Smartdevices are changing our lifes!
Which role plays Telco’s in this changing world?



                                                       Roel Honning
                                                    +31 6 1090 3170
                                               Roel.honning@ntcs.nl
                                                      @roelhonning
A revolution doesn’t happen when
   society adopts new tools, it happens
   when society adopts new behaviours.
Clay Shirky
Associate Teacher for New Media at NYU




                                          2
In the beginning…
    Operators launched mobile broadband
1
    But then, there were not enough mobile broadband handsets

    When there were enough mobile broadband handsets
2
    Consumers were screaming for content

    To deliver content, operators were offering controlled webportals
3   They tried the business model with monthly payments for content, while it was
    free on the open internet

    Mobile internet was growing, but slowly




                                                                                    3
Suddenly, market was fastening
Caused by three main drivers
                         1
                               Flat-rate data
                             plans to kick start
                                the market




     3                                       2
           Developer-                                The rise of
          friendly app                              powerful and
              stores                             intelligent devices

                                                   Source: STL Partners/Telco 2.0
Worldwide trends on mobile
    Smartphone sales is          Mobile broadband
    booming                      accelerates social media



                                 Worldwide roll out HSPA &
    Growing range of tablets
                                 LTE



    Apps, apps, apps…            Explosion mobile data usage




    2012: mobile internet > pc   Mobile Wallet



                                                               5
Current predictions Smartphone Sales


 - 660 million in 2012
 - Increase of 35%
 (IDC 2012)



 - 470 million in 2011
 - Increase of 44%
 - > 1 billion in 2015
 (Gartner 2011)




                                       6
Smartphone penetration
Europe vs USA




                         Source: comscore   7
Different types Smartphones platforms
        Apple – iOS5
        • Aggressive towards operators (shared revenu model)
        • Primary hardware, but appstore & itunes very important services
        • Closed System, strictly policy

        Google - Android
        • Operator friendly strategy
        • Focused on advertisements (extra reach google platform)
        • Partly open

        RIM – BlackBerry OS
        • Popular because of security (business) & ping (consumer)
        • In 2012 introduction new OS: BBX (feature: android apps will work on OS)
        • Slowly acceptance of new apps - appstore

        Microsoft – Windows Phone 7
        • Compatibility with laptop / desktop (windows)
        • Strategic partnership with Nokia
        • Not much apps yet

                                                                                     8
Marketshares Sales

     Global Sales Q4 2011      Market Share 2009-2011 (US)




  Gartner, january 2012




                            Source: email-marketing-reports.com   9
Market Share Device Manufacturers




               IDC, january 2012

                                    10
60% of time spent on smartphones
is new activity for mobile users




                          Source: kpcb.com
Popularity Mobile Services by OS
90%
                              79%                                        Apps download
80%   74%
                                                                         Streaming music/radio
70%                                                    63%               Video/Mobile TV
60%
                                                                         Online Gaming
50%         43%
                                    46%
                                                                                42%
                                          37%                39%
40%               35%

30%                                             26%                26%                24%
                        20%                                              20%
20%                                                                                         17%
                                                                                                  11%
10%
 0%
       Android OS              Apple iOS              Windows Phone            RIM BlackBerry
Mobile App Stores comparison 2011
# 30 billion downloads 2011 (# 9 billion downloads 2010)
$ 15,1 billion (including advertisements) (191% increase)
90% of all mobile app revenues by Apple, 7% by Android



             • ↓ 33 mln /                  • ↓ 17 mln /                • ↓ 3 mln /               • ↓ 10 mln /
               day                           day                         day                       day
             • > 650k apps                 • > 450k apps               • > 25k apps              • > 45K apps
                             Google Play




                                                           App world
             • $2.01 paid                  • $ 3.79 paid               • $8.26 paid              • $3.47 paid
 App store




                                                                                      Ovi-shop
               app                           app                         app                       app
             • 42% free                    • 65%                       • 26%                     • 26%
               , 58% paid                    free, 35%                   free, 74%                 free, 74%
             • 86% free                      paid                        paid                      paid
               dwnlds, 14                  • 98,7% free
               % paid                        dwnlds, 1,3
                                             % paid



                                                                                                                13
Apps, apps, apps


 Some interesting apps that ‘change’ your daily life:
 1. Shazam                          6. FindmyCar
 2. Word Lens                       7. Facebook / social media
 3. Spotify                         8. Location based apps
 4. Internet Movie Database         9. TomTom / Navigation
 5. Layar – augmented reality       10. Mobile payments




                                                                 14
Smart parking without cash
Telco Killer apps
 VoIP:              (Instant) Messaging:
   • Skype            • Whats app
   • Viber            • iMessenger
   • Facetime         • Ping

 Social Media:      What’s Next?
   • LinkedIn         • Calling via Facebook?
   • Facebook         • Calling via Google?
   • Twitter
What about prepaid Smartphones?

