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Trends Shaping Sustainable Land Use in the Next Decade
The presentation discusses trends and challenges in sustainable land use and development patterns, emphasizing the evolving nature of sustainability from its origins in the 1980s to the present. It highlights the importance of integrated and adaptive approaches in achieving sustainable outcomes and addresses the value conundrum, regulatory impediments, and the need for new models in real estate development. The document encourages collaboration and innovative thinking to overcome obstacles and enhance community resilience in the face of climate change.
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Trends Shaping Sustainable Land Use in the Next Decade
- 1. Copyrighted Material The followingpresentation was prepared by UrbanGreen ® of San Francisco, CA for presentation in Honolulu District Council Cop of ULI on 11 December 2012 This copy of the presentation is shared to advance discussion of sustainability and more responsible development patterns. Reuse - in whole or in part - of any or all parts of this presentation should be requested prior to use. The author reserves the right to grant reuse permission based purpose. Permission can be obtained by contacting Jim Heid at [email protected]
- 2. Urban Land Ins+tute | 11 December 2011 Trends Shaping Sustainable Land Use in the Next Decade Jim Heid, FASLA © All Rights Reserved, UrbanGreen 2012
- 3. 01 Why AreWe Here?
- 4. The ‘Ecological Cliff’ h@p://livingplaneDundcom.site.securepod.com/it/publ_lpr.aspx
- 5. Seismic Human Trajectory h@p://www.peopleandplanet.net/?lid=25993&topic=26&sec+on=33
- 6. A Disrupted Industry Do Real Estate? Shape the Built Environment? “..all land and “ manmade improvements surroundings that that are provide the setting immovable” for human activity ” Wikipedia Webster’s Dictionary
- 7. 02 Where HaveWe Been
- 8. “Sustainable development isa journey, not a destination.”
- 9. Sustainability 1.0: 1987 –1995 DEFINING ü Principles and Pla+tudes ü Theories and White Papers ü The Call to Ac+on
- 10. “Sustainable development is developmentthat meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.” Bruntland Commission, 1987
- 13. Sustainability 2.0: 1996 –2005 ORGANIZING ü Checklists and Ra+ng Methods ü The Arms Race for Bragging Rights ü Technology and Added Cost
- 15. RANGE OF ESTIDAMA Envisions Defines and Measures Informs Conserva9on Development Guidelines Urban Braille + 2030 Plans Roofscapes Guidelines Streetscape Design Development Pearls Design Manual Code System
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- 17. LEED Registered ProjectsBy State 7,000 6,000 Projects Per Capita 5,000 Hawai’i: 2.23 Oregon: 2.11 4,000 3,000 Washington: 1.93 California: 1.69 2,000 (per 10,000 Popula+on) Source: UrbanGreen 1,000 0 California Oregon Washington Hawaii Source: USGBC
- 18. Sustainability 3.0: 2005-2010 MEASURING ü Carbon as the IRR of Sustainability ü Tes+ng ROI Against Benefits ü Black Box Evalua+on Methods
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- 23. Sustainability 4.0: 2010+ CONNECTING ü Stacking Ac+ons Yield Big Benefits ü Invisible Sustainability ü What Works and Is Livable
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- 27. Obesity and CommunityForm Source: Centers for Disease Control
- 28. Singular Definition toIntegrated Hallmarks Contributes to the environment, region and surrounding communities; Healthy systems, natural and man-made; Inter-generational and demographically diverse; Carbon neutral at a minimum, carbon negative at best; Memorable and enduring quality of place; Evolutionary framework that is flexible and adaptable; Economically successful – both community and enterprise; Evolves governance from the community; Openly shares lessons, so others can build on its success. Source: UrbanGreen for the Urban Land Ins+tute Tradi+on PAS, 2008
- 29. “….if we areto remain competitive into the 21st century, we must learn to think in new ways, to ask new questions, and seek new responses to the emerging issues that are shaping the industry. The Ecology of Development, Urban Land Institute 1997
- 30. 03 What Are We Learning?
- 31. #1:The Value Conundrum IsThere Value in Sustainability?
