Prognostic & Predictive
factors of
Breast Cancer
Dr. MohammedFathyBayomy
Lecturer of ClinicalOncology
ZagazigUniversity
Definition
Prognostic factor
Parameter X Without
Treatment
Breast Cancer
Population
(Without X)
(With X)
Outcome
50% with Unfavorable
outcome
50% with Favorable
outcome
20% with Unfavorable
outcome
80% with Favorable
outcome
(Positive or Negative prognostic factor)
Definition
Predictive factor
Parameter X TreatmentBreast Cancer
Population
(Without X)
(With X)
Response
90% with response
10% without response
10% with response
90% without response
(Positive or negative predictive factor)
Definition
Prognostic & Predictive factor
Parameter X Receive or not Receive treatmentBreast Cancer Population
(Without X)
(With X)
Response
90% with response
10% without response
10% with response
50% with Unfavorable
outcome
50% with Favorable
outcome
20% with Unfavorable
outcome
80% with Favorable
outcome
90% without response
Newly Diagnosed Non-Metastatic Breast Cancer
Prognostics
Clinical Factors Gene Expression Profile
Patient
Pathology Tissue
Markers
Patient features
Age
Net Survival (%)
Age Range Women
15–39 84.9
40–49 90.0
50–59 91.2
60–69 92.4
70–79 83.0
80–99 70.3
Five-Year Net Survival by Age, Women,
England
Breast Cancer (C50): 2009-2013
1 out of 5
Patient features
Age
2 out of 5
Patient features
Age
3 out of 5
Patient features
Age
4 out of 5
Patient features
Age
5 out of 5
Time Trend
Patient features
Menopausal Status
1 out of 2
Age is a critical factor influencing the onset and
persistence of chemotherapy-induced amenorrhea.
Patient features
Menopausal Status
2 out of 2
Chemotherapy induced amenorrhea improve breast
cancer treatment outcome.
Patient features
Race
1 out of 2
Patient features
Race
1 out of 1
Patient features
Cigarette smoking
1 out of 1
Patient features
Mammographic features: screening
1 out of 1
Patient features
Mammographic features: breast density
1 out of 1
Patient features
Mammographic features: multiplicity
1 out of 1
Pathological features
Tumor Stage
1 out of 3
Pathological features
Tumor Stage
2 out of 3
Pathological features
Tumor Stage
3 out of 3
Pathological features
Tumor Size (T)
1 out of 3
Pathological features
Tumor Size (T)
2 out of 3
Pathological features
Tumor Size (T)
3 out of 3
Pathological features
Nodal Involvement
1 out of 2
Pathological features
Nodal Involvement
2 out of 2
Pathological features
Metastatic disease
1 out of 2
Pathological features
Metastatic disease
2 out of 2
Pathological features
Tumor Morphology
1 out of 4
Pathological features
Tumor Morphology
2 out of 4
Pathological features
Tumor Morphology
3 out of 4
Pathological features
Tumor Morphology
4 out of 4
Pathological features
Histological Grade
1 out of 1
Pathological features
Peritumoral lymphovascular invasion (PLVI)
1 out of 2
Pathological features
Peritumoral lymphovascular invasion (PLVI)
2 out of 2
Tissue Markers
Hormone Receptors
1 out of 4
Tissue Markers
Hormone Receptors
2 out of 4
Tissue Markers
Hormone Receptors
3 out of 4
Tissue Markers
Hormone Receptors
4 out of 4
Tissue Markers
HER2 overexpression
1 out of 1
Genomic Profiles
Genetic Heterogeneity
1 out of 1
Genomic Profiles
Genetic Heterogeneity
1 out of 1
Genomic Profiles
Gene Testing
1 out of 1
Heat Map
Genomic Profiles
Gene Testing
1 out of 1
Genomic Profiles
Gene Cluster
1 out of 3
Genomic Profiles
Gene Cluster
2 out of 3
Genomic Profiles
Gene Cluster
3 out of 3
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic List
1 out of 2
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic List
2 out of 2
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
1 out of 1
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
 Express ER
 Most common.
