PRESENTEDBY:
ShifaAsif, ShehrBano,
SyedIrtazaZaidi, TalhaBinHafeez,
HazzaJaved
SUPPLYCHAIN DESIGN&ANALYSIS;
Models&Methods
BRIEFOVERVIEW
 A supply chainisa networkthatincludes suppliers, manufacturers,distributors,andretailersto
transformrawmaterialsinto final products.
 Thesupply chainis traditionallyviewed asa singleentity, but there is a need for a moreintegrated
approachto manufacturingsystem design.
 The objectiveof thispaperis to reviewsupply chainmodeling literatureandidentifya researchagendafor
future research.
 Thepaperreviewsexistingsupply chainmodels andmethodsandsuggestsfuture researchin four areas:
1) evaluatinganddeveloping supply chainperformancemeasures,
2) relatingdecisionvariablesto performancemeasures,
3) consideringissues affectingsupply chainmodeling,
4) andclassifyingsupply chainsystemsfor designandanalysis.
INTRODUCTION
 SupplyChain;an integratedprocess involvingvarious businessentities
 Traditionalcharacteristicsof a supply chain;forward flow of materials
and backwardflow of information
 Increasingfocus on the performance, design, and analysis of the supply
chain as a whole
 Emergence of the supply chain concept due to changes in the
manufacturingenvironment
 Additionof "reverselogistics"to includeproduct recovery for recycling,
re-manufacturing,and re-use
 Supply chainconcept originating fromtwo-stagemulti-echeloninventory
models
 Notable progress in the design and analysis of two-echelon systems
THESUPPLYCHAINDEFINED
 A supply chain is a manufacturingprocess that converts raw materialsinto finalproducts and deliversthem to customers.
 The supply chain consistsof two integratedprocesses: Production Planningand Inventory Control, and Distributionand
Logistics.
 PRODUCTIONPLANNINGANDINVENTORYCONTROL
 Focuses on managing the manufacturingprocess and storage of raw materialsand final products.
 Inventory control isresponsible for managing storage policiesand procedures.
 DISTRIBUTIONANDLOGISTICS
 Thisprocess involvesretrieving and transporting products from warehouses to retailers.
 It includesinventory retrieval,transportation, and finalproduct delivery.
 The designand management of these processes
determine how wellthe supplychain performs in
meeting objectives.
FOURMODELS;ForDesigningSupplyChain
 it comes to designingand analyzingsupply chains, there are four main categoriesbased on how they are modeled.
Deterministic
AnalyticalModels
• All the variables
are known and
specified
• Everything is
predictable
• There are no
unknown factors
StochasticAnalytical
Models
• At least one
variableis
unknown
• It is assumed to
follow a specific
probability
distribution
• It's like making
educated
guesses based
on probabilities.
EconomicModels
• Focuses on the
financialaspects
of the supply
chain.
• This includes
factorslike
costs, profits,
and investments.
SimulationModels
• use computer
simulations to
mimicreal-
world scenarios
• understand how
the supply chain
would perform
under different
conditions.
 So, these four categories help us understand and analyze supply chainsbased on differentapproaches and objectives.
A.ALGORITHMS;DeterministicAnalyticalModel
No. INVENTED BY OBJECTIVE • VARIABLE
1 Williams (1981) Find the most cost-effective schedule
that meets demand in the supply chain
network.
• Production and distribution scheduling,
• cost considerations (inventory, ordering,
delivery, set-up).
2 Williams (1983) Minimize average cost per period by
determining batch sizes for production
and distribution.
• Batch sizes,
• processing costs,
• inventory holding costs
3 Ishii et al. (1988): Optimize stock levels and lead times in
the supply chain.
• Stock levels,
• lead times,
• linear demand,
• inventory obsolescence.
4 Cohen and Lee
(1989)
Maximize total profit after taxes for
manufacturing facilities and distribution
centers.
• Economic order quantity,
• resource constraints,
• demand limits,
• product assignments
5 Cohen and Moon
(1990)
Determine the cost and operations of
the supply chain, including facility
openings.