         2010                              2011
    Sales Marketshare                   Sales Marketshare

              8%
                                                       29%



                                        71%
        92%

     Prepaid Smartphones                 Prepaid Smartphones
     Feature Phones                      Feature Phones


                           Source: gigaom.com & channelinsider.com   17
Overall threats for Telco’s:
 1.    Over the top services (Telco-killer apps):
      • Skype
      • Whatsapp & iMessenger
 eating revenues of Telco’s

 2.    Data intensive services eating all network capacity:
      • Streaming music & radio
      • Video/TV
 without extra earnings for Telco

 3.    Smartphones is an enabler for all kind of (web)services via
       appstores:
      • All kind of apps;
      • Mobile payments & Identification;
      • Location Based Services;
 without specific role for Telco
                                                                     18
What’s next?
Adoption curves compared




                           Source: kpcb.com
Tablet Sales Q2-2011

        Sales (mln)               Marketshare (sales) (mln)
          Q2-2011                              Q2-2011
     0.5%                                 1%
  0.7% 0.1%                           5% 3%
                      Apple iOS                               Apple iOS
                      Android                                 Android
 4.6%                 Microsoft    30%                        Microsoft
              9.3%    QNX                         61%         QNX
                      Others                                  Others




                                               Source: businesswire.com   20
Opportunities Telco’s




                        21
Opportunities Telco’s
 Segmentation / differentiation                    Telco Services on smartphone

     Data tariffplans
                                                    Dashboard
                            Application             data usage          Apps Telco
                           specific plan                                 content
                                                     Selfcare
   Special packages                                                       Prepaid
                             Quality of                                   credits
                              Services

                                           Location Based
          Marketing                          Services /
          activities                       Advertisement
                                                                      OTT & 3rd party
               Loyalty Social Media                                     partnering
                     platform
                                             Operator billing
                                              & payments
                                                                      Telco Appstore
Interaction with customers by
smartphone                                                              Partnerships
TELCO CASES
  (EXAMPLES)




               23
ROGERS & LOYALTY
PLATFORM                        Details:
                                 • Objective: keeping the younger target groups
Loyalty programs supported by      loyal to brand;
 smartphones and social media

                                 • Extensive entertainment program with exclusive
                                   content for Rogers subscribers:
                                    • Free music downloads & games
                                    • Discount on premium seats for live-nation
                                      concerts, Blue Jays baseball Maple Leafs
                                      Hockey
                                    • Available via iPhone, Android, iPad, Facebook
                                      and web

                                 • Supported by social media

                                 • Yearly 100.000 tickets ordered on mobile phone

                                 • Churn reduction of 5%                              24
PREPAID SOCIAL MEDIA             Details:
LOYALTY PLATFORM                  • Prepaid users are unknown (no name, no
                                    address), only by mobile number; hard to reach
Get to know your prepaid users      with marketing campaign;
and interact with them

                                  • Introduction of social media loyalty campaign;
                                    delivering a program with all sorts of events
                                    arranged for concert tickets and sport
                                    events, exclusive to prepaid users;

                                  • Users can earn ‘social credits/coins’ for all types
                                    of interaction: Likes, posts, shares, buying
                                    prepaid credit;

                                  • Social Coins are exchangeable for extra discounts
                                    or prepaid credits; (to be defined)

                                  • Coins will be registered after Facebook opt-in
                                    and gives operator access to personal data of
                                    the user and can be linked to mobile number;
TELKOMSEL & SKYPE                 Details:
Skype partners with Telkomsel      • Special application is developed for TELKOMSEL
to bring cheap calls and free        Subscribers
text to 100 million subscribers
                                   • Downloadable on 24 Telkomsel smartphones, including
                                     Nokia, Samsung and BlackBerry

                                   • Also available for lower end J2ME phones

                                   • Only Free usage Skype within data subscription - will
                                     not count towards the usage quota

                                   • SkypeOut calls possible (Skype-Skype, Skype-
                                     local, Skype-international) & Instant messaging possible

                                   • SkypeIn calls are disabled

                                   • Shared revenue-model?

