Early: Market validation by minimal 5 pilots/customers
            • Later: Expansion stage has just started
       • Investment rounds: min € 500.000 up to € 2.000.000
       • Total max € 4.000.000 per company
       • Controlled growth philosophy: fully funded rounds

                                                                          3
Team




   4
Under Management




               5
Personal obeservations

• These are personal observations


• In hindsight everything is easy


• No one can predict the future




                                                         6
Failures that hurt most

• Company A (RIP 2002)
   • Buy and Build strategy in Supply chain software
          • Focused on exit rather on building a company
                • IPO forecasted in 2001-2002
          • Large syndicate of large VC‟s/PE involved, plus Angels
                • Too many people involved…..
                • Successful but dominant CEO
          • Many acquisitions (paid in shares and cash)
                • Too fast
                • No Integration of product and organization and region
          • Too much money involved: “almost too big to fail”
                • If one PE would say no to next funding round: full dilution… so domino effect
• Lessons
   •   Ambition is great, but you have to build a company rather than go for the exit.
   •   Doing an acquisition requires strategy, careful planning, investigations and integration.
           • It is high risk!
           • Do not acquire the next company until the previous company is successfully
             integrated
   •   Make sure all your shareholders are aligned, and keep them aligned.
   •   A small team is way better and efficient.
   •   Listen to your gut feel!!! If it doesn‟t feel right, it is wrong
                                                                                                   7
Failures that hurt most

• Company B (RIP 2010)
   • Expansion Software for Defense industry (intelligence departments)
        • World class technology
        • Track record and references
        • Unbelievable committed and dedicated (complete!) team
        • Unpredictable market
               • One year good revenues, the next none.
               • Fully driven by budgets and politics

• Lessons
   • No matter how good and committed the CEO and team is, it is not
     always a guarantee for success
   • I did not have experience in this typical market
        • In defense industry you need to be very well funded to survive the long
            dry desserts. It‟s different compared to other software markets
        •   Shareholders to “bridge from gap to gap” is not the right way: after a
            while everybody is tired
   • Understand the situation and try to move away from a market while
     you still can
                                                                                     8
Almost a failure

• Company C (Successful exit in 2006)
    • Investment in September „01.
    • Goal: Buy and Build since they had 1 huge dominant customer
        • Autonomous growth was not high enough compared to the growth of
          this dominant customer: buy and integrate other companies to become
          less depended on this customer
    • Good technology, good management, excellent market
        • Long term contracts
    • 1 week after investment, large customer in financial
      difficulties: ending relationship with all their suppliers
    • Instead of investment for growth, re-organize
        • Laying off over 50% of all staff in two rounds (early 2002 and
          early 2003)
        • Lost many key people in second round
    • After re-focus: acquisition/merger with competitor
    • Rebuilding again in 2004-2006
    • Successful exit in 2006
                                                                                9
Almost a failure

• Lessons
   • Timing is everything
   • Never give up in fighting for the company
   • In a re-organization always cut deeper than you expect
        • Minimum of 20% more
        • Staff is intelligent: they understand and acknowledge the first reorganization. But
          at a second (or third) they do not support the management and talent looks
          elsewhere.
   • Keep your eyes open for survival and maybe that is by doing something hat
     hurts your ego: talk to a competitor

   • VC‟s have to stay close to the management of the startup
        • Many times young entrepreneurs
        • VC should have hands on experience

   • VC‟s must look for a solution for all stakeholders
        • Including founders, other shareholders, staff etc..




                                                                                            10
My personal cliché takeaways

• Understand your business through and through
   • Measure everything.
       • Find a balance between “if you think you are in control, you are not
              going fast enough” and “to finish first you first have to finish”.
            • Analyze everything and “sample size n=1 is no proof”! Don‟t fool
              yourself
   •   Be in daily contact with your customers: they tell their needs and wishes.
       And they are the believers in your startup. Use that.
   •   It is the CEO‟s job to test new offerings to existing customers, not a sales
       guy‟s
   •   Look for proof. Real proof…. Don‟t fool yourself
            • “sample size n=1”is no proof!
   •   Build a Minimal Viable Product! And test it with your customers. Do not build
       the “Full-Spec-Product-Suite-From-The Attic”: you will be too late.


• There is no such thing as 1+1=3
   • There is no magic, it is dedication, hard work and smart thinking.


                                                                                  11
My personal cliché takeaways

• “Failure is not about falling down, failure is about staying down”
    • Why have you ever started to become an entrepreneur?
    • Focus on the positive things, not on the negative.
    • And if things go wrong, explain and be professional: you‟ll have a second
        chance later
• It is not the exit, it is building a company
    • Take the best people in your team. Never compromise on this
         • Shareholders can ruin your company if they are not aligned, not share
             the same knowledge, philosophy, experience, etc.
    •   Do not expand too soon or too fast
           • Scale only if you can prove that your business model is predictable!!
• Always listen to your gut feeling.
    • Use your brain, listen to your heart
    • Do not be impressed by the seniors and specialists
    • If it doesn‟t feel right, it is wrong.
• Buy: Steve Blank’s “The startup owners manual”
• Prepare, Stay focused, Have Fun!
                                                                                     12
Do you have any questions ?