• Raw material suppliers,
• manufacturing facilities,
• distribution centers,
• retailer
B.ALGORITHMS;StochasticAnalyticalModel
No. ALGORITM INVENTED BY HOW IT WORKS
1 Material Requirements
Policy Model
Cohen and Lee (1988) • Focuses on establishing material ordering quantities, reorder
intervals, and estimated response times for all supply chain
facilities
• Utilizes four cost-based sub-models, each corresponding to a
different production stage
• Minimizes total costs for each sub-model
2 Multi-Echelon
Distribution-Type Model
Svoronos and Zipkin
(1991)
• Considers supply chain systems with at most one direct
predecessor and any number of direct successors
• Assumes a base stock, one-for-one replenishment policy for
each facility
• Provides steady-state approximations for average inventory
level and average number of outstanding backorders
• Determines minimum-cost base stock level using
approximations
3 Heuristic Stochastic
Model for Material Flows
Lee and Billington
(1993)
• Models a pull-type, periodic, order-up-to inventory system
• Determines review period and order-up-to quantity as model
outputs
• Calculates required stock levels to achieve target service level
or determines service level given a material ordering policy
No. ALGORITM INVENTED BY HOW IT WORKS
4 Stochastic Periodic-
Review Inventory Model
for Process Localization
Lee, et. al.
(1993)
• Focuses on designing product and production processes
suitable for different market segments
• Considers differences in target market structures
• Aims to minimize cost and maximize customer service levels
5 Mathematical
Programming Model for
Integrated Supply Chain
Pyke and Cohen
(1993)
• Considers a three-level supply chain with one product, one
manufacturing facility, one warehousing facility, and one
retailer
• Minimizes total cost subject to a service level constraint
• Determines reorder interval, replenishment batch sizes, and
order-up-to levels for the retailer
6 Application of filter
theory and simulation to
study supply chains
Towill and Del Vecchio
(1994)
• compare filter characteristics of supply chains
• Analyze supply chain responses to randomness in demand
patterns
• Use simulation to compare responses and determine
minimum safety stock requirements for desired service level
7 Analytical model for
product configuration and
optimization
Lee and Feitzinger
(1995)
• product differentiation through optimal production steps
• Assume stochastic product demands and consider
manufacturing process with multiple steps
• Determine optimal step P for factory and distribution centers
based on expected cost analysis
C.EconomicModel
 ChristyandGrout(1994) developedaneconomic, game-
theoreticframeworkfor modelingthe buyer-supplier
relationshipin a supply chain.
 They used a 2 x 2 supply chainrelationshipmatrixto identify
conditionsfor each type of relationship.
 Thematrixcapturesthe risksassumed by the buyer and
supplier based on process andproductspecificity.
 Theauthorsassignedappropriatetechniquesfor modeling the buyer-supplier relationshipfor each of the
four riskcategories.
D.SimulationModels
 Towill(1991)andTowill,et.al.(1992)
 used simulationtechniquesto see how differentstrategiesaffectdemand
patterns in a supply chain.
 They looked at thingslike eliminatingdistributioncenters, improving
information flow, using Just-In-Timeinventory, and changingorder quantity
procedures.
 The goal was to find the strategiesthat worked best in smoothing out
variationsin demand.
 Results:They found that the Just-In-Timestrategy and removing distribution
centers were the most effective.
 Wikner,et.al.(1991)
 Explored differentstrategiesto improve the supply chain.
 They looked at thingslike fine-tuningdecision rules, reducing
time delays, and integratinginformation flow.
 They testedthese strategieson a three-stage supply chain model
 Results:The most effectiveimprovement strategy was improving
the flow of information and separatingorders at all levelsof the
chain.
SUPPLYCHAINPERFORMANCEMEASURES
 Performancemeasuresareimportantin supply chaindesignandanalysis
 They areused to determineefficiency andeffectiveness of existingandalternativesystems
 They areusedto designproposed systems by determiningthe best values of decisionvariables
 There arequalitativeandquantitativeperformancemeasuresused in evaluatingsupply chain effectivenessand
efficiency.