 Luminal A possess a higher expression of the ER and
oestrogen-associated genes ESR1, GATA3 and FOXA1
 Do not express HER2/neu
 Ki-67 proliferation index- low
 Luminal A tumours are associated with a better prognosis
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Luminal A
 Express ER
 Variable HER2/neu expression
 Increased frequency of TP53 mutations
 Ki-67 proliferation index- high
 Luminal B tumours are associated with worse
prognosis compared to Luminal A
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Luminal B
 Increased expression of genes located in the same region on
chromosome 17q: human epidermal growth factor receptor 2
(ERBB2) and growth factor receptor bound protein 7 (GRB7).
 Associated with a high histological grade, low expression of ER
and PR.
 Poor clinical outcome.
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
HER2 Enriched
 Hormone receptor (ER and PR) and HER2/neu receptor negative.
 Expression of genes associated with myoepithelial cells: KRT5
(keratin 5), KRT17 (keratin 17), CNN1 (calponin 1), CAV1 (caveolin)
and LAMB1 (laminin).
 Aggressive with a poorer disease-free and overall survival than
the other breast cancer subtypes.
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
ER-negative subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Profiles
Intrinsic Subtypes
Genomic Expression Profiles
1 out of 3
Genomic Expression Profiles
2 out of 3
Genomic Expression Profiles
3 out of 3
Genomic Expression Profiles
Recurrence Score (RS) Oncotype Dx
1 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
Recurrence Score (RS) Oncotype Dx
2 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
Recurrence Score (RS) Oncotype Dx
3 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
Recurrence Score (RS) Oncotype Dx
4 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
Recurrence Score (RS) Oncotype Dx
5 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
Recurrence Score (RS) Oncotype Dx
6 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
Recurrence Score (RS) Oncotype Dx
7 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
EP & Epclin score - Endopredict
1 out of 5
Genomic Expression Profiles
2 out of 5
EP & Epclin score - Endopredict
Epclin score
=
EP score +
Tumor size +
N
Genomic Expression Profiles
3 out of 5
EP & Epclin score - Endopredict
Genomic Expression Profiles
4 out of 5
EP & Epclin score - Endopredict
Genomic Expression Profiles
5 out of 5
EP & Epclin score - Endopredict
Genomic Expression Profiles
1 out of 3
Breast Cancer Index (BCI)
Genomic Expression Profiles
2 out of 3
Breast Cancer Index (BCI)
Genomic Expression Profiles
2 out of 3
Breast Cancer Index (BCI)
Genomic Expression Profiles
1 out of 2
Risk of Recurrence (ROR) score - PAM50 (Prosigna)
Genomic Expression Profiles
2 out of 2
Risk of Recurrence (ROR) score - PAM50 (Prosigna)
Genomic Expression Profiles
1 out of 2
70-Gene Breast Cancer Recurrence Assay - MammaPrint
MammaPrint
Index (MPI)
Genomic Expression Profiles
1 out of 2
70-Gene Breast Cancer Recurrence Assay - MammaPrint
Genomic Expression Profiles
1 out of 1
80-Gene Molecular subtyping Assay - BluePrint
Genomic Expression Profiles
1 out of 1
Genomic Grade Index (GGI) - MapQuant Dx
Genomic Expression Profiles
1 out of 1
IHC4 Test
Genomic Expression Profiles
1 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
2 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
3 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
4 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
5 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
6 out of 7
Genomic Expression Profiles
7 out of 7
Markers of Proliferation
Mitotic Count
S-phase fraction (SPF)
1 out of 2
Markers of Proliferation
Ki-67
2 out of 2
Urokinase Plasminogen Activator (uPA)
1 out of 2
Urokinase Plasminogen Activator (uPA)
2 out of 2
Measurement of p53
1 out of 1
Measurement of HER2-ECD
1 out of 1
Other markers of invasion & metastasis
1 out of 1
Disseminated Tumor Cells (DTCs)
1 out of 1
Circulating Tumor Cells (CTCs)
1 out of 1
Circulating Tumor DNA (ctDNA)
1 out of 1

Prognostic & predictive factors of breast cancer