The Land and Water Connection
The Pocono Kittatinny Cluster
• Conservation Cluster
• Goal: Maintain Water Quality
• Target: Big Woods, Clean
Streams, Undisturbed
Wetlands
Focus Areas
selected per
results of
NLT, TNC, NF
WF, USFS
.

Goal
Target those Ecologically Significant Lands that are
most important to the maintenance of Healthy Waters
Ecologically Significant Lands
“Headwaters, Wetlands, Floodplains”
Healthy Waters
“Fishable, Swimmable, Drinkable”
How do we identify those
ecologically significant lands that
provide the most benefit to
maintaining water quality?
What have others looked at:
USFS Forests
to Faucets

Conservation
Priority Index

Ability to Produce
Clean Water (Forest,
Ag, Rip For Cover, Rd
Density, Soil
Erodibility, Housing
Density)

Land Use

Importance for
Drinking Water
Supply

Distance to Streams
and Wetlands

Dependence on
Private Forestlands

Soils (depth &
permeability)
Slope

Threat of forest
conversion or poor
management

Projections of Future
Housing Density

Natural
Infrastructure:
Investing in
Forested
Landscapes for
Source Water
Protection
World Resources
Institute, 2013

From the Forest to
the Faucet:
Identifying the
Connections of
Forests, Water and
People
Rebecca Whitney
U.S. Forest Service
Northeastern Area
S&PF, 2007
Pocono Kittatinny Cluster Draft
Metrics
Size
Forest (habitat) Condition
Land Cover
Percent Impervious Cover (parcel and floodplain)

Feet/Miles of Riverfront
Wetland and Floodplain Abundance
Development Potential (modeled Impervious Cover)
Ecological Significance
Other Metrics for Consideration
Finding the Balance
Resiliency
Groundwater
Soils
Slopes
Relating to Water Uses (wellhead protection
areas, proximity to surface water intakes, etc.)
Other Methods --Models
Watershed Modeling
Soil and Water Assessment (SWAT)
Generalized Watershed Loading Function
Hydrological Simulation Program – Fortran (HSPF)
Combining with Economic Modeling
Resource Investment Optimization System (RIOS)
Resources for the Future
Requirements: Expertise, Extensive Data, Calibration
(Capacity and Time)
State of the Science
 We don’t know the exact connection between land
protection and water quality…..
(how much, where, what configuration)

 We acknowledge the uncertainty

“We are now looking to set priorities using the
best available knowledge and data”
Peter Howell
Discussion
Methods
Evaluate the Landscape’s Ability
to Maintain Water Quality
•Percent Impervious Cover
•Terrestrial & Aquatic Habitat Condition
•Wetland, Riparian, & Floodplain Density

Evaluate Project
Constraints and
Opportunities
•Percent Match Available
•Total Capital Needed & Cost/Acre
•Probability of Protection in 3-yrs

Identify Significant
Headwaters and
Floodplains
•Ensure Conservation Benefits
Accrue to Meaningful Level
•Compare to other Studies
Resilience: Definition
The capacity for renewal in a dynamic environment
- Gunderson 2000
The ability of a social or ecological system to absorb
disturbances while retaining
Network Complexity the same basic structure
and ways of functioning
– Number of size classes
- IPCC 2007
Physical Diversity
– Length of connected linear miles
– Diversity of Temperatures
– Diversity of Gradients

Ecological Condition
– Lateral connectivity – naturalness of
floodplain
– Unimpeded flow
– Pervious /permeable watersheds
© Anderson and Olivero, The Nature Conservancy
Limitations
Certain datasets are limited and/or inconsistent across state lines
Knowledge is limited and inconsistent in defining ecologically
significant thresholds in most measured variables
Single indices do not address synergy of different threats

Multi-variable indices can begin to estimate the synergy of
different threats, but assigning weights and how variables
interact is very difficult given current knowledge
GIS has enabled us to use and present so many different data
layers that sometimes there’s a piling on in priority setting
exercises - particularly when you’re trying to represent multiple
perspectives and interests, or aren’t sure of what you’re doing that obscures what’s most important.
Summary

Variability among the Cluster may be a limiting factor,
so resulting ranks may be somewhat flat- Are we
splitting hairs ?