A.QualitativePerformance Measures
CustomerSatisfaction
Flexibility
Information andmaterial
flowintegration
SupplierPerformance
EffectiveRisk
Management
B.QuantitativePerformance Measures
MeasuresbasedonCost
Profitmaximization
Salesmaximization
ReturnonInvestmentmaximization
Costminimization
Inventoryinvestmentminimization
MeasuresbasedonCustomerSatisfaction
Fillratemaximization
Productlatenessminimization
Customerresponsetimeminimization
Responsetimeminimization
Functionduplicationminimization
PerformanceMeasuresUsedInSupplyChain
Performance Measures For Cost
Maximize Profit
Minimize Cost
Minimize Average Inventory level
Minimize amount of obsolete inventory
Performance Measures For Customer
Responsiveness
Achieve target service level (Fill Rate)
Minimize stockout probability
Performance Measures For Cost &
Customer Responsiveness
Minimize product demand variance or
demand amplification
Maximize buyer-supplier benefit
Performance Measures For Cost and
Activity TIme
Minimizethe number of activitydays and total
cost
Performance Measures For Flexiblity
Maximize available system capacity
DecisionVariablesInSupplyChainModeling
 In supply chain modeling, performance measures help understand how well things are going.
 These measures are liketools that are used to evaluatedifferentaspectsof the supply chain.
 These measures are representedas functions (mathematically), and take into account various decisionvariables.
 The goal is to select the best combination of decisionvariablesthat willoptimize the performance measures.
 By doing this, we can improve the overall performance of the supply chain.
 Decisionvariablesincludedinthearticle:
Production/DistributionScheduling Decidingwhen and where to manufacture and distributeproducts.
InventoryLevels Determiningthe quantity and location of raw materials, sub-assemblies,and finalproducts.
NumberofStages(Echelons) Decidinghow many stages or levelsthe supply chain willhave.
DistributionCenter(DC) Customer Assignment:Figuringout whichdistributioncenters willserve which customers
Plant-ProductAssignment Determiningwhichplants willproduce which products.
Buyer-SupplierRelationships Managing and developing the relationshipbetweenbuyers and suppliers.
ProductDifferentiation StepSpecification
Decidingat which point in the manufacturing process a product should be differentiatedor
specialized.
NumberofProductTypesHeldin
Inventory
Determiningthe variety of product types to be stored in finishedgood
GapsInResearchOnPerformanceMeasures
 Areasforfutureresearch
1) Evaluatingand developingperformance measures for supply chains.
2) Developingmodels and procedures to connect decisionvariablesto performance measures.
3) Considering issuesthat impact supply chainmodeling.
4) Classifyingsupply chainsystems to create rules or techniquesfor designingand analyzingmanufacturing supply chains.
 Existingresearch has not examined whether the measures currentlyused are suitablefor supply chainsas a whole.
 It's unlikelythat a singlemeasure willbe enough, so a combination of measures may be neededfor accurate and comprehensive
analysis.
 Theresearchquestions thatcanbeexploredare:
1) 1Are the current performance measures appropriate for supplychains?
2) What types of performance measures or measurement systems are suitablefor analyzingsupply chain performance, and
why?
GapsInResearch(Cont.)
 SupplyChainoptimization
 Researchon supply chain optimizationfocuses on aligningindividualmanagers' performance goals with the entire supply
chain to minimizeconflicts.
 Some studiesexplore the relationshipbetween inventory costs and optimal decisionrules.
 More research is needed to connect performance measurement systems with key supply chaindecision variables.
SUPPLYCHAINMODELEINGISSUES
 ProductPostponement
 Involvesdelayingoperationsinthe supplychainto delayproductdifferentiation
 Leadingto benefitssuchasreducedinventoryandholdingcosts.
 GlobalvsSingleNationSupplyChainModeling
 Global supply chain modeling involvesconsidering additionalfactors when operating in multiple nations.
 For example export regulations,duty rates, and exchange rates.
 DemandDistortionandVarianceAmplification
 Also known as the bullwhipeffect
 It can occur when orders to suppliershave larger variancesthan sales to buyers
 Thiscan lead to excess inventory costs.
