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Ikhrata Climate Change
This document summarizes a presentation given by Hasan Ikhrata, the Executive Director of the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG), at the Southern California Water Summit on planning for more sustainable communities. SCAG is the Metropolitan Planning Organization for the region and is responsible for developing the Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy (RTP/SCS) to meet greenhouse gas reduction targets. The 2012 RTP/SCS exceeded requirements by focusing growth within existing communities and allocating funding to alternative transportation. The 2016 RTP/SCS aims to further compact development and conservation, green infrastructure, open space planning, and support local innovations to implement the SCS.
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Ikhrata Climate Change
- 1. SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATIONof GOVERNMENTS Southern California Water Summit Planning for More Sustainable Communities Hasan Ikhrata November 8, 2014 Executive Director
- 2. About SCAG Nation’s largest Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) Governed by a Regional Council of 84 local elected officials Nation’s Global Gateway for Trade Recently adopted the 2012-2035 RTP/SCS
- 3. SCAG Deals WithThese Regional Issues
- 4. SCAG’s Primary Rolein Climate Change Policy Develop Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy (RTP/SCS) RTP/SCS includes Integrated Land-Use and Transportation Plan RTP/SCS must meet GHG reduction targets for 2020, 2035 First RTP/SCS adopted April 2012 Unanimous vote of the RTP/SCS by the SCAG Regional Council
- 5. A Game Changerfor Southern California? Certified by federal agencies for conformity Achieves GHG Targets Praised in Wall Street Journal, LA Times, Huffington Post, and more
- 6. RTP/SCS Bottom-Up DevelopmentProcess Data gathering sessions & planning workshops in 2011 29 Cities met with to update and develop land use and SED forecasts 175 Regional Council and Joint Policy Committee Meetings in 2011 6 Policy Committee and Subcommittee Meetings in 2011, including CEHD, EEC, TC, RTP Subcommittee, High-Speed Rail Subcommittee 30 Technical Committee Meetings in 2011, including Aviation TAC, P&P TAC, Transit TAC, Subregional Coordinators, Transportation Conformity Working Group 40
- 7. Key Support forthe RTP/SCS Cities and counties County Transportation Commissions Respective state agencies Business community Development Community Affordable housing Air quality Public health
- 8. Advancing Jobs inOur Region Construction Network Benefits Commuting Accessibility Transportation 174,500 Annual Jobs 354,000 Annual Jobs
- 9. Outcomes of theRTP/SCS A More Sustainable Region Exceeded requirements Reduced GHG and Vehicle Miles Traveled Improved health outcomes Economic growth and jobs Fresh outlook on transportation finance Many other co-benefits • Energy, water, open space conservation SB 375 GHG Reduction Year State Mandate 8% 9% 13% 16% focus over 50% growth within 3% land area HQTAs (2035)
- 10. To Sustainably Accommodate 18 22 change of 4.2 million change of 1.7 million 8 9 6 7 2008 2035 Millions People Jobs Households change of 1.5 million Future Growth Adding the population of approximately one and a half times Chicago to Southern California
- 11. 3 Overarching Strategies allocate ONLY13% capital investment to highways focus over 50% growth within 3% land area FROM7:3 single- vs. multi-family units TO 3:7
- 12. Major Demographic Changes 1. Slower growth 2. Immigration is plunging 3. Rise of the second generation immigrant 4. Growth from native Californians 5. Slower racial and ethnic change 6. Fewer children 7. A soaring senior population
- 13.
- 14. Millennials Rapidadoption of new communication technologies Rapidly adapting to the “shared” economy Less interested in car and homeownership Travel fewer miles and make fewer trips Favor low-travel urban lifestyles with emphasis on walking, cycling, ride-sharing and transit
- 15. Millennials Compared toBaby Boomers
- 16. Projected Housing Demandby Housing Type SCAG Region 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 Multifamily Townhome Small Lot Large Lot Dwelling Units in Millions Supply 2010 Demand 2035 Additional Demand 2010-2035 Source: AC Nelson. The New California Dream: How Demographic and Economic Trends May Shape the Housing Market,. Urban Land Institute, 2011
- 17. RTP/SCS, Urban Form& Water RTP/SCS affects water and related infrastructure needs in a significant way Type of housing Size of housing Location of development Open space Transportation infrastructure Urban runoff/water quality through pervious and impervious land
- 18. Average Residential WaterUse by Housing Types 500 450 400 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 350 Single Housing Multiple Housing 302 217 144 42 19 5 Others Irrigation Indoor
- 19. Climate Zones inSouthern California
- 20. Annual Average Precipitation in Southern California 1964-1990 Inches per year Source: Oregon Climate Service, 1995
- 21. Average Residential WaterUse by Climate Zones 270 365 465 Gallons Per Household Per Day 250-290 Coastal 360-370 Inland Valley 450-480 Desert
- 22. 2012 RTP/SCS Review– Scenarios Snapshot 1 2 3 4
- 23. Water Consumption Annualin 2035 3.06 Water-related energy use in California consumes approximately 20 percent of the state’s electricity, and 30 percent of the state’s non-power plant natural gas (i.e. natural gas not used to produce electricity). -California Energy Commission 2.91 2.90 2.86 Billions (Acre Feet) 1 2 3 4
- 24. Land Consumed 251 127 84 46 Square Miles 1 2 3 4
- 25. Local Infrastructure Costs Capital & Operations & Maintenance Costs for New Growth 2008-2035 $35.2 $30.8 $29.5 $24.9 $ Billions 1 2 3 4 Includes capital costs and general fund O&M expenditures for local roads, wastewater and sanitary sewer, water supply, and parks & recreation