                                                                                                26
TELKOMSEL & FACEBOOK          Details:
                               • A tiny but fully-functioning Facebook app onto some of their
Telkomsel launched Facebook
                                  SIM-cards/Mobile phone
App
                               • The Facebook-created application can be run on more than 800
                                 types of JAVA-based mobile phones.

                               • Account registration, writing on the wall, update status, reply
                                 to comments, viewing messages, view photos and more

                               • Especially targeted on feature phones for the lower income
                                 market

                               • To encourage those in emerging markets to try the
                                 app, Facebook partnered with a number of global carriers to
                                 offer free data access with the app for 90 days.

                               • Indonesia is country with second largest number of Facebook
                                 users




                                                                                                   27
OPERATOR BILLING                  Details:
                                   • Users are paying for apps by phone bill or prepaid
Consumer transactions appstores
                                     credits;

                                   • 10-20% telco billing service charge;

                                   • Nokia: 4x increase of consumer transactions due to
                                     operator billing;

                                   • Great opportunity to play a central role in mobile
                                     transactions;

                                   • In future more mobile transactions by consumers, this
                                     will bring more opportunities for the MNOs to earn
                                     additional revenues from operator billing.

                                   • Examples:
                                      • Nokia: 140 operators
                                      • Google: NTT DoCoMo
Details:
Telenor, Google to offer
                                      • New Android Market initiative by Google and Telenor
localized apps, direct billing
  Telenor-branded shelf in Android    • Faster access to relevant localized apps with direct
  market                                operator billing functionality (prepaid & postpaid)

                                      • Telenor-branded “shelf” on the front page of Android
                                        market

                                      • Approximately 50 apps with “high local relevance”
                                        selected by an editorial team in each of Telenor’s 11
                                        international mobile markets

                                      • Telenor: better relationship with our customer base
                                        and build a richer experience for the customer by
                                        making it easier for them to find more relevant local
                                        content in a secure environment with flexible payment
                                        options



                                                                                                29
KPN & SPOTIFY                      Details:
Upselling premium services          • KPN becomes exclusive representative of the
                                      Spotify service

                                    • KPN’s top tier triple play customers (€ 55 and more
                                      subscriptions) get Spotify –premium account for
                                      free (€ 9.95 / month)

                                    • Spotify has 10 million registered users, 2 million
                                      premium subscribers

                                    • Spotify is available in nine countries including
                                      US, France & Spain (2011)




                                 KPN & Spotify
                             Spotify partners with KPN
                                                                                            30
Roel Honning
/ +31 6-10903170 / roel.honning@ntcs.nl
/ @roelhonning
WWW.NTCS.NL
Thank you!

If you have any questions?

          Roel Honning
        +31 6 1090 3170
      Roel.honning@ntcs.nl
Check-your-weight-App
#LOL




    Don’t try this at home 

Smartphone Strategy (Telecom Operators)