CONCLUSION
 Supply chainsystemsarecomplex and requirecomplex models andmethods to study and
understandthem.
 Supply chainsystemscan be classifiedbasedon characteristicssuch asuncertainty,volume of
demand,number of echelons, ornumber of itemsproduced.
 Developing a meaningfulclassificationscheme forsupply chainsystems canlead to rule-of-thumb
techniquesthat suggestoperationalcharacteristicsto achievespecificobjectives.
 Researchisneeded to develop a classificationscheme andestablishassociationsbetween decision
variablesandperformanceobjectives insupply chain systems.
supply chain design and analysis in pakistan 2023

supply chain design and analysis in pakistan 2023

  • 1.
  • 2.
    BRIEFOVERVIEW  A supplychainisa networkthatincludes suppliers, manufacturers,distributors,andretailersto transformrawmaterialsinto final products.  Thesupply chainis traditionallyviewed asa singleentity, but there is a need for a moreintegrated approachto manufacturingsystem design.  The objectiveof thispaperis to reviewsupply chainmodeling literatureandidentifya researchagendafor future research.  Thepaperreviewsexistingsupply chainmodels andmethodsandsuggestsfuture researchin four areas: 1) evaluatinganddeveloping supply chainperformancemeasures, 2) relatingdecisionvariablesto performancemeasures, 3) consideringissues affectingsupply chainmodeling, 4) andclassifyingsupply chainsystemsfor designandanalysis.
  • 3.
    INTRODUCTION  SupplyChain;an integratedprocessinvolvingvarious businessentities  Traditionalcharacteristicsof a supply chain;forward flow of materials and backwardflow of information  Increasingfocus on the performance, design, and analysis of the supply chain as a whole  Emergence of the supply chain concept due to changes in the manufacturingenvironment  Additionof "reverselogistics"to includeproduct recovery for recycling, re-manufacturing,and re-use  Supply chainconcept originating fromtwo-stagemulti-echeloninventory models  Notable progress in the design and analysis of two-echelon systems
  • 4.
    THESUPPLYCHAINDEFINED  A supplychain is a manufacturingprocess that converts raw materialsinto finalproducts and deliversthem to customers.  The supply chain consistsof two integratedprocesses: Production Planningand Inventory Control, and Distributionand Logistics.  PRODUCTIONPLANNINGANDINVENTORYCONTROL  Focuses on managing the manufacturingprocess and storage of raw materialsand final products.  Inventory control isresponsible for managing storage policiesand procedures.  DISTRIBUTIONANDLOGISTICS  Thisprocess involvesretrieving and transporting products from warehouses to retailers.  It includesinventory retrieval,transportation, and finalproduct delivery.  The designand management of these processes determine how wellthe supplychain performs in meeting objectives.
  • 5.
    FOURMODELS;ForDesigningSupplyChain  it comesto designingand analyzingsupply chains, there are four main categoriesbased on how they are modeled. Deterministic AnalyticalModels • All the variables are known and specified • Everything is predictable • There are no unknown factors StochasticAnalytical Models • At least one variableis unknown • It is assumed to follow a specific probability distribution • It's like making educated guesses based on probabilities. EconomicModels • Focuses on the financialaspects of the supply chain. • This includes factorslike costs, profits, and investments. SimulationModels • use computer simulations to mimicreal- world scenarios • understand how the supply chain would perform under different conditions.  So, these four categories help us understand and analyze supply chainsbased on differentapproaches and objectives.
  • 6.
    A.ALGORITHMS;DeterministicAnalyticalModel No. INVENTED BYOBJECTIVE • VARIABLE 1 Williams (1981) Find the most cost-effective schedule that meets demand in the supply chain network. • Production and distribution scheduling, • cost considerations (inventory, ordering, delivery, set-up). 2 Williams (1983) Minimize average cost per period by determining batch sizes for production and distribution. • Batch sizes, • processing costs, • inventory holding costs 3 Ishii et al. (1988): Optimize stock levels and lead times in the supply chain. • Stock levels, • lead times, • linear demand, • inventory obsolescence. 4 Cohen and Lee (1989) Maximize total profit after taxes for manufacturing facilities and distribution centers. • Economic order quantity, • resource constraints, • demand limits, • product assignments 5 Cohen and Moon (1990) Determine the cost and operations of the supply chain, including facility openings. • Raw material suppliers, • manufacturing facilities, • distribution centers, • retailer
  • 7.
