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Transparency International Cambodia will use Sample Based Observation (SBO) to monitor Cambodia's 2017 commune council elections. SBO involves observing voting and counting at a representative sample of around 400 polling stations, rather than all 22,500 stations. This statistical approach provides a precise assessment of the process across Cambodia. SBO has been used effectively in many other countries to deter manipulation and increase confidence in elections.
FAQ-Eng
- 1. Appendix 5: SBO Frequently Asked Questions Sample Based Observation 2017 Commune Council Elections Frequently Asked Questions 1. Who is Transparency International Cambodia? Transparency International Cambodia (TI-C) is an official Chapter of Transparency International with a mission to work together with individuals and institutions at all levels to promote integrity and reduce corruption in Cambodia. TI-C will observe the elections to increase transparency and accountability during the election process and to deter and report irregularities and political corruption on the Election Day. The election observations will be conducted according to the strict the principles of impartiality and accuracy. TI- C is a member of the Global Network of Domestic Election Monitors and an endorser of the UN-supported Declaration of Global Principles for Nonpartisan Election Monitoring. 2. What is election observation? The job of administering an election is not easy, and often mistakes are made. Each election process will have strengths and weaknesses. Election observation is a process of watching, recording and assessing elections by witnessing the process by local observers or organizations. An observer watches the process in order to determine whether it is held in accordance with the law and procedure. 3. What is Sample Based Observation? TI Cambodia will be conducting a special form of observation called Sample-Based Observation (SBO). SBO is election observation that uses a statistical approach. Instead of observing in every one of the more than 22,500 polling stations in Cambodia, election observers will observe the whole process of voting and counting but only in a representative sample. This means instead of observers concentrated in one place or another, observers are distributed proportional to the number of polling stations across the country. This sample methodology works just like a malaria test: the doctor only takes a little blood – not the whole blood – to know if a patient has malaria. SBO is known as one of the most effective methods for evaluation of elections. Sample-Based Observation enables the election observation organization to describe the quality of the Election Day process more accurately. SBO data is gathered by local observers through direct observation of the voting and counting processes in the polling station. 4. How is SBO different from traditional election observation? Traditional observation involves recruiting, training, and deploying accredited non-partisan observers to keep watch over voting and counting processes at selected polling stations on Election Day.
- 2. Similarly, SBO observation involves recruiting, training, and deploying accredited non-partisan observers to keep watch over voting and counting processes at polling stations on Election Day. However, SBO departs from traditional observation due to two main factors: x The way in which the observed polling stations are selected x The way in which the data on the voting process is transmitted by observers 5. What is the goal of TI Cambodia’s SBO Observation? TI Cambodia is utilizing SBO methodology to observe Cambodia’s 2017 elections in order to promote free, fair, peaceful, credible and legitimate elections for all Cambodians. By providing timely, precise and representative information on the conduct of voting and counting, SBO can help deter possible manipulation and enhance the confidence of the public and political contestants in the process. 6. What are the benefits of SBO? SBO can serve to: deter possible manipulation or mistakes at the polling station; and enhance transparency in the process by providing more timely, precise and representative information on the conduct of voting and counting. 7. What is the SBO sample size? The sample includes approximately 400 polling stations located across all of Cambodia. These are sampled polling stations in every province of the country. 8. What is a representative sample? A representative sample is a statistically significant sample of something you are trying to measure, whether it’s a country’s level of unemployment or, in this case, the quality of the voting and counting process. Representative samples form the basis of the science of statistics. They are relied on by Governments and corporations every day to measure things. When Governments measure things like unemployment, they don’t find every person who is unemployed before they announce an unemployment rate. Rather they get take samples of unemployment in all areas of a country and from those they calculate the actual level of unemployment in the country. To be representative, the sample must be designed according to statistical principles – that means using appropriate statistical methodology to measure voters behavior. 9. Has the National Election Commission approved TI Cambodia’s use of the SBO methodology? The Electoral Commission is aware that TI Cambodia will be conducting SBO in 2017. 10. What’s the difference between this and other surveys? This is not a survey. Public Surveys rely on people’s opinions on the quality of the election or of how they would vote. SBO relies on facts, like the conduct and events in the polling station and the official results of voting. 11. Does a SBO involve observers counting ballots?
- 3. No, TI Cambodia observers do not count the ballots. Only the election officials count ballots. TI Cambodia observers observe the voting and counting process and then record the official vote count as announced by the polling station officials. 12. How confident is TI CAMBODIA in the findings of the SBO methodology? Statistics are a powerful and proven tool to draw accurate conclusions about a larger population based on a random sample of observations. All statistics have a margin of error. This is because statistics are only able to estimate the true result. The margin of error is based on the sample size, but is independent of the percentage of polling stations sampled. The final margin of error for the SBO will only be known when the information is collected from polling stations, but it will be within statistically accepted standards and will likely be between one and two percent. The confidence level applied to SBO is at least 95 percent, and this is very high and is accepted by statisticians around the world. 13. Why should journalists report this? We believe the public has the right to know the quality of the election. We also believe it’s the job of journalists to provide important and accurate information as soon as it becomes available. The SBO is not perfect, but it is extremely reliable and very accurate. Remember, no system of voting and counting votes is perfect. Some votes are always lost, weather and other factors can disrupt the polls in some places. A SBO is best way of getting the picture of what happened across the country. 14. Where else has the SBO methodology been used? Domestic observer groups around the world routinely use the SBO methodology to promote electoral integrity. SBO was first used by Citizens Movement for Free Elections (NAMFREL) in the Philippines in 1986. It has since been employed to varying degrees by observer groups in numerous countries, including: Bulgaria, Cambodia, Chile, Croatia, Guyana, Indonesia, Nigeria, Madagascar, Malawi, Montenegro, Nicaragua, Panama, Peru, Sierra Leone, Uganda, Ukraine, Zambia, Zimbabwe, and the recent presidential election in Kenya.