  • 1.
    Smartdevices are changingour lifes! Which role plays Telco’s in this changing world? Roel Honning +31 6 1090 3170 [email protected] @roelhonning
  • 2.
    A revolution doesn’thappen when society adopts new tools, it happens when society adopts new behaviours. Clay Shirky Associate Teacher for New Media at NYU 2
  • 3.
    In the beginning… Operators launched mobile broadband 1 But then, there were not enough mobile broadband handsets When there were enough mobile broadband handsets 2 Consumers were screaming for content To deliver content, operators were offering controlled webportals 3 They tried the business model with monthly payments for content, while it was free on the open internet Mobile internet was growing, but slowly 3
  • 4.
    Suddenly, market wasfastening Caused by three main drivers 1 Flat-rate data plans to kick start the market 3 2 Developer- The rise of friendly app powerful and stores intelligent devices Source: STL Partners/Telco 2.0
  • 5.
    Worldwide trends onmobile Smartphone sales is Mobile broadband booming accelerates social media Worldwide roll out HSPA & Growing range of tablets LTE Apps, apps, apps… Explosion mobile data usage 2012: mobile internet > pc Mobile Wallet 5
  • 6.
    Current predictions SmartphoneSales - 660 million in 2012 - Increase of 35% (IDC 2012) - 470 million in 2011 - Increase of 44% - > 1 billion in 2015 (Gartner 2011) 6
  • 7.
    Smartphone penetration Europe vsUSA Source: comscore 7
  • 8.
    Different types Smartphonesplatforms Apple – iOS5 • Aggressive towards operators (shared revenu model) • Primary hardware, but appstore & itunes very important services • Closed System, strictly policy Google - Android • Operator friendly strategy • Focused on advertisements (extra reach google platform) • Partly open RIM – BlackBerry OS • Popular because of security (business) & ping (consumer) • In 2012 introduction new OS: BBX (feature: android apps will work on OS) • Slowly acceptance of new apps - appstore Microsoft – Windows Phone 7 • Compatibility with laptop / desktop (windows) • Strategic partnership with Nokia • Not much apps yet 8
  • 9.
    Marketshares Sales Global Sales Q4 2011 Market Share 2009-2011 (US) Gartner, january 2012 Source: email-marketing-reports.com 9
  • 10.
    Market Share DeviceManufacturers IDC, january 2012 10
  • 11.
    60% of timespent on smartphones is new activity for mobile users Source: kpcb.com
  • 12.
    Popularity Mobile Servicesby OS 90% 79% Apps download 80% 74% Streaming music/radio 70% 63% Video/Mobile TV 60% Online Gaming 50% 43% 46% 42% 37% 39% 40% 35% 30% 26% 26% 24% 20% 20% 20% 17% 11% 10% 0% Android OS Apple iOS Windows Phone RIM BlackBerry
  • 13.
    Mobile App Storescomparison 2011 # 30 billion downloads 2011 (# 9 billion downloads 2010) $ 15,1 billion (including advertisements) (191% increase) 90% of all mobile app revenues by Apple, 7% by Android • ↓ 33 mln / • ↓ 17 mln / • ↓ 3 mln / • ↓ 10 mln / day day day day • > 650k apps • > 450k apps • > 25k apps • > 45K apps Google Play App world • $2.01 paid • $ 3.79 paid • $8.26 paid • $3.47 paid App store Ovi-shop app app app app • 42% free • 65% • 26% • 26% , 58% paid free, 35% free, 74% free, 74% • 86% free paid paid paid dwnlds, 14 • 98,7% free % paid dwnlds, 1,3 % paid 13
  • 14.
    Apps, apps, apps Some interesting apps that ‘change’ your daily life: 1. Shazam 6. FindmyCar 2. Word Lens 7. Facebook / social media 3. Spotify 8. Location based apps 4. Internet Movie Database 9. TomTom / Navigation 5. Layar – augmented reality 10. Mobile payments 14
  • 15.
  • 16.
    Telco Killer apps VoIP: (Instant) Messaging: • Skype • Whats app • Viber • iMessenger • Facetime • Ping Social Media: What’s Next? • LinkedIn • Calling via Facebook? • Facebook • Calling via Google? • Twitter
  • 17.
    What about prepaidSmartphones? 2010 2011 Sales Marketshare Sales Marketshare 8% 29% 71% 92% Prepaid Smartphones Prepaid Smartphones Feature Phones Feature Phones Source: gigaom.com & channelinsider.com 17
  • 18.
    Overall threats forTelco’s: 1. Over the top services (Telco-killer apps): • Skype • Whatsapp & iMessenger  eating revenues of Telco’s 2. Data intensive services eating all network capacity: • Streaming music & radio • Video/TV  without extra earnings for Telco 3. Smartphones is an enabler for all kind of (web)services via appstores: • All kind of apps; • Mobile payments & Identification; • Location Based Services;  without specific role for Telco 18
  • 19.
    What’s next? Adoption curvescompared Source: kpcb.com
  • 20.
    Tablet Sales Q2-2011 Sales (mln) Marketshare (sales) (mln) Q2-2011 Q2-2011 0.5% 1% 0.7% 0.1% 5% 3% Apple iOS Apple iOS Android Android 4.6% Microsoft 30% Microsoft 9.3% QNX 61% QNX Others Others Source: businesswire.com 20
  • 21.
  • 22.