    B.ALGORITHMS;StochasticAnalyticalModel No. ALGORITM INVENTEDBY HOW IT WORKS 1 Material Requirements Policy Model Cohen and Lee (1988) • Focuses on establishing material ordering quantities, reorder intervals, and estimated response times for all supply chain facilities • Utilizes four cost-based sub-models, each corresponding to a different production stage • Minimizes total costs for each sub-model 2 Multi-Echelon Distribution-Type Model Svoronos and Zipkin (1991) • Considers supply chain systems with at most one direct predecessor and any number of direct successors • Assumes a base stock, one-for-one replenishment policy for each facility • Provides steady-state approximations for average inventory level and average number of outstanding backorders • Determines minimum-cost base stock level using approximations 3 Heuristic Stochastic Model for Material Flows Lee and Billington (1993) • Models a pull-type, periodic, order-up-to inventory system • Determines review period and order-up-to quantity as model outputs • Calculates required stock levels to achieve target service level or determines service level given a material ordering policy
  • 8.
    No. ALGORITM INVENTEDBY HOW IT WORKS 4 Stochastic Periodic- Review Inventory Model for Process Localization Lee, et. al. (1993) • Focuses on designing product and production processes suitable for different market segments • Considers differences in target market structures • Aims to minimize cost and maximize customer service levels 5 Mathematical Programming Model for Integrated Supply Chain Pyke and Cohen (1993) • Considers a three-level supply chain with one product, one manufacturing facility, one warehousing facility, and one retailer • Minimizes total cost subject to a service level constraint • Determines reorder interval, replenishment batch sizes, and order-up-to levels for the retailer 6 Application of filter theory and simulation to study supply chains Towill and Del Vecchio (1994) • compare filter characteristics of supply chains • Analyze supply chain responses to randomness in demand patterns • Use simulation to compare responses and determine minimum safety stock requirements for desired service level 7 Analytical model for product configuration and optimization Lee and Feitzinger (1995) • product differentiation through optimal production steps • Assume stochastic product demands and consider manufacturing process with multiple steps • Determine optimal step P for factory and distribution centers based on expected cost analysis
  • 9.
    C.EconomicModel  ChristyandGrout(1994) developedaneconomic,game- theoreticframeworkfor modelingthe buyer-supplier relationshipin a supply chain.  They used a 2 x 2 supply chainrelationshipmatrixto identify conditionsfor each type of relationship.  Thematrixcapturesthe risksassumed by the buyer and supplier based on process andproductspecificity.  Theauthorsassignedappropriatetechniquesfor modeling the buyer-supplier relationshipfor each of the four riskcategories.
  • 10.
    D.SimulationModels  Towill(1991)andTowill,et.al.(1992)  usedsimulationtechniquesto see how differentstrategiesaffectdemand patterns in a supply chain.  They looked at thingslike eliminatingdistributioncenters, improving information flow, using Just-In-Timeinventory, and changingorder quantity procedures.  The goal was to find the strategiesthat worked best in smoothing out variationsin demand.  Results:They found that the Just-In-Timestrategy and removing distribution centers were the most effective.  Wikner,et.al.(1991)  Explored differentstrategiesto improve the supply chain.  They looked at thingslike fine-tuningdecision rules, reducing time delays, and integratinginformation flow.  They testedthese strategieson a three-stage supply chain model  Results:The most effectiveimprovement strategy was improving the flow of information and separatingorders at all levelsof the chain.
  • 11.