- 32. “….there has beena Responsibility Value Premium in offices, apartments and retail caused by higher NOIs and/or lower cap rates. Higher NOI was from higher rents, occupancy, and/or lower expenses” Gary Pivo | Jeffrey Fischer Income, Value and Returns of Socially Responsible Office Properties
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- 34. Biggest Impediment? NoValue Lack of Enterprise Leadership Current Economics of Industry Too Many Conflicting Standards Lack of End User Premium Capital Providers do not Ascribe Value Regulators Make it Too Difficult 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Source: UrbanGreen Index V12.1
- 35. Why Do It?To Add Value Branding Strategy Motivates our Team Required by Investors Entitlement Strategy Required by Local Regulations Market Differentiator Improve Performance Add Value 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% Source: UrbanGreen Index V12.1
- 36. Why Do It?To Add Value Branding Strategy Motivates our Team Required by Investors Entitlement Strategy Hawaii National Required by Local Regulations Market Differentiator Improve Performance Add Value 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%
- 37. #2: The RegulatoryImpediment: How do we Make Right – Easy?
- 38. The Cost ofMisaligned Regulations Envisioning En+tlement Execu+on Diminished Sustainability + Increased Costs
- 39. Biggest Impediment toGreater Adoption? Lack of Enterprise Leadership Current Economics of Industry Hawaii Too Many Conflicting Standards Na+onal Lack of End User Premium Capital Providers do not Ascribe Value Regulators Make it Too Difficult 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% Source:UrbanGreen Index Volume 12.1
- 40. New Solutions Requires New Models Source: Roadmap for the Integrated Design Process, BC Green Building Roundtable
- 41. #3: The CapitalGap Is Reduced Risk in an Uncertain Future Worth Something?
- 42. Source: CoreLogic/ Las Vegas Sun
- 44. 04 Trends WorthKnowing
- 45. Some Common Themes Now Then Thriving VS. Sustainable Healthy Community VS. Planned Community Climate Adapta+on VS. Climate Change Mobility + Accessibility VS. Level of Service Sharing VS. Owning Facilita+ng VS. Developing
- 46. Trend One: ChangingHow We Think: Sharing Everything
- 47. Going Beyond theBox Source: h@p://daily.sightline.org/2009/03/18/char+ng-‐how-‐ci+es-‐are-‐greener/
- 48. The Search forSomething Deeper..
- 49. Sharing Everything –Regional Collaboration
- 50. Sharing Everything –Partnerships
- 51. Sharing Everything –Development Risk HOPE SF Principles: 1. Ensure No Loss of Public Housing 2. Create an Economically Integrated Community 3. Maximize the Creation of New Affordable Housing 4. Involve Residents in the Highest Levels of Participation in Entire Project 5. Provide Economic Opportunities Through the Rebuilding Process 6. Integrate Process with Neighborhood Improvement Revitalization Plans 7. Create Environmentally Sustainable and Accessible Communities 8. Build a Strong Sense of Community.
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- 53. Sharing Everything -Housing h@p://www.cohousing.org
- 54. Sharing Everything –Transportation
- 55. Sharing Everything -Offices h@p://wework.com
- 56. Sharing Everything =Living Smaller h@p://www.smartspace.net/loca+ons/soma/
- 57. Sharing Everything –Social Space Source: Panoramic Interests
- 58. Trend Two: CommunicatingResults More + Complex Information
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- 61. Measuring Behavior “…. CycleTracks uses smartphone GPS support to record users' bicycle trip routes and times, and display maps of their rides, in order to help transportation planners make informed decisions about bicycle use in the community…..” h@p://www.sfcta.org/content/category/12/97/483/
- 62. Trend Three: IntegratingWhat We Do Soft + Squishy Matters
- 63. “….we are notin the home building business, we are in the human habitat business.” John Knott, CEO Noisette
- 64. Emergence of theFood Desert
- 65. Farmer’s Markets asone Solution Source: USDA
- 66. CSA’s and CommunityGardens
- 67. Localizing the FoodConnection
- 68. Making Food anExperience
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- 71. “UrbanGreen® is dedicatedto real estate development as a constructive endeavor that positively shapes the urban, rural and human environment.” Questions? Comments? | [email protected]
- 72. Protected Presentation Content The following presenta+on was prepared by UrbanGreen ® of San Francisco, CA for presenta+on at the Missouri Area Regional Council on 2 May 2012. Permission to reuse any or all parts of this presenta+on should be requested before reproducing, extrac+ng or copying – in whole or in part –any component of this presenta+on. Permission can be obtained by contac+ng Jim Heid at [email protected]