                              13
Thank you for your attention.

                                14
15

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Fail Conference 2012: Patrick polak

  • 2. Fail Conference Ghent, November 6th 2012 Failure is not about falling down, failure is about staying down 2
  • 3. Introduction • Newion Investments Management has 3 Funds under Management: • Newion Investments I: Early stage IT software fund ( € 28 mln, 2000, closed) • Private Plus Fund: generic fund (€ 20 mln, 2005, closed) • Newion Investments II: Early –Later stage IT software fund (€ 50 mln, 2011, open) • B2B, Enterprise Software • Benelux • Stages: • Early: Market validation by minimal 5 pilots/customers • Later: Expansion stage has just started • Investment rounds: min € 500.000 up to € 2.000.000 • Total max € 4.000.000 per company • Controlled growth philosophy: fully funded rounds 3
  • 4. Team 4
  • 6. Personal obeservations • These are personal observations • In hindsight everything is easy • No one can predict the future 6
  • 7. Failures that hurt most • Company A (RIP 2002) • Buy and Build strategy in Supply chain software • Focused on exit rather on building a company • IPO forecasted in 2001-2002 • Large syndicate of large VC‟s/PE involved, plus Angels • Too many people involved….. • Successful but dominant CEO • Many acquisitions (paid in shares and cash) • Too fast • No Integration of product and organization and region • Too much money involved: “almost too big to fail” • If one PE would say no to next funding round: full dilution… so domino effect • Lessons • Ambition is great, but you have to build a company rather than go for the exit. • Doing an acquisition requires strategy, careful planning, investigations and integration. • It is high risk! • Do not acquire the next company until the previous company is successfully integrated • Make sure all your shareholders are aligned, and keep them aligned. • A small team is way better and efficient. • Listen to your gut feel!!! If it doesn‟t feel right, it is wrong 7
  • 8. Failures that hurt most • Company B (RIP 2010) • Expansion Software for Defense industry (intelligence departments) • World class technology • Track record and references • Unbelievable committed and dedicated (complete!) team • Unpredictable market • One year good revenues, the next none. • Fully driven by budgets and politics • Lessons • No matter how good and committed the CEO and team is, it is not always a guarantee for success • I did not have experience in this typical market • In defense industry you need to be very well funded to survive the long dry desserts. It‟s different compared to other software markets • Shareholders to “bridge from gap to gap” is not the right way: after a while everybody is tired • Understand the situation and try to move away from a market while you still can 8
  • 9. Almost a failure • Company C (Successful exit in 2006) • Investment in September „01. • Goal: Buy and Build since they had 1 huge dominant customer • Autonomous growth was not high enough compared to the growth of this dominant customer: buy and integrate other companies to become less depended on this customer • Good technology, good management, excellent market • Long term contracts • 1 week after investment, large customer in financial difficulties: ending relationship with all their suppliers • Instead of investment for growth, re-organize • Laying off over 50% of all staff in two rounds (early 2002 and early 2003) • Lost many key people in second round • After re-focus: acquisition/merger with competitor • Rebuilding again in 2004-2006 • Successful exit in 2006 9
  • 10. Almost a failure • Lessons • Timing is everything • Never give up in fighting for the company • In a re-organization always cut deeper than you expect • Minimum of 20% more • Staff is intelligent: they understand and acknowledge the first reorganization. But at a second (or third) they do not support the management and talent looks elsewhere. • Keep your eyes open for survival and maybe that is by doing something hat hurts your ego: talk to a competitor • VC‟s have to stay close to the management of the startup • Many times young entrepreneurs • VC should have hands on experience • VC‟s must look for a solution for all stakeholders • Including founders, other shareholders, staff etc.. 10
  • 11. My personal cliché takeaways • Understand your business through and through • Measure everything. • Find a balance between “if you think you are in control, you are not going fast enough” and “to finish first you first have to finish”. • Analyze everything and “sample size n=1 is no proof”! Don‟t fool yourself • Be in daily contact with your customers: they tell their needs and wishes. And they are the believers in your startup. Use that. • It is the CEO‟s job to test new offerings to existing customers, not a sales guy‟s • Look for proof. Real proof…. Don‟t fool yourself • “sample size n=1”is no proof! • Build a Minimal Viable Product! And test it with your customers. Do not build the “Full-Spec-Product-Suite-From-The Attic”: you will be too late. • There is no such thing as 1+1=3 • There is no magic, it is dedication, hard work and smart thinking. 11
  • 12. My personal cliché takeaways • “Failure is not about falling down, failure is about staying down” • Why have you ever started to become an entrepreneur? • Focus on the positive things, not on the negative. • And if things go wrong, explain and be professional: you‟ll have a second chance later • It is not the exit, it is building a company • Take the best people in your team. Never compromise on this • Shareholders can ruin your company if they are not aligned, not share the same knowledge, philosophy, experience, etc. • Do not expand too soon or too fast • Scale only if you can prove that your business model is predictable!! • Always listen to your gut feeling. • Use your brain, listen to your heart • Do not be impressed by the seniors and specialists • If it doesn‟t feel right, it is wrong. • Buy: Steve Blank’s “The startup owners manual” • Prepare, Stay focused, Have Fun! 12
  • 13. Do you have any questions ? 13
  • 14. Thank you for your attention. 14
  • 15. 15