- 26. Household Costs AnnualCosts for Transportation, Building Energy and Water, 2035 $15,120 $13,620 $13,370 $13,150 1 2 3 4 2009 Dollars
- 27. Key Observations: 2012RTP/SCS Absolute demand for water still rising, but on a slower pace Per capita demand could decrease steadily with efforts in: • Planning for more compact and efficient development patterns • Conservation and education • Green building technology One-size does not fit all Collaboration is key
- 28. Opportunity Areas: 2016RTP/SCS Compact Development & Conservation Add pics of well-designed, green buildings Long Beach
- 29. Opportunity Areas: 2016RTP/SCS Compact Development & Conservation Perris: Metrolink Station Area Plan Trigger high density development Transform an existing transit center into a transit focused mixed use hub Redlands: Transferring Development from Greenfields to Infill Conserve open space and natural storm water management facilities Facilitate Infill Development EXAMPLES:
- 30. Opportunity Areas: 2016RTP/SCS Green Streets, Greenways & Stormwater Management
- 31. Opportunity Areas: 2016RTP/SCS Green Streets, Greenways & Stormwater Management Metro Urban Greening Plan & Toolkit Strategies to integrate with station area improvements: park and ride lots, first-last mile Improve groundwater infiltration and reduce the heat island effect San Gabriel Valley Greenway Network Proposed plan to transform 135 miles of flood control channels to active transportation freeways Green “treatments” to filter stormwater, replenish groundwater EXAMPLES:
- 32. Opportunity Areas: 2016RTP/SCS Open Space Planning & Water Quality Commitment in the 2012-2040 RTP/SCS for an Open Space Strategic Planning process Recently completed an Open Space Framework and Assessment, which includes a pilot conservation assessment of Prado Basin, the largest woodland riparian habitat in the SCAG region In SCAG region, riparian and wetland habitats feature rich biodiversity but are least protected
- 33. Opportunity Areas: 2016RTP/SCS Open Space Planning & Water Quality EXAMPLE: OCTA: Measure M2 Freeway Environmental Mitigation Program Allocates funds to acquire land and fund habitat restoration Streamlines freeway project approvals Achieves multiple benefits - ecosystem preservation, hydrological function
- 34. Opportunity Areas: 2016RTP/SCS Local Innovations Assist Local Government to Implement SCS • Active Transportation • Compass Blueprint • Green Region Initiative $24 million awarded to support integrated planning
- 35. Greenhouse GasReduction Fund (Cap & Trade) Active Transportation Program Enhanced Infrastructure Financing Districts Water Bond New Local Resources
- 36. Thank you! ForMore Information Please Visit www.scag.ca.gov
Editor's Notes
- #11 Over the next 25 years, the SCAG region is expected to add 4.2 million residents, one and a half times the current population of Chicago
- #23 Our analysis of planning scenarios for the 2012 RTP/SCS allowed us to explore tradeoffs between different planning option. Two of the key variables that were tested were development location and housing option mix (single family to multi-family) This slide provides an overview of the four key ways that the scenarios differ…. <<Touch on the four variables only>> Each scenario has the same total people, jobs, and transportation dollars
- #24 The scenario planning exercised confirmed that the RTP/SCS can significantly impact water consumption. Scenario 1 is busines as usual and Scenario 3 is most similar to the plan that we adopted.
- #25 Similarly, our plan impacts land consumed. Leaving lands undeveloped helps maintain natural ecosystems and hydrological functions.
- #26 Not only does our plan impact water efficiency and quality, but it reduces costs to local governments…and, (next slide)
- #27 Our plan reduces cost of water and utilities for the average HH.
- #28 27
- #29 We are currently developing the 2016 RTP/SCS and continuing to explore opportunities to leverage planning process to share best practices and incorporate policies that support local actions to conserve water, increase local supply, and improve water quality. The 2016 plan is opportunity to reconfirm commitment to a more compact development pattern in high quality transit areas, to match market demand. The type and location of this development combined with significant efficiency improvements that are achieved in new buildings promises to further reduce per capita water-use.
- #30 Opportunities for compact development exist all across the region. SCAG’s Sustainability Program supports local planning efforts to explore infill development opportunities. Here are two examples funded through the Sustainability Program.
- #31 Green Streets and Greenways are another great opportunity to address stormwater management and water quality through transportation planning and investments. We are increasingly seeing cities and transportation agencies across the region recognizing the value of this type of integrated planning and benefitting from the opportunity to leverage both water and transportation resources toward the completion of a project. We will be exploring policies and strategies in this area as we develop our 2016 Plan.
- #32 Here are 2 examples of Green Streets/Greenways planning in region. _________ Additional background: Metro plan underway SGVCOG seeking planning funds from Caltrans
- #35 As we develop the 2016 Plan, we will also be looking for other successful models of integrating water, land-use and transportation planning that emerge from the local level. Through our Sustainability Program, we’ve awarded $24 million to support local innovation. These local innovations will provide additional strategies in 2016 plan.
- #36 As we develop the 2016 Plan, we will also be looking for other successful models of integrating water, land-use and transportation planning that emerge from the local level. Through our Sustainability Program, we’ve awarded $24 million to support local innovation. These local innovations will provide additional strategies in 2016 plan.