    Opportunities Telco’s Segmentation/ differentiation Telco Services on smartphone Data tariffplans Dashboard Application data usage Apps Telco specific plan content Selfcare Special packages Prepaid Quality of credits Services Location Based Marketing Services / activities Advertisement OTT & 3rd party Loyalty Social Media partnering platform Operator billing & payments Telco Appstore Interaction with customers by smartphone Partnerships
  • 23.
    TELCO CASES (EXAMPLES) 23
  • 24.
    ROGERS & LOYALTY PLATFORM Details: • Objective: keeping the younger target groups Loyalty programs supported by loyal to brand; smartphones and social media • Extensive entertainment program with exclusive content for Rogers subscribers: • Free music downloads & games • Discount on premium seats for live-nation concerts, Blue Jays baseball Maple Leafs Hockey • Available via iPhone, Android, iPad, Facebook and web • Supported by social media • Yearly 100.000 tickets ordered on mobile phone • Churn reduction of 5% 24
  • 25.
    PREPAID SOCIAL MEDIA Details: LOYALTY PLATFORM • Prepaid users are unknown (no name, no address), only by mobile number; hard to reach Get to know your prepaid users with marketing campaign; and interact with them • Introduction of social media loyalty campaign; delivering a program with all sorts of events arranged for concert tickets and sport events, exclusive to prepaid users; • Users can earn ‘social credits/coins’ for all types of interaction: Likes, posts, shares, buying prepaid credit; • Social Coins are exchangeable for extra discounts or prepaid credits; (to be defined) • Coins will be registered after Facebook opt-in and gives operator access to personal data of the user and can be linked to mobile number;
  • 26.
    TELKOMSEL & SKYPE Details: Skype partners with Telkomsel • Special application is developed for TELKOMSEL to bring cheap calls and free Subscribers text to 100 million subscribers • Downloadable on 24 Telkomsel smartphones, including Nokia, Samsung and BlackBerry • Also available for lower end J2ME phones • Only Free usage Skype within data subscription - will not count towards the usage quota • SkypeOut calls possible (Skype-Skype, Skype- local, Skype-international) & Instant messaging possible • SkypeIn calls are disabled • Shared revenue-model? 26
  • 27.
    TELKOMSEL & FACEBOOK Details: • A tiny but fully-functioning Facebook app onto some of their Telkomsel launched Facebook SIM-cards/Mobile phone App • The Facebook-created application can be run on more than 800 types of JAVA-based mobile phones. • Account registration, writing on the wall, update status, reply to comments, viewing messages, view photos and more • Especially targeted on feature phones for the lower income market • To encourage those in emerging markets to try the app, Facebook partnered with a number of global carriers to offer free data access with the app for 90 days. • Indonesia is country with second largest number of Facebook users 27
  • 28.
    OPERATOR BILLING Details: • Users are paying for apps by phone bill or prepaid Consumer transactions appstores credits; • 10-20% telco billing service charge; • Nokia: 4x increase of consumer transactions due to operator billing; • Great opportunity to play a central role in mobile transactions; • In future more mobile transactions by consumers, this will bring more opportunities for the MNOs to earn additional revenues from operator billing. • Examples: • Nokia: 140 operators • Google: NTT DoCoMo
  • 29.
    Details: Telenor, Google tooffer • New Android Market initiative by Google and Telenor localized apps, direct billing Telenor-branded shelf in Android • Faster access to relevant localized apps with direct market operator billing functionality (prepaid & postpaid) • Telenor-branded “shelf” on the front page of Android market • Approximately 50 apps with “high local relevance” selected by an editorial team in each of Telenor’s 11 international mobile markets • Telenor: better relationship with our customer base and build a richer experience for the customer by making it easier for them to find more relevant local content in a secure environment with flexible payment options 29
  • 30.
    KPN & SPOTIFY Details: Upselling premium services • KPN becomes exclusive representative of the Spotify service • KPN’s top tier triple play customers (€ 55 and more subscriptions) get Spotify –premium account for free (€ 9.95 / month) • Spotify has 10 million registered users, 2 million premium subscribers • Spotify is available in nine countries including US, France & Spain (2011) KPN & Spotify Spotify partners with KPN 30
  • 31.
    Roel Honning / +316-10903170 / [email protected] / @roelhonning
  • 32.
  • 33.
    Thank you! If youhave any questions? Roel Honning +31 6 1090 3170 [email protected]
  • 34.
    Check-your-weight-App #LOL Don’t try this at home 