    SUPPLYCHAINPERFORMANCEMEASURES  Performancemeasuresareimportantin supplychaindesignandanalysis  They areused to determineefficiency andeffectiveness of existingandalternativesystems  They areusedto designproposed systems by determiningthe best values of decisionvariables  There arequalitativeandquantitativeperformancemeasuresused in evaluatingsupply chain effectivenessand efficiency.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
    PerformanceMeasuresUsedInSupplyChain Performance Measures ForCost Maximize Profit Minimize Cost Minimize Average Inventory level Minimize amount of obsolete inventory Performance Measures For Customer Responsiveness Achieve target service level (Fill Rate) Minimize stockout probability Performance Measures For Cost & Customer Responsiveness Minimize product demand variance or demand amplification Maximize buyer-supplier benefit Performance Measures For Cost and Activity TIme Minimizethe number of activitydays and total cost Performance Measures For Flexiblity Maximize available system capacity
  • 15.
    DecisionVariablesInSupplyChainModeling  In supplychain modeling, performance measures help understand how well things are going.  These measures are liketools that are used to evaluatedifferentaspectsof the supply chain.  These measures are representedas functions (mathematically), and take into account various decisionvariables.  The goal is to select the best combination of decisionvariablesthat willoptimize the performance measures.  By doing this, we can improve the overall performance of the supply chain.  Decisionvariablesincludedinthearticle: Production/DistributionScheduling Decidingwhen and where to manufacture and distributeproducts. InventoryLevels Determiningthe quantity and location of raw materials, sub-assemblies,and finalproducts. NumberofStages(Echelons) Decidinghow many stages or levelsthe supply chain willhave. DistributionCenter(DC) Customer Assignment:Figuringout whichdistributioncenters willserve which customers Plant-ProductAssignment Determiningwhichplants willproduce which products. Buyer-SupplierRelationships Managing and developing the relationshipbetweenbuyers and suppliers. ProductDifferentiation StepSpecification Decidingat which point in the manufacturing process a product should be differentiatedor specialized. NumberofProductTypesHeldin Inventory Determiningthe variety of product types to be stored in finishedgood
  • 16.
    GapsInResearchOnPerformanceMeasures  Areasforfutureresearch 1) Evaluatinganddevelopingperformance measures for supply chains. 2) Developingmodels and procedures to connect decisionvariablesto performance measures. 3) Considering issuesthat impact supply chainmodeling. 4) Classifyingsupply chainsystems to create rules or techniquesfor designingand analyzingmanufacturing supply chains.  Existingresearch has not examined whether the measures currentlyused are suitablefor supply chainsas a whole.  It's unlikelythat a singlemeasure willbe enough, so a combination of measures may be neededfor accurate and comprehensive analysis.  Theresearchquestions thatcanbeexploredare: 1) 1Are the current performance measures appropriate for supplychains? 2) What types of performance measures or measurement systems are suitablefor analyzingsupply chain performance, and why?
  • 17.
    GapsInResearch(Cont.)  SupplyChainoptimization  Researchonsupply chain optimizationfocuses on aligningindividualmanagers' performance goals with the entire supply chain to minimizeconflicts.  Some studiesexplore the relationshipbetween inventory costs and optimal decisionrules.  More research is needed to connect performance measurement systems with key supply chaindecision variables.
  • 18.
    SUPPLYCHAINMODELEINGISSUES  ProductPostponement  Involvesdelayingoperationsinthesupplychainto delayproductdifferentiation  Leadingto benefitssuchasreducedinventoryandholdingcosts.  GlobalvsSingleNationSupplyChainModeling  Global supply chain modeling involvesconsidering additionalfactors when operating in multiple nations.  For example export regulations,duty rates, and exchange rates.  DemandDistortionandVarianceAmplification  Also known as the bullwhipeffect  It can occur when orders to suppliershave larger variancesthan sales to buyers  Thiscan lead to excess inventory costs.
  • 19.
    CONCLUSION  Supply chainsystemsarecomplexand requirecomplex models andmethods to study and understandthem.  Supply chainsystemscan be classifiedbasedon characteristicssuch asuncertainty,volume of demand,number of echelons, ornumber of itemsproduced.  Developing a meaningfulclassificationscheme forsupply chainsystems canlead to rule-of-thumb techniquesthat suggestoperationalcharacteristicsto achievespecificobjectives.  Researchisneeded to develop a classificationscheme andestablishassociationsbetween decision variablesandperformanceobjectives insupply chain systems.