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New Industrial Revolution for NXT Oslo
The document discusses the potential impacts of emerging technologies like AI, blockchain, and 3D printing on business models and the economy. It envisions a future with a decentralized "gig economy" where online learning and sharing rather than ownership are common. New platforms and business models like Uber and Airbnb that leverage these technologies have seen explosive growth compared to traditional firms. The future may see more localized economies and self-sufficient communities powered by distributed technologies like microgrids and circular supply chains utilizing recycled materials. Boundary spanners who build diverse networks and challenge assumptions will be key to success in this changing environment.
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New Industrial Revolution for NXT Oslo
- 1. The New IndustrialRevolution? Exploring future scenarios of value creation Professor Robin Teigland www.robinteigland.com | www.slideshare.net/eteigland | [email protected] | @RobinTeigland
- 2. People • “Net generation” •24x7 “mobile” workforce • Gig economy • Online learning • Sharing not owning • Sustainability Technology • Broadband/wifi • Cloud, fog • Internet of Things • AI/ML/DL/NN • Autonomous vehicles • Smart robotics • VR/AR/Holography • 3D/4D printing/ALM • Blockchains • Nanotechnology • Quantum computing Open Source • Software • Hardware • Physibles Convergence of….. Finance • Microlending/microfinance • Crowdfunding/equity/P2P lending • Cryptocurrencies, tokens • Blockchains, smart contracts • Mobile money and payments • M2M/R2R payments
- 3. If the rateof change on the outside (of an organization) exceeds the rate of change on the inside, the end is near.... -Jack Welch
- 4. Digital is themain reason just over half the Fortune 500 companies have disappeared since the year 2000. -Pierre Nanterme, CEO Accenture, 2016 Yet..Digital disruption has only just begun.
- 5. While 63% ofCEOs believe AI will have a larger impact on the world than the internet,…. https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/ceo-survey/2019/report/pwc-22nd-annual-global-ceo-survey.pdf …only 3% have AI as fundamental to the organization’s operations.
- 6. All our knowledgeis about the past, but all our strategic decisions are about the future Conway 2003 What we don’t know we don’t know about the future What we know What we know we don’t know
- 7. Thx to R.Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
- 8. Thx to R.Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
- 9. We always overestimatethe change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. - Bill Gates, The Road Ahead, 1996
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- 11. H.I.S. Co. Hotelsrun by robots Check-in Other Automated Tasks Concierge, Porters, Cleaning, Lawnmowing, Room Service, Robot Trashcan, Robot Fish Food Deliveries
- 12.
- 13. FIRM FOUNDED EMPLOYEESMKT CAP BMW 1916 130,000 $56B UBER 2009 16,000 $72B MARRIOTT 1927 177,000 $40B AIRBNB 2008 10,000 $38B WALT DISNEY 1923 199,000 $171B FACEBOOK 2004 25,000 $422B WALMART 1962 2,200,000 $300B ALIBABA 1999 66,000 $353B Adapted from Parker & Van Alstyne, with Choudary, 2016, updated November 2018 Something fundamental is changing
- 14. Shifting market logics– The rise of platforms Ericsson & Augur 2011
- 15. • Supplier creditchecks • Fake merchandise recognition • Product recommendations to shoppers, then communicated with retailers to increase inventory • Chatbots answering customer queries and understanding emotion to bring in human when necessary • Supply chain optimization • Robots pack and drones deliver AI and ML at the core
- 16. Merging e-commerce andbrick’n mortar Over 1 mln Mom & Pop stores digitalized Hema cashless supermarkets with chefs & online order delivery
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- 23. Co-living/co-working for giggers,entrepreneurs & FTEs https://www.outsite.co/
- 24. Transformation of economicactivity Centralized, hierarchical organizations Decentralized, self-organizing organizations
- 25. Scheveningen Harbor –The Hague
- 26. 3D printer workshopon Lisette’s boat Knowledge: RepRap community E-commerce: Aliexpress
- 27. My first attemptat 3D printing – Successful!
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- 29. From 30,000 partsto 50 parts with 3D printing
- 30. Looking into thefuture? • Forecast –How we think the future will be • Vision –How we want the future to be • Scenarios –What the future can be –“Alternative memories” from the future ? ? ? ?
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- 33. Sustainable entrepreneurship through upcyclingand the blockchain
- 34. Increasing forces for localcommunity and sharing, circular economies
- 35. Smart cities andmicrogrids
- 36. Sustainable, circular shrimp ”Jaghar inte sett så här fina räkor i Sverige sedan….. Nä jag har ALDRIG sett så här fina räkor.. Smaken den är underbar, köttet jag kan inte ens beskriva det, det är som en blandning mellan hummer och havskräfta” -Tareq Taylor
- 37. ReGen Villages –Fully self-sufficient http://www.regenvillages.com/
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- 39. BA Two individuals (organizations) withthe same number of contacts…
- 40. …but with verydifferent access to signals, ideas, and resources BA
- 42. Peniche, Portugal One hournorth of Lisbon
- 44. A Broken EconomicModel
- 46. To be ahotspot for entrepreneurial activity, a flagship in ocean innovation, and a showcase in circular economy
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- 48. Ocean Tech Hub ”TheGreen Warehouse” Coworking space
- 49. 2Rodas Makerspace for sustainableentrepreneurs Environmentally friendly wooden surfboards
- 50. Mapping Ocean Litterwith AI and Underwater Drones Recycling Ocean Waste with Graphene and 3D Printing Recovering Ocean Litter with Repurposed Fishing Vessels Manufacturing combined with Blockchain PENICHE OCEAN WATCH A Blue Circular Economy Based on Ocean Litter Sustainable Ocean Entrepreneurship
- 51. Boundary spanning ->Future success 1. Build relationships across diverse networks, avoid echo chambers 2. Practice scenario thinking and look for signals from the periphery 3. Ask “What if?”, challenge basic assumptions, and experiment 4. Ensure access to resources, not ownership, through your networks Boundary spanner
- 52. Robin Teigland www.robinteigland.com www.slideshare.net/eteigland [email protected] @RobinTeigland http://www.go4surf.pt/ Trond GunnarTeigland [email protected] https://www.facebook.com/PenicheOceanWatch @penicheoceanwatch If you love knowledge, set it free! OCEAN TECH HUB