The Land and Water Connection

  • 1.
    The Land andWater Connection
  • 2.
    The Pocono KittatinnyCluster • Conservation Cluster • Goal: Maintain Water Quality • Target: Big Woods, Clean Streams, Undisturbed Wetlands Focus Areas selected per results of NLT, TNC, NF WF, USFS
  • 3.
    . Goal Target those EcologicallySignificant Lands that are most important to the maintenance of Healthy Waters Ecologically Significant Lands “Headwaters, Wetlands, Floodplains” Healthy Waters “Fishable, Swimmable, Drinkable”
  • 4.
    How do weidentify those ecologically significant lands that provide the most benefit to maintaining water quality?
  • 5.
    What have otherslooked at: USFS Forests to Faucets Conservation Priority Index Ability to Produce Clean Water (Forest, Ag, Rip For Cover, Rd Density, Soil Erodibility, Housing Density) Land Use Importance for Drinking Water Supply Distance to Streams and Wetlands Dependence on Private Forestlands Soils (depth & permeability) Slope Threat of forest conversion or poor management Projections of Future Housing Density Natural Infrastructure: Investing in Forested Landscapes for Source Water Protection World Resources Institute, 2013 From the Forest to the Faucet: Identifying the Connections of Forests, Water and People Rebecca Whitney U.S. Forest Service Northeastern Area S&PF, 2007
  • 6.
    Pocono Kittatinny ClusterDraft Metrics Size Forest (habitat) Condition Land Cover Percent Impervious Cover (parcel and floodplain) Feet/Miles of Riverfront Wetland and Floodplain Abundance Development Potential (modeled Impervious Cover) Ecological Significance
  • 7.
    Other Metrics forConsideration Finding the Balance Resiliency Groundwater Soils Slopes Relating to Water Uses (wellhead protection areas, proximity to surface water intakes, etc.)
  • 8.
    Other Methods --Models WatershedModeling Soil and Water Assessment (SWAT) Generalized Watershed Loading Function Hydrological Simulation Program – Fortran (HSPF) Combining with Economic Modeling Resource Investment Optimization System (RIOS) Resources for the Future Requirements: Expertise, Extensive Data, Calibration (Capacity and Time)
  • 9.
    State of theScience  We don’t know the exact connection between land protection and water quality….. (how much, where, what configuration)  We acknowledge the uncertainty “We are now looking to set priorities using the best available knowledge and data” Peter Howell
  • 10.
  • 11.
    Methods Evaluate the Landscape’sAbility to Maintain Water Quality •Percent Impervious Cover •Terrestrial & Aquatic Habitat Condition •Wetland, Riparian, & Floodplain Density Evaluate Project Constraints and Opportunities •Percent Match Available •Total Capital Needed & Cost/Acre •Probability of Protection in 3-yrs Identify Significant Headwaters and Floodplains •Ensure Conservation Benefits Accrue to Meaningful Level •Compare to other Studies
  • 12.
    Resilience: Definition The capacityfor renewal in a dynamic environment - Gunderson 2000 The ability of a social or ecological system to absorb disturbances while retaining Network Complexity the same basic structure and ways of functioning – Number of size classes - IPCC 2007 Physical Diversity – Length of connected linear miles – Diversity of Temperatures – Diversity of Gradients Ecological Condition – Lateral connectivity – naturalness of floodplain – Unimpeded flow – Pervious /permeable watersheds © Anderson and Olivero, The Nature Conservancy
  • 13.
    Limitations Certain datasets arelimited and/or inconsistent across state lines Knowledge is limited and inconsistent in defining ecologically significant thresholds in most measured variables Single indices do not address synergy of different threats Multi-variable indices can begin to estimate the synergy of different threats, but assigning weights and how variables interact is very difficult given current knowledge GIS has enabled us to use and present so many different data layers that sometimes there’s a piling on in priority setting exercises - particularly when you’re trying to represent multiple perspectives and interests, or aren’t sure of what you’re doing that obscures what’s most important.
  • 14.
    Summary Variability among theCluster may be a limiting factor, so resulting ranks may be somewhat flat- Are we splitting hairs ?

Editor's Notes

  • #12 (including up-front and stewardship endowment costs)
  • #13 The Nature Conservancy needed to develop an objective method for establishing the projected resiliency of stream systems in the northeastern US in order to maximize the efficiency and effectiveness of conservation delivery in the face of climate change and other potential land use changes. In order to do this, the Eastern Region Office based in Boston led a team of TNC freshwater scientists in an analytical process to relatively compare stream networks from northern Maine to NC and Tennessee, extending from the Atlantic coast to Ohio. Arlene Olivero and Mark Anderson conducted the majority of the analyses. Because of a tight time frame for completing this project, we were limited to using existing data. In addition, we were concerned with identifying the stream networks that were most likely to physically retain their ability to support a broad array of biota rather than focusing on current pockets of high or important biodiversity. results of our analysis designed to identify stream networks that will continue to support a diversity of species and maintain natural processes in spite of a changing climate.